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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦With airborne operational indicators signaling an imminent, coordinated aerospace strike, multi-axis tracking confirms that Moscow has mobilized a massive portion of its strategic fleet alongside sea- and land-based platforms for a large-scale assault. 🔹 At this moment, at least 10 units of Russian TU-95MS/TU-160 strategic bombers are in the...

30,393 görüntüleme • 14 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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ATTENTION! Iran Ballistic Missile capacity (SITREP)—how much longer can they sustain these barrages? It’s just past 0200 local in Tel Aviv time now. Iran has over 3,000 ballistic missiles but cannot launch all simultaneously (they’ve already launched 8 waves). Current evidence leans toward a maximum of around 180-200 missiles launched at once in recent attacks. It seems very likely that infrastructure limits simultaneous launches to far below 3,000. Iran possesses a significant ballistic missile arsenal, estimated at over 3,000 missiles, making it the largest in the Middle East. However, the capacity to launch all these missiles at once is constrained by logistical and strategic factors, including the number of launch platforms and the nature of their deployment. Recent military actions show Iran launching up to 180-200 missiles in a single strike. These numbers are significantly lower than 3,000, indicating a limit to simultaneous launch capacity. Iran's infrastructure and launch capacity, including transporter-erector-launchers (TELs) and underground facilities, does not support launching 3,000 missiles at once. The focus on sequential or ripple-fire systems further supports this limitation. My assessment is Iran is getting toward the end of their ballistic missile capacity (for a variety of reasons). They likely still retain hundreds but their ability to launch very large numbers is hindered by infrastructure destruction over the past several days as well as launch capabilities. That said, DO NOT underestimate Iran’s ability to do as much as humanly possible to attempt to destroy Israel. That has been their stated goal for years and until there is regime change to someone more aligned with Israel and the west, expect this war to continue. Iran's ballistic missile program has been a focal point of regional and international security discussions for many years, particularly given its implications for Middle Eastern stability and global non-proliferation efforts. Iran's ballistic missile inventory comprises a diverse array of short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) and medium-range ballistic missiles (MRBMs). One notable development is an automated missile launch system revealed since 2020, capable of positioning up to five fully fueled ballistic missiles on an underground railcar for sequential ripple-fire through a single vertical shaft. This is what Israel is facing now. Barrages of dozens of these simultaneously and my assessment is more to come. Strategic and Logistical Considerations Launching 3,000 missiles simultaneously would require an unprecedented number of launch platforms and coordination, likely exceeding Iran's current capabilities. Strategically, such an action would deplete Iran's entire arsenal, leaving it vulnerable to counterattacks. Our Israeli allies need to prepare for another round of massive amounts of missiles. Iran—you better get ready for a strategic counteroffensive. The Israelis have planned this war for a long time and my sense is that they are far more ready than you, particularly their population. The Iranian people DO NOT want to suffer any longer under their brutal tyrannical regime. This war will end with a clear victor. Donald J. Trump JD Vance DNI Tulsi Gabbard

General Mike Flynn

724,748 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Russia attacked Ukraine with 537 aerial strike weapons last night: • 477 Shahed drones and drones-imitators of various types; • 4 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles; • 7 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles; • 41 Kh-101/Iskander-K cruise missiles; • 5 Kalibr cruise missiles; • 3 S-300 surface-to-air guided missiles. ◾️ Cherkasy region In Smila, six people were injured, including one child. Three nine-story apartment buildings and a local college were damaged. ◾️ Mykolaiv An infrastructure facility was hit, warehouse buildings were damaged. ◾️ Ivano-Frankivsk region Debris from downed targets fell on private properties in the Rohatyn and Bilshivtsi communities. In the village of Vasiuchyn, windows of a church building and part of a wooden bell tower were damaged. In the village of Naraivka, a woman was injured, and a residential building was damaged. ◾️ Sumy region The Sumy, Shostka, and Konotop districts were affected. Civilian infrastructure was damaged and destroyed. ◾️ Dnipropetrovsk region Russia attacked the Nikopol, Marhanets, and Pokrov communities. In the morning, drones struck the district center. ◾️ Poltava region The Kremenchuk district was hit. In the Poltava district, a business was affected, and an extension of a residential building was damaged. ◾️ Zaporizhzhia A production facility of one of the enterprises was damaged. ◾️ Lviv region Russia targeted critical infrastructure.

Anton Gerashchenko

246,490 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

🚨🇷🇺 NATO IN PANIC: RUSSIA SENDS A-50U FLYING RADAR TO HUNT UKRAINIAN CRUISE MISSILES Russia has rushed its rare upgraded A-50U 'flying radar' — the most powerful airborne system in its inventory — into action to smash Ukrainian FP-5 Flamingo cruise missile barrages targeting the critical Votkinsk plant that manufactures Iskander-M ballistic missiles. So what upgrades and operational roles give the A-50U its edge against low-flying cruise missiles? 🔸 Russia's A-50U, an enhanced Soviet-era platform incorporating technologies from the delayed A-100 program, detects terrain-hugging Flamingo cruise missiles 10-30 minutes earlier than ground radars while filling coverage gaps over rivers and terrain 🔸 The A-50U tracks up to 300 objects and supplies targeting data to 40 fighters (baseline A-50: 200/20), with its Shmel II radar delivering 33% longer tracking range against fighters. 🔸 Each A-50U provides 15-20% higher endurance for over 9 hours airborne without refueling and functions as a central command-and-control node for Russia's multi-tier air defense networks. 🔸 An A-50U took off around 00:40 on July 5 to support intercepts after more than five Flamingo missiles flew the Volga route via Volgograd toward Votkinsk in Udmurtia on June 5, with no impacts reported. 🔸 The A-50U previously guided S-400 40N6 shots near 400 km at low altitude and Su-35/R-37 engagements out to 350 km, as Ukraine shifts from restricted Anglo-French Storm Shadow/SCALP to mass unrestricted FP-5 production. Can Ukraine’s cruise missiles survive Russia’s A-50U flying radar coverage?

NewRulesGeopolitics

28,604 görüntüleme • 9 gün önce