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Two days ago, we introduced the Nexar Risk Index. The response made one thing clear: Mobility has outgrown how we measure risk. Billions of miles move daily. Trillions of dollars ride on them. Yet exposure is still priced on static history. Still validated in narrow domains. Still planned from... show more

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Why Redfin is keeping climate risk data (even if others aren't). There is a divide forming in the real estate world regarding data transparency. Recently, Zillow removed climate risk data following pressure from agents concerned about impact on home values. At Redfin, we took a different path. We decided to keep displaying climate risk data. Why? Because homebuyers find climate risk scores valuable when making one of the most important financial decisions of their lives. In 2020, we ran a massive experiment with 17.5 million users. We displayed flood risk data provided by First Street to half the audience. The result was undeniable: Among users looking at severely or extremely flood-risky homes, those who saw the risk scores made offers on homes with 50% less risk than those who didn’t. Information drives decision-making. Is the current data perfect? No. We don't know exactly how fast climate change will progress or how local governments will adapt. But the First Street methodology is peer reviewed and validated by experts. Climate risk scores are only one piece of information regarding the costs of climate change for homebuyers. Ideally, we would provide actual insurance cost data alongside these risk scores. However, without disclosure requirements, buyers often don't learn the cost of insuring a home until after they’ve made an offer. Until insurance transparency improves, we are committed to providing the best available climate risk data so buyers can make informed decisions when choosing a home.

Why Redfin is keeping climate risk data (even if others aren't). There is a divide forming in the real estate world regarding data transparency. Recently, Zillow removed climate risk data following pressure from agents concerned about impact on home values. At Redfin, we took a different path. We decided to keep displaying climate risk data. Why? Because homebuyers find climate risk scores valuable when making one of the most important financial decisions of their lives. In 2020, we ran a massive experiment with 17.5 million users. We displayed flood risk data provided by First Street to half the audience. The result was undeniable: Among users looking at severely or extremely flood-risky homes, those who saw the risk scores made offers on homes with 50% less risk than those who didn’t. Information drives decision-making. Is the current data perfect? No. We don't know exactly how fast climate change will progress or how local governments will adapt. But the First Street methodology is peer reviewed and validated by experts. Climate risk scores are only one piece of information regarding the costs of climate change for homebuyers. Ideally, we would provide actual insurance cost data alongside these risk scores. However, without disclosure requirements, buyers often don't learn the cost of insuring a home until after they’ve made an offer. Until insurance transparency improves, we are committed to providing the best available climate risk data so buyers can make informed decisions when choosing a home.

Daryl Fairweather, PhD | Chief Economist

14,962 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

$The biggest risk in Opendoor’s model was never buying homes. It was holding them too long. That’s where companies died. And Opendoor just proved they solved it. They cut homes sitting over 120 days from 51% → 33% in ONE quarter. Their newest cohorts are turning 2x faster than last year. Speed changes everything. A home held 45 days carries a fraction of the risk of one held 180 days. Now add their new model: They selectively price low-risk homes aggressively. They keep wider spreads on higher-risk homes. And with Cash Plus, sellers take more price exposure while Opendoor earns fees with less capital at risk. This structurally reduces risk. Here’s the proof: Home prices fell ~3% over five months. Opendoor’s contribution margins stayed flat — and even improved. That’s not theory. That’s execution. This is what Opendoor 2.0 looks like. Lower risk. Faster velocity. Stronger margins. Massive scale. This is the same transition $UBER made. This is the same transition $AMZN made. Most people still see the old Opendoor. They don’t see what it’s becoming. $OPEN$

The biggest risk in Opendoor’s model was never buying homes. It was holding them too long. That’s where companies died. And Opendoor just proved they solved it. They cut homes sitting over 120 days from 51% → 33% in ONE quarter. Their newest cohorts are turning 2x faster than last year. Speed changes everything. A home held 45 days carries a fraction of the risk of one held 180 days. Now add their new model: They selectively price low-risk homes aggressively. They keep wider spreads on higher-risk homes. And with Cash Plus, sellers take more price exposure while Opendoor earns fees with less capital at risk. This structurally reduces risk. Here’s the proof: Home prices fell ~3% over five months. Opendoor’s contribution margins stayed flat — and even improved. That’s not theory. That’s execution. This is what Opendoor 2.0 looks like. Lower risk. Faster velocity. Stronger margins. Massive scale. This is the same transition $UBER made. This is the same transition $AMZN made. Most people still see the old Opendoor. They don’t see what it’s becoming. $OPEN

Founder With ADHD

44,256 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Watch how they push the Hepatitis B vaccine on EVERY newborn—using fear and twisted stats. A mom asks: “My baby doesn’t have Hep B, and it’s a sexually transmitted disease—why vaccinate at birth?” The doctor’s answer? “It’s not just sexual—11-12% of cases in kids come from ‘horizontal transfer’ (caregiver exposure).” Sounds scary… until you see the REAL numbers. Of the tiny group of kids who actually get Hep B, only 11% got it that way. That’s about 400 cases per year out of 3.5 MILLION births. Before the universal birth dose? Roughly 400 acute cases annually in kids 0-9 mostly in specific high-risk immigrant households. That means 3,499,600 babies every year had ZERO risk but they’re all vaccinated to create a “safety net” for those 400. Translation from the industry: “If we can prevent it, we should.” Real translation: “If we can make billions by scaring parents about a virus their baby isn’t at risk for, we should.” And the kicker? The doctor pushing this goes to “sex raves” the one place where Hep B vaccine actually makes sense to mandate! This is how they manufacture consent and rake in profits-by vaccinating the masses for a tiny risk. 🎯 Watch the full clip below 👇

Watch how they push the Hepatitis B vaccine on EVERY newborn—using fear and twisted stats. A mom asks: “My baby doesn’t have Hep B, and it’s a sexually transmitted disease—why vaccinate at birth?” The doctor’s answer? “It’s not just sexual—11-12% of cases in kids come from ‘horizontal transfer’ (caregiver exposure).” Sounds scary… until you see the REAL numbers. Of the tiny group of kids who actually get Hep B, only 11% got it that way. That’s about 400 cases per year out of 3.5 MILLION births. Before the universal birth dose? Roughly 400 acute cases annually in kids 0-9 mostly in specific high-risk immigrant households. That means 3,499,600 babies every year had ZERO risk but they’re all vaccinated to create a “safety net” for those 400. Translation from the industry: “If we can prevent it, we should.” Real translation: “If we can make billions by scaring parents about a virus their baby isn’t at risk for, we should.” And the kicker? The doctor pushing this goes to “sex raves” the one place where Hep B vaccine actually makes sense to mandate! This is how they manufacture consent and rake in profits-by vaccinating the masses for a tiny risk. 🎯 Watch the full clip below 👇

Del Bigtree

37,446 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Finance moves trillions every day. But ownership? Still slow. Paperwork. Intermediaries. Delays. A system built on trust but slowed by structure. In a digital world, value moves instantly. Ownership doesn’t. That creates friction. Limits access. Slows global capital. So what if ownership could move like value? Structured. Transferable. On-chain. That’s where Real comes in. A blockchain built for real-world assets where ownership is programmable, risk is integrated, and settlement is reimagined. Not just digitizing assets. Rebuilding the system around them. Because the future of finance isn’t just about moving value It’s about moving ownership.

Finance moves trillions every day. But ownership? Still slow. Paperwork. Intermediaries. Delays. A system built on trust but slowed by structure. In a digital world, value moves instantly. Ownership doesn’t. That creates friction. Limits access. Slows global capital. So what if ownership could move like value? Structured. Transferable. On-chain. That’s where Real comes in. A blockchain built for real-world assets where ownership is programmable, risk is integrated, and settlement is reimagined. Not just digitizing assets. Rebuilding the system around them. Because the future of finance isn’t just about moving value It’s about moving ownership.

Shahid Hasan

24,851 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Peter Thiel and David Sacks were going to write a book about PayPal. Elon Musk’s chapter was titled “The Man Who Knew Nothing About Risk.” The PayPal Mafia. The sharpest venture minds of a generation. People who had built with Musk. Watched him operate up close. They thought he was out of his mind. Thiel: “When Elon was building both Tesla and SpaceX in the 2000s, people thought he was just really, really crazy.” This was not the press misunderstanding a founder. This was his own people. And they were not wrong by accident. They were wrong by design. Because the framework everyone uses to calculate risk is built on one assumption. That the laws governing what is possible are fixed. Musk did not share that assumption. Thiel figured that out later. Thiel: “If one of the two companies had succeeded, you would say, well, maybe he still got really lucky. But when two out of two companies that people thought were completely harebrained both succeed, you have to reassess.” One success is luck. Two is a different kind of intelligence entirely. Musk was simultaneously trying to privatize space and electrify transportation. Two industries with the most entrenched players on Earth. Two that had eaten billions in failed attempts. Two that governments spent decades trying to move and couldn’t. He did both. At the same time. Nearly went bankrupt doing it. And came out the other side owning both. That is not luck. That is not even genius. That is a different relationship with reality itself. The conventional risk model measures one thing. The probability of losing what you already have. Capital at risk. Downside scenarios. Protect the position. Musk was running a different equation entirely. He was calculating the cost of not trying. The risk of building a reusable rocket and failing is a rounding error. The risk of humanity remaining trapped on a single planet forever is not. The conventional investor sees a 90% chance of losing everything and calls it irrational. Musk saw a 100% chance of civilizational stagnation if no one moved and called that the real risk. The math was never wrong. The lens was just incomprehensibly larger. Thiel: “Somehow the rest of us are too risk-averse, or there’s something about risk he knows that we don’t.” That is Peter Thiel. One of the most ruthless, clear-eyed thinkers in venture capital history admitting the model broke. Not that Musk got lucky. That the rest of them were running a flawed framework and didn’t know it. That should keep you up at night. Because if the PayPal Mafia had the wrong model, the question is not whether Musk is exceptional. The question is how many other things the conventional framework is catastrophically wrong about right now. How many ideas getting buried today look obvious in ten years. How many founders are being told they don’t understand risk when they are the only ones who do. The chapter never got written. The man it was supposed to warn us about built two of the most important companies in human history instead. They are still writing the explanation. He already moved on to the next impossible thing.

Peter Thiel and David Sacks were going to write a book about PayPal. Elon Musk’s chapter was titled “The Man Who Knew Nothing About Risk.” The PayPal Mafia. The sharpest venture minds of a generation. People who had built with Musk. Watched him operate up close. They thought he was out of his mind. Thiel: “When Elon was building both Tesla and SpaceX in the 2000s, people thought he was just really, really crazy.” This was not the press misunderstanding a founder. This was his own people. And they were not wrong by accident. They were wrong by design. Because the framework everyone uses to calculate risk is built on one assumption. That the laws governing what is possible are fixed. Musk did not share that assumption. Thiel figured that out later. Thiel: “If one of the two companies had succeeded, you would say, well, maybe he still got really lucky. But when two out of two companies that people thought were completely harebrained both succeed, you have to reassess.” One success is luck. Two is a different kind of intelligence entirely. Musk was simultaneously trying to privatize space and electrify transportation. Two industries with the most entrenched players on Earth. Two that had eaten billions in failed attempts. Two that governments spent decades trying to move and couldn’t. He did both. At the same time. Nearly went bankrupt doing it. And came out the other side owning both. That is not luck. That is not even genius. That is a different relationship with reality itself. The conventional risk model measures one thing. The probability of losing what you already have. Capital at risk. Downside scenarios. Protect the position. Musk was running a different equation entirely. He was calculating the cost of not trying. The risk of building a reusable rocket and failing is a rounding error. The risk of humanity remaining trapped on a single planet forever is not. The conventional investor sees a 90% chance of losing everything and calls it irrational. Musk saw a 100% chance of civilizational stagnation if no one moved and called that the real risk. The math was never wrong. The lens was just incomprehensibly larger. Thiel: “Somehow the rest of us are too risk-averse, or there’s something about risk he knows that we don’t.” That is Peter Thiel. One of the most ruthless, clear-eyed thinkers in venture capital history admitting the model broke. Not that Musk got lucky. That the rest of them were running a flawed framework and didn’t know it. That should keep you up at night. Because if the PayPal Mafia had the wrong model, the question is not whether Musk is exceptional. The question is how many other things the conventional framework is catastrophically wrong about right now. How many ideas getting buried today look obvious in ten years. How many founders are being told they don’t understand risk when they are the only ones who do. The chapter never got written. The man it was supposed to warn us about built two of the most important companies in human history instead. They are still writing the explanation. He already moved on to the next impossible thing.

Dustin

49,454 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

January 2022, CTV’s Glen McGregor purposely unleashed a loaded question on Trudeau about unvaccinated Canadians. Trudeau’s response was abhorrent. He encouraged a nation to be angry at unvaccinated Canadians. Telling them we are still on lockdown because of the risk unvaccinated pose to vaccinated. He claimed his tactics were “incentives” to get people to take the shot, when in reality it was coercion. If the product worked, why would unvaccinated pose a risk? Why isn’t this terrible man not in jail? Thankfully the Freedom Convoy happened days later Never forget.

January 2022, CTV’s Glen McGregor purposely unleashed a loaded question on Trudeau about unvaccinated Canadians. Trudeau’s response was abhorrent. He encouraged a nation to be angry at unvaccinated Canadians. Telling them we are still on lockdown because of the risk unvaccinated pose to vaccinated. He claimed his tactics were “incentives” to get people to take the shot, when in reality it was coercion. If the product worked, why would unvaccinated pose a risk? Why isn’t this terrible man not in jail? Thankfully the Freedom Convoy happened days later Never forget.

Ryan Gerritsen🇨🇦🇳🇱

40,113 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

In 2013 a Wall Street risk boss walked up to an MIT chalkboard and gave away the exact math desks charge $400,000 a year to run. MIT filmed it. it has been free for 13 years. 7.9 million people pressed play and almost none of them changed a thing. his point: the Wall Street edge was never a secret. it is a first lecture. options, risk, how a payout is actually built. every prediction-market trader hunting an edge in 2026 is chasing what Jake Xia put on a board in hour one of a free class. he ran risk for a living, not a channel. the video outdrew most blockbusters and still moved almost no one, because watching is not doing. skip to where he prices risk. he takes the thing quant threads sell for $500 and builds it from zero, slow enough for a beginner to follow. no paywall. no NDA. one board and a marker. a quant I know sends this link to every junior who whines the math is too hard. you are 13 years late. it is still free.

In 2013 a Wall Street risk boss walked up to an MIT chalkboard and gave away the exact math desks charge $400,000 a year to run. MIT filmed it. it has been free for 13 years. 7.9 million people pressed play and almost none of them changed a thing. his point: the Wall Street edge was never a secret. it is a first lecture. options, risk, how a payout is actually built. every prediction-market trader hunting an edge in 2026 is chasing what Jake Xia put on a board in hour one of a free class. he ran risk for a living, not a channel. the video outdrew most blockbusters and still moved almost no one, because watching is not doing. skip to where he prices risk. he takes the thing quant threads sell for $500 and builds it from zero, slow enough for a beginner to follow. no paywall. no NDA. one board and a marker. a quant I know sends this link to every junior who whines the math is too hard. you are 13 years late. it is still free.

Loran

151,219 görüntüleme • 17 gün önce

JAKE SULLIVAN ON IRAN NUCLEAR THREAT - DECEMBER 22, 2024 "One of those things is if you're Iran right now and you're looking around at the fact that your conventional capability has been reduced, your proxies have been reduced, your main client state has been eliminated, Assad has fallen, it's no wonder there are voices saying, hey, maybe we need to go for a nuclear weapon right now. That is a real risk. It's a risk we are trying to be vigilant about now. It's a risk that I'm personally briefing the incoming team on. I was just in Israel consulting with the Israelis on this risk. And it's something that is the consequence, not of Iranian strength, but of Iranian weakness. And that's the kind of thing that in a dynamic and challenging Middle East, American statecraft is going to have to account for."

JAKE SULLIVAN ON IRAN NUCLEAR THREAT - DECEMBER 22, 2024 "One of those things is if you're Iran right now and you're looking around at the fact that your conventional capability has been reduced, your proxies have been reduced, your main client state has been eliminated, Assad has fallen, it's no wonder there are voices saying, hey, maybe we need to go for a nuclear weapon right now. That is a real risk. It's a risk we are trying to be vigilant about now. It's a risk that I'm personally briefing the incoming team on. I was just in Israel consulting with the Israelis on this risk. And it's something that is the consequence, not of Iranian strength, but of Iranian weakness. And that's the kind of thing that in a dynamic and challenging Middle East, American statecraft is going to have to account for."

Apple Lamps

129,381 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Dragonfly GP Rob Hadick on what actually happened on 10/10 and what the industry needs to learn from it "It's pretty clear that mistakes were made in infrastructure and risk management at certain exchanges. That created a dislocation of collateral, and that dislocation meant there was a depegging that shouldn't have happened, that wouldn't have happened if people were appropriately building the infrastructure the way everyone had warned and expected they should be. That created this cascading liquidation effect that ended up being the worst day in crypto history" "There are a couple of narratives. One is about making sure we continue to act like a mature enough industry that has risk management and counterparty risk at the top of our minds. Another is how we think through the types of leverage we allow for products. There's retail hunger for a lot of leverage, but is that the most appropriate way to give access to retail traders, depending on their level of sophistication?" "It was over a million individual accounts. There aren't that many people here, and especially entering a bear market, those would have been the people who probably would have still been participating"

Dragonfly GP Rob Hadick on what actually happened on 10/10 and what the industry needs to learn from it "It's pretty clear that mistakes were made in infrastructure and risk management at certain exchanges. That created a dislocation of collateral, and that dislocation meant there was a depegging that shouldn't have happened, that wouldn't have happened if people were appropriately building the infrastructure the way everyone had warned and expected they should be. That created this cascading liquidation effect that ended up being the worst day in crypto history" "There are a couple of narratives. One is about making sure we continue to act like a mature enough industry that has risk management and counterparty risk at the top of our minds. Another is how we think through the types of leverage we allow for products. There's retail hunger for a lot of leverage, but is that the most appropriate way to give access to retail traders, depending on their level of sophistication?" "It was over a million individual accounts. There aren't that many people here, and especially entering a bear market, those would have been the people who probably would have still been participating"

The Wolf Of All Streets

35,385 görüntüleme • 8 gün önce

$Women have been misled by medical dogma for decades. It's time for the truth about Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT). As Dr. Marty Makary explains, the pervasive fear that HRT increases a woman's risk of dying from breast cancer is not supported by clinical trial data. This critical misunderstanding has robbed countless women of profound health benefits. The short-term relief from perimenopause symptoms—like hot flashes, night sweats, and mood swings—is well-known. But the long-term benefits are truly staggering and largely underappreciated: ✅ Cuts the risk of heart attacks by 25-50% (the #1 killer of women). ✅ Reduces the risk of cognitive decline & Alzheimer's by up to 64%. ✅ Slashes the risk of osteoporosis and debilitating bone fractures in half. When initiated within 10 years of perimenopause, HRT may be one of the most impactful preventive medications in modern history for improving women's long-term health outcomes on a population level. Yet, as Dr. Makary points out, it remains underrecognized, underappreciated, and underfunded. This is a pivotal issue in women's health that demands attention. Every woman deserves to know the real data, beyond the outdated dogma, to make an informed decision with her doctor.$

Women have been misled by medical dogma for decades. It's time for the truth about Hormone Replacement Therapy (HRT). As Dr. Marty Makary explains, the pervasive fear that HRT increases a woman's risk of dying from breast cancer is not supported by clinical trial data. This critical misunderstanding has robbed countless women of profound health benefits. The short-term relief from perimenopause symptoms—like hot flashes, night sweats, and mood swings—is well-known. But the long-term benefits are truly staggering and largely underappreciated: ✅ Cuts the risk of heart attacks by 25-50% (the #1 killer of women). ✅ Reduces the risk of cognitive decline & Alzheimer's by up to 64%. ✅ Slashes the risk of osteoporosis and debilitating bone fractures in half. When initiated within 10 years of perimenopause, HRT may be one of the most impactful preventive medications in modern history for improving women's long-term health outcomes on a population level. Yet, as Dr. Makary points out, it remains underrecognized, underappreciated, and underfunded. This is a pivotal issue in women's health that demands attention. Every woman deserves to know the real data, beyond the outdated dogma, to make an informed decision with her doctor.

Camus

83,549 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

What would you do if you knew you couldn’t fail? 🛝 This video of sisters Emmy and Lyla, is more than a lovely moment on the playground. It’s also a perfect analogy for the type of environment we want to create for young children: supportive, loving, and conducive to (healthy) risk taking. Risk taking might not be the first thing you think of encouraging in your toddler. But almost all significant learning requires it. Whether it’s taking one’s first steps, trying a new food, finding the courage to approach a potential friend, or trying out the playground slide, young children are challenged by healthy risk daily. (Obviously, this is to be differentiated from unhealthy risk, which might put your child in danger.) How do we nurture healthy risk taking? Three-year-old Lyla puts on a master class in this short video, providing her sister with assurances that she is safe, protected, and bound to succeed. What a gift. These little risk takers were shared to IG by havensisters.

What would you do if you knew you couldn’t fail? 🛝 This video of sisters Emmy and Lyla, is more than a lovely moment on the playground. It’s also a perfect analogy for the type of environment we want to create for young children: supportive, loving, and conducive to (healthy) risk taking. Risk taking might not be the first thing you think of encouraging in your toddler. But almost all significant learning requires it. Whether it’s taking one’s first steps, trying a new food, finding the courage to approach a potential friend, or trying out the playground slide, young children are challenged by healthy risk daily. (Obviously, this is to be differentiated from unhealthy risk, which might put your child in danger.) How do we nurture healthy risk taking? Three-year-old Lyla puts on a master class in this short video, providing her sister with assurances that she is safe, protected, and bound to succeed. What a gift. These little risk takers were shared to IG by havensisters.

Dan Wuori

186,999 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

Warren Buffett openly admitted his biggest fear: currency debasement. “We wouldn’t want to be holding anything in a currency that’s going to hell.” Let that sink in, because Berkshire is sitting on hundreds of billions in cash, largely parked in U.S. Treasuries. Treasuries are not “risk-free” in a debasement regime. They’re just long-duration claims on a falling currency. So here’s the real question the market isn’t asking yet: What if Buffett decides that protecting purchasing power matters more than earning yield? In that world, businesses help. But the pure hedge against debasement has always been #GOLD and #silver, assets with no counterparty risk. If the ultimate value investor is worried about the currency itself, this cycle is no longer about returns… it’s about survival of real value. #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway

Warren Buffett openly admitted his biggest fear: currency debasement. “We wouldn’t want to be holding anything in a currency that’s going to hell.” Let that sink in, because Berkshire is sitting on hundreds of billions in cash, largely parked in U.S. Treasuries. Treasuries are not “risk-free” in a debasement regime. They’re just long-duration claims on a falling currency. So here’s the real question the market isn’t asking yet: What if Buffett decides that protecting purchasing power matters more than earning yield? In that world, businesses help. But the pure hedge against debasement has always been #GOLD and #silver, assets with no counterparty risk. If the ultimate value investor is worried about the currency itself, this cycle is no longer about returns… it’s about survival of real value. #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway

Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy

165,324 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Why the S&P 500 Will Be Forced To Buy Bitcoin In this Swan Bitcoin presentation, Adam Livingston explains why passive index mechanics will force the S&P 500 to ingest Bitcoin exposure the moment Strategy qualifies for inclusion. This is not about taste or ideology, it is about rules, float, weights, and the blind math of passive flows. When the index updates the list, trillions in benchmark trackers and benchmark huggers follow, which pipes Bitcoin exposure into every 401k and pension that hugs the S&P. You will learn: - The exact checklist for S&P 500 inclusion and how Strategy now clears it - How passive funds like SPY and VOO are compelled to buy new entrants, not asked - Why a small initial weight can still trigger billions in forced purchases - How spot Bitcoin ETFs amplify the same flows with daily rebalancing - The reflexive loop that forms when Bitcoin rises, Strategy’s weight rises, and passive capital buys again - Real world proofs from prior inclusions that show how fast the index effect hits - Why miners, exchanges, and Bitcoin treasury companies create a second order wave of exposure - Why this is inevitability, not opinion Who this is for: - Finance pros who want the plumbing, not the memes - Bitcoiners who need a clean, shareable explanation for skeptics - CIOs, advisors, and analysts who live and die by benchmark risk Why it matters: - The passive system cannot ignore Bitcoin once the rules are triggered - Index mechanics will distribute Bitcoin exposure across global portfolios by default

Why the S&P 500 Will Be Forced To Buy Bitcoin In this Swan Bitcoin presentation, Adam Livingston explains why passive index mechanics will force the S&P 500 to ingest Bitcoin exposure the moment Strategy qualifies for inclusion. This is not about taste or ideology, it is about rules, float, weights, and the blind math of passive flows. When the index updates the list, trillions in benchmark trackers and benchmark huggers follow, which pipes Bitcoin exposure into every 401k and pension that hugs the S&P. You will learn: - The exact checklist for S&P 500 inclusion and how Strategy now clears it - How passive funds like SPY and VOO are compelled to buy new entrants, not asked - Why a small initial weight can still trigger billions in forced purchases - How spot Bitcoin ETFs amplify the same flows with daily rebalancing - The reflexive loop that forms when Bitcoin rises, Strategy’s weight rises, and passive capital buys again - Real world proofs from prior inclusions that show how fast the index effect hits - Why miners, exchanges, and Bitcoin treasury companies create a second order wave of exposure - Why this is inevitability, not opinion Who this is for: - Finance pros who want the plumbing, not the memes - Bitcoiners who need a clean, shareable explanation for skeptics - CIOs, advisors, and analysts who live and die by benchmark risk Why it matters: - The passive system cannot ignore Bitcoin once the rules are triggered - Index mechanics will distribute Bitcoin exposure across global portfolios by default

Swan

26,400 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

EBOLA: Africa Is Not a Dumping Ground for Western Fears America wants to protect itself from Ebola by moving its exposed citizens to Kenya, a country with no recorded cases of the disease. In plain language, the United States does not want the risk on its own soil, so it wants to move that risk to Africa. Kenya’s High Court has now suspended the plan, blocking any Ebola-related quarantine, isolation, or treatment center tied to the US or any foreign government. The case, brought by the Katiba Institute, argued that the plan posed a threat to life if allowed to proceed without proper safeguards. This is bigger than one facility. It is about how Africa is still treated as a convenient dumping ground for Western fears. When the risk is too dangerous for America, it suddenly becomes acceptable for Africans. Ruto’s government must answer a serious question: why should Africa carry a public health risk that America refuses to carry for itself?

EBOLA: Africa Is Not a Dumping Ground for Western Fears America wants to protect itself from Ebola by moving its exposed citizens to Kenya, a country with no recorded cases of the disease. In plain language, the United States does not want the risk on its own soil, so it wants to move that risk to Africa. Kenya’s High Court has now suspended the plan, blocking any Ebola-related quarantine, isolation, or treatment center tied to the US or any foreign government. The case, brought by the Katiba Institute, argued that the plan posed a threat to life if allowed to proceed without proper safeguards. This is bigger than one facility. It is about how Africa is still treated as a convenient dumping ground for Western fears. When the risk is too dangerous for America, it suddenly becomes acceptable for Africans. Ruto’s government must answer a serious question: why should Africa carry a public health risk that America refuses to carry for itself?

The Spearhead

22,258 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

"Unequivocally...For Every Single Vaccine On The Childhood Schedule...Your Risk Of Dying From The Vaccine Far Exceeds Your Risk Of Death From The Disease." Dr Paul Thomas, MD "If You're Afraid Of Your Child Dying, If That's What You Fear The Most...Do Not Give Them A Vaccine." Full Data---Rounded For Ease Of Reference... Unrounded Raw Data Listed At Bottom Of Post. 🔵Polio: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1 Trillion Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 215K 🔵Diphtheria: Death From The Disease: 1 in 42.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 76K 🔵Tetanus: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 76K 🔵Pertussis: Death From The Disease: 1 in 2.3 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 76K 🔵Measles: Death From The Disease: 1 in 106.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 108K 🔵Mumps: Death From The Disease: 1 in 40.3 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 108K 🔵Rubella: Death From The Disease: 0/ Negligible Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 108K 🔵Varicella: Death From The Disease: 1 in 32.3 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 202K 🔵Hepatitis A: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1.6 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 73K 🔵Hepatitis B: Death From The Disease: 1 in 305K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 96K 🔵HIB: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 46K 🔵Pneumococcal: Death From The Disease: 1 in 236K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 50K 🔵Meningococcal: Death From The Disease: 1 in 822K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 141K 🔵Influenza: Death From The Disease: 1 in 136K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 15K Dr. Paul Thomas, Dr. Kenneth P. Stoller & Stand for Health Freedom, are suing the CDC. The lawsuit accuses the CDC of recommending 72+ vaccine doses for American children without ever testing the cumulative schedule for safety. The Lawsuit... No safety testing: The CDC & FDA has never studied the long term, combined effects of the full childhood schedule. The Institute Of Medicine has issued two decades of warnings, but no accountability or action has resulted. 27 years of silence: By law, HHS must file biennial reports to Congress on vaccine safety efforts. No reports have been issued since 1998. Constitutional violations: The suit charges the CDC with First Amendment violations(silencing dissenting doctors), the Fifth Amendment violations(due process & bodily integrity) & the Administrative Procedure Act violations(arbitrary & capricious rulemaking). The Plaintiffs Seek... Reclassification of all childhood vaccines to Category B. This shifts to shared decision making, which would make medical exemptions far easier to obtain. That rigorous safety studies be required, comparing fully vaccinated vs. unvaccinated children before any return to a mandated schedule. To end retaliation against doctors. Physicians who issue exemptions based on individualized medical judgment, would be protected. If the case is won, this lawsuit will expose the unlawful CDC hyper vaccination program. It will mark a massive victory for families who seek vaccine exemptions & for physicians fighting to practice real 'patient focused' medicine. Full Raw Data---'Unrounded' Complete Numbers... 🔴POLIO: Risk of death from Polio is 1 in 1 Trillion. Risk of death from the Polio Vaccine is 1 in 214,973. 🔴DIPHTHERIA: Risk of death from Diphtheria is 1 in 42,509,839. Risk of death from the DTaP Vaccine is 1 in 76,341. 🔴TETANUS: Risk of death from Tetanus is 1 in 1,506,184. Risk of death from the DTaP Vaccine is 1 in 76,341. 🔴PERTUSSIS: Risk of death from Pertussis is 1 in 2,346,718. Risk of death from the DTaP Vaccine is 1 in 76,341. 🔴MEASLES: Risk of death from Measles is 1 in 106,506,429. Risk of death from the MMR Vaccine is 1 in 108,666. 🔴MUMPS: Risk of death from Mumps is 1 in 40,371,594. Risk of death from the MMR Vaccine is 1 in 108,666. 🔴RUBELLA: Risk of death from Rubella is 0. Risk of death from the MMR Vaccine is 1 in 108,666. 🔴VARICELLA: Risk of death from Chickenpox is 1 in 32,331,860. Risk of death from the Vaccine is 1 in 202,398. 🔴HEPATITIS A: Risk of death from Hepatitis A is 1 in 1,667,135. Risk of death from the Vaccine is 1 in 72,948. 🔴HEPATITIS B: Risk of death from Hepatitis B is 1 in 305,465. Risk of death from the vaccine is 1 in 96,314. 🔴HIB: Risk of death from HIB is 1 in 1,494,710. Risk of death from the HIB Vaccine is 1 in 45,966. 🔴PNEUMOCOCCAL: Risk of death from Pneumonia is 1 in 236,562. Risk of death from the vaccine is 1 in 50,056. 🔴MENINGOCOCCAL: Risk of death from Meningitis is 1 in 821,925. Risk of death from the Vaccine is 1 in 141,124. 🔴INFLUENZA: Risk of death from Influenza is 1 in 135,905. Risk of death from the Flu Vaccine is 1 in 15,702. 👇Dr Paul Thomas, MD "Vax Facts"👇 👇Stand For Health Freedom👇 👇Dr Paul Thomas' Research Data👇 Speaker: PaulThomas Video: @toxins_in_children

"Unequivocally...For Every Single Vaccine On The Childhood Schedule...Your Risk Of Dying From The Vaccine Far Exceeds Your Risk Of Death From The Disease." Dr Paul Thomas, MD "If You're Afraid Of Your Child Dying, If That's What You Fear The Most...Do Not Give Them A Vaccine." Full Data---Rounded For Ease Of Reference... Unrounded Raw Data Listed At Bottom Of Post. 🔵Polio: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1 Trillion Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 215K 🔵Diphtheria: Death From The Disease: 1 in 42.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 76K 🔵Tetanus: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 76K 🔵Pertussis: Death From The Disease: 1 in 2.3 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 76K 🔵Measles: Death From The Disease: 1 in 106.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 108K 🔵Mumps: Death From The Disease: 1 in 40.3 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 108K 🔵Rubella: Death From The Disease: 0/ Negligible Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 108K 🔵Varicella: Death From The Disease: 1 in 32.3 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 202K 🔵Hepatitis A: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1.6 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 73K 🔵Hepatitis B: Death From The Disease: 1 in 305K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 96K 🔵HIB: Death From The Disease: 1 in 1.5 Million Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 46K 🔵Pneumococcal: Death From The Disease: 1 in 236K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 50K 🔵Meningococcal: Death From The Disease: 1 in 822K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 141K 🔵Influenza: Death From The Disease: 1 in 136K Death From The Vaccine: 1 in 15K Dr. Paul Thomas, Dr. Kenneth P. Stoller & Stand for Health Freedom, are suing the CDC. The lawsuit accuses the CDC of recommending 72+ vaccine doses for American children without ever testing the cumulative schedule for safety. The Lawsuit... No safety testing: The CDC & FDA has never studied the long term, combined effects of the full childhood schedule. The Institute Of Medicine has issued two decades of warnings, but no accountability or action has resulted. 27 years of silence: By law, HHS must file biennial reports to Congress on vaccine safety efforts. No reports have been issued since 1998. Constitutional violations: The suit charges the CDC with First Amendment violations(silencing dissenting doctors), the Fifth Amendment violations(due process & bodily integrity) & the Administrative Procedure Act violations(arbitrary & capricious rulemaking). The Plaintiffs Seek... Reclassification of all childhood vaccines to Category B. This shifts to shared decision making, which would make medical exemptions far easier to obtain. That rigorous safety studies be required, comparing fully vaccinated vs. unvaccinated children before any return to a mandated schedule. To end retaliation against doctors. Physicians who issue exemptions based on individualized medical judgment, would be protected. If the case is won, this lawsuit will expose the unlawful CDC hyper vaccination program. It will mark a massive victory for families who seek vaccine exemptions & for physicians fighting to practice real 'patient focused' medicine. Full Raw Data---'Unrounded' Complete Numbers... 🔴POLIO: Risk of death from Polio is 1 in 1 Trillion. Risk of death from the Polio Vaccine is 1 in 214,973. 🔴DIPHTHERIA: Risk of death from Diphtheria is 1 in 42,509,839. Risk of death from the DTaP Vaccine is 1 in 76,341. 🔴TETANUS: Risk of death from Tetanus is 1 in 1,506,184. Risk of death from the DTaP Vaccine is 1 in 76,341. 🔴PERTUSSIS: Risk of death from Pertussis is 1 in 2,346,718. Risk of death from the DTaP Vaccine is 1 in 76,341. 🔴MEASLES: Risk of death from Measles is 1 in 106,506,429. Risk of death from the MMR Vaccine is 1 in 108,666. 🔴MUMPS: Risk of death from Mumps is 1 in 40,371,594. Risk of death from the MMR Vaccine is 1 in 108,666. 🔴RUBELLA: Risk of death from Rubella is 0. Risk of death from the MMR Vaccine is 1 in 108,666. 🔴VARICELLA: Risk of death from Chickenpox is 1 in 32,331,860. Risk of death from the Vaccine is 1 in 202,398. 🔴HEPATITIS A: Risk of death from Hepatitis A is 1 in 1,667,135. Risk of death from the Vaccine is 1 in 72,948. 🔴HEPATITIS B: Risk of death from Hepatitis B is 1 in 305,465. Risk of death from the vaccine is 1 in 96,314. 🔴HIB: Risk of death from HIB is 1 in 1,494,710. Risk of death from the HIB Vaccine is 1 in 45,966. 🔴PNEUMOCOCCAL: Risk of death from Pneumonia is 1 in 236,562. Risk of death from the vaccine is 1 in 50,056. 🔴MENINGOCOCCAL: Risk of death from Meningitis is 1 in 821,925. Risk of death from the Vaccine is 1 in 141,124. 🔴INFLUENZA: Risk of death from Influenza is 1 in 135,905. Risk of death from the Flu Vaccine is 1 in 15,702. 👇Dr Paul Thomas, MD "Vax Facts"👇 👇Stand For Health Freedom👇 👇Dr Paul Thomas' Research Data👇 Speaker: PaulThomas Video: @toxins_in_children

Valerie Anne Smith

135,863 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

It’s been more than 20 years since media headlines about the Women’s Health Initiative study incorrectly linked HRT to an increased risk of breast cancer, but even today many women still avoid HRT because of perceived breast cancer fears. This misinformation is really damaging to women’s health, so on my podcast this week I invited Dr Avrum Bluming to join me. Avrum is a leading US oncologist and has spent 25 years studying the benefits and risks of HRT in breast cancer survivors. As you’ll hear in the episode, Avrum tells me about more recent studies that have shown that oestrogen alone decreases the risk of breast cancer development by 23% and the risk of death from breast cancer by 40%. Yet many people still do not realise this. It is so important that everyone knows the real story about the WHI study and the misreporting of the data so I really would recommend listening to the full episode:

It’s been more than 20 years since media headlines about the Women’s Health Initiative study incorrectly linked HRT to an increased risk of breast cancer, but even today many women still avoid HRT because of perceived breast cancer fears. This misinformation is really damaging to women’s health, so on my podcast this week I invited Dr Avrum Bluming to join me. Avrum is a leading US oncologist and has spent 25 years studying the benefits and risks of HRT in breast cancer survivors. As you’ll hear in the episode, Avrum tells me about more recent studies that have shown that oestrogen alone decreases the risk of breast cancer development by 23% and the risk of death from breast cancer by 40%. Yet many people still do not realise this. It is so important that everyone knows the real story about the WHI study and the misreporting of the data so I really would recommend listening to the full episode:

Dr Louise Newson

40,551 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

Finally. After 18 months of patience, FSD is officially approved and live in the Netherlands. I’ve been driving with it for 2 days now. And the experience is on another level. It feels like the future unfolding in real time. The precision. The intelligence. The confidence of the system. This is not incremental progress. This is a clear step forward in how mobility works. Huge thanks to Elon Musk and the entire AI team at Tesla. From a professional perspective, this shows what is possible when software, data, and real-world deployment come together at scale. The question is no longer if this will take over. The question is how fast it will expand. This is a turning point. Elon Musk

Finally. After 18 months of patience, FSD is officially approved and live in the Netherlands. I’ve been driving with it for 2 days now. And the experience is on another level. It feels like the future unfolding in real time. The precision. The intelligence. The confidence of the system. This is not incremental progress. This is a clear step forward in how mobility works. Huge thanks to Elon Musk and the entire AI team at Tesla. From a professional perspective, this shows what is possible when software, data, and real-world deployment come together at scale. The question is no longer if this will take over. The question is how fast it will expand. This is a turning point. Elon Musk

NL F$D Inside

25,130,121 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Peer-Reviewed Study Reveals Alarming Cancer Link to COVID Vaccines A landmark study from Italy, published in the peer-reviewed Experimental and Clinical Sciences Journal, has uncovered disturbing data on cancer risks following COVID-19 vaccination. While public health authorities in many countries, like the UK, have failed to provide transparent vaccinated vs. unvaccinated data, this independent research fills a critical gap. The findings, based on a 6-month follow-up, show a significant increase in cancer incidence among those who received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine: • Colorectal Cancer: 34% increased risk (Hazard Ratio: 1.34) • Breast Cancer: 54% increased risk (Hazard Ratio: 1.54) • Bladder Cancer: 62% increased risk (Hazard Ratio: 1.62) These hazard ratios point to a stark reality that can no longer be ignored. The study suggests the risk is not isolated but potentially affects "many types of cancers." The full paper is publicly available for scrutiny. This is no longer a "conspiracy theory" but a peer-reviewed finding demanding immediate investigation and accountability. Where is the urgent response from global health agencies?

Peer-Reviewed Study Reveals Alarming Cancer Link to COVID Vaccines A landmark study from Italy, published in the peer-reviewed Experimental and Clinical Sciences Journal, has uncovered disturbing data on cancer risks following COVID-19 vaccination. While public health authorities in many countries, like the UK, have failed to provide transparent vaccinated vs. unvaccinated data, this independent research fills a critical gap. The findings, based on a 6-month follow-up, show a significant increase in cancer incidence among those who received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine: • Colorectal Cancer: 34% increased risk (Hazard Ratio: 1.34) • Breast Cancer: 54% increased risk (Hazard Ratio: 1.54) • Bladder Cancer: 62% increased risk (Hazard Ratio: 1.62) These hazard ratios point to a stark reality that can no longer be ignored. The study suggests the risk is not isolated but potentially affects "many types of cancers." The full paper is publicly available for scrutiny. This is no longer a "conspiracy theory" but a peer-reviewed finding demanding immediate investigation and accountability. Where is the urgent response from global health agencies?

Camus

57,873 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

Dr. Paul Marik, one of the most cited critical-care physicians on earth, delivered the most empowering 2-minute message on cancer you’ll see this year. Key moments from the clip (watch it — it’s worth every second): • Cancer rates are rising fast — but most of the risk is modifiable • A large peer-reviewed PLOS ONE study showed that three simple, low-cost interventions — vitamin D, omega-3s, and regular exercise — reduced invasive cancer risk by ≈60% • Step one for everyone: move away from the inflammatory American diet that’s literally feeding the epidemic • Step two for higher-risk people (family history, genetics, previous cancer): evidence-based protocols using nutraceuticals and repurposed medicines that go even further — all backed by published science His closing line: “Cancer is a big risk and it’s increasing — but we now have real, proven tools to dramatically lower that risk. Let’s take this seriously and use them.” Pure hope backed by data. No fear, just facts and action. Watch the full 2:02 clip below and let it sink in. What’s the ONE change you’re making this week after hearing this?

Dr. Paul Marik, one of the most cited critical-care physicians on earth, delivered the most empowering 2-minute message on cancer you’ll see this year. Key moments from the clip (watch it — it’s worth every second): • Cancer rates are rising fast — but most of the risk is modifiable • A large peer-reviewed PLOS ONE study showed that three simple, low-cost interventions — vitamin D, omega-3s, and regular exercise — reduced invasive cancer risk by ≈60% • Step one for everyone: move away from the inflammatory American diet that’s literally feeding the epidemic • Step two for higher-risk people (family history, genetics, previous cancer): evidence-based protocols using nutraceuticals and repurposed medicines that go even further — all backed by published science His closing line: “Cancer is a big risk and it’s increasing — but we now have real, proven tools to dramatically lower that risk. Let’s take this seriously and use them.” Pure hope backed by data. No fear, just facts and action. Watch the full 2:02 clip below and let it sink in. What’s the ONE change you’re making this week after hearing this?

Camus

30,616 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce