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Today’s #SaturdaySleeper is RHP Sean Matson (Harvard Baseball). Matson this summer was legitimately untouchable, pitching his way to a sparkling 0.00 ERA with 26 K to just 3 BB across 21.2 innings. The Cape League All Star was named the Most Outstanding Relief Pitcher for his performance. The 6’2”,...

20,298 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren •via X (Twitter)

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RHP Daniel Avitia (Grand Canyon Baseball) is one of the most polished arms in the entire 2024 Draft. Avitia burst onto the scene in '22 as a Freshman, pitching his way to a 4.06 ERA with an outstanding strikeout-to-walk ratio of 111-to-19 across 84.1 IP. On top of being named the WAC Pitcher of the Year, Avitia was also named the conference's Freshman of the Year and a First Team All-WAC selection. In 2023, Avitia enjoyed similar success and worked a 3.92 ERA with 81 K to just 19 BB in 82.2 IP. He was again a First Team All-WAC selection. Avitia enjoyed an excellent summer on the Cape to the tune of a 1.63 ERA with 24 K across 27.2 IP. Avitia has a long, lanky frame at 6'4" and 200-lbs. He has a loose, whippy arm action and attacks from almost a sidearm slot. His release height is extremely low (average of 4'8" on his FB) and he is a very difficult AB for opposing hitters, especially RHH). His FB will sit in the 89-92 range (T94), but it has plenty of life through the zone with run and sink. It generated a 25% miss rate in '23, and his control and command for the pitch is top notch. Avitia has advanced feel for his low-80s CH that plays nicely off his heater. He throws it to both right and lefthanded hitters and does a nice job of killing spin. It will flash both big tumbling life and some fade to the arm side. Had a 38% miss rate this summer. 55 offering. Lastly, Avitia features a high-70s sweeping SL. Its shape is a bit inconsistent, but will also flash some depth at times. Most effective against RHH. Looked good this summer. Opposing hitters really struggled against it. His pitchability is fantastic and his sequencing of pitches is very advanced. Along with Josh Hartle, Avitia has the best control and command of any arm in the class. Avitia is on track to be a top-100 overall pick this July.

Peter Flaherty III

27,922 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

LHP Ben Abeldt (TCU Baseball) is a name to follow closely this spring. Enjoyed a strong Freshman year in which he worked a 3.60 ERA with 71 Ks to 24 BB in 55 IP. Was dominant last spring and pitched his way to a 1.83 ERA with 54 Ks to just 16 BB across 44.1 IP. Two-time Team USA invitee. Standard pitchers' frame at 6-foot-3 and 210-pounds. Added noticeable strength and physicality to it between '23 and '24. Some natural funk and deception in his delivery. Uncomfortable look, especially for LHH. Works exclusively on the 1B side of the rubber which makes it even tougher for LHH. Long, loose arm stroke and attacks from a low-three quarter slot. Big time crossfire. Abeldt relies heavily on his fastball (threw it 79% of the time in '24) that sits in the 91-94 MPH range. Was up to 96 during the spring and up to 98 over the summer. Run and ride through the zone with particular life on his arm side. Like a lot of the low-release lefties who have a little giddy up on their heaters, it's generates the most whiffs when located on the inner-1/2 and/or top-1/2 of the zone. Does a nice job of staying off the barrel with it, 23% whiff and OBA of .208 last spring. Go-to secondary offering is his low-80s slider. Long, sweeping life with some late bite at times. Not to beat a dead horse, but just a brutal look for lefties; Abeldt will release the pitch from essentially behind their backs. Legit swing-and-miss pitch that's effective against both right and lefthanded hitters. 45% miss rate last spring, comfortably a 55. Closer to a 6 than a 55. Third pitch right now is a low-80s CH for which he's still gaining a feel. Gets good separation off his FB (averaged 10 MPH off) and does a nice job of killing spin. Natural fade to the arm side and will occasionally flash some tumbling life. Profiles as an effective option against RHH. Strike-throwing ability is above-average. The key for Abeldt this season is selling his ability to start. Has made just 2 starts in his collegiate career and could headline TCU's rotation in '25. Look for both the SL and CH usage (especially the SL) to tick up. Curious to see how he fares in more extended looks. Easy comp is former Miami LHP Rafe Schlesinger. 3rd-4th round type this July.

Peter Flaherty III

27,890 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

RHP Matt Scott (Stanford Baseball) is one of the premier college arms in this year's Draft. After a solid Freshman season that was split between the bullpen and the rotation, Scott this year anchored the Stanford rotation and collected a career-high 103 strikeouts against 36 walks across 80 innings. Earned a Team USA invite for the second straight summer. Scott has an XL, workhorse frame at 6-foot-7 and 247-pounds with plenty of strength and physicality throughout. Quiet, "checkpoint-like" delivery. Small side step towards 1B side, gathers himself and breaks into the rest of his operation. Attacks from a high-three quarter slot. Low effort, does a nice job of staying connected and in-sync for someone of his stature. FB sits in the 93-96 range, but will routinely touch 97/98. Tons of carry through the zone, averaged 22.5" of IVB last year. At its best when located in the top-1/2 of the zone, which is also where it generates most of its whiffs. Just needs to stay out of the middle. Threw it 62% of the time and generated a pretty impressive miss rate of 26%, though I think it can become even more effective if he's able to hone in on his command of it. 55 pitch right now, eventual 60 if some of the low hanging fruit is cleaned up. Supplements his FB with a mid-to-upper-80s gyro SL. I actually think Scott's feel for the SL is on par, if not better, than his feel for the heater. Effective against both right and lefthanded hitters. True, hard gyro look against LHH. Will flash more two-plane tilt against RHH with some sharpness to it. Another 55 pitch that last year had a 40% miss rate. Scott needs to up the usage on his split-change. Threw it just 6% of the time last year and I think it's his best secondary pitch. Legit weapon against LHH. Averaged nearly 12 MPH off his FB and he does an excellent job of killing spin on it; averaged 866 RPMs last season. Essentially falls off a table as it approaches the plate. Serious tumbling life with a bit of arm side fade. 48% miss across a limited sample in '24, I'd give it a 60. Command and control are both average, if not a tick above. Little-to-no reliever risk. Really like the body and stuff. Projects to be one of the first few college arms off the board this July and is a potential first-rounder.

Peter Flaherty III

23,661 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Look forward to following LHP Landon Beidelschies (Arkansas Baseball) closely this season. After spending his Freshman season in the bullpen, Beidelschies last year made the jump to the rotation and pitched his way to a 4.15 ERA with 91 Ks to 31 BB across 84.2 IP. Physical build at 6'3" and 225-pounds with particular strength in his lower-half. Simple operation that has improved and become more powerful since his Freshman year (when this video was taken). Ultra-abbreviated arm stroke and attacks from a three-quarters slot. Blocks well with his lead leg, really drives back side through. Beidelschies' FB sits in the 91-94 range, but has been up to 98 with some carry at the top of the zone. He'll need to miss more bats with it, though. That will come if he's able to improve his control of the offering which, in turn, would help optimize its shape. Most effective in the top-1/2, where it gets over the barrel of opposing hitters. His calling cards are his secondary offerings. Beidelschies will throw his mid-80s gyro SL to both right and lefthanded hitters, though it is much more effective against LHH (they hit just .135 against it in '24). It will flash two-plane tilt with some late depth. Can back foot it at times against RHH. Curious to see if he's able to add some teeth to it this spring and beyond. 41% miss rate last spring. Mid-to-upper-80s CH is an effective weapon against RHH, who hit just .200 against it last season. Was impressed with the strides he made with the pitch - it's clear he became more confident in it and was throwing it with more conviction. Flashed plus with big time late tumble - that "falling off the table" action. Threw it just 11% of the time last year (generated a 46% miss rate), but I'd like to see that tick up in 2025. Strike-throwing across the board took a step in the right direction between '23 and '24. Average command and control. Beidelschies will be a key part of Arkansas' rotation this spring, during which he'll have the opportunity to cement himself as a pro starter. 3rd-5th round type right now.

Peter Flaherty III

37,651 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

One of my favorite college arms in the 2025 class is LHP Cade Fisher (Florida Gators Baseball). Had a fantastic true Freshman season in 2023, pitching his way to a 6-0 record with a 3.10 ERA and 48 Ks to 13 BB across 49.1 IP. Lean build at 6'4" and 210-lbs with some physicality in the lower-half. Long arm stroke, attacks from a deceptive low-three quarter slot. Low release height - averaged around 5' on his FB. Easy, under control operation that Fisher repeats well. Maintains good direction towards the plate. Fisher's FB sits in the 91-93 range, but has been up to 95. Plenty of natural run to the arm side, and last year averaged nearly 19" of run. Fisher has plus control of the pitch, and it's most effective when located on the outer-half (to RHH, inner-half to LHH) of the plate. Best secondary pitch is his high-70s/low-80s SL. Long, sweeping action with some teeth at times. Fisher has advanced feel for the pitch and manipulates its shape well. Shorter action with a bit more depth against RHH. Can land it for strikes, generated a 39% miss rate in '23 while holding opposing hitters to a .229 average. 56% miss rate this fall. Lastly, Fisher throws a mid-80s CH. It's a bit of a work in progress right now, but I'm excited about what the pitch could look like. Last year flashed ample late fade at times. Big game pitcher who wants the ball on the biggest stage. Fired 7 innings of 1-run ball against Texas Tech with UF's backs against the wall in Regionals, and then allowed just 1 ER across 4.2 IP in the CWS Finals. Outstanding mound presence. Fisher has pro-level starter written all over him and could be a first round pick in 2025.

Peter Flaherty III

31,621 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

OF Ethan Conrad (Wake Forest Baseball) has seen his Draft stock rise considerably over the last calendar year. Following a productive Freshman season and summer, Conrad had an outstanding Sophomore year to the tune of a .389/.467/.704 slash line with 18 2B, a nation-leading 13 3B, 9 HR, 52 RBIs and 17 SB. His hot hitting didn't stop there, though, as on the Cape this summer he was both an All-Star (ASG MVP) and All-League selection after hitting .385/.433/.486 with 5 2B, 2 HR, 19 RBIs, and 19 SB. Conrad has an athletic, big league frame at 6'3" and 200-lbs. Simple setup in the box in which he stands fairly upright—albeit slightly hunched over—with a medium-high handset and holds the bat flat over his back shoulder. Minimal load, leg lift leads into a small stride. Conrad takes a direct path to contact and his barrel accelerates through the zone. Hand speed is above-average. It's a very compact, repeatable and under control operation. He has plus bat-to-ball skills and is consistently on the barrel. Last spring he ran an overall IZ contact rate of 91%, including 90% against FB and 94% against both SL and CH. This summer was a similar story, as his overall IZ contact rate was also 91% (93% against FB/CH, 91% against SL). Conrad can get trigger happy with FB in the top and/or outer-1/3 and has the tendency to chase secondaries down, though it hasn't hindered his production to this point. Tightening up his swing decisions a bit will help. Would give his hit tool a 55. Conrad has shown the ability to spray line drives to all parts of the field and is capable of driving the baseball into either gap. While he uses the whole field, his highest quality of contact comes to the pull side—which is also where all of his HR power to this point has come. There's present impact, however, and this spring he posted a Max EV of 109.4 and this summer his Max EV was 105.4. If he's able to get the ball up in the air more, increased HR numbers should follow suit. Power is a 50 right now. Corner OF profile defensively where his speed and athleticism translate well. Good instincts, can go and get balls in the gap or down the line. Arm is average. Alluded to it, but Conrad is also a plus runner who has a knack for taking an extra base on a ball in the gap or down the line. Most importantly, he knows *how* to run which helps his speed play up on the bases where he's an effective base stealer and chaos-causer. There's a lot to like tools-wise with Conrad and he figures to be the centerpiece of Wake Forest's lineup in 2025. Definite day 1 type this July, top-40 overall upside. (📽️: Marist Baseball)

Peter Flaherty III

22,107 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr