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Weather trading Clawdbots making thousands $ on Polymarket by simple arbitrage. Scanning weather markets every 2 mins and comparing data to NOAA forecast for location/date If they see undervalued temperature bucket ( Run your clawdbot in 5 simple steps: • install clawdbot on mac/pc using oneliner code • connect...

1,407,044 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🚨This is insane… this guy built a clawdbot that flipped $69 into $1M+ on POLYMARKET Sounds insane? 100%. Fake? Not even remotely. If you trade on Polymarket, this should have YOUR focus. A fresh wallet just surfaced with 22,173 resolved predictions and $1,013,168 in PNL It trades strictly in NEW 5-minute & 15-minute crypto markets Profile → COPYTRADE → Weekly profit is sitting around ~$100,000 And what powers it is almost offensively simple I reviewed the entire setup No sophisticated ML stacks No institutional-grade systems No complex data pipelines Just automated execution paired with statistical edge His COMPLETE playbook: 1. Ultra-short timeframes Only 5-min Up/Down contracts. Locked into 5 & 15m markets exclusively. Clawdbot-style execution framework. Pure intraday momentum extraction. No swing positions. No storytelling. Just speed and repetition 2. Order splitting + micro sizing Every position is broken into multiple small entries. Fixed predefined size per fill. Size scales only when conviction increases. This limits drawdowns and smooths the equity curve 3. Probability farming The model doesn’t hunt for moonshots. It stacks small mathematical edges. Over thousands of trades = that compounds into six figures monthly Largest trade so far: “Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 5-6AM ET” $13,320 → $36,887 (+176%) Now the important part: This can be replicated cursor + py-clob-client + python install the SDK generate Polymarket API keys define the Clawdbot strategy prompt AI builds the Clawdbot execution logic paper test with $1 You don’t need elite discretionary skill Bottom line Why are you still trading manually while automated systems run 24/7?

Shelpid.WI3M

10,486 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

My friend said you will never make real money on Internet. A month later I sent him this profile. $38,700 profit in one month. He asked me to explain how. I did not reply. But I will tell you: NOAA is not the weather app on your phone. It is a federal supercomputer with 40 years of satellite data running atmospheric models 24/7. Forecast accuracy at 24-48 hours: above 94%. Meanwhile people on Polymarket open AccuWeather and guess. The gap between them is the profit. NYC, Saturday: NOAA says 93% chance of hitting 74°F. Polymarket is selling that bucket at 9 cents. Clawdbot spots that gap in seconds. Buys at 9 cents. Science is right. Market corrects to 54 cents. Sells. 6x return on weather without a single prediction. I gave the bot $100 and went to sleep. By morning it had already made 31 trades while I was resting. Dallas heatwave. Chicago cold snap. Miami humidity bucket. Every 2 minutes it scans 6 cities looking for where the market disagrees with science. Only buys below 15 cents. Only sells above 45 cents. Never more than $2 per position. Risk always under control. This is not trading. It is arbitrage between people with a phone and a NASA supercomputer. 3,100+ trades 79% win rate +$38,700 in one month starting with $100 My friend still thinks you cannot make real money on Polymarket. Clawdbot has already made money off his ignorance. I built the entire framework: NOAA API integration Weather bucket mispricing detection Automated position sizing 6-city continuous scanning Arbitrage execution layer The system runs 24/7. Finds where science disagrees with the crowd. Executes before the gap closes. No emotions. No predictions. Just data arbitrage. You only need Claude + device + 1 hour per day. Giving this free for 24 hours. To get it: 1. Comment the word Claude 2. Like and retweet this 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar so I can DM you Save this post. Deploy the NOAA arbitrage system this week. Start with $100. Scale on evidence.

Himanshu Kumar

35,175 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

8 free Polymarket Trading Bots on GitHub (from Beginner Friendly to Advanced Level). Each of these repos comes with a detailed step by step setup and usage guide in English. > Beginner Level - 5 min setup 1. This bot includes 120 ready to use strategies and tools for trading on prediction markets (Binance-Polymarket latency, Smart Routing, Penny Clipper, Momentum, DCA bots, Expiry Fade and more). It was built by a Cambridge computer science student who won a hackathon with this bot. GitHub: 2. A trading bot with a Smart Money strategy - it finds top traders in selected markets, filters them by Pnl, win rate, stable performance and then creates a list for automated copy trading. GitHub: 3. This is a bot toolkit that includes Polymarket - Kalshi arbitrage, whale alerts, market making, spread farming, sports trading and more. GitHub: 4. A weather trading bot from Chinese dev that analyzes different sources in real time, like forecasts, airport data and aviation observations (METAR + SPECI) to get the latest temperature data and generate a detailed weather report for a specific city and day. GitHub: 5. A huge collection of 30+ free trading bots and services for prediction markets. GitHub: > Advanced bot setup 1. This bot analyzes the real trading behavior of any Polymarket trader. It finds repeated patterns in his trades, shows which strategies he uses and helps you understand how to adapt them to your own trading. GitHub: 2. A bot that automatically manages all your limit orders on Polymarket to maximize liquidity rewards. GitHub: > A full ML weather model 1. A machine learning weather model that learns from weather forecasting errors. Instead of blindly trusting forecasts, it analyzes how different weather sources have historically overestimated or underestimated temperature values in specific cities and conditions. Then it automatically adjusts new forecasts to produce more accurate predictions. GitHub: All of these bots also support Dry Run mode, so you can test them on real markets without risking any funds.

Recogard

56,113 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason. Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow. I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you. Here is a small list of traders 1. gopfan2 ( - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable 2. enzocostapt81 ( is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London. 3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 ( 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto—focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges. 4. meropi ( - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather 5. 1pixel ( – $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London) 6. erb80 ( Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one) 7. Hans323 ( - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year 8. securebet ( - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data 9. automatedAItradingbot ( Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather 1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders Tools and Automation > ( - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets. > ( — Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules >Tropical Tidbits ( - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high >Climate Reanalyzer ( - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities >Windy ( - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online ( - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction ? >Center ( - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center ( - long-term ENSO, droughts >Open-Meteo ( - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations. >OpenWeatherMap ( = Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution. >Visual Crossing Weather ( - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities >WeatherAPI. com ( - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed. Quick Tips for Using These in Trading >>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢. >>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages. >>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

Aleiah

77,276 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🚨BREAKING… the top-performing 5m & 15m Polymarket Clawdbot setup just became public Sounds insane? 100%. Unreal? NOT at all. If you’re active on Polymarket, this should have your FULL attention. A random late night turned into a small wallet launching a fully automated machine that expanded into ~$1.6M in profit No insider access No affiliation with the Polymarket team Just a developer operating a bot directly connected to Polymarket Profile → Copytrade → I monitored this wallet for weeks and honestly, it barely looked real No narrative setups No discretionary decisions Zero manual execution Everything is fully automated His FULL strategy: 1. 5 & 15-minute BTC & ETH latency arbitrage The bot trades ultra-short Bitcoin and Ethereum markets with 5 & 15-minute expirations - and similar logic applies to fast 5m markets often associated with Clawdbot-style execution. When BTC moves on Binance, Polymarket pricing reacts slower. For around 30 seconds, odds reflect stale data. The system enters during that gap, when YES + NO combined is below $1, waits for repricing, and exits the moment the market corrects. No predictions, no bias - just harvesting mispriced odds 2. Automation over reaction When volatility spikes, humans pause. The system doesn’t. It triggers instantly when the window opens. No emotion, no hesitation, no missed fills. By the time manual traders click, the inefficiency has already disappeared 3. Scale through repetition Each trade earns small spreads, not headline wins. But automation allows continuous execution at scale, every 15 minutes - and on faster 5m rotations running 24/7 without burnout Scale is the edge 19,021 trades placed - irrelevant on their own. Together, they compounded into $1,624,305 in profit, with a largest single gain of $48K and an equity curve that trends almost vertically Bottom line Bots are already competing in a quiet arms race on Polymarket, especially across 5m and 15m markets where Clawdbot-style systems dominate Most traders try to forecast what’s next These systems monetize inefficiencies in real time And as long as latency and structural gaps exist, autonomous bots will continue extracting value

Shelpid.WI3M

225,724 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason. Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow. I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you. Here is a small list of traders 1. gopfan2 ( - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable 2. enzocostapt81 ( is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London. 3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 ( 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto-focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges. 4. meropi ( - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather 5. 1pixel ( - $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London) 6. erb80 ( Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one) 7. Hans323 ( - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year 8. securebet ( - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data 9. automatedAItradingbot ( Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather 1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders Tools and Automation > - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets. > - Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules > - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high > - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities > - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction > - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center - long-term ENSO, droughts > - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations. > - Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution. > - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities > - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed. Quick Tips for Using These in Trading >>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢. >>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages. >>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

Valentin

17,067 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This trader reportedly generated $4M in profit trading on Polymarket with ClawdBot Starting with just $1,000, the script scaled up to millions through automated trading If you trade on Polymarket, be sure to read this to simplify your trading with ClawdBot Without any insider connections or 10 years of programming experience, this trader wrote the script and connected Moltbot (Clawdbot) directly to Polymarket Profile → Copy trading → After reviewing the code, it was surprising how simple the core idea looked The bot runs fully autonomously, without constant human involvement Here is the strategy 1. 15-minute BTC & ETH micro-arbitrage The strategy focuses on very short-term Bitcoin and Ethereum markets with 15-minute contracts. In these rapid markets, brief pricing gaps often appear where the combined cost of YES and NO is below $1. A bot connected directly to Polymarket detects and exploits these gaps instantly, it doesn’t try to predict direction or analyze trends, it simply reacts to pricing inefficiencies. 2. Speed over hesitation During volatile moments, human traders often pause or second-guess. An automated system doesn’t. Orders are executed automatically: no hesitation, no emotional bias, no lag in response. By the time a person evaluates the situation, the opportunity usually no longer exists. 3. Automation enables scale The gains per trade are tiny, often just cents. But constant, uninterrupted execution allows the system to repeat the same edge thousands of times without fatigue, turning small margins into meaningful totals over time. Scale becomes the real edge Nearly 6,000 trades were executed. Individually they seemed minor. Collectively they resulted in close to $100K in net profit. Conclusion A quiet bot race already seems to be happening on Polymarket While people debate entries and opinions, automated systems profit from mechanics and speed. As long as structural inefficiencies remain in the market, autonomous setups will likely continue extracting value quietly and consistently. I’m watching this space closely Follow if you want signal, not noise

winkle.

36,628 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨 BREAKING… $100K profit in one month with Clawdbot and Polymarket, code did the work This is a REAL setup with REAL outcomes. Relevant for ANYONE trading on Polymarket. He took a small initial position, let Clawdbot handle operations, and grew it into a ~$100K outcome No secret connections No high-profile backing Just a dev who connected Moltbot (Clawdbot) straight to Polymarket Profile → Copytrade → After reviewing the system, I was genuinely surprised No hype-driven plays No subjective calls Everything runs without a human in the loop Execution runs on its own, no manual layer FULL strategy overview: 1. 15-minute BTC & ETH micro-arbitrage The system operates on short-window Bitcoin and Ethereum markets using 15-minute intervals. In these fast-moving contracts, brief mispricings appear when YES and NO combined dip below $1. With Moltbot (Clawdbot) wired directly into Polymarket, those gaps are seized instantly - no forecasting, no directional bets, no bias 2. Execution beats reaction When volatility surges and traders hesitate, the system doesn’t. Orders are placed mechanically, with no pauses, no emotional friction, and no execution lag. By the time humans notice the move, the edge has already closed 3. Autonomy enables scale Each cycle captures pennies, not big wins. But uninterrupted operation allows the process to repeat relentlessly, at high frequency, without burnout or slowdown compounding small edges into meaningful results Scale is the edge 5,978 executions. Each one trivial in isolation. Taken together, they snowballed into just under $100K in profit The takeaway In my view, a low-key bot arms race is already underway on Polymarket Humans debate entries Systems capitalize on mechanics And while structural inefficiencies remain, autonomous setups will continue to extract value-quietly, relentlessly I track this space closely. FOLLOW if you want signal, not noise.

Shelpid.WI3M

485,943 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Claude and a free weather API will earn you $100k+. Success rate for beginners: 80%. Complete guide and algorithm for building Polymarket weather trading bot. Simple logic, a low entry budget and high ROI -that’s why weather bots are so clean. Onchain proof these bots exist: 1st bot: 2nd bot: I verified their profitability by myself copying every trade - each bot's win rate over time ranges from 80 to 90%. I grew my starting capital by +40% in just one week. You can copy their trades and see for yourself in two clicks through this bot: The alpha is simple: you're not trading weather. You're trading other people's ignorance. Gap between what the crowd prices and what 51 ensemble models say. Polymarket asks: "Will Atlanta hit 95°F tomorrow?" Normies bet on vibes. You bet on math. The core tool: Open-Meteo API. Free. No key needed. 51-model ensemble. Clean JSON. Cooked and ready. Update every 30 min. Hardcode your city coordinates - don't waste time on geocoding at runtime. This single endpoint beats most paid tools for what Polymarket actually needs. The edge in one sentence: Market is heavy on 16°C. Your 51-model ensemble points at 19°C. That's your trade. Find that gap systematically across every city market, every day - and you have a scanner. That's what separates consistent traders from gamblers. How to start: - Week 1: Open-Meteo + tropicaltidbits. Pick one city market. Track model vs market price daily. Don't trade yet — just watch where you'd have been right. - Weeks 2–3: Automate the pull. Log ensemble divergences. Build the scanner. - Week 4: Now you have an edge. Trade it. Most people want to skip to week 4. That's exactly why most people lose. Now you have the algorithm framework plus a complete guide to get started. All that's left is to actually do it. Bookmark this post so you can come back to it when you start building the bot.

cvxv666

50,509 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

My pilot friend told me he gets a weather update 12 hours before any public forecast. I asked him, do you trade on Polymarket? He laughed. Then went quiet. We were at a bar last Friday. He had just landed from Frankfurt. I was complaining about a losing streak on weather markets. Then between sips he said something that made me put my glass down. "You are betting on weather using weathercom? That is like trading stocks using yesterday newspaper." He pulled out his phone and showed me an app I had never seen. A wall of codes. METAR. TAF. SIGMET. Temperature to the tenth of a degree. Wind speed. Pressure systems. Cloud ceiling. Updated every 1 to 3 hours. We get this before every flight. Directly from meteorological stations. Not forecasts. Observations. Real readings from real sensors. Every pilot in the world has access to this. Aviation safety requires it. But nobody outside of aviation ever looks at it. He went back to his beer. For him this was routine. I sat there doing math in my head. If aviation data updates every 1 to 3 hours and Polymarket odds on weather markets lag behind reality, how big is that window? I do not know the exact delay. But from what I have seen trading these markets the prices sometimes feel hours behind what the actual forecast already says. That means someone with faster data could be buying YES at 10 to 15 cents when the real probability is already way higher. Not predicting the weather. Just reading it before the market does. I went home. Could not sleep. Opened Polymarket and started searching. If this edge exists, someone must already be using it. It took me forty minutes of digging through weather wallets to find what I was looking for. → His profile: This wallet started at -$47. The balance now: over $27,000. Every single position is weather. Temperature in Dallas. Rain in Buenos Aires. Whether London will hit 11 degrees on a Tuesday. The win rate sits at 76.6%. Three out of four bets land green. Most entries cost pennies. 2 to 5 cents per share. When the bet loses the damage is tiny, $50 gone. When it wins the payout is the full dollar. One win covers $500. Sometimes $5,000. At 76% accuracy with that payout ratio the math speaks for itself. I checked the entry timing on this wallet. It is not a millisecond bot racing against HFT. Positions stay open for hours. Sometimes a full day. You can see the wallet move and follow it. No server farms. No Python scripts. No race against latency. Last night I texted my pilot friend. Told him I found a wallet doing exactly what he described, pennies in, thousands out, all weather. He read the message. Typing indicator appeared. Disappeared. Appeared again. "Yeah. I know." He never said anything else about it. Right now a meteorological station somewhere is updating a reading. A pilot is glancing at it before pushback. From what I have seen, there is usually still a window.

Blaze

825,626 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

I rebuilt my Polymarket weather bot Launched a simulation with $1,000 An hour later, it was already $1,250. Another hour later - $680 The problem was simple: the forecast changed, but the bot didn't know about it and continued to hold its position That's exactly what I'm fixing in version v2 What I'm adding: 1. Expected Value EV = (p · b) − (1 − p) Before every entry the bot calculates expected value. Negative EV - no trade. But EV is useless if p comes from nowhere 2. Kelly Criterion f* = (p · b − q) / b Determines exactly how much to bet based on real edge Small edge → small position. Large edge → larger. Fixed sizing can't do this 3. Brier Score BS = (1/n) · Σ(fₜ − oₜ)² Measures how accurate our probabilities actually are. If the bot assigned 80% but the outcome won 40% of the time - Brier Score catches that 4. Calibration on own data After each trade the bot saves city, month, bucket, forecast at entry, final result History accumulates → bot calculates Brier Score on its own trades → if Chicago in March is consistently off - p for that city and month gets adjusted automatically 5. Adding new data sources Instead of relying on a single source, the bot will draw on several sources at once, and if the forecasts match, it will enter into a trade Every cycle of v2: - scan markets - check station forecast - apply calibration - calculate EV - apply Kelly - enter or skip - monitor every minute - close if forecast changes Btw, here's a short video clip showing the terminal in action A major update is coming soon

Alter Ego

50,527 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 BREAKING: The sports 5m & 15m Polymarket Clawdbot configuration with the strongest results just went public. This is NOT engagement farming. And it’s NOT fiction.If you’re trading on Polymarket, read this carefully. He reportedly started with around $100–200 and scaled it to roughly $2M.No insider access. No political backchannels. Just a developer who built his own script. Profile - Copytrade - Right now, it’s being called the fastest Polymarket copy-trading bot available. I went through the framework. No massive data pipelines. No absurd infrastructure. Nothing resembling rocket science. I spent 4–6 hours dissecting the full logic. The core strategy breaks down like this: “Free money” via NO positions The bot targets near-zero probability outcomes and accumulates a large number of small, high-probability wins. Not random betting — systematic risk harvesting. Logic arbitrage When outcome A logically guarantees outcome B but pricing hasn’t adjusted, it executes instantly. By the time a human reacts to the headline, the edge is gone. Humans can’t compete with that execution speed. The real edge — sports and politics These markets are dominated by retail flow and delayed emotional reactions. The bot clips small gains from repeated micro-mispricings. Scale is the edge. 2,958 trades on their own mean nothing. Combined, they compounded into roughly ~$2M in profit. Largest single gain: $1,464,152. Equity curve: nearly vertical. Bottom line: A silent bot arms race may already be unfolding on Polymarket. Crypto markets are saturated, slower, and fee-heavy. Sports and political prediction markets remain fragmented and inefficient — fertile ground for automation.

Discover

160,401 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten