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🔥 Tyler on $CIFR’s Direct Compute Vision When asked about direct compute, Tyler revealed they’re exploring a 56 MW GPU pilot program. He’s evaluating options to rent, lease, or return GPUs for credit — a model that keeps hardware fresh every few years. But he emphasized one thing: it...

13,441 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Demis Hassabis just explained why the real AI bottleneck has nothing to do with training runs. Most people picture the AI arms race as who can build the biggest model. GPT-4 or Gemini Ultra style training runs, a few hundred million in compute, fired once or twice a year. The constraint sits somewhere else. Every time a researcher has a new algorithmic idea, a new architecture, a new training technique, they can't just test it on a laptop. They have to run it at the scale where it would actually be deployed, because ideas that look promising at small scale fall apart completely when you put them into a real system. Every research hypothesis burns significant compute before a single line of production code gets written. At a lab like DeepMind, hundreds of researchers are running hundreds of ideas simultaneously. The demand for experimental compute is continuous. It never stops. Now layer the hardware reality on top. GPU lead times are currently 36 to 52 weeks for data center hardware. Global AI data centers are already drawing 29.6 gigawatts, equivalent to the peak power demand of the entire state of New York, and they still can't meet demand. Companies willing to pay any price can't just buy more compute. They wait in line. The speed of scientific discovery in AI is now gated by hardware availability. The next breakthrough is sitting in a researcher's head right now. Whether it gets validated fast enough to matter depends entirely on whether the compute is there when they need it. The AI race gets won by whoever can run the most experiments per month.

Aakash Gupta

31,285 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten