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well.......... #crumble

66,321 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨Former BlackRock fund manager Ed Dowd says "China is hoarding copper," which "indicates [it] might be getting ready for war" Dowd paints a GRIM picture of China, noting that its real estate market is "a disaster" and that it's "in a deflationary death spiral because of [its] demographics" "just because they're hoarding doesn't mean the war is imminent. It just means that they're... getting ready for something" "[But] as their economy continues to crumble, they're having the problem of consumers that are doing well... not spending—their saving and hoarding" "[and] there's going to be a lot of unemployed Chinese as we roll forward" This clip of Dowd (Edward Dowd) is taken from an interview with CapitalCosm (CapitalCosm) posted to YouTube on July 14, 2026. ----------------Partial transcription of clip-------------- "We think China is hoarding copper. China is taking— they're buying real assets. They keep printing money to the tune of 10% a year, and they're converting a lot of their trade surpluses into real assets. So they're hoarding. "Look, if you're going to hoard copper, that indicates you might be getting ready for war as well. So there seems to be a hoarding issue going on there. It's not an indication that things are really well in the economy. They continue to just buy and stockpile. "You know, look, just because they're hoarding doesn't mean the war is imminent. It just means that they're just— they're getting ready for something, and they're buying real assets. "One of the biggest problems we have with China is they're 47% of the global money supply. People don't know that... But they have very low velocity of money. That's why— and they're in a deflationary death spiral because of their demographics. So what they're doing with their money, in aggregate, is buying real assets. "And... I think our velocity of money is 1.5. China's I think is point .4 or .6. Much lower than ours. That's why, that's why you're not seeing any inflation in China. In fact, it's the opposite. The savings rate in China is exploding. There's no safety net there. "And as their economy continues to crumble, they're having, they're having the problem of the consumers that are doing well are not spending, their saving and hoarding. "[And the real estate market is] a disaster. But what held them up, the disaster started in 2021, but they had a bunch of long-lived projects that— so construction had only rolled 20%, whereas land, new permitting was down 70, 80%. So that's now starting to roll. "We saw construction year over year go negative in Q1 of this year. So those projects are now rolling off, and all they care about is employment, so there's going to be a lot of unemployed Chinese as we roll forward."

Sense Receptor

15,991 просмотров • 19 дней назад

"Naam, Namak or Nishaan"! How nice to hear this? But, where did the "Naam" go when a fellow Officer was illegally detained and his fiancee molested by Odisha Police ? What did you do? Where is the justice? It is very evident as to whose "Namak" most of our Generals are having when, they do the bidding of the politicians and advocate against the welfare of the troops under their command. Now coming to the "Nishaan" which has been, slowly & systematically eroded by making the very foundation of this organisation crumble by tinkering with the time tested Ethos, Customs & Traditions of the organisation. "YESMANSHIP" was certainly not our "Nishaan". Lastly, coming to the "Vetan" (वेतन) now. How do you expect a Soldier to fight with his full might when he is not even sure that his family back home would be well taken care of, both financially and otherwise? Core issues like anomalies in successive pay commissions, of OROP and grant of NFU are equally important for a Soldiers' well being and career growth. The silence/opposing of/by the Top Brass speaks volumes about the much cherished "Naam, Namak & Nishaan". The Chetwode Credo has been long forgotten. In the words of the Great & Legendary FM Sam Manekshaw, " BE A MAN, NOT A YESMAN". Narendra Modi ADG PI - INDIAN ARMY Rajnath Singh रक्षा मंत्री कार्यालय/ RMO India Ministry of Defence, Government of India SpokespersonNavy Indian Air Force Southern Command INDIAN ARMY Army Training Command, Indian Army Western Command - Indian Army SuryaCommand_IA NORTHERN COMMAND - INDIAN ARMY SouthWesternCommand_IA EasternCommand_IA Gajraj Corps - Indian Army White Knight Corps @firefurycorps_IA Chinar Corps🍁 - Indian Army SpearCorps.IndianArmy

Colonel Mukul

14,588 просмотров • 1 год назад

Sunny Hostin boasts about the "economic damage and economic harm" Hakeem Jeffries wants to do to the south with his plan to have black students boycott their university athletic scholarships. Alyssa Farah Griffin calls it "a very good idea" because "the economy would crumble": HOSTIN: Well, I agree with you on that I think there has to be strategy. I mean, you know, athletes have been involved in protests and politics for a long time. GOLDBERG: Yeah. HOSTIN: Remember the Olympics and you had [raises fist in the air] John Carlos and you had Muhammad Ali but these were athletes that were established already. These college athletes stand to get a free education, they stand to make money because of the NIL now, so I think it is asking a lot. But, I think it's economic damage and economic harm has longtime been a very effective tool in the civil rights movement. BEHAR: Resistance has a price. Let me give you some history. GOLDBERG: Yes, do. BEHAR: Well, like teenagers, they're teenagers and they're going to have to give up a lot. The Vietnam War was basically halted by teenager HOSTIN: Correct. BEHAR: Because it was 17 and 18-year-old kids who were going to go and fight this crazy war that they were doing. So, I'm not saying it's a great idea or it's not a great idea, I'm just pointing out it is young people who change the world. HOSTIN: If there's structure though don't you think this could possibly work? Because we're talking about just the state schools, Whoopi, we’re not talking about the SEC. The conference. FARAH GRIFFIN: Oh, that’s an important distinction. GOLDBERG: That's important to know. HOSTIN: So, we're talking about 13 schools. These kids are the top of the top and so they're going to have a lot of other choices. And I would suggest that if you think about Ole Miss, there was -- I think a running back, his name is, yeah, it was a running back. His name was Kylen Hill. He played at Ole Miss. You know, Ole Miss brings in a lot of money. He vowed not to play unless the state changed the confederate flag. The Confederate flag came down months later. Because college sports brings in so much money. FARAH GRIFFIN: In theory, I think it's a very good idea! Let’s talk macro! If all black Americans boycotted any industry, it would -- the economy would crumble. Arts, music, doctors, everything. Of course, that is a powerful way to protest but it's putting, in my mind, too much onus on the young people who did not create the problem that we’re in.

Nicholas Fondacaro

52,660 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Sacramento California School Board “just pulled one of the dirtiest scams that I can remember in recent history” “The entire board just resigned after they audited them and they found $180 million of taxpayer fraud” 🚨 “Fake students, six figure jobs for friends and family members, luxury travel, and they build it all. To you, the taxpayer who was told that this was all about helping refugees.” “Apparently this was an adult school meant to teach English to Afghan and Ukrainian immigrants — Except the students didn't exist. The results didn't exist. The entire thing was a front to funnel money from a so called charter School into private pockets. “They literally created ghost classrooms. They padded the rolls and then they used the money to ball out on your dime and they made you feel guilty asking questions. Because if you say, hey, where's all this money actually going? Well then they'll just label you as a racist, an anti- refugee, anti-education. A threat to democracy… Meanwhile, they're out here running a full blown shell scam and they're using public education as the front” “From Sacramento to Los Angeles , the entire system is bloated with activist bureaucrats, fake nonprofits and made up school boards. And the people in California have no idea. They move their money around like Monopoly cash while their roads crumble and their schools rot and their living expenses explode” “Let me say that again. $180 million” Democrats need to start going to prison

Wall Street Apes

1,703,300 просмотров • 1 год назад

THE WEAPONIZATION OF ANTISEMITISM Theodor Herzl, the father of zionism, believed that antisemitism was a natural response to the jewish question and that jews were solely to blame. He realized that where antisemitism did not exist, there were no jews, and wherever jews went in large numbers, they carried the seeds of antisemitism with them. As a result, he knew antisemitism would never cease to exist. Herzl's appeal to the European jewish bourgeois as to the need for a jewish state fell upon deaf ears. Convincing well-to-do jews to uproot and move to the middle of the desert was an impossible sell. Herzl realized that without a catalyst, support for the creation of a jewish state among World jewry simply wasn't there. Then, he had a revelation. In his diaries, he wrote, “It is essential that the sufferings of jews became worse. This will assist in the realization of our plans. I have an excellent idea. I shall induce anti-semites to liquidate jewish wealth. The anti-semites will assist us, thereby in that they will strengthen the persecution and oppression of jews. The anti-semites shall be our best friends” Herzl believed that the catalyst needed to generate support for a jewish state could be manufactured through the weaponization of antisemitism. ENTER THE HOLOCAUST. Fast forward 80 years, antisemitism is ingrained in jewish identity. The holocaust is their religion. Their entire existence is defined by their perpetual victimhood, and they have used it to profit and gain power. Antisemitism is the shield they hide behind to commit their crimes and the catalyst they use to further their agenda. They have created multi-billion dollar victim industries, secured power, and passed laws by utilizing their perpetual persecution. They use antisemitism to silence their critics and opposition, and where it does not exist, they create it. Without antisemitism, they would crumble.

1984

50,361 просмотров • 1 год назад

Tulum Peyniri is a Turkish mountain cheese that is matured in a goat skin. Traditionally, local farmers make this cheese using raw cow or sheep milk. In more modern times, you might find versions that are made with pasteurised cow, goat or sheep milk... Tulum Peyniri is a very unusual type of cheese that is gaining popularity in the culinary world. It is a traditional cheese that has been produced for centuries in Turkey. This unique cheese has a distinctive flavour and texture that has been enjoyed by locals and tourists alike. Tulum Peyniri originated in Turkey, specifically in the province of Erzincan. It is believed that the cheese has been produced in this region for over a thousand years. Locals use either cow, goat or sheep milk to make this cheese and age it in goat skin bags called tulum. Actually, this Turkish cheese has a rich history that dates back to the Ottoman Empire. It was a popular cheese among the Ottoman aristocracy and was often served at royal banquets. Over time, the cheese became more widely available and was enjoyed by people from all walks of life. Presently, Tulum Peyniri is primarily produced in the province of Erzincan, which is located in eastern Turkey. The region is known for its rugged terrain and harsh climate, which makes it ideal for sheep farming. The sheep in this region graze on wild herbs and grasses, which gives the milk a unique flavour. Today, there are many small-scale producers in Turkey. Some of the most well-known producers include Hacı Dayı, Çağlayanlar and Özcanlar. Traditionally, the locals used raw cow or sheep milk. But in more modern times, you might find versions that are made with pasteurised cow, goat or sheep milk. And that are aged in metal tins instead of animal hide. After fermenting the fresh milk, the cheesemaker strains it through a cheese cloth to separate the whey from the curds. Afterwards, they rest the young cheese for one night before transferring it to a copper vessel. At this stage, they crumble the cheese and add dry salt. It is then pressed and allowed to drain for a further 10 days. And this is when the magic begins. The formed young cheese is moved into a goat skin that has been specially cleaned and treated. It is pressed into the skin, filling it compactly. And the opening of the skin is then sewn shut. Maturation takes place at high altitudes and humidity. And can last for up to three months. At this age, Tulum develops a beautiful crumbly texture and a delicious complex flavour. Tulum Peyniri has a sharp, tangy flavour that is similar to Feta. However, it has a crumbly texture and is quite dry compared to other types of cheese. Moreover, this cheese has a strong aroma that is earthy and slightly sour. Undoubtedly, this is a very versatile cheese that pairs well with many different foods. Locals often serve it as part of a meze platter alongside olives, tomatoes and other Mediterranean-style dishes. Tulum excels as a table cheese but can also be used in cooking. Some great recipes showcasing this cheese include börek, pides and pesto sauce. Furthermore, it also pairs well with roasted vegetables, grilled meats and salads. 🎥 : Credit to the Owner #archaeohistories

Archaeo - Histories

99,207 просмотров • 1 год назад

hy3 vs fable 5 vs opus 4.8 vs sonnet 5 Tencent Hy just dropped hy3 – their new open-weight model under apache 2.0. following the april preview they scaled up post-training, and it now rivals flagship open models with 2-5x the params. api pricing: ~$0.15 in / ~$0.59 out per 1m tokens. built for coding, office work, frontend, agentic tasks so we ran a test: hy3 vs fable 5 vs opus 4.8 vs sonnet 5 three prompts, one-shot each: • ocean wave crumbling a sand castle (canvas) • looping factory assembly line (html/css/js) • interactive 3d city with three.js + orbitcontrols self-contained files, no libraries beyond the cdn where asked totals across all three prompts: 1. hy3 – 1231 loc / 14m34s 2. sonnet 5 – 1373 loc / 18m55s 3. fable 5 – 1546 loc / 18m32s 4. opus 4.8 – 1904 loc / 27m21s hy3 is the fastest and the leanest by a wide margin we had opus 4.8 analyze hy3's code. the read: - sand castle: checklist-complete but the crumble is parametric, not physical. it shrinks and slumps the towers and fades alpha instead of dissolving into grains. the cheap-but-plausible interpretation. the tell of a smaller model - factory line: the arm-to-part sync is actually causal, not faked. it triggers each robot early by exactly the arm's descent time, so the tap lands right as the part arrives. it also pre-seeds the belt so it never cold-starts empty. clean state machine. one latent bug – a part gets marked processed before checking if the robot is free, so at a faster spawn rate a "laptop" could ship missing a part. never fires at current timing, but the invariant isn't enforced - 3d city: genuinely frontier-adjacent. correct modern setup (pcfsoft shadows, srgb, aces tone mapping, damped orbit + auto-rotate pause). clones the window texture per building and scales the uv repeat to each building's dimensions so windows don't stretch. downside: no instancing – ~800 texture clones across 200 buildings. runs fine, not optimized. roads are implicit gaps, not explicit planes our observations: • hy3 is quite fast • its animations are simple but you can see it trying – it adds detail, and the 3d render sits at the same level as the frontier models • sonnet 5 is weak here. hy3 beats it on the sand castle and the 3d render, level on the conveyor • opus 4.8 is anthropic's best model after the fable 5 nerf – it beats fable on the conveyor and the 3d render net: hy3 runs clean and well-formed across all three with zero syntax errors, even version-matching the three.js core and examples build. it's economical rather than ambitious – it does the minimum viable version of each hard requirement well, and only reaches for the expensive interpretation on the 3d task a very coherent profile for a cost-optimized open-weight model follow thehype. for 24/7 ai news, analysis and breakdowns

thehype.

34,929 просмотров • 28 дней назад

If you want to understand Asian geopolitics today, this is an absolute must-watch. This is George Yeo, who was a Singaporean cabinet minister during 21 years, including Minister for Foreign Affairs during 7 years. In my humble opinion, very few people out there have such a subtle understanding of geopolitics in Asia as he does. Here's a quick summary of what he says: The US has little knowledge of China He says that "the US political system is decentralized and because of the need to win votes, it goes through emotional phases and is entering such a phase now where China is demonized out of mass emotion. There's some manipulation behind the scenes, but it's not based on knowledge." To him, the US "don't understand the nature of China", the fact that China "is constantly building walls around itself because it is happy in its own homogeneity". He says it is wrong for the US to believe that "China wants to displace them as the top dog in the world" and "trying to contain China, even pull it down" as a result. Not only is this a wrong understanding of China's objectives but the US "may exhaust itself in the process and I don't think it will succeed". He says that with its tariffs and sanctions the US risks making the same mistake as China's Qing dynasty and "become very weak". He believes the primacy of the US dollar will break, and that US actions are "bringing forward that day" He says that "the key event will be when the primacy of the US dollar breaks. We all know it's going to break sometime or other because it's abnormal. If it is 30 years from now, well, let's drink and be merry. But if it's five years, well, we've got to calculate, right? Do we know when the cookie will crumble? We don't know. But the way the US is moving is bringing forward that day." It's "bringing forward that day" because "they try to control countries by sanctions" and as a result more and more countries put counter-measures in place, putting themselves out of the grasp of the US. China is not in trouble and "overcapacity" is "information warfare" He says "there's information warfare against China" and that he "doesn't think" China is in trouble. "Look at the factories, look at the EVs, look at how terrified the Europeans are, accusing China of having overcapacity. I mean, how can you blame China for overcapacity when you have, when you're taking liberties with yourself, having long summers and working short hours and you say no, no, no, no, no, you are working too hard! There are consequences. If families take liberties with their children, with themselves, there's consequences." He believes that Asian societies' "wholesomeness" is an advantage versus the West "Look at Asia, look at China, look at Southeast Asia, look at India. There are people who are hardworking, who are obsessed over their children, who want to have of them a higher education, in order that the kids will have a better education, better health, a better life. [...] They'll do well and we're lucky to be in the part of the world where strange values have not taken over societies. [...] Why is America such a big market for drugs today? And I was watching the Eurovision contest... [...] Parts of it, almost satanic. But it's now part of the fashion in most of Europe. What is happening? PM Lee talked about how we should keep all these woke things away from us as much as possible. I fully agree with him. Keep our societies wholesome. Keep our families intact. I mean, AI is very important, but AI cannot answer moral questions for us. In the end, it is every individual, every child who must make the choice. Be immersed in technology. Make use of it. But have our own sense of what it means to be a human being. So if we use that as a template to judge human society, I say we are very lucky to be in a part of the world where society is by and large wholesome and will do well." It's critical for ASEAN to stick together and not be balkanized, which is what the US is trying to do with the Philippines "If we [ASEAN] don't stick together, we'll be balkanized and instead of becoming neighbours, become clients of big powers. Instead of using them, they make use of us. There's always a threat. Look at the Philippines now. The Philippines have legitimate disputes with China. Both sides have their cases. The Americans see an opportunity there. And jump in, and bring in the Japanese. And now Philippine politics is caught up in this [...] [China and the Philippines] had an agreement, a gentleman's agreement with Duterte, which Marcos has repudiated. So OK, so they must find a new way to equilibrium. And make use of the Americans and not be made use of by the Americans. But it's very difficult when you try to make use of a big power, you end up being made use of by them." Most countries in ASEAN do not want China to be an enemy For instance he says "Vietnam has made a very important decision to go with China": "it was not well reported, but Vietnam has agreed that Hanoi will be linked to Kunming and Nanning by high-speed rail. This is big because each connection is tens of billions of dollars. And will change the topological configuration of logistics and supply chain and human movement for decades to come." Same with Indonesia, noting that "Prabowo's first visit [was] to China" and that when he met Xi Jinping "it was Xiao Di talking to Da Ge. A little brother talking to big brother. But when we went to Japan, then it's brother talking to brother." He adds: "Look at the other countries, Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, Malaysia, Brunei. No one wants China to be an enemy. And the Americans don't understand this, yet. That because China is getting bigger and bigger for us, all of us want the Americans to be in the room. But if the Americans say no, you have to choose between China and us, then they say no, we can't. How can we choose? I mean, China is where our bread is buttered, you know."

Arnaud Bertrand

1,025,435 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Jeffrey Epstein: The Fabulous Life of Billion Dollar Wall Street Ballers, VH1 2007 It was around this time that the Disney Cruise was stopping at Epstein Island. Epstein also was part of Girls Inc. Adventures of the Mind with Murray Gell-Man, and with Mentors like Google's Sergey Brin when there was "Mindshift Conferences" on the Island with Al Seckel. There was likely a lot of trafficking and blackmail, but a big component was tax avoidance consulting for the mega rich. And does that have something to do with the falling out between Epstein and Trump? When you short a stock, you don't have to pay taxes on the gains until you close your short position, but you still can use almost all your gains. This means that a company can be put on the alter and be burnt as the stock is pumped to investors, and then shorted to zero. If a company goes bankrupt, the stock continues to trade at a fraction of a cent, and so you never have to close it out, which means there is no taxable event. Epstein was not only connected to a lot of powerful people that could influence the fate of a company, but was an ambassador for JP Morgan Chase. Also his little black book is full of people from Goldman Sachs. This combination is deadly, for instance in the case of Bed Bath and Beyond, JPM convinced the puppets on the board of directors to do $12 billion of share buybacks, which they never actually bought back. Instead they used Goldman Sachs, who was also there at the secret meeting with the board, and likely a patsy 3rd party like Enigma Securities which Epstein's close friend Frederic Fekkai's son was on the board of, to pretend like they were buying back the shares, if any regulators asked...which they likely never did because they are bought out as well. Access to loans is cut off, and liens are triggered, and shareholders are whipped out...burying all the counterfeit shares that were used to short the company. This is also what happened to Donald Trump's company in 2004. So apart from Trump not being into dudes or children like almost everyone else on the Epstein list, they made Trump look bad to the shareholders who believed in him. A similar thing happened to Carl Icahn, his company was picked at the ritual holocaust for the Wall Street beast. I don't know if there was some "wear a dress and we will spare you," but I can't imagine Trump or Carl doing that. I think there were a lot of people that were getting thrown on the chopping block, and at an increasing rate because the ponzi was getting unmanageable. When you have counterfeited everything you can possibly counterfeit, and then leveraged it with more layers than baklava, it starts to crumble. That is what happened in 2008, and if something wasn't down, Wall Street would have cannibalized the entire country. I think/hope this is where there was a split in Epstein Empire and unlikely allies united over America first. There are people "allegedly" part of the Epstein stock counterfeiting Wall Street ponzi like JM Treasury Maker Maker Virtu Financial's CEO Doug Cifu, who was lawyer for and in his own words "dear friend of" Epstein accomplice Frederic Fekkai. Is it a coincidence that Doug Cifu was also the lawyer of who gave P. Diddy his start, Karl Kani? There is a lot to go into, for example how P. Diddy's first concert was for GMHC (Gay Men's Health Crisis) which has a lot of connections that should be looked into. Right now however, the Wall Street counterfeiting crime should be looked into, and where we should start is auditing Virtu Financial, and the accounting firm that coincidentally audits everyone in the ponzi, PriceWaterhouseCooper.

Michael A.M.E.

21,617 просмотров • 1 год назад