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🇺🇸 Washington is throwing $40 billion at a $40 trillion bond market. Financial journalist David Lin says the arithmetic doomed the intervention before it started, and traders worked that out immediately: "The Treasury won't have enough firepower to enact meaningful long term change to the direction of the yields."... show more

Mario Nawfal

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58,971 次观看 • 22 小时前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 Scott Bessent picked a fight with someone much bigger than him, and $2 to $4 billion is not enough firepower to win it. Financial Journalist David Lin breaks down why the buyback program moved yields for exactly one day. "The bond vigilantes are going to do what vigilantes do, which is take justice into their own hands, sell treasuries and raise the interest rates." Until Bessent shows up with real ammunition, the vigilantes are winning. David Lin

🇺🇸 Scott Bessent picked a fight with someone much bigger than him, and $2 to $4 billion is not enough firepower to win it. Financial Journalist David Lin breaks down why the buyback program moved yields for exactly one day. "The bond vigilantes are going to do what vigilantes do, which is take justice into their own hands, sell treasuries and raise the interest rates." Until Bessent shows up with real ammunition, the vigilantes are winning. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸 Interest on the national debt now costs more than the entire US military, which itself outspends the next ten countries COMBINED. Financial journalist David Lin says everyone points at 15% rates in the early 80s and misses what changed underneath. Debt was 31% of GDP back then. It's 122% today. Interest alone runs past a trillion dollars a year. Push yields higher and the first crack he expects is failed Treasury auctions. David Lin

🇺🇸 Interest on the national debt now costs more than the entire US military, which itself outspends the next ten countries COMBINED. Financial journalist David Lin says everyone points at 15% rates in the early 80s and misses what changed underneath. Debt was 31% of GDP back then. It's 122% today. Interest alone runs past a trillion dollars a year. Push yields higher and the first crack he expects is failed Treasury auctions. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions on Iran have never produced fundamental change, and investors priced that in long ago. Financial journalist David Lin says the headlines out of Operation Outcast are moving far less money than what the Fed and Treasury decide next: "Markets will react more to what the Fed and the Treasury do in the short term than sanctions on Iran." The story dominating the news cycle and the story moving portfolios aren't the same story. David Lin

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Sanctions on Iran have never produced fundamental change, and investors priced that in long ago. Financial journalist David Lin says the headlines out of Operation Outcast are moving far less money than what the Fed and Treasury decide next: "Markets will react more to what the Fed and the Treasury do in the short term than sanctions on Iran." The story dominating the news cycle and the story moving portfolios aren't the same story. David Lin

Mario Nawfal

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Traders have stopped reacting to strikes on Iran, and $90 oil is becoming the new baseline. Financial journalist David Lin says the market's calm is the part worth watching, because absorbing a price is how it stops being temporary: "Have we normalized $90 oil? That's exactly what I've been asking." Nobody rings a bell when an emergency price turns into a permanent one. It just stops making headlines. David Lin

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Traders have stopped reacting to strikes on Iran, and $90 oil is becoming the new baseline. Financial journalist David Lin says the market's calm is the part worth watching, because absorbing a price is how it stops being temporary: "Have we normalized $90 oil? That's exactly what I've been asking." Nobody rings a bell when an emergency price turns into a permanent one. It just stops making headlines. David Lin

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🇺🇸 The U.S. Treasury is trying to stop bond yields from rising. But according to David Lin, Washington may be picking a fight with a market it simply doesn't have enough firepower to control. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doubled planned bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation, signalling that Washington is prepared to intervene more aggressively. Yields fell for one day. Then they went straight back up. The problem is scale. The Treasury market is measured in tens of trillions of dollars, making $4 billion of intervention little more than a signal. And if yields keep rising, the consequences spread far beyond Wall Street. Mortgages, corporate borrowing and government debt servicing all become more expensive. Lin's bigger concern is what governments do when financial pressure starts limiting their options. Higher debt costs could push governments toward more aggressive tariffs, trade wars and foreign-policy decisions as they try to protect their economies. Meanwhile, the dollar remains the world's dominant safe haven, even as central banks accumulate more gold and countries increasingly look for ways around a dollar-based system. And then there's the Iran war. Lin argues that the conflict has exposed another vulnerability: energy infrastructure is remarkably easy to disrupt with cheap drones. Refineries, pipelines and shipping can all become targets, creating a much bigger problem for an already fragile global economy. So the biggest risk may not be a sudden financial collapse. It may be governments gradually losing room to maneuver, while markets become increasingly unwilling to listen. The Treasury can announce bigger interventions. The bond market can simply decide they aren't big enough. David Lin

🇺🇸 The U.S. Treasury is trying to stop bond yields from rising. But according to David Lin, Washington may be picking a fight with a market it simply doesn't have enough firepower to control. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent doubled planned bond buybacks from $2 billion to $4 billion per operation, signalling that Washington is prepared to intervene more aggressively. Yields fell for one day. Then they went straight back up. The problem is scale. The Treasury market is measured in tens of trillions of dollars, making $4 billion of intervention little more than a signal. And if yields keep rising, the consequences spread far beyond Wall Street. Mortgages, corporate borrowing and government debt servicing all become more expensive. Lin's bigger concern is what governments do when financial pressure starts limiting their options. Higher debt costs could push governments toward more aggressive tariffs, trade wars and foreign-policy decisions as they try to protect their economies. Meanwhile, the dollar remains the world's dominant safe haven, even as central banks accumulate more gold and countries increasingly look for ways around a dollar-based system. And then there's the Iran war. Lin argues that the conflict has exposed another vulnerability: energy infrastructure is remarkably easy to disrupt with cheap drones. Refineries, pipelines and shipping can all become targets, creating a much bigger problem for an already fragile global economy. So the biggest risk may not be a sudden financial collapse. It may be governments gradually losing room to maneuver, while markets become increasingly unwilling to listen. The Treasury can announce bigger interventions. The bond market can simply decide they aren't big enough. David Lin

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295,040 次观看 • 9 天前

🇺🇸 Philip Pilkington says the Treasury stepped into the bond market to push long-term yields lower. It worked for about a day. Then yields rose again. The problem is bigger than one failed intervention. The Treasury wants cheaper long-term borrowing, while the Fed is reluctant to cut rates because inflation remains above target. Meanwhile, Japan may be forced to sell more U.S. Treasuries, and the ECB is openly warning that the AI boom looks like a bubble. Different institutions. Different incentives. One increasingly stressed financial system. Pilkington's phrase for it is clean and simple: They're fighting gravity. Philip Pilkington

🇺🇸 Philip Pilkington says the Treasury stepped into the bond market to push long-term yields lower. It worked for about a day. Then yields rose again. The problem is bigger than one failed intervention. The Treasury wants cheaper long-term borrowing, while the Fed is reluctant to cut rates because inflation remains above target. Meanwhile, Japan may be forced to sell more U.S. Treasuries, and the ECB is openly warning that the AI boom looks like a bubble. Different institutions. Different incentives. One increasingly stressed financial system. Pilkington's phrase for it is clean and simple: They're fighting gravity. Philip Pilkington

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87,510 次观看 • 12 天前

🇺🇸🇨🇦 What are governments gonna do to each other when the pressure gets unbearable? Financial Journalist, Interviewer, Founder & Host of David Lin Report David Lin connects the dots between rising debt costs and increasingly reckless policy decisions. "The higher the debt cost, I think the more irrational their decision making can be when it comes to foreign trade." When 10-year yields can't be controlled, the trade wars start. And trade wars have a way of becoming something much worse. David Lin

🇺🇸🇨🇦 What are governments gonna do to each other when the pressure gets unbearable? Financial Journalist, Interviewer, Founder & Host of David Lin Report David Lin connects the dots between rising debt costs and increasingly reckless policy decisions. "The higher the debt cost, I think the more irrational their decision making can be when it comes to foreign trade." When 10-year yields can't be controlled, the trade wars start. And trade wars have a way of becoming something much worse. David Lin

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🇺🇸🇯🇵 Gold cleared $4,500 days after Washington quietly stepped into the currency market. Financial journalist David Lin dates the spike to August 3, right behind the July 31 yen intervention. What it signals, he says, is a government willing to cap long-term interest rates without ever admitting that's the goal. Direct yield curve control hasn't been attempted since World War Two. Buying yen gets there sideways, by removing Japan's need to sell US Treasuries. David Lin

🇺🇸🇯🇵 Gold cleared $4,500 days after Washington quietly stepped into the currency market. Financial journalist David Lin dates the spike to August 3, right behind the July 31 yen intervention. What it signals, he says, is a government willing to cap long-term interest rates without ever admitting that's the goal. Direct yield curve control hasn't been attempted since World War Two. Buying yen gets there sideways, by removing Japan's need to sell US Treasuries. David Lin

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🇰🇷 South Korea just lived through the worst month in its stock market history, and the bond market is screaming. David Lin says retail investors were wiped out, and the Fed is walking into the wreckage without seeing it: "If the Federal Reserve doesn't act soon, the bond market's telling us there's going to be financial World War III." This may be where the AI trade starts coming apart. David Lin

🇰🇷 South Korea just lived through the worst month in its stock market history, and the bond market is screaming. David Lin says retail investors were wiped out, and the Fed is walking into the wreckage without seeing it: "If the Federal Reserve doesn't act soon, the bond market's telling us there's going to be financial World War III." This may be where the AI trade starts coming apart. David Lin

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🚨 🇺🇸 BESSENT JUST CALLED A MONDAY PRESS CONFERENCE AS THE U.S. BOND MARKET STARTS BREAKING AGAIN The Treasury Secretary will address the public at 2:00 pm ET. The timing is fucking insane. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield just hit 5.34%. Highest level since 2007. Washington responded by doubling long-bond buybacks, from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. Yields dropped immediately. But within one day most of that move was erased, and the 30-year was back near its peak. Bessent has already said the buybacks could be increased even further. U.S. debt is now above $40 trillion, and the cost of financing it keeps rising. The Treasury is trying to calm a bond sell-off that refuses to stay down. This announcement will move the entire market. Be ready.

🚨 🇺🇸 BESSENT JUST CALLED A MONDAY PRESS CONFERENCE AS THE U.S. BOND MARKET STARTS BREAKING AGAIN The Treasury Secretary will address the public at 2:00 pm ET. The timing is fucking insane. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield just hit 5.34%. Highest level since 2007. Washington responded by doubling long-bond buybacks, from $2 billion to at least $4 billion per operation. Yields dropped immediately. But within one day most of that move was erased, and the 30-year was back near its peak. Bessent has already said the buybacks could be increased even further. U.S. debt is now above $40 trillion, and the cost of financing it keeps rising. The Treasury is trying to calm a bond sell-off that refuses to stay down. This announcement will move the entire market. Be ready.

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🇺🇸 LATEST: President Trump says the U.S. military could be used to intervene in the bond market. Q: “Yields have come back up since then [intervention]. Have you talked about another type of intervention?” Trump: “We have many types of intervention. The ultimate intervention is our military. And if we have to use that, we will.”

🇺🇸 LATEST: President Trump says the U.S. military could be used to intervene in the bond market. Q: “Yields have come back up since then [intervention]. Have you talked about another type of intervention?” Trump: “We have many types of intervention. The ultimate intervention is our military. And if we have to use that, we will.”

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 A closed shipping lane thousands of miles away could push your credit card rates, your mortgage, and global bond yields all higher at once. David Lin breaks down exactly how the financial contagion spreads from the Middle East to your wallet. "The faster this gets resolved, the sooner we have a normalization." Every day this drags on costs ordinary people more. David Lin

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A closed shipping lane thousands of miles away could push your credit card rates, your mortgage, and global bond yields all higher at once. David Lin breaks down exactly how the financial contagion spreads from the Middle East to your wallet. "The faster this gets resolved, the sooner we have a normalization." Every day this drags on costs ordinary people more. David Lin

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🇺🇸🇯🇵 That conveniently placed handwritten note left by Bessent at Camp David was probably leaked on purpose... Financial journalist David Lin doubts Scott Bessent needed a reminder to go buy yen, which is why he reads the note reaching the press as deliberate. The reported 5 to 10 billion has never been confirmed, and Japan bought far more in what became a coordinated operation between both treasuries. David's explanation for all of it is blunt: nobody in this administration wants a market crash before the midterms. David Lin

🇺🇸🇯🇵 That conveniently placed handwritten note left by Bessent at Camp David was probably leaked on purpose... Financial journalist David Lin doubts Scott Bessent needed a reminder to go buy yen, which is why he reads the note reaching the press as deliberate. The reported 5 to 10 billion has never been confirmed, and Japan bought far more in what became a coordinated operation between both treasuries. David's explanation for all of it is blunt: nobody in this administration wants a market crash before the midterms. David Lin

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You are not watching the bond market closely enough. President Trump is now threatening that the US Military could be utilized for further intervention to lower US Treasury yields. "The ultimate intervention is our military, and if we have to use that we will." Watch bonds.

You are not watching the bond market closely enough. President Trump is now threatening that the US Military could be utilized for further intervention to lower US Treasury yields. "The ultimate intervention is our military, and if we have to use that we will." Watch bonds.

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Reporter on Bond Market: The yields have come back up since then. Have you talked to Bessent about another type of intervention.? Trump: The ultimate intervention is our military. And if we have to use that, we will.

Reporter on Bond Market: The yields have come back up since then. Have you talked to Bessent about another type of intervention.? Trump: The ultimate intervention is our military. And if we have to use that, we will.

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🇺🇸 The market is sending one clear signal, and it is not pointing to gold or Bitcoin. Financial Journalist, Interviewer, Founder & Host of David Lin Report David Lin breaks down why the dollar remains the world's dominant safe haven, even as the DXY quietly slipped from 101 back toward 98 in just three weeks. "Whenever there are global calamities, people flocked to treasuries in the dollar." When everything crashes together, the dollar is the last thing standing. David Lin

🇺🇸 The market is sending one clear signal, and it is not pointing to gold or Bitcoin. Financial Journalist, Interviewer, Founder & Host of David Lin Report David Lin breaks down why the dollar remains the world's dominant safe haven, even as the DXY quietly slipped from 101 back toward 98 in just three weeks. "Whenever there are global calamities, people flocked to treasuries in the dollar." When everything crashes together, the dollar is the last thing standing. David Lin

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🇺🇸 U.S. debt-to-GDP is allegedly heading to 130%, the level that has triggered sovereign debt crises in every major economy that crossed it. Financial journalist and host David Lin says the war is accelerating that timeline by years, with interest payments alone now the second largest line item in the federal budget after Social Security. America is paying more to service its debt than to defend itself. Lin's warning: the debt crisis has already arrived, the market just hasn't admitted it yet. David Lin

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🚨🇺🇸 “If we have to use the Military we will” Trump says the US military is the ultimate intervention to prevent US Dollar Collapse in relation to out of control Bond Yields. What he means is - any Country dumping US Treasury Bonds is in the firing line. We are getting close people ‼️‼️

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