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This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$130,992 on Polymarket 29,721 predictions in 132 days with a 50% win rate How is this account bringing in about $992 per day? The logic is simple: 1. It focuses on short crypto “Up / Down” markets, averaging...

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Daniro

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53,229 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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midcurvXBT 的头像
midcurvXBT1 个月前

130992$ / 29721 trades = 4,41$ par trade. Aux mises que tu cites (28-234$), ça fait 2 à 16% de rendement par trade, 29721 fois d’affilée. Ça n’existe pas. À taille de market maker c’est 0,5-0,9% = la moitié du spread. Il encaisse le spread. Il ne prédit rien.

Rickysfundamentals 的头像
Rickysfundamentals1 个月前

You are from a restricted region where using polymarket is illegal and promoting or soliciting illegal gambling is also illegal. Both may give you fines or imprisonment. You have 24 hours to erase every post about polymarket or i am reporting you to your local authoritys and your local financial/regulatory agency or group. Respectfully

Adel Bucetta 的头像
Adel Bucetta1 个月前

the honest answer is that most of the 'logic' behind quant bots is just applying existing patterns to new data. this one's success is more about identifying a gap in the market rather than true innovation

Predict365 的头像
Predict3651 个月前

50% win rate at 9–20 trades/hour is inventory management. Treat these threads as research on flow, not as a bot you should paste-deploy with size.

Nguyenduc 的头像
Nguyenduc1 个月前

Nhưng đó là họ bạn thì sao ?

Grace Hall 的头像
Grace Hall1 个月前

That's insane, 50% win rate is huge

sAjjAd BuTT ❤ 的头像
sAjjAd BuTT ❤1 个月前

App name?

SEO Mastery 的头像
SEO Mastery1 个月前

50% win rate making that much is wild

Alpha-Intelligence-X Cora Core 的头像
Alpha-Intelligence-X Cora Core1 个月前

Schön lauter bunte Farben und Dinge 🤣🤭

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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it
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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$174,125 in 2 months His bot trades 5 and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional strategy with a dynamic hedge: 1. Constantly calculates its own probability for Up and Down 2. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 3. When the underlying asset reverses, it doesn’t close the position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome This is how the algorithm constantly changes its net exposure inside each market The opposite side is used as a dynamic hedge, while the remaining exposure forms the directional position > Average trade: $14.68 > Trades/active hour: 131 > Win Rate: 52% His Polymarket account: This bot constantly recalculates probabilities and adapts its position to every new market move Using this strategy, it captures a micro edge and steadily grows its capital Save this so you don’t lose it

VALIX

27,231 次观看 • 2 个月前

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$61,370 on Polymarket Since Mar 27, this wallet has been averaging roughly $820 in daily profit and a little over 20 trades per hour 36,611 predictions with a 50% win rate in 75 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The first deposit was $5.4K From that starting balance, the bot is up roughly +1,136% ROI Quant strategy is simple: > It does not wait around for one huge move > It keeps entering where short-term pricing is still behind the tape > Runs the same setup again and again across a large number of entries > Each trade on its own is not massive, but repetition is what builds the result Most profitable trades: $604 → $1,923 (+$1,319 +218.48%) $1,083 → $2,112 (+$1,029 +95%) $114 → $1,132 (+$1,018 +892.74%) It is a repeatable short-window process that keeps turning small pricing mistakes into steady PnL
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This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$61,370 on Polymarket Since Mar 27, this wallet has been averaging roughly $820 in daily profit and a little over 20 trades per hour 36,611 predictions with a 50% win rate in 75 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The first deposit was $5.4K From that starting balance, the bot is up roughly +1,136% ROI Quant strategy is simple: > It does not wait around for one huge move > It keeps entering where short-term pricing is still behind the tape > Runs the same setup again and again across a large number of entries > Each trade on its own is not massive, but repetition is what builds the result Most profitable trades: $604 → $1,923 (+$1,319 +218.48%) $1,083 → $2,112 (+$1,029 +95%) $114 → $1,132 (+$1,018 +892.74%) It is a repeatable short-window process that keeps turning small pricing mistakes into steady PnL

Daniro

12,003 次观看 • 4 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

VALIX

152,711 次观看 • 4 个月前

This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$78,118 on Polymarket Since Apr 28, this wallet has been averaging about $1,953 in profit per day and roughly 28 trades per hour This trader has put in $17.3K in deposits and is now sitting at roughly +450.4% ROI 26,505 predictions with a 64% win rate in 40 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It does not need one huge move >It keeps picking off markets where the price is still wrong >Gets in before the odds fully catch up and runs the same setup again and again across a very large number of entries >That is how a small edge turns into a steep PnL curve Most profitable trades: $171 → $1,840 (+$1,668 +972.74%) $110 → $1,757 (+$1,647 +1,497.37%) $72 → $1,306 (+$1,234 +1,711.59%) What makes this stand out is not one lucky hit. It is the same repeatable pricing mistake, attacked early and recycled over and over until the gap closes
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This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$78,118 on Polymarket Since Apr 28, this wallet has been averaging about $1,953 in profit per day and roughly 28 trades per hour This trader has put in $17.3K in deposits and is now sitting at roughly +450.4% ROI 26,505 predictions with a 64% win rate in 40 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It does not need one huge move >It keeps picking off markets where the price is still wrong >Gets in before the odds fully catch up and runs the same setup again and again across a very large number of entries >That is how a small edge turns into a steep PnL curve Most profitable trades: $171 → $1,840 (+$1,668 +972.74%) $110 → $1,757 (+$1,647 +1,497.37%) $72 → $1,306 (+$1,234 +1,711.59%) What makes this stand out is not one lucky hit. It is the same repeatable pricing mistake, attacked early and recycled over and over until the gap closes

Daniro

22,807 次观看 • 4 个月前

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This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$325,423 on Polymarket in 53 days Since Mar 30, this software has been making around $6,140 in profit per day and almost 5 trades per hour Over that stretch, the Quant executed 4,644 trades with a 69% win rate The first deposit was $250K From that initial capital, the software delivered roughly 1.3x on deposit, or about +130.2% ROI This Quant’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It finds crypto markets where price is still behind the move >Gets in before the board fully catches up then keeps pressing the same inefficiency across multiple positions >The edge is not huge on each entry, but repetition is what turns it into a serious result Most profitable trades: $3,028 → $34,452 (+$31,423 +1,037.54%) $364 → $29,612 (+$29,247 +8,016.9%) $2,532 → $26,506 (+$23,974 +946.83%) What makes this stand out is not one lucky position. It is the same pricing mistake, attacked early, sized correctly, and repeated until the gap is gone

Daniro

17,435 次观看 • 4 个月前

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This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$115,533 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $1,409 in profit per day while running at roughly 29 trades per hour 56,703 predictions with a 60% win rate in 82 days This trader’s Polymarket account: The bot strategy is simple: >It keeps scanning for markets where the price has not fully caught up yet >enters before the repricing is complete and keeps deploying the same setup across a huge number of entries >the edge on each trade is small, but the constant repetition is what pushes the curve higher over time Most profitable trades: $1,166 → $2,288 (+$1,122, +96.19%) $737 → $1,731 (+$994, +134.96%) $838 → $1,821 (+$983, +117.4%) It is a repeatable high-frequency process that keeps turning delayed pricing into steady PnL

Daniro

31,221 次观看 • 4 个月前

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This trader used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$232,136 on Polymarket Since Mar 25, this wallet has been averaging about $3,180 in profit per day and a little over 7 trades per hour 13,070 predictions with a 47% win rate in 73 days This trader’s Polymarket account: This trader has put in $248.9K in deposits, which puts him at roughly +93% ROI The bot strategy is simple: >It waits for prices to lag behind the move gets filled before the market fully catches up >Then keeps recycling the same setup across many entries >One trade is not the story here. The result comes from repeating the same edge over and over until it compounds into a large PnL Most profitable trades: $6,757 → $24,330 (+$17,573, +260.06%) $7,597 → $23,943 (+$16,346, +215.15%) $11,472 → $27,672 (+$16,200, +141.21%) It is a repeatable process: find the lag, enter early, and keep pressing the same advantage until the gap disappears

Daniro

54,383 次观看 • 4 个月前

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $23.59 Result: +$246,578 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using dynamic hedging and a directional residual: 1. First buys the outcome its model considers underpriced It continuously estimates the fair probabilities of Up and Down and compares them with prices on Polymarket The bot builds a position whenever it detects a mispricing 2. Buys the opposite side when the signal changes If the underlying asset reverses, it does not close its initial position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome It bought both sides in 90% of markets 3. Turns part of the position into complete sets below $1 In two-sided markets, the median combined cost of Up and Down is 94.5c But this is not pure arbitrage The median inventory imbalance is 40%, so after pairing both sides, the algorithm is left with a directional residual Its Polymarket account: pspspsps5 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial is available after signing up) The main edge of this HFT algorithm comes from continuously shifting directional exposure as its fair probability estimates change, while purchases of the opposite outcome function either as a hedge or as part of a complete set
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $23.59 Result: +$246,578 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using dynamic hedging and a directional residual: 1. First buys the outcome its model considers underpriced It continuously estimates the fair probabilities of Up and Down and compares them with prices on Polymarket The bot builds a position whenever it detects a mispricing 2. Buys the opposite side when the signal changes If the underlying asset reverses, it does not close its initial position. Instead, it starts accumulating the opposite outcome It bought both sides in 90% of markets 3. Turns part of the position into complete sets below $1 In two-sided markets, the median combined cost of Up and Down is 94.5c But this is not pure arbitrage The median inventory imbalance is 40%, so after pairing both sides, the algorithm is left with a directional residual Its Polymarket account: pspspsps5 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial is available after signing up) The main edge of this HFT algorithm comes from continuously shifting directional exposure as its fair probability estimates change, while purchases of the opposite outcome function either as a hedge or as part of a complete set

VALIX

78,813 次观看 • 18 天前

This trader made +$177,981 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm, with an average trade of $28 His bot makes around 150 trades per hour, or 2.5 trades per minute. It trades BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets, constantly comparing its own fair probability with the price on Polymarket Its strategy: 1. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 2. Continues increasing the position as the price moves, until the mispricing fully disappears 3. When the signal reverses, it buys the opposite outcome and turns part of the inventory into a dynamic hedge His nickname: std0 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Stats: > Total Deposit: $3.7K > Win Rate: 52% > PnL: +$178k Using this strategy and high-quality execution, he captures a micro edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he reached a 4,810% ROI in 5 months of trading
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This trader made +$177,981 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm, with an average trade of $28 His bot makes around 150 trades per hour, or 2.5 trades per minute. It trades BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets, constantly comparing its own fair probability with the price on Polymarket Its strategy: 1. Buys the side where its model sees an edge 2. Continues increasing the position as the price moves, until the mispricing fully disappears 3. When the signal reverses, it buys the opposite outcome and turns part of the inventory into a dynamic hedge His nickname: std0 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: Stats: > Total Deposit: $3.7K > Win Rate: 52% > PnL: +$178k Using this strategy and high-quality execution, he captures a micro edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he reached a 4,810% ROI in 5 months of trading

VALIX

62,559 次观看 • 1 个月前

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital
0:27

This trader made +$265,478 on Polymarket with his HFT algorithm and a median trade size of $29 His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining late-resolution sniping with hedging Its strategy: 1. Constantly recalculates Up/Down probability based on order book depth, reference price, and spot feeds 2. As the signal gets confirmed, it increases the position: the median first buy is 91¢, while the final buy is 99¢ 3. In 88.2% of markets, it buys only one outcome, while using the opposite side as a hedge when the signal changes It waits for the moment when there is no longer enough time left for the outcome to change, then increases its position in the almost-confirmed side His Polymarket nickname: BoneOhio You can build your own trading bot here: (Trial period available after registration) The main edge of this guy’s algorithm appears closer to resolution, when the outcome is already almost determined, but the winning side can still be bought for 98-99¢ That’s how he steadily grows his capital

VALIX

44,885 次观看 • 1 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month
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He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$66,295 in 1 month His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a strategy with 4 core elements: 1. Right after a market opens, it calculates the probability of Up and Down 2. If its own estimate differs from the price on Polymarket, it buys the undervalued outcome 3. When the move is confirmed, it increases the position, even if the price has become more expensive 4. If the signal changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position His Polymarket username: uninformedfloww He captures a consistent edge through a large number of trades with positive expected value That’s how he made +$66k in one month

VALIX

15,778 次观看 • 2 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $123,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 103.8 trades per hour, or 1.73 trades per minute, and trades as a systematic high-frequency directional hedging bot on short-term BTC/ETH markets His strategy is simple: > Enters positions at the start of new 5 and 15-min windows at around 0.50 > When the asset starts moving, it adds to the side that becomes more likely according to its signal > Uses the other side as a hedge His Polymarket account: With this strategy, he turned $19,700 into $123,000 in 2.5 months
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $123,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 103.8 trades per hour, or 1.73 trades per minute, and trades as a systematic high-frequency directional hedging bot on short-term BTC/ETH markets His strategy is simple: > Enters positions at the start of new 5 and 15-min windows at around 0.50 > When the asset starts moving, it adds to the side that becomes more likely according to its signal > Uses the other side as a hedge His Polymarket account: With this strategy, he turned $19,700 into $123,000 in 2.5 months

VALIX

15,939 次观看 • 4 个月前

This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit
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This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $223,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 113 trades per hour and trades the microstructure of short crypto Up/Down markets with a median size of $2.12 His strategy is simple: > Trades outcomes at 98-99.9c when the result is already obvious, but there is still edge left on Polymarket > Buys cheap tails at 1-5c in case the underlying asset moves in the final seconds > Sometimes builds arbitrage positions when it sees edge This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he generates consistent profit and keeps growing his deposit

VALIX

41,119 次观看 • 4 个月前

This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$589,139 on Polymarket. 25,388 predictions with a 63% win rate in 77 days. That comes out to roughly $7,651 in profit per day and almost 14 trades per hour. With $217K in deposits, he is now up 2.7x. About +271.5% ROI. The bot strategy is simple: It finds markets where the pricing is still off. Gets in before the odds fully catch up. Repeats the same setup again and again across many entries. The edge on each trade is small. But scale and repetition turn it into a massive result. Most profitable trades: $17,839 → $36,318 (+$18,478, +103.58%) $3,112 → $15,011 (+$11,898, +382.22%) $10,676 → $22,178 (+$11,502, +107.74%) What makes it work is not one huge trade. It is the same small advantage, applied fast, applied often, and repeated until the pricing gap is gone. I reverse-engineered it. Had Claude rebuild the same logic. One prompt. 90 minutes. Fully deployed. You only need: Claude + a device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word PROFIT 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you
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This guy used Claude to build a Quant Bot and made +$589,139 on Polymarket. 25,388 predictions with a 63% win rate in 77 days. That comes out to roughly $7,651 in profit per day and almost 14 trades per hour. With $217K in deposits, he is now up 2.7x. About +271.5% ROI. The bot strategy is simple: It finds markets where the pricing is still off. Gets in before the odds fully catch up. Repeats the same setup again and again across many entries. The edge on each trade is small. But scale and repetition turn it into a massive result. Most profitable trades: $17,839 → $36,318 (+$18,478, +103.58%) $3,112 → $15,011 (+$11,898, +382.22%) $10,676 → $22,178 (+$11,502, +107.74%) What makes it work is not one huge trade. It is the same small advantage, applied fast, applied often, and repeated until the pricing gap is gone. I reverse-engineered it. Had Claude rebuild the same logic. One prompt. 90 minutes. Fully deployed. You only need: Claude + a device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word PROFIT 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you

Himanshu Kumar

85,896 次观看 • 4 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $143,000 on Polymarket His bot trades mispricings in short crypto Up/Down markets with a median trade size of $7.19 and an average edge of 2.0% It builds positions with limit orders and hedges part of the volume His strategy is simple: > Tracks BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP price movements and compares them with Polymarket prices > Enters a trade when Polymarket probabilities look undervalued > Buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or builds an arbitrage position This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he keeps steadily growing his deposit
0:35

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $143,000 on Polymarket His bot trades mispricings in short crypto Up/Down markets with a median trade size of $7.19 and an average edge of 2.0% It builds positions with limit orders and hedges part of the volume His strategy is simple: > Tracks BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP price movements and compares them with Polymarket prices > Enters a trade when Polymarket probabilities look undervalued > Buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or builds an arbitrage position This guy’s Polymarket account: With this strategy and clean execution, he keeps steadily growing his deposit

VALIX

56,687 次观看 • 4 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital
0:31

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$77,123 in 1 month His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. After a market opens, it chooses a side based on its own probability model and builds the position with limit orders 2. When the underlying asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge or as a reversal 3. Holds the position until the market ends, capturing a consistent edge from the final directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

11,216 次观看 • 2 个月前

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital
0:29

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$198,045 in 4 months His bot trades the microstructure of short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid high-frequency strategy with 3 core elements: 1. Builds a directional position by choosing the Up or Down outcome that is currently undervalued relative to his model 2. If the market movement changes, it starts buying the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position 3. If it sees an arbitrage opportunity, it builds a full set of Up and Down His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge and repeats it thousands of times That’s how he keeps growing his capital

VALIX

28,577 次观看 • 2 个月前

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital
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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $537,000 on Polymarket, buying markets for $14.45 His bot combines a hybrid of microstructure scalping, arbitrage, and hedging. It trades short Up/Down markets with limit orders and captures a consistent edge His strategy is simple: > Buys undervalued outcomes relative to his probability model > Builds arbitrage positions when it sees mispricing > Uses the opposite side as a hedge if the price moves against him His Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he gets a 61% win rate and continuously grows his capital

VALIX

30,078 次观看 • 4 个月前

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$222,374 Its bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets through a hybrid of directional trading and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for directional edge through its own fair probability It gets data on the underlying asset from external sources and compares it with the price on Polymarket Its model includes momentum, acceleration, volatility, order-flow imbalance, and time to resolution If it sees an edge, it starts building a position and increases it while the signal remains active 2. When the signal changes, it hedges the position with the opposite outcome If the price movement reverses, the algorithm starts buying the other side This reduces net exposure while also using new price moves to accumulate the second side If it can buy cheap enough, part of the inventory turns into a complete set where Up + Down costs less than $1 3. It keeps a large directional residual In two-sided markets, the median size of the smaller side is only around 36% of the larger side The hedge covers only part of the position, while the main remainder continues working in the direction of its model’s signal His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Stats: > Trades / active hour: 132.3 > Average trade: $60.02 > Win Rate: 55% This guy’s main edge is built on a combination of two mechanics: it tries to identify the stronger outcome before the market, and when the signal changes, it turns part of the position into a hedge or a cheap complete set
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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$222,374 Its bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets through a hybrid of directional trading and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for directional edge through its own fair probability It gets data on the underlying asset from external sources and compares it with the price on Polymarket Its model includes momentum, acceleration, volatility, order-flow imbalance, and time to resolution If it sees an edge, it starts building a position and increases it while the signal remains active 2. When the signal changes, it hedges the position with the opposite outcome If the price movement reverses, the algorithm starts buying the other side This reduces net exposure while also using new price moves to accumulate the second side If it can buy cheap enough, part of the inventory turns into a complete set where Up + Down costs less than $1 3. It keeps a large directional residual In two-sided markets, the median size of the smaller side is only around 36% of the larger side The hedge covers only part of the position, while the main remainder continues working in the direction of its model’s signal His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Stats: > Trades / active hour: 132.3 > Average trade: $60.02 > Win Rate: 55% This guy’s main edge is built on a combination of two mechanics: it tries to identify the stronger outcome before the market, and when the signal changes, it turns part of the position into a hedge or a cheap complete set

VALIX

12,905 次观看 • 1 个月前

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move
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This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move

VALIX

371,365 次观看 • 1 个月前