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TOM LEE: 7,800 FIRST, THEN A 10 TO 15% PULLBACK WORTH BUYING He still thinks the market is in an up phase before a correction comes later for understandable reasons: - Near term, he sees 7,700 to 7,800 first - Then a 10 to 15% pullback driven by the...

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Tom Lee Tracker (Not actually Tom)

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A 10-15% pullback is on the table, but Fundstrat's Tom Lee isn't worried. On CNBC, he laid out the same call he's had all year: S&P grinds to 7,700-7,800 first, then the pullback comes for understandable reasons. Fed shifting away from forward guidance, an IPO lockup unlocking, oil supply risk building. Earnings momentum stays strong, and with fund managers still way underinvested, he thinks they'll buy the dip hard.
0:35

A 10-15% pullback is on the table, but Fundstrat's Tom Lee isn't worried. On CNBC, he laid out the same call he's had all year: S&P grinds to 7,700-7,800 first, then the pullback comes for understandable reasons. Fed shifting away from forward guidance, an IPO lockup unlocking, oil supply risk building. Earnings momentum stays strong, and with fund managers still way underinvested, he thinks they'll buy the dip hard.

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Tom Lee believes the market will move higher from here before experiencing a 15–20% drawdown. According to him, the correction will be driven by: • The market testing a new Fed with different views on inflation • The Strait closure eventually leading to petroleum shortages once existing reserves start running low later this year Despite that expected pullback, he still believes the market will close 2026 at 7,700+. And he thinks 2027 will be one of the biggest rallies of our lifetime.
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Tom Lee believes the market will move higher from here before experiencing a 15–20% drawdown. According to him, the correction will be driven by: • The market testing a new Fed with different views on inflation • The Strait closure eventually leading to petroleum shortages once existing reserves start running low later this year Despite that expected pullback, he still believes the market will close 2026 at 7,700+. And he thinks 2027 will be one of the biggest rallies of our lifetime.

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TOM LEE: 7,700, THEN A 15% DROP, THEN OVER 8,000 BY YEAR END He lays out the S&P in three phases, with the AI story holding it together: - Phase one gets the S&P to 7,700 - Phase two is a normal 10 to 15% drawdown - Phase three rallies above 8,000 by year end, and MAG-7 may fall less than the broader market since many sectors have already corrected
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TOM LEE: 7,700, THEN A 15% DROP, THEN OVER 8,000 BY YEAR END He lays out the S&P in three phases, with the AI story holding it together: - Phase one gets the S&P to 7,700 - Phase two is a normal 10 to 15% drawdown - Phase three rallies above 8,000 by year end, and MAG-7 may fall less than the broader market since many sectors have already corrected

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🔥TOM LEE: S&P 500 TO RALLY ABOVE $8,000 Tom Lee expects the index to first reach $7,700, then undergo a normal 10% to 15% correction before rallying above $8,000 as the AI story remains intact.
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🔥TOM LEE: S&P 500 TO RALLY ABOVE $8,000 Tom Lee expects the index to first reach $7,700, then undergo a normal 10% to 15% correction before rallying above $8,000 as the AI story remains intact.

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Tom Lee predicts the S&P 500 can reach as high as 7,700. But then he expects a correction phase lasting until October. Three main reasons: • A new Fed Chair • An energy shock, especially shortages of petroleum products and lubricants • IPOs from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic creating massive additional supply once unlocks happen Then he expects markets to rally strongly after the midterms. And he believes 2027 delivers some of the best returns of our lifetime.
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Tom Lee predicts the S&P 500 can reach as high as 7,700. But then he expects a correction phase lasting until October. Three main reasons: • A new Fed Chair • An energy shock, especially shortages of petroleum products and lubricants • IPOs from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic creating massive additional supply once unlocks happen Then he expects markets to rally strongly after the midterms. And he believes 2027 delivers some of the best returns of our lifetime.

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Tom Lee: S&P 500 Could Top 8,000 by Year-End BitMine Chairman Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com said in a July 14 CNBC interview that the S&P 500 could rise above 8,000 by year-end, as the AI story remains intact. He described a possible three-phase market: the S&P 500 could first reach 7,700, then see a normal 10% to 15% pullback, before rallying above 8,000 by year-end. On gold and silver's recent weakness, Lee said long-term holders may be taking profits after strong gains, as both assets had outperformed their store-of-value role and became risk-on assets.
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TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027
1:24

TOM LEE SAYS 2027 COULD BE ONE OF THE BEST YEARS OF RETURNS IN OUR LIFETIME - Sees S&P pushing to 7,700 before a bear-market-feel pullback into October - Pressure points: new Fed chair, energy shock, SpaceX and OpenAI IPO unlocks - Post-midterms sets up a strong rally into 2027

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TOM LEE: WHY I'M BUYING THE DIP EVEN IF IT LOOKS LIKE CATCHING A FALLING KNIFE He says the pullback may look risky, but the setup still looks buyable to him: - He thinks these pullbacks are probably viable - Momentum has worked over the long term and is central to many quant systems - People may be calling the cycle too early as robots and machines could make it a much longer cycle
0:31

TOM LEE: WHY I'M BUYING THE DIP EVEN IF IT LOOKS LIKE CATCHING A FALLING KNIFE He says the pullback may look risky, but the setup still looks buyable to him: - He thinks these pullbacks are probably viable - Momentum has worked over the long term and is central to many quant systems - People may be calling the cycle too early as robots and machines could make it a much longer cycle

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Tom Lee sees the S&P 500 hitting 7,300 in the near term. But then… a -20% drawdown. Short term: • Earnings are still growing (Q1 strength) • Oil spike won’t meaningfully impact inflation Then the risk hits: • Market tests the new Fed stance • Valuations get re-rated after years of strong gains • Policy shocks from the White House This is the setup: momentum first, reality later. The market isn’t cheap. But many individual stocks are. That’s where the opportunity is.
0:50

Tom Lee sees the S&P 500 hitting 7,300 in the near term. But then… a -20% drawdown. Short term: • Earnings are still growing (Q1 strength) • Oil spike won’t meaningfully impact inflation Then the risk hits: • Market tests the new Fed stance • Valuations get re-rated after years of strong gains • Policy shocks from the White House This is the setup: momentum first, reality later. The market isn’t cheap. But many individual stocks are. That’s where the opportunity is.

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TOM LEE: BUY THE DIP, THE S&P IS GOING OVER 8,000 BY YEAR END He runs the checklist and sees three macro flips turning into tailwinds for the second half: - Oil is rolling over from its first-half spike, which pulls down inflation - The new Fed chair got priced hawkishly, but Tom Lee expects a dovish flip later this year - ISM finally crossed back over 50, and he thinks it powers earnings revisions higher
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TOM LEE: BUY THE DIP, THE S&P IS GOING OVER 8,000 BY YEAR END He runs the checklist and sees three macro flips turning into tailwinds for the second half: - Oil is rolling over from its first-half spike, which pulls down inflation - The new Fed chair got priced hawkishly, but Tom Lee expects a dovish flip later this year - ISM finally crossed back over 50, and he thinks it powers earnings revisions higher

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Tom Lee doesn’t expect the S&P 500 to go straight to 8,000. He sees three distinct stages before the index gets there: 1. Rally to 7,700 2. A healthy 10%–15% correction later this summer 3. A strong year-end recovery as the AI thesis remains intact His year-end target remains: S&P 500 above 8,000.
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Tom Lee doesn’t expect the S&P 500 to go straight to 8,000. He sees three distinct stages before the index gets there: 1. Rally to 7,700 2. A healthy 10%–15% correction later this summer 3. A strong year-end recovery as the AI thesis remains intact His year-end target remains: S&P 500 above 8,000.

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TOM LEE: THE DIP IS COMING LATER THIS YEAR, AND FUND MANAGERS WILL BE BUYING IT The bear-market feel lands between August and October, not July, and it sets up heavy dip buying: - Something that might feel like a bear market shows up between August and October, not July - Only 23% of fund managers are beating the large cap growth index, the lowest in almost five years - Managers trailing the benchmark that badly means there's going to be a lot of dip buying
0:32

TOM LEE: THE DIP IS COMING LATER THIS YEAR, AND FUND MANAGERS WILL BE BUYING IT The bear-market feel lands between August and October, not July, and it sets up heavy dip buying: - Something that might feel like a bear market shows up between August and October, not July - Only 23% of fund managers are beating the large cap growth index, the lowest in almost five years - Managers trailing the benchmark that badly means there's going to be a lot of dip buying

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Tom Lee continues to expect a major market correction later this year. According to him, the correction will be driven by: 1. Typical midterm seasonality and the uncertainty surrounding it 2. Tight petroleum product inventories that are not being relieved anytime soon, creating energy pressure 3. A large wave of IPOs from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, with future lockup expirations creating a supply overhang Tom Lee also believes the Mag 7 already went through their bear market and will be relatively spared during the broader correction. He also thinks semiconductor stocks may eventually become a bubble.
1:51

Tom Lee continues to expect a major market correction later this year. According to him, the correction will be driven by: 1. Typical midterm seasonality and the uncertainty surrounding it 2. Tight petroleum product inventories that are not being relieved anytime soon, creating energy pressure 3. A large wave of IPOs from SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, with future lockup expirations creating a supply overhang Tom Lee also believes the Mag 7 already went through their bear market and will be relatively spared during the broader correction. He also thinks semiconductor stocks may eventually become a bubble.

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165,528 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Tom Lee remains bearish in the short term and continues to expect a 15-20% drawdown later this summer. According to him, the correction will be driven by: 1. How the Fed reacts to the underlying inflation risks 2. The market not liking inflation concerns while yields are rising, with inflation shocks and energy shortages still in the pipeline 3. A large wave of IPOs creating a lot of supply After this drawdown, Tom Lee believes the following 18-24 months could bring one of the biggest rallies of our lifetime.
0:58

Tom Lee remains bearish in the short term and continues to expect a 15-20% drawdown later this summer. According to him, the correction will be driven by: 1. How the Fed reacts to the underlying inflation risks 2. The market not liking inflation concerns while yields are rising, with inflation shocks and energy shortages still in the pipeline 3. A large wave of IPOs creating a lot of supply After this drawdown, Tom Lee believes the following 18-24 months could bring one of the biggest rallies of our lifetime.

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347,085 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

TOM LEE: THE MARKET GOT THE FED WRONG Investors treated KEVIN WARSH’S first Fed meeting like a hawkish pivot. Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com says it was actually dovish. Warsh is moving the Fed away from stale guidance and toward real-time data, meaning the dots can move fast if inflation keeps improving. 🔹 Stocks still favorable 🔹 SpaceX IPO was successful 🔹 Bear-market tone comes later Tom Lee still sees an abrupt market shift later this year. But not now.
3:38

TOM LEE: THE MARKET GOT THE FED WRONG Investors treated KEVIN WARSH’S first Fed meeting like a hawkish pivot. Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com says it was actually dovish. Warsh is moving the Fed away from stale guidance and toward real-time data, meaning the dots can move fast if inflation keeps improving. 🔹 Stocks still favorable 🔹 SpaceX IPO was successful 🔹 Bear-market tone comes later Tom Lee still sees an abrupt market shift later this year. But not now.

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Tom Lee said: "I think 2026 could look like the year because this year had a bear market and then a bull market." He's bullish overall on markets next year but expects the first half could see a 10-15% pullback before a big recovery. This is because we don't have a new Fed in the first half. He also believes the two catalysts that will drive the second half rally are 1) The White House Put Pro-business regulation, simplifying AI regulations and rulings, plus legislation passing. Lee notes "gridlock is kind of good for markets" with expected midterm outcomes. 2) The Fed Put People have sort of forgot like it's been dead for three years. It's really going to come back in force. This is just a short clip from the full CNBC interview where Tom also discusses AI valuations, why banks are "criminally undervalued," and crypto's 200x growth potential. To watch the complete interview, comment "TOM" and I'll DM it to you.
1:27

Tom Lee said: "I think 2026 could look like the year because this year had a bear market and then a bull market." He's bullish overall on markets next year but expects the first half could see a 10-15% pullback before a big recovery. This is because we don't have a new Fed in the first half. He also believes the two catalysts that will drive the second half rally are 1) The White House Put Pro-business regulation, simplifying AI regulations and rulings, plus legislation passing. Lee notes "gridlock is kind of good for markets" with expected midterm outcomes. 2) The Fed Put People have sort of forgot like it's been dead for three years. It's really going to come back in force. This is just a short clip from the full CNBC interview where Tom also discusses AI valuations, why banks are "criminally undervalued," and crypto's 200x growth potential. To watch the complete interview, comment "TOM" and I'll DM it to you.

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Tom Lee says retail is chasing this rally. They didn’t buy the dip. They’re buying now. That’s exit liquidity. That’s what pushes the market higher first. Then the new Fed Chair arrives. The market tests it. A pullback follows. After that reset, we enter one of the strongest 18–24 month runs we’ve ever seen.
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Tom Lee says retail is chasing this rally. They didn’t buy the dip. They’re buying now. That’s exit liquidity. That’s what pushes the market higher first. Then the new Fed Chair arrives. The market tests it. A pullback follows. After that reset, we enter one of the strongest 18–24 month runs we’ve ever seen.

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Samson explains why the Nigerian market has been down. He expected a pullback but not at this pace. He says there are three reasons for the pullback which are: the change in the settlement system, the CBN Holdco Proposal draft and Dangote Refinery Private Placement.
2:51

Samson explains why the Nigerian market has been down. He expected a pullback but not at this pace. He says there are three reasons for the pullback which are: the change in the settlement system, the CBN Holdco Proposal draft and Dangote Refinery Private Placement.

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ELON MUSK JUST EXPLAINED WHY HE IGNORES QUARTERLY EARNINGS, AND IT LINES UP WITH TOM LEE MORE THAN IT LOOKS He manages SpaceX on a 5-to-10-year horizon, the Mars spending was disclosed in the S1, and short-term earnings pressure mostly comes from managers whose own pay depends on quick results. Tom Lee's market thesis runs on earnings too, just measured in years, not quarters. He argues profits rising faster than prices is why the S&P is cheaper now than in January, with AI margin expansion still ahead. One ignores the quarter, the other tracks the multi-year trend. Both are pointing in the same direction: the long arc is what counts. I wonder if Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com sees Musk's approach as the same long-term lens he applies to the market.
1:30

ELON MUSK JUST EXPLAINED WHY HE IGNORES QUARTERLY EARNINGS, AND IT LINES UP WITH TOM LEE MORE THAN IT LOOKS He manages SpaceX on a 5-to-10-year horizon, the Mars spending was disclosed in the S1, and short-term earnings pressure mostly comes from managers whose own pay depends on quick results. Tom Lee's market thesis runs on earnings too, just measured in years, not quarters. He argues profits rising faster than prices is why the S&P is cheaper now than in January, with AI margin expansion still ahead. One ignores the quarter, the other tracks the multi-year trend. Both are pointing in the same direction: the long arc is what counts. I wonder if Tom Lee Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com sees Musk's approach as the same long-term lens he applies to the market.

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🚨 TOM LEE JUST WARNED THAT MOST INVESTORS ARE ABOUT TO MISS CRYPTO’S BIGGEST MOVE HE SAYS BITCOIN AND CRYPTO COULD SOON ENTER A “PARABOLIC” PHASE “EVERY ASSET IS GOING TO BE BUILT ON CRYPTO RAILS” FIRST THE TRANSITION HAPPENS SLOWLY THEN EVERYTHING CHANGES AT ONCE THE MARKET STILL LOOKS QUIET THAT IS EXACTLY WHY MOST PEOPLE ARE NOT READY FOR WHAT COMES NEXT
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🚨 TOM LEE JUST WARNED THAT MOST INVESTORS ARE ABOUT TO MISS CRYPTO’S BIGGEST MOVE HE SAYS BITCOIN AND CRYPTO COULD SOON ENTER A “PARABOLIC” PHASE “EVERY ASSET IS GOING TO BE BUILT ON CRYPTO RAILS” FIRST THE TRANSITION HAPPENS SLOWLY THEN EVERYTHING CHANGES AT ONCE THE MARKET STILL LOOKS QUIET THAT IS EXACTLY WHY MOST PEOPLE ARE NOT READY FOR WHAT COMES NEXT

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