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We asked Saman Farid about reshoring American manufacturing. "Industrializing is a 20-year journey minimum and probably much more." "We have 250,000 factories in America but not the labor force to support them. Most factories are sitting around collecting dust." "It comes down to the fact that there aren't people...

22,059 просмотров • 1 год назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 9

Фото профиля Saman Farid
Saman Farid1 год назад

Radical abundance requires radically faster robot adoption. LFG

Фото профиля The Washington Post
The Washington Post1 год назад

Here’s what could get more expensive with Trump’s new tariffs.

Фото профиля Paul Boris
Paul Boris1 год назад

@samanfarid This is the worst take, but logical from someone who is convinced the solution to labor is a humanoid form robot.

Фото профиля Juan P Ochoa
Juan P Ochoa1 год назад

@samanfarid I’m a H2B visa agent and have the ability to contract foreign workers and Bri g to travel USA jobs I’m all ears!!!

Фото профиля GregCostigan 📈
GregCostigan 📈1 год назад

@samanfarid You have to start sometime

Фото профиля Steve Place
Steve Place1 год назад

@Indian_Bronson @samanfarid 3 years

Фото профиля Steven Lurie
Steven Lurie1 год назад

@samanfarid Great insights

Фото профиля Nick
Nick1 год назад

@aphysicist @samanfarid How did China do it so quickly? They either did it very quickly, OR they had deals in place since the 80s to do it. Which would mean our politicians sold us out long before we thought.

Фото профиля Saman Farid
Saman Farid1 год назад

For anyone curious what the robot army is going to look like:

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People don't realize that factories in Asia and factories in the USA are totally different. I think AI is going to help the Asian factories much more than the American ones. Factories in Asia are high mix. Factories in the USA are low mix. This means that factories in the USA make significantly fewer products, whereas factories in Asia are way more flexible, mainly because of the huge differential in labor costs. The gigafactory in Austin, one of the biggest factories in the world, makes 2 products: Tesla Model Y The Cybertruck That's it. The factory in the video makes 1000s of different products every year. When you're making the same thing over and over again, maybe in a few different colors, you're much better off using normal automation which is lower error than AI and human design. But when you're making 1000s of different products, using AI to spin up product 1001 starts to kind of make sense. There is not time or logic to using traditional automation; you're better off using AI to make a fast quality control mechanism and then repair errors using your inexpensive human labor. People are viewing AI in factories like there is one type of factory, but the way factories run in high cost countries vs. low cost countries is wildly different. We're just at the beginning of what will be an epic change for not only manufacturing, but the cost and quality of the goods we consume. The real internet of things has arrived.

molson 🧠⚙️

66,129 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

Barry Sternlicht recently gave a VERY insightful interview about tariffs and what it means for real estate prices - what he said is troubling: "The promotion of American manufacturing is a great idea, but we are not a manufacturing nation... We only have 13 million jobs of 160 million in manufacturing, and we're running a 4% unemployment rate. So I'm not sure who's going to work in all these factories. We're going to need some really quick efforts from Musk and Zuckerberg in robotics to actually build, have people work in these factories. Americans don't want to do that. That's not the jobs that they're interested in taking today... I think the tariffs are super complicated... I do think the focus should be on China. We run a $250 billion trade deficit with China... China is [the] second largest economy in the world with a fixed currency. And that alone is not right. That currency should go up and down with trade flows like every other major currency. So you start there. And I don't think the tariffs are tactical. And the if you put them in place, as [Trump] just did with steel tariffs, American companies will raise prices. So it is very inflationary. And for real estate, it's really bad. [For example] we need [Canada's] lumber. Or we can chop down our own trees but it's a bad thing. We run an equal trade deficit with Canada other than oil but we use their oil... if we don't buy it, they're going to ship it to Asia. For existing owners [of real estate], it's good because to build a new building will be more expensive. So the existing office stock, the existing apartment stock is going to be worth more. But it's bad because the numbers won't work to create new [buildings]. You won't be able to build anything. We already have a four to five million unit housing shortage... And you're seeing it in the sentiment of the builders that they're nervous. Everyone's a little nervous."

Triple Net Investor

177,868 просмотров • 1 год назад