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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 This war has turned into a high-stakes game of who blinks first. Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group Ali Vaez says both the U.S. and Iran believe they can outlast each other economically and politically. He argues the danger is that neither side actually sees itself... show more

Mario Nawfal

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43,497 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran’s objective is not victory. It is making war too costly to continue. Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group Ali Vaez says Tehran’s goal is to prove that conflict will hurt the U.S., its allies, and the global economy. He believes that objective has already been achieved. Ali Vaez

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran’s objective is not victory. It is making war too costly to continue. Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group Ali Vaez says Tehran’s goal is to prove that conflict will hurt the U.S., its allies, and the global economy. He believes that objective has already been achieved. Ali Vaez

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The more pressure the U.S. applies, the more Iran pushes back. Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group Ali Vaez says threats, assassinations, and blockades have consistently produced stronger resistance. He insists escalation is unlikely to serve anyone in the long run. Ali Vaez

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The more pressure the U.S. applies, the more Iran pushes back. Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group Ali Vaez says threats, assassinations, and blockades have consistently produced stronger resistance. He insists escalation is unlikely to serve anyone in the long run. Ali Vaez

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Ali Vaez, the Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group, told Al Jazeera that Iran is playing a "game of endurance" in the war, aiming to outlast the US and Israel by taking the global economy hostage through pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf economies.

Ali Vaez, the Iran Project Director at the International Crisis Group, told Al Jazeera that Iran is playing a "game of endurance" in the war, aiming to outlast the US and Israel by taking the global economy hostage through pressure on the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf economies.

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Ali Vaez, director of the Iran Project at the International Crisis Group, says the US and Iran have reached a stalemate where further escalation would likely lead to catastrophe for the global economy.

Ali Vaez, director of the Iran Project at the International Crisis Group, says the US and Iran have reached a stalemate where further escalation would likely lead to catastrophe for the global economy.

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Who is making decisions in Iran? Director of Iran Project at the Crisis Group Ali Vaez says it is not with the interim council but with two specific figures.

Who is making decisions in Iran? Director of Iran Project at the Crisis Group Ali Vaez says it is not with the interim council but with two specific figures.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has near-zero economic output right now and that's worth paying close attention to. Economic pain doesn't stop countries when they believe something more important is at stake, and Iran has decided this is existential. Stefano Ritondale says that Trump believes he can outlast Iran economically. Iran believes it can outlast Trump politically. Both may be right about the other's weakness. Artorias

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has near-zero economic output right now and that's worth paying close attention to. Economic pain doesn't stop countries when they believe something more important is at stake, and Iran has decided this is existential. Stefano Ritondale says that Trump believes he can outlast Iran economically. Iran believes it can outlast Trump politically. Both may be right about the other's weakness. Artorias

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Ali Vaez, who worked at the International Crisis Group and under Robert Malley on the Iran nuclear file, was in direct contact with Javad Zarif, then the Islamic Republic’s foreign minister. Leaked emails show that while living in the U.S., holding U.S. citizenship, and working within policy circles, he wrote to Zarif: “As an Iranian, based on my national and patriotic duty, I have not hesitated to help you in any way.” That line speaks for itself and shows where his loyalty lies. Yet in this interview, the same person argues that Khamenei is “not a totalitarian leader” and does not personally make final decisions. Ali Vaez is an Islamic Republic propagandists. Source: 🔗: 🔗:

Ali Vaez, who worked at the International Crisis Group and under Robert Malley on the Iran nuclear file, was in direct contact with Javad Zarif, then the Islamic Republic’s foreign minister. Leaked emails show that while living in the U.S., holding U.S. citizenship, and working within policy circles, he wrote to Zarif: “As an Iranian, based on my national and patriotic duty, I have not hesitated to help you in any way.” That line speaks for itself and shows where his loyalty lies. Yet in this interview, the same person argues that Khamenei is “not a totalitarian leader” and does not personally make final decisions. Ali Vaez is an Islamic Republic propagandists. Source: 🔗: 🔗:

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN SEES THIS WAR AS A FIGHT FOR SURVIVAL Iranian professor Nima Rostami says the war has changed how people inside Iran see everything. He argues what started as economic frustration has now turned into a unifying fear about the survival of the country itself. “This war is not being seen as just political, it’s about existence. The priority now is not internal problems, but survival.”

🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN SEES THIS WAR AS A FIGHT FOR SURVIVAL Iranian professor Nima Rostami says the war has changed how people inside Iran see everything. He argues what started as economic frustration has now turned into a unifying fear about the survival of the country itself. “This war is not being seen as just political, it’s about existence. The priority now is not internal problems, but survival.”

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🚨 MEHDI HASAN: How long can Iran last against the most powerful country on Earth? ALI VAEZ: If the Taliban survived 20 years of U.S. pressure these people are determined enough to survive too. THIS IS A WAR OF ENDURANCE.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Both sides are sending counter-proposals back and forth, and Trump just launched Project Freedom in the middle of live negotiations. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the narrative of Iran as the regional aggressor is a lie that started in 1980 when the CIA helped fund Saddam's war against Iran. Iran now has Russian and Chinese backing, the ability to defend itself, and control of the Strait. The days when the U.S. had serious leverage over the Iranian regime are all but over and the rhetoric has to start reflecting that. "Trump has painted himself into a corner. He says we haven't won enough, we have to punish Iran for all that it's done."

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Both sides are sending counter-proposals back and forth, and Trump just launched Project Freedom in the middle of live negotiations. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the narrative of Iran as the regional aggressor is a lie that started in 1980 when the CIA helped fund Saddam's war against Iran. Iran now has Russian and Chinese backing, the ability to defend itself, and control of the Strait. The days when the U.S. had serious leverage over the Iranian regime are all but over and the rhetoric has to start reflecting that. "Trump has painted himself into a corner. He says we haven't won enough, we have to punish Iran for all that it's done."

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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 COULD IRAN BOG DOWN THE U.S.? Geopolitical analyst Paul Warburg says it is not impossible that the U.S. could get dragged into a long war with Iran. But he argues the U.S. air campaign has been far more effective than Russia’s early offensive in Ukraine.

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 COULD IRAN BOG DOWN THE U.S.? Geopolitical analyst Paul Warburg says it is not impossible that the U.S. could get dragged into a long war with Iran. But he argues the U.S. air campaign has been far more effective than Russia’s early offensive in Ukraine.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN DOESN’T SEE NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE U.S. AS A SOLUTION Iranian professor Nima Rostami says Iran is not interested in stopping this war through negotiations or temporary deals. He argues the country sees a ceasefire as useless if it only leads to future attacks, pushing Iran to continue fighting instead of pausing. It would mean Iran is prepared to sustain the war long-term, relying on years of preparation, internal resilience, and the belief it can outlast its opponents. "Iran has been preparing for this war for more than 26 years. Less than 10% of their capabilities have been affected, they can continue this war comfortably.”

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN SHRUGS OFF U.S. AIRCRAFT CARRIER ARRIVAL NEAR ITS WATERS FM spokesman Esmail Baghaei: "We have never welcomed war, and we have never turned away from diplomacy." Nonetheless, he felt the need to add that Iran has the "full will and capability to defend" itself. Source: Iran International

🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN SHRUGS OFF U.S. AIRCRAFT CARRIER ARRIVAL NEAR ITS WATERS FM spokesman Esmail Baghaei: "We have never welcomed war, and we have never turned away from diplomacy." Nonetheless, he felt the need to add that Iran has the "full will and capability to defend" itself. Source: Iran International

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Neither America nor Iran is actually trying to win this war. 6 months into the Iran war, Ian Bremmer sees something strange beneath all the escalation: Restraint. Iran has not launched major attacks on critical Gulf infrastructure. The U.S. has not sent ground troops, attacked Kharg Island, resumed leadership assassinations or unleashed the full economic campaign threatened against countries still dealing with Tehran. Bremmer calls what is happening instead “price discovery.” Washington and Tehran want incompatible outcomes in the Strait of Hormuz, but both are probing for how much pain the other side can absorb. So they escalate just enough to demonstrate leverage, while trying not to trigger the regional war neither side appears to want. That is why Bremmer remains less worried about a sudden massive escalation than many other analysts. “Neither the Iranians nor the Americans are actually trying to win. They're trying to avoid losing.” That distinction explains a lot. Iran keeps enough pressure on shipping and regional infrastructure to preserve leverage. Washington keeps enough military and economic pressure on Iran to deny Tehran control of the outcome. Neither can force the other to surrender. Neither wants to pay the price of trying. So the war continues, not because either side sees a clear path to victory, but because neither has yet found an acceptable way to lose. ian bremmer

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Neither America nor Iran is actually trying to win this war. 6 months into the Iran war, Ian Bremmer sees something strange beneath all the escalation: Restraint. Iran has not launched major attacks on critical Gulf infrastructure. The U.S. has not sent ground troops, attacked Kharg Island, resumed leadership assassinations or unleashed the full economic campaign threatened against countries still dealing with Tehran. Bremmer calls what is happening instead “price discovery.” Washington and Tehran want incompatible outcomes in the Strait of Hormuz, but both are probing for how much pain the other side can absorb. So they escalate just enough to demonstrate leverage, while trying not to trigger the regional war neither side appears to want. That is why Bremmer remains less worried about a sudden massive escalation than many other analysts. “Neither the Iranians nor the Americans are actually trying to win. They're trying to avoid losing.” That distinction explains a lot. Iran keeps enough pressure on shipping and regional infrastructure to preserve leverage. Washington keeps enough military and economic pressure on Iran to deny Tehran control of the outcome. Neither can force the other to surrender. Neither wants to pay the price of trying. So the war continues, not because either side sees a clear path to victory, but because neither has yet found an acceptable way to lose. ian bremmer

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 This is a waiting game with hypersonic missiles and zero clean exits. Political Analyst Alex Christoforou just laid it all out, and the math isn't pretty for anyone at the table. "Iran feels that they can outwit the U.S., Trump believes that he can wait out Iran. And Iran feels like they can wait out the U.S." Most analysts give Iran the longer runway. The question is what happens before someone blinks. Alex Christoforou

🇺🇸🇮🇷 This is a waiting game with hypersonic missiles and zero clean exits. Political Analyst Alex Christoforou just laid it all out, and the math isn't pretty for anyone at the table. "Iran feels that they can outwit the U.S., Trump believes that he can wait out Iran. And Iran feels like they can wait out the U.S." Most analysts give Iran the longer runway. The question is what happens before someone blinks. Alex Christoforou

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN IS TURNING THE WAR ON AMERICA Kim Iversen says Iran has shifted from defending itself to pushing U.S. forces out of the Middle East. She says Tehran is targeting U.S. bases across the region and pressuring neighboring countries to force American troops to leave. Kim Iversen 🇺🇸

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 IRAN IS TURNING THE WAR ON AMERICA Kim Iversen says Iran has shifted from defending itself to pushing U.S. forces out of the Middle East. She says Tehran is targeting U.S. bases across the region and pressuring neighboring countries to force American troops to leave. Kim Iversen 🇺🇸

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One bold prediction is already in motion. Ex. U.S. Navy Malcolm Nance says when American carriers leave, Iran will demand U.S. warships never enter the Gulf again, and we'll be forced into a confrontation to prove we still can. "You can trust Iran when they talk about these things that benefit them." The map is changing. The question is who blinks first. Malcolm Nance

🇺🇸🇮🇷 One bold prediction is already in motion. Ex. U.S. Navy Malcolm Nance says when American carriers leave, Iran will demand U.S. warships never enter the Gulf again, and we'll be forced into a confrontation to prove we still can. "You can trust Iran when they talk about these things that benefit them." The map is changing. The question is who blinks first. Malcolm Nance

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