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Warren Buffett: "I think [Google] is more likely to be a winner based on their record than probably 95% of what gets merchandised through Wall Street." "The real question with Google and all of its competitors now is they're all laying out hundreds of billions [on capital expenditures]. That's... show more
71,169 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat •via X (Twitter)
10 Kommentare

My prediction: Elon Musk (SpaceX, xAI, and Tesla) will ultimately win the AI competition. They have all the necessary pieces in place and the best people working on these projects. Buffett’s bias against Elon Musk will end up costing Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. At age 95, he is deciding to venture outside his circle of competence.

Google is perhaps not pushing the outer limits…kind of like Apple repurchasing their shares? Less business risk, but less fun for the luminaries who want to be at the cutting edge. Looking back though it will be hard not to argue that Google was the focal point of all the major talent in the industry. Sort of bell labs-eque

Google has a strong track record, but AI requires enormous spending.

Buffett is basically pointing out that the AI race is becoming a capital war, not just a software race. That capex is going to separate the companies that can actually monetize AI from the ones just burning money.

Says the Oracle who could have bought $GOOG at $150 but instead bought at $350

what would make buffett change his mind on this, is there a capex number that gets too scary?

Past record doesn't protect against overinvestment. At what scale does capital intensity kill the moat?

The scale of this investment makes the AI race look very different from simply a software story.

Scale is becoming a competitive advantage. The capital required for AI infrastructure may ultimately exclude competitors that can't fund the race.

なるほど(*´꒳`*)ノ💴💹🏙⭐️✨。
