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Very interesting analytical exchange during Will Wade’s press conference today over the threes State gives up on defense. TLDR: Wade is totally fine with the threes they’ve given up, but isn’t about to give up the secret sauce on how all the puzzle pieces fit.

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Pack Racket

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49,032 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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The Miami Heat are challenging one of the biggest assumptions in modern basketball defense: “Giving up threes is bad.” But they've flipped the math. Because not all threes are created equal. This season: • Open 3PT% ≈ 40% • Contested 3PT% ≈ 33% That’s a 7% drop in efficiency. And when you look at Miami this is where things get interesting: They give up the 4th most threes in the NBA… …but they’re 2nd in contested 3s. So they’re not trying to eliminate threes. They’re changing the type of threes you get. And it's resulted in the 4th Def Eff in the league. And it goes even deeper: Catch-and-shoot 3s ≈ 36.7% Off-the-dribble 3s ≈ 30% Another 7% swing. They’re not eliminating the three-point line. They’re defending the three-point quality.
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