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‼️🇺🇸☢️USAF Nuclear Warhead/Minuteman ICBM Component Movement Convoys Interesting DoD video shows heavily guarded convoys transporting Minuteman III missile components and warheads. Escorted by helicopters, police, Lenco Bearcats, jamming vehicles, and the armored Payload Transporter. These are separate from DoE’s unmarked OST convoys. Once under USAF control, Air Force Security...

14,954 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 US TREMBLES: This Iranian Missile Can Wipe Out Any American Base in the Middle East Iran unveiled the Fattah missile in June 2023 as a new addition to its solid-fuel medium-range ballistic missile arsenal. It has a range of approximately 1,400 km, placing Israel, US bases in the Persian Gulf, and much of the Middle East within reach from Iranian territory. 🔸 Fattah uses solid propellant, allowing it to remain fueled and launch-ready for extended periods. This eliminates the lengthy fueling process required by older liquid-fuel missiles and improves survivability by enabling mobile deployment on transporter-erector-launchers. 🔸 The missile features a maneuverable reentry vehicle mounted on a conical warhead section with small control surfaces. This allows trajectory adjustments during the terminal phase of flight. Unlike traditional ballistic warheads that follow a predictable descent path, maneuvering reentry vehicles can alter direction, reducing interception probability and shortening reaction time for missile defense systems. 🔸 Fattah uses composite materials to reduce structural weight while maintaining strength. This improves range efficiency and allows the missile to carry a warhead estimated at around 450–500 kg. 🔸 The system is part of a broader modernization effort that includes missiles such as Haj Qasem and Kheibar Shekan, all built around solid fuel, mobile launch capability, and maneuverable warheads. These systems are designed for rapid deployment, reduced launch preparation time, and greater operational flexibility. Fattah shows Iran’s continued focus on survivable medium-range strike systems capable of operating from mobile platforms and reaching targets across the region. Trump has been shipping massive amounts of military cargo to the Middle East lately ahead of a possible strike on Iran. Did he manage to send enough body bags for American cannon fodder in case of an Iranian Fatah retaliatory strike?

NewRulesGeopolitics

16,391 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

NEW: Israel has struck Syria again, launching a second consecutive day of airstrikes on Syrian government forces in Sweida province—targeting tanks, armored vehicles, and police convoys, according to the IDF. ➤ Syrian officials say 111 members of Syria’s Ministry of Defense & Public Security, including 18 Bedouins, have been killed, in addition to dozens of Sweida residents. ➤ The Israeli attacks started yesterday as Syrian forces moved in to restore order in southern Syria after a deadly outbreak of sectarian violence between Druze militias and Bedouin tribes. Today, hours after the Syrian Defense Minister announced a ceasefire had been reached, Israeli military launched a wave of strikes again. ➤ Israeli airstrikes today hit gatherings of government security forces in central Sweida—one near the police headquarters, and another near a separate government building two hours earlier—resulting in deaths and injuries, according to the Syrian government. (Financial Times) ➤ The IDF claims it acted to protect the Druze community and enforce its so-called “demilitarization policy” in southern Syria. ➤ The U.S. has reportedly intervened diplomatically, urging Israel to halt the strikes. Israeli media say the Netanyahu government agreed to stop “by tonight.” (Israel’s Channel 12) ➤ Meanwhile, dozens of Druze citizens from Israel crossed the border into Syria, prompting an IDF operation to retrieve and return them all to Syria. ➤ The Palestinian resistance movement Hamas condemned the Israeli strikes as “fascist aggression” and a violation of Syrian sovereignty—calling it part of a broader Zionist effort to dominate the region by force. Video: New Israeli strikes in southern Syria, July 15. More details 🧵⬇️

Drop Site

110,011 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Belarus has become Russia’s nuclear staging ground. Belarus has not been annexed. But functionally, it has already become part of Russia. Lukashenko has long existed only with the Kremlin’s permission. When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, Lukashenko officially appeared to be a bystander - yet missiles and columns of tanks moved through Belarusian territory. Russia used it as its own operational zone. In March 2023, Putin announced the deployment of tactical nuclear weapons. In December 2024, Russia and Belarus signed the Treaty on Security Guarantees that legalized permanent Russian bases and legally included Belarus in Russia’s nuclear strategy. Since mid-2025, around 2,000 Russian troops have been permanently stationed in Belarus, including air defense and aerospace units. In December 2025, the Oreshnik ballistic missile entered combat duty near Krychaw. In May 2026, large-scale joint nuclear exercises were held: 64,000 troops, 200 missile launchers, 73 surface ships, and 13 submarines. The nuclear sharing agreement marks a departure from Russia’s long-standing position, as Moscow spent decades criticizing NATO’s nuclear-sharing arrangements. Now it is reproducing the same model it once condemned. The 2024 nuclear doctrine explicitly equated a conventional attack on Belarus with an attack on Russia - automatically creating conditions for a nuclear response. Control over the warheads officially remains with Moscow. But Putin stated that Lukashenko himself would select targets for Oreshnik deployed in Belarus. In other words, the Belarusian president would bear public responsibility for missiles launched by Putin. Now to the arsenal and the numbers. As of March 2026, Russia possesses around 4,400 nuclear warheads in total, of which up to 2,000 are assigned to non-strategic tactical forces. Belarus hosts Iskander-M - the 465th missile brigade in Asipovichy. Range: up to 500 km. Accuracy: 5-7 meters. Nuclear warhead: 10-50 kilotons. Vilnius is just 340 km away. Flight time: 3-4 minutes. NATO would have virtually no warning time. Oreshnik belongs to another category. Speed exceeds 14,000 km/h. Up to six independent MIRV blocks, each capable of deploying up to six sub-warheads. Range exceeds 5,500 km. Interception by modern air defense systems is almost impossible. From Belarusian positions, Oreshnik can reach an airbase in Poland in 11 minutes and NATO headquarters in Brussels in 17 minutes. Berlin, Ramstein, and Warsaw all fall within range. According to Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, only three missiles had been produced at the time of deployment. One was used against Dnipro in November 2024. One was destroyed in Kapustin Yar during a joint operation involving Ukraine’s Security Service, Defense Intelligence, and Foreign Intelligence Service. The Kremlin plans to produce up to six missiles per year. There is also Lida airbase - just 40 km from the Lithuanian border. Modified Su-25 aircraft are capable of carrying nuclear bombs. The most dangerous problem is neither range nor speed. It is the impossibility of identification. Until the moment of impact, it is impossible to determine whether Oreshnik carries a nuclear or conventional warhead. Every launch is an automatic nuclear alarm regardless of the actual payload. This ambiguity is a strategic weapon no less important than the warhead itself. Now to the likely scenarios. ◾️ The most likely scenario is not total nuclear war. It is a "demonstration strike": a single low-yield tactical strike against a peripheral military base - for example, an airfield in Poland or the Baltics. The goal is not destruction but testing Article 5. The Kremlin’s logic: "You will not launch a nuclear response over a single tactical strike." ◾️ The second scenario is an Oreshnik strike against a NATO logistics hub: Rzeszów, Ramstein, Warsaw. Most likely with conventional warheads. But this cannot be confirmed before impact. Even a conventional strike under the carrier’s nuclear ambiguity could freeze weapons transit to Ukraine. Shock and fear of escalation alone would be a sufficient outcome for the Kremlin. ◾️ The third scenario is a strike on a nuclear power plant with a conventional warhead. A radiological effect without the formal use of weapons of mass destruction. Maximum psychological pressure on Europe. ◾️ The fourth: a new ground offensive against Ukraine launched from Belarusian territory under nuclear blackmail. NATO freezes, Ukraine becomes isolated, and the frontline shrinks by 400 kilometers. Finally, let’s turn to the West’s response - or the absence of one. No symmetrical nuclear response followed. NATO did not deploy nuclear weapons in the Baltics or Poland. The response remained conventional: additional brigades and expanded air defense. New START expired in February 2026. No new treaty exists. Verification of nuclear arsenals is effectively absent. The United States abandoned the "voluntary compliance with limits" proposed by Russia. Patriot and THAAD were not designed to intercept targets at Mach 10 with maneuvering flight trajectories. Kyiv directly called Belarus’s transformation into a "nuclear outpost" near NATO borders an unprecedented challenge to the global security architecture and a dangerous precedent that de facto legitimizes nuclear proliferation among authoritarian regimes.

Anton Gerashchenko

59,276 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 The balance of power in the Strait of Hormuz is shifting dramatically. Iran, which once believed it controlled this vital waterway with its fast boats, now faces a shocking reality. The arrival of the amphibious assault ship USS Tripoli at the head of a Marine Expeditionary Unit, including the 31st Reconnaissance Battalion, represents an unprecedented nightmare for the Iranian regime. This elite force of approximately 2,500 troops is moving at maximum speed toward the region, signaling Washington’s shift from airstrikes to a potential “boots on the ground” option. Known as “Force 911,” these units are not ordinary reinforcements—they are self-contained, integrated forces combining ground combat elements with artillery, amphibious vehicles, fighter jets like F-35s, and attack helicopters, effectively turning the ship into a miniature aircraft carrier operating in the heart of the Strait. Primary objective: regain control over the Strait of Hormuz from the Revolutionary Guard, which has disrupted global shipping. The number of transiting ships dropped to just 77 in early March, compared to over 1,000 in the previous year. With this deployment, all military options are on the table: from rapid raids on islands used by the Guard as missile and drone launch points, to full control of strategic sites like Kharg Island, Iran’s economic lifeline and source of roughly 90% of its oil exports. Missions may also include highly sensitive tasks, such as securing enriched uranium stocks to prevent any “dirty bomb” scenario, or collaborating with the CIA and Mossad to engage opposition groups and build an internal resistance movement to overthrow the regime. This marks a new phase that goes beyond traditional deterrence, putting Tehran’s influence and the regime’s existence at stake. These special forces could fundamentally shift the balance of power internally and potentially end the regime’s dominance forever.

The Middle East

563,316 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 Why is China urging against the US having a Missile Defense System? I 100% believe there was a plan to detonate a major EMP Nuke over America… Let me explain… Whether or not you paid any attention to the Q drops, the drops literally talked about a 16 year plan to destroy America by installing Obama and Hillary Clinton 8 years each, which involved a EMP strike on America. “KILL NASA (prevent space domination/allow bad actors to take down MIL SATs/WW secure comms/install WMDs) - RISK OF EMP SPACE ORIG (HELPLESS)” Obama deliberately weakened U.S. space defenses by canceling NASA’s Constellation program in 2010 and retiring the Space Shuttle in 2011. So between 2011–2020, he intentionally created vulnerabilities by limiting U.S. ability to maintain defense satellites critical for detecting EMP threats—high-altitude bursts that could disrupt military and civilian systems. What this equates to is, an EMP payload would have detonated in space somewhere over the continental United States, disabling ALL satellites, including US Military satellites, leaving our military vulnerable (helpless). That is what Q alluded to. Whether or not you like Q, Q was 100% on point with the 16 Year Plan, and what Obama did in his 8 years as president — he began destabilizing the country and destroyed our military readiness. An EMP attack would be just as deadly, or even deadlier than a nuclear attack… without the fallout. If Q isn’t your cup of coffee, there is tons of evidence to prove Donald Trump has been preparing for this for a very long time. What did Donald Trump do just after he got settled into office in 2017? He Created Space Force… Donald Trump did not mention Space Force ONE SINGLE TIME, during his entire run for office in 2016. Trump was briefed… and as Trump says, one day, he’s going to tell you how great and important they are. • June 18, 2018: Trump - announced his intention to create the U.S. Space Force and directed the DoD to begin the process of establishing it as a new military branch. - January 2019: Trump signed the Space Policy Directive-4, formally directing the DoD to establish the Space Force as a branch under the Air Force. • March 2019, Trump: signed EO 13865 - “Coordinating National Resilience to Electromagnetic Pulses” • December 20, 2019: Trump signed the (NDAA) for Fiscal Year 2020 into law, creating the Space Force as the sixth branch of the U.S. military - February 2020: The Space Force assumed control of the Space and Missile Systems Center, enhancing its role in satellite and missile defense systems critical for EMP threat detection. • May 2020: Trump signed an EO 13920 - on Securing the United States Bulk-Power System - August 2020: The Space Force released its first doctrine, prioritizing space domain awareness and control, which includes protecting satellites from EMP-related threats. • September, 2020: The Department of Homeland Security released this statement in connection with EO 13865 DHS Combats Potential Electromagnetic Pulse (EMP) Attack • July 2020: Space Force activated the Space Delta 9, focused on orbital warfare, including protecting satellites from threats like EMP-capable anti-satellite weapons. It assumed control of the X-37B program October 2020. —— this is the same X-37B Secret Military Spaceplane Launched by the US on a Classified High-Orbit Mission Dec 2023. • April 2021: The Space Force established the Space Warfighting Analysis Center (SWAC) to develop force designs for missile warning and satellite protection, enhancing EMP defense capabilities. • June 2021: Space Force established the Space Systems Command (SSC), consolidating space acquisition and development, including EMP-hardened satellite programs like the Next-Generation Overhead Persistent Infrared (Next-Gen OPIR) for missile warning. • August 2022: SPACE FORCE took over the Army’s Missile Warning Ground Stations As you can see, President Trump has been preparing…

MJTruthUltra

239,273 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Double trouble: ‘World’s first’ laser-armed tank jams and fries drones mid-air | Kapil Kajal, Interesting Engineering The ALKA DEWS is a hybrid air defense system made for close-range combat. Turkey has introduced the ALKA-KAPLAN, a hybrid tracked vehicle that has a directed energy weapon system to fight drone threats on the battlefield. This is the first system of its kind and will be officially shown at IDEF 2025, highlighting Ankara’s effort to use modern technologies in its armored vehicles and to deal with the rise of unmanned aerial systems. Zapping drones with lasers after jamming them Developed through a collaboration between FNSS and ROKETSAN, the ALKA-KAPLAN combines the KAPLAN HYBRID tracked platform with the ALKA Directed Energy Weapon System (DEWS). The integration responds to a key need in modern military forces: mobile, armored platforms that can fight against drones while working alongside tanks and infantry vehicles in challenging environments. The ALKA-KAPLAN represents a major change in Turkey’s defense approach. Instead of traditional air defense systems, this approach uses electromagnetic jamming and strong lasers to target drones, helicopters, and other flying weapons. The ALKA DEWS is a hybrid air defense system made for close-range combat. It uses an electromagnetic jamming system to interfere with enemy actions and a high-energy laser to destroy targets. This combination enables ALKA to neutralize a wide spectrum of asymmetric aerial threats, including fixed-wing and rotary-wing mini/micro UAVs and loitering munitions, before they can damage frontline assets. The ALKA DEWS architecture includes artificial intelligence-assisted tracking and threat identification, allowing rapid detection and elimination of UAVs and improvised explosive devices. The system can be set up in different ways: fixed, mobile, or portable. This allows it to protect urban areas, open land, or convoys. The KAPLAN HYBRID Powerpack powers this system, which was first shown as a concept in 2023. Hybrid powerpack FNSS designed the high-kilowatt generator to drive the vehicle and provide sufficient energy to power high-consumption systems like ALKA. This eliminates the need for auxiliary power units and enables extended silent operation, which is vital for stealth and reconnaissance missions. ALKA-KAPLAN’s powerpack design was entirely developed by FNSS engineers using a combination of indigenously produced and locally sourced subsystems. The hybrid propulsion architecture improves fuel efficiency, reduces thermal signature, and increases the vehicle’s operational range by over 10% when the generator operates in standby. The ALKA system can disrupt UAVs that use advanced guidance technologies, including GPS-denied navigation and image-assisted targeting. ROKETSAN has emphasized that ALKA’s layered defense, combining electronic warfare and directed energy, offers a cost-effective and scalable response to drone saturation attacks. ALKA can help neutralize threats from the air, roadside bombs, improvised explosive devices (IEDs), and unexploded bombs in combat zones. This project is part of Turkey’s larger plan to rely less on foreign defense technologies, especially high-energy weapons and vehicle drivetrains. FNSS’s development of a locally produced cross-drive gearbox, a critical component often sourced from a handful of global suppliers, positions the firm among a select few with end-to-end capability for tracked vehicle systems. The ALKA-KAPLAN is designed for up to 20 tons of platforms and can be adapted for future tracked vehicle programs or modernization projects. Read more:

Owen Gregorian

33,151 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨BREAKING🚨: UFOs have been monitoring sensitive nuclear and military sites all over the world. “New Jersey Drones” are a complete and total misnomer. These unexplainable “New Jersey Drones” have now been spotted at 19 sensitive military sites GLOBALLY. And those are just the bases publicly reported on by Western media that share information with the United States. They’ve also been spotted at nuclear sites like the PSEG Salem Plant in New Jersey. It’s impossible to make sense of this if you don’t know that 167 WHISTLEBLOWERS—employees at nuclear bases, often with Q clearances—have already come forward bearing witness to UFOs flying in and around American critical infrastructure since the 1940s. This is documented in an incredible book written by Robert Hastings, aptly named UFOs & Nukes. We produced a documentary with Hastings and interviewed two of his best witnesses directly—Bob Jacobs (Vandenberg, 1964) and Mario Woods (Ellsworth Air Force Base, 1977). This conversation will blow your mind but also help you make sense of the incoming president’s statements on UFOs and sightings all around the world today. Link in reply. Key Takeaways: 1. UFOs have been systematically surveilling nuclear sites GLOBALLY (not just in America). Lino Fukushima (Japan)—a town obsessed with UFOs, even housing a dedicated museum—sits near a civilian nuclear grid built in the ’70s. Bariloche (Argentina), also with a nuclear research facility, has had multiple sightings. Chernobyl had multiple eyewitness UFO reports after their spill as documented by Harvard PhD Jensine Andresen. Roswell was home to the 509th Atomic Bomber Squadron (the world’s first). The Ariel School sighting in Zimbabwe involved 60+ children right next to a uranium mine. The nuclear connection is widespread and ubiquitous. 2. Witnesses describe UFOs disabling and tampering with nuclear missiles, including at Malmstrom AFB (Montana) and F.E. Warren AFB (Wyoming). In 1967 at Malmstrom, 10 missiles were rendered INOPERABLE by a blazing red UFO flying overhead, witnessed by multiple ICBM security personnel—often called the ‘Echo Flight’ incident. It reportedly involved at least a dozen on-duty personnel who saw the bright object hovering near the silos. Captain Robert Salas insists it was a genuine unidentified craft—one of the most widely discussed UFO disruptions of a nuclear system on record. In 2010, The Atlantic covered an hour-long power disruption at F.E. Warren AFB (October 23), taking 50 Minuteman III missiles offline. President Obama was briefed. Robert Hastings spoke with missile technicians there who attributed the outage to a cigar-shaped “tic tac” UFO hovering near the base. 3. Whistleblowers and military veterans involved in these UFO-nuclear incidents have faced intimidation, stalled promotions, and in some cases, demotions. Many served under the military’s Personal Reliability Program, rigorously screening their mental and physical health before receiving their jobs. As guardians of America’s most critical defense assets, they work under immense pressure — all of their incentives cut against speaking out highlighting the veracity of their testimonies. 4. Mysterious drones and UFOs continue to appear over sensitive sites like New Jersey’s Salem nuclear plant, Wright-Patterson AFB, and beyond. Multiple security personnel at Salem reported unexplained aerial objects in restricted airspace (2018), prompting heightened alerts. Wright-Patterson—long rumored to store recovered UFO materials since Project Blue Book—has also logged similar reports. These ongoing incidents align with Hastings’ extensive documentation showing UFOs targeting nuclear research and defense sites. 5. During the 1962 “BLUEGILL TRIPLE PRIME” nuclear test—part of Operation Fishbowl at the height of the Cuban Missile Crisis—footage reportedly shows a bright object “tumbling out” of the nuclear fireball near Johnston Atoll. In an interview with Ross Coulthart (Ross Coulthart), former Australian intelligence official Geoff Cruickshank cited U.S. Navy deck logs indicating that the USS Safeguard and USNS Point Barrow recovered unusual, highly radioactive “spherical” debris afterward (the video of the test hides this UFO with a inexplicable white triangle superimposed on it). Harald Malmgrem, advisor to 4 different presidents (and JFK at the time), a man with credentials beyond reproach, discusses this UFO wreckage ending up at Los Alamos where JFK visited in November of 62’! This POSSIBLY explains JFK’s request to see data on UFOs from then CIA director John McCone right before his death. And incoming FBI director Kash Patel’s hints of some weirdness we wouldn’t expect hidden in the JFK file. 6. Top UFO “debunkers” often hail from America’s atomic programs—like Dr. Edward Condon (a Manhattan Project alumnus whose 1969 report shut down Project Blue Book). Condon was an extremely close confidante of Oppenheimer and Vannevar Bush. And now, Dr. Sean Kirkpatrick (AARO Director with past work at Oak Ridge National Laboratory etc.). Could their nuclear program backgrounds point to a coordinated effort to dismiss the “UFOs & Nukes” connection—despite decades of credible reports linking UFOs to critical nuclear sites? We are on the verge of a massive paradigm shift for humanity. You can ignore this data or throw it in the junk pile, but refusing to contend with it won’t change anything. It’s there—and requires serious scrutiny and analysis. This is especially true if we want any real, non-brain-dead understanding of today’s situation. The patriots documented by Robert Hastings need to be heard. Full video👇🏻:

Jesse Michels

766,357 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

By and large, the Israel Air Force (IAF) possesses the range and capabilities necessary to neutralize the IRGC-AF’s heavily fortified offensive missile infrastructure. This needn’t rely on GB 57 MOPs or similarly massive deep penetration munitions, but can primarily be achieved through precision strikes targeting tunnel entrances and launch openings, effectively rendering these sites temporarily unusable, provided pinpoint intelligence of the target sites is both accurate and sufficiently comprehensive. Logistically, sustaining 24-hour long-range sortie operations against IRGC-AF’s missile infrastructure depends on highly-coordinated logistics and a carefully executed refueling chain. Two Boeing 707 tankers in a single wave can supply over 180,000 kilograms of fuel (with 90,000 kilograms transferable fuel capacity each). An F-35 requires approximately 8,300 kilograms for a full tank. The combat radius of the IAF’s F-35I “Adir” which shares the performance characteristics of the F-35A Lightning II, is approximately 1,075 kilometers for an operational range exceeding 2,000 kilometers. The distance from the Negev, through the Golan, Syria, and southern Iraq is roughly half this distance (about 1,200-1,400 kilometers) depending on the operation’s design). So a single refuel at the push point near the border of western Iran furnishes the F-35I with a fresh combat radius of 1,075 kilometers enabling it to strike deep into Iranian territory. Each strike package, potentially comprising 10-12 F-35Is, equipped with internal dual-weapon bays with payload capacities of 1,850 kg (4,000 lbs), and can therefore engage 10-12 targets per wave, assuming both weapons are deployed per target and depending on the complexity of the strike sites and the tactical requirements of the mission. Advanced standoff weapons like the Popeye, Rampage, or Delilah, with ranges of 400-600 kilometers, permit the IAF to strike targets up to 1,300-1,500 kilometers inside Iran without overextending its aerial refueling chain. Although air defense systems such as the Russian-made S-300, the enhanced Chinese HQ-9, and potentially domestic systems like the Bavar-373 possess ranges of 200 kilometers or more, 300 kilometers or more safe-distance for critical high-value strategic assets like the IAF’s Desert Giants refueling platforms will affect the F-35I’s strike range, as always depending on operational design. The IAF possesses heavily modified F-15 Ra’am and F-16 Sufa for combat air patrol (CAP or “Yis’ar”) and suppression of air defense (SEAD or “Chihan”) missions to protect strategic assets like its refueling chain, and to disrupt and destroy air and ground defense systems. SEAD platforms and wild weasels may comprise 10-20 fighters of each sortie package depending on targeting and operational design. Israel’s approach would require a multi-layered defense penetration strategy leveraging both kinetic and non-kinetic SEAD tactics, such as electronic warfare and cyber operations, pivotal for disrupting IRGC-AF missile guidance systems and command and control networks before and during initial air strikes. Electronic attack platforms like the AGM-88 High-Speed Anti-Radiation Missiles (HARM) that can jam or spoof Iranian radars and communication system can shape the theater, providing a safer corridor for kinetic strike packages. Advanced standoff weapons, such as the AGM-142 Have Nap “Popeye” enhanced with an imaging infrared seeker to enhance its accuracy against high-value targets, the Delilah cruise missile designed for suppression of enemy air defenses (SEAD) and precision strike missions, and the Rampage, a supersonic, long-range, air-to-ground assault missile suited to overcome air defense systems with its speed and low radar cross-section and designed to strike high-value, well-protected targets with precision—all of which can be launched from significant stand-off distances. The IAF also employs state-of-the-art intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) and electronic warfare (EW) platforms like the Gulfstream 550 Shavit and Nachshon aircraft, as well as locally produced Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) ISR UAVs called the Eitans. These UAVs, which can operate continuously for 36 hours and are equipped with advanced signals intelligence (SIGINT) systems, provide critical real-time intelligence during operations. Each of these strategic assets require CAPs, so each sortie package may assign elements of 2 or more F-16s or F-15s for each aerial asset: EW, ISR, UAV and refueling aircraft, for a total of 10-20 fighter jets in air patrol missions depending on design. The CAPs elements’ size and weaponeering will depend on how heavily contested the airspace, that the IAF anticipates operating in, will be. Robust protection for these strategic assets is an integral component in the design and planning of such a mission, including the IAF’s logistics chain. Operationally, with a publicly disclosed total of 7 refueling 707s in the IAF’s Desert Giants Sqn 120, it can deploy 6 tanker packages of 2 707s in order to execute three waves of airstrikes four times per day, with an estimated average of six-hour intervals between each takeoff. Roughly speaking this breaks down to 90 minutes from base to near-border push point (ferry leg), 90 minutes of combat operations time including return to egress point (on-stage leg), 90 minutes RTB (return to base) including refueling assets en route, and 90 minutes refuel, maintain and rearm for the entire sortie package (reconstitution phase) at base. This equates to twelve strike packages delivered approximately every 2 hours around the clock for a virtually continuous presence at the push point, covering Imam Ali, Arak, Kermanshah, Isfahan and many other critical sites within Iranian territory. The F-15I Ra’am is highly modular in its fuel design possessing a combat radius of approximately 1,600 kilometers, and a much greater ferry range which can be extended through a menu of external and detachable fuel tanks, making it one of the most versatile long-range platforms in the IAF’s aviation fleet. Given its primary assignments in CAP and SEAD operations it can theoretically conduct the entire mission without any refueling or only partial refueling. Likewise the IAF’s heavily modified F-16I Sufa is equipped with conformal fuel tanks that can extend its range, increasing its fuel capacity compared to the baseline F-16 model by up to 7,700 kilos (17,000 lbs) of external fuel, contributing to an operational range of about 3,220 km (2,000 miles). Therefore, it too adds limited burden to the IAF’s refueling logistics. Assuming 7 minute refueling time for each IAF F-35I, two tankers can refuel 10-12 F-35I strike packages in 35-40 minutes en route to push point and again en route to base from rendezvous point post-on-stage. No additional time is required for these refueling operations as they may be seamlessly integrated into the ferry and RTB legs of the mission. Altogether, the IAF can hit somewhere in the ball park of 120-130 sites a day, severely damaging the IRGC-AF’s defensive and offensive capabilities within 72 hours. After three days, the IAF could theoretically strike about 450 sites. For heavily fortified targets with deep burial depths, requiring deeper penetration, the GB 31 (A2K) with BLU 137/B deep penetration warheads are suitable for the F-35Is and the GBU 72 (A5K) with BLU 138 deep penetration warheads can be deployed by the F-15I Ra’ams once sufficient SEAD ops are completed and closer to the borders of western Iran. Weaponeering, shuffling assets to suit allocation needs, and the overall designing of sortie package inventories, including formulating the necessary logistics, is an immensely complex challenge managed by highly trained personnel and assisted by advanced systems in what can only be likened to a dark opera of destructive power. Whatever the challenges, one thing remains certain. Israel always finds a way to defy gravity, alter realities on the ground (and in the air) and take the region by storm. As long as the IRGC-AF maintains its offensive missile capabilities it is liable to heavily target Israel’s airbases, critical military installations and civilian centers. Therefore, before Israel considers oil, nuclear, or any other strategic assets, it will need to knock the front teeth out this snake when it strikes. Israel might front-load its first strike to meet these objectives, coordinating all 3 waves in rapid succession shaped by Jericho II and III strikes tightly preceded by cyber, electronic warfare and internal sabotage operations. The IAF’s first strike will likely be designed to leave the IRGC-AF reeling and off-balance long enough for its fleet to reconstitute and launch the next set of waves. These are likely to then settle into a steady pace for at least 72 hours given the volume, geographic and strategic depth of their missile program. Below: "No one must sleep, for the stars will tremble. No one shall know my name as I vanish into the night."

dan linnaeus

138,950 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

//The Wire//1700Z November 21, 2024// //PRIORITY// //BLUF: RUSSIA LAUNCHES POSSIBLE ICBM IN UKRAINE IN LIKELY RETALIATORY STRIKE FOR UKRAINE’S PRIOR ATACMS TARGETING.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Europe: Overnight Russia conducted a possible ICBM (or MRBM) attack in the Ukrainian district of Dnipropetrovsk. The exact target of the strike is unknown (nor likely matters much) as multiple munitions were observed to be striking the area from many miles away, possibly indicating the use of Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicles (MIRVs). As such, it’s very likely that this strike was more about sending a message rather than its targeting effectiveness in the battlespace. The exact missile used remains unconfirmed, however the payload of each warhead was obviously a conventional munition or an inert training warhead. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: Some sources (mostly of Ukrainian origin) claim Russia launched an RS-26 RUBEZH ICBM from Astrakhan, which in the absence of any quasi-reliable information is just as good a theory as any. Other theories suggest it may have been a new experimental Medium-Range Ballistic Missile (MRBM) so as to have an increased payload capacity. Various unnamed “western sources” have claimed that Russia did not launch an ICBM, and that the strike was carried out by some other experimental weapons platform. If confirmed to be an ICBM strike, this would mark the first use of Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles in combat. Considering this potential, and this new development being outside the scope of normalcy, American officials might do well to change their perspective and re-examine their decisions. It doesn’t make it right, or even moral. But if Russia is willing to use an ICBM in Ukraine, even a conventional one, perhaps a reexamining of the situation might be worthwhile. Generally speaking, when a man uses an ICBM one might be inclined to think he is rather serious. Right now, bureaucrats in Washington are surely reading reports written by some junior analyst, and scoffing at the attack being conducted with conventional (or even training) warheads…completely oblivious to the fact that if this was an ICBM (or even some new MRBM), and one that that had been outfitted with its standard payload, they might not be alive to read that report in the first place. Speaking more strategically from a prepared citizen perspective, much can be learned from the first non-training use of an ICBM launch. We now have a wealth of data to consider, and the early-warning indicators that this launch was about to take place. Multiple indicators were present, and observable by the public, over the past 24 hours. Though at the time, none were definitive proof of what was about to happen. American strategic radio traffic on the High Frequency Global Communications System (HFGCS) increased significantly in the hours before the launch, with many radio messages being sent yesterday evening. Seeing as absolutely zero E-4B NIGHTWATCH or E-6 MERCURY aircraft were observed on flight tracking websites…this absence was probably a clue. HFGCS radio chatter usually involves these aircraft, so no aircraft showing up on flight tracking sites could indicates that aircraft were indeed airborne…but flying with their transponders turned off as they would do in a time of war. These airframes are critical components of America’s strategic force, with the main mission of coordinating communications in the event of a nuclear war. On the other side of the wire, Russian strategic aircraft were also observed to be making slightly abnormal flights. Again, not enough out of the ordinary to be worthy of mention on their own, but in hindsight Russia’s version of their “doomsday” planes were absolutely conducting operations in support of this launch. All of this points to the challenges of predicting major world events. Cleary, the U.S. government does not respect or value their own citizens enough to even address this potential ICBM launch. In classic Pentagon fashion, all information that has come from the American perspective has come in the form of “unnamed western sources”, continuing the Pentagon’s habit of not addressing the American people directly so as to maintain deniability and avoid culpability. Whether an actual RS-26 was used or not is irrelevant; a Medium-Range Ballistic Missile (MRBM) would generate the same level of concern among American taxpayers. Considering all factors, Russia could indeed have warned the United States directly before the launch, and even if Russia did not, the United States had hours (and probably several days) of warning. The issue is not that the U.S. government somehow got caught unaware of a large missile launch, this most certainly did not happen. Either by Russia directly telling them about the launch, or NORAD detecting it themselves, the United States was well aware of the missile long before it ever lifted off. The issue is that the U.S. government didn’t tell the American people about it, or issue any sort of heightened civil defense-style warning. Even though American intelligence collection sensors without question knew the missile would be impacting in Ukraine very shortly after launch, ignoring the magnitude of this goes beyond the pale of what should be considered normal in any society. Taking the position of “well, we knew it was going to hit Ukraine so we didn’t bother informing the American people so as to avoid undue panic” sounds a lot like “we’re ignoring the ICBM launch because our own actions provoked this, so we want to cover it up”. At minimum, the government that is dragging the American people towards a very hot global war owes their citizens some level of explanation. So far, the information exchange process to alleviate the concerns of American taxpayers has not entirely been a priority among nearly all politicians. Russia potentially launches a nuclear-capable missile with multiple re-entry vehicles…and multiple members of Congress have spent the morning reaffirming their support for Israel on social media. Seeing as extremely long range missiles have the potential to impact all life on Earth, a press conference to clarify details of the incident in Ukraine would be greatly appreciated. Perhaps to include some fancy charts and poster sized images printed out at Office Depot to show some sort of half-hearted effort. If the U.S. government wants to alleviate the concerns of the American people, that would be a great first step. Rumors from unnamed sources speaking on conditions of anonymity will not cut it anymore. Similarly, pretending that the American people are crazy for being concerned about this is gaslighting of the highest order that will no longer be acceptable among the populace. Currently, the American stance has largely just been to ignore it, highlighting what has already been known for decades. When something serious happens around the world, or even within the homeland, the American people are largely on their own. The Russian Federation is very, very unlikely to resort to the use of nuclear weapons, for a variety of reasons. However, thinking more broadly, if Putin was indeed willing to use nuclear weapons to achieve victory in Ukraine…how exactly would he convey that to the United States? What measures would be taken to express the seriousness of his intentions? And most importantly, would it look any different from what Putin has already done? Analyst: S2A1 //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

22,474 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Is Hamas Still Combat-Effective? Over the past few days, anti-Hamas militias operating in the Israeli-controlled eastern part of the Gaza Strip have carried out some daring attacks against Hamas in the Red Zone, seeking to probe the terror group’s defenses and inch closer to areas where the population is currently concentrated. Though these militias have enjoyed some direct and indirect Israeli support, this latest operation appeared to take place without any air support from the Israeli military and relied heavily on lightly armed infantry units moving around on pickup trucks. In a sense, and while the anti-Hamas militias may have had prior intelligence and some discussions with Israeli officials, this fight was on quasi-equal terms. The confrontations pitted soldier against soldier and favored those who knew the terrain and had experience from previous battles and wars. In that regard, Hamas fighters appeared to have some advantage. There was an initial IED explosion that was detonated in one of the convoys carrying militia members, benefiting from the concealment of rubble. This was followed up by sniper fire, RPG attacks, and machine gun fire to overwhelm the attackers. The militias sustained several casualties, including reportedly two killed and ten wounded. Still, the militias have been increasingly able to enter areas that were previously considered no-go zones due to Hamas’s control and are able to interact with a greater number of the local population. They entered the southern edge of the al-Mawasi zone, filled with tents and displaced people; they also reached peripheral areas in northern and southern Gaza, passing out cigarette packs and some supply parcels to local residents. Regardless, the last few days revealed that Hamas is very much still combat effective and has likely replenished some of its fighting capabilities and established defensive lines to enable the group to push back lightly armed attackers. Hamas is therefore likely to pose a threat to the Israeli military, the international peacekeeping force, or the newly hoped-for Gaza Police Force if they seek to enter the red zone that is controlled by what remains of the terror group. Without significant amounts of armor, airpower, real-time intelligence gathering, and a lasting solution for the tunnels, there will be no easy way to go after Hamas, which is concentrated in roughly 40% of the Strip, along with two million people. The only viable pathway forward is to begin evacuating the population from Hamas-controlled territory into secure and safe communities in the green zone across the yellow line to provide the terror group with fewer human shields and spare civilians harm from the inevitability of the return to war in the Gaza Strip. ***This is a compilation of various clips from the clashes yesterday.

Ahmed Fouad Alkhatib

51,709 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

PRESS RELEASE | Hon’ble PM Unveils Loiter Munition Test Range and MALE UAV Runway Test Facility at Solar Nagpur. Big push to Self-reliance in Unmanned Aerial Systems Hon’able PM on his visit to Nagpur on 30 Mar 2025, made his last halt of the day at Solar Defence & Aerospace Ltd (SDAL) Nagpur. Shri Satyanarayan Nuwal, Chairman and Mr Raghav Nuwal welcomed the Hon’able PM at SDAL Helipad. From there he was escorted to Technical Area where Hon’ble PM inaugurated Loiter Munition Test Range. Spread over 1080 acres this test range has a dedicated Command & Control Centre, UAV Take off Area, Endurance and Communication Range check facility, Parachute Recovery Area, Static & Moving Target Engagement, Target Hit and CEP Measurement, Warhead Lethality Test facility, and many more. After the inauguration the PM visited the product gallery wherein SDAL showcased its products like Pinaka Rocket System, Air-bombs, Mines, Grenade, Military Explosives, ATGM, Nagastra 1 & 2 Loiter Munitions, and many more. Thereafter, the PM was then escorted by the Chairman to the newly constructed Air strip where he was received by Mr. Manish Nuwal, MD & CEO, SDAL. He then proceeded to unveil the Plaque to mark the Inauguration of the new 1.27 km Runway Facility for Development & Testing of MALE/HALE Class Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS). Solar has taken a big initiative for developing a MALE UAV and a suo-moto proposal has already been submitted to IAF which is under consideration. The Prime Minister also witnessed the display of the state of art indigenously developed systems viz. Loiter Munition (Nagastra 3), Bhargavastra (Micro-Missile based Counter Drone System) and Bhaumastra (Mine Detection & Disposal System). Key highlights of displayed systems are as follows: - • Loitering Munitions: Many Indian industries and start-ups have entered drone related technologies and systems mostly focused on surveillance and logistics applications. Use of drones and UAVs for combat applications requires critical competency and infrastructure. Keeping in view the futuristic requirements of this emerging technology, SIDAL has taken the initiative to develop Nagastra series of Loiter Munitions of ranges from 15 km to more than 100 km and explosive payload carrying capability from 1 kg to 10 kg. Nagastra 3 is a Vehicle Launched Loiter Munition System of endurance 3 hours, range 100 km and can carry 8.5 kg warhead. It is being developed under Make 2 project from Arty of Indian Army. • Bhargavastra is an indigenously designed and developed Counter Drone System meant for quick interception of drones for an assured hard kill using tiny, guided missiles with swarm engagement capability. This solution offers mobile protection against drone attacks with near simultaneous engagement of multiple drones. With a long range of detection (upto 6 km) and long range of neutralization (upto 2.5 km), it ensures safety of vulnerable assets/battlefield formations. • SDAL has taken an initiative to address the global menace of land mines detection and disposal. As per some estimates there are more than 11 million buried mines world over which remain uncleared and are causing casualties or maiming of both soldiers and civilians in peace time. Bhaumastra, a drone-based system under development by SDAL, would be the first of its kind in any developed nation to provide a drone-based solution to this global problem. It was a proud and inspirational moment for all the 10,000 employees of Solar Group, Nagpur to be witness to this important milestone in the History of their Company where the Prime Minister was among their midst. An emotional send off was given to the Hon’ble PM by the 3 generations of the SDAL Group management viz. Shri Satyanarayan Nuwal, Chairman, Shri Manish Nuwal CEO and Managing Director and Mr Raghav Nuwal.

Alpha Defense™🇮🇳

12,297 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Trump prepares to invade Cuba. Can the island Resist? Following the difficulties encountered in Iran, despite expenditures exceeding $100 billion, Donald Trump is betting on a victory through military action against Cuba. On the 20th, the USS Nimitz and its carrier strike group, which includes the destroyer USS Gridley, officially arrived in the Caribbean. The official justification was that the movement is part of Operation Southern Seas 2026, but U.S. Southern Command emphasized that the presence serves as a strategic advantage and combat readiness. The arrival occurred on the same day the U.S. formally indicted former Cuban leader Raúl Castro for homicide, escalating fears of a military intervention similar to the one in Venezuela months earlier. This aligns with flight tracking data confirming that the U.S. has established a constant surveillance siege of Cuba with MQ-4C Triton drones; at least three of these high-altitude, long-endurance drones were detected operating near the island. At least five P-8A Poseidon aircraft are also participating in patrols, alongside Rivet Joint (RC-135) planes used for electronic eavesdropping to intercept communications and radar signals from Cuban defenses. The Trump administration justified this mobilization by citing intelligence that Cuba had acquired over 300 military drones from Russia and Iran. According to Washington, these drones could be used to attack the Guantanamo base or even U.S. territory, a fanciful claim that rings the alarm for a military operation. The intended action is expected to unfold similarly to what happened in Venezuela, but can Cuba resist? Cuba is going through a difficult period, marked by power outages, a high cost of living, fuel shortages, and low tourism activity, in addition to the strangulation caused by the Trump administration’s embargo. Regarding air defenses, the Cubans recently contracted the Belarusian company ALEVKURP to upgrade their Pechora systems to the S-125-2BM standard, replacing old analog components with modern digital processors. The system can now attack not only aircraft but also land and maritime targets with known coordinates. There have also been improvements to radars for operation under heavy electronic warfare and the capability to track targets using thermal and TV cameras. This allows for firing without turning on the radar, avoiding detection by anti-radiation missiles. Furthermore, the upgrade allows the system to identify drones visually or by heat without emitting radar signals, much like Iranian systems. The Pechora-2BM standard uses radars mounted on high-mobility vehicles; the idea is to activate the radar, fire the missile, and change positions in less than 25 minutes. Despite all these improvements, the Pechora remains a limited system. I would say Cuba will face great difficulty in containing U.S. aviation, but it will force caution upon enemy pilots. The Cuban strategy focuses on being an aerial guerrilla defense: not trying to defeat the U.S. Air Force, but rather increasing the political cost of an invasion by imposing losses. Cuban forces are also betting on Electronic Warfare. They possess many Cold War-era systems that were also recently modernized by Russian and Belarusian companies. Cuba tested these systems to perform spoofing and jamming of satellite signals, generating magnetic anomalies in the Caribbean reported this May 2026. Several mobile EW units are scattered across the island and camouflaged, making it difficult for spy planes and drones to locate them. Full article:

Patricia Marins

106,740 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/11 to 3/12 • Iran widened pressure on the Gulf energy system, with tankers hit near Basra, a container vessel struck near the UAE, and fuel infrastructure targeted in Bahrain and Oman, sending oil back above $100. • Israel expanded its campaign inside Iran, striking IRGC command infrastructure, missile production sites, and drone launch networks in and around Tehran. • Hezbollah launched one of its largest rocket barrages of the war, triggering heavy Israeli strikes on command centers and weapons infrastructure in Beirut’s southern suburbs. • Iranian proxies and aligned forces continued attacks on U.S. positions across the region, bringing the total number of incidents targeting American sites or personnel to at least 25 since the war began. The central story of the last 24 hours is that the conflict is increasingly moving beyond the battlefield and into the systems that keep the region functioning. Iran continues to pressure shipping, energy infrastructure, and U.S. positions across the Middle East, while Israel is pushing deeper into the regime’s military and security architecture. The result is a war that now looks less like a contained exchange of strikes and more like a widening struggle over the region’s economic stability, military balance, and internal political control. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ PERSIAN GULF: IRAN CONTINUES TO PRESSURE THE ENERGY SYSTEM The Persian Gulf remained the most strategically significant theater over the last 24 hours. Multiple reports confirmed additional attacks affecting shipping and energy infrastructure across the region. Two oil tankers were reported burning in Iraqi waters near Basra after earlier strikes on vessels in the Gulf, while another container ship was reportedly hit near the UAE. Fuel and logistics infrastructure also came under pressure. Bahraini authorities reported that Iranian aggression targeted fuel tanks at a facility in Muharraq near Bahrain International Airport, while additional reports indicated that oil storage facilities at Oman’s Port of Salalah were struck. These attacks reinforce a clear pattern: Iran may not be able to fully close the Strait of Hormuz, but it is demonstrating that it can disrupt the broader logistical network surrounding the Gulf’s energy system. The market reaction was immediate. Oil prices moved back above $100 despite coordinated moves by the United States and its partners to release large volumes from strategic petroleum reserves. The International Energy Agency and several governments have moved to inject supply into the market, but these measures are temporary buffers. As long as shipping through the Gulf remains at risk, the global energy market will continue to price in disruption. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ TEHRAN: THE CAMPAIGN IS NOW HITTING THE REGIME’S CORE SECURITY NETWORK The latest strike waves inside Iran appear to be moving beyond general bombardment and toward a systematic dismantling of the regime’s security infrastructure. Israeli strikes reportedly targeted the IRGC Air Force headquarters in Tehran, ballistic missile storage and production facilities, Basij paramilitary command centers, and a compound at Imam Hossein University that functions as an operational hub for the Revolutionary Guards. Additional strikes were reported against Iranian intelligence ministry facilities and internal security infrastructure, indicating that the campaign is beginning to focus not only on missile capability but on the regime’s ability to control events inside the country. Separate strikes in western Iran reportedly hit drone launch teams preparing attacks toward Israel, suggesting that launch infrastructure is now being targeted dynamically as it emerges rather than only through preplanned strikes against fixed installations. Satellite imagery also confirmed damage to Iranian F-14 fighter aircraft at Isfahan’s 8th Tactical Air Base, further degrading an already aging Iranian air force that has struggled to contest Israeli and U.S. air superiority throughout the conflict. Taken together, the targeting pattern suggests that the coalition is increasingly focusing on the regime’s operational nervous system: command networks, launch infrastructure, and internal security forces that allow the government to coordinate and sustain military operations. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ LEBANON: ISRAEL IS NOW TARGETING HEZBOLLAH’S OPERATIONAL COMMAND STRUCTURE The northern front also escalated sharply over the last 24 hours. Hezbollah launched one of its largest barrages of the war, firing large numbers of rockets and drones toward northern Israel in coordinated strikes linked to Iran’s broader regional campaign. Israel’s response focused heavily on Hezbollah’s command and operational infrastructure rather than simply retaliating against launch sites. Israeli aircraft struck multiple facilities in Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahieh), including command centers, operational headquarters, and weapons storage sites linked to Hezbollah’s Radwan forces, the elite unit responsible for cross-border operations against Israel. Additional strikes targeted missile launch infrastructure and militant positions across southern Lebanon, as well as logistical sites used to support ongoing rocket attacks. The concentration of strikes in Dahieh is significant. The area functions as Hezbollah’s central military and intelligence hub, and repeated attacks there suggest Israel is attempting to disrupt the group’s command-and-control structure rather than merely suppress individual launch cells. This shift indicates that the northern theater may be entering a new phase where Israel seeks to systematically degrade Hezbollah’s operational leadership and coordination networks, not just reduce the immediate rocket threat. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ REGIONAL SPILLOVER: U.S. POSITIONS AND GLOBAL SECURITY CONCERNS Regional spillover continues to grow. Iranian proxies and aligned groups have carried out repeated attacks targeting American facilities or sites hosting U.S. personnel across the Middle East. Analysts now count at least 25 attacks targeting U.S. sites or locations housing American personnel since the war began. One of the most significant recent incidents involved a drone strike on a large U.S. diplomatic facility near Baghdad International Airport. The attack caused damage but did not produce casualties, and U.S. officials suspect it was carried out by Iranian-aligned militias operating in Iraq. Beyond the Middle East itself, intelligence warnings suggest the conflict could reach further. U.S. authorities have warned about potential Iranian retaliation targeting American interests abroad, including scenarios involving drone launches from maritime platforms. Cyber activity linked to Iran has also been detected in Europe, including an attempted attack on a nuclear research facility in Poland that officials say bears multiple indicators of Iranian involvement. These developments show that while the war’s kinetic center remains in the Middle East, the broader confrontation between Iran and its adversaries is beginning to manifest across multiple domains: military, cyber, and economic. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ *⃣ WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW The key takeaway from the past 24 hours is that the war is continuing to widen in practice even as some political messaging suggests it could be nearing a conclusion. Iran is still capable of imposing meaningful costs through attacks on shipping, energy infrastructure, and proxy operations across the region. Israel, meanwhile, is expanding its strike campaign into deeper layers of Iran’s military and security architecture while escalating pressure on Hezbollah in Lebanon. Neither side appears close to a decisive breakthrough. Iran’s leadership structure remains intact despite heavy strikes, and its network of proxies continues to generate pressure across multiple fronts. At the same time, Israel and the United States retain overwhelming military superiority and appear committed to degrading Iran’s ability to sustain a prolonged conflict. For now, the trajectory remains clear: the war is evolving from a direct exchange of strikes into a broader contest over the region’s economic stability, military balance, and political future. --------------------------------- END REPORT

Inside_Israel_Intel

30,124 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL–U.S. WAR WITH IRAN - Reporting Window: Last 24 Hours There’s a widening gap right now between the language being used publicly and what’s actually unfolding underneath it. You have ceasefire talk. You have negotiation chatter. But when you look at the mechanics, the system is still tightening. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚓ AT SEA: PRESSURE BECOMES ENFORCEMENT The clearest development in the last 24 hours is at sea. The United States is now actively enforcing the blockade, not just signaling it. Thirteen commercial vessels have already been turned back after direct warnings from U.S. naval forces, backed by carrier strike groups and full air support overhead. That’s not symbolic pressure. That’s control being asserted in real time. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏭 INSIDE IRAN: ADJUSTMENT UNDER STRAIN Iran, in turn, is no longer just absorbing that pressure. It’s adjusting to it. Tehran has halted petrochemical exports entirely, redirecting supply inward to stabilize domestic markets after sustained damage to industrial infrastructure. At the same time, the internal environment remains locked down. The nationwide internet blackout is still in place, each day setting a new record for the longest ever recorded, with measurable economic damage already mounting and day-to-day activity inside the country increasingly constrained. This is not collapse. But it is a regime shifting into a defensive footing internally. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇱🇧 LEBANON: A PAUSE WITHOUT CONTROL Up north, the Lebanon front is sitting in a fragile and somewhat artificial pause. A 10-day ceasefire framework is technically holding, and civilians are already moving back toward southern areas. But the underlying conditions haven’t stabilized. Destroyed infrastructure is being rapidly repaired, including key bridges over the Litani, allowing movement back into areas that were deliberately restricted just days ago. At the same time, Israeli leadership continues to signal that operations will resume or expand if Hezbollah is not pushed back. And Hezbollah itself has not clearly aligned with the ceasefire structure. So what you have is not resolution. It’s a pause that neither side fully controls. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🔗 SUPPLY LINES: ACTIVE, BUT CONTESTED What’s happening around Lebanon reinforces that. A shipment of roughly 6,000 explosive detonators was intercepted in Syria en route to Lebanon, likely intended for Hezbollah. That’s a small detail, but it carries weight. Because it shows two things at once: *⃣ Hezbollah’s supply lines are still active. *⃣ And they are no longer moving freely. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 REGIONAL POSTURE: SILENT ALIGNMENT And zooming out, that pattern holds across the region. There is no meaningful external relief for Iran right now. Gulf financial channels are tightening under U.S. pressure. Shipping lanes are being enforced, not contested. Supply corridors are being disrupted, even if unevenly. Even countries that are publicly critical of U.S. and Israeli actions are not stepping in to offset the pressure in any material way. That silence is not neutral. It’s alignment without exposure. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🕊️ DIPLOMACY: ACTIVE, BUT UNCHANGED Diplomatically, nothing has simplified. There is still discussion of extending the ceasefire window with Iran. There are still backchannel efforts moving through intermediaries. But the actual points that matter haven’t moved: Nuclear capability. Missile systems. Proxy networks. Hormuz access. Sanctions relief. And now there’s an added complication. Iran continues trying to tie the Lebanon front into the broader negotiation, while Israel is treating it as a separate problem entirely. That disconnect is still unresolved. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🧠 WHAT ACTUALLY MATTERS If you strip out the headlines, what changed in the last 24 hours is straightforward: 1. The U.S. moved from pressure to enforcement at sea. 2. Iran shifted further into internal economic stabilization mode. 3. The Lebanon front held, but only in a way that looks temporary. 4. And across the region, no one stepped in to relieve the pressure on Iran. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BOTTOM LINE Nothing decisive happened today. But the structure tightened again. More enforcement. More constraint. More pressure being applied from multiple directions at once. And until something gives on the issues that actually matter, there will be no resolution.

Inside_Israel_Intel

13,913 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

V2x Inc $VVX $2B Drones, Greenland, and Golden Dome for 50 cents on the dollar V2X, Inc. $VVX is a defense contractor formed by the 2022 merger of Vectrus and Vertex. The company has TTM revenue of $4.42B and rising, yet trades at a market cap less than half of that. At 11x P/E and 0.45x P/S, the market is valuing them at 45 cents for every $1 of revenue. Why is it it so cheap? The company had been focused on logistics, aerospace maintenance, training, and base operations for the U.S. military and national security clients. Currently it is being passed on by the market as a low margin services company, not a tech hardware company. Net profit margins are historically very tight (~1.8% to 2.5%). They rely on volume, not high markup. The cherry on top is that the company carries over $1.1B debt load and a PE firm has been selling shares. The market has been taking a pass. However there is a change occurring under the surface that the market may be missing. The Greenland Play. Vectrus is the blue-collar half of V2X. They operate in eye popping 329 locations/bases across 47 countries. They fully run six major bases from top to bottom. The crown jewel in this conversation is their Pituffik Base in Greenland. This is the US's only military base in Greenland. As Russia and China aggressively expand their icebreaker fleets, the Arctic is becoming the next major theater of conflict. In addition the region is the critical tracking node for ballistic missile interception. Pituffik is the U.S. military’s foothold in Greenland. V2X doesn't just clean the floors here; they manage everything from the power generation, airfield operations, civil engineering, and survival logistics in -30°F. The company is entrenched. If investment into the Arctic increases, $VVX is essential to that strategy. The Drone Hunter (Project Tempest). The Vertex side is where the high-margin re-rating happens. While the market wasn't looking, V2X deployed their Tempest counter-UAS system into active combat in Ukraine at an unheard of pace. This isn't a multi billion-dollar stationary missile system. It’s a mobile, "shoot-and-scoot" drone denial and scouting/sensing platform that fires mass produced laser-guided rockets to kill drones. They are killing cheap enemy drones with cheap rockets without being an expensive stationary target, thus helping to solve one of the biggest economic problems in modern warfare. They went from prototype to stacking battlefield killchains in months, an unheard of speed, and this was just their first contribution. The Golden Dome. As of Jan 12, they now hold a seat on the $151 Billion SHIELD contract to build the U.S. homeland missile defense shield. They are now at the table for high-end prototyping and sensor integration alongside the giants. What the market is still missing is that they didn't just get a "participation trophy." The award specifically cites V2X for "advanced analytics, rapid prototyping, and sensor integration." They are at the table to design the brain of the system. Remember, they are deeply integrated into hundreds of bases across the world. V2X isn't just a generic bidder either. They already run what will be the eyes of the Dome. Very few seem to have connected these dots. Let me give you an example of one set of these systems. The COBRA DANE & COBRA KING phased arrays. These are not "just radars." These are National Technical Means (NTM), the highest category of strategic assets the U.S. possesses. V2X currently operates and sustains these massive phased-arrays in places like Shemya, Alaska just 450 miles from Russia. These arrays are powerful enough to spot a baseball in space from 2,000 miles away. The COBRA DANE system that V2X runs in Alaska stares unblinkingly at the Kamchatka Peninsula and the Pacific Ocean. Its job is to detect Russian or Chinese ICBM launches instantly. It creates the "data lake" that the entire U.S. Missile Defense System relies on. V2X holds the contract to sustain and operate this facility. Without V2X, the U.S. goes blind in the North Pacific. The COBRA KING system is the "Mobile Eye" at Sea. It is a ship-borne dual-band radar system mounted on the USNS Howard O. Lorenzen. Unlike DANE which is fixed, KING moves. It parks off the coast of rogue nations to monitor missile tests up close. It uses X-band and S-band radars to "fingerprint" enemy warheads, determining if a missile is carrying a nuke or a decoy. V2X maintains the complex mission systems that allow this ship to feed data into the national command network. You can't build a "Golden Dome" without the data from these radars. Because V2X already manages the sensors that detect the missiles, they have a massive advantage in winning the contracts to integrate that data into the new shield. One final point on this topic is that previously the old V2X would wait 5 years for a maintenance contract. The market has not priced in that the new SHIELD approved V2X can now bid on 6-month "sprint" contracts to prototype new sensor fusion algorithms or cyber-hardened command posts. This moves them from "slow government services" to "fast defense tech." The base modernization $40B+ opportunity. The U.S. military has a massive problem. Its bases are falling apart and its networks are from the 90s. V2X holds a spot on the $12B Base Infrastructure Modernization (BIM) IDIQ. If the DOW budget spikes to $1.5T, money will likely flow into "Smart Base" initiatives. This includes upgrading 5G networks, cyber-hardening power grids, and digitizing logistics. V2X is a prime contractor for this. They don't just pour concrete; they install the digital backbone (fiber, sensors, security) that a modern base needs. Soldier Training in the modern AI and computational age. Yes, V2X is a giant here as well. In 2025, V2X won a spot on the U.S. Army's "LTRaC" (Live Training, Ranges, and Combat Training Centers) contract. V2X runs the "war games." When soldiers go to a major training center (like Fort Irwin or JRTC) to simulate fighting Russia or China, V2X provides the simulation tech, the "op-for" (opposing force) logistics, and the augmented reality systems. A massive DOW budget increase typically prioritizes Readiness. If the Army scales up exercises to deter threats, V2X gets paid more for every rotation. There is more, but I will stop here for now. (I haven't even mentioned the LOGCAP V massive Army logistics contract of which V2X is a prime holder). With V2X your getting a lot for shockingly very little. The company is finally realizing the benefits of the Vectrus/Vertex merger and the market is not paying attention. An incredible amount of capital is likely to pour into Greenland and the market is not paying attention. $1.5T is about to pour into the modernization of bases, sensors, and soldier training and the market is not paying attention. They are critical part of the Golden Dome infrastructure and the market has not realized. The debt bear case is dying. Net leverage has already dropped to ~2.6x (down from dangerous highs), and management is using record cash flow to clean up the balance sheet. The pre-planned PE return on investment selling is almost over. You are buying a company with an "Arctic Moat" (Greenland), a Golden Dome/SHIELD essential backbone, and a "Combat Tech" growth engine for 0.45x sales. It might take some time for the market to realize this. This is not a get rich quick play. But if the market wakes up even just a little and re-rates this to even a modest 0.8x sales (still a huge discount to peers), the stock doubles. I think this is an interesting multi-year play to build into. I took a position at $63.

YeahDave

78,045 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

//The Wire//1900Z July 14, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: WAR IN MIDDLE EAST REMAINS HOT WITH USA AND IRAN EXCHANGING HEAVY FIRE OVERNIGHT. NEW YORK TIMES JOURNALISTS ISSUED SUBPOENAS REGARDING THEIR REPORTING ON AIR FORCE ONE.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Middle East: The war continued to escalate overnight, with the attack/counterattack cycle no longer being distinguishable, as all belligerents are now attacking constantly. At least two more ships have been struck in the Strait of Hormuz since last night, and the US has continued to fly continuous sorties to strike targets within Iran. Dozens of targets were struck overnight, with CENTCOM announcing that the sorties took 5 hours to complete throughout the region. As of this morning, nearly all of the targets that have been struck have been within a few hundred yards of the Gulf, with heavy concentrations of targets being located within Bushehr, Bandar Abbas, Chabahar, and Jask, all of which are major naval bases. Most of the Gulf islands have also been struck, with Qeshm and Kish Islands being targeted heavily this afternoon. Conversely, Iran has conducted their own strikes in Jordan, Bahrain, Qatar, and Kuwait. In Kuwait, Iranian forces have conducted counter-battery fire on American HIMARS missile launcher sites, with multiple ballistic missile strikes taking place at most of the US bases and missile launch sites all day. Analyst Comment: Over the past 24 hours, the war in the Middle East has returned to the level of fighting first observed during the height of the war back in March. How long this is planned to continue is unknown, but this is not a slight increase in targeting; the war appears to be fully back on once again. United Kingdom: This morning Counterterrorism police released more details regarding a high-profile murder case that took place last week. On Thursday, Ann Widdecombe was found murdered in her home in the town of Haytor in Devon. After her murder was discovered, local authorities immediately referred the case to counterterrorism, and one suspect has already been arrested in conjunction with this case. This suspect has been charged for the murder, and as of this morning terrorism offenses have been added to the list of charges. Analyst Comment: This case is noteworthy as most of the information so far indicates this was a political assassination, and the speed at which authorities have immediately declared this to be a terrorism incident is very, very unusual. Widdecombe was a former Member of Parliament, and in her later years was a familiar conservative political commentator known to weigh in on political issues throughout the nation. More details may or may not come to light in due time regarding the identity of the suspect, but due to the high-profile nature of this murder, this case will be in the headlines for a while. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - Yesterday a total of five New York Times reporters have been subpoenaed to appear before a grand jury, to testify regarding their reporting on the alleged security breaches onboard the new Air Force One. Last week, President Trump flew to Turkey for the NATO summit on the new airframe, but during the trip, an undisclosed security issue prompted the Secret Service to switch back to the older platform. Analyst Comment: The details of exactly what the alleged crimes are, have not been disclosed. The New York Times has a history of publishing content which could lead to security issues, but in this case nothing they wrote in their original report appears to have been classified. However, they did explicitly state that they had a source who had classified knowledge of the defenses (or rather, the alleged lack of defenses) on the new Air Force One platform, which is probably why the harsh crackdown on the New York Times. They also made the claim that the new airframe has not had enough time to install the anti-missile countermeasures of the older platform, though no detail on this was provided. Regardless, talking to journalists in any capacity about any of the protection measures used by the White House is a huge no-no, and one of the most sensitive issues that always results in a very heavy-handed response. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: As the war in the Persian Gulf rages on, concerns are growing regarding the apparent widening of the war to include the Red Sea region. The mutual targeting between the Saudis and the Houthis in Yemen has continued to some degree, though it's too soon to tell if either party is committed to turning this into a more protracted fight. If that is the chosen course of action, the situation is likely to get very serious. While the Strait of Hormuz remains a hot warzone that has restricted the flow of about 20 million barrels per day out of the region, the Saudi East-West Pipeline system has been working to reduce this deficit by pumping roughly 7 million barrels per day during most of this conflict. This has eased the burden of Hormuz being cut off, and has been one of the main factors keeping oil from reaching $200 per barrel. However, this pipeline runs from the Gulf, across the desert, before terminating in Yanbu at a major oil export terminal. This terminal....is within missile range of the Houthis. Somewhat interestingly, there are also very little air defenses in the southern regions of Saudi Arabia despite the Saudis fighting the Houthis for a couple of decades at this point; nearly all missile defenses are on the northern coastline or in the vicinity of American bases. So far during this conflict, the Iranians have successfully struck the Yanbu oil terminal using extremely long-range (and slow-flying) drones. The Houthis have a much higher chance of success in threatening Yanbu, and if they are able to strike this facility, the global oil crisis will go from worse to worst. Analyst: S2A1 Research: NomadNet: 5fa68c88be727a0e1a250a75e5e79269 Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

17,672 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🚨 OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC Reporting Window: 3/22 to 3/23 • Iran fired additional cluster munition barrages into central Israel, with damage reported in Holon, Bat Yam, Or Yehuda, Safed, and the Jerusalem area, while another overnight launch triggered alerts in the Jerusalem corridor and south. • Israel widened its Lebanon campaign by destroying the Qasmiya bridge over the Litani and accelerating demolitions of homes and crossings in frontline villages. Reuters and AP both treated that as a major escalation. • Overnight strikes hit Tehran and a wider arc of Iranian military infrastructure, with your wire tracking blasts in east and northeast Tehran, Karaj, Yazd, Khorramabad, Bushehr, Bandar Abbas, and near Parchin, while the IDF publicly announced a broad wave of strikes on regime infrastructure in Tehran. • The Hormuz front remained the strategic center of gravity, but AP reported that Trump extended his deadline by five days rather than moving immediately to strike Iranian power plants. Iran simultaneously threatened Gulf power and water infrastructure if attacked. The last 24 hours were more concrete than conceptual. The most important story was not a new grand theory of the war. It was a set of specific events that showed how the conflict is now functioning day to day. Iran kept using cluster style ballistic attacks to create wider damage zones inside Israel. Israel moved from hitting Hezbollah targets to physically reshaping southern Lebanon. And inside Iran, the strike map widened again overnight with visible pressure on Tehran, missile infrastructure, coastal nodes, and internal security sites. At the same time, the anticipated U.S. move on Iranian power plants did not happen yet, which makes the immediate next window as important as the one just completed. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🚀 IRANIAN MISSILE ATTACKS ON ISRAEL Iran continued missile launches into Israel, but the operational detail that matters is how these attacks are being configured. Times of Israel live coverage reported fresh damage in central Israel from cluster munitions or fragments, while Jerusalem Post live coverage tracked shrapnel and fragment strikes in central Israel and additional impacts farther north. Ynet also highlighted two lightly wounded in Bat Yam and a partly collapsed building in Holon from the same general wave pattern. That matters because the attacks are no longer just about how many missiles Iran can fire. They are about how much disruption each missile can create. A single cluster warhead can turn one penetration or one imperfect interception into several impact points. Your wire also tracked this in real time, including central Israel damage and a later overnight launch that sent alerts toward Jerusalem and the south. One specific point worth noting is that today’s Israeli home front story was not dominated by mass casualties. It was dominated by repeated local damage events, scattered fragments, and shelter disruptions. That makes the attacks feel smaller than earlier war barrages, but not less operationally relevant. They are being used to sustain pressure while Iran’s launcher network remains under strain. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🇱🇧 LEBANON: ISRAEL MOVED FROM STRIKES TO TERRAIN DENIAL The biggest concrete change on the northern front was Israel’s continued move toward physical denial of Hezbollah movement rather than just attritional fire. Reuters reported that Israel struck the main bridge on the southern Lebanese coastal highway and ordered the destruction of homes near the border and bridges over the Litani River. AP reported the same bridge strike and framed Katz’s order to include all Litani crossings as a meaningful broadening of the target set. That means the Lebanon front is no longer just a story of rockets and retaliatory airstrikes. Israel is trying to reengineer the battlespace itself. Destroying crossings, flattening frontline structures, and reducing usable approach routes all point to the same objective: make it harder for Hezbollah to return south in meaningful strength even if the current phase of fighting slows. Reuters explicitly described Lebanese criticism that these measures look like pre invasion preparation and collective punishment. There was also an important corrective detail today. Times of Israel and Ynet both reported that the farmer killed near Misgav Am was not killed by Hezbollah fire after all, but by errant Israeli artillery shelling intended to support troops in southern Lebanon. That matters because it changes the factual record of one of yesterday’s most emotionally resonant northern incidents. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✈️ STRATEGIC AIR CAMPAIGN OVER IRAN Open source intelligence reported explosions and reported hits in east and northeast Tehran (shown in attached video), Hakimieh, Lavizan, Tehranpars, near the Parchin mountains, Karaj and Fardis, Khorramabad, Yazd, Bushehr, Bandar Abbas, and other sites. The IDF later publicly announced that it had launched a broad wave of strikes on regime infrastructure in Tehran. Mainstream coverage supported the broader pattern even where every individual site was not independently confirmed one by one. AP’s live coverage described explosions in Tehran and widening Israeli activity, while Times of Israel’s liveblog tracked the announced broad strike wave in Tehran. The strike set also appears to have remained mixed. This was not just about launchers. Open source reporting referenced possible targeted assassinations in Khorramabad and Tehran, missile site damage in Yazd, busier strike activity around coastal and port areas like Bandar Abbas and Bandar Deyr, and pressure near Parchin. Even where some of those claims remain open source rather than fully confirmed by Reuters or AP, the overall pattern is clear: the campaign remains broad, multi city, and focused on degrading the regime’s ability to keep fighting, not merely blunting the next launch. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GULF FRONT: STRIKES, INTERCEPTIONS, AND INFRASTRUCTURE THREATS The Gulf front stayed active, but the most important part of today’s story was not one giant headline strike. It was the persistence of Iranian pressure and the hardening response from Gulf states. AP reported that Iran threatened to mine the Persian Gulf and target regional energy infrastructure as Trump’s deadline neared. Reuters reported that Iran threatened to hit Gulf power plants and the systems powering U.S. bases if Iranian power infrastructure were attacked. Open source intel tracked the practical side of that pressure in real time. It logged interceptions and alerts in Bahrain, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia, including reported UAV interceptions in eastern Saudi Arabia, missile and drone interceptions by the UAE, and multiple reports of explosions or sirens in Bahrain. Those details are useful because they show the Gulf story is still not abstract diplomatic signaling. Air defenses are still being used. Another development worth mentioning is market stress. Reuters’ earlier energy reporting remains relevant here because Gulf attacks have already damaged major oil and gas facilities in several states, and the International Energy Agency chief warned that the current situation is worse than the oil crises of the 1970s. Your wire separately tracked comments from Fatih Birol about reserve releases and Hormuz as the key pressure point. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚡ HORMUZ: THE BIG DECISION DID NOT HAPPEN YET This was probably the single most important strategic update of the day. The expected U.S. strike on Iranian power plants did not occur in this reporting window. Instead, AP reported that Trump extended the deadline by five days, temporarily holding off on those strikes. That is a real development, because it changes the immediate pacing of the war and means the next reporting window matters more than expected. That does not mean the Hormuz crisis eased. Quite the opposite. Reuters reported that Iran threatened retaliation against Gulf power and water infrastructure and warned it could mine all Gulf shipping lanes if attacked. AP similarly reported threats against electrical plants and broader Gulf systems. So the practical reality is that the strategic center of gravity remains Hormuz, but the execution timeline shifted. This also helps explain why this report feels operationally busy but strategically suspended. Lots happened. But the one action that could have forced a dramatic phase change was deferred. That makes the present moment feel less like de escalation and more like a pause before a possible infrastructure war phase. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 WHAT MATTERS MOST RIGHT NOW First, today’s report is really about concrete battlefield mechanics, not broad narrative drift. Iran kept using cluster style missile attacks to widen disruption inside Israel even without restoring early war salvo size. Second, Israel’s Lebanon campaign moved another step away from reactive fire and toward deliberate terrain denial. The destruction of the Qasmiya bridge and orders to strike Litani crossings are specific, visible evidence of that shift. Third, the Tehran centered air campaign remained expansive and geographically wide overnight, and open source reporting was useful here in showing how broad the strike footprint was beyond the handful of locations that got top billing in mainstream coverage. Fourth, the most dramatic expected U.S. move did not happen yet. Trump extended the deadline, which means the next 24 hours are now more consequential than the last ones. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ END OF REPORT

Inside_Israel_Intel

23,364 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

THE TRUTH ABOUT OCTOBER 7TH: Reports confirm that Netanyahu, the Mossad and the IDF deliberately allowed the October 7th attack by Hamas to take place. They knew one year in advance of the attack and did nothing to stop it. They deliberately stood down during the attack allowing many more innocent Israelis to be slaughtered in order to get domestic and international support for war in Gaza and Iran. HOW DID OCTOBER 7TH HAPPEN? On October 7th, Hamas was able to carry out its shocking terror attack against Israel, despite Israel’s intelligence, military and security apparatus commonly considered the best in the world. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu himself tweeted and quickly deleted a statement denying any foreknowledge of the October 7th attack. “Under no circumstances and at no stage was Prime Minister Netanyahu warned of war intentions on the part of Hamas" the tweet said, before it was promptly deleted. Why did Netanyahu’s team delete that tweet? Because in fact he did have intelligence that there would be an attack by Hamas and tried to hide this from the world. Foreign security services, Israeli security services and the Israeli public all knew that Hamas was planning a violent, cross-border incursion where they would attempt to over-run and attack the kibbutz communities in southern Israel and take prisoners back to Gaza. And they also knew when. But it happened anyway. Why? Ten days before the attack, and then again three days before the attack, Egypt intelligence officials passed “repeated warnings” to the highest levels of Israel’s government. In one of these warnings, Egypts premiere intelligence minister General Abbas Kamel personally called Netanyahu and warned that Hamas was about to do “something unusual, a terrible operation.” Unnamed Egyptian officials told YNET News that they were shocked by Netanyahu’s “indifference to the news.” But Israel didn’t have to trust or believe Egypt, because actually, most of the warnings of the October 7th attack came from Israeli civilians and the Israeli military itself. The civilians and soldiers who brought these emergency warnings to the military were ignored and in some cases, strangely enough, threatened with legal action. In 2022, the IDF, through confidential sources, or spies, in Gaza, actually obtained the detailed Hamas Al Aqsa Flood attack plans. Codenamed “Jericho Wall” by Israel, the excursion plan called for a barrage of rockets to begin the attack and for gunmen to pour into Israel en masse via para-gliders, on motorcycles and on foot and take hostages back into Gaza, all of which happened on October 7th. Hamas followed the blueprint that Israel already had with shocking precision. So Israel had the attack blueprints, but were they taken seriously by the IDF? Yes, the plans were diligently studied. A presentation on the planned attack was given to senior officers in the IDF’S Gaza division. The presentation concluded with this sentence: “This invasion constitutes the gravest threat that IDF forces are facing in the defense of Israel” So in response to this, did Israel’s security establishment beef up and enhance their surveillance of Hamas militants on the other side of the border? No, stunningly, they actually did the exact opposite. They decided to entirely stop monitoring Hamas’s handheld radio traffic. Because they saw it “as a waste of effort” even though during that same time in 2022, Israelis living in the kibbutz communities near the Gaza border, most of whom have some type of military training due to Israel’s mandatory IDF service laws, were, according to Israeli media, picking up clear evidence that Hamas was “practicing the breaching of the fence and conquering kibbutzim and seizing hostages and destroying everything in their path.” Then, In April 2023, 6 months before the attack, again according to Israeli media, the IDF “restricted the ability” of Israelis living near the border “to monitor Hamas’ wireless traffic.” In September 2023, less than a month before the attack, the head of the IDF’s “Devil’s Advocate” intelligence unit, which challenges prevailing narratives within Israel’s military, twice alerted senior decision-makers in both the army and political spheres about Hamas’ plans for a large-scale cross-border military operation. He reiterated these warnings in person at Intelligence Branch strategic assessment sessions on September 26th and 27th. Just days before the attack. So it was clear to everyone that Hamas wasn’t only planning to do something horrible, but it was also clear what that horrible and evil thing was. According to a female IDF soldier who spoke to Israel’s channel 12 news program, she was constantly trying to warn her superiors about the gravity of Hamas training exercises. She was threatened with legal action. “We were told that if we continue to harass on this issue, you will stand trial.” So, Egypt knew, the Israeli military knew, and the Israeli civilians knew. Yet, two days before October 7th, the Israeli military took two entire commando brigades, or around 100 soldiers, away from the the soon to be breached locations of the Gaza border and sent them to the other side of the country, to the West Bank village of Huwara despite no Hamas presence being in Huwara and despite there being giant Israeli dance parties taking place right along the same border fence where violent, escalating and obvious Hamas drills of breaching and kidnapping were taking place. According to Israeli media reports, Lt. Col. Sahar Fogel, an operations officer at the IDF’s Gaza Division, opposed the approval of the Nova Party based on the last minute nature of its event application and the intensifying Hamas drills at the border and because if something were to happen, more soldiers were on holiday. It was the Jewish holiday of Sukkot. The Lt. Col. explained his opposition to the party’s approval to his superiors. He was instructed to allow the event. Israeli Newspaper Haaretz reported that other Gaza division officers privately “told of irregular conduct and pressure surrounding the approval of the party.” In February 2024, Elkana Federman, the head of security for the Nova festival gave an interview to Israel’s Channel 14 where he made a statement that hasn’t been reported on by any American media. “I had a guard at the festival who had served in the Re’im Division [near Gaza border], and a week before the festival he sent me a voice message, basically warning me, saying, ‘Elkana, something is going to happen over Sukkot. I just wanted to let you know, there are a lot of warnings, I passed the voice message on to local IDF officials and they told me everything was all right.” The Hamas attacks were violent and brutal. They have been likened to tragic events such as September 11th and the Holocaust, so it comes as a surprise that Benjamin Netanyahu and members of his Likud party have at times described the attacks as somewhat of a political gift. Nissim Vaturi, a member of Netanyahu’s Likud party in the Knesset, referred to the attack as sort of gift from God because they are being used to justify the current ongoing war, stating: “We were meant to fight this war against Hamas, as is happening now, and luckily for us it came from the heavens.” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu explained that Israel didn’t have domestic or international support to invade or destroy Gaza. He said the October 7th Hamas attack solved both of those problems for him, stating “We couldn’t get the domestic consensus to make a definitive solution to the problem of Hamas. That is, no one would agree across the Israeli public to go in and basically destroy Hamas, go throughout Gaza and destroy Hamas. We didn’t have the international consensus either; nobody would understand why we are doing it. Both conditions were created because of the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7th.” Did the Israeli military, the Israeli intelligence community, and the political leadership of Israel allow this ghastly attack to happen to justify wiping out the population of Gaza? The evidence proves, yes. WHERE WAS THE IDF? During the October 7th attacks what did the Israeli military do? For hours they did nothing, it was a deliberate military stand down order. It's important to remember that Israel is just slightly bigger than the size of the state of New Jersey. But for some reason, once the Hamas attacks began, the time it took the Israeli army and rescue teams to arrive, fight and rescue Israelis at the different kibbutz communities and sites being attacked took anywhere from 4 hours to more than 20 hours. The New York Times has reported: “Thousands of soldiers were less than 40 minutes from the towns that were under attack.” A video that Israeli media obtained from an army helicopter, corroborated by Israeli survivors, prove that there were more than 500 Israeli soldiers directly outside of the Kibbutz entrance, fully armed, with Humvees and tanks but it took 10 hours for those soldiers to show up. Avital, a survivor of the Be’eri attack, described to Haaretz: “500 soldiers stood outside, with equipment and vehicles. I remember yelling at them, ‘We’re being slaughtered, come in, save us and no one said anything.” So why did it take so long for help to arrive? Haaretz reported: “At 7 A.M., the party organizers called Lt. Col. Elad Zandani, the man tasked with approving the festival and told him that terrorists were shooting the partygoers. He suggested that they fend for themselves. The first IDF forces arrived at the party scene at 3 P.M., that’s an 8 hour response time for one of the most efficient, capable and well militarized security forces in the world operating in a country the size of New Jersey with their Gaza division only a few miles away. And what makes this even more strange? Around 4 hours into the Hamas assault, at 10:46AM, Israel was already launching operations and bombing targets inside of Gaza. So, if Israel could begin an offensive attack into Gaza within 4 hours, why did it take more than 6 hours and in most cases more than 10 hours and even 20 hours in some cases to mobilize inside of their own country to stop the ongoing attack and to defend the lives of their own people? The New York Times quoted Ben Zion, an Israeli military reservist who spoke to Israeli media. He said his unit voluntarily left central Israel in a convoy at 1:30PM, they got together and left for the south on their own. He expected to see the roads packed with soldiers and equipment and armored vehicles heading south. “The roads were empty!” he recalled in an interview. Roughly seven hours into the fighting, he turned to the reservist next to him and asked: “Where’s the IDF?” The brutal and deadly Hamas terrorist attack of October 7th is so central to justifying Israel’s ongoing war in Gaza that Israel is actually outlawing questioning the October 7th government narrative. Israelis who spread information counter to the October 7th government narrative, which the Israeli Knesset calls “falsehoods and propaganda” could face up to 5 years in prison. Between the abundance of concrete evidence that suggests Israeli military allowed October 7th to happen by ignoring dozens of reliable and specific warnings, threatening soldiers with legal actions who tried to warn their military superiors and taking troops away from the area of the Gaza border that was attacked and now evidence that suggests there was some type of military stand down order in place on October 7th, it is important to ask, what was October 7th and what kind of war is the United States supporting? WHAT IS THE HANNIBAL DIRECTIVE? Images and videos of burnt cars, blacked and charred bodies and incinerated homes in southern Israel were plastered on every phone screen and television after the October 7th Hamas attack. The images and videos were used by the Israeli government to justify the military’s heavy handed tactics in their ongoing war against Hamas, But were all the images and videos actually the result of the Hamas attack? Innocent Israeli civilians were brutally killed by Hamas on October 7th, but there is evidence that proves the IDF killed their own Israeli citizens in what is known as the Hannibal Directive. To understand what the Israeli military did to their own civilians on October 7th, you have to understand the political aspirations of Hamas and what the goal of taking hostages is, it is political leverage. There are over 10,000 Palestinians in Israeli jails. 3,000 of whom haven’t been to trial or charged with a crime. When militant groups manage to capture Israeli civilians or soldiers it gives them leverage to force a prisoner swap and get some of their people out of Israeli prison. For example, in 1986, Hamas managed to kidnap 3 Israeli soldiers and bring them to Gaza. They demanded 1,150 Palestinian prisoners in return for these soldiers. After this, the military drafted a secret field order to prevent future kidnappings. It was called the "Hannibal Directive." The directive gets its name from the Carthaginian general who chose to poison himself rather than allow himself to be captured alive by the romans. In 2003, strangely enough on October 7th 2003, three Israeli soldiers were taken hostage and brought into Lebanon. Following the activation of the Hannibal Directive, IDF attack helicopters fired indiscriminately on 26 vehicles thus ensuring the death of their own soldiers and therefore robbing Lebanese militants of the ability to demand Israel make concessions. The Last known application of the Hannibal Directive was in 2014. In Rafah. Hamas fighters managed to capture an Israeli soldier, Lt. Hadar Goldin. Instead of allowing the lieutenant to be used as leverage by Hamas, the military killed him. Dropping bombs, missiles and shells on the area he was being held, killing the soldier and also over 100 Palestinian civilians. The scale of the Hannibal Directive on October 7th was entirely different from those of the past. A retired Israeli air force general, Nof Erez, described it during a podcast with Haaretz, an Israeli newspaper saying “The Hannibal Directive was apparently applied at a certain stage, because at the moment they understand there is a kidnapping, they immediately say, ‘Guys, this is Hannibal.’ But the Hannibal we trained for all of the last twenty years, is for a vehicle we know at what point of the fence it enters, on what side it drives, and maybe even on which road it drives. This was a Mass Hannibal.” We know the Hannibal Directive means to kill your own, so what does “mass Hannibal” mean? A large mainstream Israeli media outlet reported: “In the week after Black Shabbat, October 7th, soldiers of elite units, at the initiative of the Southern Command, checked about 70 vehicles that remained in the area between the Otaf settlements and the Gaza Strip. These are vehicles that did not reach Gaza, because on the way they were shot by a combat helicopter, an anti-tank missile or a tank, and at least in some cases everyone in the vehicle was killed.” 70 vehicles and in some cases, everyone in the vehicle was killed. These are Israelis killed by Israel. Again, only reported on in the Israeli media. Tuval Escapa, is a member of the security team for Kibbutz Be’eri. He set up a hotline so kibbutz residents could communicate with the Israeli army. He told Haaretz that “the commanders in the field made difficult decisions, including shelling houses on their occupants” in order to eliminate would-be hostages as well the terrorists. They shelled entire houses. Do we hear this in the American mainstream media? That the Israeli military targeted and destroyed over 70 cars with hellfire missiles that were filled with Israelis and that they decimated entire Israeli homes with tank shells? A report in Haaretz on October 20th notes that the Israeli military also carried out an airstrike on their own military base, the Erez crossing. That base was filled with Israeli Civil Administration officers and soldiers at the time. An Israeli woman named Yasmin Porat gave an interview with Israel Radio that the military “undoubtedly” killed numerous Israeli hostages during gun battles with Hamas militants. IDF General Barak Hiram, prevented hundreds of troops from entering Kibbutz Be’eri for hours on October 7th, when he finally allowed the IDF to go in, he ordered tanks to fire on multiple homes. The tank shells killed at least 12 Israeli hostages and 3 children. Recently the UN published an investigation confirming several of these facts, namely, that the IDF had in fact activated the Hannibal Directive on October 7th stating “The Commission is aware of allegations that Israeli Special Forces used the “Hannibal Directive” to prevent the capture of Israeli civilians and their transfer to Gaza, even at the cost of killing them" The Commission documented one statement by an ISF tank crew, confirming that the crew had applied the Hannibal Directive. The Israeli military, Israeli civilians and the United Nations all admit to the IDF purposely killing their own on October 7th. How many? It’s hard to know the exact number, but the imagery of charred bodies and incinerated cars and homes are still being used to this day to manufacture consent and support for Israel’s ongoing assault of the Gaza Strip, where more than 47,000 Palestinians have been killed including 15,000 innocent children. ISRAEL'S FINANCIAL SUPPORT FOR HAMAS: Israel and Netanyahu helped funnel over $1 Billion dollars to Hamas in order to keep Palestine from being recognized as a State. It was Netanyahu and Israel who helped create Hamas thinking that they could control them and would be able to use Hamas as an excuse for their continued military operations and occupation in Gaza. ISRAEL'S SECRET NUCLEAR WEAPONS: The front lines of the war between Israel and Hamas are expanding and moving beyond Gaza. Yemen’s Houthis intensified their involvement, going from simply attacking Israeli bound cargo ships to now navigating an armed drone over 1,200 miles, evading Israel’s Iron Dome defense system and managed to strike inside Tel Aviv causing a massive explosions. In addition to their ongoing war in Gaza, Israel has attacked or been attacked by Iraq, Lebanon, Syria and Iran. Meanwhile, the U.S. continues to promise Israel unconditional and limitless support. But has anyone even asked if this support is LEGAL? According to the 1976 Symington and Glenn Amendments of the Armed Foreign Assistance Act, which is now a part of the Arms Export Control Act, the United States cannot give foreign aid, whether that’s economic or military, to any nuclear armed state that is not a signatory to the Non-Proliferation Treaty, or the NPT, but the United States gives billions of dollars every year to Israel and according to all international arms organizations, Israel has anywhere from 90 to 400 nuclear warheads and Israel has not signed the NPT. So how does this legally happen? The United States and Israel simply pretend Israel does not have nuclear weapons, literally, that’s what’s done. It is called “Nuclear Ambiguity.” This nuclear ambiguity, which allows Israel to continue to receive billions from the U.S. and also operate and maintain their nuclear arsenal with absolutely no international oversight and zero regulation, is maintained and preserved through the threat of force. Due to a previously Top Secret gag order, all U.S. government agency employees and contractors are forbidden from discussing Israel’s nuclear weapons program. Even insinuating or mentioning information that’s already in the public domain is forbidden for all federal employees and contractors. It sounds hard to believe but let’s give an example: James Doyle used to work at Los Alamos National Laboratory as a nuclear security specialist. He violated this gag order. Doyle wrote an academic article arguing that Nuclear weapons do not do a good job at deterring countries from attacking one another, he wrote: “Nuclear weapons did not deter Egypt and Syria from attacking Israel in 1973, Argentina from attacking British territory in 1982 or Iraq from attacking Israel during the 1991 Gulf War.” A clear reference to Israel’s nuclear weapons. Doyle’s security clearance was promptly withdrawn, his home was raided, his computers were seized and he was fired from the Department of Energy. So apparently that’s how it works. In 2018, The New Yorker published a stunning report in which they discuss another way Israel’s nuclear ambiguity is enforced: secret presidential letters. According to former U.S. officials and former Israeli officials, every recent US administration since Clinton in 1993 has performed the same ritual as it came into office. They all agreed to undermine U.S. law by signing secret letters, brought to them by hand by their Israeli counterparts stipulating that they’ll never acknowledge what everyone knows: that Israel indeed has nuclear weapons. The National Archives is currently refusing to release the letters, arguing that even confirming their existence would violate the secrecy pact. So there’s a gag order that stops all federal employees and contractors from simply acknowledging Israel’s nuclear weapons and U.S. presidents sign secret letters promising not to acknowledge or pressure Israel to do anything relating to their proliferation status. That means asking questions like these are entirely off limits enforced by the threat of government violence or law fare. But all of this information leads to a series of questions: Where does Israel dispose of the toxic waste its program generates? Are Israel’s nuclear weapons ever used to coerce the U.S. into making adverse policy decisions? How about our allies? Besides apartheid South Africa, has Israel offered any of its nuclear weapons for sale to other foreign countries? To U.S. adversaries? Has Israel mounted nuclear weapons onto its German supplied Dolphin class submarines? Or their American supplied F-35 jets? No questions are allowed and what is the cost, the dollar amount, for Americans, of this “nuclear ambiguity” policy? To be exact, almost $240 billion dollars of military and economic aid has gone from the U.S. taxpayer since the passing of the Symington and Glenn Amendments. That’s far more than the United States spent rebuilding Europe under the Marshall Plan. And none of that quarter of a trillion dollars should have been allowed under U.S. law. That’s the price of keeping Israel’s secret. A quarter trillion and yet where is the International Atomic Energy Agency and international nuclear inspectors? The same ones who monitor every other nuclear armed country in the world? DOES ISRAEL PERSECUTE CHRISTIANS? Before the war, Israel’s Christian minority were already being targeted with dispossession and violence. In Jerusalem’s Old City, narrow streets line the ancient neighborhood and Jewish Israeli civilians spitting on and attacking Christian clergy members is commonplace in Israel. Evidence of this shows a video from a few days before October 7th of Christians in the Old City of Jerusalem carrying a cross while a group of Orthodox Jewish Israelis many of them children walk by and spit at the Christians. It’s become mainstream to believe Christians don’t belong in Israel and only Jewish people do. A few years ago, the mission, the Virgin Mary’s place of death, was attacked and vandalized by Israelis. The graffiti on the ancient walls read “Death to heretical Christians, the enemies of Israel,” and “May his name and memory be obliterated,” in reference to Jesus. According to Haaretz, at a Jewish school, the leader of an anti-assimilation group Bentzi Gopstien told students that it’s quote “mitzvah” or a “good deed” to burn and destroy Christian churches. Should Americans, especially Christian Americans be allowing billions of their tax dollars to be used to ethnically cleanse, attack and bomb Holy sites and Christian civilians? What has happened since Israel has launched its war against Hamas? Israel has displaced 2.4 million Palestinians in Gaza, 80% of the buildings and homes have been reduced to rubble, at least 45,000 Palestinians have been killed with 50% being women and children. In America, we’re told we should prioritize sending billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars to Israel over dealing with our own issues here at home because Israel needs to be able defend itself. Well, it seems like what initially appeared as a defensive war, is appearing more like an offensive war with the expansionist goal of the permanent military occupation of the Gaza Strip. Did the Israeli military, the Israeli intelligence community, and the political leadership of Israel allow this terrible attack to happen to justify wiping out the population of Gaza, a genocide justified by an attack that Israel could have stopped had they wanted to.

Truth Justice ™

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