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Two different clips: • First: Mbappé who drops deep, Vinicius telling Mbappé to move into the box, the pass arrives there, but Mbappé is nowhere to be seen. • Second: Valverde’s dribble, Vini who does Mbappé’s job and scores. Then tells him again.

1,495,839 views • 5 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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Haaland finished his World Cup with seven goals. Messi and Mbappé are now level on eight, with one match left each. So I asked Apodex Apodex a simple question with a not-so-simple answer: who wins the Golden Boot? It first gave Messi a 65% chance, Mbappé 25%, and the field 10%. But the useful part wasn’t the pick. It was what happened when I challenged the reasoning. I asked Apodex to audit its own forecast. It found that the first analysis had underweighted the difficulty of Messi’s final, while not fully translating the more open—but rotation-sensitive—third-place match into Mbappé’s chances. The result: Messi fell from 65% to 61%, while Mbappé rose from 25% to 29%. I then made it remove every claim that couldn’t be traced to reliable sources. Using only five verified inputs—goals, assists, minutes played, FIFA’s tiebreak rules, and the remaining fixtures—it settled at: Messi: 60% Mbappé: 30% Others: 10% The core logic is surprisingly clean: both have eight goals, but Messi leads 4–3 in assists. If they finish level on goals and that assist gap remains, Messi wins. Mbappé’s clearest route is to outscore him. That’s what made this test interesting. Apodex didn’t pretend to know the future—it exposed the evidence, the uncertainty, and the exact reason its confidence changed. This evidence-driven approach has also been validated by Apodex’s recent performance on the FutureX forecasting benchmark. Timestamped on July 16. I’ll come back after the final and check the result. This is a probability forecast based on current evidence, not betting advice. Try it:

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WHY France’s Biggest Problem Might Be Kylian Mbappé… France probably have the most frightening squad at the World Cup. Mbappé, Dembélé, Olise, Cherki, Tchouaméni, Saliba, Upamecano, Konaté, Maignan. The depth is ridiculous, and on talent alone they have to be considered one of the favourites. But there is one problem Deschamps still hasn’t solved. Mbappé increasingly operates as France’s number nine, yet he doesn’t really play like one. He wants freedom, drifts wide, drops deep and looks to become the focal point of attacks. The issue is that when he vacates central areas, somebody still needs to occupy the centre-backs. That could become a major issue. With Ekitike injured, France lose the profile that looked perfectly suited to balancing the attack. So can Thuram provide that presence? Or will Deschamps need to turn to Mateta when games become more physical? Defensively, France remain terrifying. Their transition defence might be the best in the tournament, with Saliba, Upamecano, Konaté and Tchouaméni capable of shutting down counters almost on their own. Add in their aerial power and athleticism, and very few teams can match them physically. But possession remains the question mark. France still lack a clear repeatable build-up structure and often rely on moments of brilliance rather than sustained control. That makes the Olise versus Cherki debate fascinating. One offers a direct route to goal, the other might be the player who actually connects the team. If Deschamps finds the right balance around Mbappé, France have enough talent to win the World Cup. But if those attacking issues persist, another deep run could end in familiar fashion. France fans, are Les Bleus lifting the trophy or falling just short again? 👀🇫🇷 📹Samson Kalnińş Brough

Pythagoras In Boots ⚽️

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