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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may have complicated his own negotiations by announcing progress before Iran had even responded. Quincy Institute vice president Trita Parsi argues that going public too early increased the political pressure on both sides and left less room for compromise. "He was counting on a much faster response... show more

Mario Nawfal

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49,491 views • 3 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸Trump does not need a perfect deal to claim victory. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says ending the war and lowering oil prices may be enough to satisfy his base. Because economic gains matter more politically, than nuclear concessions... Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸Trump does not need a perfect deal to claim victory. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says ending the war and lowering oil prices may be enough to satisfy his base. Because economic gains matter more politically, than nuclear concessions... Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A humiliated Trump after the midterms may be more willing to strike Iran, not less. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, says Tehran expects a weakened president to be easier to handle, and he thinks that reads the man backwards. He points to late 2020, when he says Trump went looking for a confrontation with Iran and the Joint Chiefs stepped in to stop it: "This is an administration whose strategic compass is the mood of the president on any given day." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 A humiliated Trump after the midterms may be more willing to strike Iran, not less. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, says Tehran expects a weakened president to be easier to handle, and he thinks that reads the man backwards. He points to late 2020, when he says Trump went looking for a confrontation with Iran and the Joint Chiefs stepped in to stop it: "This is an administration whose strategic compass is the mood of the president on any given day." Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's push to humiliate Iran publicly has torched the very negotiations he claims to want. Trita Parsi suggested Trump's rhetoric hindered the U.S. before the war even started. "We have been witnessing a remarkable self-sabotage by Trump himself of his own diplomacy. The talks will start under the worst possible circumstances." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's push to humiliate Iran publicly has torched the very negotiations he claims to want. Trita Parsi suggested Trump's rhetoric hindered the U.S. before the war even started. "We have been witnessing a remarkable self-sabotage by Trump himself of his own diplomacy. The talks will start under the worst possible circumstances." Trita Parsi

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40,784 views • 4 months ago

Trita Parsi, Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute, says Iran had offered major nuclear concessions and that Trump could have claimed a strong diplomatic victory, but instead pursued escalation to seek submission rather than advance US interests.

Trita Parsi, Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute, says Iran had offered major nuclear concessions and that Trump could have claimed a strong diplomatic victory, but instead pursued escalation to seek submission rather than advance US interests.

Al Jazeera English

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest surprise of the war may have been that Iran wasn't improvising. Quincy Institute executive vice president Trita Parsi argues that many of Tehran's prewar signals were designed to mislead opponents about its intentions and level of preparedness. "The American side had one plan, get rid of the Supreme Leader and then expect everything to collapse. And ever since, when that plan didn't work, they just been improvising the war, whereas the Iranians were clearly following a structure that had been decided a long time ago." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest surprise of the war may have been that Iran wasn't improvising. Quincy Institute executive vice president Trita Parsi argues that many of Tehran's prewar signals were designed to mislead opponents about its intentions and level of preparedness. "The American side had one plan, get rid of the Supreme Leader and then expect everything to collapse. And ever since, when that plan didn't work, they just been improvising the war, whereas the Iranians were clearly following a structure that had been decided a long time ago." Trita Parsi

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29,383 views • 3 months ago

🇺🇸 Sink the ceasefire to score political points, and the next round of casualties is on you too. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "Right now this is Trump's war. He started it together with the Israelis. He owns the consequences of it. But if anyone is helping make sure that this MOU collapses and the war restarts, they co-own this war." The political game has a body count. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 Sink the ceasefire to score political points, and the next round of casualties is on you too. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "Right now this is Trump's war. He started it together with the Israelis. He owns the consequences of it. But if anyone is helping make sure that this MOU collapses and the war restarts, they co-own this war." The political game has a body count. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Israel wants the next round with Iran, and the timing runs on its own election calendar. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, says the Israeli public counted the June war as a success and this one as a failure, which means Netanyahu needs something conclusive before he moves again. Nothing available right now clears that bar, so Parsi sees little chance before October and the odds climbing sharply afterward: "Israel is the exceptional country that doesn't have to manage threats. It just has to eliminate threats." Trita Parsi

🇮🇱 🇮🇷 Israel wants the next round with Iran, and the timing runs on its own election calendar. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute EVP, says the Israeli public counted the June war as a success and this one as a failure, which means Netanyahu needs something conclusive before he moves again. Nothing available right now clears that bar, so Parsi sees little chance before October and the odds climbing sharply afterward: "Israel is the exceptional country that doesn't have to manage threats. It just has to eliminate threats." Trita Parsi

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41,168 views • 3 days ago

Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Diplomacy can still work to stop the war - but it has become much harder. Despite escalation in Lebanon, attacks on Iran & Iranian strikes on GCC states, diplomacy was never shut down. That tells you the desire for a deal on both sides is strong enough to weather even these setbacks. But the last 5-6% of the distance comes down to trust. And that is exactly where they are stuck.

Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Diplomacy can still work to stop the war - but it has become much harder. Despite escalation in Lebanon, attacks on Iran & Iranian strikes on GCC states, diplomacy was never shut down. That tells you the desire for a deal on both sides is strong enough to weather even these setbacks. But the last 5-6% of the distance comes down to trust. And that is exactly where they are stuck.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s obsession with a "zero-sum" victory is making a durable peace deal in the Middle East almost impossible. Trita Parsi argues that for a negotiation to succeed, both sides need a "win-win" narrative. Trita suggested that while Trump has shown the ability to let rivals like Putin save face, his current approach with Tehran is forcing a cornered regime to choose between total surrender or total war. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s obsession with a "zero-sum" victory is making a durable peace deal in the Middle East almost impossible. Trita Parsi argues that for a negotiation to succeed, both sides need a "win-win" narrative. Trita suggested that while Trump has shown the ability to let rivals like Putin save face, his current approach with Tehran is forcing a cornered regime to choose between total surrender or total war. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The real story of these negotiations is buried, and it cuts against the simple narrative. Trita Parsi explained how the U.S. and Iran are not simply stuck in a seemingly hopeless deadlock as it's often portrayed. "There's been a lot of concessions on all sides, which is actually what a real negotiation ultimately means." The problem is Trump's envoys kept negotiating orally, without interpreters, without written records, and without the president's sign-off. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The real story of these negotiations is buried, and it cuts against the simple narrative. Trita Parsi explained how the U.S. and Iran are not simply stuck in a seemingly hopeless deadlock as it's often portrayed. "There's been a lot of concessions on all sides, which is actually what a real negotiation ultimately means." The problem is Trump's envoys kept negotiating orally, without interpreters, without written records, and without the president's sign-off. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The clock is ticking fast on the highly anticipated U.S.-Iran truce, as a narrow geopolitical window threatens to slam shut. Political analyst Trita Parsi warns that if these delicate negotiations drag on too close to the midterms, the political landscape will completely shift under Trump's feet. Tehran has very real, legitimate anxieties about Washington's ability to actually deliver reliable sanctions relief given past broken promises. Ultimately, regional mediators are growing incredibly frustrated because time is officially running out for both sides to sign on the dotted line. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The clock is ticking fast on the highly anticipated U.S.-Iran truce, as a narrow geopolitical window threatens to slam shut. Political analyst Trita Parsi warns that if these delicate negotiations drag on too close to the midterms, the political landscape will completely shift under Trump's feet. Tehran has very real, legitimate anxieties about Washington's ability to actually deliver reliable sanctions relief given past broken promises. Ultimately, regional mediators are growing incredibly frustrated because time is officially running out for both sides to sign on the dotted line. Trita Parsi

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#EXCLUSIVE | "The US did not go in without a strategy. It had a plan A, and the plan A was that Iran would collapse within 4 days. That plan A has crashed down and it doesn't have a replacement": Trita Parsi, Iranian-Swedish Writer & Political Analyst "The Iranians are looking for the most accessible pain points. It is the global economy." #IranUSWar #NewsToday | Rajdeep Sardesai Trita Parsi

#EXCLUSIVE | "The US did not go in without a strategy. It had a plan A, and the plan A was that Iran would collapse within 4 days. That plan A has crashed down and it doesn't have a replacement": Trita Parsi, Iranian-Swedish Writer & Political Analyst "The Iranians are looking for the most accessible pain points. It is the global economy." #IranUSWar #NewsToday | Rajdeep Sardesai Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran used Dubai as part of its strategy to survive American sanctions, then bombed it anyway. Trita Parsi broke down his view of why this may have been a painful choice for Iran. "The Iranians were using the Emirates as the key way of circumventing sanctions. They had been for years relying on Dubai. The relationship between Dubai and Iran has gone back long and has tended to be very positive." Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran used Dubai as part of its strategy to survive American sanctions, then bombed it anyway. Trita Parsi broke down his view of why this may have been a painful choice for Iran. "The Iranians were using the Emirates as the key way of circumventing sanctions. They had been for years relying on Dubai. The relationship between Dubai and Iran has gone back long and has tended to be very positive." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷 Iran’s biggest post-war demand may not be cash reparations but something even more valuable. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Tehran is likely pushing hardest for primary sanctions relief because Trump can lift those with the stroke of a pen. He says that kind of relief would do more for Iran than any headline-grabbing payout. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷 Iran’s biggest post-war demand may not be cash reparations but something even more valuable. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Tehran is likely pushing hardest for primary sanctions relief because Trump can lift those with the stroke of a pen. He says that kind of relief would do more for Iran than any headline-grabbing payout. Trita Parsi

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108,531 views • 4 months ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already blinked first and now both sides may finally have a real chance to end 47 years of conflict. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Iran sent the highest-level delegation he has ever seen because Tehran is not just trying to end the war. It wants real sanctions relief and a path out of decades of economic warfare. He says Trump can now walk away from war, but Iran also sees this as a once-in-a-generation chance to reset the entire relationship. Trita Parsi search. ..

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already blinked first and now both sides may finally have a real chance to end 47 years of conflict. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Iran sent the highest-level delegation he has ever seen because Tehran is not just trying to end the war. It wants real sanctions relief and a path out of decades of economic warfare. He says Trump can now walk away from war, but Iran also sees this as a once-in-a-generation chance to reset the entire relationship. Trita Parsi search. ..

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124,502 views • 4 months ago

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has restarted a war he no longer controls, and Iran intends to make escape painfully difficult Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Trump believed he could inflict enough military pressure to force Iran back to the negotiating table, then declare victory and end the conflict whenever it became politically convenient. Instead, rather than giving him an easy off-ramp, Iran is trying to make the war so costly that he never thinks of doing it again. That's why Trita believes the economic pressure matters just as much as the missiles, because every additional cost increases the political pain of continuing the conflict. At the heart of the war is the Strait of Hormuz, and Trita argues this isn't really about shipping fees; it's about leverage. Iran believes control of the Strait is its single biggest deterrent against a full-scale American attack. Give that up, and Washington can launch another war with far fewer consequences. That's why he says Tehran is extremely unlikely to compromise on the issue, regardless of the military pressure. His warning is that this creates a dangerous cycle, because every failed attempt to force a breakthrough creates pressure for another escalation. Trita says that's how wars stop being short campaigns and start becoming open-ended conflicts. He puts the chances of the fighting escalating over the next month at more than 80%. Not because either side necessarily wants a forever war, but because both sides now believe backing down today makes an even bigger war tomorrow more likely. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has restarted a war he no longer controls, and Iran intends to make escape painfully difficult Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Trump believed he could inflict enough military pressure to force Iran back to the negotiating table, then declare victory and end the conflict whenever it became politically convenient. Instead, rather than giving him an easy off-ramp, Iran is trying to make the war so costly that he never thinks of doing it again. That's why Trita believes the economic pressure matters just as much as the missiles, because every additional cost increases the political pain of continuing the conflict. At the heart of the war is the Strait of Hormuz, and Trita argues this isn't really about shipping fees; it's about leverage. Iran believes control of the Strait is its single biggest deterrent against a full-scale American attack. Give that up, and Washington can launch another war with far fewer consequences. That's why he says Tehran is extremely unlikely to compromise on the issue, regardless of the military pressure. His warning is that this creates a dangerous cycle, because every failed attempt to force a breakthrough creates pressure for another escalation. Trita says that's how wars stop being short campaigns and start becoming open-ended conflicts. He puts the chances of the fighting escalating over the next month at more than 80%. Not because either side necessarily wants a forever war, but because both sides now believe backing down today makes an even bigger war tomorrow more likely. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

280,503 views • 1 month ago

Trita Parsi, executive vice president at the Quincy Institute, explains why he believes the greatest threat to the US-Iran ceasefire agreement is not the Persian Gulf, but Israel’s potential refusal to fully adhere to the regional ceasefire and halt its bombardment of Lebanon. Parsi says that, for Tehran, tying Israel to the ceasefire is ultimately a test of America’s willingness — and ability — to restrain its closest regional ally.

Trita Parsi, executive vice president at the Quincy Institute, explains why he believes the greatest threat to the US-Iran ceasefire agreement is not the Persian Gulf, but Israel’s potential refusal to fully adhere to the regional ceasefire and halt its bombardment of Lebanon. Parsi says that, for Tehran, tying Israel to the ceasefire is ultimately a test of America’s willingness — and ability — to restrain its closest regional ally.

Middle East Eye

18,585 views • 3 months ago

Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: US & Israeli objectives are diverging. Trump wants out - he has other priorities. Israel would be happy with a forever war, with the US permanently bombarding Iran. The US has already kept Israel somewhat outside the negotiations - recognizing Israel will play spoiler & try to sabotage any diplomacy. But a full break between the US & Israel will not come until there is a deal. Trump will not pay the political cost of breaking with Israel unless he has a deal in hand.

Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: US & Israeli objectives are diverging. Trump wants out - he has other priorities. Israel would be happy with a forever war, with the US permanently bombarding Iran. The US has already kept Israel somewhat outside the negotiations - recognizing Israel will play spoiler & try to sabotage any diplomacy. But a full break between the US & Israel will not come until there is a deal. Trump will not pay the political cost of breaking with Israel unless he has a deal in hand.

Clash Report

24,469 views • 2 months ago