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What is disinflation

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Gary Brode

5,764 subscribers

11,042 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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@leadlagreport Disinflation is scary to Central Bankers and Rulers because it’s threatens deflation.

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🚨January CPI is in and here’s the headline: More DISINFLATION. Jay Powell, are you listening??
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🚨January CPI is in and here’s the headline: More DISINFLATION. Jay Powell, are you listening??

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🚨President Trump’s affordability reset has three prongs: - Deportations - Deregulation - Disinflation This is bringing housing BACK from the dead.
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"China is the most imbalanced economy in the history of the world. They are in a severe recession/depression. They may have -4% disinflation." -Scott Bessent
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"China is the most imbalanced economy in the history of the world. They are in a severe recession/depression. They may have -4% disinflation." -Scott Bessent

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At today's press conference, the ECB's Governing Council decided to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points. The disinflation process is well on track, stated President Christine Lagarde. Watch the press conference
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At today's press conference, the ECB's Governing Council decided to cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points. The disinflation process is well on track, stated President Christine Lagarde. Watch the press conference

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Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean is projected to remain steady in 2025 and moderate slightly next year amid slow disinflation. Rising public debt underscores the need for fiscal consolidation, and solid policy frameworks remain essential.
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Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean is projected to remain steady in 2025 and moderate slightly next year amid slow disinflation. Rising public debt underscores the need for fiscal consolidation, and solid policy frameworks remain essential.

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Kevin Warsh stood up there and told everyone disinflation is coming. “Big erasers” on their hawkish dots, & openly saying they aren’t bound by them even six days out, is another way of saying he expects the inflation data to keep falling out from under those dots.
0:27

Kevin Warsh stood up there and told everyone disinflation is coming. “Big erasers” on their hawkish dots, & openly saying they aren’t bound by them even six days out, is another way of saying he expects the inflation data to keep falling out from under those dots.

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Kevin Warsh as the FED chair talking about incoming productivity boom. Treasury Secretary Kevin Bessent publicly anticipating substantial disinflation. Bessent just said on Squawk Box this week: "Nothing is more transient than a supply shock... core inflation will continue coming down... we may get one or two more hot prints, but then I think we're going to see substantial disinflation." That's the Treasury Secretary laying down the runway before the data turns. The bond market hasn't caught up yet, and most certainly I don't think crypto holders have either.
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Kevin Warsh as the FED chair talking about incoming productivity boom. Treasury Secretary Kevin Bessent publicly anticipating substantial disinflation. Bessent just said on Squawk Box this week: "Nothing is more transient than a supply shock... core inflation will continue coming down... we may get one or two more hot prints, but then I think we're going to see substantial disinflation." That's the Treasury Secretary laying down the runway before the data turns. The bond market hasn't caught up yet, and most certainly I don't think crypto holders have either.

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📈 Markets are misreading Trump 2.0 — again. Julien Bittel, CFA. Investors expect inflation, but disinflation might be the real story as narratives start to unwind. Watch Julien's full market update w/ Raoul Pal (link in comment)
0:39

📈 Markets are misreading Trump 2.0 — again. Julien Bittel, CFA. Investors expect inflation, but disinflation might be the real story as narratives start to unwind. Watch Julien's full market update w/ Raoul Pal (link in comment)

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Signal versus Noise podcast Episode 5 - Inflation trend and the stock bubble (July 28th, 2025) Participants: Edward Dowd and Carlos Alegria In this episode we discuss the latest June 2025 CPI (inflation) release and how it is understood in historical context. We discuss seasonal effects in different inflation components and how that can confound inflation reports. We discuss how the inflation outlook points to disinflation in the months ahead, led by housing disinflation as we explain in our new tenant rent report which points to slowing rent inflation for the coming months, which is a driving force that we expect will bring CPI below 2% in the near future. In the second part we discuss what appears to be a stock market bubble, which is eerily similar to the .com bubble in 2000. We advert that stocks appear to be overvalued relative to bonds and that complacency has set in. We also warn of the popping of the stock bubble together with a real estate crisis could lead to a serious recession.
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Signal versus Noise podcast Episode 5 - Inflation trend and the stock bubble (July 28th, 2025) Participants: Edward Dowd and Carlos Alegria In this episode we discuss the latest June 2025 CPI (inflation) release and how it is understood in historical context. We discuss seasonal effects in different inflation components and how that can confound inflation reports. We discuss how the inflation outlook points to disinflation in the months ahead, led by housing disinflation as we explain in our new tenant rent report which points to slowing rent inflation for the coming months, which is a driving force that we expect will bring CPI below 2% in the near future. In the second part we discuss what appears to be a stock market bubble, which is eerily similar to the .com bubble in 2000. We advert that stocks appear to be overvalued relative to bonds and that complacency has set in. We also warn of the popping of the stock bubble together with a real estate crisis could lead to a serious recession.

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