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Two different clips: • First: Mbappé who drops deep, Vinicius telling Mbappé to move into the box, the pass arrives there, but Mbappé is nowhere to be seen. • Second: Valverde’s dribble, Vini who does Mbappé’s job and scores. Then tells him again.

1,495,839 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Haaland finished his World Cup with seven goals. Messi and Mbappé are now level on eight, with one match left each. So I asked Apodex Apodex a simple question with a not-so-simple answer: who wins the Golden Boot? It first gave Messi a 65% chance, Mbappé 25%, and the field 10%. But the useful part wasn’t the pick. It was what happened when I challenged the reasoning. I asked Apodex to audit its own forecast. It found that the first analysis had underweighted the difficulty of Messi’s final, while not fully translating the more open—but rotation-sensitive—third-place match into Mbappé’s chances. The result: Messi fell from 65% to 61%, while Mbappé rose from 25% to 29%. I then made it remove every claim that couldn’t be traced to reliable sources. Using only five verified inputs—goals, assists, minutes played, FIFA’s tiebreak rules, and the remaining fixtures—it settled at: Messi: 60% Mbappé: 30% Others: 10% The core logic is surprisingly clean: both have eight goals, but Messi leads 4–3 in assists. If they finish level on goals and that assist gap remains, Messi wins. Mbappé’s clearest route is to outscore him. That’s what made this test interesting. Apodex didn’t pretend to know the future—it exposed the evidence, the uncertainty, and the exact reason its confidence changed. This evidence-driven approach has also been validated by Apodex’s recent performance on the FutureX forecasting benchmark. Timestamped on July 16. I’ll come back after the final and check the result. This is a probability forecast based on current evidence, not betting advice. Try it:

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At just 17 years old, Kylian Mbappé made his debut for France, beginning an international career that would soon make him one of football’s biggest stars. The legend was already being written before most people realized it. Bondy, a suburb of Paris, was an unlikely place for one of football’s greatest talents to emerge. Kylian Mbappé grew up with extraordinary ability and a fearless style that quickly set him apart. He didn’t wait for the world to notice him—he exploded onto the scene with blistering pace and unforgettable performances. At just 18, he was starring for Monaco in the Champions League, leaving defenders behind with ease. Soon came his breakthrough with France, and at 19 he became only the second teenager ever to score in a World Cup final, joining Pelé in the history books. His success continued at PSG, where league titles, goals, and record-breaking performances became the norm. Then came the move to Real Madrid, football’s biggest stage, where he continued to prove why he belongs among the game’s elite. Mbappé’s greatness isn’t defined only by his speed, finishing, or trophy collection. It’s his ability to deliver when the stakes are highest. Time and again, when his team needed a moment of brilliance, he was already there. Some players rise to big occasions. For Kylian Mbappé, the biggest occasions seem to rise to him. His legacy is already secure, and his story is still being written.

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WHY France’s Biggest Problem Might Be Kylian Mbappé… France probably have the most frightening squad at the World Cup. Mbappé, Dembélé, Olise, Cherki, Tchouaméni, Saliba, Upamecano, Konaté, Maignan. The depth is ridiculous, and on talent alone they have to be considered one of the favourites. But there is one problem Deschamps still hasn’t solved. Mbappé increasingly operates as France’s number nine, yet he doesn’t really play like one. He wants freedom, drifts wide, drops deep and looks to become the focal point of attacks. The issue is that when he vacates central areas, somebody still needs to occupy the centre-backs. That could become a major issue. With Ekitike injured, France lose the profile that looked perfectly suited to balancing the attack. So can Thuram provide that presence? Or will Deschamps need to turn to Mateta when games become more physical? Defensively, France remain terrifying. Their transition defence might be the best in the tournament, with Saliba, Upamecano, Konaté and Tchouaméni capable of shutting down counters almost on their own. Add in their aerial power and athleticism, and very few teams can match them physically. But possession remains the question mark. France still lack a clear repeatable build-up structure and often rely on moments of brilliance rather than sustained control. That makes the Olise versus Cherki debate fascinating. One offers a direct route to goal, the other might be the player who actually connects the team. If Deschamps finds the right balance around Mbappé, France have enough talent to win the World Cup. But if those attacking issues persist, another deep run could end in familiar fashion. France fans, are Les Bleus lifting the trophy or falling just short again? 👀🇫🇷 📹Samson Kalnińş Brough

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