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🚨 We are repeating 1995 dotcom bubble pattern literally 1:1 Over a decade in markets and I've never seen this many crash indicators flashing at once Start with the biggest one: the IPO wave. Everyone thinks the SpaceX trade is over, but it hasnt even started. Aug 6 will...

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🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

973,924 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO will pull liquidity from everything else. - Stocks. - Crypto. - High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

826,109 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO will pull liquidity from everything else. - Stocks. - Crypto. - High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

583,053 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

WhaleTwits

148,383 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO WILL BE A MASSIVE STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Rocket Lab. $RKLB went public in 2021 with massive space stock hype. Then it dumped 82.8% from its 2021 high to its 2022 low. Retail bought the future. Then reality hit. Now the same setup is coming again, but much bigger. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Rocket Lab dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO will pull liquidity from everything else. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

676,379 views • 2 months ago

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING TOMORROW!! In less than 24 hours, SpaceX goes public at a $1.80 TRILLION valuation. And in 10 years of trading, I have NEVER seen markets change the rules like this. Nasdaq, MSCI, and the biggest brokers in America all bent their own rules for ONE private company. The entire system suddenly became much easier to access. Fidelity reportedly dropped its minimum requirement from $500,000 to just $2,000. A 99.6% reduction. Ask yourself one question. Why do they suddenly want millions of retail investors involved right before the biggest IPO in history? Because somebody needs buyers. SpaceX reportedly reserved around 30% of the deal for retail. Almost 3 times the normal amount. And even then, demand is overwhelming supply. Now connect the dots. Everyone wants SpaceX. But money does NOT appear from nowhere. To buy $SPCX, people need cash. To get cash, they sell what they already own. → Stocks. → Crypto. → AI names. → High beta tech. Everything. And that is exactly what we are seeing right now. But that is not even the biggest part. SpaceX joins the Nasdaq 100 just 15 days after listing. Not 3 months. 15 days. That means billions of dollars of passive money will be forced to buy. Funds know this. They are positioning before it happens. This is NOT a normal IPO. This is one of the largest liquidity events in market history. We have seen this movie before. → 2000 Dotcom bubble. → 2021 SPAC mania. Massive hype. Massive demand. Then reality arrives. The question is simple. Are you buying the opportunity? Or are you becoming the exit liquidity? I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

228,962 views • 2 months ago

The largest IPO in history is also shaping up to be the largest exit liquidity operation in history SpaceX went public at more than 90x revenue, and the insiders who bought in at a fraction of today's price are about to start selling their shares to you. Let me walk you through why this IPO is built to separate retail investors from their money: SpaceX has NEVER turned a profit and lost close to $5 billion last year. At the offering you were paying more than 90x revenue and at the peak the market briefly valued it near 140x. 30 years ago the head of Sun Microsystems explained in detail why paying even 10x revenue almost always ends in tears, and he was right. But listen closely, because the valuation is not even the real story. The scarcity is what CREATED this valuation in the first place, and the calendar that kills the scarcity is what kills the price. Less than 5% of SpaceX shares were actually available to trade at the IPO. Then the index committees REWROTE their own rules to fast track the stock into the Nasdaq 100 just 15 trading days after listing, which forced every passive fund and index ETF in the country to buy at the exact moment the float was at its tightest. The Nasdaq inclusion alone forced an estimated $4.3 billion of buying, and the Russell reweighting added roughly $3 billion more. The supply was minuscule and the buying was mandatory. That's a manufactured squeeze, and it is why the stock went above $225 in its first week. Now watch what happens next, because this is the part they ain't explaining to you: The lockup was staggered on purpose, and the entire schedule is sitting in the prospectus for anyone who bothers to read it. In early August, right after Q2 earnings, 20% of the locked shares come free. Another 10% unlocks early if the stock trades 30% above the $135 IPO price going into the report. Then tranches of 7% hit the market at 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135 days after the IPO, which means fresh insider supply lands roughly every 2 to 3 weeks from late August through late October. Q3 earnings triggers the single biggest release of all, another 28%, roughly 1.3 billion shares. On December 8 the 180 day lockup expires entirely. And on June 12, 2027 comes the final wave, when Musk's own 6.4 billion shares, 42% of the whole company, become sellable for the first time. Add it all up and insiders could be free to sell as much as 44% of the company by early September, which would balloon the tradable float by roughly 900%. All of that supply lands on a stock the company deliberately packed with retail, because SpaceX reserved close to 30% of the offering for individual investors vs the usual 10%. This deal created over 4,400 paper millionaires inside the company. You think none of them are looking to cash out? Early holders are already loading up on puts to lock in what they have. First they keep the float tiny. Then they let the index rules force the world to buy at the top. Then they release a flood of insider stock into a crowd of retail buyers who were handed the shares up high. When the price finally breaks the offering level, the people who got in years ago at pennies on today's dollar will hit the bid, and the exit liquidity is your retirement account. And what are you actually left holding? Strip away the science fiction and the only business inside SpaceX that reliably earns money is Starlink, which produced $1.2 billion of operating income last quarter. A wonderful business worth hundreds of billions on its best day. NOT $2 trillion. Serious fair value work lands around $30 a share. Nobody has been a bigger bear on this deal than me. I called it out the moment it started trading, and it is already playing out on schedule as the shares have given back the entire squeeze and slipped below their opening print. I was Peter Lynch's auto analyst back in 1981 and I have watched every disaster since, and I am telling you this is one of the great wealth transfers of my lifetime packed into a fancy narrative. Tesla was the biggest misallocation of capital in the history of stock markets. SpaceX may have just surpassed it. SPCX goes straight onto my short list, and the beauty of this setup is that the catalyst is not a guess or something, it is literally a PUBLISHED CALENDAR. This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen.

George Noble

348,852 views • 1 month ago

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX will go public tomorrow at a $1.75T valuation. The biggest IPO in market history. And Wall Street just changed the rules right before it happens. I've been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen them rewrite the rules so urgently: IPO access now lowered from $500,000 to $2,000 (-99.6% cut). That means millions of investors can suddenly enter a deal and buy shares tomorrow. One day before the most expensive IPO in history. And suddenly... SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for regular investors. Three times the normal share. Why? Because retail investors need to buy what insiders sell. And here is the part most people are missing: SpaceX does not just create demand for SpaceX. It pulls liquidity out of everything else: - Retail sells stocks to chase the IPO. - Funds sell stocks to prepare for forced buying. - Brokers open access to generate demand. - Everyone needs cash at the same time. That is why the market is selling now. First, insiders create the hype. Then brokers open the gates. Then regular investors rush in. And by the time the crowd realizes what happened, the exit door is already closed. We’ve seen this before. 2000: Dotcom IPOs became the symbol of the bubble. Then Nasdaq collapsed 80%. 2021: SPACs, Coinbase, Robinhood, Rivian. Retail thought they were buying the future. They were buying the exit. Now the same playbook is back. Only this time, it is much bigger. When Wall Street cuts the entry ticket from $500K to $2K right before a $1.75T IPO, they are not giving retail a gift. They are creating buyers. Remember: Insiders need liquidity. Funds need allocation. The market needs a dream. And Wall Street needs someone to hold the bag. That is what tomorrow is really about. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,749,995 views • 2 months ago

🚨 THE BIGGEST IPO IN HISTORY HAS ONE UGLY THING IN COMMON WITH EVERY MARKET TOP This is not a theory. It happened for 100 YEARS. Goldman Sachs in 1928. Intel in 1971. AT&T in 2000. Every one looked like the opportunity of a lifetime. Every one came near a major market top. Every one was followed by a brutal correction. Funny how the biggest “once-in-a-generation” IPOs always show up when the market is already overheated. Probably nothing. Now look at the real problem nobody wants to talk about: A $2 TRILLION listing needs buyers. Buyers need cash. But cash on the sidelines is already sitting near historic lows. So where does the money actually come from? It doesn’t appear out of nowhere. It comes from selling what funds already own. That means: • Big tech gets sold • Indexes get rebalanced • Liquidity gets drained • Retail becomes the exit JPMorgan estimates passive funds may need to dump around $95 BILLION of the biggest tech stocks just to make room for SpaceX. Read that again. $95 BILLION in forced selling. At the exact same time retail is rushing in to buy the hype. And smart money already started moving first. Hedge funds were dumping big tech before the IPO even opened. That is not a coincidence. That is liquidity leaving the room. Now let me be very clear: SpaceX is not a bad company. It might be one of the most important companies ever built. But the best company and the best trade are NOT the same thing. The market doesn’t care about the mission. It cares about: • Liquidity • Positioning • Forced buyers • Forced sellers • Math And the math looks almost identical to every major top of the last 100 years. SpaceX might not mark the exact top. But history is screaming that we are very close to one. Most people will celebrate. Smart money will exit. Retail will realize it too late. Keep in mind: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for over 10 YEARS. I was one of the only people who called the top in October, and I’ll do it again. That’s literally my job. If you still haven’t followed me, you’ll regret it.

DANNY

59,469 views • 1 month ago

🚨 I WARNED YOU. $SPCX IS ENTERING A 6-MONTH "DEAD MONEY" PHASE. Everything is unfolding exactly the way I laid it out. SPCX is already showing cracks - and the real test hasn't even arrived. Let me put it in the simplest possible terms. Right now, only about 4% of SpaceX actually trades. The other 96% is locked up tight. That single fact is the entire reason the chart looks the way it does: a tiny sliver of stock is holding up a $2.7 trillion valuation after a 53% post-IPO melt-up. Insiders, employees, and early funds are all sitting on shares they're not allowed to sell. Yet. Late summer is where that changes. Once the Q2 report drops in late July, the first chunk of insider stock - roughly 20% comes unlocked. And it doesn't stop there: the tradable float is set to roughly double by late August, then keep bleeding open in tranches all the way to the full unlock in December. Sit with that math. Only ~4% trades today. By late August, that pool doubles - and it can start hitting the tape all at once. So who do they sell into? → Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream → Index funds forced to buy when MSCI added it on June 13 → Everyone who piled in after the pump If this feels familiar, it should. It's the exact playbook crypto ran for years: tiny float → enormous valuation → index inclusion → forced buyers → then the unlock cliff arrives and reality catches up. The only difference is SpaceX is running it at a $2.7 trillion price tag. We even have the blueprint. Facebook's 2012 IPO used the same staggered-lockup trick - and the stock was down 40%+ by the time those releases finished. Most people are still staring at the pump. I'm already looking at the calendar. The first exit door swings open in late July - and the last buyer in always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. I shorted BTC from six figures last October. This next one is the biggest call yet. Follow and turn notifications on. I post before the headlines catch up.

Shelpid.WI3M

232,032 views • 1 month ago

🚨 THE US REGULATORY SYSTEM JUST BROKE In 48 hours, SpaceX goes public at $1.77 TRILLION - the biggest IPO ever I've been trading for over a decade, and I have never seen them rewrite the rulebook like this Nasdaq, MSCI, and the biggest brokers in America all bent their own rules for ONE private company That doesn't happen by accident Let me show you exactly what they did: First, Fidelity dropped its minimum account size from $500,000 to $2,000 A 99.6% cut Think about that: The most exclusive door on Wall Street, thrown wide open to millions of small investors - days before the biggest debut in history. Ask yourself one question Why do they suddenly want YOU in? Because somebody needs people to sell to. SpaceX reserved 30% of the deal for retail THREE TIMES the normal share And even then, most people didn't get a full allocation. So to grab more at Thursday's open, they're dumping everything else TODAY to raise cash. That's half of the selling you're seeing. The other half? The smart money front-running July. Here's the trick: SpaceX doesn't join the Nasdaq 100 on day one. It joins 15 days later, because Nasdaq cut its own waiting period from 3 months to 15 days Just for this. The moment it joins, every QQQ fund on Earth is FORCED to buy. $22–27 billion in automatic buying. Translation: imagine 50 buses all forced to pull into the same gas station on the same morning. The funds know the stampede is coming. So they're selling now to free up cash for it. Retail selling. Institutions selling. At the exact same time. THAT is your selloff. Now here's the part nobody will say out loud: When the most connected money on the planet builds a $1.7T exit door and hands the keys to the smallest investors in the market… That's NOT generosity That's distribution at the top. We've seen this movie twice: ➮ 2000 Dotcom ➮ 2021 SPAC mania Insiders cash out at insane valuations while the crowd chases the hype. The math ain't mathing. So you've got two choices in the next 48 hours: Chase the most expensive IPO in history at the open… Or read the prospectus and realize you might BE the exit. The next few days will be INSANE, but don't worry - I'll break down every move as it happens, like I always do. Like it or not, I called every major top and bottom of the last decade publicly. I'll call this one too. Many people are going to wish they followed me before June 12, 2026. Soon, you'll understand why.

Reflection🪩

4,967,213 views • 2 months ago

🚨 THE US REGULATORY SYSTEM JUST BROKE In 48 hours, SpaceX goes public at $1.77 TRILLION - the biggest IPO ever I've been trading for over a decade, and I have never seen them rewrite the rulebook like this Nasdaq, MSCI, and the biggest brokers in America all bent their own rules for ONE private company That doesn't happen by accident Let me show you exactly what they did: First, Fidelity dropped its minimum account size from $500,000 to $2,000 A 99.6% cut Think about that: The most exclusive door on Wall Street, thrown wide open to millions of small investors - days before the biggest debut in history. Ask yourself one question Why do they suddenly want YOU in? Because somebody needs people to sell to. SpaceX reserved 30% of the deal for retail THREE TIMES the normal share And even then, most people didn't get a full allocation. So to grab more at Thursday's open, they're dumping everything else TODAY to raise cash. That's half of the selling you're seeing. The other half? The smart money front-running July. Here's the trick: SpaceX doesn't join the Nasdaq 100 on day one. It joins 15 days later, because Nasdaq cut its own waiting period from 3 months to 15 days Just for this. The moment it joins, every QQQ fund on Earth is FORCED to buy. $22–27 billion in automatic buying. Translation: imagine 50 buses all forced to pull into the same gas station on the same morning. The funds know the stampede is coming. So they're selling now to free up cash for it. Retail selling. Institutions selling. At the exact same time. THAT is your selloff. Now here's the part nobody will say out loud: When the most connected money on the planet builds a $1.7T exit door and hands the keys to the smallest investors in the market… That's NOT generosity That's distribution at the top. We've seen this movie twice: ➮ 2000 Dotcom ➮ 2021 SPAC mania Insiders cash out at insane valuations while the crowd chases the hype. The math ain't mathing. So you've got two choices in the next 48 hours: Chase the most expensive IPO in history at the open… Or read the prospectus and realize you might BE the exit. The next few days will be INSANE, but don't worry - I'll break down every move as it happens, like I always do. Like it or not, I called every major top and bottom of the last decade publicly. I'll call this one too. Many people are going to wish they followed me before June 12, 2026. Soon, you'll understand why.

WhaleTwits

13,406 views • 2 months ago

🚨 THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL BREAK THE MARKET... The most dangerous IPO in history is coming tomorrow. $1,800,000,000,000 valuation. One company. One date. One IPO that changes everything. Been in these markets for a decade. Never seen institutions rewrite their own rules for a single listing. Nasdaq cut its own inclusion waiting period from 3 months to 15 days. Fidelity slashed minimum account requirements by 99.6%. 30% of the deal reserved for retail nearly triple the industry standard. None of this is generosity. All of it has one purpose. Someone needs buyers at $1.8 trillion. Here's the mechanism retail isn't seeing: Money doesn't materialize from air. Every dollar flowing into SpaceX tomorrow gets pulled from something else: - Crypto - Stocks - AI companies - Leveraged positions - Bonds That's the selling happening across markets right now. People liquidating everything to free up cash for one trade. And it gets even worse after the launch. SpaceX enters Nasdaq 100 fifteen days post-IPO. Every passive fund on earth gets forced to buy automatically. Tens of billions in mandatory purchasing concentrated into one window. Institutions already know the stampede is coming. So they're positioning before the forced buyers arrive. Then selling into that buying pressure with perfect timing. Dot-Com in 2000 had the same structure. Biggest IPO wave in history -> retail piling in -> insiders walking out. SPAC mania in 2021 repeated the same cycle at smaller scale. SpaceX is both of those combined and then some. Tomorrow you're either reading the prospectus or you're in it. This sounds SCARY, but I'll keep you updated on everything here. When I rotate money, I will post my moves here so my FOLLOWERS can SAVE their money. Follow me and turn NOTIFICATIONS ON, as I will share my strategy soon. Many will regret not following me earlier...

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

32,726 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: THE SPACEX IPO IS THE BIGGEST TRAP OF 2026 Read this post carefully before buying SpaceX shares In 4 days, $SPCX will debut on Nasdaq The biggest IPO in history, with a valuation of around $1.8 trillion You may have noticed that demand has already exceeded $150 billion, while the public float is only 4-5% And I wouldn't rule out the possibility that the stock could easily jump 20-50% in the first days or weeks purely because of FOMO and the limited share supply But after that, the picture could change dramatically! 1. SpaceX didn't use the standard 180-day lock-up Instead, the S-1 includes a phased unlock schedule Insiders, employees, and early investors will be able to sell shares in stages starting in August: - August 21 (70 days) - +7% - September 10 (90 days) - +7% - September 25 (105 days) - +7% - October 10 (120 days) - +7% - October 25 (135 days) - +7% 2. On top of that, they removed the profitability requirement and are adding SpaceX to major indexes just 5 days after the IPO, while the usual waiting period is 90 days That forces 401(k) pension funds and passive index funds to buy SpaceX shares at inflated IPO prices and keep holding them throughout any decline 3. On top of that, there are major share releases after the Q2 earnings report (August) and Q3 earnings report (November) If the stock is trading 30% above the IPO price after Q2, a performance bonus will kick in and another +10% will be unlocked This staggered selling structure reduces the chance of one massive crash, but it creates several waves of selling pressure between August and November For comparison: when Meta went public in 2012 (one of the top 3 largest IPO in U.S. history, with a $104 billion valuation) The stock fell more than 60% within a few months after the IPO due to lock-up expirations and market concerns about its ability to monetize its business And there's one very important thing you need to remember! 4. The company is still unprofitable, posting roughly a $4.9 billion net loss in 2025 Passive funds (Nasdaq-100) will become forced buyers, but at the first sign of bad news they'll become forced sellers That's why I'm warning you not to become exit liquidity for insiders and VCs who have already made huge money from private funding rounds In the short term, the IPO looks very attractive for traders who know how to speculate But if you're planning to hold, you need to clearly understand this: August through November could bring serious volatility and a major correction I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

202,426 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING!! Everyone thought the biggest risk was $SPCX IPO day. WRONG. This is NOT just about SpaceX. → SpaceX valuation: around $2.3 TRILLION → Anthropic valuation: around $965 BILLION → OpenAI valuation: around $1 TRILLION That's almost $4 TRILLION of private market hype trying to enter public markets near the same cycle top. And if you think everything is over and we are going higher, YOU ARE COMPLETELY WRONG. Because after the IPO, everyone finally sees the same thing: SpaceX demand is massive. Retail wants more. Funds want more. Institutions want more. But money does NOT appear from nowhere. To buy more $SPCX, they need cash. And to get cash, they sell what they already own. → Stocks → Crypto → AI names → High beta tech Everything retail is already holding. This is NOT just an IPO. This is a liquidity black hole. Every IPO needs buyers. Every buyer needs cash. And cash does NOT appear from nowhere. Everyone who did NOT get enough allocation will chase $SPCX on Monday. Funds want exposure. Retail wants exposure. Institutions want exposure. But everyone needs dollars first. And when everyone needs dollars at the same time, markets do NOT rotate calmly. They dump what is liquid first. Bitcoin is liquid. Tech is liquid. AI stocks are liquid. That is the real danger. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. → LIGHT SHOCK: people sell small positions on Monday, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. → HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash after the $SPCX IPO, high beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. → WORST CASE: everyone rushes into $SPCX on Monday at the same time, liquidity disappears from crowded trades, stocks dump HARD, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. But the worst part is simple. This is only the first one. Anthropic and OpenAI are still ahead. Markets are NOT pricing this liquidity drain yet. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

52,090 views • 2 months ago