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This week's 185 training is here🏃 30 seconds per challenge. The final two won't be easy... Think you can handle? 奶狗獵人Eason 每關 30 秒 ⏱️ 最後兩項不容易，敢來挑戰嗎？😜 ▶️

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185 Joseph

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311,051 просмотров • 11 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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THIS ANSWER. “saying you won’t be the favorites in vegas. i saw you do this at least another two times: ‘we are not the favorites.’ do you think a change of mindset is needed?” lando: “no, i can say what i want, i can think what i want, i tell you what i always am, i always try and be as honest as i can be. if i don't think we're going to be quick, i don't think we're going to be quick. and i'm not saying i'm going to be 10th, i'm just saying i think it's going to be difficult to win. we were a long way off, just go and look at the data from last year, look at the racetrace, we were miles off. and there's been plenty of races where we've not been quick enough this year, so it's not like we've won every single race and you're expecting me to say those things. i'm just giving my opinion on ‘do i think it's going to be as easy?’ i won last weekend by 30 seconds, very, very easy. i won today by pushing a lot more, only 10 seconds, and max was probably the quickest out on track today. do i think that at a track that we've never been good at, we were very good here two years ago, we almost challenged max for the win, we've never been good in vegas. so why am i going to think, ‘yeah, it's going to be fine, whatever?’ i'm giving my opinion, i'm giving my honest opinion on how i think we're going to be. we've never been good there, so i'm not the most confident about going into this race. maybe i'll win, then we'll see. but i'm not going to lie and say ‘yeah, i'm very confident and i think it's going to be an easy weekend’ because i don't think that's how it's going to be. so no, i mean, you're very right to have your own opinion on what you think i should say and what i should not say and whatever, but i'll do what i like.”
2:20

THIS ANSWER. “saying you won’t be the favorites in vegas. i saw you do this at least another two times: ‘we are not the favorites.’ do you think a change of mindset is needed?” lando: “no, i can say what i want, i can think what i want, i tell you what i always am, i always try and be as honest as i can be. if i don't think we're going to be quick, i don't think we're going to be quick. and i'm not saying i'm going to be 10th, i'm just saying i think it's going to be difficult to win. we were a long way off, just go and look at the data from last year, look at the racetrace, we were miles off. and there's been plenty of races where we've not been quick enough this year, so it's not like we've won every single race and you're expecting me to say those things. i'm just giving my opinion on ‘do i think it's going to be as easy?’ i won last weekend by 30 seconds, very, very easy. i won today by pushing a lot more, only 10 seconds, and max was probably the quickest out on track today. do i think that at a track that we've never been good at, we were very good here two years ago, we almost challenged max for the win, we've never been good in vegas. so why am i going to think, ‘yeah, it's going to be fine, whatever?’ i'm giving my opinion, i'm giving my honest opinion on how i think we're going to be. we've never been good there, so i'm not the most confident about going into this race. maybe i'll win, then we'll see. but i'm not going to lie and say ‘yeah, i'm very confident and i think it's going to be an easy weekend’ because i don't think that's how it's going to be. so no, i mean, you're very right to have your own opinion on what you think i should say and what i should not say and whatever, but i'll do what i like.”

ray

755,811 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

泰泰的軍隊生活🪖 本集開始需要準備衛生紙了嗎🥺😭 泰泰啊…受傷了就不要那麼拼了！ 那個最精銳訓練兵算什麼！！ ［ep10］BTS 泰亨哥為了目標絕不放棄的模樣 （雖然腳底出了問題） 在新兵訓練所裡，有一項叫做體能測驗。 大概每兩週會進行一次體能測驗。測驗總共會進行三次，而第 3 次的成績會正式登錄到系統裡。 以我自己來說，第 1 次測驗拿到了 2 級。 伏地挺身和仰臥起坐因為我本來就有在運動，所以做起來相對容易，但問題出在跑步。 測驗項目是 3 公里跑步，所以第 1 次我拿到 2 級，第 2 次則進步到 1 級。 如果想拿到特級成績，必須在 12 分 30 秒內完成。 而「最精銳訓練兵」的標準只需要達到 1 級以上，因此只要能在 13 分 20 秒內跑完就可以了。 很多人都去挑戰，但大多數人都是在跑步這關被淘汰。 而泰亨哥在第 1 次、第 2 次測驗時也一直都是 2 級。 因為必須拿到 1 級，但體能似乎沒有完全跟上。 當時泰亨哥跟我說： 「我跳了 10 年的舞，本來以為自己的體能一定很好，結果發現好像沒有想像中那麼好，這讓我有點受到衝擊。」 那時候泰亨哥的腳底剛好有狀況。 他的腳底很痛，甚至有一次跑步跑到一半，因為疼痛而沒辦法繼續。 但在最後一次測驗時，即使腳底還在痛，他最後還是成功跑進了 1 級標準。 因為他當時曾經說過，每跑一步，腳底都會感受到疼痛。 所以看到他在腳底受傷、疼痛的狀態下，依然堅持跑完全程的樣子，真的讓我印象非常深刻。
1:27

泰泰的軍隊生活🪖 本集開始需要準備衛生紙了嗎🥺😭 泰泰啊…受傷了就不要那麼拼了！ 那個最精銳訓練兵算什麼！！ ［ep10］BTS 泰亨哥為了目標絕不放棄的模樣 （雖然腳底出了問題） 在新兵訓練所裡，有一項叫做體能測驗。 大概每兩週會進行一次體能測驗。測驗總共會進行三次，而第 3 次的成績會正式登錄到系統裡。 以我自己來說，第 1 次測驗拿到了 2 級。 伏地挺身和仰臥起坐因為我本來就有在運動，所以做起來相對容易，但問題出在跑步。 測驗項目是 3 公里跑步，所以第 1 次我拿到 2 級，第 2 次則進步到 1 級。 如果想拿到特級成績，必須在 12 分 30 秒內完成。 而「最精銳訓練兵」的標準只需要達到 1 級以上，因此只要能在 13 分 20 秒內跑完就可以了。 很多人都去挑戰，但大多數人都是在跑步這關被淘汰。 而泰亨哥在第 1 次、第 2 次測驗時也一直都是 2 級。 因為必須拿到 1 級，但體能似乎沒有完全跟上。 當時泰亨哥跟我說： 「我跳了 10 年的舞，本來以為自己的體能一定很好，結果發現好像沒有想像中那麼好，這讓我有點受到衝擊。」 那時候泰亨哥的腳底剛好有狀況。 他的腳底很痛，甚至有一次跑步跑到一半，因為疼痛而沒辦法繼續。 但在最後一次測驗時，即使腳底還在痛，他最後還是成功跑進了 1 級標準。 因為他當時曾經說過，每跑一步，腳底都會感受到疼痛。 所以看到他在腳底受傷、疼痛的狀態下，依然堅持跑完全程的樣子，真的讓我印象非常深刻。

V Taiwan Team 🇹🇼

52,792 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!
15:37

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

Mario Nawfal

241,051 просмотров • 1 год назад

The Truth About Electric Cars. Each Individual Charging Station Is Using The Equivalent Power Of 280 Homes Every Hour 🚨 If All Chargers At One Station Are Being Used, The Power Being Used Is Equivalent Is 1,080 Homes Every Hour “I think I'm just doing a quick little video here just to give people an idea of how much energy it takes to charge an electric vehicle. I'm at Electrify America. This is a 350 kilowatt station. I'm consuming roughly 137 kilowatts. It'll fluctuate. Sometimes I can go up to the full 350. But to put this into perspective, an average home consumes 1.25 kilowatts per hour. 135 kilowatts per hour. It's like the equivalent of 106 homes on the grid, just this one station. Now, if I was gonna get the full 350 kilowatts like these can supply, that would be the equivalent of 280 homes. Now think about all six chargers running at full capacity. That's like 1,080 homes on the grid. Just a little food for thought. It's things people don't realize the amount of energy it takes to fast charge these batteries. It's a huge amount of electricity. And now you understand why the electric companies can't even supply that much power to one spot. It's like think of 1600 homes and how much copper and wire that would take to supply that many houses. So yeah, it's pretty cool. Somebody else just pulled in and yeah, there goes another 280 homes on the grid as soon as he plucks in. So just a little food for thought. I do love my electric vehicle. They're awesome. They're quiet, but it's just something that people don't really think about. Show you my dash. They're great cars. I really like them. So you forget about range and all that. I'm just talking about what it takes to fast charge one. It's it's a ridiculous amount of money. Okay. Now I'm at like a hundred. So that's like a hundred homes right there. Hundred and twenty kilowatts because one point two one kilowatts per hour is what a is what a house uses. So yeah. They got to figure something out because to have every car in America on the grid, it's going to be... I don't even know what those numbers would be. Well, just food for thought. And I thought I'd talk about it while I'm sitting here charging, waiting. It's another thing. Got to wait here for 30 minutes. And then sometimes Electrify America. Half of these chargers are broken. Or I think they're throttling them down because of the grid can't even handle it. So I think that's what's happening. I don't know. But like, for instance, this one here wasn't working. So oh yeah, look unavailable. You know, there you go. That's usually the case. So either you're waiting in line for somebody or half of these chargers don't even work. And I don't I'm not complaining. Maybe I sound like it. But it's it's an issue and hopefully they figure this out. And where's the electricity coming from at night? It's not solar. And I don't know. You guys can comment and blow steam, whatever you want. I just wanted to show you what it's like and give you a little concept of the amount of energy used. All right, talk to you later.”
3:53

The Truth About Electric Cars. Each Individual Charging Station Is Using The Equivalent Power Of 280 Homes Every Hour 🚨 If All Chargers At One Station Are Being Used, The Power Being Used Is Equivalent Is 1,080 Homes Every Hour “I think I'm just doing a quick little video here just to give people an idea of how much energy it takes to charge an electric vehicle. I'm at Electrify America. This is a 350 kilowatt station. I'm consuming roughly 137 kilowatts. It'll fluctuate. Sometimes I can go up to the full 350. But to put this into perspective, an average home consumes 1.25 kilowatts per hour. 135 kilowatts per hour. It's like the equivalent of 106 homes on the grid, just this one station. Now, if I was gonna get the full 350 kilowatts like these can supply, that would be the equivalent of 280 homes. Now think about all six chargers running at full capacity. That's like 1,080 homes on the grid. Just a little food for thought. It's things people don't realize the amount of energy it takes to fast charge these batteries. It's a huge amount of electricity. And now you understand why the electric companies can't even supply that much power to one spot. It's like think of 1600 homes and how much copper and wire that would take to supply that many houses. So yeah, it's pretty cool. Somebody else just pulled in and yeah, there goes another 280 homes on the grid as soon as he plucks in. So just a little food for thought. I do love my electric vehicle. They're awesome. They're quiet, but it's just something that people don't really think about. Show you my dash. They're great cars. I really like them. So you forget about range and all that. I'm just talking about what it takes to fast charge one. It's it's a ridiculous amount of money. Okay. Now I'm at like a hundred. So that's like a hundred homes right there. Hundred and twenty kilowatts because one point two one kilowatts per hour is what a is what a house uses. So yeah. They got to figure something out because to have every car in America on the grid, it's going to be... I don't even know what those numbers would be. Well, just food for thought. And I thought I'd talk about it while I'm sitting here charging, waiting. It's another thing. Got to wait here for 30 minutes. And then sometimes Electrify America. Half of these chargers are broken. Or I think they're throttling them down because of the grid can't even handle it. So I think that's what's happening. I don't know. But like, for instance, this one here wasn't working. So oh yeah, look unavailable. You know, there you go. That's usually the case. So either you're waiting in line for somebody or half of these chargers don't even work. And I don't I'm not complaining. Maybe I sound like it. But it's it's an issue and hopefully they figure this out. And where's the electricity coming from at night? It's not solar. And I don't know. You guys can comment and blow steam, whatever you want. I just wanted to show you what it's like and give you a little concept of the amount of energy used. All right, talk to you later.”

Wall Street Apes

1,241,000 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Before high carbohydrate fueling, I finished every race totally wrecked. Even in my best races, I’d cross the finish line desperate to stop. As an athlete, I had no idea how anyone could go farther than 50k. With high carb, I had a new realization: what I thought was an endurance limitation was just a fueling limitation. 100 milers feel easier than some trail 30ks I used to do. But knowing the science of high carb and actually slurping down tons of gels in a race setting are two different things. Episode 10 is all about a practice race at the Cheyenne Mountain 50k where the main goal was to get over 125 grams of carbs per hour (500+ calories) in an urgent, high-performance setting (I got to 135 grams per hour, which was a prelude to 150 grams per hour at my 50 miler 2 weeks later). It’s a super fun video by amazing director Cody Bare and presented by The Feed 🧡 Watch here and subscribe: What does high carb look like for everyone? It doesn’t have to be complicated! When you are pushing harder, start with a 40 gram of carb gel every 30 min plus electrolyte drink for hydration, dialed into your sweat needs. I think that anyone can learn to take a 40 gram gel every 30 min, and that alone will do more for endurance performance than almost every training intervention (except easy running and strides, of course 😂). You deserve high carb. In hard events, it improves adaptation AND health outcomes. Don’t listen to anyone preaching to you about health risks or fat adaptation like it’s 2010. The science has moved past that. Fuel the work you are doing. I just wish I could go back to 2010 and show my younger self this video of the end of a 50k. Oh how different the next 13 years could have been! That’s why I come to you with this message now: Give yourself the gift of higher carb, and higher carb will give you the gift of exploring new horizons. Carbs are for everyone 🧡💚💜
0:51

Before high carbohydrate fueling, I finished every race totally wrecked. Even in my best races, I’d cross the finish line desperate to stop. As an athlete, I had no idea how anyone could go farther than 50k. With high carb, I had a new realization: what I thought was an endurance limitation was just a fueling limitation. 100 milers feel easier than some trail 30ks I used to do. But knowing the science of high carb and actually slurping down tons of gels in a race setting are two different things. Episode 10 is all about a practice race at the Cheyenne Mountain 50k where the main goal was to get over 125 grams of carbs per hour (500+ calories) in an urgent, high-performance setting (I got to 135 grams per hour, which was a prelude to 150 grams per hour at my 50 miler 2 weeks later). It’s a super fun video by amazing director Cody Bare and presented by The Feed 🧡 Watch here and subscribe: What does high carb look like for everyone? It doesn’t have to be complicated! When you are pushing harder, start with a 40 gram of carb gel every 30 min plus electrolyte drink for hydration, dialed into your sweat needs. I think that anyone can learn to take a 40 gram gel every 30 min, and that alone will do more for endurance performance than almost every training intervention (except easy running and strides, of course 😂). You deserve high carb. In hard events, it improves adaptation AND health outcomes. Don’t listen to anyone preaching to you about health risks or fat adaptation like it’s 2010. The science has moved past that. Fuel the work you are doing. I just wish I could go back to 2010 and show my younger self this video of the end of a 50k. Oh how different the next 13 years could have been! That’s why I come to you with this message now: Give yourself the gift of higher carb, and higher carb will give you the gift of exploring new horizons. Carbs are for everyone 🧡💚💜

David Roche

42,201 просмотров • 1 год назад

This isn't alien technology, literally or metaphorically. The breakthrough here isn't in engineering at all — it's in corporate organization. See, most machines are broken because the organizations that make them are broken. As an engineer, I would estimate that at least 30% of the parts of any given device exist only to correct for the design flaws in the other 70%. Works like this. Suppose I, an engineer, design a set of pipes and injectors to feed fuel to a combustion chamber at a consistent and controllable rate. Except in testing, there's some corner cases it doesn't handle well. Now, if you're an engineer, you understand this is normal. Nobody ever gets a design right the first time, unless it's so trivial that it's probably been done before. Your first design doesn't survive the wind tunnel, your first code doesn't compile right away, and if does, it segfaults. Your rockets blow up. And there's a flow problem with your fuel feed lines. It happens. Doesn't mean you're stupid. Means you didn't have enough information. But you have an even bigger problem. Middle management. Middle management is a special variety of hazmat suit, which is worn by the finance, sales, or market guys who run companies, so they don't have to touch the icky engineers. C-suite guys hate hate hate engineers, because it's a terrifying sensation to be dependent on someone you cannot understand, who doesn't appear to respect you much. (It does not occur to them that it is also extremely frustrating to have your work paid for, and thus controlled, by someone who cannot understand what you do, who doesn't appear to respect you much.) The primary role of middle management is talk to engineers so C-suite guys won't have to, and the primary qualification is to be a member of the right social class, and to hate engineers. This qualification is dressed up in secret handshake buzzwords like "management experience", as used in the sentence "I know you have been an engineer for twenty years and the other engineers all come to you for advice and leadership, but you don't have management experience, so I am going to hire my golfing buddy's 23 year old kid, who just graduated business school." So the fact that the fuel lines lines are not working quite right isn't your problem. That's part of the normal engineering process. Your problem is that your manager hates you and everything you stand for, and doesn't trust you or take your word for anything. He think his job is to keep you in line rather than help or empower you. So when you say "the fuel feed lines need to be redesigned", he says "we already spent six months and seventeen million dollars design the fuel feed system, we can't let you do it again." He thinks you are telling him seventeen million dollars worth of work needs to be thrown away and redone, and he cannot be told otherwise, because he cannot be told anything. So he says "you have two weeks and fifty thousand dollars to fix it". So you add another turbopump. What else can you do in two weeks? Now there's a new part. And if something goes wrong with that, another new part will be added to fix it. Because the company's actual priority isn't what you are responsible for — the design. It's what middle management is responsible for — the schedule and the budget. You have to play the villain so they can play the hero. What middle management doesn't understand, is paid to not understand, is what engineering actually is. Engineering is the process of making mistakes until you run out of mistakes to make. So when you spend six months and seventeen million dollars, and ended up with a design that doesn't quite work right in all cases, you weren't throwing away money, you were burning through mistakes. You've gotten a lot of them out of the way and won't make them again. But you have to get rid of some more before the design is actually right and doesn't require extra parts. The work of engineering isn't making the thing. It's teaching yourself to make the thing. Once you've done that, you can make the thing with minimal effort and time, because you know how to make the thing. C-suite financiers would hate this idea if they understood it. Why? Because it's unpredictable. Financiers like safe investments that make money. Not knowing how long something will take or how much it will cost is terrifying to them. So they train engineers to lie to them, by hiring a middle managers who try to force them to lie, and just interpret every guess as a promise if engineers still refuse to do so. But lying to yourself doesn't make the truth go away. The truth is that engineering projects take as long as they take, and cost as much as they cost. And that no one knows how long or how much they will be, because no one knows how many mistakes are waiting to be made, until they actually make them. The only thing you thing you can do about this is hire really good engineers, who catch more of their mistakes on the white board, leaving fewer to be caught in the wind tunnel, and this makes engineering faster... but it doesn't make engineering more predictable. Gantt charts are nothing but a collection of lies that corporations have taught themselves to tell themselves, lies that middle managers try to make true by enforcing them as promises. The ultimate reason that machines are 30% unnecessary parts is that the corporations that build them are 30% unnecessary people. This is what's different about Elon Musk. It's not that he's a better engineer. It's that he's a better manager. He understands engineers and engineering, and he doesn't hate them because he is one. He understood all along that green-field design is full of unknown-unknowns, and that there is absolutely no number-crunching, pie-chart, MBA magic that can eliminate this risk... it can only be hidden from view. The critical understanding is in the video clip below, where he says that SpaceX only had a 10% chance of success. You cannot say something like that unless you get it. And when you get it, you are free. Free from artificial anxiety about schedules and budgets. Anxiety about schedules and budgets is based on the delusion of control. Managers can't make a project finish "on time". They never could. The only power they have is the power to screw it up. The fate of a project is already written in the unknown unknowns before it ever starts. And the best, the absolute best, an engineering team can ever do, under any circumstances, is to confront those unknowns with clear-eyed honesty, and a willingness to adapt. Well, when you say to yourself, "This project has a 10% chance of succeeding", you've already confronted the pain of those admissions, which means you have already conquered the fear. The fear that makes you try to treat a prediction as a promise. The fear that makes you insert an extra turbopump, when what you really need to do is get busy redesigning the pipes, even though you have no idea how long it will take or much it will cost. Even when your rockets blow up. The SpaceX Raptor engine isn't just, or even primarily, a triumph of engineering smarts. It's a triumph of character. It's about an entire team with virtues MBAs lack: self-awareness, persistence, courage, humility, and, ultimately, hope. Because that's what it takes to pursue the best design, the RIGHT design, not even knowing if it exists to be found, much less whether you'll find it before you run out of money. Great things are not accomplished by middle managers with spreadsheets and Gantt charts. They are accomplished by teams of experts with passion and vision. Who are willing to risk failure so they can succeed. So what's the point in me saying all this? Am I just writing a puff piece on SpaceX and the Raptor engine? No. The point is that this is not special, one-off, magic alien technology. It's the systematic result of a correct understanding of engineering. Which means that EVERY COMPANY CAN BE LIKE THIS. If the people who control the purse strings are willing to learn from this example, and stop managing with spreadsheets and fear.
0:40

This isn't alien technology, literally or metaphorically. The breakthrough here isn't in engineering at all — it's in corporate organization. See, most machines are broken because the organizations that make them are broken. As an engineer, I would estimate that at least 30% of the parts of any given device exist only to correct for the design flaws in the other 70%. Works like this. Suppose I, an engineer, design a set of pipes and injectors to feed fuel to a combustion chamber at a consistent and controllable rate. Except in testing, there's some corner cases it doesn't handle well. Now, if you're an engineer, you understand this is normal. Nobody ever gets a design right the first time, unless it's so trivial that it's probably been done before. Your first design doesn't survive the wind tunnel, your first code doesn't compile right away, and if does, it segfaults. Your rockets blow up. And there's a flow problem with your fuel feed lines. It happens. Doesn't mean you're stupid. Means you didn't have enough information. But you have an even bigger problem. Middle management. Middle management is a special variety of hazmat suit, which is worn by the finance, sales, or market guys who run companies, so they don't have to touch the icky engineers. C-suite guys hate hate hate engineers, because it's a terrifying sensation to be dependent on someone you cannot understand, who doesn't appear to respect you much. (It does not occur to them that it is also extremely frustrating to have your work paid for, and thus controlled, by someone who cannot understand what you do, who doesn't appear to respect you much.) The primary role of middle management is talk to engineers so C-suite guys won't have to, and the primary qualification is to be a member of the right social class, and to hate engineers. This qualification is dressed up in secret handshake buzzwords like "management experience", as used in the sentence "I know you have been an engineer for twenty years and the other engineers all come to you for advice and leadership, but you don't have management experience, so I am going to hire my golfing buddy's 23 year old kid, who just graduated business school." So the fact that the fuel lines lines are not working quite right isn't your problem. That's part of the normal engineering process. Your problem is that your manager hates you and everything you stand for, and doesn't trust you or take your word for anything. He think his job is to keep you in line rather than help or empower you. So when you say "the fuel feed lines need to be redesigned", he says "we already spent six months and seventeen million dollars design the fuel feed system, we can't let you do it again." He thinks you are telling him seventeen million dollars worth of work needs to be thrown away and redone, and he cannot be told otherwise, because he cannot be told anything. So he says "you have two weeks and fifty thousand dollars to fix it". So you add another turbopump. What else can you do in two weeks? Now there's a new part. And if something goes wrong with that, another new part will be added to fix it. Because the company's actual priority isn't what you are responsible for — the design. It's what middle management is responsible for — the schedule and the budget. You have to play the villain so they can play the hero. What middle management doesn't understand, is paid to not understand, is what engineering actually is. Engineering is the process of making mistakes until you run out of mistakes to make. So when you spend six months and seventeen million dollars, and ended up with a design that doesn't quite work right in all cases, you weren't throwing away money, you were burning through mistakes. You've gotten a lot of them out of the way and won't make them again. But you have to get rid of some more before the design is actually right and doesn't require extra parts. The work of engineering isn't making the thing. It's teaching yourself to make the thing. Once you've done that, you can make the thing with minimal effort and time, because you know how to make the thing. C-suite financiers would hate this idea if they understood it. Why? Because it's unpredictable. Financiers like safe investments that make money. Not knowing how long something will take or how much it will cost is terrifying to them. So they train engineers to lie to them, by hiring a middle managers who try to force them to lie, and just interpret every guess as a promise if engineers still refuse to do so. But lying to yourself doesn't make the truth go away. The truth is that engineering projects take as long as they take, and cost as much as they cost. And that no one knows how long or how much they will be, because no one knows how many mistakes are waiting to be made, until they actually make them. The only thing you thing you can do about this is hire really good engineers, who catch more of their mistakes on the white board, leaving fewer to be caught in the wind tunnel, and this makes engineering faster... but it doesn't make engineering more predictable. Gantt charts are nothing but a collection of lies that corporations have taught themselves to tell themselves, lies that middle managers try to make true by enforcing them as promises. The ultimate reason that machines are 30% unnecessary parts is that the corporations that build them are 30% unnecessary people. This is what's different about Elon Musk. It's not that he's a better engineer. It's that he's a better manager. He understands engineers and engineering, and he doesn't hate them because he is one. He understood all along that green-field design is full of unknown-unknowns, and that there is absolutely no number-crunching, pie-chart, MBA magic that can eliminate this risk... it can only be hidden from view. The critical understanding is in the video clip below, where he says that SpaceX only had a 10% chance of success. You cannot say something like that unless you get it. And when you get it, you are free. Free from artificial anxiety about schedules and budgets. Anxiety about schedules and budgets is based on the delusion of control. Managers can't make a project finish "on time". They never could. The only power they have is the power to screw it up. The fate of a project is already written in the unknown unknowns before it ever starts. And the best, the absolute best, an engineering team can ever do, under any circumstances, is to confront those unknowns with clear-eyed honesty, and a willingness to adapt. Well, when you say to yourself, "This project has a 10% chance of succeeding", you've already confronted the pain of those admissions, which means you have already conquered the fear. The fear that makes you try to treat a prediction as a promise. The fear that makes you insert an extra turbopump, when what you really need to do is get busy redesigning the pipes, even though you have no idea how long it will take or much it will cost. Even when your rockets blow up. The SpaceX Raptor engine isn't just, or even primarily, a triumph of engineering smarts. It's a triumph of character. It's about an entire team with virtues MBAs lack: self-awareness, persistence, courage, humility, and, ultimately, hope. Because that's what it takes to pursue the best design, the RIGHT design, not even knowing if it exists to be found, much less whether you'll find it before you run out of money. Great things are not accomplished by middle managers with spreadsheets and Gantt charts. They are accomplished by teams of experts with passion and vision. Who are willing to risk failure so they can succeed. So what's the point in me saying all this? Am I just writing a puff piece on SpaceX and the Raptor engine? No. The point is that this is not special, one-off, magic alien technology. It's the systematic result of a correct understanding of engineering. Which means that EVERY COMPANY CAN BE LIKE THIS. If the people who control the purse strings are willing to learn from this example, and stop managing with spreadsheets and fear.

Devon Eriksen

126,470 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Surprising progress from ~3 months of teaching the 8yo to do "keepy uppy" with a soccer ball. Some lessons learned... First, this skill is embedded in a larger goal that he cares about. He wants to be a better footballer (I hate calling it "soccer", which comes from a contraction of "association" 🤮). This means there is some baseline motivation. This helps you get through the times it sucks to practice. And by the way... It's ok if it sucks (just not too much). What you don't see here is him failing 1,000 times and rage quitting. Probably 1/3 of the sessions involve tears. But you get the biggest gains when you're in your "zone of proximal development" -- the place where it's not too hard, not too easy. It took a lot of cajoling to get him through the early sessions when there wasn't much progress yet. It has to be his choice. When he gets upset, I don't force him. I just ask him if he wants to quit. He never does. I think if I forced him to stick with it, he would be less motivated. By asking him to step outside his momentary frustration and make the decision to quit or not, I think I'm helping him have the space to think about how this connects to his larger goal. But I don't really know. Human motivation is mysterious. Long consistency + intensity, short duration. We do 15 minutes a day, every day. First thing in the morning. I believe duration of training is overrated. In school for example, I think we could get more learning in 30 intense minutes per day than we get in 6 hours a day plus homework now. It takes more effort to do 15 minutes of keepy uppy than it takes to do 2 hours of team practice. And I bet the payoff is higher. Same applies to learning anything. Encouragement is underrated. I watch him while I exercise and drink my coffee. I say "beautiful" even when he messes it up (I got that from Richard Williams, Venus and Serena's dad). I celebrate his PRs. I take videos and I chart his daily progress so he can see the wins. Three months ago he could get 3 at his max, now his average is over 30. Seeing this progress over time has made it easier for him to show up and do the work every day. One focus at a time. We interleave other soccer skills (like shooting and dribbling), but tend to hyper focus on one area at a time so that we see fast progress. We use the same principle in our homeschooling. We are always working on a few things at once, but there is only one priority at a time. Start easy to build momentum. When you start your kids on a skill, you just want to be able to get *any* success at all. Don't be afraid to make it so easy it almost doesn't seem like the same skill. When we started I had him let the ball bounce between each kick. If I didn't do that it would have been so much harder for him to do keep uppy that he might have just quit. You want kids to get momentum in any skill, and you shouldn't be afraid to make the first steps so easy it almost doesn't seem like even the same skill. Focus on fundamentals. You might ask if keepy uppy is even important, since the real game is played mostly on the ground. The reason is found in the slight shuffling of his feet between each hit. In the real game, the quality of your control touch, shooting, and dribbling primarily comes down to these micro foot movements and how they position your body for balance. Keepy uppy trains the nervous system to a level of precision that is otherwise hard to attain. For education, the analogy is probably to something like reading. Reading is fundamental and makes you better at learning everything else, even if what you're reading about is unrelated to what you'll learn later. Students today would probably be better off just reading more vs. doing most of what passes today for "education." Beware of thresholds. The best people at keep uppy are not pro footballers. Every skill has a threshold where getting better at it confers little extra benefit. In education, I think the most obvious example is math. Everyone needs to master some fundmentals, but beyond it's rare to become more successful by getting better at math. Your effort is better spent on some complementary skill where you are weaker. Dress for success. Just kidding. I don't know why he's dressed like a ninja. That's all for now. Would love to hear how you guys think about building skills in the comments. 🙏
0:27

Surprising progress from ~3 months of teaching the 8yo to do "keepy uppy" with a soccer ball. Some lessons learned... First, this skill is embedded in a larger goal that he cares about. He wants to be a better footballer (I hate calling it "soccer", which comes from a contraction of "association" 🤮). This means there is some baseline motivation. This helps you get through the times it sucks to practice. And by the way... It's ok if it sucks (just not too much). What you don't see here is him failing 1,000 times and rage quitting. Probably 1/3 of the sessions involve tears. But you get the biggest gains when you're in your "zone of proximal development" -- the place where it's not too hard, not too easy. It took a lot of cajoling to get him through the early sessions when there wasn't much progress yet. It has to be his choice. When he gets upset, I don't force him. I just ask him if he wants to quit. He never does. I think if I forced him to stick with it, he would be less motivated. By asking him to step outside his momentary frustration and make the decision to quit or not, I think I'm helping him have the space to think about how this connects to his larger goal. But I don't really know. Human motivation is mysterious. Long consistency + intensity, short duration. We do 15 minutes a day, every day. First thing in the morning. I believe duration of training is overrated. In school for example, I think we could get more learning in 30 intense minutes per day than we get in 6 hours a day plus homework now. It takes more effort to do 15 minutes of keepy uppy than it takes to do 2 hours of team practice. And I bet the payoff is higher. Same applies to learning anything. Encouragement is underrated. I watch him while I exercise and drink my coffee. I say "beautiful" even when he messes it up (I got that from Richard Williams, Venus and Serena's dad). I celebrate his PRs. I take videos and I chart his daily progress so he can see the wins. Three months ago he could get 3 at his max, now his average is over 30. Seeing this progress over time has made it easier for him to show up and do the work every day. One focus at a time. We interleave other soccer skills (like shooting and dribbling), but tend to hyper focus on one area at a time so that we see fast progress. We use the same principle in our homeschooling. We are always working on a few things at once, but there is only one priority at a time. Start easy to build momentum. When you start your kids on a skill, you just want to be able to get *any* success at all. Don't be afraid to make it so easy it almost doesn't seem like the same skill. When we started I had him let the ball bounce between each kick. If I didn't do that it would have been so much harder for him to do keep uppy that he might have just quit. You want kids to get momentum in any skill, and you shouldn't be afraid to make the first steps so easy it almost doesn't seem like even the same skill. Focus on fundamentals. You might ask if keepy uppy is even important, since the real game is played mostly on the ground. The reason is found in the slight shuffling of his feet between each hit. In the real game, the quality of your control touch, shooting, and dribbling primarily comes down to these micro foot movements and how they position your body for balance. Keepy uppy trains the nervous system to a level of precision that is otherwise hard to attain. For education, the analogy is probably to something like reading. Reading is fundamental and makes you better at learning everything else, even if what you're reading about is unrelated to what you'll learn later. Students today would probably be better off just reading more vs. doing most of what passes today for "education." Beware of thresholds. The best people at keep uppy are not pro footballers. Every skill has a threshold where getting better at it confers little extra benefit. In education, I think the most obvious example is math. Everyone needs to master some fundmentals, but beyond it's rare to become more successful by getting better at math. Your effort is better spent on some complementary skill where you are weaker. Dress for success. Just kidding. I don't know why he's dressed like a ninja. That's all for now. Would love to hear how you guys think about building skills in the comments. 🙏

Chrisman

80,718 просмотров • 2 лет назад

This girl gets some of her flirting advice right, but some is very OFF BASE. This is why you have to take dating advice for men that comes from women with a giant grain of salt 🧂 Some of women’s advice may be useful… but some of it will always be MISLEADING. If you are not already savvy enough to tell the difference, you’ll mix in the bad with the good and not know where you’re tripping up. Break down of what is useful vs. what is MISLEADING: ✅ USEFUL: do not open her with “You’re really pretty/beautiful, I wanted to meet you.” She doesn’t know what to say to that; she has also heard it before so many times you sound like a broken record. You can say pretty much ANYTHING other than this (e.g.: “Hey, how’s it going?” This is 10x better than a generic looks-based compliment). ✅ USEFUL: open her with something relevant to the situation. Situationally relevant openers can work great. For instance: “Think we’ll be in line forever?” if you’re waiting in line, or “The art here sure is interesting huh,” if there’s a weird piece of art. 🆇 MISLEADING: you should not expect a girl to take over on your opener, like this girl did with the “cute/sweet” coffee recommendation opener. Most girls are not outgoing enough that they are going to decide to “have a chat” with you immediately on the open. You are the man; you need to EXPECT to drive at least the first 2 minutes of conversation YOURSELF! ✅ USEFUL: “keep the conversation short, sweet, casual, fun”: all that, yes. The initial conversation needs to be light, playful, and engaging. Tease her within the first 30 seconds (that’s how she knows it’s a FLIRTATION and not a platonic chat). Make an observation about her or two (keep it positive and light). Tap her on the forearm on a joke or a high point. SMILE! You want your presence to be a warm, welcome, & flirtatious one. 🆇 MISLEADING: “worst thing you could possibly do is annoy her with your presence”; I mean, YES, BUT you do not need to be thinking about “I’d better not annoy her” when you are talking to girls. If you do, you will play it too safe, act very boring, get into your head, and become uninteresting and un-fun. Instead, just focus on bringing fun and good energy (not ‘avoiding annoyance’). ✅ USEFUL: what she is calling a ‘non-invasive call to action’ (is this chick a marketer? Because this is marketer speak!) we call a ‘soft close’. Yes, soft close her. Easy one-size-fits-all soft close you can use with any girl (say this on a high point): “We should grab a bite or a drink sometime.” As soon as she says “yes”, you have your green light 🟢 to grab her # 🆇 MISLEADING: “give her your number”… this is the WORST piece of advice in the video; even worse than the “don’t annoy her” bit (which will get you in your head doing things wrong). This girl has a wide face, deep voice, and high confidence, so she’s probably higher testosterone and extroverted. Girls like this are go-getters who will chase down guys on their own and make things happen sometimes (hence the “deciding to have a chat” with a guy when she liked his opener). Most women are NOT extroverted high testosterone women who will take charge and make things happen themselves. Most women are PASSIVE. The average girl who is into you will not text you first if you give her your number. She will just look at it, debate whether to text you, think about what she should text, feel self-conscious about it, feel like she shouldn’t be the first one to text, then you will simply never hear from her. You need to get HER number, so YOU can text, not give her YOURS. 🆇 MISLEADING: “sweet and endearing”, sorry to say it and pop anyone’s bubble, but women do not usually hook up with the “sweet and endearing” guys. They think the stuff these guys do is “cute”, like how little children and pets are “cute”, but they do not find them SEXY. You need to be in the lead, taking CHARGE, leading her through an interaction she enjoys, and setting the pace. Do not be “sweet and endearing.” Anyway, this girl seems really cool and it’s neat that she wants to help guys out. Well-meaning women advising you on dating though are some of the most dangerous because they believe what they are saying and just do not KNOW when the advice they’re giving is counterproductive for a man to actually use vs. productive! (That said, positive encouragement for men to approach & flirt is ALWAYS good! So hat tip to her!)
1:15

This girl gets some of her flirting advice right, but some is very OFF BASE. This is why you have to take dating advice for men that comes from women with a giant grain of salt 🧂 Some of women’s advice may be useful… but some of it will always be MISLEADING. If you are not already savvy enough to tell the difference, you’ll mix in the bad with the good and not know where you’re tripping up. Break down of what is useful vs. what is MISLEADING: ✅ USEFUL: do not open her with “You’re really pretty/beautiful, I wanted to meet you.” She doesn’t know what to say to that; she has also heard it before so many times you sound like a broken record. You can say pretty much ANYTHING other than this (e.g.: “Hey, how’s it going?” This is 10x better than a generic looks-based compliment). ✅ USEFUL: open her with something relevant to the situation. Situationally relevant openers can work great. For instance: “Think we’ll be in line forever?” if you’re waiting in line, or “The art here sure is interesting huh,” if there’s a weird piece of art. 🆇 MISLEADING: you should not expect a girl to take over on your opener, like this girl did with the “cute/sweet” coffee recommendation opener. Most girls are not outgoing enough that they are going to decide to “have a chat” with you immediately on the open. You are the man; you need to EXPECT to drive at least the first 2 minutes of conversation YOURSELF! ✅ USEFUL: “keep the conversation short, sweet, casual, fun”: all that, yes. The initial conversation needs to be light, playful, and engaging. Tease her within the first 30 seconds (that’s how she knows it’s a FLIRTATION and not a platonic chat). Make an observation about her or two (keep it positive and light). Tap her on the forearm on a joke or a high point. SMILE! You want your presence to be a warm, welcome, & flirtatious one. 🆇 MISLEADING: “worst thing you could possibly do is annoy her with your presence”; I mean, YES, BUT you do not need to be thinking about “I’d better not annoy her” when you are talking to girls. If you do, you will play it too safe, act very boring, get into your head, and become uninteresting and un-fun. Instead, just focus on bringing fun and good energy (not ‘avoiding annoyance’). ✅ USEFUL: what she is calling a ‘non-invasive call to action’ (is this chick a marketer? Because this is marketer speak!) we call a ‘soft close’. Yes, soft close her. Easy one-size-fits-all soft close you can use with any girl (say this on a high point): “We should grab a bite or a drink sometime.” As soon as she says “yes”, you have your green light 🟢 to grab her # 🆇 MISLEADING: “give her your number”… this is the WORST piece of advice in the video; even worse than the “don’t annoy her” bit (which will get you in your head doing things wrong). This girl has a wide face, deep voice, and high confidence, so she’s probably higher testosterone and extroverted. Girls like this are go-getters who will chase down guys on their own and make things happen sometimes (hence the “deciding to have a chat” with a guy when she liked his opener). Most women are NOT extroverted high testosterone women who will take charge and make things happen themselves. Most women are PASSIVE. The average girl who is into you will not text you first if you give her your number. She will just look at it, debate whether to text you, think about what she should text, feel self-conscious about it, feel like she shouldn’t be the first one to text, then you will simply never hear from her. You need to get HER number, so YOU can text, not give her YOURS. 🆇 MISLEADING: “sweet and endearing”, sorry to say it and pop anyone’s bubble, but women do not usually hook up with the “sweet and endearing” guys. They think the stuff these guys do is “cute”, like how little children and pets are “cute”, but they do not find them SEXY. You need to be in the lead, taking CHARGE, leading her through an interaction she enjoys, and setting the pace. Do not be “sweet and endearing.” Anyway, this girl seems really cool and it’s neat that she wants to help guys out. Well-meaning women advising you on dating though are some of the most dangerous because they believe what they are saying and just do not KNOW when the advice they’re giving is counterproductive for a man to actually use vs. productive! (That said, positive encouragement for men to approach & flirt is ALWAYS good! So hat tip to her!)

Girls Chase 🏃‍♀️💨

340,369 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Recently I got some hands-on time with Crimson Desert and below are my first impressions as well as some of the gameplay I was able to capture. Crimson Desert is a good game, but it won’t be for everyone. I know the devs claim this isn’t an RPG, but I don’t know any other way to describe this game other than a HARDCORE action RPG. If you need the yellow paint to know where to climb this game isn’t for you. But if you love getting lost in a whimsical world with a boat load of content this game is going to be right up your alley. I think what impressed me most is the attention to detail. There’s so many little things the dev team took into consideration that I think people who enjoy being immersed into a world are going to appreciate. Even if you aren’t that person; on a basic level I think most will enjoy the game's combat. It’s fast, fluid and provides a ton of player expression with its deep skill tree. The world of Pywel is vibrant, large in scale and full of life. It’s easy to get lost off the main quest line as there’s always something to do and someone to speak to. An example being I was wandering through the open world and encountered a distressed woman seeking help. I agreed to follow her only to find out moments later she was with a gang and they were trying to back door me. That had me cracking up. I think if the open world is consistently full of fun, unique side content like that & the main quest line is fire this game has a lot of potential to impress. It’s just a shame that I didn’t get to spend more time with the main quests as I kept getting side tracked with cool stuff to do in the open world. So I can’t give you much insight into that. What I can say is after the opening section there’s NEXT TO NO tutorials in this game, the puzzles are hard & the default controls are a bit clunky. You will be getting lost and I can see that frustrating some people who aren’t interested in a challenge. That’s why I mentioned earlier that this is a hardcore RPG. It does not do a lot of hand holding. Because of that I predict you and your friends will be sharing tips and tricks similar to when Elden Ring first launched and nobody knew what they were doing. If you are a patient person and take the time to learn the game's systems I promise you will be able to put together some awesome combos that will make you feel like the main character. My biggest fear for this game is that I won't finish it. Not because it’s a bad game, but I can just tell from my brief time with it that it’s next level massive. As someone who's been gaming for 30+ years it’s very rare you’ll hear me say a game was overwhelming, but this game is. For people who lack a ton of free time I can see that being a turn off because once again the game doesn’t give much direction or tutorials outside the opening area. Not to mention this game could be big just for the sake of being big. I was curious to know how much of the content was engaging versus just open world bloat? Hard to tell because I only got a few hours with the game. I also fear that the Ai isn’t the best in this game. The Ai issues I encountered zapped all immersion away for those moments. I’m not sure if the final build will differ from the vertical slice we played, but what I can tell you is that on the build we played I wasn’t impressed by the Ai. Several times I attacked enemy camps and they never reacted to me attacking them. They just stood there and took it which made the world feel less alive. There were also times where enemies were looking dead at me just standing still as the battle music played threatening to beat me up, but they never did anything. It was 3 or 4 times I encountered this poor Ai which is a red flag for me because I only got two hours of hands on time with the game. Mind you in those two hours a good portion of it was just me working my way through the prologue and the early quests, so I didn't spend a ton of time in the open world. What I'm trying to get at is the janky ai was very noticeable. It wasn't something that took long to find. I will say when the game works it's great, but when I tell you the Ai was bad at times it was bad. It reminded me of the dumb NPC’s often found in Ubisoft open world games. I’m not looking for this to be a Souls game but I want some level of challenge in the combat. Hopefully that stuff gets patched out. That being said, I’m confident in saying this game is good. I just didn’t have enough time with it to determine if it’s good, or GREAT. Only time will tell when Crimson Desert drops on March 19th, 2026 for the PC, PS5 and Xbox Series. Pros —---------- - Combat makes you feel like demon - Deep Skill tree - Vibrant world - Solid voice acting - Fire OST - The little details (trust system, you can commit crimes ect.) - No Fall damage - Puzzles are creative & challenging - Game doesn’t hold you hand (some people will hate this) - You can swap in and out of 3rd and 1st person at will. Wasn’t able to explore much of how that changes the game, but it’s nice that it's an option. - EASILY over 100hrs of content (some will hate this though) Cons —---------- - Clunky controls (Default controls take some time adjusting too. I hope there’s other control schemes at launch) - Inconsistent Ai (Ubisoft bad at times. sometimes the enemies wouldn’t attack during combat or act like they never saw you) - Long load times (we were playing on PC’s, but idk the specs) - Your horse can faint & when they do traveling the large world wasn’t as fun (and I couldn’t figure out how to get him back - most likely a skill issue) - Early stamina management is OD. Early game it’s easy to drown & get tired running. I’d imagine it gets better late game, but early game it’s frustrating trying to explore. - Camera takes some getting used to in combat. Sometimes its too close and others too far. - Early arrows have no impact. Felt useless. Hoping later upgrades fix that
3:17

Recently I got some hands-on time with Crimson Desert and below are my first impressions as well as some of the gameplay I was able to capture. Crimson Desert is a good game, but it won’t be for everyone. I know the devs claim this isn’t an RPG, but I don’t know any other way to describe this game other than a HARDCORE action RPG. If you need the yellow paint to know where to climb this game isn’t for you. But if you love getting lost in a whimsical world with a boat load of content this game is going to be right up your alley. I think what impressed me most is the attention to detail. There’s so many little things the dev team took into consideration that I think people who enjoy being immersed into a world are going to appreciate. Even if you aren’t that person; on a basic level I think most will enjoy the game's combat. It’s fast, fluid and provides a ton of player expression with its deep skill tree. The world of Pywel is vibrant, large in scale and full of life. It’s easy to get lost off the main quest line as there’s always something to do and someone to speak to. An example being I was wandering through the open world and encountered a distressed woman seeking help. I agreed to follow her only to find out moments later she was with a gang and they were trying to back door me. That had me cracking up. I think if the open world is consistently full of fun, unique side content like that & the main quest line is fire this game has a lot of potential to impress. It’s just a shame that I didn’t get to spend more time with the main quests as I kept getting side tracked with cool stuff to do in the open world. So I can’t give you much insight into that. What I can say is after the opening section there’s NEXT TO NO tutorials in this game, the puzzles are hard & the default controls are a bit clunky. You will be getting lost and I can see that frustrating some people who aren’t interested in a challenge. That’s why I mentioned earlier that this is a hardcore RPG. It does not do a lot of hand holding. Because of that I predict you and your friends will be sharing tips and tricks similar to when Elden Ring first launched and nobody knew what they were doing. If you are a patient person and take the time to learn the game's systems I promise you will be able to put together some awesome combos that will make you feel like the main character. My biggest fear for this game is that I won't finish it. Not because it’s a bad game, but I can just tell from my brief time with it that it’s next level massive. As someone who's been gaming for 30+ years it’s very rare you’ll hear me say a game was overwhelming, but this game is. For people who lack a ton of free time I can see that being a turn off because once again the game doesn’t give much direction or tutorials outside the opening area. Not to mention this game could be big just for the sake of being big. I was curious to know how much of the content was engaging versus just open world bloat? Hard to tell because I only got a few hours with the game. I also fear that the Ai isn’t the best in this game. The Ai issues I encountered zapped all immersion away for those moments. I’m not sure if the final build will differ from the vertical slice we played, but what I can tell you is that on the build we played I wasn’t impressed by the Ai. Several times I attacked enemy camps and they never reacted to me attacking them. They just stood there and took it which made the world feel less alive. There were also times where enemies were looking dead at me just standing still as the battle music played threatening to beat me up, but they never did anything. It was 3 or 4 times I encountered this poor Ai which is a red flag for me because I only got two hours of hands on time with the game. Mind you in those two hours a good portion of it was just me working my way through the prologue and the early quests, so I didn't spend a ton of time in the open world. What I'm trying to get at is the janky ai was very noticeable. It wasn't something that took long to find. I will say when the game works it's great, but when I tell you the Ai was bad at times it was bad. It reminded me of the dumb NPC’s often found in Ubisoft open world games. I’m not looking for this to be a Souls game but I want some level of challenge in the combat. Hopefully that stuff gets patched out. That being said, I’m confident in saying this game is good. I just didn’t have enough time with it to determine if it’s good, or GREAT. Only time will tell when Crimson Desert drops on March 19th, 2026 for the PC, PS5 and Xbox Series. Pros —---------- - Combat makes you feel like demon - Deep Skill tree - Vibrant world - Solid voice acting - Fire OST - The little details (trust system, you can commit crimes ect.) - No Fall damage - Puzzles are creative & challenging - Game doesn’t hold you hand (some people will hate this) - You can swap in and out of 3rd and 1st person at will. Wasn’t able to explore much of how that changes the game, but it’s nice that it's an option. - EASILY over 100hrs of content (some will hate this though) Cons —---------- - Clunky controls (Default controls take some time adjusting too. I hope there’s other control schemes at launch) - Inconsistent Ai (Ubisoft bad at times. sometimes the enemies wouldn’t attack during combat or act like they never saw you) - Long load times (we were playing on PC’s, but idk the specs) - Your horse can faint & when they do traveling the large world wasn’t as fun (and I couldn’t figure out how to get him back - most likely a skill issue) - Early stamina management is OD. Early game it’s easy to drown & get tired running. I’d imagine it gets better late game, but early game it’s frustrating trying to explore. - Camera takes some getting used to in combat. Sometimes its too close and others too far. - Early arrows have no impact. Felt useless. Hoping later upgrades fix that

The Black Hokage

1,174,980 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

这人说的有些道理的。不过这个视频讲的不深， 猫哥给大家掰开揉碎让大家容易理解 在女人眼中，最没有吸引力的三种男人 （其实，本质上只有两种） 第一种：不自信、把自身价值完全寄托在外部条件上的男人 这一类男人，会把一切失败都归因于外在因素。 比如： 总觉得自己钱不够多 觉得自己太矮、不够帅 所以得出结论：正是因为这些，女人才不喜欢我 但事实上，并不是这样。 在女人眼里，这些条件从来就不是最重要的。 现实中，钱不多的、个子不高的、长相普通的男人，一样有人爱。 外在条件，最多只是一张“门票”。 确实—— 你开好车、颜值高，的确能更容易获得一次初步接触、认识的机会。 但也仅此而已。 真正决定女人是否愿意回应你、是否想继续发展下去的， 是你这个人本身。 比如： 是否成熟 人格是否稳定、强大 是否有故事、有经历 而不是天天宅在家里，打飞机，除了游戏没有什么可以和别人分享的，生活单调乏味。 因为女性天生在生理层面就比男性弱小， 她们慕强的，这也是人的天性 她们需要的是一个内核强大的伴侣， 能让她感到踏实、有安全感。 而这种安全感，更多来自心理层面，而不是物质层面。 如果你一味追求外在条件， 恰恰从侧面暴露出你的不自信、对自我价值的不认可。 你拼命显摆，其实是在向女人传递一种信息： 比方你开个豪车，在那显摆，或者其他什么事情在哪里显摆，你给女人的感觉就是 “你看我有多牛，快来认可我吧。” 但真正内心强大的人， 女人是能一眼识别出来的。 哪怕他穿着普通、长相普通， 一样可以吸引优秀的女人愿意靠近、愿意跟随。 很多你们眼中的“中年大叔”， 能找到比自己小十几、二十岁的女生， 原因往往并不是钱， 而是人格成熟、情绪稳定， 能让女人感受到： 被爱、被照顾、被理解。 第二种：好色、匮乏、猥琐的男人 这一类男人，嘴里永远离不开“开车”。 除了性，几乎找不到其他话题。 眼神里充满打量， 整个人散发着一种饥渴、渴望被认可的匮乏感。 这种能量， 女人离你很远就能感受到， 甚至不需要见面。 比如： 微信、LINE 天天嘘寒问暖 女生一发消息就秒回 对方不回，就疯狂轰炸 最后把自己搞到崩溃 女生能清楚感受到的， 不是你的“在乎”， 而是你身上低价值、缺爱的气息。 本质上，这是一种性匮乏， 而性匮乏的背后，是缺爱。 但问题在于： 女人是为了“爱”而生的， 她们渴望被爱、被珍惜。 而你自己都处在缺爱的状态， 又怎么可能吸引到女人？ 所以女人在面对这种男人时， 往往会本能地防御、躲闪。 第三种：长不大的“花美男” （本质上，其实还是第一种） 这一类男人，只在乎自己的颜值。 也许在 25 岁之前， 你真的可以靠脸吃饭。 但你吸引到的， 往往是一些不成熟、内心尚未被疗愈的女孩。 即便你找到所谓的“富婆”年纪比你大很多的，也许一开始她会对你很好， 但时间久了，她依旧会厌烦你恶心你！因为即便她年纪大，她的本质也是女人， 她也是需要强大的伴侣来照顾她的感受，而不是天天去照顾一个长不大的孩子 外表重要吗？ 重要。 毕竟“人靠衣装”。 但问题是： 总会有人比你更帅。 如果一个男人的自尊， 完全建立在容貌之上， 那是极其脆弱的。 比如： 当你遇到一个感兴趣、甚至喜欢的女生， 而她觉得你不帅， 你可能会瞬间崩溃。 因为你的价值根基，太浅了。 猫哥自己也有一个发小， 从小就特别帅， 帅到初中就有校花、班花主动追他。 当时我们羡慕得不行。 但年纪大了以后， 虽然愿意给他机会的女生依然不少， 可往往约会一两次之后， 就不愿继续了。 原因很简单： 情商低，不会说话，没有深度。 只到现在他依然单身 如果你从未打磨过自己的内在、能量和认知， 那些真正高价值的女生， 最多也只是把你当个“好看的花瓶”。 男人最重要的，永远是自我建设和持续成长。 今天就分享到这里。大家有什么看法呢，可以评论区留言 （视频来源于博主傑克揚升） What this person said does make some sense. However, the video itself doesn’t go very deep, so Bro Cat is going to break it down and explain it in a way that’s easier for everyone to understand. The Three Types of Men Who Are the Least Attractive to Women (In essence, there are really only two) Type One: Insecure men who place all their self-worth on external conditions This type of man attributes all his failures to external factors. For example: He always feels he doesn’t have enough money He thinks he’s too short or not handsome enough And he concludes: “That’s why women don’t like me.” But in reality, that’s not true. In women’s eyes, these factors are never the most important ones. In real life, men who are not rich, not tall, and look average still find women who love them. External conditions are, at best, just a “ticket”. Yes — driving a nice car or being good-looking can help you get an initial chance to meet or interact with a woman. But that’s where it ends. What truly determines whether a woman responds to you, or wants to continue developing a relationship, is who you are as a person. For example: Are you mature? Is your personality stable and strong? Do you have life experience and stories to share? Instead of staying at home all day, masturbating, playing games, and having nothing meaningful to talk about — a monotonous and empty life. Because biologically, women are naturally physically weaker than men. They are drawn to strength — this is human nature. What they need is a partner with a strong inner core, someone who makes them feel grounded and secure. And this sense of security comes far more from psychological strength than from material things. If you obsess over external conditions, it actually exposes your insecurity and lack of self-acceptance. When you constantly show off — whether it’s a luxury car or anything else — what you’re really telling women is: “Look how great I am. Please validate me.” But truly strong men don’t need to do that. Women can recognize inner strength at a glance. Even if a man dresses simply and looks ordinary, he can still attract high-quality women who are willing to stay and follow him. Many of the “middle-aged uncles” people talk about who date women ten or even twenty years younger, do so not because of money, but because they are emotionally mature, stable, and make women feel: loved, cared for, and understood. Type Two: Lust-driven, needy, and creepy men These men can’t stop talking about sex. “Dirty jokes” are their only form of conversation. Their eyes are constantly scanning women, and their entire presence radiates hunger and neediness — a desperate desire for validation. Women can sense this energy from far away, sometimes without ever meeting in person. For example: Sending “good morning / good night” messages every day on WeChat or LINE Replying instantly the moment a woman messages Bombarding her with messages when she doesn’t reply Until they emotionally collapse themselves What women feel is not your “care,” but the low-value, loveless energy coming from you. At its core, this is sexual deprivation, and behind that is a deep lack of love. But here’s the problem: Women are born for love. They want to be loved and cherished. If you yourself are starving for love, how can you possibly attract a woman? That’s why women instinctively become defensive and distance themselves from such men. Type Three: The Man-Child “Pretty Boy” (Which is essentially still Type One) This type of man only cares about his looks. Before the age of 25, he may genuinely be able to live off his face. But the women he attracts are usually immature, emotionally unhealed girls. Even if you manage to find a so-called “rich older woman,” she may treat you well at first. But over time, she will still grow tired of you — even disgusted. Because no matter her age, she is still a woman at her core. She also needs a strong partner who can care for her emotionally, not a grown child who needs constant looking after. Do looks matter? Yes. After all, people do judge by appearance. But the reality is: there will always be someone more handsome than you. If a man’s self-esteem is built entirely on his appearance, it is extremely fragile. For example: when you meet a woman you’re interested in, and she doesn’t think you’re handsome, you may completely collapse. Because your foundation is too shallow. Bro Cat has a childhood friend like this. He was extremely handsome growing up — so handsome that even in middle school, school belles and class beauties actively pursued him. We were insanely jealous. But as he got older, even though many women were still willing to give him a chance, after one or two dates, they would lose interest. The reason was simple: low emotional intelligence, poor communication, no depth. To this day, he is still single. If you never polish your inner world, energy, and awareness, truly high-value women will only ever see you as a good-looking decoration. Final Words For men, self-building and continuous growth are always the most important things. That’s all for today. (Video source: blogger Jack Ascension)
1:07

这人说的有些道理的。不过这个视频讲的不深， 猫哥给大家掰开揉碎让大家容易理解 在女人眼中，最没有吸引力的三种男人 （其实，本质上只有两种） 第一种：不自信、把自身价值完全寄托在外部条件上的男人 这一类男人，会把一切失败都归因于外在因素。 比如： 总觉得自己钱不够多 觉得自己太矮、不够帅 所以得出结论：正是因为这些，女人才不喜欢我 但事实上，并不是这样。 在女人眼里，这些条件从来就不是最重要的。 现实中，钱不多的、个子不高的、长相普通的男人，一样有人爱。 外在条件，最多只是一张“门票”。 确实—— 你开好车、颜值高，的确能更容易获得一次初步接触、认识的机会。 但也仅此而已。 真正决定女人是否愿意回应你、是否想继续发展下去的， 是你这个人本身。 比如： 是否成熟 人格是否稳定、强大 是否有故事、有经历 而不是天天宅在家里，打飞机，除了游戏没有什么可以和别人分享的，生活单调乏味。 因为女性天生在生理层面就比男性弱小， 她们慕强的，这也是人的天性 她们需要的是一个内核强大的伴侣， 能让她感到踏实、有安全感。 而这种安全感，更多来自心理层面，而不是物质层面。 如果你一味追求外在条件， 恰恰从侧面暴露出你的不自信、对自我价值的不认可。 你拼命显摆，其实是在向女人传递一种信息： 比方你开个豪车，在那显摆，或者其他什么事情在哪里显摆，你给女人的感觉就是 “你看我有多牛，快来认可我吧。” 但真正内心强大的人， 女人是能一眼识别出来的。 哪怕他穿着普通、长相普通， 一样可以吸引优秀的女人愿意靠近、愿意跟随。 很多你们眼中的“中年大叔”， 能找到比自己小十几、二十岁的女生， 原因往往并不是钱， 而是人格成熟、情绪稳定， 能让女人感受到： 被爱、被照顾、被理解。 第二种：好色、匮乏、猥琐的男人 这一类男人，嘴里永远离不开“开车”。 除了性，几乎找不到其他话题。 眼神里充满打量， 整个人散发着一种饥渴、渴望被认可的匮乏感。 这种能量， 女人离你很远就能感受到， 甚至不需要见面。 比如： 微信、LINE 天天嘘寒问暖 女生一发消息就秒回 对方不回，就疯狂轰炸 最后把自己搞到崩溃 女生能清楚感受到的， 不是你的“在乎”， 而是你身上低价值、缺爱的气息。 本质上，这是一种性匮乏， 而性匮乏的背后，是缺爱。 但问题在于： 女人是为了“爱”而生的， 她们渴望被爱、被珍惜。 而你自己都处在缺爱的状态， 又怎么可能吸引到女人？ 所以女人在面对这种男人时， 往往会本能地防御、躲闪。 第三种：长不大的“花美男” （本质上，其实还是第一种） 这一类男人，只在乎自己的颜值。 也许在 25 岁之前， 你真的可以靠脸吃饭。 但你吸引到的， 往往是一些不成熟、内心尚未被疗愈的女孩。 即便你找到所谓的“富婆”年纪比你大很多的，也许一开始她会对你很好， 但时间久了，她依旧会厌烦你恶心你！因为即便她年纪大，她的本质也是女人， 她也是需要强大的伴侣来照顾她的感受，而不是天天去照顾一个长不大的孩子 外表重要吗？ 重要。 毕竟“人靠衣装”。 但问题是： 总会有人比你更帅。 如果一个男人的自尊， 完全建立在容貌之上， 那是极其脆弱的。 比如： 当你遇到一个感兴趣、甚至喜欢的女生， 而她觉得你不帅， 你可能会瞬间崩溃。 因为你的价值根基，太浅了。 猫哥自己也有一个发小， 从小就特别帅， 帅到初中就有校花、班花主动追他。 当时我们羡慕得不行。 但年纪大了以后， 虽然愿意给他机会的女生依然不少， 可往往约会一两次之后， 就不愿继续了。 原因很简单： 情商低，不会说话，没有深度。 只到现在他依然单身 如果你从未打磨过自己的内在、能量和认知， 那些真正高价值的女生， 最多也只是把你当个“好看的花瓶”。 男人最重要的，永远是自我建设和持续成长。 今天就分享到这里。大家有什么看法呢，可以评论区留言 （视频来源于博主傑克揚升） What this person said does make some sense. However, the video itself doesn’t go very deep, so Bro Cat is going to break it down and explain it in a way that’s easier for everyone to understand. The Three Types of Men Who Are the Least Attractive to Women (In essence, there are really only two) Type One: Insecure men who place all their self-worth on external conditions This type of man attributes all his failures to external factors. For example: He always feels he doesn’t have enough money He thinks he’s too short or not handsome enough And he concludes: “That’s why women don’t like me.” But in reality, that’s not true. In women’s eyes, these factors are never the most important ones. In real life, men who are not rich, not tall, and look average still find women who love them. External conditions are, at best, just a “ticket”. Yes — driving a nice car or being good-looking can help you get an initial chance to meet or interact with a woman. But that’s where it ends. What truly determines whether a woman responds to you, or wants to continue developing a relationship, is who you are as a person. For example: Are you mature? Is your personality stable and strong? Do you have life experience and stories to share? Instead of staying at home all day, masturbating, playing games, and having nothing meaningful to talk about — a monotonous and empty life. Because biologically, women are naturally physically weaker than men. They are drawn to strength — this is human nature. What they need is a partner with a strong inner core, someone who makes them feel grounded and secure. And this sense of security comes far more from psychological strength than from material things. If you obsess over external conditions, it actually exposes your insecurity and lack of self-acceptance. When you constantly show off — whether it’s a luxury car or anything else — what you’re really telling women is: “Look how great I am. Please validate me.” But truly strong men don’t need to do that. Women can recognize inner strength at a glance. Even if a man dresses simply and looks ordinary, he can still attract high-quality women who are willing to stay and follow him. Many of the “middle-aged uncles” people talk about who date women ten or even twenty years younger, do so not because of money, but because they are emotionally mature, stable, and make women feel: loved, cared for, and understood. Type Two: Lust-driven, needy, and creepy men These men can’t stop talking about sex. “Dirty jokes” are their only form of conversation. Their eyes are constantly scanning women, and their entire presence radiates hunger and neediness — a desperate desire for validation. Women can sense this energy from far away, sometimes without ever meeting in person. For example: Sending “good morning / good night” messages every day on WeChat or LINE Replying instantly the moment a woman messages Bombarding her with messages when she doesn’t reply Until they emotionally collapse themselves What women feel is not your “care,” but the low-value, loveless energy coming from you. At its core, this is sexual deprivation, and behind that is a deep lack of love. But here’s the problem: Women are born for love. They want to be loved and cherished. If you yourself are starving for love, how can you possibly attract a woman? That’s why women instinctively become defensive and distance themselves from such men. Type Three: The Man-Child “Pretty Boy” (Which is essentially still Type One) This type of man only cares about his looks. Before the age of 25, he may genuinely be able to live off his face. But the women he attracts are usually immature, emotionally unhealed girls. Even if you manage to find a so-called “rich older woman,” she may treat you well at first. But over time, she will still grow tired of you — even disgusted. Because no matter her age, she is still a woman at her core. She also needs a strong partner who can care for her emotionally, not a grown child who needs constant looking after. Do looks matter? Yes. After all, people do judge by appearance. But the reality is: there will always be someone more handsome than you. If a man’s self-esteem is built entirely on his appearance, it is extremely fragile. For example: when you meet a woman you’re interested in, and she doesn’t think you’re handsome, you may completely collapse. Because your foundation is too shallow. Bro Cat has a childhood friend like this. He was extremely handsome growing up — so handsome that even in middle school, school belles and class beauties actively pursued him. We were insanely jealous. But as he got older, even though many women were still willing to give him a chance, after one or two dates, they would lose interest. The reason was simple: low emotional intelligence, poor communication, no depth. To this day, he is still single. If you never polish your inner world, energy, and awareness, truly high-value women will only ever see you as a good-looking decoration. Final Words For men, self-building and continuous growth are always the most important things. That’s all for today. (Video source: blogger Jack Ascension)

猫哥⚔ |YQG(一起肝链游)| Bird🕊️

14,332 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

The most epic 13 minute AI rant I've heard in 2026 PS: My parent's heard this when I was playing it in the car and thought Jason ✨👾SaaStr.Ai✨ Lemkin went OFF like Stephen A Smith does on first take PPS: Full transcript below [17:00] Harry Stebbings: I I just wanted to ask Jason, if the people that we want are fundamentally different, the developers that we used to hire, we don't because AI writes the code for us. The marketers we don't want, the sales people we don't want—who who do we want genuinely? Like what is the attractive profile? Because your Anthropic’s and your OpenAIs are hiring, so so what are the people that we want in the companies of the future? [17:18] Jason Lemkin: Look, I know it sounds trite, but but the answer is simple. It's just the expression each year changes. We want folks that are genuinely AI fluent. It's pretty simple. Now you know, maybe last year we called them prompt engineers, right? That used to be a job. I don't know if you remember that actually used to be the hottest job on planet earth. Now no one needs a prompt engineer because it's pretty easy to prompt all these tools. That job died. Okay. Um and now we need go-to-market engineers. Um I think that job's going to die. We need—everyone needs so many forward deployed engineers. Like you can't hire enough forward deployed engineers. But uh you know um but Palantir just announced in whatever their their big their big event—they've gotten their deployment times down over 90% with forward deployed engineers. So that may become—so the this wave of disruption for the titles and the specificity, it's also exhaustingly accelerating. But it's really simple. You meet anyone for any role—sales, marketing, engineering, product, QA—they're they're either they're either they can't keep all of the ways they use AI to accelerate their job from spewing out of their mouth, or they're staring at you. It's there's nowhere in the middle. Like, and the person that comes in and says—it's it's it sounds Captain Obvious—but like, you know, you just had the whatever from Lovable, the the marketing head that was super popular on the show, right? She's just spewing AI-native insights into Lovable, right? It's not that complicated. You hire her, Elena, or whatever it is. You just hire her. It doesn't matter whether she's still in college or a junior or a senior or a middler, a left or right. And honestly, if you interview people, I would say of all even of the best startups I've invested in, maybe 30% of the management team meets this standard at best. 30%. Maybe less. And of the interviews I do in general, it's single-digit percents. It's just and in in that sense, it's the same as ever. Like you either lower the bar in hiring or you hire someone that's actually great. And someone that's actually great is so far ahead of you in how to apply to to employ the efficiencies of AI in their role, your jaw falls on the table. The difference is we used to need warm bodies. That's what's changing. We used to need warm bodies to answer the call, to do QA, to do code review, to to get the blue pixel to go from the upper left to the lower right. You laugh, but you need you literally needed to brute force this with humans. With AI, every day that goes by, the AI—you do not need brute force human beings on your team. And that's another reason they're shrinking. Why are all these new companies so efficient? They're just not brute forcing things with humans. They're just not. They're choosing not to. And so these team—all the brute forcers out there—everyone talks about how bloated teams got in 2021. I don't agree with that. I think they got as big as they needed to be when growth was high and you needed humans to do everything. All you look at these teams that that doubled—well if growth continued at 60% like the rate in early 2021 for 5 years or can help me do the math and every single thing a software company did required a human. You were understaffed by your 2021 headcount. You'd be sitting here in 2026. You every office in SoMa would be triple packed and you there wouldn't be enough humans to staff your company. It's just the world changed. [20:33] Harry Stebbings: Jason, you live on the bleeding edge. I think me and Rory see that and I think the world sees that when they hear you every week in terms of how you run SaaS. For all of the CEOs and execs who listen to the show, what would you advise them in terms of determining whether someone is AI fluent when they meet them for jobs, for talent? [20:51] Jason Lemkin: Here's I realized I was just asked this. I just did a review with a super fast startup growing just crossing 100 million and I was asked this question. And one of my favorite executives, I thought his answer was pretty dated and because he gave me an answer that was about 6 months old. The answer 6 months old is: "I look for folks in my team, I look for you know at what tools they play with." Okay, that was a great answer in like summer of 2025. Okay, I tried Lovable last week. Okay, the answer in 2026 is: "What commercial AI tool have you brought into your organization this month?" That's the test. Anyone that is on the bleeding edge that you would want to hire—now there are so many great products in the market. Okay, there is no excuse in any role to have not brought one tool a month into your organization. Okay, there—now there's going to be better and better tools and better and better products as the year goes on. What's the one you did? And you will see folks with their deer in the headlights to this question. What what sales tool? What marketing tool? What product tool? What engineering tool? What did you bring in? Why did you pick it? How does it working? Because if you're at remotely at the cutting edge, you're all over this. You're looking for the next agentic tools that will radically improve how you do business. This is—you think everyone thinks SaaS is at the bleeding edge, right? You know, you know, all we do is we're just looking for the tools and trying them. Okay? Okay, we're one year ahead of everybody else because we did the simplest thing in the world. Like we tried the tools early and we trained them. We trained them for a month. Okay, I'll give you—want hear a horrible example from this week? Super hot AI company valued at 6 billion. Okay, I'm not going to name it. Um, this week yesterday told us we had to quadruple what we spent on their product. Okay, their agent told us, right? And why did this happen? Okay. Well, at this $6 billion company, no one had trained the agent on its pricing properly. No one had tested it. They said, "Well, well, we've been in beta." And we said, "Well, when did the beta launch? A year ago." Okay, these are people asleep at at the wheel. You want somebody who the instant this comes up, they exactly know what the issue is. And "Hey, when I was at Lovable Replit, we trained the agent. This is how we did it. I brought in this tool. I brought in this tool that that Rory invested in last week. It solved all these issues." That's what you want to hear. And if they haven't brought in a tool in the last 30 days, at least deeply evaluated it. I don't really care whether they bought it, but gone so far down the funnel they can tell you—pick whatever tool: Fixie, Regie, GC, AIGC—I don't care how you went through it, you looked at it, you can tell me the eight ways it would improve the productivity of your business and three you didn't. Just don't hire that person because they're going to run your company to the ground. This is the job today. The job today is not to screw around on ChatGPT and to be a prompt engineer. The job today is to bring the best AI and agentic products into your organization and leverage all the hard work that the engineers have done building those products. That's your job. You don't have to screw around. You don't have to be a prompt engineer anymore. You have to be an agent deployment expert. A—this is the new job we're making up today. An Agentic Deployment Expert. That's your job from C-level to junior. Agentic Deployment Expert. Don't hire anybody else. You're going to regret it. They're going to stare at the camera. He's good. Stare at the camera. He's honorable. We could probably just I could slip away, get a coffee, and come back. No. And I I sound exasperated, Rory. And I—but the reason I am is I can just see I can see my best companies doing it. And I can see some companies I've invested in not doing it. And I want to cry. I just want to cry when they have no ADs on their team. I just—like you're flushing your years of your life down the toilet by not approaching your how you're building this company this way. [24:33] Rory: Yes. And at the risk of being positive, it's worth pointing out two things he didn't say. Well, something implicit why he said—Jason didn't do the only hire, you know, he didn't commit the um employment law, I think it's a civil penalty of saying only employ people below X who get the new new thing because he implicitly said anyone can do it provided you're willing to learn. And I think that's the big aha that's one of the positive statements to make here right? Look and I think it applies—I'm always wary of being "Hey, coming across, hey this this is the things that you all have to do." I think it applies to everyone including investors right? I mean I will say I have found that unless you're willing to invest the time learning these tools you actually shouldn't be investing in them. One of my partners Andy had this expression: "You know, if you decide you want to stop learning new things you probably should retire within 6 to 12 months and never write another check again." Maybe that's down to 3 to 6 months at this stage, right? And I think, you know, it's— [25:27] Harry Stebbings: Yeah, I actually I actually had a meeting with mine and Jason's biggest investor the other day and I—pretend he's not here—I said I think he's the most equipped investor for this generation of investing because I don't think anyone quite sits at the bleeding edge like he does on the investor side. [25:42] Harry Stebbings: Why in terms of using the equip stuff? Yeah. Yeah. In terms of using the stuff, understanding understanding bottlenecks, constraints. For sure. [25:51] Jason Lemkin: But can I just add one point? We can just cuz it's so important if it helps people. Okay, we are—and thank you Harry. We're going through these phases. Okay, and when AI started to blow up for real for us, uh call it early 2024, right? Maybe late '23, I wasn't equipped. It was too technical. I wasn't going to go in and figure out—I wasn't smart enough to figure out how to deal with a massively hallucinating LLM API and turn that and turn that into something magical. Kudos to investors and others that that got it in early '23, '22. I mean I remember I—I guess it was maybe SaaStr Annual '23. I was with David Sacks and I did a Q&A and I said, "How you thinking about AI at Craft?" He's like, "Well we're all in. We want 80% of '23 of investments to be AI." I'm like, "Great but like show me the show me the great ones in market." He's like, "They're all prototypes. We're all they're all they're all proof of concepts but we're all in anyway." That's where you kind of had to be in '23 if you weren't investing at like the LLM level. Okay, I wasn't smart enough. Then we went through this weird-ass prompt engineer era where like you you could torture these products to do something good, right? But you had to torture them. You had to like craft these crazy things that made no sense. Now we are in the era where mere ordinarily smart generalists can make these tools do magical things. And literally I go to these meetings and people be like, "I don't know how to like this is so scary. I don't know how to do this." And we show them our backends. Do you know how to do a workflow generator? Do you know how to do a a decision tree? Like we've been building these since software in the '90s. Okay, if you—I can show you all of our agents. The how they work is novel. They do have to be trained. You can't be lazy and have these agents work. But honestly, the the UI, the UX, the way we interact with them, it's just software. And so my point is: Pick yourself off the ground. This is your time now. If you felt lost in AI era, if you felt like you're behind, you don't understand what all these people are saying on X and Twitter and their Claude and and their and talking about all the 4.6 point Nano point and it's over—like you just it's not your world. This is your time. This is your time for the generalist that knows how to use software tools really really well. And I—this is my last point but it's so important. If ever in your recent life—and this is why you could be all you need to be is young at heart to Rory's point—if in the last three to five years you have successfully deployed a piece of enterprise software of any sort you yourself, not some agency you hired, but if you have deployed it, you can deploy any agentic tool. Any. And you can become the hero in your company and you can become the hero in your functional area. But I watch folks—I'm literally helping a company now that they're adding hundreds of sales folks this year with a new pre-IPO COO—he's not hasn't brought in a single tool, totally scared of it. Okay, it's not that hard. Did you use SalesLoft? Did you use Outreach? Did you use HubSpot? Do you know these tools? If you can deploy these tools, you can deploy a world-changing AI agent. And so this is the time for people like the folks that that were shut out of the AI revolution right now. The generalist folks that are not that know how to deploy software that don't even know how to build software. Like vibe coding for me was folks who knew how to build software, but you didn't have to be an engineer. Now, you just need to know how to deploy software to win with AI agents. That's all you need to know. So many people have these skills and they're petrified of AI. "How did you do that? How did you deploy an AI BDR?" Well, we bought a piece of software, we figured out how it worked for a day, we set it up in an afternoon, and then and then we did spend 30 months training it, which you didn't do with this old software because in the old days, we just had to manually upload all the data, right? And there was no training. The the only non-intuitive part is training these things. And it's it's it's just work. So that's why when I see folks on the management team not doing this, there's no excuse. You do not need to be technical to win with AI agents in Q2 of '26. You do not need to be even 1% technical. Not at all. So it's your time. Or you're going to get laid off. Or you're going to get laid off because you're not going to matter.
13:04

The most epic 13 minute AI rant I've heard in 2026 PS: My parent's heard this when I was playing it in the car and thought Jason ✨👾SaaStr.Ai✨ Lemkin went OFF like Stephen A Smith does on first take PPS: Full transcript below [17:00] Harry Stebbings: I I just wanted to ask Jason, if the people that we want are fundamentally different, the developers that we used to hire, we don't because AI writes the code for us. The marketers we don't want, the sales people we don't want—who who do we want genuinely? Like what is the attractive profile? Because your Anthropic’s and your OpenAIs are hiring, so so what are the people that we want in the companies of the future? [17:18] Jason Lemkin: Look, I know it sounds trite, but but the answer is simple. It's just the expression each year changes. We want folks that are genuinely AI fluent. It's pretty simple. Now you know, maybe last year we called them prompt engineers, right? That used to be a job. I don't know if you remember that actually used to be the hottest job on planet earth. Now no one needs a prompt engineer because it's pretty easy to prompt all these tools. That job died. Okay. Um and now we need go-to-market engineers. Um I think that job's going to die. We need—everyone needs so many forward deployed engineers. Like you can't hire enough forward deployed engineers. But uh you know um but Palantir just announced in whatever their their big their big event—they've gotten their deployment times down over 90% with forward deployed engineers. So that may become—so the this wave of disruption for the titles and the specificity, it's also exhaustingly accelerating. But it's really simple. You meet anyone for any role—sales, marketing, engineering, product, QA—they're they're either they're either they can't keep all of the ways they use AI to accelerate their job from spewing out of their mouth, or they're staring at you. It's there's nowhere in the middle. Like, and the person that comes in and says—it's it's it sounds Captain Obvious—but like, you know, you just had the whatever from Lovable, the the marketing head that was super popular on the show, right? She's just spewing AI-native insights into Lovable, right? It's not that complicated. You hire her, Elena, or whatever it is. You just hire her. It doesn't matter whether she's still in college or a junior or a senior or a middler, a left or right. And honestly, if you interview people, I would say of all even of the best startups I've invested in, maybe 30% of the management team meets this standard at best. 30%. Maybe less. And of the interviews I do in general, it's single-digit percents. It's just and in in that sense, it's the same as ever. Like you either lower the bar in hiring or you hire someone that's actually great. And someone that's actually great is so far ahead of you in how to apply to to employ the efficiencies of AI in their role, your jaw falls on the table. The difference is we used to need warm bodies. That's what's changing. We used to need warm bodies to answer the call, to do QA, to do code review, to to get the blue pixel to go from the upper left to the lower right. You laugh, but you need you literally needed to brute force this with humans. With AI, every day that goes by, the AI—you do not need brute force human beings on your team. And that's another reason they're shrinking. Why are all these new companies so efficient? They're just not brute forcing things with humans. They're just not. They're choosing not to. And so these team—all the brute forcers out there—everyone talks about how bloated teams got in 2021. I don't agree with that. I think they got as big as they needed to be when growth was high and you needed humans to do everything. All you look at these teams that that doubled—well if growth continued at 60% like the rate in early 2021 for 5 years or can help me do the math and every single thing a software company did required a human. You were understaffed by your 2021 headcount. You'd be sitting here in 2026. You every office in SoMa would be triple packed and you there wouldn't be enough humans to staff your company. It's just the world changed. [20:33] Harry Stebbings: Jason, you live on the bleeding edge. I think me and Rory see that and I think the world sees that when they hear you every week in terms of how you run SaaS. For all of the CEOs and execs who listen to the show, what would you advise them in terms of determining whether someone is AI fluent when they meet them for jobs, for talent? [20:51] Jason Lemkin: Here's I realized I was just asked this. I just did a review with a super fast startup growing just crossing 100 million and I was asked this question. And one of my favorite executives, I thought his answer was pretty dated and because he gave me an answer that was about 6 months old. The answer 6 months old is: "I look for folks in my team, I look for you know at what tools they play with." Okay, that was a great answer in like summer of 2025. Okay, I tried Lovable last week. Okay, the answer in 2026 is: "What commercial AI tool have you brought into your organization this month?" That's the test. Anyone that is on the bleeding edge that you would want to hire—now there are so many great products in the market. Okay, there is no excuse in any role to have not brought one tool a month into your organization. Okay, there—now there's going to be better and better tools and better and better products as the year goes on. What's the one you did? And you will see folks with their deer in the headlights to this question. What what sales tool? What marketing tool? What product tool? What engineering tool? What did you bring in? Why did you pick it? How does it working? Because if you're at remotely at the cutting edge, you're all over this. You're looking for the next agentic tools that will radically improve how you do business. This is—you think everyone thinks SaaS is at the bleeding edge, right? You know, you know, all we do is we're just looking for the tools and trying them. Okay? Okay, we're one year ahead of everybody else because we did the simplest thing in the world. Like we tried the tools early and we trained them. We trained them for a month. Okay, I'll give you—want hear a horrible example from this week? Super hot AI company valued at 6 billion. Okay, I'm not going to name it. Um, this week yesterday told us we had to quadruple what we spent on their product. Okay, their agent told us, right? And why did this happen? Okay. Well, at this $6 billion company, no one had trained the agent on its pricing properly. No one had tested it. They said, "Well, well, we've been in beta." And we said, "Well, when did the beta launch? A year ago." Okay, these are people asleep at at the wheel. You want somebody who the instant this comes up, they exactly know what the issue is. And "Hey, when I was at Lovable Replit, we trained the agent. This is how we did it. I brought in this tool. I brought in this tool that that Rory invested in last week. It solved all these issues." That's what you want to hear. And if they haven't brought in a tool in the last 30 days, at least deeply evaluated it. I don't really care whether they bought it, but gone so far down the funnel they can tell you—pick whatever tool: Fixie, Regie, GC, AIGC—I don't care how you went through it, you looked at it, you can tell me the eight ways it would improve the productivity of your business and three you didn't. Just don't hire that person because they're going to run your company to the ground. This is the job today. The job today is not to screw around on ChatGPT and to be a prompt engineer. The job today is to bring the best AI and agentic products into your organization and leverage all the hard work that the engineers have done building those products. That's your job. You don't have to screw around. You don't have to be a prompt engineer anymore. You have to be an agent deployment expert. A—this is the new job we're making up today. An Agentic Deployment Expert. That's your job from C-level to junior. Agentic Deployment Expert. Don't hire anybody else. You're going to regret it. They're going to stare at the camera. He's good. Stare at the camera. He's honorable. We could probably just I could slip away, get a coffee, and come back. No. And I I sound exasperated, Rory. And I—but the reason I am is I can just see I can see my best companies doing it. And I can see some companies I've invested in not doing it. And I want to cry. I just want to cry when they have no ADs on their team. I just—like you're flushing your years of your life down the toilet by not approaching your how you're building this company this way. [24:33] Rory: Yes. And at the risk of being positive, it's worth pointing out two things he didn't say. Well, something implicit why he said—Jason didn't do the only hire, you know, he didn't commit the um employment law, I think it's a civil penalty of saying only employ people below X who get the new new thing because he implicitly said anyone can do it provided you're willing to learn. And I think that's the big aha that's one of the positive statements to make here right? Look and I think it applies—I'm always wary of being "Hey, coming across, hey this this is the things that you all have to do." I think it applies to everyone including investors right? I mean I will say I have found that unless you're willing to invest the time learning these tools you actually shouldn't be investing in them. One of my partners Andy had this expression: "You know, if you decide you want to stop learning new things you probably should retire within 6 to 12 months and never write another check again." Maybe that's down to 3 to 6 months at this stage, right? And I think, you know, it's— [25:27] Harry Stebbings: Yeah, I actually I actually had a meeting with mine and Jason's biggest investor the other day and I—pretend he's not here—I said I think he's the most equipped investor for this generation of investing because I don't think anyone quite sits at the bleeding edge like he does on the investor side. [25:42] Harry Stebbings: Why in terms of using the equip stuff? Yeah. Yeah. In terms of using the stuff, understanding understanding bottlenecks, constraints. For sure. [25:51] Jason Lemkin: But can I just add one point? We can just cuz it's so important if it helps people. Okay, we are—and thank you Harry. We're going through these phases. Okay, and when AI started to blow up for real for us, uh call it early 2024, right? Maybe late '23, I wasn't equipped. It was too technical. I wasn't going to go in and figure out—I wasn't smart enough to figure out how to deal with a massively hallucinating LLM API and turn that and turn that into something magical. Kudos to investors and others that that got it in early '23, '22. I mean I remember I—I guess it was maybe SaaStr Annual '23. I was with David Sacks and I did a Q&A and I said, "How you thinking about AI at Craft?" He's like, "Well we're all in. We want 80% of '23 of investments to be AI." I'm like, "Great but like show me the show me the great ones in market." He's like, "They're all prototypes. We're all they're all they're all proof of concepts but we're all in anyway." That's where you kind of had to be in '23 if you weren't investing at like the LLM level. Okay, I wasn't smart enough. Then we went through this weird-ass prompt engineer era where like you you could torture these products to do something good, right? But you had to torture them. You had to like craft these crazy things that made no sense. Now we are in the era where mere ordinarily smart generalists can make these tools do magical things. And literally I go to these meetings and people be like, "I don't know how to like this is so scary. I don't know how to do this." And we show them our backends. Do you know how to do a workflow generator? Do you know how to do a a decision tree? Like we've been building these since software in the '90s. Okay, if you—I can show you all of our agents. The how they work is novel. They do have to be trained. You can't be lazy and have these agents work. But honestly, the the UI, the UX, the way we interact with them, it's just software. And so my point is: Pick yourself off the ground. This is your time now. If you felt lost in AI era, if you felt like you're behind, you don't understand what all these people are saying on X and Twitter and their Claude and and their and talking about all the 4.6 point Nano point and it's over—like you just it's not your world. This is your time. This is your time for the generalist that knows how to use software tools really really well. And I—this is my last point but it's so important. If ever in your recent life—and this is why you could be all you need to be is young at heart to Rory's point—if in the last three to five years you have successfully deployed a piece of enterprise software of any sort you yourself, not some agency you hired, but if you have deployed it, you can deploy any agentic tool. Any. And you can become the hero in your company and you can become the hero in your functional area. But I watch folks—I'm literally helping a company now that they're adding hundreds of sales folks this year with a new pre-IPO COO—he's not hasn't brought in a single tool, totally scared of it. Okay, it's not that hard. Did you use SalesLoft? Did you use Outreach? Did you use HubSpot? Do you know these tools? If you can deploy these tools, you can deploy a world-changing AI agent. And so this is the time for people like the folks that that were shut out of the AI revolution right now. The generalist folks that are not that know how to deploy software that don't even know how to build software. Like vibe coding for me was folks who knew how to build software, but you didn't have to be an engineer. Now, you just need to know how to deploy software to win with AI agents. That's all you need to know. So many people have these skills and they're petrified of AI. "How did you do that? How did you deploy an AI BDR?" Well, we bought a piece of software, we figured out how it worked for a day, we set it up in an afternoon, and then and then we did spend 30 months training it, which you didn't do with this old software because in the old days, we just had to manually upload all the data, right? And there was no training. The the only non-intuitive part is training these things. And it's it's it's just work. So that's why when I see folks on the management team not doing this, there's no excuse. You do not need to be technical to win with AI agents in Q2 of '26. You do not need to be even 1% technical. Not at all. So it's your time. Or you're going to get laid off. Or you're going to get laid off because you're not going to matter.

Arjun Mahadevan (Mr. LLC 🇺🇸)

37,578 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

I've never heard Elon Musk be so bullish on Tesla ⚡️ here's my video analysis of the $TSLA Q4 2024 earnings call: -Robotaxi launch in Austin, June 2025 -California & other states launch robotaxi late 2025 -Cybercab in 2026 -Optimus V1 in 2025, 1K/month production line -Optimus V2 in 2026, 10K/month production line -2026 good year for Tesla, 2027/28 insanely good & more!! Timestamps- 0:00 Intro 0:44 Elon Opening Remarks 13:29 SAY Retail Questions 22:37 Analyst Questions 25:04 Gali Final Thoughts/Rant also here are my notes I typed during the conference call if you're interested! (may be errors) Tesla Q4 2024 Earnings Call Notes INTRO- ELON OPENING REMARKS -Q4 set record, delivered cars at rate of almost 2M cars/year -Model Y best-selling vehicle of any kind on earth (elon focused and talking quickly) -10Xing on autonomy, not doubling -many investments made this year that will bear immense fruit in the future, for AI -see a path for Tesla to the worlds most valuable company by far, worth more than the next 5 companies combined, difficult but achievable path -overwhelmingly due to autonomous vehicles and autonomous robots -setting up for an epic 2026, and ridiculously good 2027 and 2028 -meeting FSD now is like meeting a toddler -human intuition is linear, we’re seeing exponential progress -#1 recommendation is try it -typical passenger car has 10 hours of use out of 168, when its autonomous, itll be used for 55 hours a week … can deliver packages in the middle of thenight, or supply restaurants, all hours of the day or night. 5X increase in utility -more on self driving, continued improvements in safety numbers, much safer to use FSD -V14 will be another big step from V13 -launched CORTEX training cluster at Giga Austin, big step for FSD, continue to invest in training needs -Optimus training needs are about 10X what’s needed for the car -cost of training is dropping dramatically over time -Optimus has potential to be north of $10T in revenue, can put a lot training compute into that situation, even pumping $500B into it would be a good deal -future very different from the past, incredible inflection point in human history -proof is in the pudding -launching in June this year in Austin, already have cars moving autonomously in Fremont, thousands of cars per day driving, soon in Austin then elsewhere in the world -toe in the water at first to make sure everything is cool, but we have a general solution for autonomy , then put a few more toes, then a foot. Safety of the general public and those in the car as the top priority -with regard to Optimus, making insane revenue projections that sound insane, i realize that. But i think they will prove to be accurate -several thousand bots made this year, they will be doing useful things by the end of this year, im confidence, production design one at the tesla factories, then will learn for production design two -ramp optimus production faster than anything has ever launched, doesn’t take very many years before we’er making 100M of these things per year , 500% growth per year -tried using all these suppliers to get it to build Optimus, but nothing worked, had to build it internally from first principles, the hand is increibdle -long term Optimus will be the value of the company -back to Energy,/earth, -energy storage is a big deal, becoming more important, enables far greater energy output to the grid than is currently possible. -grid has no storage, designed for peak storage, lots of waste -once you have grid energy storage, the potential of the grid is unlocked, at least double -this will drive demand of battery packs as to as much as we can possibly make -shanghai factory starting operation, starting another factory -cant shoot our selves in the foot, battery capacity can only go into storage or mobility, so always making that tradeoff -demand for total Gigawatt hours for batteries, transportation or stationary will grow in a very big way over time 2025 a pivotal year for tesla, launch of full self driving, biggest year in tesla history, maybe even bigger than first car or model s, 3 or y … probably most important year in tesla’s history I don’t even know who is in 2nd place in real world AI, would need a telescope to see them SAY QUESTIONS -FSD Unsupervised launched in California this year as well -most likely release it in many regions of the US by the end of this year -40K people day everyday no mention, some scrapes a shin with autonomous car its headlines news -need to use insane amounts of caution -discussions about licensing FSD? Yes -best way to know to work with us, bbuy a car and take it apart -only worth very high volume cars/production partners -tesla engineering very focused on getting it to roll out for tesla first -soon will be obvious that if you don’t have FSD you’re dead as an OEM -is Optimus design locked? -Optimus is not design locked, constantly iterating, best robotics engineers in the world, and other ingredients, battery pack, charging, great electronics, great communications, great connectivity, real world AI, then you need to scale that production to real world levels -prototypes are easy production is hard -thijs year close loop with using optimus internally at tesla, would could obviously use a few thousand robots for the most boring annoying tasks at the company -with production version 2, launches sometime next year, would like beginning, might be middle though, -production line will be doing 10K units per month capacity for v2, first line designing is for roughly 1,000 units per month, then next line will be for 100,000 units per month -could start delivering them late next year, will go so fast, will ramp like crazy, demand will not be a problem, even at a high price, once were above 1M units per year, production costs of optimus will be less than $20,000 -if you compare complexity of optimus to complexity of a car, its much less than a car -price of optimus will be set buy market demand -Semi ramping next year, TCO no brainer, like optimus, will be massive demand, will meaningfully contribute to tesla’s revenue at scale -tesla semi with autonomy, is incredibly valuable -we actually have a shortage of truck drivers here in the US -will HW3 owners need a hardware update, got 12.6 which is like a baby v13, have’t given up on it, releases will trail HW4 releases … “honest answer” is were going to have to upgrade for those who have bought full self driving, will be painful and difficult and we’ll get it done “Happy not many people bought FSD” -solar roof, given up on ramping it? -lots of customer interest despite premium, making easier to install, focused on growth through certified installers, many been installing for many years -supply product to the roofing industry -it’s a premium product like S/X -combined with Tesla powerwall you can be self sufficient for several days ANALYST QUETIONS -robotaxis in Austin and several other cities this year, and next year all over america -america innovates, europe regulates, to release FSD in europe, have to go through massive paperwork through netherlands, then presents to EU in may, some big country committee, nothing we can do to make it happen sooner. -can’t do training in china with video training, publicly available videos in china are being run through the tesla system to be used for training, bus lanes are complicated and a big challenge -tesla can keep manufacturing even if geopolitical tensions rise to very high levels -Pierre question on June in Austin, -can i try unsupervised myself, or will it be the Tesla fleet? -it will be the Tesla fleet testing it, that’s the toe in the water, scrutinizing everything -autonomous ride hailing for money in june -probably next year for you to put your car on network -trump removing EV incentives? -all transport will go electric, can’t be stopped, even planes, will be like stopping the steam engine or combustion engine -only thing holding back EVs was range, and thats a solved problem -right now solving battery production, not demand, big battery retooling for model y coming up, short term impact on output
33:55

I've never heard Elon Musk be so bullish on Tesla ⚡️ here's my video analysis of the $TSLA Q4 2024 earnings call: -Robotaxi launch in Austin, June 2025 -California & other states launch robotaxi late 2025 -Cybercab in 2026 -Optimus V1 in 2025, 1K/month production line -Optimus V2 in 2026, 10K/month production line -2026 good year for Tesla, 2027/28 insanely good & more!! Timestamps- 0:00 Intro 0:44 Elon Opening Remarks 13:29 SAY Retail Questions 22:37 Analyst Questions 25:04 Gali Final Thoughts/Rant also here are my notes I typed during the conference call if you're interested! (may be errors) Tesla Q4 2024 Earnings Call Notes INTRO- ELON OPENING REMARKS -Q4 set record, delivered cars at rate of almost 2M cars/year -Model Y best-selling vehicle of any kind on earth (elon focused and talking quickly) -10Xing on autonomy, not doubling -many investments made this year that will bear immense fruit in the future, for AI -see a path for Tesla to the worlds most valuable company by far, worth more than the next 5 companies combined, difficult but achievable path -overwhelmingly due to autonomous vehicles and autonomous robots -setting up for an epic 2026, and ridiculously good 2027 and 2028 -meeting FSD now is like meeting a toddler -human intuition is linear, we’re seeing exponential progress -#1 recommendation is try it -typical passenger car has 10 hours of use out of 168, when its autonomous, itll be used for 55 hours a week … can deliver packages in the middle of thenight, or supply restaurants, all hours of the day or night. 5X increase in utility -more on self driving, continued improvements in safety numbers, much safer to use FSD -V14 will be another big step from V13 -launched CORTEX training cluster at Giga Austin, big step for FSD, continue to invest in training needs -Optimus training needs are about 10X what’s needed for the car -cost of training is dropping dramatically over time -Optimus has potential to be north of $10T in revenue, can put a lot training compute into that situation, even pumping $500B into it would be a good deal -future very different from the past, incredible inflection point in human history -proof is in the pudding -launching in June this year in Austin, already have cars moving autonomously in Fremont, thousands of cars per day driving, soon in Austin then elsewhere in the world -toe in the water at first to make sure everything is cool, but we have a general solution for autonomy , then put a few more toes, then a foot. Safety of the general public and those in the car as the top priority -with regard to Optimus, making insane revenue projections that sound insane, i realize that. But i think they will prove to be accurate -several thousand bots made this year, they will be doing useful things by the end of this year, im confidence, production design one at the tesla factories, then will learn for production design two -ramp optimus production faster than anything has ever launched, doesn’t take very many years before we’er making 100M of these things per year , 500% growth per year -tried using all these suppliers to get it to build Optimus, but nothing worked, had to build it internally from first principles, the hand is increibdle -long term Optimus will be the value of the company -back to Energy,/earth, -energy storage is a big deal, becoming more important, enables far greater energy output to the grid than is currently possible. -grid has no storage, designed for peak storage, lots of waste -once you have grid energy storage, the potential of the grid is unlocked, at least double -this will drive demand of battery packs as to as much as we can possibly make -shanghai factory starting operation, starting another factory -cant shoot our selves in the foot, battery capacity can only go into storage or mobility, so always making that tradeoff -demand for total Gigawatt hours for batteries, transportation or stationary will grow in a very big way over time 2025 a pivotal year for tesla, launch of full self driving, biggest year in tesla history, maybe even bigger than first car or model s, 3 or y … probably most important year in tesla’s history I don’t even know who is in 2nd place in real world AI, would need a telescope to see them SAY QUESTIONS -FSD Unsupervised launched in California this year as well -most likely release it in many regions of the US by the end of this year -40K people day everyday no mention, some scrapes a shin with autonomous car its headlines news -need to use insane amounts of caution -discussions about licensing FSD? Yes -best way to know to work with us, bbuy a car and take it apart -only worth very high volume cars/production partners -tesla engineering very focused on getting it to roll out for tesla first -soon will be obvious that if you don’t have FSD you’re dead as an OEM -is Optimus design locked? -Optimus is not design locked, constantly iterating, best robotics engineers in the world, and other ingredients, battery pack, charging, great electronics, great communications, great connectivity, real world AI, then you need to scale that production to real world levels -prototypes are easy production is hard -thijs year close loop with using optimus internally at tesla, would could obviously use a few thousand robots for the most boring annoying tasks at the company -with production version 2, launches sometime next year, would like beginning, might be middle though, -production line will be doing 10K units per month capacity for v2, first line designing is for roughly 1,000 units per month, then next line will be for 100,000 units per month -could start delivering them late next year, will go so fast, will ramp like crazy, demand will not be a problem, even at a high price, once were above 1M units per year, production costs of optimus will be less than $20,000 -if you compare complexity of optimus to complexity of a car, its much less than a car -price of optimus will be set buy market demand -Semi ramping next year, TCO no brainer, like optimus, will be massive demand, will meaningfully contribute to tesla’s revenue at scale -tesla semi with autonomy, is incredibly valuable -we actually have a shortage of truck drivers here in the US -will HW3 owners need a hardware update, got 12.6 which is like a baby v13, have’t given up on it, releases will trail HW4 releases … “honest answer” is were going to have to upgrade for those who have bought full self driving, will be painful and difficult and we’ll get it done “Happy not many people bought FSD” -solar roof, given up on ramping it? -lots of customer interest despite premium, making easier to install, focused on growth through certified installers, many been installing for many years -supply product to the roofing industry -it’s a premium product like S/X -combined with Tesla powerwall you can be self sufficient for several days ANALYST QUETIONS -robotaxis in Austin and several other cities this year, and next year all over america -america innovates, europe regulates, to release FSD in europe, have to go through massive paperwork through netherlands, then presents to EU in may, some big country committee, nothing we can do to make it happen sooner. -can’t do training in china with video training, publicly available videos in china are being run through the tesla system to be used for training, bus lanes are complicated and a big challenge -tesla can keep manufacturing even if geopolitical tensions rise to very high levels -Pierre question on June in Austin, -can i try unsupervised myself, or will it be the Tesla fleet? -it will be the Tesla fleet testing it, that’s the toe in the water, scrutinizing everything -autonomous ride hailing for money in june -probably next year for you to put your car on network -trump removing EV incentives? -all transport will go electric, can’t be stopped, even planes, will be like stopping the steam engine or combustion engine -only thing holding back EVs was range, and thats a solved problem -right now solving battery production, not demand, big battery retooling for model y coming up, short term impact on output

Gali

78,874 просмотров • 1 год назад

There's been recent discussion on cloning methods and techniques, I figured I'd share mine, since I've done a clone or two at scale. Knowing what we all know about cloning different strains, and that they all root at different speeds, it's important to note that I grew 25 different strains in here. This was literally my job, I was their greenouse/mother genetics preservation/clone manager. X hostility has increased exponentially lately, so let's address it now. This post may hurt some people's feelings, may cause some anger and a little controversy(If that's you, search within), but I'm just relaying what I've found testing these things at scale, rather than going off of anecdotal instances and remembering what I did(or someone lese) with 10 clones in my 4x4 tent off the top of my head, like many do here. Whether you do these procedures, or not, or whether you have problems, or not -is entirely irrelevant to this post. That's not to say your results aren't real, just that you came to your conclusion unscientifically. This is about other cloning methods, best practices, and this is showing what I've done that works. This was also 4 years ago, and they profited millions that year with high quality flower, so save those comments as well, they're moot. I also no longer work for, or are affiliated with, this farm in any way. We ended our relationship in early 2022, and I wish them the best of success in the future, and they still exist today. They were given the rights to all media and promotional material I filmed and photographed during my 6 years living on the farm, and I likewise have permission and full rights to use whatever footage I recorded there. The only company I'm currently sponsored by, is HardyGro, and their products won't be discussed here. Now, let's get to it. Please be advised, if your ambient RH is below 50%, you will not be able to leave the domes off for long at all. Use a mister to recover them if they wilt on you, and adjust these following procedures accordingly: Use Root Riot or similar rooting medium, other peat based cheaper mediums work well, too, but I found these work the best. 1. Wipe out your domes. If this takes several times per day in a greenhouse of thousands of them, so be it-get it done. You essentially eliminate any fungal issues that may arise with 24/7 100% humidity stagnant air. Remember, the clones are also absorbing water through their stems. 2. Days 1-3, 3 times per day, take the domes off, and wave the plants with it(or place them near a fan for at least 30 seconds). This ensures a thorough air exchange, which also prevents fungal diseases, and proper N,o2 and co2. 3. Beginning days 3-4, remove your domes for several hours at a time. By day 7, remove the domes completely. 4. And this is important - allow the cubes(in this case) to dry down somewhat, they will root faster. 5. Cut your lights back, and never place them in direct sun, they can't handle it. 6. CloneX reigns supreme, period. I tested it against Foop Cloning Gel, Olivia's and Technaflora. Out of 500 clones to test each product, retention percentages were as follows: CloneX: 95+% Tech. : 80% Olivia's: 45% Foop: 0% success. The Fooped clones also grew an unidentified greenish/orange fungus at the base of every clone, and they were all culled. Again, these were my results, at scale, this isn't a debate on what's best or what's cheaper. Maybe two more videos, and I'm outside for the day, enjoy your Sunday.
0:54

There's been recent discussion on cloning methods and techniques, I figured I'd share mine, since I've done a clone or two at scale. Knowing what we all know about cloning different strains, and that they all root at different speeds, it's important to note that I grew 25 different strains in here. This was literally my job, I was their greenouse/mother genetics preservation/clone manager. X hostility has increased exponentially lately, so let's address it now. This post may hurt some people's feelings, may cause some anger and a little controversy(If that's you, search within), but I'm just relaying what I've found testing these things at scale, rather than going off of anecdotal instances and remembering what I did(or someone lese) with 10 clones in my 4x4 tent off the top of my head, like many do here. Whether you do these procedures, or not, or whether you have problems, or not -is entirely irrelevant to this post. That's not to say your results aren't real, just that you came to your conclusion unscientifically. This is about other cloning methods, best practices, and this is showing what I've done that works. This was also 4 years ago, and they profited millions that year with high quality flower, so save those comments as well, they're moot. I also no longer work for, or are affiliated with, this farm in any way. We ended our relationship in early 2022, and I wish them the best of success in the future, and they still exist today. They were given the rights to all media and promotional material I filmed and photographed during my 6 years living on the farm, and I likewise have permission and full rights to use whatever footage I recorded there. The only company I'm currently sponsored by, is HardyGro, and their products won't be discussed here. Now, let's get to it. Please be advised, if your ambient RH is below 50%, you will not be able to leave the domes off for long at all. Use a mister to recover them if they wilt on you, and adjust these following procedures accordingly: Use Root Riot or similar rooting medium, other peat based cheaper mediums work well, too, but I found these work the best. 1. Wipe out your domes. If this takes several times per day in a greenhouse of thousands of them, so be it-get it done. You essentially eliminate any fungal issues that may arise with 24/7 100% humidity stagnant air. Remember, the clones are also absorbing water through their stems. 2. Days 1-3, 3 times per day, take the domes off, and wave the plants with it(or place them near a fan for at least 30 seconds). This ensures a thorough air exchange, which also prevents fungal diseases, and proper N,o2 and co2. 3. Beginning days 3-4, remove your domes for several hours at a time. By day 7, remove the domes completely. 4. And this is important - allow the cubes(in this case) to dry down somewhat, they will root faster. 5. Cut your lights back, and never place them in direct sun, they can't handle it. 6. CloneX reigns supreme, period. I tested it against Foop Cloning Gel, Olivia's and Technaflora. Out of 500 clones to test each product, retention percentages were as follows: CloneX: 95+% Tech. : 80% Olivia's: 45% Foop: 0% success. The Fooped clones also grew an unidentified greenish/orange fungus at the base of every clone, and they were all culled. Again, these were my results, at scale, this isn't a debate on what's best or what's cheaper. Maybe two more videos, and I'm outside for the day, enjoy your Sunday.

One Nation Under Informed

18,822 просмотров • 1 год назад

川普「絕對果決行動」：馬杜洛已落網！美軍零傷亡突襲委內瑞拉 2026 年 1 月 3 日，川普總統在白宮召開記者會，宣布一項震驚國際社會的消息：美軍在前一晚對委內瑞拉首都卡拉卡斯發動軍事突擊，成功逮捕了委內瑞拉總統馬杜羅（Nicolas Maduro）及其妻子西莉亞·弗洛雷斯（Celia Flores）。這場代號「絕對決心行動」（Operation Absolute Resolve）的軍事行動，沒有任何美軍陣亡，也沒有損失任何軍事設備。 川普在記者會上表示，這是自二戰以來最令人驚嘆的軍事行動之一，並宣布美國將暫時管理委內瑞拉，直到能夠進行「安全、適當且審慎的權力移交」。 川普的聲明：為什麼要對委內瑞拉動手？ 川普在記者會開場時，詳細說明了這次行動的正當性。他列舉了馬杜羅政權對美國造成的多項威脅，包括毒品走私、派遣幫派入境、竊取美國石油資產，以及在西半球引入敵對勢力。 毒品問題是川普最強調的理由之一。他指出，馬杜羅個人主導了一個名為「Cartel de las Solas」的販毒集團，向美國輸入大量致命毒品，導致數十萬美國人死亡。馬杜羅夫婦在 2020 年就已被紐約南區聯邦法院起訴，面臨毒品恐怖主義相關罪名。川普表示，美國海軍已經攔截了 97% 從海上進入美國的毒品，而這些毒品大多來自委內瑞拉。 幫派問題同樣嚴重。川普提到，馬杜羅政權將委內瑞拉監獄和精神病院中的危險罪犯送往美國，其中最惡名昭彰的是「阿拉瓜列車」（Tren de Aragua）幫派。這個被稱為「世界上最糟糕的幫派之一」的組織，在美國多個城市犯下綁架、強姦、酷刑和謀殺等罪行。川普特別提到了 12 歲的 Jocelyn Nungary，她在休士頓被該幫派成員綁架、性侵並殺害，遺體被丟棄在一座橋下。 石油資產是另一個關鍵議題。川普表示，美國企業在數十年前建設了委內瑞拉的石油產業基礎設施，但在前幾任政府期間被委內瑞拉強行沒收，這構成了「美國歷史上最大規模的財產竊盜之一」。他批評過去的總統沒有採取行動，反而去打「一萬英里之外的戰爭」。 川普將這次行動與他過去的軍事成就相提並論，包括擊殺伊朗革命衛隊指揮官索雷馬尼（Soleimani）、消滅 ISIS 領導人巴格達迪（al-Baghdadi），以及近期對伊朗核設施的「午夜之錘行動」（Operation Midnight Hammer）。他強調，這些行動都是「完美執行」的，沒有其他國家能夠達成美國昨晚所達成的成就。 軍事行動細節：150 架飛機的聯合作戰 參謀長聯席會議主席丹·「雷辛」·凱恩將軍（General Dan "Raisin" Caine）在記者會上詳細說明了這次行動的軍事細節。 準備階段從數月前就開始了。情報單位持續追蹤馬杜羅的行蹤，了解他的移動模式、居住地點、日常行程，甚至連他吃什麼、穿什麼、養什麼寵物都掌握清楚。12 月初，部隊已經進入待命狀態，等待適當的時機。 時機選擇至關重要。軍方需要同時考慮天氣條件、減少平民傷亡的可能性、維持戰術奇襲效果，以及確保能夠活捉馬杜羅以接受審判。整個聖誕節和新年期間，美軍都處於高度戒備狀態，耐心等待所有條件就緒。 行動時間軸如下：1 月 2 日晚間 10 點 46 分（美東時間），川普下達行動命令，並對部隊說：「祝你們好運，願上帝保佑。」隨後，飛機從西半球 20 個不同的陸上和海上基地起飛，總計超過 150 架飛機參與行動，包括 F-22、F-35、F-18、EA-18G 電戰機、E-2 預警機、B-1 轟炸機，以及多架無人機。 直升機載著突擊部隊和執法人員，在海面上方約 30 公尺的超低空飛行，接近委內瑞拉海岸。當他們接近時，美軍開始運用太空司令部（SpaceCom）和網路司令部（CyberCom）的能力，為突擊部隊開闢通道。戰鬥機則負責壓制並摧毀委內瑞拉的防空系統。 凌晨 1 點 01 分（美東時間），也就是卡拉卡斯當地時間凌晨 2 點 01 分，突擊部隊抵達馬杜羅的住所。直升機在降落時遭到地面火力攻擊，其中一架被擊中但仍可飛行，美軍以壓倒性火力回擊。 根據川普的描述，馬杜羅當時試圖逃進一個全鋼製的安全室，但因為美軍行動太快，他雖然到達了門口，卻來不及把門關上。川普補充說，即使他關上了門，美軍也能在「大約 47 秒」內炸開，不管鋼板有多厚。 馬杜羅夫婦最終投降，被司法部人員逮捕。凌晨 3 點 29 分（美東時間），整支部隊已經撤離委內瑞拉領空，帶著兩名被捕者返回海上基地。他們隨後被送上 USS 硫磺島號軍艦，將被押往紐約受審。 凱恩將軍強調，這次行動需要陸軍、海軍、空軍、陸戰隊和太空軍的無縫整合，還需要與 CIA、NSA、NGA 等情報單位密切合作。參與行動的最年輕成員 20 歲，最年長的 49 歲。他說：「我們不是為了做對而訓練，而是為了確保不可能做錯。」 後續安排：美國將如何管理委內瑞拉？ 川普在記者會上多次強調，美國將「管理」委內瑞拉，直到能夠進行適當的權力移交。這個宣示引發了記者的大量追問。 當被問到「誰會管理委內瑞拉」時，川普指著身後的官員說：「在一段時間內，就是站在我後面的這些人。」他解釋，如果美國現在就撤離，讓其他人接管，可能會重蹈過去數十年的覆轍。他不願冒險讓另一個不把委內瑞拉人民利益放在心上的人掌權。 石油產業重建是核心計畫。川普表示，委內瑞拉的石油基礎設施已經腐朽不堪，產量只有應有水準的一小部分。美國將派遣大型石油公司進入，投資數十億美元重建基礎設施。這些投資將從石油收益中償還，而委內瑞拉人民將是最大受益者。他強調，美國不會為此花費任何成本，因為地下的石油財富足以支付一切。 關於委內瑞拉副總統黛西·羅德里格茲（Delcy Rodriguez），川普表示她在馬杜羅被捕後已宣誓就任總統。國務卿馬可·盧比歐（Marco Rubio）與她進行了通話，據稱她表示願意配合美國的要求。但川普也說，她是馬杜羅任命的，在國內缺乏支持和尊重，「很難成為真正的領導人」。 至於反對派領袖瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多（Maria Corina Machado），川普在稍早的 Fox & Friends 訪問中表示不會支持她回國領導。他認為她同樣缺乏國內的支持基礎。 當記者追問美國會管理委內瑞拉多久時，川普沒有給出明確時間表，只說「需要一段時間」來重建基礎設施，並確保國家走上正軌。他表示，這可能需要一年左右的時間。 關於美軍是否會駐紮在委內瑞拉，川普表示「我們不怕地面部隊」，昨晚就有地面部隊參與行動。但他也說，主要的存在將與石油產業有關，因為需要派遣專業人員進入。至於需要多少軍事力量來保護這些人員，他說「可能需要一些，但不會很多」。 記者問答：對古巴、哥倫比亞的警告 記者會的問答環節涵蓋了多個敏感議題，川普和他的團隊對幾個國家發出了明確警告。 對哥倫比亞，川普的態度非常直接。當記者提到哥倫比亞總統古斯塔沃·佩特羅（Gustavo Petro）表示不擔心遭受類似命運時，川普回應：「他有古柯鹼工廠，他在製造古柯鹼並送進美國。所以，對，我堅持我之前說的話，他必須小心點。」這是指川普幾週前曾警告佩特羅「要看好自己」。 對古巴，川普表示這是一個「正在衰敗的國家」，由「無能、老邁的人」管理。他說美國想要幫助古巴人民，也想幫助那些被迫離開古巴、現在住在美國的人。國務卿盧比歐補充說，古巴實際上「殖民」了委內瑞拉的安全系統，馬杜羅身邊的保鏢和情報人員很多都是古巴人。他說：「如果我住在哈瓦那，在政府裡工作，我至少會有一點擔心。」 關於國會通知，國家安全顧問馬克解釋，這種任務無法事先通知國會，因為行動時機取決於多種條件是否同時滿足。川普則更直接地說：「國會有洩密的傾向，這不太好。如果他們洩露了，將軍，我認為結果會非常不同。」 關於中國和俄羅斯在委內瑞拉的利益，川普表示美國將進入石油生意，會以更大的產量向其他國家出售石油。對於俄羅斯，他說「等事情理順了再說」。 俄烏戰爭意外成為記者會的結尾話題。川普表示他「對普丁不太高興」，因為「他殺了太多人」。他說上個月有 3 萬人死亡，前一個月是 2.7 萬人，大多是士兵。他原本以為俄烏戰爭會是最容易解決的衝突之一，結果發現並非如此。他說這是「拜登的戰爭」，不是他的戰爭，但他想要阻止這場屠殺。 川普在結束記者會前說：「我昨晚看到的行動是如此精準、如此出色。如果我們的人，像這位將軍和我們的人參與其中，那場戰爭不會持續很久，這我可以告訴你。」 關鍵觀察 這場記者會有幾個值得關注的重點： 門羅主義的復活。川普在記者會上提到，這次行動可以追溯到兩百多年前的門羅主義（Monroe Doctrine），但美國已經「大大超越」了它。他開玩笑說有人把它叫做「Donro 主義」。無論名稱為何，這次行動清楚表明，川普政府將積極維護美國在西半球的主導地位，不允許外國勢力介入。 「說到做到」的訊號。國家安全顧問和國防部長都在記者會上強調，川普是一位「行動派總統」。國家安全顧問說：「第 47 任美國總統不是玩家。當他說要做某件事，當他說要解決某個問題，他是認真的。」這次行動被定位為對全世界的警告：不要和這位總統玩遊戲。 法律依據的模糊性。從記者會內容來看，這次行動的法律基礎似乎是 2020 年對馬杜羅的聯邦起訴書，將行動定性為「逮捕被起訴的逃犯」。國家安全顧問強調，這本質上是一次執法行動，國防部是在支援司法部。但對一個主權國家發動軍事攻擊來逮捕其總統，在國際法上顯然存在巨大爭議。 後續發展的不確定性。美國表示將「管理」委內瑞拉，但具體如何運作仍不清楚。川普提到會有一個團隊與委內瑞拉人合作，石油公司會進入重建基礎設施，但關於政治安排、選舉時程、軍事存在規模等關鍵問題，都沒有明確答案。 這是一個歷史性的時刻。無論各方如何評價這次行動的正當性，它都標誌著美國外交政策的重大轉變，其後續影響將在未來數月甚至數年內持續發酵。
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川普「絕對果決行動」：馬杜洛已落網！美軍零傷亡突襲委內瑞拉 2026 年 1 月 3 日，川普總統在白宮召開記者會，宣布一項震驚國際社會的消息：美軍在前一晚對委內瑞拉首都卡拉卡斯發動軍事突擊，成功逮捕了委內瑞拉總統馬杜羅（Nicolas Maduro）及其妻子西莉亞·弗洛雷斯（Celia Flores）。這場代號「絕對決心行動」（Operation Absolute Resolve）的軍事行動，沒有任何美軍陣亡，也沒有損失任何軍事設備。 川普在記者會上表示，這是自二戰以來最令人驚嘆的軍事行動之一，並宣布美國將暫時管理委內瑞拉，直到能夠進行「安全、適當且審慎的權力移交」。 川普的聲明：為什麼要對委內瑞拉動手？ 川普在記者會開場時，詳細說明了這次行動的正當性。他列舉了馬杜羅政權對美國造成的多項威脅，包括毒品走私、派遣幫派入境、竊取美國石油資產，以及在西半球引入敵對勢力。 毒品問題是川普最強調的理由之一。他指出，馬杜羅個人主導了一個名為「Cartel de las Solas」的販毒集團，向美國輸入大量致命毒品，導致數十萬美國人死亡。馬杜羅夫婦在 2020 年就已被紐約南區聯邦法院起訴，面臨毒品恐怖主義相關罪名。川普表示，美國海軍已經攔截了 97% 從海上進入美國的毒品，而這些毒品大多來自委內瑞拉。 幫派問題同樣嚴重。川普提到，馬杜羅政權將委內瑞拉監獄和精神病院中的危險罪犯送往美國，其中最惡名昭彰的是「阿拉瓜列車」（Tren de Aragua）幫派。這個被稱為「世界上最糟糕的幫派之一」的組織，在美國多個城市犯下綁架、強姦、酷刑和謀殺等罪行。川普特別提到了 12 歲的 Jocelyn Nungary，她在休士頓被該幫派成員綁架、性侵並殺害，遺體被丟棄在一座橋下。 石油資產是另一個關鍵議題。川普表示，美國企業在數十年前建設了委內瑞拉的石油產業基礎設施，但在前幾任政府期間被委內瑞拉強行沒收，這構成了「美國歷史上最大規模的財產竊盜之一」。他批評過去的總統沒有採取行動，反而去打「一萬英里之外的戰爭」。 川普將這次行動與他過去的軍事成就相提並論，包括擊殺伊朗革命衛隊指揮官索雷馬尼（Soleimani）、消滅 ISIS 領導人巴格達迪（al-Baghdadi），以及近期對伊朗核設施的「午夜之錘行動」（Operation Midnight Hammer）。他強調，這些行動都是「完美執行」的，沒有其他國家能夠達成美國昨晚所達成的成就。 軍事行動細節：150 架飛機的聯合作戰 參謀長聯席會議主席丹·「雷辛」·凱恩將軍（General Dan "Raisin" Caine）在記者會上詳細說明了這次行動的軍事細節。 準備階段從數月前就開始了。情報單位持續追蹤馬杜羅的行蹤，了解他的移動模式、居住地點、日常行程，甚至連他吃什麼、穿什麼、養什麼寵物都掌握清楚。12 月初，部隊已經進入待命狀態，等待適當的時機。 時機選擇至關重要。軍方需要同時考慮天氣條件、減少平民傷亡的可能性、維持戰術奇襲效果，以及確保能夠活捉馬杜羅以接受審判。整個聖誕節和新年期間，美軍都處於高度戒備狀態，耐心等待所有條件就緒。 行動時間軸如下：1 月 2 日晚間 10 點 46 分（美東時間），川普下達行動命令，並對部隊說：「祝你們好運，願上帝保佑。」隨後，飛機從西半球 20 個不同的陸上和海上基地起飛，總計超過 150 架飛機參與行動，包括 F-22、F-35、F-18、EA-18G 電戰機、E-2 預警機、B-1 轟炸機，以及多架無人機。 直升機載著突擊部隊和執法人員，在海面上方約 30 公尺的超低空飛行，接近委內瑞拉海岸。當他們接近時，美軍開始運用太空司令部（SpaceCom）和網路司令部（CyberCom）的能力，為突擊部隊開闢通道。戰鬥機則負責壓制並摧毀委內瑞拉的防空系統。 凌晨 1 點 01 分（美東時間），也就是卡拉卡斯當地時間凌晨 2 點 01 分，突擊部隊抵達馬杜羅的住所。直升機在降落時遭到地面火力攻擊，其中一架被擊中但仍可飛行，美軍以壓倒性火力回擊。 根據川普的描述，馬杜羅當時試圖逃進一個全鋼製的安全室，但因為美軍行動太快，他雖然到達了門口，卻來不及把門關上。川普補充說，即使他關上了門，美軍也能在「大約 47 秒」內炸開，不管鋼板有多厚。 馬杜羅夫婦最終投降，被司法部人員逮捕。凌晨 3 點 29 分（美東時間），整支部隊已經撤離委內瑞拉領空，帶著兩名被捕者返回海上基地。他們隨後被送上 USS 硫磺島號軍艦，將被押往紐約受審。 凱恩將軍強調，這次行動需要陸軍、海軍、空軍、陸戰隊和太空軍的無縫整合，還需要與 CIA、NSA、NGA 等情報單位密切合作。參與行動的最年輕成員 20 歲，最年長的 49 歲。他說：「我們不是為了做對而訓練，而是為了確保不可能做錯。」 後續安排：美國將如何管理委內瑞拉？ 川普在記者會上多次強調，美國將「管理」委內瑞拉，直到能夠進行適當的權力移交。這個宣示引發了記者的大量追問。 當被問到「誰會管理委內瑞拉」時，川普指著身後的官員說：「在一段時間內，就是站在我後面的這些人。」他解釋，如果美國現在就撤離，讓其他人接管，可能會重蹈過去數十年的覆轍。他不願冒險讓另一個不把委內瑞拉人民利益放在心上的人掌權。 石油產業重建是核心計畫。川普表示，委內瑞拉的石油基礎設施已經腐朽不堪，產量只有應有水準的一小部分。美國將派遣大型石油公司進入，投資數十億美元重建基礎設施。這些投資將從石油收益中償還，而委內瑞拉人民將是最大受益者。他強調，美國不會為此花費任何成本，因為地下的石油財富足以支付一切。 關於委內瑞拉副總統黛西·羅德里格茲（Delcy Rodriguez），川普表示她在馬杜羅被捕後已宣誓就任總統。國務卿馬可·盧比歐（Marco Rubio）與她進行了通話，據稱她表示願意配合美國的要求。但川普也說，她是馬杜羅任命的，在國內缺乏支持和尊重，「很難成為真正的領導人」。 至於反對派領袖瑪麗亞·科琳娜·馬查多（Maria Corina Machado），川普在稍早的 Fox & Friends 訪問中表示不會支持她回國領導。他認為她同樣缺乏國內的支持基礎。 當記者追問美國會管理委內瑞拉多久時，川普沒有給出明確時間表，只說「需要一段時間」來重建基礎設施，並確保國家走上正軌。他表示，這可能需要一年左右的時間。 關於美軍是否會駐紮在委內瑞拉，川普表示「我們不怕地面部隊」，昨晚就有地面部隊參與行動。但他也說，主要的存在將與石油產業有關，因為需要派遣專業人員進入。至於需要多少軍事力量來保護這些人員，他說「可能需要一些，但不會很多」。 記者問答：對古巴、哥倫比亞的警告 記者會的問答環節涵蓋了多個敏感議題，川普和他的團隊對幾個國家發出了明確警告。 對哥倫比亞，川普的態度非常直接。當記者提到哥倫比亞總統古斯塔沃·佩特羅（Gustavo Petro）表示不擔心遭受類似命運時，川普回應：「他有古柯鹼工廠，他在製造古柯鹼並送進美國。所以，對，我堅持我之前說的話，他必須小心點。」這是指川普幾週前曾警告佩特羅「要看好自己」。 對古巴，川普表示這是一個「正在衰敗的國家」，由「無能、老邁的人」管理。他說美國想要幫助古巴人民，也想幫助那些被迫離開古巴、現在住在美國的人。國務卿盧比歐補充說，古巴實際上「殖民」了委內瑞拉的安全系統，馬杜羅身邊的保鏢和情報人員很多都是古巴人。他說：「如果我住在哈瓦那，在政府裡工作，我至少會有一點擔心。」 關於國會通知，國家安全顧問馬克解釋，這種任務無法事先通知國會，因為行動時機取決於多種條件是否同時滿足。川普則更直接地說：「國會有洩密的傾向，這不太好。如果他們洩露了，將軍，我認為結果會非常不同。」 關於中國和俄羅斯在委內瑞拉的利益，川普表示美國將進入石油生意，會以更大的產量向其他國家出售石油。對於俄羅斯，他說「等事情理順了再說」。 俄烏戰爭意外成為記者會的結尾話題。川普表示他「對普丁不太高興」，因為「他殺了太多人」。他說上個月有 3 萬人死亡，前一個月是 2.7 萬人，大多是士兵。他原本以為俄烏戰爭會是最容易解決的衝突之一，結果發現並非如此。他說這是「拜登的戰爭」，不是他的戰爭，但他想要阻止這場屠殺。 川普在結束記者會前說：「我昨晚看到的行動是如此精準、如此出色。如果我們的人，像這位將軍和我們的人參與其中，那場戰爭不會持續很久，這我可以告訴你。」 關鍵觀察 這場記者會有幾個值得關注的重點： 門羅主義的復活。川普在記者會上提到，這次行動可以追溯到兩百多年前的門羅主義（Monroe Doctrine），但美國已經「大大超越」了它。他開玩笑說有人把它叫做「Donro 主義」。無論名稱為何，這次行動清楚表明，川普政府將積極維護美國在西半球的主導地位，不允許外國勢力介入。 「說到做到」的訊號。國家安全顧問和國防部長都在記者會上強調，川普是一位「行動派總統」。國家安全顧問說：「第 47 任美國總統不是玩家。當他說要做某件事，當他說要解決某個問題，他是認真的。」這次行動被定位為對全世界的警告：不要和這位總統玩遊戲。 法律依據的模糊性。從記者會內容來看，這次行動的法律基礎似乎是 2020 年對馬杜羅的聯邦起訴書，將行動定性為「逮捕被起訴的逃犯」。國家安全顧問強調，這本質上是一次執法行動，國防部是在支援司法部。但對一個主權國家發動軍事攻擊來逮捕其總統，在國際法上顯然存在巨大爭議。 後續發展的不確定性。美國表示將「管理」委內瑞拉，但具體如何運作仍不清楚。川普提到會有一個團隊與委內瑞拉人合作，石油公司會進入重建基礎設施，但關於政治安排、選舉時程、軍事存在規模等關鍵問題，都沒有明確答案。 這是一個歷史性的時刻。無論各方如何評價這次行動的正當性，它都標誌著美國外交政策的重大轉變，其後續影響將在未來數月甚至數年內持續發酵。

fox hsiao

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站在真相一邊，不要站在立場一邊 ------我談王志安事件 我在看到王志安的事情出來後，在第一時間就把賀瓏夜夜秀的節目找出來看了。 結果我看的版本已經刪除了王志安嘲笑民進黨競選晚會的部分。 所以整個看下來，我沒覺得有任何問題。 反而我覺得王志安的臨場反應很不錯，還很有幽默感。 我比較注意他對台灣民主，台灣的三個政黨，以及兩岸關係的看法。 我的印像是，在三個黨中，他比較傾向柯文哲的民眾黨。 認為國民黨和民進黨都是一回事，都不怎麼樣。 他還說中國的民主最終會實現，但是會花很長時間，可能需要幾個世代。 他說他對台灣有一種特殊的感情，因為自從被趕出中國大陸，他就把所有講中文的地方都當作故鄉。 他說台灣很特殊，一個是講中文，一個是有他家鄉的小吃，還有華人心目中嚮往的民主制度。 另外有一點引起我的注意，在回答問題的時候，他說中國是中華民國。 這個表述在民進黨的圈子裡可能激不起多大的反響，甚至不受歡迎，但是對於中共來說，這就是叛國罪了吧。 然後，說到台灣的選舉，他說覺得作秀的成分比較高，尤其是民進黨，競選活動搞的像現場音樂會。 很會烘托氣氛。 這些言論在我這個外人，也就是對台灣的政黨和社會沒有深入的了解，也沒有過多的情感執著的人來看，沒覺得有問題。 後來我找到他說陳俊翰律師的部分了。 我確實感到不舒服，他做了。 我認為他主要想表達的是民進黨利用殘障人士拉選票，為了生動表達這個觀點，他用一種嘲諷的態度模仿了陳律師說話的樣子。 雖然他的目的可能不是嘲笑殘障人士，但是他把殘障人士的樣子當成了他達成目的的工具，這依然是不厚道的。 他現在對這一行為做了正式的道歉，我認為是對的。 如果更早道歉會更好。 還有一點，我不知道王志安是不是真的認為一位殘障人士不可能有成就。 他們只有被可憐和照顧的份。 所以，民進黨不可能真的重視陳律師，而只是在消費他身為殘障人士的身份。 否則他們就應該把他放到安全名單，而不是排在第16名。 我不知道民進黨的這個排名順序是依據什麼搞的。 我想可能是依據候選人在民眾中的聲望和當選的可能性。 所以，誰的聲望更高，當選的可能性更大，就自然會排在前面。 但這不等於民進黨不能展現別的候選人。 其實讓陳律師出場，向大家展示，一位殘障人士也能參選立委，也能取得這樣的成績，是一件挺正面的事。 不過，在中國可能確實不是如此，殘障人士真的是被那個社會和政府拋棄的。 政府讓他們出來，確實就是為了消費他們的身份，讓人民對政府有個好印象。 但實際上，這些人不可能受到人道的對待，更不可能成功，或者說成功的鳳毛麟角。 所以，也許王志安把對中共政府的認知套在民進黨身上了。 覺得民進黨搞的也是這套。 雖然我不認為王志安說民進黨在消費陳律師是對的。 但是，在台灣這個自由社會裡，他確實應該有這麼想、這麼說的自由。 什麼是自由社會？ 最重要的就是每個人都有思想和言論的自由，即使這個想法和言論不正確，只要它沒有傷害到其他人的合法權利，你就得允許他說出來，不受懲罰。 現在王志安受到了懲罰，五年之內不能進入台灣。 理由不是他侮辱了殘障人士，也不是他錯誤的批評了民進黨，而是他持中國大陸護照在台灣非法工作。 這個處罰合法嗎？ 當然合法。 因為王志安確實違反了台灣法律。 但是，它能讓所有人心服口服嗎？ 我覺得不能。 理由很簡單，王志安上次來台灣也接受了媒體採訪，但就沒事。 那麼這次和上次有什麼差別呢？ 這次他嘲笑了殘障人士，批評了民進黨，引起了台灣輿論的批評。 有了這個對比，人們會自然形成一個聯想：他這次受到懲罰的真正原因是因為侮辱了殘障人士和攻擊了民進黨。 只要有這個聯想，提出這個疑問，其實對執政黨民進黨以及台灣的民主制度的聲譽就已經是不利的了。 因為人們會認為，在台灣，法律有可能被其他動機所利用。 因此，一個人受到懲罰的真正原因有可能和他所謂觸犯的法律沒有必然的關係。 在這一點上，美國已經做了示範。 有多少人相信，川普現在受到的沒完沒了的起訴真的是因為他在那麼多方面都觸犯了法律，而那些起訴他的人真的是為了給自己討回一個公道？ 我想幾乎沒人這麼想。 大家都知道，這些起訴的真正原因是民主黨不想讓川普成為總統候選人。 想用法律官司把他的候選人資格打掉。 而這樣的做法對美國的民主制度傷害巨大。 當法律被政治勢力所利用，成為打人的工具，而不是保護人民正當權利的武器的時候，法律所應該承載的意義在這個社會就開始流失了。 有人可能說， 但王志安確實侮辱了殘障人士，就根據這一點他也應該受到懲罰啊！ 這個觀點從這個角度來說有它一定的正義性。 但是，如果我們忠實執行這項原則，我們就不得不面對另一個問題。 那就是，侮辱殘障人士不應該，那麼侮辱整個一個族群就應該嗎？ 賀瓏夜夜秀的節目中，把中國大陸人說成是支那人，還做遊戲把支那人說的支言支語挑出來。 這對中國大陸人來說是明確的侮辱，但是我看從主持人到觀眾沒有一個人認為這有問題。 王志安也順從的參與了做這個遊戲，大家好像玩的都很開心。 所以，同樣是侮辱，有一種侮辱要受到全社會的口誅筆伐，被驅逐出境，另一種侮辱卻是全社會的不當回事。 這是真正的維護人權嗎？ 還有一點，據我觀察，雖然現在幾乎全台灣看得見的輿論都在譴責王志安，但是，這未必代表了完整的民意。 那些有不同意見的不敢發聲。 我認識的台灣人裡面就有人告訴我，這也太小題大做了，但是我不敢說。 這麼說會被罵死。 你敢為侮辱殘障人士的人說話？ 你這是道德淪喪。 你敢為中共的大外宣說話，你就是中共認知戰的幫兇。 但是，雖然大家不敢公開表達不同意見，但有沒有人會認為民進黨比較跋扈呢？ 可能大選已經結束，民進黨可以不那麼在意民意，但是，千里之行始於足下。 四年並不是太遙遠，加上民進黨這次的贏面比上次小。 我認為民進黨還是應該從現在就努力爭取中間選民。 講到這裡，我就想從政治運作談。 王志安這件事讓我想起我最近看到的美國的事。 大家知道2024年美國也要進行總統選舉。 現在正在進行黨內初選。 川普這週贏了新罕布夏州。 川普在發表勝利感言的時候說，開票只開了7%的時候，就有人盛裝走上這個主席台發表演說，好像她已經贏了一樣。 他說的是另一位共和黨候選人尼吉。 黑利。 她是一位女性。 特朗普又接著說，她穿著高級禮服走上主席台，哦，其實也未必真高級。 這是典型的不成熟的，又刻薄的川普話語。 他想諷刺黑利，說黑利想穿高級禮服，但她的品味或經濟實力都不足以讓她穿上真正高級的禮服。 對一位女性來說，這是明顯的侮辱吧？ 黑利可以回擊川普，也會得到很多人的支持。 因為川普確實做的挺low的。 但是，黑利甚麼都沒說。 反倒是媒體對這件事寫了一些文章。 黑利這樣做，在政治運作上我認為是更聰明的。 因為她讓人看到，她關注的不是這些小節。 她要和川普在真正關乎國家命運的大事上針鋒相對，而對川普對她不夠富有，品味不高的嘲諷一笑了之。 她在眾人面前展現出來的是大度，而川普在這種襯托下就更顯的不紳士。 再回到王志安的事件。 我認為民進黨更明智的政治操作是這樣。 他們可以出一個聲明，對王志安嘲弄模仿陳律師的行為表示批評，並呼籲王志安向陳律師道歉。 同時闡述民進黨為什麼請陳律師上台演講的原因，這裡可以把為什麼民進黨認為殘障人士也能為社會作出傑出貢獻的這些好的理念說清楚。 最後，希望王志安能更深入的了解民主自由社會尊重每個人的價值的精髓，並歡迎下次王志安再來台灣觀選的時候，能夠提出對台灣民主更有見地的意見。 台灣移民署那邊，我覺得給王志安一個警告，而不是直接拒絕入境5年會比較適合。 給一個警告，說下次來台不能工作，如果工作就會被驅逐出境。 但因為上次王志安入境工作沒有受到懲罰，有可能沒有對這個事情重視，因此再給一次機會。 我認為這樣的處理，既維護了民主自由的概念，也體現了民進黨和台灣的寬容大度。 這才是對中國大陸人民上最好的一堂民主課。 但可惜的是，事情並沒有這樣發生。 從王志安的節目最新披露的情況來看，這件事正在繼續升級。 有人把王志安的公司，公司法人的地址，以及王志安私人的地址都公佈到網路上了。 導致他公司的法人被迫不當法人了，他公司的員工不敢上班了。 因為員工拿的是中國大陸的護照，他們在王志安這裡做幕後工作，這樣公佈公司的地址，招致有人到他的公司拍照，對他們是很大的人身安全的威脅。 現在王志安的公司被迫搬家，他本人也無法在自己家裡住了。 臨時住在朋友家。 更嚴重的是，據王志安披露，有兩個網名叫「脫韁野狗」和李小牧的人居然在推特上直播，討論如何僱傭黑幫把王志安做掉。 說如果僱用柬埔寨的黑幫，500美元就搞定了。 僱用黑幫這件事從不同的管道都顯示出了蛛絲馬跡。 起碼是有人在認真考慮這件事。 乾淨世界的播主姜光宇在他的節目中也說，他的日本朋友告訴他，日本的黑幫也對王志安看不慣，有可能找他麻煩。 我把他這集節目的連結和時間碼貼在下面，大家可以自己去看。 脫韁野狗和李小牧在x平台做直播，公開討論僱黑幫殺掉某人。 這是極其瘋狂的事情。 但是，我相信他們覺得自己做的事情是正義的，是在為民除害，因此就毫無顧忌。 也就是他們自認佔據了道德高地，然後就可以以維護正義的名義對對立面任意打擊，甚至殺掉。 這和共產黨的邏輯一摸一樣。 共產黨是什麼邏輯？ 就是立場先行，以立場判定對錯，完全無視事實和邏輯。 如果黨認定你是反革命。 那你一輩子就沒幹過好事。 你以前參加革命也是混進來的，別有用心。 然後就查你這個反革命的黑歷史，找出你的只言片語，或者是靠勞動人民揭發，以此證明你從頭到尾就是個壞東西，從來沒有真正樹立過共產主義的理想信念，就是個反革命。 這種思維用在王志安身上就是：先給王志安扣上一頂中共大外宣的帽子，然後王志安做的所有的事情都是壞的，都是為中共服務的，都是所謂的小罵大幫忙 。 如何證明這一點呢？ 那就起底王志安，把王志安的歷史從學生時代參加89民主運動一直到流亡日本後做的節目都以投機分子和大外宣的視角梳理一遍，找出所謂的證據，然後得出結論，他 就是個徹頭徹尾的中共特務大外宣，而且道德一貫敗壞。 前一陣網上流傳一個總結王志安在評論各種中國社會新聞的過程中為中共洗地的證據的帖子。 我出於好奇，看了文中提到的王志安的一些節目。 結果我的印象和貼文裡面所說的相差很大。 起碼從我看的節目中，我沒覺得他是大外宣。 例如鐵鍊女那期節目，他的核心論點是，這起悲劇的最終責任者就是中共政府。 因為他們沒有解決中國農村大量精神病患者的生存和福利問題，把這個問題推給了家庭。 所以他們就沒有權利去懲罰這些家庭。 沒承擔責任就沒權利懲罰。 他也說，這些精神病患者的處境無論如何都非常艱難。 有時候被拐賣的結果比留在原生家庭好一點。 因為原生家庭沒有能力照顧他們。 所以很多人就會流落街頭，被強姦，被凌虐致死。 他採訪的不少被解救的被拐賣的婦女，並不同意被解救。 因為她們被解救後，並不能被妥善的安置，無處可去，不如現在的生活。 他說這是一個具有諷刺意味的悲哀的現實。 所以他認為，那些不知道中國底層人民生活現實的人為了滿足自己的道德感，而去做一些事情，有可能會更傷害這些民眾。 這是他的觀點。 雖然他的觀點我不完全同意，例如，鐵鍊女是不是精神病患者，這一點沒有明確的認定。 但是，從他已有的觀點中，我沒看出他是為中共說話。 我更不能同意的是，那些個起底王志安的貼文裡面把王志安說成大外宣的邏輯鏈。 這個邏輯是：王志安居然說鐵鍊女被拐賣到董志民家對她比較好，因此，王志安就是在替中共洗地，他就是大外宣。 這是經典的斷章取義，根本沒有完整的反映出王志安這期節目的核心論點。 其實這就是先有立場，然後去找能支撐這個立場的只言片語，以此得出結論，成功的給別人扣上大帽子，然後就可以掄起大棒打擊了。 這完全是共產黨的思路和做法。 但很可悲，反共的人士也沒能跳出這個框架。 批評王志安當然可以，但一定要用事實。 例如我認為他做的幾期法輪功的節目就有很多可以批評之處。 他還說過如果台海打起來，美國不會派兵去支援台灣。 而我認為，美國大概率會派兵。 這不僅是拜登多次確認的，而且我在採訪前太平洋艦隊情報總監的時候，他也告訴我他們早已有軍事計畫等等。 我的觀點也未必對，但是我認為反對一個人，一定要基於真正的事實，而不是精心挑選的，能夠服務於你的立場的所謂證據，然後還要遵循過硬的邏輯。 這樣你的反對才能站得住腳。 這樣的討論才對社會有意義。 如果你不尊重事實，只是為了打擊而打擊，那麼再高大上的旗幟，再多的大V最終也會一敗塗地。 最後我想說，立場先行不是一件小事。 維護自己的立場，認為自己代表正義和道德，會讓一個人，一群人幹出最殘酷的事而不自知。 脫韁野狗僱用黑社會殺人的討論就已經顯示出了這個可怕趨勢的苗頭。 所以，站在真理一邊。 如果你是法輪功學員，那麼站在真善忍一邊，不要站在維護立場一邊。 真理沒有偏向。 我們都是渺小的人，不是神。 我們都有人的缺點，也會犯錯。 誰站在真理這邊，誰最終就會獲得力量。
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站在真相一邊，不要站在立場一邊 ------我談王志安事件 我在看到王志安的事情出來後，在第一時間就把賀瓏夜夜秀的節目找出來看了。 結果我看的版本已經刪除了王志安嘲笑民進黨競選晚會的部分。 所以整個看下來，我沒覺得有任何問題。 反而我覺得王志安的臨場反應很不錯，還很有幽默感。 我比較注意他對台灣民主，台灣的三個政黨，以及兩岸關係的看法。 我的印像是，在三個黨中，他比較傾向柯文哲的民眾黨。 認為國民黨和民進黨都是一回事，都不怎麼樣。 他還說中國的民主最終會實現，但是會花很長時間，可能需要幾個世代。 他說他對台灣有一種特殊的感情，因為自從被趕出中國大陸，他就把所有講中文的地方都當作故鄉。 他說台灣很特殊，一個是講中文，一個是有他家鄉的小吃，還有華人心目中嚮往的民主制度。 另外有一點引起我的注意，在回答問題的時候，他說中國是中華民國。 這個表述在民進黨的圈子裡可能激不起多大的反響，甚至不受歡迎，但是對於中共來說，這就是叛國罪了吧。 然後，說到台灣的選舉，他說覺得作秀的成分比較高，尤其是民進黨，競選活動搞的像現場音樂會。 很會烘托氣氛。 這些言論在我這個外人，也就是對台灣的政黨和社會沒有深入的了解，也沒有過多的情感執著的人來看，沒覺得有問題。 後來我找到他說陳俊翰律師的部分了。 我確實感到不舒服，他做了。 我認為他主要想表達的是民進黨利用殘障人士拉選票，為了生動表達這個觀點，他用一種嘲諷的態度模仿了陳律師說話的樣子。 雖然他的目的可能不是嘲笑殘障人士，但是他把殘障人士的樣子當成了他達成目的的工具，這依然是不厚道的。 他現在對這一行為做了正式的道歉，我認為是對的。 如果更早道歉會更好。 還有一點，我不知道王志安是不是真的認為一位殘障人士不可能有成就。 他們只有被可憐和照顧的份。 所以，民進黨不可能真的重視陳律師，而只是在消費他身為殘障人士的身份。 否則他們就應該把他放到安全名單，而不是排在第16名。 我不知道民進黨的這個排名順序是依據什麼搞的。 我想可能是依據候選人在民眾中的聲望和當選的可能性。 所以，誰的聲望更高，當選的可能性更大，就自然會排在前面。 但這不等於民進黨不能展現別的候選人。 其實讓陳律師出場，向大家展示，一位殘障人士也能參選立委，也能取得這樣的成績，是一件挺正面的事。 不過，在中國可能確實不是如此，殘障人士真的是被那個社會和政府拋棄的。 政府讓他們出來，確實就是為了消費他們的身份，讓人民對政府有個好印象。 但實際上，這些人不可能受到人道的對待，更不可能成功，或者說成功的鳳毛麟角。 所以，也許王志安把對中共政府的認知套在民進黨身上了。 覺得民進黨搞的也是這套。 雖然我不認為王志安說民進黨在消費陳律師是對的。 但是，在台灣這個自由社會裡，他確實應該有這麼想、這麼說的自由。 什麼是自由社會？ 最重要的就是每個人都有思想和言論的自由，即使這個想法和言論不正確，只要它沒有傷害到其他人的合法權利，你就得允許他說出來，不受懲罰。 現在王志安受到了懲罰，五年之內不能進入台灣。 理由不是他侮辱了殘障人士，也不是他錯誤的批評了民進黨，而是他持中國大陸護照在台灣非法工作。 這個處罰合法嗎？ 當然合法。 因為王志安確實違反了台灣法律。 但是，它能讓所有人心服口服嗎？ 我覺得不能。 理由很簡單，王志安上次來台灣也接受了媒體採訪，但就沒事。 那麼這次和上次有什麼差別呢？ 這次他嘲笑了殘障人士，批評了民進黨，引起了台灣輿論的批評。 有了這個對比，人們會自然形成一個聯想：他這次受到懲罰的真正原因是因為侮辱了殘障人士和攻擊了民進黨。 只要有這個聯想，提出這個疑問，其實對執政黨民進黨以及台灣的民主制度的聲譽就已經是不利的了。 因為人們會認為，在台灣，法律有可能被其他動機所利用。 因此，一個人受到懲罰的真正原因有可能和他所謂觸犯的法律沒有必然的關係。 在這一點上，美國已經做了示範。 有多少人相信，川普現在受到的沒完沒了的起訴真的是因為他在那麼多方面都觸犯了法律，而那些起訴他的人真的是為了給自己討回一個公道？ 我想幾乎沒人這麼想。 大家都知道，這些起訴的真正原因是民主黨不想讓川普成為總統候選人。 想用法律官司把他的候選人資格打掉。 而這樣的做法對美國的民主制度傷害巨大。 當法律被政治勢力所利用，成為打人的工具，而不是保護人民正當權利的武器的時候，法律所應該承載的意義在這個社會就開始流失了。 有人可能說， 但王志安確實侮辱了殘障人士，就根據這一點他也應該受到懲罰啊！ 這個觀點從這個角度來說有它一定的正義性。 但是，如果我們忠實執行這項原則，我們就不得不面對另一個問題。 那就是，侮辱殘障人士不應該，那麼侮辱整個一個族群就應該嗎？ 賀瓏夜夜秀的節目中，把中國大陸人說成是支那人，還做遊戲把支那人說的支言支語挑出來。 這對中國大陸人來說是明確的侮辱，但是我看從主持人到觀眾沒有一個人認為這有問題。 王志安也順從的參與了做這個遊戲，大家好像玩的都很開心。 所以，同樣是侮辱，有一種侮辱要受到全社會的口誅筆伐，被驅逐出境，另一種侮辱卻是全社會的不當回事。 這是真正的維護人權嗎？ 還有一點，據我觀察，雖然現在幾乎全台灣看得見的輿論都在譴責王志安，但是，這未必代表了完整的民意。 那些有不同意見的不敢發聲。 我認識的台灣人裡面就有人告訴我，這也太小題大做了，但是我不敢說。 這麼說會被罵死。 你敢為侮辱殘障人士的人說話？ 你這是道德淪喪。 你敢為中共的大外宣說話，你就是中共認知戰的幫兇。 但是，雖然大家不敢公開表達不同意見，但有沒有人會認為民進黨比較跋扈呢？ 可能大選已經結束，民進黨可以不那麼在意民意，但是，千里之行始於足下。 四年並不是太遙遠，加上民進黨這次的贏面比上次小。 我認為民進黨還是應該從現在就努力爭取中間選民。 講到這裡，我就想從政治運作談。 王志安這件事讓我想起我最近看到的美國的事。 大家知道2024年美國也要進行總統選舉。 現在正在進行黨內初選。 川普這週贏了新罕布夏州。 川普在發表勝利感言的時候說，開票只開了7%的時候，就有人盛裝走上這個主席台發表演說，好像她已經贏了一樣。 他說的是另一位共和黨候選人尼吉。 黑利。 她是一位女性。 特朗普又接著說，她穿著高級禮服走上主席台，哦，其實也未必真高級。 這是典型的不成熟的，又刻薄的川普話語。 他想諷刺黑利，說黑利想穿高級禮服，但她的品味或經濟實力都不足以讓她穿上真正高級的禮服。 對一位女性來說，這是明顯的侮辱吧？ 黑利可以回擊川普，也會得到很多人的支持。 因為川普確實做的挺low的。 但是，黑利甚麼都沒說。 反倒是媒體對這件事寫了一些文章。 黑利這樣做，在政治運作上我認為是更聰明的。 因為她讓人看到，她關注的不是這些小節。 她要和川普在真正關乎國家命運的大事上針鋒相對，而對川普對她不夠富有，品味不高的嘲諷一笑了之。 她在眾人面前展現出來的是大度，而川普在這種襯托下就更顯的不紳士。 再回到王志安的事件。 我認為民進黨更明智的政治操作是這樣。 他們可以出一個聲明，對王志安嘲弄模仿陳律師的行為表示批評，並呼籲王志安向陳律師道歉。 同時闡述民進黨為什麼請陳律師上台演講的原因，這裡可以把為什麼民進黨認為殘障人士也能為社會作出傑出貢獻的這些好的理念說清楚。 最後，希望王志安能更深入的了解民主自由社會尊重每個人的價值的精髓，並歡迎下次王志安再來台灣觀選的時候，能夠提出對台灣民主更有見地的意見。 台灣移民署那邊，我覺得給王志安一個警告，而不是直接拒絕入境5年會比較適合。 給一個警告，說下次來台不能工作，如果工作就會被驅逐出境。 但因為上次王志安入境工作沒有受到懲罰，有可能沒有對這個事情重視，因此再給一次機會。 我認為這樣的處理，既維護了民主自由的概念，也體現了民進黨和台灣的寬容大度。 這才是對中國大陸人民上最好的一堂民主課。 但可惜的是，事情並沒有這樣發生。 從王志安的節目最新披露的情況來看，這件事正在繼續升級。 有人把王志安的公司，公司法人的地址，以及王志安私人的地址都公佈到網路上了。 導致他公司的法人被迫不當法人了，他公司的員工不敢上班了。 因為員工拿的是中國大陸的護照，他們在王志安這裡做幕後工作，這樣公佈公司的地址，招致有人到他的公司拍照，對他們是很大的人身安全的威脅。 現在王志安的公司被迫搬家，他本人也無法在自己家裡住了。 臨時住在朋友家。 更嚴重的是，據王志安披露，有兩個網名叫「脫韁野狗」和李小牧的人居然在推特上直播，討論如何僱傭黑幫把王志安做掉。 說如果僱用柬埔寨的黑幫，500美元就搞定了。 僱用黑幫這件事從不同的管道都顯示出了蛛絲馬跡。 起碼是有人在認真考慮這件事。 乾淨世界的播主姜光宇在他的節目中也說，他的日本朋友告訴他，日本的黑幫也對王志安看不慣，有可能找他麻煩。 我把他這集節目的連結和時間碼貼在下面，大家可以自己去看。 脫韁野狗和李小牧在x平台做直播，公開討論僱黑幫殺掉某人。 這是極其瘋狂的事情。 但是，我相信他們覺得自己做的事情是正義的，是在為民除害，因此就毫無顧忌。 也就是他們自認佔據了道德高地，然後就可以以維護正義的名義對對立面任意打擊，甚至殺掉。 這和共產黨的邏輯一摸一樣。 共產黨是什麼邏輯？ 就是立場先行，以立場判定對錯，完全無視事實和邏輯。 如果黨認定你是反革命。 那你一輩子就沒幹過好事。 你以前參加革命也是混進來的，別有用心。 然後就查你這個反革命的黑歷史，找出你的只言片語，或者是靠勞動人民揭發，以此證明你從頭到尾就是個壞東西，從來沒有真正樹立過共產主義的理想信念，就是個反革命。 這種思維用在王志安身上就是：先給王志安扣上一頂中共大外宣的帽子，然後王志安做的所有的事情都是壞的，都是為中共服務的，都是所謂的小罵大幫忙 。 如何證明這一點呢？ 那就起底王志安，把王志安的歷史從學生時代參加89民主運動一直到流亡日本後做的節目都以投機分子和大外宣的視角梳理一遍，找出所謂的證據，然後得出結論，他 就是個徹頭徹尾的中共特務大外宣，而且道德一貫敗壞。 前一陣網上流傳一個總結王志安在評論各種中國社會新聞的過程中為中共洗地的證據的帖子。 我出於好奇，看了文中提到的王志安的一些節目。 結果我的印象和貼文裡面所說的相差很大。 起碼從我看的節目中，我沒覺得他是大外宣。 例如鐵鍊女那期節目，他的核心論點是，這起悲劇的最終責任者就是中共政府。 因為他們沒有解決中國農村大量精神病患者的生存和福利問題，把這個問題推給了家庭。 所以他們就沒有權利去懲罰這些家庭。 沒承擔責任就沒權利懲罰。 他也說，這些精神病患者的處境無論如何都非常艱難。 有時候被拐賣的結果比留在原生家庭好一點。 因為原生家庭沒有能力照顧他們。 所以很多人就會流落街頭，被強姦，被凌虐致死。 他採訪的不少被解救的被拐賣的婦女，並不同意被解救。 因為她們被解救後，並不能被妥善的安置，無處可去，不如現在的生活。 他說這是一個具有諷刺意味的悲哀的現實。 所以他認為，那些不知道中國底層人民生活現實的人為了滿足自己的道德感，而去做一些事情，有可能會更傷害這些民眾。 這是他的觀點。 雖然他的觀點我不完全同意，例如，鐵鍊女是不是精神病患者，這一點沒有明確的認定。 但是，從他已有的觀點中，我沒看出他是為中共說話。 我更不能同意的是，那些個起底王志安的貼文裡面把王志安說成大外宣的邏輯鏈。 這個邏輯是：王志安居然說鐵鍊女被拐賣到董志民家對她比較好，因此，王志安就是在替中共洗地，他就是大外宣。 這是經典的斷章取義，根本沒有完整的反映出王志安這期節目的核心論點。 其實這就是先有立場，然後去找能支撐這個立場的只言片語，以此得出結論，成功的給別人扣上大帽子，然後就可以掄起大棒打擊了。 這完全是共產黨的思路和做法。 但很可悲，反共的人士也沒能跳出這個框架。 批評王志安當然可以，但一定要用事實。 例如我認為他做的幾期法輪功的節目就有很多可以批評之處。 他還說過如果台海打起來，美國不會派兵去支援台灣。 而我認為，美國大概率會派兵。 這不僅是拜登多次確認的，而且我在採訪前太平洋艦隊情報總監的時候，他也告訴我他們早已有軍事計畫等等。 我的觀點也未必對，但是我認為反對一個人，一定要基於真正的事實，而不是精心挑選的，能夠服務於你的立場的所謂證據，然後還要遵循過硬的邏輯。 這樣你的反對才能站得住腳。 這樣的討論才對社會有意義。 如果你不尊重事實，只是為了打擊而打擊，那麼再高大上的旗幟，再多的大V最終也會一敗塗地。 最後我想說，立場先行不是一件小事。 維護自己的立場，認為自己代表正義和道德，會讓一個人，一群人幹出最殘酷的事而不自知。 脫韁野狗僱用黑社會殺人的討論就已經顯示出了這個可怕趨勢的苗頭。 所以，站在真理一邊。 如果你是法輪功學員，那麼站在真善忍一邊，不要站在維護立場一邊。 真理沒有偏向。 我們都是渺小的人，不是神。 我們都有人的缺點，也會犯錯。 誰站在真理這邊，誰最終就會獲得力量。

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Zack Polanski on BBC Radio 4's Today prog calmly knocking back everything Nick Robinson throws at him across 17 minutes NR (00:00.2), "Delighted to say that Zach Polanski is here in the Today programme studio, for the latest, indeed, for the last of our party leader interviews. Morning to you and thanks for coming in." ZP (00:09.2), "Thanks for having me." NR (00:09.8), "Nick, I want to talk to you about what your party would do if it does indeed gain some power after the votes on Thursday. But I want to begin by putting to you one of the latest storeys about you. A Times investigation says that you've made a series of false or disputed claims about jobs you've had in the past with." NR (00:31.8), "Why, for example, did you say you were a spokesperson for the British Red Cross when they are absolutely clear that, though a supporter of theirs, you were never a spokesperson for them?" ZP (00:42.3), "So I hosted, various fundraisers for the British Red Cross and indeed I would go on stage and speak for them about the amazing work they do tackling humanitarian crises, on the climate crisis and indeed for refugees all around the world. I use the wrong word and I accept that." ZP (00:57.5), "But I would essentially take words on stage with me and speak. It's important, though, and I accept this, that, you know, I don't support any political party and I've made sure that's been taken down." NR (01:06.5), "You say this sort of storey is a fuss about nothing, that you get your facts wrong because it comes up with other examples." ZP (01:11.7), "Well, I think it's totally fine to ask me questions about my past. I would also say in the same breath, though the Times published a pretty anti Semitic cartoon of me last week. I asked them to apologise. And it feels some of these storeys feel like scraping the barrel to kind of go back 10, 15 years. I've had so many friends, I'm literally talking maybe 20 or 30 in the last few weeks who have phoned me and said, a Times journalist has been phoning and they've been desperately trying, trying to find things about your past." ZP (01:36.5), "They asked me lots of questions and seemed disappointed that I didn't have some juicy, dirty gossip." NR (01:41.6), "Yeah, well, there was. Whether you call it juicy or dirty, and it wasn't gossip, it was a fact. The fact that you claimed that as a hypnotherapist, you could enlarge women's breasts using the power of thought. People are entitled to say, what's this guy really about?" ZP (01:57.2), "People are totally entitled to say that. And that's an important part of politics, that people ask you questions. What I would say is that, you know, this was 13 years ago. It was a Sun journalist's idea. I've apologised for that. Because even though it was a son journalist idea, I was an adult and I should have said no, you went along with it." NR (02:12.6), "Yeah." ZP (02:12.9), "It's important to say I wasn't a politician. And I've apologised for it repeatedly." NR (02:16.7), "And the BBC showed that some days later, in fact, you repeated the claim that you could do it. But let us not get bogged down in the past. It is striking, though, that on X last night, when, let's be honest, people who are critics of you are having a go. The Daily Mail calls it the Green Menace on its front page." NR (02:34.1), "How did you react? You said you were under relentless attacks because they, your critics don't want a wealth tax, don't want public ownership. They're trying everything in their power to stop us, you said. It's a curious thing to say, isn't it? Ahead of local elections, Green councillors will not have the power to implement any of those policies, will they?" ZP (02:54.8), "Well, I think the relentless attacks on the Green Party in this election, for a local election have partly been about the local election, but really they're about the bigger picture right now. The bigger picture is when I ran to be leader of the Green party, we had 50,000 members, we've now got 225,000 members. So we are rising." ZP (03:11.1), "And I think lots of people are worried about the prospect. And when I say people, people who own, right wing media, multimillionaires and billionaires who are worried about the prospect that they might have to pay a little bit more tax. And so I think it's important that I focus on the vision and the hope and our actual plan." ZP (03:27.4), "I also think it's a complete reality, though we've seen it in the past before with left wing leaders, that there's no secret, there's no love lost between me and the right wing media. And almost every single day they print things that just aren't true." NR (03:38.8), "But just address the point I raised. Wealth tax councils won't get to do that. Public ownership councils don't get to do that. Well, not entirely. We'll come to that in a second. You are running on a national platform of change that the people who are elected on Thursday, whether in the Welsh Parliament, you don't run candidates in the Scottish one, or in English, local councils simply cannot do." ZP (04:03.2), "Well, I think it's about what are your values as a party? And whilst other party leaders and other parties take donations from oil and gas companies or arms trade companies, private healthcare or gambling, Green Party councillors only have two vested interests and Those vested interests. We want to protect the communities we seek to serve and we want to protect the environment." NR (04:21.6), "Well, let's come to that, then, because most interesting, perhaps, is to look at what Greens say who are running for office. You are not. You are a member of the London assembly, you're not a Member of Parliament, you're not running in these elections. Now, you live in Hackney. Hackney happens in northeast London to be a top Green target for taking control from the Labour Party." NR (04:41.9), "So let's look at protecting communities. For example, on crime, the manifesto calls the Metropolitan Police institutionally racist, homophobic, sexist and misogynists. It goes on to say, greens cannot accept this system. It calls for safe spaces for, heroin users to shoot up, to end cautions for street prostitution and to end what the manifesto calls discriminatory policing of delivery riders." NR (05:08.8), "This is an agenda for an endless fight with the police, isn't it?" ZP (05:12.0), "I don't think so. Baroness Casey, in the last couple of years, did a review into Metropolitan Police and it was actually the findings that found it institutionally racist and misogynistic. Something that Sadiq Khan, the Mayor of London, to his credit, accepts. It is noticeable that Mark Rowley, the Commissioner of the Police, doesn't accept that, yet they continue, to work together in that way." ZP (05:31.1), "On the issue of drug harm, we have the highest drug deaths, of any country in Europe. And every single year for the past 13 years, drug deaths have increased. So I think the question anyone has, and we have in Hackney, is that the war on drugs has clearly failed. It's failed in cities right across this country, and more and more people are, often taking dangerous drugs." ZP (05:50.3), "So do we want people to buy them on the black market or on street corners? Or do we want people to go to a pharmacy or a medical health professional where, if they have an addiction to dangerous drugs, we can work with them to take a public health approach based in harm reduction." NR (06:02.7), "Public health approaches to. Is to legalise hard drugs and to legalise prostitution, you say to legalise and regulate and the regulators. It's still legalised, isn't it?" ZP (06:11.5), "No, the point is you can't just go into a shop and buy drugs, which is how it's presented in the press. Again, because I can keep talking about what councillors can do, rather than what" NR (06:18.3), "you would do if you were Prime Minister, because that's for another interview. Are you saying councillors should cut the police budget? Because that's what it seems to imply when you say, we cannot accept this system, let the council spend Money on crime reduction. Don't give that money to the police." ZP (06:33.7), "It's about reprioritizing. So it's." NR (06:35.5), "Does that mean cut in English?" ZP (06:36.7), "No. So let's look at example. We're straight back onto drugs. A lot of police time is spent on stop and search for cannabis use, for instance. It doesn't escape people's notice that that is often, in the politics of racism, if you're a young black person, I think it's something like you're 18 times more likely to be stopped and searched than your white peer, despite the fact there's no evidence that they're more likely to be dealing or using drugs." ZP (07:00.8), "And so I think it's important that we make sure the police time is spent properly, which I think is about community prevention, about cohesiveness and bringing communities together, particularly in, like, whether it means redirecting the budget." NR (07:11.4), "Does it mean the police budget?" ZP (07:12.9), "Well, it means redirecting within the police budget, so making sure that the time police are spent is spent on community safety." NR (07:18.2), "Well, it's interesting that we talked about police because, as you know, you've come under serious criticism for retweeting criticism of the action of the police officers who stopped the alleged attacker of Jews in Golda's Green. Now, you apologised for retweeting that." NR (07:34.1), "You said you should have a meeting with the head of the Met. You sent him a letter. I want to ask you a different question. You've not apologised for the content of that. Why did you empathise with the attacker, and not with police officers who feared for their own lives and were trying to protect other people's lives?" ZP (07:53.3), "I think there's two things in that that I, really clearly want to say. The first is my very first response to the attack was to be horrif, as everyone was, I'm sure. And the first thing I posted was solidarity to the victim, to the family and indeed, to people who are suffering right now, including as a Jewish man, where Jewish safety is not abstract." NR (08:12.0), "But then you posted that officers were repeatedly and violently kicking a mentally ill man in the head when he was incapacitated by a Taser, caused extreme offence to those officers, to the head of the Met and to many people. I ask you again, why did you empathise, Empathise with the attacker, not with the police officer." ZP (08:28.9), "As I said, there's two things I wanted to say, so that was the first. The second, what I want to say is two things can be true at the same Time officers are incredibly brave when they run towards scenes of crimes that most people, including myself, would want to run away from. At the same time, I think it is accurate, and that I was also traumatised, by seeing, someone handcuffed and completely, repeatedly kicked in the head." ZP (08:51.7), "Now, sure, if you'll forgive me, it is an answer," NR (08:54.4), "but it's not an answer to the question. You posted something with the power that you have, with the number of people who follows us, and not empathising in that post with the Jewish community or critically with the police officers, you empathise with the attacker. Look what they're doing to the alleged attacker." ZP (09:11.1), "I don't think it was your choice. As I say, the first thing I did was show solidarity to the victims and I thank the officers. Second, though, I think the sign of a compassionate society is how we treat people, even people who have done horrific things, because actually, the way we do justice in this country is in court." NR (09:26.0), "You said a key value of the Greens was protecting communities. What are your proposals for protecting the Jewish community?" ZP (09:33.5), "The Jewish community is not safe right now. And as I said, as a Jewish man, this isn't abstract for me. In fact, in the last six weeks alone, two people have been arrested. So how would you protect anti Semitic attacks towards me? I think there's lots that needs to happen in this country. The first is community cohesion and community building. Some of the work that I'm proudest of in London, that I see Londoners do, is where I see the Jewish community working alongside the Muslim community." NR (09:55.1), "What would you do? What would Zach Polanski do in order to reduce attacks on the Jewish community?" ZP (09:59.9), "So, first of all, to invest in that work, that community, faith work, to make sure communities stand together. Second, to make sure that the Jewish community, give them the investment that they need. In fact, what the Prime Minister has been doing to make sure that happens. I do think a police response is the last response when everything before it has failed." NR (10:17.6), "I still think you're not really answering the question about what you would do. Let me ask you this." ZP (10:21.0), "I think I do." NR (10:21.6), "Would you deal with, for example, a candidate who says Jewish people fear hate because they know they should be hated. Another one who suggested that the attacks on the ambulances was a false flag and carried out, presumably by Israel. Another of your candidates who blamed Israel for the Bondi beach terrorist attack." NR (10:41.0), "A fourth candidate who said Donald Trump was, quote, owned by Jews. And most horrifying of all, although this individual has now been arrested, one of your candidates who Reposted something saying ramming a synagogue isn't anti Semitism, it's revenge." NR (10:56.8), "What are you, Zach Polanski doing to end these disgusting messages?" ZP (11:03.5), "Those messages are all unacceptable and it's important to condemn that. The Green Party are an anti racist party and it's important that we stick to our values." NR (11:11.0), "We can't just say the words were an anti racist bar to. And I've just read you out five of the most revolting comments at a time when, according to an independent advisor, we face a national emergency of anti Semitism. I'm asking you, you're not responsible for everything they say. Of course you're not." NR (11:26.3), "You can't be." ZP (11:27.3), "I am responsible, actually." NR (11:28.2), "What are you going to do about it?" ZP (11:29.0), "I am the leader of a party. I was about to finish my sentence." NR (11:31.5), "Forgive me. Go on." ZP (11:32.4), "We're an anti racist party. And so what I've already committed to doing is making sure that we have a standardised vetting process in future. And also make sure that we have compulsory training of all our candidates to make it clear that anti Semitism is completely unwelcome in the Green Party as it is in society. It is also important to say one case of anti Semitism is one too many." ZP (11:50.5), "This is a handful of cases and actually we have over 4,500 candidates, the vast, vast majority of which are doing amazing work in their communities right now, going out there to tackle the cost of living crisis, to make sure that we're funding public services and making sure that it's about people power and community, grassroots power." NR (12:05.1), "You can dismiss one or two as, just, unrepresentative. I've just read five. I could have read 20 cases of revolting anti Semitism posted by your candidates. Now you're a new leader, how are you going to avoid becoming the new Jeremy Corbyn of British politics?" ZP (12:21.5), "Well, I think me and Jeremy are very different people and there's much, you know, the question was almost inviting me to condemn Jeremy Corbyn. I think there was lots that Jeremy Corbyn was putting forward to this country that I think was really positive. We've talked about wealth taxes, about public ownership. I also think it's important, speaking, for myself right now, that we make sure that we have this vetting process, that it's really clear that anti Semitism, Islamophobia, any form of hatred or hate, crime is not welcome." NR (12:47.3), "Do you believe that Palestine is, to coin a phrase, on the ballot this Thursday?" ZP (12:52.3), "I think lots of things are on the ballot this Thursday." NR (12:54.6), "But is Palestine on the ballot? This." ZP (12:56.2), "I think it's one of the elements, as is the climate crisis. As is." NR (12:58.7), "What does it mean Palestine is on the ballot? Because. The reason I ask you is because your candidate for mayor of Lewisham says Palestine is on the ballot this Thursday. Haringey Green Party campaign launch video. You might think it'd be about bins, you might think it'd be about schools, hospitals, it might be about cleaning up the roads." NR (13:17.2), "It is a series of councillors saying, as a council, I will take all appropriate steps to, uphold the inalienable rights of the Palestinian people. Do you think council elections really should be about Palestine?" ZP (13:29.8), "I think they can be about all of those things. And I think what people have seen in this country is a genocide for two and a half years that our government is still arming, are still sharing intelligence with. And I think lots of people feel very strongly both about their local services, as they should do, and feel equally strongly about the fact that there's a reprehensible genocide happening." ZP (13:48.5), "And they vote, but the way they vote in local elections" NR (13:52.6), "should be determined by their views of Israel and Palestine." ZP (13:56.0), "I wouldn't tell anyone how their vote should be determined, but I think it's an element for lots of people in how they vote." NR (14:00.1), "And do you think that will contribute to community cohesion? Do you?" ZP (14:02.7), "I think yes, because I think, we shouldn't pit Jewish safety against a genocide in Gaza. That's conflating anti Semitism and criticism of the Israeli government. That's something Benjamin Netanyahu does regularly. And as a Jewish person, that makes me feel less safe." NR (14:16.4), "Sure. But there are lots of Jewish people who would say to you they feel unsafe if they feel that their counsellors are motivated first and foremost by Palestine. And if somebody gives that speech, for example, about Palestine being on the ballot, they are likely to think that." NR (14:34.6), "We looked for, example at Barnett Greens, where one in seven residents identify as Jewish. And it includes in its manifesto the fact that, you're standing up for Palestine. Do you think that's going to help?" ZP (14:49.0), "Well, I walk regularly on Palestinian marches with hundreds and hundreds, in fact, thousands of people, many of whom are Jewish. And there have been rabbis who have spoken out on this too. I accept, though, there are Jewish people whose views are equally as valid who, don't agree with those views." ZP (15:04.0), "And I think the job of all of us who are in public life right now is to de. Escalate tensions. And look, how do we bring people together? And I accept that's a huge challenge. And I think one of the ways we could do that is by ending our complicity in the genocide." NR (15:15.4), "Let's turn finally to another issue. We'll talk at greater length when, we're talking about the possibility of you being Prime Minister, which you have said that you would like to do. One thing that is very high on the agenda now is the soaring cost of government borrowing. What would the Greens do to cut it?" ZP (15:30.6), "Well, I think we need to make sure that we're investing. So I think there's two ways of doing that. The first is, wealth taxes, which I know we've rehearsed before, but I'll just say that's for first place." NR (15:38.4), "How does that cut government borrowing?" ZP (15:40.2), "Because ultimately it means you need to borrow less if you're." NR (15:43.0), "If you're ultimately about cutting the cost of government borrowing." ZP (15:45.5), "Yes." NR (15:45.8), "Which is soaring. It's higher than it's been any time this century because people are nervous about high spending, high taxing governments that are politically unstable." ZP (15:54.7), "I think someone who speaks brilliantly on this, who I've spoken to, is the economist Mariana Matsicatu, and she talks about the fact that a government should have a mission that should be a very clear plan of how you tackle the climate crisis, how you reduce inequality. Now, if you have a clear plan and you're borrowing for that, you're taking the market with you because they can clearly see what the return on investment is and how you're bringing money back into the." ZP (16:15.2), "That's how you reduce borrowing levels. If we don't have a plan and continue to borrow, then it feels very, very scattered, and that's why things are getting worse. We need to make sure that there's a consistent plan in place that's set out carefully that can make sure we're putting money back into our communities and investing in those communities." NR (16:29.3), "Do you think you're ready to be Prime Minister?" ZP (16:31.1), "I'm not ready right now, no. I've been leader for eight months, and there's lots of skills and lots of knowledge to get, and I think that's fine. I think I'm a human being. I'm not perfect." NR (16:38.5), "But give it two years, you will be." ZP (16:40.0), "Well, we'll see in two years time, won't we? But I'll certainly be putting in the work." NR (16:43.2), "Zach Polanski, leader of the Green Party in England and Wales, thanks very much for coming into the." ZP (16:46.3), "Thank you, Nick."
16:47

Zack Polanski on BBC Radio 4's Today prog calmly knocking back everything Nick Robinson throws at him across 17 minutes NR (00:00.2), "Delighted to say that Zach Polanski is here in the Today programme studio, for the latest, indeed, for the last of our party leader interviews. Morning to you and thanks for coming in." ZP (00:09.2), "Thanks for having me." NR (00:09.8), "Nick, I want to talk to you about what your party would do if it does indeed gain some power after the votes on Thursday. But I want to begin by putting to you one of the latest storeys about you. A Times investigation says that you've made a series of false or disputed claims about jobs you've had in the past with." NR (00:31.8), "Why, for example, did you say you were a spokesperson for the British Red Cross when they are absolutely clear that, though a supporter of theirs, you were never a spokesperson for them?" ZP (00:42.3), "So I hosted, various fundraisers for the British Red Cross and indeed I would go on stage and speak for them about the amazing work they do tackling humanitarian crises, on the climate crisis and indeed for refugees all around the world. I use the wrong word and I accept that." ZP (00:57.5), "But I would essentially take words on stage with me and speak. It's important, though, and I accept this, that, you know, I don't support any political party and I've made sure that's been taken down." NR (01:06.5), "You say this sort of storey is a fuss about nothing, that you get your facts wrong because it comes up with other examples." ZP (01:11.7), "Well, I think it's totally fine to ask me questions about my past. I would also say in the same breath, though the Times published a pretty anti Semitic cartoon of me last week. I asked them to apologise. And it feels some of these storeys feel like scraping the barrel to kind of go back 10, 15 years. I've had so many friends, I'm literally talking maybe 20 or 30 in the last few weeks who have phoned me and said, a Times journalist has been phoning and they've been desperately trying, trying to find things about your past." ZP (01:36.5), "They asked me lots of questions and seemed disappointed that I didn't have some juicy, dirty gossip." NR (01:41.6), "Yeah, well, there was. Whether you call it juicy or dirty, and it wasn't gossip, it was a fact. The fact that you claimed that as a hypnotherapist, you could enlarge women's breasts using the power of thought. People are entitled to say, what's this guy really about?" ZP (01:57.2), "People are totally entitled to say that. And that's an important part of politics, that people ask you questions. What I would say is that, you know, this was 13 years ago. It was a Sun journalist's idea. I've apologised for that. Because even though it was a son journalist idea, I was an adult and I should have said no, you went along with it." NR (02:12.6), "Yeah." ZP (02:12.9), "It's important to say I wasn't a politician. And I've apologised for it repeatedly." NR (02:16.7), "And the BBC showed that some days later, in fact, you repeated the claim that you could do it. But let us not get bogged down in the past. It is striking, though, that on X last night, when, let's be honest, people who are critics of you are having a go. The Daily Mail calls it the Green Menace on its front page." NR (02:34.1), "How did you react? You said you were under relentless attacks because they, your critics don't want a wealth tax, don't want public ownership. They're trying everything in their power to stop us, you said. It's a curious thing to say, isn't it? Ahead of local elections, Green councillors will not have the power to implement any of those policies, will they?" ZP (02:54.8), "Well, I think the relentless attacks on the Green Party in this election, for a local election have partly been about the local election, but really they're about the bigger picture right now. The bigger picture is when I ran to be leader of the Green party, we had 50,000 members, we've now got 225,000 members. So we are rising." ZP (03:11.1), "And I think lots of people are worried about the prospect. And when I say people, people who own, right wing media, multimillionaires and billionaires who are worried about the prospect that they might have to pay a little bit more tax. And so I think it's important that I focus on the vision and the hope and our actual plan." ZP (03:27.4), "I also think it's a complete reality, though we've seen it in the past before with left wing leaders, that there's no secret, there's no love lost between me and the right wing media. And almost every single day they print things that just aren't true." NR (03:38.8), "But just address the point I raised. Wealth tax councils won't get to do that. Public ownership councils don't get to do that. Well, not entirely. We'll come to that in a second. You are running on a national platform of change that the people who are elected on Thursday, whether in the Welsh Parliament, you don't run candidates in the Scottish one, or in English, local councils simply cannot do." ZP (04:03.2), "Well, I think it's about what are your values as a party? And whilst other party leaders and other parties take donations from oil and gas companies or arms trade companies, private healthcare or gambling, Green Party councillors only have two vested interests and Those vested interests. We want to protect the communities we seek to serve and we want to protect the environment." NR (04:21.6), "Well, let's come to that, then, because most interesting, perhaps, is to look at what Greens say who are running for office. You are not. You are a member of the London assembly, you're not a Member of Parliament, you're not running in these elections. Now, you live in Hackney. Hackney happens in northeast London to be a top Green target for taking control from the Labour Party." NR (04:41.9), "So let's look at protecting communities. For example, on crime, the manifesto calls the Metropolitan Police institutionally racist, homophobic, sexist and misogynists. It goes on to say, greens cannot accept this system. It calls for safe spaces for, heroin users to shoot up, to end cautions for street prostitution and to end what the manifesto calls discriminatory policing of delivery riders." NR (05:08.8), "This is an agenda for an endless fight with the police, isn't it?" ZP (05:12.0), "I don't think so. Baroness Casey, in the last couple of years, did a review into Metropolitan Police and it was actually the findings that found it institutionally racist and misogynistic. Something that Sadiq Khan, the Mayor of London, to his credit, accepts. It is noticeable that Mark Rowley, the Commissioner of the Police, doesn't accept that, yet they continue, to work together in that way." ZP (05:31.1), "On the issue of drug harm, we have the highest drug deaths, of any country in Europe. And every single year for the past 13 years, drug deaths have increased. So I think the question anyone has, and we have in Hackney, is that the war on drugs has clearly failed. It's failed in cities right across this country, and more and more people are, often taking dangerous drugs." ZP (05:50.3), "So do we want people to buy them on the black market or on street corners? Or do we want people to go to a pharmacy or a medical health professional where, if they have an addiction to dangerous drugs, we can work with them to take a public health approach based in harm reduction." NR (06:02.7), "Public health approaches to. Is to legalise hard drugs and to legalise prostitution, you say to legalise and regulate and the regulators. It's still legalised, isn't it?" ZP (06:11.5), "No, the point is you can't just go into a shop and buy drugs, which is how it's presented in the press. Again, because I can keep talking about what councillors can do, rather than what" NR (06:18.3), "you would do if you were Prime Minister, because that's for another interview. Are you saying councillors should cut the police budget? Because that's what it seems to imply when you say, we cannot accept this system, let the council spend Money on crime reduction. Don't give that money to the police." ZP (06:33.7), "It's about reprioritizing. So it's." NR (06:35.5), "Does that mean cut in English?" ZP (06:36.7), "No. So let's look at example. We're straight back onto drugs. A lot of police time is spent on stop and search for cannabis use, for instance. It doesn't escape people's notice that that is often, in the politics of racism, if you're a young black person, I think it's something like you're 18 times more likely to be stopped and searched than your white peer, despite the fact there's no evidence that they're more likely to be dealing or using drugs." ZP (07:00.8), "And so I think it's important that we make sure the police time is spent properly, which I think is about community prevention, about cohesiveness and bringing communities together, particularly in, like, whether it means redirecting the budget." NR (07:11.4), "Does it mean the police budget?" ZP (07:12.9), "Well, it means redirecting within the police budget, so making sure that the time police are spent is spent on community safety." NR (07:18.2), "Well, it's interesting that we talked about police because, as you know, you've come under serious criticism for retweeting criticism of the action of the police officers who stopped the alleged attacker of Jews in Golda's Green. Now, you apologised for retweeting that." NR (07:34.1), "You said you should have a meeting with the head of the Met. You sent him a letter. I want to ask you a different question. You've not apologised for the content of that. Why did you empathise with the attacker, and not with police officers who feared for their own lives and were trying to protect other people's lives?" ZP (07:53.3), "I think there's two things in that that I, really clearly want to say. The first is my very first response to the attack was to be horrif, as everyone was, I'm sure. And the first thing I posted was solidarity to the victim, to the family and indeed, to people who are suffering right now, including as a Jewish man, where Jewish safety is not abstract." NR (08:12.0), "But then you posted that officers were repeatedly and violently kicking a mentally ill man in the head when he was incapacitated by a Taser, caused extreme offence to those officers, to the head of the Met and to many people. I ask you again, why did you empathise, Empathise with the attacker, not with the police officer." ZP (08:28.9), "As I said, there's two things I wanted to say, so that was the first. The second, what I want to say is two things can be true at the same Time officers are incredibly brave when they run towards scenes of crimes that most people, including myself, would want to run away from. At the same time, I think it is accurate, and that I was also traumatised, by seeing, someone handcuffed and completely, repeatedly kicked in the head." ZP (08:51.7), "Now, sure, if you'll forgive me, it is an answer," NR (08:54.4), "but it's not an answer to the question. You posted something with the power that you have, with the number of people who follows us, and not empathising in that post with the Jewish community or critically with the police officers, you empathise with the attacker. Look what they're doing to the alleged attacker." ZP (09:11.1), "I don't think it was your choice. As I say, the first thing I did was show solidarity to the victims and I thank the officers. Second, though, I think the sign of a compassionate society is how we treat people, even people who have done horrific things, because actually, the way we do justice in this country is in court." NR (09:26.0), "You said a key value of the Greens was protecting communities. What are your proposals for protecting the Jewish community?" ZP (09:33.5), "The Jewish community is not safe right now. And as I said, as a Jewish man, this isn't abstract for me. In fact, in the last six weeks alone, two people have been arrested. So how would you protect anti Semitic attacks towards me? I think there's lots that needs to happen in this country. The first is community cohesion and community building. Some of the work that I'm proudest of in London, that I see Londoners do, is where I see the Jewish community working alongside the Muslim community." NR (09:55.1), "What would you do? What would Zach Polanski do in order to reduce attacks on the Jewish community?" ZP (09:59.9), "So, first of all, to invest in that work, that community, faith work, to make sure communities stand together. Second, to make sure that the Jewish community, give them the investment that they need. In fact, what the Prime Minister has been doing to make sure that happens. I do think a police response is the last response when everything before it has failed." NR (10:17.6), "I still think you're not really answering the question about what you would do. Let me ask you this." ZP (10:21.0), "I think I do." NR (10:21.6), "Would you deal with, for example, a candidate who says Jewish people fear hate because they know they should be hated. Another one who suggested that the attacks on the ambulances was a false flag and carried out, presumably by Israel. Another of your candidates who blamed Israel for the Bondi beach terrorist attack." NR (10:41.0), "A fourth candidate who said Donald Trump was, quote, owned by Jews. And most horrifying of all, although this individual has now been arrested, one of your candidates who Reposted something saying ramming a synagogue isn't anti Semitism, it's revenge." NR (10:56.8), "What are you, Zach Polanski doing to end these disgusting messages?" ZP (11:03.5), "Those messages are all unacceptable and it's important to condemn that. The Green Party are an anti racist party and it's important that we stick to our values." NR (11:11.0), "We can't just say the words were an anti racist bar to. And I've just read you out five of the most revolting comments at a time when, according to an independent advisor, we face a national emergency of anti Semitism. I'm asking you, you're not responsible for everything they say. Of course you're not." NR (11:26.3), "You can't be." ZP (11:27.3), "I am responsible, actually." NR (11:28.2), "What are you going to do about it?" ZP (11:29.0), "I am the leader of a party. I was about to finish my sentence." NR (11:31.5), "Forgive me. Go on." ZP (11:32.4), "We're an anti racist party. And so what I've already committed to doing is making sure that we have a standardised vetting process in future. And also make sure that we have compulsory training of all our candidates to make it clear that anti Semitism is completely unwelcome in the Green Party as it is in society. It is also important to say one case of anti Semitism is one too many." ZP (11:50.5), "This is a handful of cases and actually we have over 4,500 candidates, the vast, vast majority of which are doing amazing work in their communities right now, going out there to tackle the cost of living crisis, to make sure that we're funding public services and making sure that it's about people power and community, grassroots power." NR (12:05.1), "You can dismiss one or two as, just, unrepresentative. I've just read five. I could have read 20 cases of revolting anti Semitism posted by your candidates. Now you're a new leader, how are you going to avoid becoming the new Jeremy Corbyn of British politics?" ZP (12:21.5), "Well, I think me and Jeremy are very different people and there's much, you know, the question was almost inviting me to condemn Jeremy Corbyn. I think there was lots that Jeremy Corbyn was putting forward to this country that I think was really positive. We've talked about wealth taxes, about public ownership. I also think it's important, speaking, for myself right now, that we make sure that we have this vetting process, that it's really clear that anti Semitism, Islamophobia, any form of hatred or hate, crime is not welcome." NR (12:47.3), "Do you believe that Palestine is, to coin a phrase, on the ballot this Thursday?" ZP (12:52.3), "I think lots of things are on the ballot this Thursday." NR (12:54.6), "But is Palestine on the ballot? This." ZP (12:56.2), "I think it's one of the elements, as is the climate crisis. As is." NR (12:58.7), "What does it mean Palestine is on the ballot? Because. The reason I ask you is because your candidate for mayor of Lewisham says Palestine is on the ballot this Thursday. Haringey Green Party campaign launch video. You might think it'd be about bins, you might think it'd be about schools, hospitals, it might be about cleaning up the roads." NR (13:17.2), "It is a series of councillors saying, as a council, I will take all appropriate steps to, uphold the inalienable rights of the Palestinian people. Do you think council elections really should be about Palestine?" ZP (13:29.8), "I think they can be about all of those things. And I think what people have seen in this country is a genocide for two and a half years that our government is still arming, are still sharing intelligence with. And I think lots of people feel very strongly both about their local services, as they should do, and feel equally strongly about the fact that there's a reprehensible genocide happening." ZP (13:48.5), "And they vote, but the way they vote in local elections" NR (13:52.6), "should be determined by their views of Israel and Palestine." ZP (13:56.0), "I wouldn't tell anyone how their vote should be determined, but I think it's an element for lots of people in how they vote." NR (14:00.1), "And do you think that will contribute to community cohesion? Do you?" ZP (14:02.7), "I think yes, because I think, we shouldn't pit Jewish safety against a genocide in Gaza. That's conflating anti Semitism and criticism of the Israeli government. That's something Benjamin Netanyahu does regularly. And as a Jewish person, that makes me feel less safe." NR (14:16.4), "Sure. But there are lots of Jewish people who would say to you they feel unsafe if they feel that their counsellors are motivated first and foremost by Palestine. And if somebody gives that speech, for example, about Palestine being on the ballot, they are likely to think that." NR (14:34.6), "We looked for, example at Barnett Greens, where one in seven residents identify as Jewish. And it includes in its manifesto the fact that, you're standing up for Palestine. Do you think that's going to help?" ZP (14:49.0), "Well, I walk regularly on Palestinian marches with hundreds and hundreds, in fact, thousands of people, many of whom are Jewish. And there have been rabbis who have spoken out on this too. I accept, though, there are Jewish people whose views are equally as valid who, don't agree with those views." ZP (15:04.0), "And I think the job of all of us who are in public life right now is to de. Escalate tensions. And look, how do we bring people together? And I accept that's a huge challenge. And I think one of the ways we could do that is by ending our complicity in the genocide." NR (15:15.4), "Let's turn finally to another issue. We'll talk at greater length when, we're talking about the possibility of you being Prime Minister, which you have said that you would like to do. One thing that is very high on the agenda now is the soaring cost of government borrowing. What would the Greens do to cut it?" ZP (15:30.6), "Well, I think we need to make sure that we're investing. So I think there's two ways of doing that. The first is, wealth taxes, which I know we've rehearsed before, but I'll just say that's for first place." NR (15:38.4), "How does that cut government borrowing?" ZP (15:40.2), "Because ultimately it means you need to borrow less if you're." NR (15:43.0), "If you're ultimately about cutting the cost of government borrowing." ZP (15:45.5), "Yes." NR (15:45.8), "Which is soaring. It's higher than it's been any time this century because people are nervous about high spending, high taxing governments that are politically unstable." ZP (15:54.7), "I think someone who speaks brilliantly on this, who I've spoken to, is the economist Mariana Matsicatu, and she talks about the fact that a government should have a mission that should be a very clear plan of how you tackle the climate crisis, how you reduce inequality. Now, if you have a clear plan and you're borrowing for that, you're taking the market with you because they can clearly see what the return on investment is and how you're bringing money back into the." ZP (16:15.2), "That's how you reduce borrowing levels. If we don't have a plan and continue to borrow, then it feels very, very scattered, and that's why things are getting worse. We need to make sure that there's a consistent plan in place that's set out carefully that can make sure we're putting money back into our communities and investing in those communities." NR (16:29.3), "Do you think you're ready to be Prime Minister?" ZP (16:31.1), "I'm not ready right now, no. I've been leader for eight months, and there's lots of skills and lots of knowledge to get, and I think that's fine. I think I'm a human being. I'm not perfect." NR (16:38.5), "But give it two years, you will be." ZP (16:40.0), "Well, we'll see in two years time, won't we? But I'll certainly be putting in the work." NR (16:43.2), "Zach Polanski, leader of the Green Party in England and Wales, thanks very much for coming into the." ZP (16:46.3), "Thank you, Nick."

Farrukh

165,871 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

2025 Results (First, WITHOUT my WSOP win and I explain further down why removing your biggest score can be helpful): CoinPoker: -$100k PokerStars: +$144k GG Poker: +$409k GG Rake: -$70k GG Rakeback: +$40k —————————— Total Profit: $423k Hours played: ~200 Full 8–12h sessions: 20 Day 2 / Day 3 / FT sessions (2–4h): 10 Total sessions: 30 Hourly: $2,150 —————————— Now INCLUDING the WSOP Main: Total Profit: $4,323,000 Hourly: $21,615 —————————— I play 20–24 tables. That’s my sweet spot. I often stream on Twitch → extra distraction + people seeing my game. Yes, I could play fewer tables. But 20–24 maximizes my hourly. With 10–15 tables I’d have higher ROI. But significantly lower hourly. —————————— Yes, my yearly sample size is smaller. Usually 700 – 1,200 tournaments/year. I mostly play Sundays. 2–3 sessions per month (more during big series). I have similar results for the past 10+ years (of course not as big as winning the WSOP main). A lot of my time goes into my two businesses: Raise Your Edge and ACEND CLUB . Fewer sessions = more focus. More excitement. Better preparation. And that reflects in my results every single year. And I want to show you something important: You don’t need to be a slave to poker. Even at midstakes, you can earn very well playing only a few sessions per week - depending on your goals and life outside poker. —————————— I also spend a lot of time on: • content creation • studying • researching • updating material for our students That keeps me sharp. I spot new things and exploits fast. I like systems. Simple systems. Extremely effective. I don’t follow many of the pushed GTO concepts. I believe many of them hurt winrates more than they help. I focus on: • spots that are massively underbluffed • spots where I can fold my entire bluffcatcher range • spots where I don’t need to bluff at all I train to identify those spots. Result? I need 1 second to decide. Others tank 20 - 30 seconds, think about blockers, balance, GTO… and still make a losing decision because they don’t realize the spot is under-bluffed. That speed lets me: • add tables • reduce mental load • increase profit Example: I created Postflop Rocket → one of the #12 most profitable postflop exploits for our Champions students. It’s a checklist. Easy to apply. Extremely effective. Especially if you don’t want to waste hours in solvers learning strategies that don’t move the needle anyway. People still laugh and say: “Your game is unbalanced. Easily exploitable.” Okay. Sure. —————————— Why remove the biggest score? To identify trends. In tournament poker, big scores often carry an entire year. They can also completely distort reality. Example: You’re down $100k. Then boom - $130k score. Now you’re +$30k on the year. Add rakeback → maybe +$35–40k. BUT… If your graph goes straight down for thousands of games and one score saves the year, chances are high you’re a losing player with one lucky run. Yes, we need big scores in MTTs. But be brutally honest with yourself without your biggest score: • Break-even? → Not bad • Slightly up? → Good • Decently up? → Amazing • Decently down? → HIT THE LAB! Review with friends/coaches. Find the Leaks ASAP! This is about probabilities. Are you truly winning - or just lucky? Many players overvalue their biggest score. They move up in stakes. And their bankroll disappears faster than they can react. —————————— “WOW, if I made this money, I’d quit and enjoy life.” Reality check. This mindset is exactly why you won’t succeed. Yes, money matters. Making alot of money matters to me too. But its not everything. You lack: • Passion (NOT the Passion to make money with Poker), but REAL passion for the GRIND • Fire. Fire to also get up after brutal sessions. Fire to be excited about fixing leaks and improving. • Respect for the lessons this game teaches Without the above? It puts you at a huge disadvantage. For people like me, I dont mind ... • Getting up after downswings • Studying with zero paycheck • Grinding for years without results • Appreciating the growth and learnings without seeing the $ results. Yeah its not nice. But we accept those things as part of the journey. It took me 2 years to withdraw my first dollars. Are you willing to do that? 2-4 years of serious effort with no results? To grind your way up in Poker whilst working a job? You only see the highlights. The big scores. The Instagram moments. That’s not reality. That’s not the grind. This delusion will hold you back. You won’t last. You can’t handle effort without immediate reward. Welcome to life. We can do everything right and still lose. Results are often not in our control. Only consistent effort over years makes success likely - not guaranteed. But not trying guarantees failure. If you think you’d “retire” after making X millions, you haven’t understood what it takes to win. Why quit if you love the game? If it’s your fire? That’s the difference between: • players winning for 10+ years • and those with one good year who disappear Everything has a price. Poker millions cost: • sacrifice • downswings • self-doubt • people laughing at you • pushing through anyway Most people want the millions. Not the price. That’s why I’ve never thought about quitting. Maybe one day - because something else excites me more or I don’t enjoy the grind anymore. But never because I made X dollars. —————————— If you made it this far - good sign. Most only care about the money. They look for shortcuts. The value of this post isn’t the results. It’s the messages. That’s the stuff that actually moves you forward. I wish you a STRONG 2026 CHAMP! Lets Crush!
0:20

2025 Results (First, WITHOUT my WSOP win and I explain further down why removing your biggest score can be helpful): CoinPoker: -$100k PokerStars: +$144k GG Poker: +$409k GG Rake: -$70k GG Rakeback: +$40k —————————— Total Profit: $423k Hours played: ~200 Full 8–12h sessions: 20 Day 2 / Day 3 / FT sessions (2–4h): 10 Total sessions: 30 Hourly: $2,150 —————————— Now INCLUDING the WSOP Main: Total Profit: $4,323,000 Hourly: $21,615 —————————— I play 20–24 tables. That’s my sweet spot. I often stream on Twitch → extra distraction + people seeing my game. Yes, I could play fewer tables. But 20–24 maximizes my hourly. With 10–15 tables I’d have higher ROI. But significantly lower hourly. —————————— Yes, my yearly sample size is smaller. Usually 700 – 1,200 tournaments/year. I mostly play Sundays. 2–3 sessions per month (more during big series). I have similar results for the past 10+ years (of course not as big as winning the WSOP main). A lot of my time goes into my two businesses: Raise Your Edge and ACEND CLUB . Fewer sessions = more focus. More excitement. Better preparation. And that reflects in my results every single year. And I want to show you something important: You don’t need to be a slave to poker. Even at midstakes, you can earn very well playing only a few sessions per week - depending on your goals and life outside poker. —————————— I also spend a lot of time on: • content creation • studying • researching • updating material for our students That keeps me sharp. I spot new things and exploits fast. I like systems. Simple systems. Extremely effective. I don’t follow many of the pushed GTO concepts. I believe many of them hurt winrates more than they help. I focus on: • spots that are massively underbluffed • spots where I can fold my entire bluffcatcher range • spots where I don’t need to bluff at all I train to identify those spots. Result? I need 1 second to decide. Others tank 20 - 30 seconds, think about blockers, balance, GTO… and still make a losing decision because they don’t realize the spot is under-bluffed. That speed lets me: • add tables • reduce mental load • increase profit Example: I created Postflop Rocket → one of the #12 most profitable postflop exploits for our Champions students. It’s a checklist. Easy to apply. Extremely effective. Especially if you don’t want to waste hours in solvers learning strategies that don’t move the needle anyway. People still laugh and say: “Your game is unbalanced. Easily exploitable.” Okay. Sure. —————————— Why remove the biggest score? To identify trends. In tournament poker, big scores often carry an entire year. They can also completely distort reality. Example: You’re down $100k. Then boom - $130k score. Now you’re +$30k on the year. Add rakeback → maybe +$35–40k. BUT… If your graph goes straight down for thousands of games and one score saves the year, chances are high you’re a losing player with one lucky run. Yes, we need big scores in MTTs. But be brutally honest with yourself without your biggest score: • Break-even? → Not bad • Slightly up? → Good • Decently up? → Amazing • Decently down? → HIT THE LAB! Review with friends/coaches. Find the Leaks ASAP! This is about probabilities. Are you truly winning - or just lucky? Many players overvalue their biggest score. They move up in stakes. And their bankroll disappears faster than they can react. —————————— “WOW, if I made this money, I’d quit and enjoy life.” Reality check. This mindset is exactly why you won’t succeed. Yes, money matters. Making alot of money matters to me too. But its not everything. You lack: • Passion (NOT the Passion to make money with Poker), but REAL passion for the GRIND • Fire. Fire to also get up after brutal sessions. Fire to be excited about fixing leaks and improving. • Respect for the lessons this game teaches Without the above? It puts you at a huge disadvantage. For people like me, I dont mind ... • Getting up after downswings • Studying with zero paycheck • Grinding for years without results • Appreciating the growth and learnings without seeing the $ results. Yeah its not nice. But we accept those things as part of the journey. It took me 2 years to withdraw my first dollars. Are you willing to do that? 2-4 years of serious effort with no results? To grind your way up in Poker whilst working a job? You only see the highlights. The big scores. The Instagram moments. That’s not reality. That’s not the grind. This delusion will hold you back. You won’t last. You can’t handle effort without immediate reward. Welcome to life. We can do everything right and still lose. Results are often not in our control. Only consistent effort over years makes success likely - not guaranteed. But not trying guarantees failure. If you think you’d “retire” after making X millions, you haven’t understood what it takes to win. Why quit if you love the game? If it’s your fire? That’s the difference between: • players winning for 10+ years • and those with one good year who disappear Everything has a price. Poker millions cost: • sacrifice • downswings • self-doubt • people laughing at you • pushing through anyway Most people want the millions. Not the price. That’s why I’ve never thought about quitting. Maybe one day - because something else excites me more or I don’t enjoy the grind anymore. But never because I made X dollars. —————————— If you made it this far - good sign. Most only care about the money. They look for shortcuts. The value of this post isn’t the results. It’s the messages. That’s the stuff that actually moves you forward. I wish you a STRONG 2026 CHAMP! Lets Crush!

bencb

3,157,246 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

【13分16秒钟视频/13分16秒動画/13 minutes and 16 seconds video】 超真实有趣【13分16秒视频】❤甜美小姐姐zentai套头穿束腰长靴戴手套性感展示以及摘下头套全过程记录 这一次的zentai体验相信对甜美小姐姐来说一定会印象深刻 只能说太真实了吧😂😂😂 对于普通人来说戴头套过程实在是有点艰辛~ 甜美小姐姐其实一开始是穿好束腰长靴就想要戴上zentai头套的 可是后来发现因为被束腰紧紧勒住根本戴不上/(ㄒoㄒ)/~~ 所以脱下束腰后再努力了很久终于成功了…… 此处应该给小姐姐加个鸡腿奖励😂😂😂 大家喜欢的话多多支持❤ 我会说服小姐姐以后再勇敢尝试的！ 戴上zentai头套穿上长靴束腰长手套后从甜美邻家小姐姐到御姐女王的转变也太吸引人了！ 视频最后结尾处也有大家喜欢的摘下头套环节（同样很艰辛😂😂😂）和小姐姐的超美wink 只能说整部视频值得大家好好珍藏哟，美感直接爆表！！！ 超リアルで面白い【13分16秒のビデオ】❤甘いお嬢さんのゼンタイスーツ着用、コルセットブーツ、手袋のセクシーな演出、そしてヘッドカバーを外すまでの全過程記録 今回のゼンタイ体験は甘いお嬢さんにとって、間違いなく印象深いものになるでしょう。 ただただ、リアルすぎると言わざるを得ません😂😂😂 普通の人にとって、ヘッドカバーを被るのは少し大変なプロセスです~ 甘いお嬢さんは、最初コルセットとブーツを着用した後、ゼンタイヘッドカバーをかぶろうとしましたが、コルセットで締め付けられすぎて被ることができませんでした/(ㄒoㄒ)/~~ そのため、コルセットを外してからもう一度頑張り、ついに成功しました…… ここでお嬢さんにご褒美のチキンレッグをプレゼントしたいですね😂😂😂 皆さんが気に入ったら、ぜひ応援してください❤ これからもお嬢さんを説得して、もっと勇敢に挑戦してもらいます！ ゼンタイヘッドカバーをかぶり、ブーツとコルセット、長い手袋を着用すると、甘い隣家のお嬢さんからクールな女王様への変身がとても魅力的です！ ビデオの最後には、みんなが好きなヘッドカバーを外すシーン（これも大変でした😂😂😂）と、お嬢さんの超美しいウィンクもあります。 このビデオ全体が素晴らしいので、ぜひ大切に保存してください！美しさが爆発しています！！！ Super realistic and fun 【13 minutes and 16 seconds video】❤ Sweet girl in zentai suit, corset, boots, and gloves sexy showcase, along with the full process of removing the head cover This zentai experience is sure to leave a lasting impression on the sweet girl. I can only say it's too real😂😂😂 For an average person, putting on the head cover is quite a challenge~ The sweet girl initially wanted to put on the zentai head cover after wearing the corset and boots, but she found out later that she couldn't put it on because the corset was too tight/(ㄒoㄒ)/~~ So, she took off the corset, tried hard again, and finally succeeded…… At this point, we should reward her with a chicken leg😂😂😂 If you like it, please support us❤ I'll convince the girl to bravely try it again in the future! The transformation from a sweet girl-next-door to a queenly figure after putting on the zentai head cover, boots, corset, and long gloves is incredibly captivating! At the end of the video, there's also the head cover removal scene that everyone loves (which was also quite tough😂😂😂) along with the girl's super cute wink. I can only say that the whole video is worth keeping as a treasure! The beauty is off the charts!!!
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【13分16秒钟视频/13分16秒動画/13 minutes and 16 seconds video】 超真实有趣【13分16秒视频】❤甜美小姐姐zentai套头穿束腰长靴戴手套性感展示以及摘下头套全过程记录 这一次的zentai体验相信对甜美小姐姐来说一定会印象深刻 只能说太真实了吧😂😂😂 对于普通人来说戴头套过程实在是有点艰辛~ 甜美小姐姐其实一开始是穿好束腰长靴就想要戴上zentai头套的 可是后来发现因为被束腰紧紧勒住根本戴不上/(ㄒoㄒ)/~~ 所以脱下束腰后再努力了很久终于成功了…… 此处应该给小姐姐加个鸡腿奖励😂😂😂 大家喜欢的话多多支持❤ 我会说服小姐姐以后再勇敢尝试的！ 戴上zentai头套穿上长靴束腰长手套后从甜美邻家小姐姐到御姐女王的转变也太吸引人了！ 视频最后结尾处也有大家喜欢的摘下头套环节（同样很艰辛😂😂😂）和小姐姐的超美wink 只能说整部视频值得大家好好珍藏哟，美感直接爆表！！！ 超リアルで面白い【13分16秒のビデオ】❤甘いお嬢さんのゼンタイスーツ着用、コルセットブーツ、手袋のセクシーな演出、そしてヘッドカバーを外すまでの全過程記録 今回のゼンタイ体験は甘いお嬢さんにとって、間違いなく印象深いものになるでしょう。 ただただ、リアルすぎると言わざるを得ません😂😂😂 普通の人にとって、ヘッドカバーを被るのは少し大変なプロセスです~ 甘いお嬢さんは、最初コルセットとブーツを着用した後、ゼンタイヘッドカバーをかぶろうとしましたが、コルセットで締め付けられすぎて被ることができませんでした/(ㄒoㄒ)/~~ そのため、コルセットを外してからもう一度頑張り、ついに成功しました…… ここでお嬢さんにご褒美のチキンレッグをプレゼントしたいですね😂😂😂 皆さんが気に入ったら、ぜひ応援してください❤ これからもお嬢さんを説得して、もっと勇敢に挑戦してもらいます！ ゼンタイヘッドカバーをかぶり、ブーツとコルセット、長い手袋を着用すると、甘い隣家のお嬢さんからクールな女王様への変身がとても魅力的です！ ビデオの最後には、みんなが好きなヘッドカバーを外すシーン（これも大変でした😂😂😂）と、お嬢さんの超美しいウィンクもあります。 このビデオ全体が素晴らしいので、ぜひ大切に保存してください！美しさが爆発しています！！！ Super realistic and fun 【13 minutes and 16 seconds video】❤ Sweet girl in zentai suit, corset, boots, and gloves sexy showcase, along with the full process of removing the head cover This zentai experience is sure to leave a lasting impression on the sweet girl. I can only say it's too real😂😂😂 For an average person, putting on the head cover is quite a challenge~ The sweet girl initially wanted to put on the zentai head cover after wearing the corset and boots, but she found out later that she couldn't put it on because the corset was too tight/(ㄒoㄒ)/~~ So, she took off the corset, tried hard again, and finally succeeded…… At this point, we should reward her with a chicken leg😂😂😂 If you like it, please support us❤ I'll convince the girl to bravely try it again in the future! The transformation from a sweet girl-next-door to a queenly figure after putting on the zentai head cover, boots, corset, and long gloves is incredibly captivating! At the end of the video, there's also the head cover removal scene that everyone loves (which was also quite tough😂😂😂) along with the girl's super cute wink. I can only say that the whole video is worth keeping as a treasure! The beauty is off the charts!!!

曦曦Stacey

32,466 просмотров • 1 год назад