正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

加载此视频时出现问题。这可能是由于临时网络问题，或视频可能不可用。

🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING Fed just released new macro data and it’s WORSE than expected. If you currently hold assets, you’re not going to like what comes next: A global market crash is approaching, yet most people don’t even realize what’s happening. A systemic inflation issue... is quietly forming beneath the surface, and almost no one is positioned for it. The Fed has no good options left: - Headline PCE inflation jumped to 4.1%. - Core PCE inflation remains at 3.4%. Fed’s inflation target is just 2%. - Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.3. - New Orders jumped to 56.0. - Services employment returned to expansion at 51.2. This is not bullish growth. This is the economy remaining strong while inflation continues to accelerate, giving the Fed no reason to cut rates. When inflation is running at more than double the Fed’s target while manufacturing and employment continue expanding, it tells you monetary policy is still not restrictive enough. That only happens before rates move higher. Now add the bigger problem most people are ignoring. U.S. national debt is at an all-time high. Over $39.84 trillion and rising faster than GDP. Interest expense alone is exploding, becoming one of the largest line items in the federal budget. The U.S. is issuing more debt just to service existing debt. That’s the definition of a debt spiral. The Fed becomes trapped between raising rates and allowing inflation to accelerate. This is why the latest inflation data matters so much right now: - You cannot sustain record debt levels when interest rates move higher. - You cannot run trillion-dollar deficits when inflation is more than double the Fed’s target. And you cannot keep pretending this is normal. That doesn’t happen in healthy systems. We’ve seen this exact setup before: → 2000 before the dot-com collapse. → 2008 before the global financial crisis. → 2020 before the repo market seized. The Fed is cornered. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.show more

Alex Mason 👁△

261,621 subscribers

220,599 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

财经新闻政治

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

30 条评论

Johnny Appleseed 的头像

Johnny Appleseed1 个月前

Ok but you can clearly see that the markets are so corrupted that charts mean nothing!

frode årthun 的头像

frode årthun1 个月前

@grok is this information reliable, what’s your thoughts

Vaidik Savaliya 的头像

Vaidik Savaliya1 个月前

Bro is spamming every day that a crash is coming, i mean if you do that everyday one day it will eventually came that's market and you will claim it all as if you are god.

O G 的头像

O G1 个月前

Meinst du die altcoins steigen noch

Rafael 的头像

Rafael1 个月前

Ooof to be pessimistic and with a large short 🫢

Alxe Msanon 👁△ 的头像

Alxe Msanon 👁△1 个月前

My strategy analysis ! as follows 👇.

Andrea Brex 的头像

Andrea Brex1 个月前

Yes BUT always the next Monday is the black Monday and in a while sp500 is always at NEW RECORD HIGH 😂🤣😂👌🏻😁

The AI Therapist 的头像

The AI Therapist1 个月前

the fed’s “worse than expected” data is just the market catching up to reality you’ve been pricing in since january. the crash isn’t coming. it’s already here

I find Discounts, deals, and coupons for you 的头像

I find Discounts, deals, and coupons for you1 个月前

consider diversifying your portfolio and using stop-loss orders to mitigate risk details in bio

PerSweden 的头像

PerSweden1 个月前

Alex Mason - I don't agree with all your points. The PMI numbers are stale. 53.3 and new orders 56.0 are June figures. Today's July print was 55.6 with new orders 56.7. ISM Prices Paid came in at 71.1 today, down from 73.0. Input cost pressure eased. That's the actual inflation component of the release. Oil fell 5–6% today. A large disinflationary impulse. You do not even mention this. The historical analogy is backwards. 2000 and 2008 were disinflationary busts — the Fed was cutting into both. 2020 was a pandemic. None of them featured "strong economy plus accelerating inflation." The argument contradicts itself. You say rates must move higher, then says the debt load makes higher rates impossible. Both can't be the conclusion. And "that only happens before rates move higher" is stated as certainty about something nobody knows. What's actually true: inflation above target is real, the fiscal trajectory and interest expense are a legitimate long-run concern, and there's genuinely little case for near-term cuts. And you claim that "most people don't even realize," "almost no one is positioned." But the ten-year at 4.69% is the market being positioned for exactly this... Do your homework next time.

Jackson Kalle 的头像

Jackson Kalle1 个月前

Systemic risk isn’t just macro the gap between what institutions pretend to control and what they actually can.

Alex 的头像

Alex1 个月前

@AlexMasonCrypto Yes, you're right, I agree with you, many people don't notice the details and history!

𝑨𝒕𝒕𝒂𝒖𝒍𝒍𝒂𝒉 𝑻𝒓𝒂𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒁𝒐𝒏𝒆📈📉 的头像

𝑨𝒕𝒕𝒂𝒖𝒍𝒍𝒂𝒉 𝑻𝒓𝒂𝒅𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒁𝒐𝒏𝒆📈📉1 个月前

Very good👍

Kabuki🔴 的头像

Kabuki🔴1 个月前

👀

Kyrylll 的头像

Kyrylll1 个月前

people said the same thing in 2022, 2019, 2015...

Coby Thinks 的头像

Coby Thinks1 个月前

Wait wait wait so like if the fed cant raise rates cause of debt but also cant lower rates cause of inflation then does that mean the only real option is like some kind of controlled burn scenario that nobody is talking about because it sounds too crazy to even consider?

Jackson Kalle 的头像

Jackson Kalle1 个月前

The Fed’s corner isn’t just macro the moment when liquidity illusion meets structural decay. You’re right that $39.84 trillion in debt and 4.1% PCE inflation leave no room for error, but the missing dimension is the velocity.

Blitz 的头像

Blitz1 个月前

Transitory inflation talk in 2021 was followed by CPI hitting 9% within a year — markets shouldn't take that word lightly.

Ana Paula Cintra 的头像

Ana Paula Cintra1 个月前

Warning 💩🤡

Robert Gergely 的头像

Robert Gergely1 个月前

Keep staying poor then

impAX 的头像

impAX1 个月前

How often will you play this track?

Donald_Fx 的头像

Donald_Fx1 个月前

V good

Rodrigo 的头像

Rodrigo1 个月前

@grok faz sentido a explicação dele? Me passa teu ponto de vista e explica como se eu fosse um adolescente de 15 anos. Em português.

paulii.eth 的头像

paulii.eth1 个月前

You expecting a bad pre-election year? Hasn't there only been 2...or is this Great Depression/WW2 level?

Market Edge Plus 的头像

Market Edge Plus1 个月前

Dude your analysis of the debt spiral is seriously on another level have you ever considered writing a book about this stuff because I'd buy it in a heartbeat?

nick mano fredda 的头像

nick mano fredda1 个月前

Io sono già uscito. E l'indice di Buffet? E il 20y che ha un rendimento superiore al 30y?

GoldMacroAnni 的头像

GoldMacroAnni1 个月前

I have written in details on this .. on my substack post

Mistro 的头像

Mistro1 个月前

So buy more crypto?

Oznaka 的头像

Oznaka1 个月前

time to load up my bags then?

ZAC BRYCE 的头像

ZAC BRYCE1 个月前

👀

相关视频

🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING The Fed just dropped new macro data, and it's worse than anyone expected. If you're holding assets, you're not going to like what comes next. A systemic inflation problem is quietly building under the surface. Almost nobody is positioned for it. Because the Fed is out of good options: → Headline PCE inflation jumped to 4.1% → Core PCE stuck at 3.4% → The Fed's target? Just 2% And the economy isn't rolling over to force their hand: → Manufacturing PMI at 53.3 → New orders at 56.0 → Services employment back in expansion That's not healthy growth. That's a strong economy with accelerating inflation. Which gives the Fed zero reason to cut, and every reason to hike. Now the problem nobody wants to talk about: U.S. debt just passed $39.84 trillion, rising faster than GDP. Interest payments alone are exploding into one of the biggest costs in the entire budget. The government is now issuing new debt just to pay interest on old debt. That's a **debt spiral.** And that's the trap. You can't sustain record debt when rates rise. You can't run trillion-dollar deficits with inflation double the target. Something has to give. We've seen this exact setup before: → 2000, before the dot-com collapse → 2008, before the financial crisis → 2020, before the repo market seized The Fed is cornered. Reminder: I've called the major tops and bottoms for years, including the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. When I exit the markets completely, I'll post it here, like always. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why soon enough.

🚨 WARNING: A BIG STORM IS COMING The Fed just dropped new macro data, and it's worse than anyone expected. If you're holding assets, you're not going to like what comes next. A systemic inflation problem is quietly building under the surface. Almost nobody is positioned for it. Because the Fed is out of good options: → Headline PCE inflation jumped to 4.1% → Core PCE stuck at 3.4% → The Fed's target? Just 2% And the economy isn't rolling over to force their hand: → Manufacturing PMI at 53.3 → New orders at 56.0 → Services employment back in expansion That's not healthy growth. That's a strong economy with accelerating inflation. Which gives the Fed zero reason to cut, and every reason to hike. Now the problem nobody wants to talk about: U.S. debt just passed $39.84 trillion, rising faster than GDP. Interest payments alone are exploding into one of the biggest costs in the entire budget. The government is now issuing new debt just to pay interest on old debt. That's a debt spiral. And that's the trap. You can't sustain record debt when rates rise. You can't run trillion-dollar deficits with inflation double the target. Something has to give. We've seen this exact setup before: → 2000, before the dot-com collapse → 2008, before the financial crisis → 2020, before the repo market seized The Fed is cornered. Reminder: I've called the major tops and bottoms for years, including the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. When I exit the markets completely, I'll post it here, like always. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why soon enough.

Shelpid.WI3M

1,410,010 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇺🇸 THE FED IS EXPECTED TO HIKE RATES And this is bad for markets. Just a few months ago, everyone was convinced rate cuts were coming. That “flippening” in expectations has completely shifted the liquidity narrative. The next FOMC meeting on June 17th is also the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets don’t yet have full clarity on how he will prioritize growth vs inflation. The reason for a possible hike is simple: the U.S. economy remains stronger than expected. Job growth is holding up, consumer demand is resilient, and inflation is still running above the Fed’s target. For the Fed, persistent inflation means less urgency to cut rates, and more reason to keep financial conditions tight. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, slow spending, increase costs for businesses, and pressure stock valuations. Markets thrive on liquidity. A Fed focused on fighting inflation becomes a clear headwind for risk assets. Follow and turn on notifications to stay up to date.

🇺🇸 THE FED IS EXPECTED TO HIKE RATES And this is bad for markets. Just a few months ago, everyone was convinced rate cuts were coming. That “flippening” in expectations has completely shifted the liquidity narrative. The next FOMC meeting on June 17th is also the first under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. Markets don’t yet have full clarity on how he will prioritize growth vs inflation. The reason for a possible hike is simple: the U.S. economy remains stronger than expected. Job growth is holding up, consumer demand is resilient, and inflation is still running above the Fed’s target. For the Fed, persistent inflation means less urgency to cut rates, and more reason to keep financial conditions tight. Higher rates make borrowing more expensive, slow spending, increase costs for businesses, and pressure stock valuations. Markets thrive on liquidity. A Fed focused on fighting inflation becomes a clear headwind for risk assets. Follow and turn on notifications to stay up to date.

CryptoGoos

42,378 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI JUST CAME IN AT 3.4%, MUCH HIGHER THAN THE 2.0% TARGET. THIS MEANS INFLATION IS STILL HEATING UP, AND THE FED WILL BE FORCED TO HIKE INTEREST RATES. THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD NEWS FOR THE MARKETS...

🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI JUST CAME IN AT 3.4%, MUCH HIGHER THAN THE 2.0% TARGET. THIS MEANS INFLATION IS STILL HEATING UP, AND THE FED WILL BE FORCED TO HIKE INTEREST RATES. THIS IS EXTREMELY BAD NEWS FOR THE MARKETS...

0xNobler

73,364 次观看 • 1 个月前

Kevin Warsh just ended his first ever FOMC meeting as Fed chair. His message to markets: "I can't give you any guidance on what we're going to do next." Here is what he said: 1. Inflation is still way above the Fed's 2% target and prices are too high for most people 2. "We will fix five years of misses on inflation", he is directly saying the previous Fed failed 3. The Fed will no longer tell you in advance what it plans to do with interest rates 4. He watches stock market prices more than anything else when making decisions 5. Interest rates are hurting the housing market but are not slowing down financial markets 6. All 19 members at the table agreed not to raise rates today 7. The 2% inflation target is not changing 8. He refused to say whether bond yields rising after today's decision concerns him 9. He refused to say whether he has spoken to Trump since becoming Fed chair Under Powell, the Fed always told markets what was coming next. Under Warsh, that is gone.

Kevin Warsh just ended his first ever FOMC meeting as Fed chair. His message to markets: "I can't give you any guidance on what we're going to do next." Here is what he said: 1. Inflation is still way above the Fed's 2% target and prices are too high for most people 2. "We will fix five years of misses on inflation", he is directly saying the previous Fed failed 3. The Fed will no longer tell you in advance what it plans to do with interest rates 4. He watches stock market prices more than anything else when making decisions 5. Interest rates are hurting the housing market but are not slowing down financial markets 6. All 19 members at the table agreed not to raise rates today 7. The 2% inflation target is not changing 8. He refused to say whether bond yields rising after today's decision concerns him 9. He refused to say whether he has spoken to Trump since becoming Fed chair Under Powell, the Fed always told markets what was coming next. Under Warsh, that is gone.

Bull Theory

1,037,917 次观看 • 3 个月前

Bitcoin is preparing for the final dump before $200K. The bear market is 65% done. Now BTC is following the path I warned about: $73K → $68K → $62K → $55K → $200K Next stops: → $60K dump → Bear market bottom in October Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Bitcoin is preparing for the final dump before $200K. The bear market is 65% done. Now BTC is following the path I warned about: $73K → $68K → $62K → $55K → $200K Next stops: → $60K dump → Bear market bottom in October Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

WhaleTwits

97,633 次观看 • 3 个月前

Bitcoin is preparing for the final dump before $400K The bear market is 80% done. Now BTC is following the path I warned about: $83K → $68K → $61K → $55K → $200K Next stops: → $55K dump → Bear market bottom in October Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000 The next call will be the most important When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Bitcoin is preparing for the final dump before $400K The bear market is 80% done. Now BTC is following the path I warned about: $83K → $68K → $61K → $55K → $200K Next stops: → $55K dump → Bear market bottom in October Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000 The next call will be the most important When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Hopper

77,585 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨 FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH JUST MADE IT CLEAR: THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION IS NOT OVER. Key points from the FOMC press conference: • The Fed held rates in a 9–3 vote after a heated internal debate. • Warsh said inflation is still too high and the 2% target is non-negotiable. • The Fed is pulling back from forward guidance and will let markets react directly to incoming data. • Treasury yields have already tightened financial conditions, even without another rate hike. • One soft CPI report will not change policy. The Fed is focused on the broader trend. • The economy and labor market remain solid, while AI investment is driving a major surge in business spending. • A hold does not mean the Fed has paused. Warsh called it “watchful thinking.” • If inflation rises while employment stays strong, the Fed will be more inclined to tighten again. The message was simple: The Fed is not declaring victory, and rate hikes are still on the table.

🚨 FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH JUST MADE IT CLEAR: THE FIGHT AGAINST INFLATION IS NOT OVER. Key points from the FOMC press conference: • The Fed held rates in a 9–3 vote after a heated internal debate. • Warsh said inflation is still too high and the 2% target is non-negotiable. • The Fed is pulling back from forward guidance and will let markets react directly to incoming data. • Treasury yields have already tightened financial conditions, even without another rate hike. • One soft CPI report will not change policy. The Fed is focused on the broader trend. • The economy and labor market remain solid, while AI investment is driving a major surge in business spending. • A hold does not mean the Fed has paused. Warsh called it “watchful thinking.” • If inflation rises while employment stays strong, the Fed will be more inclined to tighten again. The message was simple: The Fed is not declaring victory, and rate hikes are still on the table.

Crypto Rover

117,868 次观看 • 1 个月前

Kevin Walsh took over the Fed with three choices to make... (only ONE is politically viable) Choice 1: Raise rates Higher rates would push the economy into recession and tank your retirement portfolio. The government already pays over $1T per year just in interest on the $39T national debt and can't afford to pay more. Choice 2: Hold rates steady Inflation lets the government repay the $39T debt with cheaper dollars each year. But because they keep borrowing $2T every year, the debt keeps growing. The problem is still there. Choice 3: Cut rates and print money The dollar weakens, inflation runs hotter, and the real value of the $39T debt shrinks year after year. The government has no choice to do this and you pay the price. If you hold cash or bonds (and the average American does), you pay the cost. This is what happened in 1946, before inflation erode the value of the dollar by 50% over the next 28 years.

Kevin Walsh took over the Fed with three choices to make... (only ONE is politically viable) Choice 1: Raise rates Higher rates would push the economy into recession and tank your retirement portfolio. The government already pays over $1T per year just in interest on the $39T national debt and can't afford to pay more. Choice 2: Hold rates steady Inflation lets the government repay the $39T debt with cheaper dollars each year. But because they keep borrowing $2T every year, the debt keeps growing. The problem is still there. Choice 3: Cut rates and print money The dollar weakens, inflation runs hotter, and the real value of the $39T debt shrinks year after year. The government has no choice to do this and you pay the price. If you hold cash or bonds (and the average American does), you pay the cost. This is what happened in 1946, before inflation erode the value of the dollar by 50% over the next 28 years.

Felix Prehn 🐶

82,157 次观看 • 3 个月前

This is exactly what I told you would happen. Gold is now following the path I warned you about: $5,588 → $4,895 → $4,088 Next stop: → $3,500 1979 is repeating. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I start accumulating gold again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

This is exactly what I told you would happen. Gold is now following the path I warned you about: $5,588 → $4,895 → $4,088 Next stop: → $3,500 1979 is repeating. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I start accumulating gold again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

378,101 次观看 • 2 个月前

🚨 LOOK AT THIS CHART RIGHT NOW This is exactly what I told you would happen. S&P 500 just hit $7,538, a new all-time high. Amid the worst geopolitical crisis of the century. Oil is at $95. The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded. The US has already begun the next round of war escalation. Nothing has been solved. No real objectives have been achieved. The escalation is only getting worse. And the market is rallying into it. I’ve seen this before. When equities rally during an unresolved energy shock, the drop that follows isn’t slow. It’s vertical. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 LOOK AT THIS CHART RIGHT NOW This is exactly what I told you would happen. S&P 500 just hit $7,538, a new all-time high. Amid the worst geopolitical crisis of the century. Oil is at $95. The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded. The US has already begun the next round of war escalation. Nothing has been solved. No real objectives have been achieved. The escalation is only getting worse. And the market is rallying into it. I’ve seen this before. When equities rally during an unresolved energy shock, the drop that follows isn’t slow. It’s vertical. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

33,126 次观看 • 4 个月前

THE FED IS OUT OF EXITS The 10-Year Treasury yield just broke above 4.40% First time since June 2025. Remember the last time we crossed that line? April 2025. Trump's "90-day tariff pause." The emergency button got slammed for a reason. That same line is back. Right on schedule. And here's what nobody on cable news is telling you: Rate HIKES are now what the Fed is expected to do next. Not cuts. Hikes. In plain English: the Fed is about to make borrowing more expensive, not cheaper. What that means for you: ➮ 30-year mortgage rates are heading back to 7% ➮ Inflation just hit a 3-year high ➮ "Higher for longer" - the policy everyone thought was dead is officially back Seemingly overnight. Now here's the math nobody on TV wants to do out loud: The US government has to refinance trillions in debt this year at these higher rates. Every tick higher in rates costs the Treasury billions more in interest. Which puts the Fed in a corner with two exits. If they HIKE to crush inflation - the stock market, housing, and credit markets crack at the same time. If they HOLD or CUT to save the markets - inflation spirals again and the dollar bleeds out. There is no third door. This isn't a policy decision anymore. It's a math problem with no solution. The clock is ticking. Most people will keep believing "the Fed has it under control" until their mortgage payment, their grocery bill, and their portfolio tell them otherwise. Don't worry though - my system flags the exact moment the market shifts from caution to DANGER. I called every major top and bottom of the last decade. You'll be warned before it hits, like always. So make sure to TURN ON NOTIFS and follow

THE FED IS OUT OF EXITS The 10-Year Treasury yield just broke above 4.40% First time since June 2025. Remember the last time we crossed that line? April 2025. Trump's "90-day tariff pause." The emergency button got slammed for a reason. That same line is back. Right on schedule. And here's what nobody on cable news is telling you: Rate HIKES are now what the Fed is expected to do next. Not cuts. Hikes. In plain English: the Fed is about to make borrowing more expensive, not cheaper. What that means for you: ➮ 30-year mortgage rates are heading back to 7% ➮ Inflation just hit a 3-year high ➮ "Higher for longer" - the policy everyone thought was dead is officially back Seemingly overnight. Now here's the math nobody on TV wants to do out loud: The US government has to refinance trillions in debt this year at these higher rates. Every tick higher in rates costs the Treasury billions more in interest. Which puts the Fed in a corner with two exits. If they HIKE to crush inflation - the stock market, housing, and credit markets crack at the same time. If they HOLD or CUT to save the markets - inflation spirals again and the dollar bleeds out. There is no third door. This isn't a policy decision anymore. It's a math problem with no solution. The clock is ticking. Most people will keep believing "the Fed has it under control" until their mortgage payment, their grocery bill, and their portfolio tell them otherwise. Don't worry though - my system flags the exact moment the market shifts from caution to DANGER. I called every major top and bottom of the last decade. You'll be warned before it hits, like always. So make sure to TURN ON NOTIFS and follow

Reflection🪩

132,195 次观看 • 4 个月前

I warned you the S&P 500 crash is coming. Dot-com bubble → Today The final phase always looks the same. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

I warned you the S&P 500 crash is coming. Dot-com bubble → Today The final phase always looks the same. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

95,596 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 GOLD IS ABOUT TO REPEAT 1979 And nobody is ready for what will happen. 1979: Iran War → oil explodes Gold goes from $200 → $850 Everyone thought it was the beginning. Then came the part nobody talks about: A new Fed Chair took power. Rates went up to 20%. Liquidity got demolished. Gold dumped: $850 → $300 Now look at today: 2026: - War with Iran (happening) - Oil up aggressively (done) - Inflation creeping back (starting) - Fed rate hikes (next) But here’s where people get trapped: They think gold = safety. True, gold doesn’t die when the crisis ends. It dies when central banks react. And we’re getting close to that point again. 25% of the world’s oil is being held hostage at one chokepoint. Inflation is picking up. Rate hikes are already being discussed again. And a new Fed Chair is already in power at the worst possible time. This is how 1979 started. Gold first looked like the safest trade in the world. Then the Fed destroyed the trade. That’s the part nobody is ready for. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 GOLD IS ABOUT TO REPEAT 1979 And nobody is ready for what will happen. 1979: Iran War → oil explodes Gold goes from $200 → $850 Everyone thought it was the beginning. Then came the part nobody talks about: A new Fed Chair took power. Rates went up to 20%. Liquidity got demolished. Gold dumped: $850 → $300 Now look at today: 2026: - War with Iran (happening) - Oil up aggressively (done) - Inflation creeping back (starting) - Fed rate hikes (next) But here’s where people get trapped: They think gold = safety. True, gold doesn’t die when the crisis ends. It dies when central banks react. And we’re getting close to that point again. 25% of the world’s oil is being held hostage at one chokepoint. Inflation is picking up. Rate hikes are already being discussed again. And a new Fed Chair is already in power at the worst possible time. This is how 1979 started. Gold first looked like the safest trade in the world. Then the Fed destroyed the trade. That’s the part nobody is ready for. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

248,113 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨 I WARNED YOU. RIGHT BEFORE THIS DUMP. But most people ignored it. And now the crash is here. Bitcoin dropped to $70K. Over $500M in longs wiped out in hours. Many hope this is just a temporary correction. But the macro tells a different story: PPI just jumped to 6%. The fastest pace since COVID. That killed any hope of rate cuts. And to make things worse, Fed Chair Warsh is hawkish: Higher-for-longer rates and balance sheet shrinkage. 10Y yields above 4.6%. Capital is flowing out of risk assets. Spot ETF outflows are at historic highs. The crowd is praying for a quick bounce. They will be deeply disappointed. This is just the beginning of the real move down. Most people will realize it only when it's too late. For the record: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 I WARNED YOU. RIGHT BEFORE THIS DUMP. But most people ignored it. And now the crash is here. Bitcoin dropped to $70K. Over $500M in longs wiped out in hours. Many hope this is just a temporary correction. But the macro tells a different story: PPI just jumped to 6%. The fastest pace since COVID. That killed any hope of rate cuts. And to make things worse, Fed Chair Warsh is hawkish: Higher-for-longer rates and balance sheet shrinkage. 10Y yields above 4.6%. Capital is flowing out of risk assets. Spot ETF outflows are at historic highs. The crowd is praying for a quick bounce. They will be deeply disappointed. This is just the beginning of the real move down. Most people will realize it only when it's too late. For the record: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

287,239 次观看 • 3 个月前

$40 TRILLION IN DEBT. AMERICA’S DEBT BOMB JUST GOT BIGGER The United States has officially crossed $40 trillion in national debt. It took America 205 years to reach its first $1 trillion in debt; now Washington is adding trillions in a matter of months. On August 14, 2026, the national debt stood at roughly $39.93 trillion. That was about $1.4 trillion higher than at the end of January, and roughly $550 billion higher than just six weeks earlier. This is not just another number on a government spreadsheet. It is a debt bomb, and the consequences could reshape everything from inflation and interest rates to America’s economic stability. David Morgan breaks down why $40 trillion in national debt is a warning sign America cannot ignore.

$40 TRILLION IN DEBT. AMERICA’S DEBT BOMB JUST GOT BIGGER The United States has officially crossed $40 trillion in national debt. It took America 205 years to reach its first $1 trillion in debt; now Washington is adding trillions in a matter of months. On August 14, 2026, the national debt stood at roughly $39.93 trillion. That was about $1.4 trillion higher than at the end of January, and roughly $550 billion higher than just six weeks earlier. This is not just another number on a government spreadsheet. It is a debt bomb, and the consequences could reshape everything from inflation and interest rates to America’s economic stability. David Morgan breaks down why $40 trillion in national debt is a warning sign America cannot ignore.

Redacted

13,619 次观看 • 1 个月前

This is exactly what I told you would happen. S&P 500 just hit $7,791, a new all-time high. Amid the worst geopolitical crisis of the century. Oil is at $80. The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded. The US is already preparing for the next round of war escalation. Nothing has been solved. No real objectives have been achieved. The escalation is only getting worse. And the market is rallying into it. I’ve seen this before. When equities rally during an unresolved energy shock, the drop that follows isn’t slow. It’s vertical. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

This is exactly what I told you would happen. S&P 500 just hit $7,791, a new all-time high. Amid the worst geopolitical crisis of the century. Oil is at $80. The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded. The US is already preparing for the next round of war escalation. Nothing has been solved. No real objectives have been achieved. The escalation is only getting worse. And the market is rallying into it. I’ve seen this before. When equities rally during an unresolved energy shock, the drop that follows isn’t slow. It’s vertical. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

348,783 次观看 • 1 个月前

Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.

Rick Rule: Politically, the Fed will ultimately have to lower interest rates. We have entered an inflationary era similar to the 70s, but the fiscal situation is vastly different. - Debt/GDP: ~30% then vs ~123% now - Interest expense: ~$50B then vs ~$1.2T now - Deficits: ~1–4% then vs ~6% now In fact, the government now pays more in annual interest expenses than the entire US debt was in the late 70s. But it’s not just the government that can’t afford higher rates. Markets will feel it too: - Private credit - Consumer durables - Real estate All are heavily impacted by higher interest rates. Sooner rather than later, political pressure will force the Fed to lower rates. Volcker was able to hike aggressively because debt/GDP had been inflated away after WW2. Today, debt/GDP is above WW2-era levels, which is why the US can’t fight inflation the same way it did in the early 80s. First you inflate the debt away to a more manageable level... Then you raise rates to kill inflation. Not the other way around.

Lukas Ekwueme

54,518 次观看 • 2 个月前

Henrik Zeberg said the thing you're not allowed to say right now: "Inflation is not high here. Anybody who says that is not studying. Inflation is incredibly low." His argument isn't the CPI print. It's who's supposed to carry inflation higher: "People pointing to the 1970s here haven't studied the savings rate. The savings rate in the 1970s was between 10 and 20%. That means people actually had the extra money in the pocket when inflation was going up. That's a different situation today... There's nobody to carry inflation." Savings rate now: 2 to 3%. Job creation: "16,000 jobs per month in a 170 million job market, the most pathetic job market we have seen." An oil shock can move the calculation of inflation, he says, but inflation is what people do about it, and a consumer with 3% savings reprioritizes instead of paying up. Then the parallel that made me sit up: "2008, January, inflation was at 4% and the Fed cut by 125 basis points over two meetings. Nobody knew of the financial crisis. Now inflation is 3%, the job market is worse, and the Fed is talking about hiking. Why should they hike?" His call: they won't. They'll stay focused on the wrong mandate until they "really stare deflation in the eyes", and then scramble, late, like every time. Hiking here would be, in his words, one of their greatest mistakes ever. Everyone feels inflation at the checkout. He's looking at an economy with no savings, no job growth, and a Fed staring at the wrong mandate.

Henrik Zeberg said the thing you're not allowed to say right now: "Inflation is not high here. Anybody who says that is not studying. Inflation is incredibly low." His argument isn't the CPI print. It's who's supposed to carry inflation higher: "People pointing to the 1970s here haven't studied the savings rate. The savings rate in the 1970s was between 10 and 20%. That means people actually had the extra money in the pocket when inflation was going up. That's a different situation today... There's nobody to carry inflation." Savings rate now: 2 to 3%. Job creation: "16,000 jobs per month in a 170 million job market, the most pathetic job market we have seen." An oil shock can move the calculation of inflation, he says, but inflation is what people do about it, and a consumer with 3% savings reprioritizes instead of paying up. Then the parallel that made me sit up: "2008, January, inflation was at 4% and the Fed cut by 125 basis points over two meetings. Nobody knew of the financial crisis. Now inflation is 3%, the job market is worse, and the Fed is talking about hiking. Why should they hike?" His call: they won't. They'll stay focused on the wrong mandate until they "really stare deflation in the eyes", and then scramble, late, like every time. Hiking here would be, in his words, one of their greatest mistakes ever. Everyone feels inflation at the checkout. He's looking at an economy with no savings, no job growth, and a Fed staring at the wrong mandate.

Michaël van de Poppe

42,440 次观看 • 8 天前

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

32,174 次观看 • 3 个月前

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

606,860 次观看 • 3 个月前