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When will Mala Tokmachka be taken? Some settlements have appeared in reports for so long that they have become symbols of positional warfare. With the front line static for months, the surrounding area has turned into a fully ranged-in and heavily destroyed zone. Large vehicle assaults became impossible, so...

16,244 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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I'd like to point something out regarding the recent DRG operations, and specifically the attached video showing a Russian sabotage operation deep inside Pokrovsk City. This is nothing new - at least in the sense that these deep infiltrations behind the frontlines have been occurring for several months now. As I and many others have been pointing out for a long time, Ukrainian manpower problems will eventually reach a point where they are unable to contain Russian infantry. Right now, we are at the point where they cannot contain all DRGs and are failing to kill them within the required period of 12-24 hours. DRGs have been constantly slipping behind Ukrainian lines simply because there are no soldiers to stop them in some areas. They utilise cover from treelines, windbreaks and the more lightly damaged settlements to evade being spotted by drones, and then carry out sabotage operations on Ukrainian positions multiple kilometres behind the frontline on unaware soldiers and commanders in temporary deployment points. This is what I mean when I point out how relying on one thing to hold parts of the frontline (drones) is not a good tactic nor a good sign as it significantly simplifies Russian assault operation - they don't have to account for as many factors. Yes, the number of DRG operations in the Pokrovsk direction has significantly increased, but the main reason we are seeing this is because of how much attention Pokrovsk is getting right now. This is a common occurrence in weak sections of the frontline, and even sometimes much more stable sectors such as the frontline northwest of Bakhmut.

AMK Mapping 🇳🇿

17,927 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

GeoConfirmed UKR - Ukrainian Kursk Offensive Operations. Since the Ukrainian Kursk offensive in August gained considerable ground, Russia has been slowly pushing back the Ukrainians from the north over the past few months. What is remarkable now is that Ukraine is deploying its offensive strength on the only side that has remained rather unchanged since August: the eastern side. This could indicate that the Russians have not committed offensive capabilities here, forcing a block and betting on maintaining the status quo until their main assault, coming from the North, has fully repelled the Ukrainians out of Kursk Oblast. The Ukrainians now appear to be taking advantage of this situation. By focusing their efforts on the eastern side, where Russian forces may be less prepared or stretched thin, Ukraine could potentially exploit a weakness. This strategic move might aim to disrupt Russian plans and create new opportunities for Ukrainian advances, even as they face pressure at the north side. However, this approach carries significant risks for both sides. For Ukraine, diverting resources to the east side of their Kursk operations could weaken their defenses in the north, while for Russia, an unexpected breakthrough on this front could lead to their north offensive capabilities being outmaneuvered and compromise their overall strategic position in Kursk. The coming days/weeks will likely be crucial in determining the success of this Ukrainian gambit and its impact on the Kursk conflict dynamics. Slide 1: Red Arrows: Russian offensive in the last four months to force Ukrainians back. Red line: Current contact line by Ukraine Control Map Blue arrow: Current Ukrainian offensive action. Green pin: Geolocated footage of Ukrainian column. Video: Situation in Kursk since August 2024, with geolocated footage (every pin is the exact location and includes the related footage) and contact line changes by Ukraine Control Map Visit for more information.

GeoConfirmed

45,341 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce