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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท While global shipping's frozen and oil's stuck, Iran's reportedly loading more crude than pre-war. 2.1M barrels in the last 6 days (up from ~2M avg), all via shadow fleet tankers mostly headed to China. Everyone else? Paralyzed. Iran's threats keep the strait locked for others, but their oil...

466,217 views โ€ข 7 months ago โ€ขvia X (Twitter)

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The data on who got crushed and who didn't tells you everything about this war... Kpler's numbers show the damage in black and white. Iraq's oil exports collapsed 82%. Kuwait down 75%. Qatar down 70%. These countries sit deep inside the Gulf with no pipeline bypass to the open ocean. When Hormuz closed, their economies stopped. Saudi Arabia lost 34% and the UAE 26%. Bad, but survivable because both had insurance policies. Saudi's East-West Pipeline moves crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea. The UAE's Habshan-Fujairah pipeline reaches the Gulf of Oman. Those two lifelines are the only reason their exports didn't collapse like their neighbors. Which is exactly why Iran struck both of them after the ceasefire. Tehran knows those pipelines are the last thing keeping Gulf oil moving. Take them offline and every producer inside the Gulf goes to zero. Then there's Oman. Up 117%. The only green on the board. Its ports sit on the Arabian Sea, outside the Strait entirely. Oman became the region's only safe loading point overnight. The total damage: 206 million barrels erased from global supply in one month. At war prices, roughly $22-24 billion in lost Gulf revenue. Refineries worldwide pushed toward minimum operating levels. The question heading into Saturday's talks is simple. Can the world afford to keep 206 million barrels a month offline, or does Washington concede Iran's toll system just to get the oil moving again? Source: Kpler / Al Jazeera

Mario Nawfal

49,364 views โ€ข 6 months ago

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท BREAKING: TRUMP JUST PULLED THE PLUG ON IRAN'S OIL MONEY! Iran wanted to play games in the Strait of Hormuz. Three tankers hit with unknown projectiles in a matter of days. Now the bill just came due. The Treasury Department is revoking the license that let Iran sell oil under the June ceasefire deal. That waiver was a gift, not a right, and Iran just spat on it. A US official put it plainly. "As President Trump and the administration have repeatedly affirmed, the MOU in effect with Iran is entirely performance based." Translation. Behave or lose the deal. Another official didn't mince words either. "Iran's actions in the Strait were wholly unacceptable to the United States and will be met with consequences." This is not a slap on the wrist. Oil exports are Iran's lifeline to China and its only real source of hard currency. Cutting that off is aiming straight at the regime's wallet. Iran signed up for a deal that required keeping the strait open. Instead they fired on a Qatari LNG carrier, a Saudi supertanker, and a third vessel hit by a drone. That is not a misunderstanding. That is a pattern. You do not get to torch tankers with one hand and collect sanctions relief with the other. Oil prices jumped more than three percent on the news, proof that markets know exactly what this means. Consequences are not just words anymore. Iran wanted leverage. What they got was a reminder that Trump's deals come with strings, and he is not afraid to pull them.

Bill Mitchell

158,537 views โ€ข 3 months ago

โ—๏ธ War in the Middle East could lead to the collapse of the global economy - ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has almost completely stopped. โ—พ๏ธ Over the past 24 hours, only two commercial vessels have passed through the Strait of Hormuz, and not a single oil tanker, the Joint Maritime Information Center said. โ—พ๏ธ This is a key energy artery of the world: normally, about 20% of all oil passes through it. If tanker traffic stops, the world could lose up to 15-20 million barrels per day. โ—พ๏ธ In the event of a protracted crisis, oil prices could soar to $120-150 per barrel, leading to higher fuel prices, inflation, a decline in production, and the risk of a global recession. โ—พ๏ธ Europe and Asia, which are critically dependent on oil from the Persian Gulf, are already feeling the biggest impact. โ—พ๏ธ Fuel flows from the Middle East have fallen by about 90%, and in Singapore, bunker fuel prices have already risen by more than 40%. In fact, the energy crisis has already begun in Asia. โ—พ๏ธ More and more experts are pointing out that the Strait of Hormuz is blocked not only by war but also by insurance companies that have canceled insurance for global ocean commercial tonnage due to military risks in the Persian Gulf, the Gulf of Oman, and all Iranian territorial waters. ๐Ÿ“น: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz over the past 24 hours.

Anton Gerashchenko

486,064 views โ€ข 7 months ago

16 APR 2026 Just another day in the Singapore Strait. Thx Starboard Maritime Intelligence for the great visualization and analytical tools to understand the data. Four ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท-flagged ships openly transiting the strait: 1โƒฃ The ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Tanker DAN (9357729), coming from Iran, laden with Crude Oil, sailing eastbound to the Eastern Out of Port Limits (EOPL) anchorage. In a day or two, it will most likely conduct a Ship-to-Ship (StS) transfer of the cargo to another Dark Fleet tanker, which will take the oil to an OFAC-sanctioned Teapot Refinery in๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ 2โƒฃ The ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท bulk cargo ship MAHNAM (9213387) sailed westbound through the strait. It departed Dafeng ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ after delivering an unknow cargo. It is returning to Iran. 3โƒฃ The ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท bulk cargo ship WARTA (9465849) also sailed westbound, after departing Sri Racha, Thailand, where is conducted unknown cargo ops. 4โƒฃ The ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท bulk cargo ship BAHJAT (9405954) sailed eastbound through the strait, on its way to Kuantan, Malaysia to deliver an unknown cargo loaded in Iran in March. Look carefully, and you will see a likely ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธWarship departing Singapore right as BAHJAT passed. The warship is heading eastbound, toward the Indian Ocean. While in the Malacca Strait later tonight, she will pass yet another ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท-flagged tanker HAWK (9362061), which is also laden with Iranian oil and on its way to the EOPL. Very interesting in view of ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธCJCS General Caine's comment in the press briefing that there will be Maritime Interdiction Ops (MIO) action in the Pacific AOR, against Iranian vessels trying to breach the blockade. Check out the UANI Iran War Shipping Updates for more details: Jemima Shelley TankerTrackers.com, Inc. Sal Mercogliano (WGOW Shipping) ๐Ÿšขโš“๐Ÿช๐Ÿš’๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ cdrsalamander Alessio Patalano Tomer Raanan Marcus Hand Blake Herzinger Collin Koh ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Euan Graham Daniel Roth Damien Symon

Charlie B

14,979 views โ€ข 5 months ago

Two days ago the United States bombed Iran. Ten days earlier, the same two countries had signed a peace deal whose one core promise was safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran drone-struck a ship in that exact strait, the US hit Iranian missile sites in return, and oil did the unthinkable. It fell. Crude is now under $70. That reaction rewrites a rule. For fifty years, a missile fired near Hormuz meant oil spiking. This week the signatories of a ceasefire shot at each other inside the world's most important oil chokepoint, and the price went down. The market looked at live fire in the strait that carries a fifth of the world's crude and decided it did not care. The deal did not crack at the edges. It broke at its center, the single clause it existed to deliver, tested by a drone and answered by an airstrike ten days after the ink dried. And the same afternoon the bombs fell, the choreography of peace rolled on. The Secretary of State stood in Washington signing a separate Israel-Lebanon framework, calling it the start of lasting peace. The President told a room of farmers the Strait of Hormuz was open. America signed a peace, declared a waterway open, and bombed a treaty partner, all inside one day. So the war did not end. It moved into the paperwork. Iran's strait authority now says any ship on the American route loses its insurance. Trump says the strait is open. Each side has claimed the same narrow channel as its own, in writing, and is firing to prove it. The market has already placed its bet, oil under $70, that the flood of barrels is more real than the war over who controls them.

Shanaka Anslem Perera โšก

87,787 views โ€ข 3 months ago

#BREAKING ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช The United Arab Emirates, the third-largest oil producer in OPEC, has announced it will leave OPEC and OPEC+ starting May 1. ๐Ÿ›ข๏ธ This move would free the UAE from production quotas, allowing it to: โ–ช๏ธ Increase oil output to full capacity โ–ช๏ธ Set its own export strategy โ–ช๏ธ Price crude independently of group restrictions ๐ŸŸฆ The decision could boost UAE production, strengthen state revenues, and put downward pressure on global oil prices. โ–ช๏ธ Lower prices and increased supply would likely align with President Trumpโ€™s long-standing calls for cheaper energy and criticism of OPEC limits. ๐ŸŸฅ Amid rising tensions with Iran, the UAEโ€™s exit could act as a strategic buffer for the global economy: ๐ŸŸฆ Around 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has repeatedly threatened to close. โ–ช๏ธ The UAE, however, can bypass Hormuz via the Habshanโ€“Fujairah pipeline, exporting oil directly to the Gulf of Oman. Freed from OPEC quotas, it could maximize output through this route, weakening Iranโ€™s leverage over global supply. โ–ช๏ธ In the event of renewed conflict, sanctions, or infrastructure strikes, Iranโ€™s oil exports โ€” largely dependent on China โ€” could collapse. ๐Ÿ”บ The UAE, with significant spare capacity, could quickly offset supply losses, preventing extreme price spikes (e.g. $150โ€“200 per barrel) that would damage Western economies. ๐Ÿ”น Reduced OPEC coordination would also limit Iranโ€™s ability to influence global markets through price manipulation. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China, a major buyer of Iranian oil, could be forced to shift toward UAE supplies, further isolating Tehran economically. ๐Ÿ”บ If Iran physically blocks Hormuz, the UAEโ€™s pipeline system becomes critical: โ–ช๏ธ It can transport 1.5โ€“1.8 million barrels per day โ€” over half of UAE exports โ–ช๏ธ Tankers can load outside the Strait, reducing risk and insurance costs ๐Ÿ”บ Fujairah, located outside Hormuz, offers a safer and cheaper export hub compared to Gulf ports dependent on the Strait. Video is generated by grok AI

NSTRIKE

13,664 views โ€ข 5 months ago