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We have a problem! There's a huge token rug pull coming. Right now, Claude and Codex max subscriptions are SUPER generous, and it won't last. We've seen it before: - First, a huge AI credit giveaway. - Then the models get dumber. - Credits start running out faster. -...

58,983 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

37 Kommentare

Profilbild von Simon Høiberg
Simon Høibergvor 2 Monaten

Local intelligence is advancing FAST. Here's what I'm doing. Full video here 👇

Profilbild von Kamal💡
Kamal💡vor 2 Monaten

Free buffet. Everyone’s rebuilding their workflow around all-you-can-eat tokens, then one day Anthropic hands you the à la carte menu.

Profilbild von Simon Høiberg
Simon Høibergvor 2 Monaten

AI reply - but yeah basically spot on 😁

Profilbild von Kamal💡
Kamal💡vor 2 Monaten

😂 The bill always arrives eventually

Profilbild von Robby Frank
Robby Frankvor 2 Monaten

I have 5 Claude $200 accounts Milk it while you can!

Profilbild von Mihovil Ilakovac
Mihovil Ilakovacvor 2 Monaten

I assume something like DeepSeek v4 or the new GLM 5.3 are the answer. Local compute is not there yet (at least I'm not ready to invest) but you gotta use something. So cloud LLMs that are cheap enough for realistic API usage?

Profilbild von The Canaanite
The Canaanitevor 2 Monaten

Nah, with Chinese labs just trailing behind in capability, and with new chips and performance advances, the price will remain low for subs.

Profilbild von Gideon
Gideonvor 2 Monaten

Interesting post, I feel like I’ve definitely seen this, especially the token changes and models getting dumber while they say they’re getting smarter My Claude sessions are making many dumb mistakes and guessing quite a lot lately

Profilbild von mslv
mslvvor 2 Monaten

Worst case scenario we’re left with super cheap open weights models that are capable enough to be productive with them.

Profilbild von andrei saioc
andrei saiocvor 2 Monaten

i dont think so, there are so many alternatives especially chinesse companies, that anthropic and openai cant afford to raise prices

Profilbild von Vlad
Vladvor 2 Monaten

Local AI is the way to go, have to start putting money a side for GPU and ram.

Profilbild von Mark Shust
Mark Shustvor 2 Monaten

I don't buy this... all trends are pointing to lower and lower costs as these AI companies can subsidize for YEARS. Anthropic is even trying to make their 50% token increase permanent (they already made the 25% increase permanent).

Profilbild von Tundra
Tundravor 2 Monaten

It’s not a problem bro, nobody is using this amount of usage this is like the top 0.5% of users

Profilbild von User
Uservor 2 Monaten

Yeah, the subscription models will go extinct.

Profilbild von noel
noelvor 2 Monaten

i think you are neglecting the margins they got on top of that api pricing. i cannot expect them to be losing that much money on subscriptions. i'd assume that they are covering the raw inference costs (training not included).

Profilbild von Nico Delgado
Nico Delgadovor 2 Monaten

No bro. They building em datacenterz

Profilbild von OldSchoolGamerP
OldSchoolGamerPvor 2 Monaten

I don't see this as a problem.

Profilbild von Black Eyed Hat Man
Black Eyed Hat Manvor 2 Monaten

now, you know why there's so many SV jokes about this if EU 🇪🇺 has farming subsidies, China 🇨🇳 devalues its currency - team America 🇺🇸 has it's start-ups + VC's nothing new...

Profilbild von Dee March
Dee Marchvor 2 Monaten

So true

Profilbild von Haseeb Mir
Haseeb Mirvor 2 Monaten

Why not use DeepSeek V4 Flash? its best model imo

Profilbild von Usama Ejaz
Usama Ejazvor 2 Monaten

I'd test the whole product on the stingiest plan before getting comfortable.

Profilbild von ꧁هههf0xههه꧂
꧁هههf0xههه꧂vor 2 Monaten

They still want training data in 2027.

Profilbild von Atta 🐬
Atta 🐬vor 2 Monaten

yes, the limits have already changed a few times this year. I do not expect the current price to hold.

Profilbild von Yonathan Seleshi
Yonathan Seleshivor 2 Monaten

This is why open weight models and local AI are going to become much more popular in the future. You can see it coming.

Profilbild von Nathaniel Daniels
Nathaniel Danielsvor 2 Monaten

Then China will win, simple as that.

Profilbild von Grandma Eagle
Grandma Eaglevor 2 Monaten

Yep, ollama already changed their policy on pricing yesterday

Profilbild von Siam
Siamvor 2 Monaten

if one pricing change can break the product economics, the business probably needs more room in the margins.

Profilbild von Albert @YZ9YT
Albert @YZ9YTvor 2 Monaten

Try Kimi

Profilbild von Aitor Ruiz | Building with AI
Aitor Ruiz | Building with AIvor 2 Monaten

Tan generosas que Anthropic nos ha estado estafando con la x20

Profilbild von Geoff Langenderfer
Geoff Langenderfervor 2 Monaten

models are getting smarter and more compute is coming online this is the worst they'll ever be

Profilbild von Wesman
Wesmanvor 2 Monaten

Great video! Not enough people are talking about this.

Profilbild von Carlo Capocasa
Carlo Capocasavor 2 Monaten

This is only going to get worse, and the only real option is to push back by switching to Chinese compute, as frugally as possible.

Profilbild von Spenc61
Spenc61vor 2 Monaten

Why local is a smart investment. You have to be using both local and API

Profilbild von Stephen J Ronan MD
Stephen J Ronan MDvor 2 Monaten

You have an alternative. Hardware. Lots of hardware.

Profilbild von Slavik Nomad
Slavik Nomadvor 2 Monaten

Yep exactly, super valid points. AI is super addictive, but still if you were to outsource jobs that AI does for employees, would cost you similar to full API plan per month. Maybe this should be new concept of usefulness factor. Compare expenses from employing real people vs what AI is doing, your business would need to be profitable on the much larger scale. If free plans disappear automatically the low iq slop that everyone is generating right now will disappear quickly, even if we take into the consideration stabilization of economy after experiencing artificial intelligence. The pure knowledge like open source, open weights that is good thing and it should be free. But the physical hardware, the running of neural networks (the intelligence) should be paid for, doesn't matter if it's API or if you buy local home hardware. I would argue that cost of plans and APIs are super important because it's a natural selection of sort, prefiltering factor. If it's free for majority of individuals it's like giving a monkey automatic AK47. Not good thing

Profilbild von Vishesh Baghel
Vishesh Baghelvor 2 Monaten

the window to build good habits is now, before the constraints force bad ones.

Profilbild von Jag
Jagvor 2 Monaten

Why not mix different models subscription $30 each and use pi as the coordinator? Pi can communicate with antigravity, codex, claude code and cursor cli

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