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🚨 UPDATE: In addition to the previously reported information, the ENDF has also captured large quantities of weapons and equipment from TPLF arms depots on the Sharerina Front last week.

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Rumor has it, Abiy Ahmed Ali 🇪🇹 is expected to launch an all out war against TPLF and Eritrea, following the African Union Summit, which concludes on February 16. The recent large-scale ENDF offensive in North Shewa and Wollo Zones of Amhara region, accompanied by a complete communications blackout, appears to be aimed at weakening Fano in order to prevent it from advancing toward Addis Ababa once a new northern war begins. So far the offensive has not been successful with ENDF facing heavy losses, with large scale civilian massacres reported in retaliation for these losses. At the same time, ENDF has been observed redeploying troops and heavy weaponry from South Gonder and other parts of the Amhara region toward Tigray. ENDF forces have reportedly been withdrawn from 13 of the 18 woredas in South Gonder, including Hamusit, Ibnat, Meketewa, Arb Gebeya, Welela Behar, Aja, Ayisa, Muja, and Wegeda, and shifted northward. TPLF has also been seen moving troops and heavy weapons toward Welkait and Telemt from Sudan, Shiraro, and Dedebit. A sizable force, along with logistics and heavy weaponry, has also been deployed yesterday in Maychew and Mehoni along the Raya front, signaling preparations for another offensive. The latest statement by Ethiopian FM Gedion Timothewos Hessebon further reinforces the likelihood of escalation, suggesting that the question is no longer if a war with Eritrea will occur, but when. And when the war eventually breaks out, Abiy is expected to point to this letter as evidence that he pursued every available peaceful option, framing the war as a last resort imposed upon him.

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