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What bothers me most about this speech is Netanyahu’s absolute certainty that the deal is going to happen. He said the most astonishing thing: “To all those who say it’s too good to be true — it’s true.” Netanyahu is essentially not even leaving any room for something to...

191,037 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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The Trump plan, which was presented at the White House, included two parts. What was approved today in Sharm el-Sheikh has nothing to do with the future. Regarding the future of Gaza, we are still at the initial idea, which was not translated into details on the ground — and it’s no coincidence, because the assessment, at least in Israel, is that it’s impossible to really reach agreements with Hamas on its dismantling. There has not yet been an Islamic fundamentalist terrorist organization that agreed one day to simply dismantle. And so what we have here is a hostage release deal, and Israel is at a fork in the road. First, if Hamas is willing to disarm, Israel will indeed withdraw to the Gaza perimeter. If not, then not — and then IDF forces will be there, because we have no one to rely on but God and them. Now regarding the main issue. After all, Hamas ostensibly received guarantees. That’s what Hamas is saying. That’s its excuse to release the hostages. It is replacing the 48 hostages with an American-Qatar-Turkish-international guarantee that Israel will not enter. They say in Israel, “no problem, we also have guarantees. The war will end if Hamas disarms.” So we see here two American guarantees, which I, in order not to be anti-American, will not say that they are foolish. I will say that they complement each other: the war will not be renewed if Hamas disarms. And so, if you break it down even more: That war is over. It’s over. The ground entries, the raids, the exits, the Gideon’s Chariots A, B and maybe even C. What will happen next? Israel expects it to be “Lebanonization,” but in the positive sense of what happens after the ceasefire. In other words, not ground raids, but precise damage to any attempt to build up and/or harm IDF soldiers. This is the Israeli desire. We’ll see what happens on the ground.

Amit Segal

23,239 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад