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victory already declared, an exit still missing, and an ending built on oil money Matthew Boyle, Breitbart's Washington bureau chief, has spent months talking to people inside the administration, and he shared what they keep telling him. In that telling, Trump already won this war. The nuclear program is...

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IRAN'S OIL WEAPON: TRUMP IS STUCK IN A LOSE-LOSE CATCH-22 University of Chicago strategist Prof. Robert Pape, just mapped the last few days of the Iran fight. He says this is not random tit-for-tat. Iran built a trap. The scoreboard he uses is simple: the daily price of oil. THE OIL SCOREBOARD ➡️ Early in the war, Pape says, oil stayed surprisingly low. ➡️ Trump could still talk the price down, and SPR inventories helped. ➡️ “What’s happened since the midpoint in July is it’s basically straight up.” ➡️ “Who’s controlling that price of oil? Not Trump. And his ability to talk it down is essentially disappeared.” ➡️ That chart, Pape argues, is not just energy. It is power. It is also the price of gas outside his door in Chicago. THE CATCH-22 ➡️ Iran built an offensive pattern that puts Trump on two bad horns. ➡️ Do nothing, and Iran looks like it is gaining power. ➡️ Hit back, and Iran out-escalates him — and he looks like he is losing power anyway. ➡️ “This is a no-win scenario for Trump.” ➡️ Tactical hits can still look like wins. Strategically, Pape says, the United States gets weaker. THE MIDTERM WEAPON ➡️ As oil ticks higher, Pape says Trump’s midterm prospects move the other way. ➡️ He calls that path “tremendous damage” to the presidency — “maybe irrevocable.” ➡️ CNN this morning, he notes, already has national gas prices rising in red states and blue states alike. ➡️ “Trump has lost control of the economy and Iran has gained it.” ➡️ That, in his reading, is the point of the strategy: keep baiting, keep the price climbing, and let November do the rest. THE BOTTOM LINE Pape’s claim is blunt. Iran is not just firing back. It is using oil as a political weapon, and Trump keeps walking into the same lose-lose trap. Watch the pump, not the press conference. HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Robert A. Pape #IranOil #RobertPape #OilPrices #EscalationTrap #Trump #Midterms #Hormuz

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