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Victor Davis Hanson: Iran Is Preparing an October Surprise Before the Midterms The midterms are about 50 days away, and Democrats continue to search for ways to gain back control of the House and Senate. Their answer may come from the conflict in Iran. Iran is most likely planning... show more
30,269 次观看 • 6 天前 •via X (Twitter)
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There is an equal (or greater) chance that the October Surprise backfires and angers America so badly it goes straight for Iran's throat. America was obsessively neutral and isolationist until the Germans, and later the Japanese, gave the sitting presidents a chance to swing into a war-winning anger and full participation. Whatever you do do...do NOT piss us off!

Would this fix any options? 🤔 A suggested Exit Strategy Statement on ending the war in Iran for consideration. Statement suggestion: The military phase of this campaign has done what it was sent to do. Iran’s navy is broken. Its missile and drone industry has been smashed. Its ability to hide a nuclear weapons program has been set back. American forces will not keep launching preemptive offensive strikes as a substitute for a political end. Here is the plan. After the election, the United States will halt preemptive offensive operations against Iran and lift the Strait blockade. We will keep the forces required to defend our troops, our partners, and commercial shipping. We will intercept attacks. We will answer attacks. We will not start the next round. The next shot belongs to Iran — and to the groups that fight for it. A Houthi strike on a tanker, a militia drone on an American base, or a Hezbollah barrage that blows up a cease-fire will count as Iran’s choice to restart the war. Denials will not reset the clock. There will be no sanctions windfall, no release of frozen funds, and no reconstruction money until time has passed and conditions can be verified: a defined period of quiet in the Strait and against our forces and partners, and real inspections of what remains of the nuclear program. Cash comes last. Snapback is automatic if the quiet breaks. This is not a gift to Tehran. It is a test. If Iran wants the shooting to stop and its oil to move, it can keep its proxies on a leash and open the sites. If it will not, the United States will not have been the side that went first. We will not run an endless war on a campaign calendar. We will not pay Iran to behave. We will put the choice where it belongs — on the regime that started this fight and the militias that still fire when it is convenient. Thoughts?

I wouldn't put it past the Democrats to be feeding information to Iran.

Why did the US exchange military win for never-ending negotiations about a framework for future negotiations?! Time was all what the islamic regime wanted, and time it got. VP's mistake.

IMO mid-terms are lost already. Trump fucked up

After 47 years of hell, all the soldiers that have been killed, and the horrible sadistic brutality of that gegime in murdering its own pple, its support of terrorists like Hamas, its total repression of women, how could any American align themselves with these demons. Treasonous

VDH hired by the Trump administration to be their version of Tokyo Rose for MAGA.

If the Democrats are working on behalf of Iran, even if it’s in a roundabout way, they should be tried for crimes against humanity, every single one of them on live television. But that’s not gonna happen so everybody that voted for Trump is gonna get thrown in the Gulag. We know this.

@VDHanson What’s the chance that President Trump has an October surprise of his own? I certainly hope so! 🇺🇸

The Republicans failed the base, we gave them everything and they blew it. Leadership is incompetent in the house, and working to undermine Trump in the Senate. It’s shocking how badly they’ve performed.

Kamala Harris did recently say to her base "Whatever it takes" for Democrats to win and then repeated it. - quite disturbing and disgusting. To have a past VP that would even wish to bring down our country rather than build it up - only for power - is astonishing. Those that keep friendly to Kamala, Biden, and Obama and yet turn their backs on agreement to do anything good President Trump is doing or trying to do should be ashamed, but they are not because their power and jealousy appears to have overcome any common sense.

Sounds like a plan, let’s get it going, vote blue

Problem is the Iranians are as dumb as dog shit. So if there is a "surprise" expect it to back fire massively.

Do you mean the not new war in Iran?

I have ZERO doubt that the Political Left are funding our enemies. They would burn our Nation to the ground so that they may rule over the ashes.

@VDHanson Also, Trump made the decision to attack before midterms, so please help us understand the wisdom here. Maybe Trump lied about the bunker buster decimating there nuclear capability and they were now weeks away from launching? Hmmm. My wisdom says Trump cannot be trusted

you can say it, because it's true: our communists want Iran to win!

The October surprise is that iran will test a nuke

@VDHanson I think the Ictober suprise is already here. People are pissed about gas prices! Victor, I like you but cmmmon

I say we give a Iran our own surprise in October. We control the air we control the seas we control their bank accounts.

@VDHanson

"Their answer may come from the conflict in Iran."

Maestro! If you spoke a little Faster you would blow up even more! :) Love you

they don't need Iran trump is singe handily giving them the election. He is awful

Trump needs to end the Iran war. It’s hurting Americans. Gas prices extremely high. Will cost Republicans midterms

@VDHanson Yes I agree.

Of course they are, they're treasonous and their TDS is so off the charts they are willing to sacrifice America for the power they need to destroy our country.

Trump has said the war is over , at least 10 times. Huh? I guess the short sellers are getting ready.

@VDHanson Unless the plan to overthrow the regime is accomplished

Israel Surprise.

Well Islamic end times manicas and Marxist Democrats are both anti civilization death cults. So it makes perfect sense that they would work together against a common enemy.

Whats the deal with Xi?

Not surprised if Iran tries to do something before the Midterms... Bookmarked this post.

$5 gas..$ 6 diesel..the GOP is going to get hammered October surprise or not..
