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🚨#𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐚 𝐭𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐢𝐬𝐚𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐬 𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐣𝐞𝐜𝐭 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐌𝐚𝐤𝐢𝐧𝐠: 🚅🚄🚨 🔅Cost when the Project Announced - 𝟏.𝟎𝟖 𝐋𝐚𝐜 𝐂𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐞 🔅Current Cost - 𝟏.𝟔𝟎 𝐋𝐚𝐜 𝐂𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐞 🔅Say an Average Fare of 𝟑𝟎𝟎𝟎/- & Say with Full Capacity per day Passenger Commute of 𝟏𝟎𝟎𝟎𝟎 Passengers (On a very High Side) 🔅Annual revenue... from fares - 𝟏𝟎𝟗𝟓 𝐂𝐫𝐨𝐫𝐞𝐬 🔅To Recover the CAPEX Cost itself (since Opex has not been taken into consideration) - 𝟏𝟒𝟔 𝐘𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 🔅If the number of Trains increase the cost too is bound to increase, further 🔅And this, when we consider Full Fare for Mumbai to Ahmedabad Commute - Many Passengers will get down at other stations & will pay lesser Ticket Price 🔅Flight Cost for Same Day Flight - 𝐑𝐬.𝟑𝟓𝟗𝟗/- 𝐎𝐧𝐥𝐲 #𝐀𝐧𝐩𝐚𝐝𝐡 𝐑𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐃𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐬 𝐚𝐰𝐚𝐲 #𝐓𝐚𝐱𝐏𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐌𝐨𝐧𝐞𝐲 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐅𝐚𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐧!!! #BulletTrain #BulletTrain_Economics #GodMorningTuesday #INDvsPAK #RGHS_फर्जीवाड़ा #StockMarketshow more

𝐒𝐢𝐝𝐝

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12,965 次观看 • 11 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

科学技术新闻政治财经 #𝐁𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐓𝐫𝐚𝐢𝐧

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Elon Musk and Peter Diamandis just described the end of the economic model every civilization in history was built on. Not a recession. Not a depression. The end of scarcity itself. Musk: “I call AI and robotics the supersonic tsunami.” Not a wave you see coming. A wave that arrives before the sound does. Diamandis: “Labor becomes the cost of capex and electricity. AI is basically intelligence available at a de minimis price.” When intelligence costs almost nothing, the labor inside every product turns into an electricity bill. Diamandis: “You’re able to produce almost anything. Things get down to basic costs of materials and electricity.” Not cheaper production. Nearly free production. Every price you have ever paid was mostly labor. The labor to design it. To build it. To move it. To sell it. Take labor out and the price of almost everything falls toward the cost of the atoms it’s made of. Diamandis: “People can have whatever stuff they want, whatever services they need.” That sentence isn’t utopian. It’s a description of what stops being necessary. Every economic system in history was designed to solve one problem. Allocation under scarcity. Who gets what when there isn’t enough for everyone. Markets. Currencies. Taxation. Wages. Supply chains. Trade policy. All of it. Machinery for rationing. They’re describing a world where that problem stops existing. Musk: “If your output of goods and services increases faster than the money supply, you will have deflation.” Not the deflation economists fear. Not collapsing demand. Supply going infinite while demand stays human. Musk: “Governments will actually be pushing to increase money supply.” Printing at full speed and still losing to how fast AI drives the cost of everything down. Musk: “They won’t be able to waste the money fast enough. Which is saying something for government.” That’s not an economy in crisis. That’s an economy outrunning the instruments built to read it. Musk: “Productivity is going to improve dramatically. I think we may see high double-digit output of goods and services.” Double-digit productivity growth, sustained indefinitely. Numbers that break every economic model we have. Musk: “We have to be a little careful about how economists measure things.” Not because the numbers are wrong. Because the measurements were designed for a world that’s ending. Almost every economic crisis in history came from not having enough. The crisis nobody has a framework for is having too much. Every empire, every currency, every power structure ran on the same assumption. That there would never be enough to go around. That wasn’t a policy. That was the ground everything else stood on. Two men just described what happens when the ground gives way and nothing has been built to replace it. Every definition of value we have ever used was a measure of scarcity. We’re about to need one that isn’t. We spent ten thousand years fighting over a pie we assumed was fixed. We’re about to find out what happens when the pie has no edge.

Elon Musk and Peter Diamandis just described the end of the economic model every civilization in history was built on. Not a recession. Not a depression. The end of scarcity itself. Musk: “I call AI and robotics the supersonic tsunami.” Not a wave you see coming. A wave that arrives before the sound does. Diamandis: “Labor becomes the cost of capex and electricity. AI is basically intelligence available at a de minimis price.” When intelligence costs almost nothing, the labor inside every product turns into an electricity bill. Diamandis: “You’re able to produce almost anything. Things get down to basic costs of materials and electricity.” Not cheaper production. Nearly free production. Every price you have ever paid was mostly labor. The labor to design it. To build it. To move it. To sell it. Take labor out and the price of almost everything falls toward the cost of the atoms it’s made of. Diamandis: “People can have whatever stuff they want, whatever services they need.” That sentence isn’t utopian. It’s a description of what stops being necessary. Every economic system in history was designed to solve one problem. Allocation under scarcity. Who gets what when there isn’t enough for everyone. Markets. Currencies. Taxation. Wages. Supply chains. Trade policy. All of it. Machinery for rationing. They’re describing a world where that problem stops existing. Musk: “If your output of goods and services increases faster than the money supply, you will have deflation.” Not the deflation economists fear. Not collapsing demand. Supply going infinite while demand stays human. Musk: “Governments will actually be pushing to increase money supply.” Printing at full speed and still losing to how fast AI drives the cost of everything down. Musk: “They won’t be able to waste the money fast enough. Which is saying something for government.” That’s not an economy in crisis. That’s an economy outrunning the instruments built to read it. Musk: “Productivity is going to improve dramatically. I think we may see high double-digit output of goods and services.” Double-digit productivity growth, sustained indefinitely. Numbers that break every economic model we have. Musk: “We have to be a little careful about how economists measure things.” Not because the numbers are wrong. Because the measurements were designed for a world that’s ending. Almost every economic crisis in history came from not having enough. The crisis nobody has a framework for is having too much. Every empire, every currency, every power structure ran on the same assumption. That there would never be enough to go around. That wasn’t a policy. That was the ground everything else stood on. Two men just described what happens when the ground gives way and nothing has been built to replace it. Every definition of value we have ever used was a measure of scarcity. We’re about to need one that isn’t. We spent ten thousand years fighting over a pie we assumed was fixed. We’re about to find out what happens when the pie has no edge.

Dustin

57,207 次观看 • 19 天前

This is absolutely insane “Canadians pay more in taxes than they spend on housing, clothing, and food combined. In fact, 45% of our entire $2.7 trillion GDP ends up in government hands. — Over the last 60 years, the total tax bill for the average family skyrocketed 2,705%. To put that into perspective, housing costs, which have made Canada infamously unaffordable, only increased by 2006%. - Food prices surged by 901% - Clothing costs rose by 478% Even the consumer Price Index, which tracks inflation, has been outpaced threefold by our taxes. As of 2024, the average Canadian family forks over $46,988, or 43% of their income, surpassing what they spend on food, shelter, and clothing, which amounts to $38,930 - We're taxed on the money we earn - The money we spend - The money we save - The money we invest - Even the money we inherit The absurdity continues when you consider just the cost to get to work. You're taxed to register your car, taxed to drive on roads your taxes already paid to build, and taxed even further to put gas in your car. And for some, we can add tolls on bridges, highways, and tunnels already built, with billions in taxpayer dollars yet still falling apart. When you finally get to work, your office is taxed, your company is taxed, and you're taxed again through payroll taxes, which your employer must also match. These include employment insurance, which 90% of us will never need, and the Canada pension plan, which is best described as a legalized Ponzi scheme. Anyhow, after your day of work is done and you finally get home, you're taxed again every year for the privilege of owning your own home. This home, mind you, was bought with money that was already taxed. And if you're ambitious enough to build your own home, roughly 30% of the cost goes to soft costs, at euphemism for more government taxes. To add insult to injury, the Liberals are now considering a tax on capital gains from the sale of your primary residence, meaning you would be taxed when you buy, build, and sell your home. Now, if you buy nice things, you pay a luxury tax, and if you like to have fun, you pay a sin tax. When all is said and done, the average Canadian works until June 13th to reach their tax freedom day. This is when you've earned enough money to pay the government so you can start earning for yourself. It's as if the Liberals are always just one tax away from solving all of our problems. I'm not sure how you might qualify this, but to me it feels an awful lot like a modern version of indentured servitude. Now, one would think that all this money would at least improve our life, right? Unfortunately, many of us know that's not the case. Since 2015, Canada's federal debt has more than doubled from $612 billion to $1.25 trillion, 30,000 of which is your share. And Carney says there will be at least three more years of deficits under Liberal leadership. The same Liberals that have ballooned the annual federal budget from 282 billion in 2015 to 537 billion, a 90% increase. However, despite record tax revenue, like life in Canada, is more expensive, less efficient, and worse for the average person. Crime is up, poverty is up, bankruptcies are up, and the cost of living for the average family of four outpaces their average take home income. So the average Canadian can't even afford to live in this country. The Liberals have perfected the art of taking more while delivering less. More bureaucracy, more red tape, more empty promises while essential services crumble and working families are left to pick up the tab. It seems the more our government takes, the less we actually get in return. So if you, like me, believe this country can do better, then it's time to stop voting for the same party that drove us off this cliff in the first place.”

This is absolutely insane “Canadians pay more in taxes than they spend on housing, clothing, and food combined. In fact, 45% of our entire $2.7 trillion GDP ends up in government hands. — Over the last 60 years, the total tax bill for the average family skyrocketed 2,705%. To put that into perspective, housing costs, which have made Canada infamously unaffordable, only increased by 2006%. - Food prices surged by 901% - Clothing costs rose by 478% Even the consumer Price Index, which tracks inflation, has been outpaced threefold by our taxes. As of 2024, the average Canadian family forks over $46,988, or 43% of their income, surpassing what they spend on food, shelter, and clothing, which amounts to $38,930 - We're taxed on the money we earn - The money we spend - The money we save - The money we invest - Even the money we inherit The absurdity continues when you consider just the cost to get to work. You're taxed to register your car, taxed to drive on roads your taxes already paid to build, and taxed even further to put gas in your car. And for some, we can add tolls on bridges, highways, and tunnels already built, with billions in taxpayer dollars yet still falling apart. When you finally get to work, your office is taxed, your company is taxed, and you're taxed again through payroll taxes, which your employer must also match. These include employment insurance, which 90% of us will never need, and the Canada pension plan, which is best described as a legalized Ponzi scheme. Anyhow, after your day of work is done and you finally get home, you're taxed again every year for the privilege of owning your own home. This home, mind you, was bought with money that was already taxed. And if you're ambitious enough to build your own home, roughly 30% of the cost goes to soft costs, at euphemism for more government taxes. To add insult to injury, the Liberals are now considering a tax on capital gains from the sale of your primary residence, meaning you would be taxed when you buy, build, and sell your home. Now, if you buy nice things, you pay a luxury tax, and if you like to have fun, you pay a sin tax. When all is said and done, the average Canadian works until June 13th to reach their tax freedom day. This is when you've earned enough money to pay the government so you can start earning for yourself. It's as if the Liberals are always just one tax away from solving all of our problems. I'm not sure how you might qualify this, but to me it feels an awful lot like a modern version of indentured servitude. Now, one would think that all this money would at least improve our life, right? Unfortunately, many of us know that's not the case. Since 2015, Canada's federal debt has more than doubled from $612 billion to $1.25 trillion, 30,000 of which is your share. And Carney says there will be at least three more years of deficits under Liberal leadership. The same Liberals that have ballooned the annual federal budget from 282 billion in 2015 to 537 billion, a 90% increase. However, despite record tax revenue, like life in Canada, is more expensive, less efficient, and worse for the average person. Crime is up, poverty is up, bankruptcies are up, and the cost of living for the average family of four outpaces their average take home income. So the average Canadian can't even afford to live in this country. The Liberals have perfected the art of taking more while delivering less. More bureaucracy, more red tape, more empty promises while essential services crumble and working families are left to pick up the tab. It seems the more our government takes, the less we actually get in return. So if you, like me, believe this country can do better, then it's time to stop voting for the same party that drove us off this cliff in the first place.”

Wall Street Apes

94,300 次观看 • 1 年前

The scandal that puts Canadians in multigenerational debt: The Gordie Howe International Bridge project that will connect Detroit to Windsor was pitched as a billion dollar project in 2012 by the Harper government. The trouble is that the cost is now estimated to be around $7 billion dollars. However, studies suggest toll revenue will never be enough to recoup the cost, and with interest payments the bridge will likely require decades of taxpayer subsidies that could amount to $52 billion dollars. Here are the facts: 📌 There is an already existing bridge in the area called the Ambassador bridge which offered to build a second span for free. 📌 American government is not paying a dime for the project, and Canada is paying for all costs including the custom compound and the highway interchange on U.S. soil. 📌 In 2010 the government manufactured the DRIC report to justify the new bridge, it had gross miscalculations and inaccuracies in projecting the cross border traffic to increase over decades to come. 📌 Empirical data shows that cross border traffic has overall declined more than 50% in the area for last 2 decades, and there’s no reason for it to rebound. 📌 Studies demonstrate that even if the traffic stopped declining, and Gordie Howe were to charge 3 times more in toll than the ambassador bridge next door, and drivers were to prefer to chose paying more for some reason, taxpayers would still have to subsidize the bridge for at least 6 decades. 📌 The procurement process was shady as transparency and fairness letters were issued 1 day before the awarding. 📌 AECON dropped out of the bidding process the last business day, and then was allowed back in to join the winning consortium for reasons unknown. 📌 The construction giants that bid against each other in this project are actively working together on other multi billion dollar P3 projects across Canada while bidding against each other in other projects. 📌 Amarjeet Sohi was the infrastructure minister at the time whose brother’s trucking company that he did not disclose was already doing business with VINCI in the federally funded Regina bypass project. Navdeep Bains blocked AECON’s sale to China, and Sohi allowed AECON to join back into this dream project for some reason. Bains was also giving sole sourced contracts to Sohi’s brother’s trucking company. 📌 WDBA says they expect to finish off paying the bridge in 30 years by collecting toll revenue, and then start splitting the revenues with the state of Michigan. But given that toll revenue alone will not even be enough to pay the hundreds of millions of dollars in annual interest, the Michigan taxpayers might be asked to pay for the bridge to make up for the shortfalls in toll revenue. 📌 Canadian politicians both liberal and conservative have put Canadians in multigenerational debt by actively participating with nefarious construction giants. 📌 Allegations of bid-rigging are worrisome as corrupt companies like SNC-Lavalin participated in the bidding while they were under a 10-year ban by the World Bank for committing corruption in the poorest countries of the world. 📌ACS which the project was awarded to also have a history of corruption around the world. 📌 VINCI which partnered up with SNC on the GHIB project was already working with Sohi’s brother’s trucking company on the Regina bypass project. This is how an unnecessary bridge that was pitched as a billion dollar project ended up costing $7 billion dollars, and will require tens of billions of dollars in subsidies to make up for the shortfall in toll revenue. Only Amarjert Sohi and his nefarious nexus Including domestic and foreign construction giants will benefit at the cost of Canadian and U.S. taxpayers. I asked a legal scholar who’s considered to be the leading authority on extradition law if these Canadian politicians could be extradited to U.S. Check out the comment section to watch my full report.

The scandal that puts Canadians in multigenerational debt: The Gordie Howe International Bridge project that will connect Detroit to Windsor was pitched as a billion dollar project in 2012 by the Harper government. The trouble is that the cost is now estimated to be around $7 billion dollars. However, studies suggest toll revenue will never be enough to recoup the cost, and with interest payments the bridge will likely require decades of taxpayer subsidies that could amount to $52 billion dollars. Here are the facts: 📌 There is an already existing bridge in the area called the Ambassador bridge which offered to build a second span for free. 📌 American government is not paying a dime for the project, and Canada is paying for all costs including the custom compound and the highway interchange on U.S. soil. 📌 In 2010 the government manufactured the DRIC report to justify the new bridge, it had gross miscalculations and inaccuracies in projecting the cross border traffic to increase over decades to come. 📌 Empirical data shows that cross border traffic has overall declined more than 50% in the area for last 2 decades, and there’s no reason for it to rebound. 📌 Studies demonstrate that even if the traffic stopped declining, and Gordie Howe were to charge 3 times more in toll than the ambassador bridge next door, and drivers were to prefer to chose paying more for some reason, taxpayers would still have to subsidize the bridge for at least 6 decades. 📌 The procurement process was shady as transparency and fairness letters were issued 1 day before the awarding. 📌 AECON dropped out of the bidding process the last business day, and then was allowed back in to join the winning consortium for reasons unknown. 📌 The construction giants that bid against each other in this project are actively working together on other multi billion dollar P3 projects across Canada while bidding against each other in other projects. 📌 Amarjeet Sohi was the infrastructure minister at the time whose brother’s trucking company that he did not disclose was already doing business with VINCI in the federally funded Regina bypass project. Navdeep Bains blocked AECON’s sale to China, and Sohi allowed AECON to join back into this dream project for some reason. Bains was also giving sole sourced contracts to Sohi’s brother’s trucking company. 📌 WDBA says they expect to finish off paying the bridge in 30 years by collecting toll revenue, and then start splitting the revenues with the state of Michigan. But given that toll revenue alone will not even be enough to pay the hundreds of millions of dollars in annual interest, the Michigan taxpayers might be asked to pay for the bridge to make up for the shortfalls in toll revenue. 📌 Canadian politicians both liberal and conservative have put Canadians in multigenerational debt by actively participating with nefarious construction giants. 📌 Allegations of bid-rigging are worrisome as corrupt companies like SNC-Lavalin participated in the bidding while they were under a 10-year ban by the World Bank for committing corruption in the poorest countries of the world. 📌ACS which the project was awarded to also have a history of corruption around the world. 📌 VINCI which partnered up with SNC on the GHIB project was already working with Sohi’s brother’s trucking company on the Regina bypass project. This is how an unnecessary bridge that was pitched as a billion dollar project ended up costing $7 billion dollars, and will require tens of billions of dollars in subsidies to make up for the shortfall in toll revenue. Only Amarjert Sohi and his nefarious nexus Including domestic and foreign construction giants will benefit at the cost of Canadian and U.S. taxpayers. I asked a legal scholar who’s considered to be the leading authority on extradition law if these Canadian politicians could be extradited to U.S. Check out the comment section to watch my full report.

Mocha Bezirgan 🇨🇦

99,724 次观看 • 2 年前

WOAH 🚨 Pay attention to this American pharmacist exposing that some cheap, very effective drugs, HAVE BEEN BANNED form being prescribed because they’re too cheap So instead of the cheap option, drugs that cost $1,000+ are allowed for certain treatments (INSANE) “The most insane examples of why drugs cost so much is a drug called Brenzavvy. You almost certainly haven't heard of it, but you've probably heard of similar drugs like Jardiance or Farxiga. The reason you haven't heard of Brenzavvy, though, is because no insurance companies will cover it. Most doctors won't prescribe it, and most wholesalers won't even carry it. When I tell you why our entire healthcare industry is turning its back on this proven drug in one of the most critical classes in existence, you are going to be furious. They are shunning Brenzavvy because it's too cheap. I'm not being hyperbolic or sensational. I mean it literally. At my pharmacy, Brenzavvy costs $60 bucks. When they took that price to the pharmacy benefits managers, or PBMs, that's the people in charge of deciding what's covered on your insurance, they all said no, because Brenzavvy can't do a rebate at a price that low. Farxiga and Jardiance, the other Drugs in the SLGT 2 class with Brenzavvy, cost insurance payers $1000 bucks each prescription up front. Then they get a big, probably like 40% rebate later. So that's a $400 rebate, and that is a huge selling point for the PBMs to prove how important they are. The PBMs get a piece of that rebate, and they get a percentage of the final price. An HHS report from last year said that the PBMs get 23% on average for for brand meds. After the rebate, Farxiga and Jardiance still cost $600. 23% of that is $138 for the middleman. Those drugs get dispensed 8 million times a year, which means the total they make in a year off of those two drugs is $1.1 billion. They don't make the drug, they don't prescribe it, they don't dispense it, they don't sell it. They only have to do one thing to make that money. Keep Brenzavvy off their list. If they let in a drug that costs 1/10 of the price and doesn't pay rebate, they literally lose a billion dollars a year. To me, that's the clearest example of why we will never get affordable health care in America. As long as we have PBMs involved, they can't afford to save you money.“ So while this might not be an outright ban, meaning illegal to create, for all purposes it is a ban. Because if the insurance companies won’t cover it, their doctors won’t prescribe it and nearly all wholesalers won’t carry it, that means the insurances companies and PBMs are effectively banning medication in America so they can make maximum profits. Billions a year on a single Medicine, when there are much cheaper options available for the customer This is organized crime. This is racketeering

Wall Street Apes

107,917 次观看 • 1 年前

Elon Musk in 2008: "NASA was going to pay Russia $70M per astronaut. SpaceX could do it for $15M" Musk is presenting SpaceX to a small audience. He shows a video of the Falcon 9 first stage firing: "This is almost a million pounds of thrust in vacuum, about four times the maximum thrust of a 747. It's pretty much Armageddon down there. You don't want to be standing at the base of that test stand." He explains the NASA contract: "The contract SpaceX has right now is to demonstrate cargo transfer to the space station and return of experiments to Earth. What we're hoping NASA will exercise is an option on that contract to also carry astronauts. I think they will exercise that option fairly soon." On the coming gap in American spaceflight: "The Space Shuttle is retiring in 2010. So unless our spacecraft is active, the US will not have the ability to send people to orbit. For about five or six years, unless SpaceX is successful, there will be no American manned space capability. There'll just be the Russians." He describes the situation bluntly: "The Russians are charging us over $70 million per seat after the shuttle retires. They got us over a barrel and they're doing us hard. We'll spend half a billion dollars per year on the Russians just buying tickets for six or seven astronauts to go to the space station." Musk shares SpaceX's cost: "Our cost per person, even assuming no reusability, assuming every bit of it is expended and no refurbishment, is about $15 million per person. And it's us. The jobs are here. So I think it's kind of a no-brainer. But no-brainers in Washington DC don't always happen." On Congress: "We've been given money for the cargo portion but not for the manned portion. The amount we're asking for to get this done is $300 million. For every year that we're dependent on the Russians, we have to send them half a billion dollars. It seems kind of ludicrous. But anyway, that's DC." Someone asks about the space elevator: "The idea is you have this really long cable, like 40 to 60,000 miles long, with the ends way out in space and the base on Earth. There are a lot of issues with the space elevator. It relies on super strong materials, carbon nanotubes. Until we build, say, a carbon nanotube footbridge, then I think we should not really be thinking too much about building a 60,000-mile elevator. Not this century." On space solar power: "If there's anyone in the world who should love space solar power, it's me. I'm chairman and the largest shareholder of a solar company called SolarCity, and I've got a rocket company. So it should be perfect. Unfortunately, I don't think space solar power makes sense. I wish it did because that'd be awesome. But even if you assume it costs zero to transport the solar panels to space, when you take into account the equipment to convert the energy to microwaves, then equipment on the ground to convert it back to electricity, just that capital cost blows you out of the water. It's not competitive with terrestrial solar power. So there's no point in even thinking about it." On fuel costs: "The fuel and oxidizer cost is really super low. For our big rocket, it's only a couple hundred thousand dollars. For our small rocket, it's about $30,000 or $40,000. If you just look at the propellant cost, it's very, very cheap." On the long-term goal: "One of the design goals for Falcon 9 is that it can go from in the hangar to in the air in under 60 minutes, which would be super fast for a rocket, particularly a big rocket. It's going to take several flights before we get there. But as long as we lay the foundation and make sure the design is capable of that, we can at least have the possibility of getting to a flight an hour in the future."

Elon Musk in 2008: "NASA was going to pay Russia $70M per astronaut. SpaceX could do it for $15M" Musk is presenting SpaceX to a small audience. He shows a video of the Falcon 9 first stage firing: "This is almost a million pounds of thrust in vacuum, about four times the maximum thrust of a 747. It's pretty much Armageddon down there. You don't want to be standing at the base of that test stand." He explains the NASA contract: "The contract SpaceX has right now is to demonstrate cargo transfer to the space station and return of experiments to Earth. What we're hoping NASA will exercise is an option on that contract to also carry astronauts. I think they will exercise that option fairly soon." On the coming gap in American spaceflight: "The Space Shuttle is retiring in 2010. So unless our spacecraft is active, the US will not have the ability to send people to orbit. For about five or six years, unless SpaceX is successful, there will be no American manned space capability. There'll just be the Russians." He describes the situation bluntly: "The Russians are charging us over $70 million per seat after the shuttle retires. They got us over a barrel and they're doing us hard. We'll spend half a billion dollars per year on the Russians just buying tickets for six or seven astronauts to go to the space station." Musk shares SpaceX's cost: "Our cost per person, even assuming no reusability, assuming every bit of it is expended and no refurbishment, is about $15 million per person. And it's us. The jobs are here. So I think it's kind of a no-brainer. But no-brainers in Washington DC don't always happen." On Congress: "We've been given money for the cargo portion but not for the manned portion. The amount we're asking for to get this done is $300 million. For every year that we're dependent on the Russians, we have to send them half a billion dollars. It seems kind of ludicrous. But anyway, that's DC." Someone asks about the space elevator: "The idea is you have this really long cable, like 40 to 60,000 miles long, with the ends way out in space and the base on Earth. There are a lot of issues with the space elevator. It relies on super strong materials, carbon nanotubes. Until we build, say, a carbon nanotube footbridge, then I think we should not really be thinking too much about building a 60,000-mile elevator. Not this century." On space solar power: "If there's anyone in the world who should love space solar power, it's me. I'm chairman and the largest shareholder of a solar company called SolarCity, and I've got a rocket company. So it should be perfect. Unfortunately, I don't think space solar power makes sense. I wish it did because that'd be awesome. But even if you assume it costs zero to transport the solar panels to space, when you take into account the equipment to convert the energy to microwaves, then equipment on the ground to convert it back to electricity, just that capital cost blows you out of the water. It's not competitive with terrestrial solar power. So there's no point in even thinking about it." On fuel costs: "The fuel and oxidizer cost is really super low. For our big rocket, it's only a couple hundred thousand dollars. For our small rocket, it's about $30,000 or $40,000. If you just look at the propellant cost, it's very, very cheap." On the long-term goal: "One of the design goals for Falcon 9 is that it can go from in the hangar to in the air in under 60 minutes, which would be super fast for a rocket, particularly a big rocket. It's going to take several flights before we get there. But as long as we lay the foundation and make sure the design is capable of that, we can at least have the possibility of getting to a flight an hour in the future."

Grey

56,512 次观看 • 3 个月前

We import US$ 23 million chicken neck and back is what we import annually to Jamaica, close to US$13 million in beef offals, beef trimmings US$ 16 million, rice US$84 million.... You may ask why there are so many parts of an animal and rice. Most Jamaicans cannot afford chicken, beef, or fish to feed their families, so they must resort to cuts and trimmings. In other words “Di Pot a boil but di food nuh nuff.” Disclaimer: I am not in the PNP's shadow cabinet, so what I am about to say may not contend. But this is something I've been speaking and writing about for years. I would like you to think for yourself and re-examine with data some long-held beliefs that others have tried to impose on you, saying they are supposed to be in your self-interest. Today, I want to highlight and explain just one and why it is a significant reason why our people remain unhealthy with obesity, high blood pressure, and other primary health ailments. They cannot afford to buy a balanced food basket because the cost of chicken is out of their reach. For decades, Jamaica has had 250% duty protection on chicken meat. Globally, the average import duty rate on chicken in other countries is 24%, so why must it be 250% in Jamaica? (it’s actually 260%) Is this really in our people's national interest, or are we serving the interest of a very few individuals, in particular 2 companies? Before you have a knee-jerk reaction to 'yes, it helps local production," let us look at the data rather than an emotion. The International cost breakdown of a chicken is feed (largely corn) at 61%, baby chicks at 18%, housing at 7%, others at 10%, and labor at only 4%. We do not make feed in Jamaica. We don't produce corn. We don't produce wheat or soybean; the inputs that go into feed. What we refer to as feed mills in Jamaica are really big silos and a mixer that blends these imported inputs into the final product, much the same as concrete is composed of sand, stone, cement, and water. But at least in concrete, all the inputs are produced in Jamaica, so the "local " feed is a totally imported product. So, in effect, the local Jamaican direct cost input of chicken is less than 10%. Therefore, I challenge the logic of providing excessive duty protection to any product with a local input of less than 20%, much less chicken, whose input is less than 10%. All the inputs in animal feed are traded as commodities on the world market, like oil; the price fluctuates in keeping with the law of supply and demand. The price of corn has fallen from $801 (US/Bu) April 2022 ,to less than $392.50today ( Check it yourself on on straight mathematical terms with 50% reduction in the cost of feed which represents 61% of the cost input of chicken our chicken prices should have gone down by about 30%, but instead it went up. Who benefits? Certainly not the Jamaican public whose citizens find it hard to afford a whole chicken dinner, certainly not the workers at the factory whose pay remains much the same, and certainly not the Jamaican economy as there has been little or no growth in our agricultural sector generally for years. Did you know that if you apply for a permit to import a container of chicken in any form, the ministry of agriculture first refers the matter to the two chicken monopoly producers to find out if they have any objections? Tell them to challenge me on this! What do you think is their response? With that system in place, there is effectively no real competition in the marketplace. In fact there is no marketplace. You pay what the two local monopolies decide you should pay. Since it’s so obvious, you will wonder why this backward policy has continued. Well, the false theory is that we are saving the livelihood of the 30,000 small farmers. But is this really true?

We import US$ 23 million chicken neck and back is what we import annually to Jamaica, close to US$13 million in beef offals, beef trimmings US$ 16 million, rice US$84 million.... You may ask why there are so many parts of an animal and rice. Most Jamaicans cannot afford chicken, beef, or fish to feed their families, so they must resort to cuts and trimmings. In other words “Di Pot a boil but di food nuh nuff.” Disclaimer: I am not in the PNP's shadow cabinet, so what I am about to say may not contend. But this is something I've been speaking and writing about for years. I would like you to think for yourself and re-examine with data some long-held beliefs that others have tried to impose on you, saying they are supposed to be in your self-interest. Today, I want to highlight and explain just one and why it is a significant reason why our people remain unhealthy with obesity, high blood pressure, and other primary health ailments. They cannot afford to buy a balanced food basket because the cost of chicken is out of their reach. For decades, Jamaica has had 250% duty protection on chicken meat. Globally, the average import duty rate on chicken in other countries is 24%, so why must it be 250% in Jamaica? (it’s actually 260%) Is this really in our people's national interest, or are we serving the interest of a very few individuals, in particular 2 companies? Before you have a knee-jerk reaction to 'yes, it helps local production," let us look at the data rather than an emotion. The International cost breakdown of a chicken is feed (largely corn) at 61%, baby chicks at 18%, housing at 7%, others at 10%, and labor at only 4%. We do not make feed in Jamaica. We don't produce corn. We don't produce wheat or soybean; the inputs that go into feed. What we refer to as feed mills in Jamaica are really big silos and a mixer that blends these imported inputs into the final product, much the same as concrete is composed of sand, stone, cement, and water. But at least in concrete, all the inputs are produced in Jamaica, so the "local " feed is a totally imported product. So, in effect, the local Jamaican direct cost input of chicken is less than 10%. Therefore, I challenge the logic of providing excessive duty protection to any product with a local input of less than 20%, much less chicken, whose input is less than 10%. All the inputs in animal feed are traded as commodities on the world market, like oil; the price fluctuates in keeping with the law of supply and demand. The price of corn has fallen from $801 (US/Bu) April 2022 ,to less than $392.50today ( Check it yourself on on straight mathematical terms with 50% reduction in the cost of feed which represents 61% of the cost input of chicken our chicken prices should have gone down by about 30%, but instead it went up. Who benefits? Certainly not the Jamaican public whose citizens find it hard to afford a whole chicken dinner, certainly not the workers at the factory whose pay remains much the same, and certainly not the Jamaican economy as there has been little or no growth in our agricultural sector generally for years. Did you know that if you apply for a permit to import a container of chicken in any form, the ministry of agriculture first refers the matter to the two chicken monopoly producers to find out if they have any objections? Tell them to challenge me on this! What do you think is their response? With that system in place, there is effectively no real competition in the marketplace. In fact there is no marketplace. You pay what the two local monopolies decide you should pay. Since it’s so obvious, you will wonder why this backward policy has continued. Well, the false theory is that we are saving the livelihood of the 30,000 small farmers. But is this really true?

Lisa Hanna™️

32,499 次观看 • 2 年前

BOOM! The price floor just dropped for a Humanoid Bipedal robot. $6,806.03! Garage builder PRICES! To get a fell for prices the first Apple computer (Apple I) originally sold for $666.66 in 1976. Adjusted for inflation that same amount is equivalent to approximately $3,869 in 2026 dollars. And just as the naysayers did in 1976, and I was there “It is a toy you can’t do anything with it” thus will be said with the “good enough” low cost robots. THIS IS A HOBBYIST GOLD MINE! We really don’t care what those naysayers, say. We are used to it. A group of us across the world have formed the first Robot Research Guild and it will serve as the same fertile platform as the hobby computer clubs did for Apple, last checked, that worked out ok. Now we have one problem, Chyna. We have plans already, from workers at the factory that have leaked the WiFi architecture and we can remove the “call home” function rather simply. This is a massive issue if not done. We will open source this in June. The Robot Research Guild has pre ordered 183 thus far across all members. All of us are waiting for one more thing: Tesla Optimus, all menders that can afford one will order one. The Optimus for many reasons is our first and primary choice. These other robots will serve assurance swarms. Our goal is simple: Build on these hominid platforms and extend their abilities. This spans from hardware to software. Some abilities are to put more powerful batteries (this is always the first issue), give it a new brain by making the current brain a slave to the new AI and new hands that have finer motor control. We are not waiting for permission or the approval of those “tastemakers” that will have you wait until they say it’s cool. I will soon present an area for you to join the Robot Research Guild and the cost is very high, I’m sorry: NOTHING! But your positive attitude and dedication to learn and share what you learn. I’ll say it again $0. No like and subscribe, just no bullshit complaining. How does this new Grift work? Ha! AND… To those that will just comment below: “blah blah blah, clanker blah, blah, I won’t own one, blah blah blah dishes, blah blah sex, blah blah whatever” Yea I heard ya in 1976, I’m still here, sadly most of you are not…

BOOM! The price floor just dropped for a Humanoid Bipedal robot. $6,806.03! Garage builder PRICES! To get a fell for prices the first Apple computer (Apple I) originally sold for $666.66 in 1976. Adjusted for inflation that same amount is equivalent to approximately $3,869 in 2026 dollars. And just as the naysayers did in 1976, and I was there “It is a toy you can’t do anything with it” thus will be said with the “good enough” low cost robots. THIS IS A HOBBYIST GOLD MINE! We really don’t care what those naysayers, say. We are used to it. A group of us across the world have formed the first Robot Research Guild and it will serve as the same fertile platform as the hobby computer clubs did for Apple, last checked, that worked out ok. Now we have one problem, Chyna. We have plans already, from workers at the factory that have leaked the WiFi architecture and we can remove the “call home” function rather simply. This is a massive issue if not done. We will open source this in June. The Robot Research Guild has pre ordered 183 thus far across all members. All of us are waiting for one more thing: Tesla Optimus, all menders that can afford one will order one. The Optimus for many reasons is our first and primary choice. These other robots will serve assurance swarms. Our goal is simple: Build on these hominid platforms and extend their abilities. This spans from hardware to software. Some abilities are to put more powerful batteries (this is always the first issue), give it a new brain by making the current brain a slave to the new AI and new hands that have finer motor control. We are not waiting for permission or the approval of those “tastemakers” that will have you wait until they say it’s cool. I will soon present an area for you to join the Robot Research Guild and the cost is very high, I’m sorry: NOTHING! But your positive attitude and dedication to learn and share what you learn. I’ll say it again $0. No like and subscribe, just no bullshit complaining. How does this new Grift work? Ha! AND… To those that will just comment below: “blah blah blah, clanker blah, blah, I won’t own one, blah blah blah dishes, blah blah sex, blah blah whatever” Yea I heard ya in 1976, I’m still here, sadly most of you are not…

Brian Roemmele

60,822 次观看 • 4 个月前

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

Mario Nawfal

241,051 次观看 • 1 年前

LASG SET TO PARTNER SWEDISH COYS ON WASTE TO ENERGY ..As Env. Comm. says the State Government will continue to pay special attention to waste conversion The quest to make good use of the high solid waste generated in Lagos State got another boost on Tuesday as the state expressed readiness to partner with some Sweden organizations on how to turn both solid waste and liquid waste to energy across the metropolis. Speaking during the meeting at Alausa, Commissioner for the Environment and Water Resources, Tokunbo Wahab said the state will continue to pay special attention to waste management adding that waste is not a waste but remain one of the best resource every where. He said Waste to energy is a project that the State Government is willing to embark on in order to move the narrative forward in a progressive and productive way. "Our resolve from the beginning of this tenure is that whatever we have to engage in to manage and deploy our solid and liquid waste as a resource is a priority for this government as it will save Lagos but other neighbouring state" he said. The Commissioner stated that the Ministry which is a public facing ministry has resolved to embrace any project that will cut the carbon foot print in the state. He said the state being a coastal state is faces alot of challenges, one of which is the Atlantic Ocean rising at the peak of the rainy season adding that the state is also at the end of numerous tributaries where water is discharged into the lagoon all of which could lead to flooding in the state. He said lagos generates between 13,000 to 14,000 tonnes of waste per day and the state is open to suggestions about possible productive ways to turn it into a Resources and move the state forward. Wahab said lagos as a State is working to decongest the roads and make Lagos a 21st century mega city saying that the cause and effect on the environment is that these moves help to reduce the emissions on the long run. According to him, As a result of current energy crisis in Nigeria, this has caused the spike in the cost of PMS and its multiple effects on the economy. So if the Lagos State Government can go ahead with this project. it will solve half of the problem in the PMS high price in Lagos. "This project is something we have to pursue deliberately and diligently. This is because while the government on its own part is trying to push out CNG at lower cost, conversion of waste to energy will also be an option especially for public transport in Lagos" Wahab said Lagos account for over 50% of the vehicular traffic in the country with the smallest land mass as well as 22million people which is 10% of the country’s population being inhabited in with less than 3,600 square kilometers of land, stressing that the project is not an option but a necessity. He recalled that earlier in the year, the state government had been in consultation with two Dutch companies one which will turn waste to energy and the other which will deal with electronic waste, adding that the state can indeed change the notion that waste is not a waste but a resource. The head of the delegation, representative of the Consul of Sweeden and the Business Promotion Officer, Sweden Embassy Abuja, Ms. Sara Ibru noted that the Lagos Government is known to be very pro - active in all its endeavours and that the Swedish Organizations are willing to collaborate with Lagos State to turn solid and liquid wastes into valuable resources. The Honourable Commissioner was joined by the Permanent Secretary, Office of Environmental Services, Gaji Omobolaji Tajudeen and his Counterpart in Drainage Services, Engr Mahamood Adegbite to receive the visitors The organizations representatives include Swedish Trade and Investment Council ( Business Sweden); Honourary Consul of Sweden in Nigeria; Swedish Development Agency (SDA); NIR International Council of Swedish Industry and Swedfund. Signed Kunle Adeshina Director(Public Affairs) MOE&WR

LASG SET TO PARTNER SWEDISH COYS ON WASTE TO ENERGY ..As Env. Comm. says the State Government will continue to pay special attention to waste conversion The quest to make good use of the high solid waste generated in Lagos State got another boost on Tuesday as the state expressed readiness to partner with some Sweden organizations on how to turn both solid waste and liquid waste to energy across the metropolis. Speaking during the meeting at Alausa, Commissioner for the Environment and Water Resources, Tokunbo Wahab said the state will continue to pay special attention to waste management adding that waste is not a waste but remain one of the best resource every where. He said Waste to energy is a project that the State Government is willing to embark on in order to move the narrative forward in a progressive and productive way. "Our resolve from the beginning of this tenure is that whatever we have to engage in to manage and deploy our solid and liquid waste as a resource is a priority for this government as it will save Lagos but other neighbouring state" he said. The Commissioner stated that the Ministry which is a public facing ministry has resolved to embrace any project that will cut the carbon foot print in the state. He said the state being a coastal state is faces alot of challenges, one of which is the Atlantic Ocean rising at the peak of the rainy season adding that the state is also at the end of numerous tributaries where water is discharged into the lagoon all of which could lead to flooding in the state. He said lagos generates between 13,000 to 14,000 tonnes of waste per day and the state is open to suggestions about possible productive ways to turn it into a Resources and move the state forward. Wahab said lagos as a State is working to decongest the roads and make Lagos a 21st century mega city saying that the cause and effect on the environment is that these moves help to reduce the emissions on the long run. According to him, As a result of current energy crisis in Nigeria, this has caused the spike in the cost of PMS and its multiple effects on the economy. So if the Lagos State Government can go ahead with this project. it will solve half of the problem in the PMS high price in Lagos. "This project is something we have to pursue deliberately and diligently. This is because while the government on its own part is trying to push out CNG at lower cost, conversion of waste to energy will also be an option especially for public transport in Lagos" Wahab said Lagos account for over 50% of the vehicular traffic in the country with the smallest land mass as well as 22million people which is 10% of the country’s population being inhabited in with less than 3,600 square kilometers of land, stressing that the project is not an option but a necessity. He recalled that earlier in the year, the state government had been in consultation with two Dutch companies one which will turn waste to energy and the other which will deal with electronic waste, adding that the state can indeed change the notion that waste is not a waste but a resource. The head of the delegation, representative of the Consul of Sweeden and the Business Promotion Officer, Sweden Embassy Abuja, Ms. Sara Ibru noted that the Lagos Government is known to be very pro - active in all its endeavours and that the Swedish Organizations are willing to collaborate with Lagos State to turn solid and liquid wastes into valuable resources. The Honourable Commissioner was joined by the Permanent Secretary, Office of Environmental Services, Gaji Omobolaji Tajudeen and his Counterpart in Drainage Services, Engr Mahamood Adegbite to receive the visitors The organizations representatives include Swedish Trade and Investment Council ( Business Sweden); Honourary Consul of Sweden in Nigeria; Swedish Development Agency (SDA); NIR International Council of Swedish Industry and Swedfund. Signed Kunle Adeshina Director(Public Affairs) MOE&WR

Tokunbo Wahab

10,435 次观看 • 1 年前

North east Lincolnshire council are having a meeting today to discuss putting signs up around a bridge saying 'RAPISTS OPERATE AROUND HERE' CCTV and lighting is considered disproportionately expensive options 😲 Complete removal of the bridge is also an option We have had TWO RAPES and one VIOLENT ATTACK in the last couple of years on this bridge and all the council want to do is put up signs warning people that the bridge is DANGEROUS Full video in the comments 👇🏻 A petition signed by over 200 residents last year called for action to improve public safety at Fuller Street Bridge, such as lighting, improved signage "to allow the public to make informed decisions" about crossing a bridge where sexual assaults have been reported has been recommended with lighting and CCTV considered disproportionately expensive options. A decision on possible extra safety measures at Fuller Street Bridge, Cleethorpes, is due to be taken at a meeting today, Monday (January 26) after council officers reported back on the options to increase safety It followed the reports of alleged rapes to Humberside Police in January 2024 and February 2025 Cllr Ron Shepherd (Conservative - Scartho Ward), has since held two meetings on the matter, in June and September 2025. At the last meeting, he tasked council officers to report back with costings on possible lighting and CCTV measures, and for greater detail on the bridge's structural integrity and data on reported crime in the area These have now been put together. Based on the data showing Fuller Street has "less crime than the immediate surrounding area" and the bridge "significantly less", a council report concludes it would be a disproportionate level of spend to invest in lighting and CCTV for the bridge, or lighting for the North Wall area Complete removal of the bridge is mentioned as a possible option, with its proximity to the lit Suggitt's Lane footbridge referenced. But the report states public opinion must be considered. Instead, new signage is recommended A review of reported crimes between September 2023 and October 2025 found 294 recorded crimes in the local area, including neighbouring streets like Neville Street. Three crimes have been recorded as taking place at the bridge, two sexual offences and one violence against the person Options include: Lighting and CCTV on the bridge: £7,000 for the lighting, £21,000 to install the CCTV and about £3,000 a year to maintain the CCTV. Standard lighting at North Wall, from Fuller Street Bridge to Wonderland, and from the bridge entrance to the port entrance: potentially up to £325,000, with around £2,500 annual costs, but installation costs could be reduced dependent on permission to install columns behind the sea wall. Solar lighting along the same North Wall section: £200,000 installation costs, with annual costs potentially much less, but dependent on lack of vandalism For bridge lighting, Network Rail permission would be needed. For the North Wall lighting options, it is also recommended that a 110 metre footway be created for safe access between the wall and bridge. This cost has not been estimated. The North Wall options require not just the green light from Network Rail, but also landowner's permission and the Environment Agency's sign-off too. Council officers have also looked further into the bridge's structural integrity "The minimal work required to make this site safe is to fix protective panels over the failed areas," the council report states But it recommends replacement of the parapet mesh to avoid possible future problems, and other works The cost of these is not detailed. But linked to this, the council would have to pay for a legal agreement and track possessions to be reached with Network Rail It is stated these costs are decided by Network Rail and can range from £5,000 to £250,000. "There’s no way to know what it will cost before it’s been created," the report says

North east Lincolnshire council are having a meeting today to discuss putting signs up around a bridge saying 'RAPISTS OPERATE AROUND HERE' CCTV and lighting is considered disproportionately expensive options 😲 Complete removal of the bridge is also an option We have had TWO RAPES and one VIOLENT ATTACK in the last couple of years on this bridge and all the council want to do is put up signs warning people that the bridge is DANGEROUS Full video in the comments 👇🏻 A petition signed by over 200 residents last year called for action to improve public safety at Fuller Street Bridge, such as lighting, improved signage "to allow the public to make informed decisions" about crossing a bridge where sexual assaults have been reported has been recommended with lighting and CCTV considered disproportionately expensive options. A decision on possible extra safety measures at Fuller Street Bridge, Cleethorpes, is due to be taken at a meeting today, Monday (January 26) after council officers reported back on the options to increase safety It followed the reports of alleged rapes to Humberside Police in January 2024 and February 2025 Cllr Ron Shepherd (Conservative - Scartho Ward), has since held two meetings on the matter, in June and September 2025. At the last meeting, he tasked council officers to report back with costings on possible lighting and CCTV measures, and for greater detail on the bridge's structural integrity and data on reported crime in the area These have now been put together. Based on the data showing Fuller Street has "less crime than the immediate surrounding area" and the bridge "significantly less", a council report concludes it would be a disproportionate level of spend to invest in lighting and CCTV for the bridge, or lighting for the North Wall area Complete removal of the bridge is mentioned as a possible option, with its proximity to the lit Suggitt's Lane footbridge referenced. But the report states public opinion must be considered. Instead, new signage is recommended A review of reported crimes between September 2023 and October 2025 found 294 recorded crimes in the local area, including neighbouring streets like Neville Street. Three crimes have been recorded as taking place at the bridge, two sexual offences and one violence against the person Options include: Lighting and CCTV on the bridge: £7,000 for the lighting, £21,000 to install the CCTV and about £3,000 a year to maintain the CCTV. Standard lighting at North Wall, from Fuller Street Bridge to Wonderland, and from the bridge entrance to the port entrance: potentially up to £325,000, with around £2,500 annual costs, but installation costs could be reduced dependent on permission to install columns behind the sea wall. Solar lighting along the same North Wall section: £200,000 installation costs, with annual costs potentially much less, but dependent on lack of vandalism For bridge lighting, Network Rail permission would be needed. For the North Wall lighting options, it is also recommended that a 110 metre footway be created for safe access between the wall and bridge. This cost has not been estimated. The North Wall options require not just the green light from Network Rail, but also landowner's permission and the Environment Agency's sign-off too. Council officers have also looked further into the bridge's structural integrity "The minimal work required to make this site safe is to fix protective panels over the failed areas," the council report states But it recommends replacement of the parapet mesh to avoid possible future problems, and other works The cost of these is not detailed. But linked to this, the council would have to pay for a legal agreement and track possessions to be reached with Network Rail It is stated these costs are decided by Network Rail and can range from £5,000 to £250,000. "There’s no way to know what it will cost before it’s been created," the report says

Active Patriot

38,892 次观看 • 6 个月前

Elon Musk just explained why the SpaceX IPO is an energy story and the energy constraint is why he believes space becomes the only viable path for AI to scale (Save this). The argument he is making is one of the most important and least understood things happening in technology right now. The United States currently consumes roughly 500 gigawatts of electricity on average. To double that capacity which is what continued AI expansion on the current terrestrial trajectory would eventually require would mean building as many power plants as currently exist in the entire country. He is not arguing that this is technically impossible, just that communities are not willing to accept it, that permitting timelines make it unrealistic, and that the hard ceiling on Earth based power generation means the expansion of AI compute will eventually hit a wall that no amount of capital can overcome on the ground. His observation is that in space, that wall does not exist. A solar panel in orbit produces roughly five times more power than the same panel on Earth, operates in continuous sunlight uninterrupted by weather or nighttime, and benefits from the vacuum of space as a completely passive cooling system meaning the two largest operating costs of any terrestrial data center, energy and cooling, are effectively eliminated. He then said that you could theoretically increase harnessed energy by a factor of one million and still be using less than a millionth of the sun's total energy output. This is the underlying physics of why SpaceX filed with the FCC to launch up to one million solar powered AI satellites, and why they described that constellation in their own filing as a first step toward becoming a Kardashev Type II civilization capable of harnessing the full power of the sun. To understand what makes this credible rather than visionary, you need to understand what SpaceX already controls that no other company on earth possesses. Starship, once operating at full cadence, can deliver 100 to 150 tons of payload to orbit per launch, at a target cost per kilogram that is an order of magnitude lower than any existing vehicle. Musk's stated ambition is to scale Starship to 10,000 to 30,000 launches per year, a frequency that would allow the deployment of orbital compute infrastructure at a pace that is currently unimaginable with any existing rocket. He told xAI staff earlier this year that achieving space-based AI at scale will eventually require manufacturing facilities on the moon, building solar panels and heat dissipation structures from lunar silicon and aluminum, and launching them into orbit from there rather than from Earth's surface because the moon's lower gravity makes the economics of launch dramatically more favorable. SpaceX's S-1 filing explicitly states that its launch capabilities could enable massive AI compute satellite constellations with the potential for millions of satellites for orbital data centers, with the first launch potentially occurring as soon as 2028. Google and Alphabet are already in advanced talks with SpaceX about deploying space-based data centers. Starcloud, a startup running Nvidia H100 GPUs in orbit, has already validated that high-performance AI inference workloads can operate in space, with plans to scale to five gigawatts of orbital compute power by 2035. This is why Musk believes the cost crossover happens in two to three years because SpaceX's launch cost trajectory intersects with the accelerating energy constraint on the ground in a way that makes space genuinely cheaper, faster, and less regulated at exactly the moment AI demand is hitting its hardest physical limits.

Elon Musk just explained why the SpaceX IPO is an energy story and the energy constraint is why he believes space becomes the only viable path for AI to scale (Save this). The argument he is making is one of the most important and least understood things happening in technology right now. The United States currently consumes roughly 500 gigawatts of electricity on average. To double that capacity which is what continued AI expansion on the current terrestrial trajectory would eventually require would mean building as many power plants as currently exist in the entire country. He is not arguing that this is technically impossible, just that communities are not willing to accept it, that permitting timelines make it unrealistic, and that the hard ceiling on Earth based power generation means the expansion of AI compute will eventually hit a wall that no amount of capital can overcome on the ground. His observation is that in space, that wall does not exist. A solar panel in orbit produces roughly five times more power than the same panel on Earth, operates in continuous sunlight uninterrupted by weather or nighttime, and benefits from the vacuum of space as a completely passive cooling system meaning the two largest operating costs of any terrestrial data center, energy and cooling, are effectively eliminated. He then said that you could theoretically increase harnessed energy by a factor of one million and still be using less than a millionth of the sun's total energy output. This is the underlying physics of why SpaceX filed with the FCC to launch up to one million solar powered AI satellites, and why they described that constellation in their own filing as a first step toward becoming a Kardashev Type II civilization capable of harnessing the full power of the sun. To understand what makes this credible rather than visionary, you need to understand what SpaceX already controls that no other company on earth possesses. Starship, once operating at full cadence, can deliver 100 to 150 tons of payload to orbit per launch, at a target cost per kilogram that is an order of magnitude lower than any existing vehicle. Musk's stated ambition is to scale Starship to 10,000 to 30,000 launches per year, a frequency that would allow the deployment of orbital compute infrastructure at a pace that is currently unimaginable with any existing rocket. He told xAI staff earlier this year that achieving space-based AI at scale will eventually require manufacturing facilities on the moon, building solar panels and heat dissipation structures from lunar silicon and aluminum, and launching them into orbit from there rather than from Earth's surface because the moon's lower gravity makes the economics of launch dramatically more favorable. SpaceX's S-1 filing explicitly states that its launch capabilities could enable massive AI compute satellite constellations with the potential for millions of satellites for orbital data centers, with the first launch potentially occurring as soon as 2028. Google and Alphabet are already in advanced talks with SpaceX about deploying space-based data centers. Starcloud, a startup running Nvidia H100 GPUs in orbit, has already validated that high-performance AI inference workloads can operate in space, with plans to scale to five gigawatts of orbital compute power by 2035. This is why Musk believes the cost crossover happens in two to three years because SpaceX's launch cost trajectory intersects with the accelerating energy constraint on the ground in a way that makes space genuinely cheaper, faster, and less regulated at exactly the moment AI demand is hitting its hardest physical limits.

Milk Road AI

12,140 次观看 • 2 个月前

TRUMP CLAIMS VICTORY BUT DAN DICKER SEES THE REAL OIL SUPPLY CRISIS Nobody wants to hear anymore that oil prices will shoot up or go higher. The market dumped oil hard after the latest headlines from Washington. Yet the real question is how big is the risk that prices surge anyway when physical supplies finally run out. Dan Dicker has spent forty five years trading oil and he just pulled back the curtain on a supply picture far worse than the headlines suggest. THE SUPPLY DISASTER UNFOLDING ➡️ Six to eight million barrels of oil are not reaching the global marketplace every day. ➡️ This export disaster has been draining stockpiles for months with no end in sight. ➡️ The world has drawn down its global stockpile area of about half a trillion barrels of oil. ➡️ That drawdown is incredibly significant for what happens next in the marketplace. THE TRADER FEAR AND SHORT POSITION ➡️ Traders have been reluctant to pay up for oil that should already be much higher than one hundred ten or one hundred fifteen dollars. ➡️ They are now spectacularly short at seventy five to seventy six dollars a barrel. ➡️ This price sits at the upper end of the deadly boring range that existed for two years before the conflict. ➡️ Every time traders tried to buy the dip on fundamentals Trump announced another deal and prices collapsed overnight. THE PHYSICAL REALITY HITS HARD ➡️ The physical market will assert itself unless oil starts flowing seriously and rebuilds those drained stockpiles. ➡️ Prices will not rise gradually from seventy five to eighty five dollars. ➡️ A move from seventy five dollars to one hundred thirty five dollars in the space of a month is what Dan Dicker sees ahead. ➡️ Leaders at Chevron and Exxon have already warned that the stockpiles situation is a disaster. THE STRAIT AND THE HIGHER COST FLOOR ➡️ Trump's rhetoric says the straits are open and oil will gush out like never before. ➡️ The physical reality shows tankers are not moving freely yet. ➡️ Even if a sixty day arrangement holds the higher risk in the region will raise the cost of doing business. ➡️ Insurance and mariner pay will increase and that higher floor is not yet reflected in prices. THE BOTTOM LINE Dan Dicker sees a market positioned for relief that is about to collide with a physical supply shortage of historic scale. Traders who stayed short at these levels ignored the math that has been building for three months. The spike is coming unless the oil actually starts moving in volume and soon. #OilPrices #DanDicker #SupplyShortage #OilSpike #EnergyCrisis #StraitOfHormuz #TraderAlert

TRUMP CLAIMS VICTORY BUT DAN DICKER SEES THE REAL OIL SUPPLY CRISIS Nobody wants to hear anymore that oil prices will shoot up or go higher. The market dumped oil hard after the latest headlines from Washington. Yet the real question is how big is the risk that prices surge anyway when physical supplies finally run out. Dan Dicker has spent forty five years trading oil and he just pulled back the curtain on a supply picture far worse than the headlines suggest. THE SUPPLY DISASTER UNFOLDING ➡️ Six to eight million barrels of oil are not reaching the global marketplace every day. ➡️ This export disaster has been draining stockpiles for months with no end in sight. ➡️ The world has drawn down its global stockpile area of about half a trillion barrels of oil. ➡️ That drawdown is incredibly significant for what happens next in the marketplace. THE TRADER FEAR AND SHORT POSITION ➡️ Traders have been reluctant to pay up for oil that should already be much higher than one hundred ten or one hundred fifteen dollars. ➡️ They are now spectacularly short at seventy five to seventy six dollars a barrel. ➡️ This price sits at the upper end of the deadly boring range that existed for two years before the conflict. ➡️ Every time traders tried to buy the dip on fundamentals Trump announced another deal and prices collapsed overnight. THE PHYSICAL REALITY HITS HARD ➡️ The physical market will assert itself unless oil starts flowing seriously and rebuilds those drained stockpiles. ➡️ Prices will not rise gradually from seventy five to eighty five dollars. ➡️ A move from seventy five dollars to one hundred thirty five dollars in the space of a month is what Dan Dicker sees ahead. ➡️ Leaders at Chevron and Exxon have already warned that the stockpiles situation is a disaster. THE STRAIT AND THE HIGHER COST FLOOR ➡️ Trump's rhetoric says the straits are open and oil will gush out like never before. ➡️ The physical reality shows tankers are not moving freely yet. ➡️ Even if a sixty day arrangement holds the higher risk in the region will raise the cost of doing business. ➡️ Insurance and mariner pay will increase and that higher floor is not yet reflected in prices. THE BOTTOM LINE Dan Dicker sees a market positioned for relief that is about to collide with a physical supply shortage of historic scale. Traders who stayed short at these levels ignored the math that has been building for three months. The spike is coming unless the oil actually starts moving in volume and soon. #OilPrices #DanDicker #SupplyShortage #OilSpike #EnergyCrisis #StraitOfHormuz #TraderAlert

Mark

18,502 次观看 • 1 个月前

$EXCLUSIVE Here is a part redacted GROUP CHAT I am in on Telegram between a USA military officer Veteran & a currently serving member of the RUSSIAN FORCES, AN officer who is in the "SPECIAL FORCES " military in KURSK. Some strong, emotional language , The respect for each other is clear Thread 1/ 19 .3.25 USA RET: I understand you are limited to what you can reveal, but generally, I wonder what your personal opinion is of the likelihood that Putin will agree to a cease-fire and limit himself to only the four regions in a final settlement? RUS CAPT: Ya I know thanks…usually I prefer to write, it’s easier for me here. But I keep as an option Difficult to say my unit here care about intelligence and support our guys on the ground. But in we go on the ground too. Officially till now nothing changes for us and we have not any order or official communication. My opinion is that ceasefire is unacceptable but only Putin knows exactly the rules. 30 day has no sense at all for me. Trump want do business and want probably decent relationship with us…Russia, it’s involved China too. The big question is if Trump want delete Zelensky. USA RET: If Putin were to later, give an order to take Odessa / Kharkov, even if that would cost 9 months of fighting and cost another hundred thousand Russian lives, do you think Ru people would support it? My guess is that ultimately Putin will not take a position near term that lowers the cost if long-term security cannot be assured. RUS CAPT: For me yes…obviously only my opinion. In Russia only in big cities maybe a few will not support but an irrelevant number. I’m from St. Petersburg and there nothing for now for example and Moscow too. In the others areas Ural, Siberia etc the support it’s 100% obviously russians are tired too but normal economy works and all it’s ok. All the things come frome EU are shameless propaganda Putin was clear since the start….about security being involved in SVR (even if Putin in the start give more “power” to FSB) is that the bigger problem about security it’s terrorism inside Russia Being on the ground right now we can occupy all Ukraine in few months obviously this has a price but In Kursk we have total control, the rest it’s west propaganda USA RET: What do you say to those people in the west who claim that it has taken Russia three years to take the 22% it has right now, and then it would take another year or two to capture more? RUS CAPT: I can say them that if we wanted we could have Ukraine in few months, a few after the start we had (my unit and Chechens) Zelensky and his family for example than Putin stopped everything. Without Putin now Ukraine would be a black hole in the map. I suppose that Putin wanted a war of attrition from the beginning, and put the EU in difficulty. This in some way worked, still working…right now EU it’s divided and collapsing….what we say in Russia is that if they want we can continue this war for another 10 years China say one thing but in reality thinks the contrary, BRICS now are stronger than USA (I don’t consider EU)….Trump for me want avoid this. Now the real question is till which point Trump want “to go” ? USA RET: One of the things that puzzles me more than almost any other – and there’s a lot of opportunity and things that are puzzling in this war – is that why Keir Starmer, Manuel Macron, Schultz, and Biden, continued talking so brash and bold in Russia’s face militarily, when all they have to do is look in their armories and realize they don’t have a fraction of the men, ammunition, or industrial capacity to actually fight Russia My theory is that they too recognize Putin‘s reluctance and restraint, and calculate he’ll never do anything and so they’ll never have to make good on the threats. But that’s not risky in my view, it’s a potential existential gamble. >>> Video clip is of 2 SPETZNAZ Officers in spring 2014! You can judge for yourself the Russian mentality.. fearless & determined!$

EXCLUSIVE Here is a part redacted GROUP CHAT I am in on Telegram between a USA military officer Veteran & a currently serving member of the RUSSIAN FORCES, AN officer who is in the "SPECIAL FORCES " military in KURSK. Some strong, emotional language , The respect for each other is clear Thread 1/ 19 .3.25 USA RET: I understand you are limited to what you can reveal, but generally, I wonder what your personal opinion is of the likelihood that Putin will agree to a cease-fire and limit himself to only the four regions in a final settlement? RUS CAPT: Ya I know thanks…usually I prefer to write, it’s easier for me here. But I keep as an option Difficult to say my unit here care about intelligence and support our guys on the ground. But in we go on the ground too. Officially till now nothing changes for us and we have not any order or official communication. My opinion is that ceasefire is unacceptable but only Putin knows exactly the rules. 30 day has no sense at all for me. Trump want do business and want probably decent relationship with us…Russia, it’s involved China too. The big question is if Trump want delete Zelensky. USA RET: If Putin were to later, give an order to take Odessa / Kharkov, even if that would cost 9 months of fighting and cost another hundred thousand Russian lives, do you think Ru people would support it? My guess is that ultimately Putin will not take a position near term that lowers the cost if long-term security cannot be assured. RUS CAPT: For me yes…obviously only my opinion. In Russia only in big cities maybe a few will not support but an irrelevant number. I’m from St. Petersburg and there nothing for now for example and Moscow too. In the others areas Ural, Siberia etc the support it’s 100% obviously russians are tired too but normal economy works and all it’s ok. All the things come frome EU are shameless propaganda Putin was clear since the start….about security being involved in SVR (even if Putin in the start give more “power” to FSB) is that the bigger problem about security it’s terrorism inside Russia Being on the ground right now we can occupy all Ukraine in few months obviously this has a price but In Kursk we have total control, the rest it’s west propaganda USA RET: What do you say to those people in the west who claim that it has taken Russia three years to take the 22% it has right now, and then it would take another year or two to capture more? RUS CAPT: I can say them that if we wanted we could have Ukraine in few months, a few after the start we had (my unit and Chechens) Zelensky and his family for example than Putin stopped everything. Without Putin now Ukraine would be a black hole in the map. I suppose that Putin wanted a war of attrition from the beginning, and put the EU in difficulty. This in some way worked, still working…right now EU it’s divided and collapsing….what we say in Russia is that if they want we can continue this war for another 10 years China say one thing but in reality thinks the contrary, BRICS now are stronger than USA (I don’t consider EU)….Trump for me want avoid this. Now the real question is till which point Trump want “to go” ? USA RET: One of the things that puzzles me more than almost any other – and there’s a lot of opportunity and things that are puzzling in this war – is that why Keir Starmer, Manuel Macron, Schultz, and Biden, continued talking so brash and bold in Russia’s face militarily, when all they have to do is look in their armories and realize they don’t have a fraction of the men, ammunition, or industrial capacity to actually fight Russia My theory is that they too recognize Putin‘s reluctance and restraint, and calculate he’ll never do anything and so they’ll never have to make good on the threats. But that’s not risky in my view, it’s a potential existential gamble. >>> Video clip is of 2 SPETZNAZ Officers in spring 2014! You can judge for yourself the Russian mentality.. fearless & determined!

𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐙 🇷🇺🇮🇪

12,102 次观看 • 1 年前

After a lot of thought and consideration, reflecting on yesterday's email from the Colorado Republican Party with the subject line "God Hates Pride", I can not accept their endorsement. Here's my full statement: Yesterday the Colorado State GOP sent out an email with the subject line “God Hates Pride”. I have been an avid critic of where the celebration of Pride has gone in recent years and firm supporter of protecting children from environments and entertainments that are of an adult nature. However, this email went too far and was just hateful. I personally found it very troubling. I spoke with many LGBT and non LGBT Republicans yesterday who also found the message in the email disgusting and offensive.This email does NOT Represent the Republican voters of Colorado. I know the Republicans in our State and in our city. They’re kind, accepting, loving, and welcoming people. They’ve become some of my best friends. They love this country, they love this state, they love our city, and they love their neighbors. They want solutions to the problems facing our communities that the people are most concerned with. I believe working with the Republican Party affords me the greatest chance of getting results for these issues. Primarily the high cost of living and the economy. Many young people in Denver feel they will never be able to afford the American dream. However, the Republican Party, like all political parties, is not perfect. And I believe it’s important to have the integrity to call out your party when you see them make a mistake. On Sunday, June 2nd, the State GOP released it’s full list of endorsements for this months State Primary. After giving it a lot of thought, reflecting on the email released yesterday, I can not accept the endorsement from the Colorado State GOP. I sent them an email asking to be removed from their list of endorsees. This does not mean I won’t work with the State Party. I want them to succeed and I want them to do better. I’m not one to abandon ship when times get hard. I will also support our great GOP Candidates from the top of the ticket down. Moving forward unity is important. We need to work for the betterment of our country. As Peter Thiel said, to a standing ovation, in his address to the 2016 Republican National Convention, “I am proud to be gay, I am proud to be a Republican, but most of all I am proud to be an American”. Thank You.

After a lot of thought and consideration, reflecting on yesterday's email from the Colorado Republican Party with the subject line "God Hates Pride", I can not accept their endorsement. Here's my full statement: Yesterday the Colorado State GOP sent out an email with the subject line “God Hates Pride”. I have been an avid critic of where the celebration of Pride has gone in recent years and firm supporter of protecting children from environments and entertainments that are of an adult nature. However, this email went too far and was just hateful. I personally found it very troubling. I spoke with many LGBT and non LGBT Republicans yesterday who also found the message in the email disgusting and offensive.This email does NOT Represent the Republican voters of Colorado. I know the Republicans in our State and in our city. They’re kind, accepting, loving, and welcoming people. They’ve become some of my best friends. They love this country, they love this state, they love our city, and they love their neighbors. They want solutions to the problems facing our communities that the people are most concerned with. I believe working with the Republican Party affords me the greatest chance of getting results for these issues. Primarily the high cost of living and the economy. Many young people in Denver feel they will never be able to afford the American dream. However, the Republican Party, like all political parties, is not perfect. And I believe it’s important to have the integrity to call out your party when you see them make a mistake. On Sunday, June 2nd, the State GOP released it’s full list of endorsements for this months State Primary. After giving it a lot of thought, reflecting on the email released yesterday, I can not accept the endorsement from the Colorado State GOP. I sent them an email asking to be removed from their list of endorsees. This does not mean I won’t work with the State Party. I want them to succeed and I want them to do better. I’m not one to abandon ship when times get hard. I will also support our great GOP Candidates from the top of the ticket down. Moving forward unity is important. We need to work for the betterment of our country. As Peter Thiel said, to a standing ovation, in his address to the 2016 Republican National Convention, “I am proud to be gay, I am proud to be a Republican, but most of all I am proud to be an American”. Thank You.

Valdamar

24,978 次观看 • 2 年前

This is the episode you’ve all been waiting for. This is the story of the #MartinLooterFund. Suppression is rarely a single act. It arrives as a lawsuit designed not to win, but to harass and abuse. It arrives as an offer, a lunch, a quiet suggestion that there's nothing to gain by pushing further. What the machinery of suppression counts on is the rational assumption that the story is not worth this. Your career is not worth this. Your family is not worth this. Your pain is not worth this. And in the cold calculation of survival, that logic is often correct. The corrupt men of the Philippines have more resources than the people exposing them. They have lawyers, and legislators, and cops, and judges, and NBI Directors, and the institutional patience that comes from never having to worry about next month's rent. But there is a version of this they have not fully accounted for. When the suppression is overwhelming — when they come with every weapon available, when the harassment is visible and the pressure is national — they have revealed themselves. The story they could not kill is now the story of how hard they tried to kill it. The record of their effort becomes the record of their guilt. But the journalist who publishes anyway, the media company who refuses to fold when the cost is real and the comfort is gone, does something that cannot be undone: they make the suppression itself proof of the story. Such is what happened five days ago when Franco Mabanta and four PGMN associates were set up in a malicious entrapment operation to frame them as extortionists — when in reality, no extortion happened. Franco was the one who was repeatedly approached, courted for two weeks, consistently lied to, and ultimately conned to make it LOOK LIKE EXTORTION. This is not romantic. It requires losing things. It requires losing friends, causing pain to family, and damaging one’s dignity. It requires knowing that the institutions that should protect press freedom often do not, that solidarity is inconsistent, and that vindication — if it comes — may come long after the damage is done. It requires being strong and resilient…and having to pay the price for being both. Franco and PGMN were willing to pay that price. Truth-telling at this level is not a calling that promises good outcomes. It only promises that the record will exist. That is what we are after by publishing this story. To put on record what Martin Romualdez has done to the entire country — and to show with clarity why he punished PGMN for wanting to expose his evil secrets. In this episode, we do what many journalists are too afraid to attempt: open the books of Congress, especially those books written by what almost all Filipinos consider the most corrupt House Speaker in history. Congress holds the power of the purse. Martin Romualdez wanted the purse itself. From unjustified budget padding to phantom savings, from chronic underspending to a cash hoard that keeps growing — this episode puts together a dangerous and infuriating picture that is impossible to ignore. Romualdez has activated his whole machinery — paid trolls, scammer influencers, dishonest mainstream media outlets, corrupted officials — to make sure this episode never sees the light of day. And the name of the one journalist who has chosen not cower to his intimidation and power is CJ Hirro. The ones who come with the most machinery to silence the media always have the most to lose. That's why they come. Today PGMN will give Romualdez what he is afraid of. We are publishing. We are insisting that he have his worst fear realized. For the motherland, this Mother's Day — this is the #MartinLooterFund episode. This is the story Martin Romualdez wanted to kill.

This is the episode you’ve all been waiting for. This is the story of the #MartinLooterFund. Suppression is rarely a single act. It arrives as a lawsuit designed not to win, but to harass and abuse. It arrives as an offer, a lunch, a quiet suggestion that there's nothing to gain by pushing further. What the machinery of suppression counts on is the rational assumption that the story is not worth this. Your career is not worth this. Your family is not worth this. Your pain is not worth this. And in the cold calculation of survival, that logic is often correct. The corrupt men of the Philippines have more resources than the people exposing them. They have lawyers, and legislators, and cops, and judges, and NBI Directors, and the institutional patience that comes from never having to worry about next month's rent. But there is a version of this they have not fully accounted for. When the suppression is overwhelming — when they come with every weapon available, when the harassment is visible and the pressure is national — they have revealed themselves. The story they could not kill is now the story of how hard they tried to kill it. The record of their effort becomes the record of their guilt. But the journalist who publishes anyway, the media company who refuses to fold when the cost is real and the comfort is gone, does something that cannot be undone: they make the suppression itself proof of the story. Such is what happened five days ago when Franco Mabanta and four PGMN associates were set up in a malicious entrapment operation to frame them as extortionists — when in reality, no extortion happened. Franco was the one who was repeatedly approached, courted for two weeks, consistently lied to, and ultimately conned to make it LOOK LIKE EXTORTION. This is not romantic. It requires losing things. It requires losing friends, causing pain to family, and damaging one’s dignity. It requires knowing that the institutions that should protect press freedom often do not, that solidarity is inconsistent, and that vindication — if it comes — may come long after the damage is done. It requires being strong and resilient…and having to pay the price for being both. Franco and PGMN were willing to pay that price. Truth-telling at this level is not a calling that promises good outcomes. It only promises that the record will exist. That is what we are after by publishing this story. To put on record what Martin Romualdez has done to the entire country — and to show with clarity why he punished PGMN for wanting to expose his evil secrets. In this episode, we do what many journalists are too afraid to attempt: open the books of Congress, especially those books written by what almost all Filipinos consider the most corrupt House Speaker in history. Congress holds the power of the purse. Martin Romualdez wanted the purse itself. From unjustified budget padding to phantom savings, from chronic underspending to a cash hoard that keeps growing — this episode puts together a dangerous and infuriating picture that is impossible to ignore. Romualdez has activated his whole machinery — paid trolls, scammer influencers, dishonest mainstream media outlets, corrupted officials — to make sure this episode never sees the light of day. And the name of the one journalist who has chosen not cower to his intimidation and power is CJ Hirro. The ones who come with the most machinery to silence the media always have the most to lose. That's why they come. Today PGMN will give Romualdez what he is afraid of. We are publishing. We are insisting that he have his worst fear realized. For the motherland, this Mother's Day — this is the #MartinLooterFund episode. This is the story Martin Romualdez wanted to kill.

Peanut Gallery Media Network

15,606 次观看 • 3 个月前

After regrouping with our investors and the team, I’ve made the difficult decision to wind down Hike completely. Our US business, launched just nine months ago, is off to a strong start. But scaling globally would require a full recap, a reset that is not the best use of capital or time. The Big Question → We could raise the capital, but the real question is: is it worth it? Is this a climb worth pivoting for? For the first time in 13 years, my answer is no. Not for me, not for my team, and not for our investors. Why? 1. RMG was never the destination. It was a way to test unit economics and traction in India while working toward a bigger vision. In hindsight, starting in India locked us into the model and regulatory headwinds, turning a temporary path into a more permanent one. 2. The Gaming Nation vision is real, but we may be too early. The world will eventually move toward a Nation-type model in gaming and Web3 - Company 2.0. But crypto regulation is still developing globally, and we don’t want to repeat India, where we hoped for clarity that never came. 3. And most importantly, if doing a full reset, is this where I’d put my own capital and energy today? For the first time, the answer is no. The world has changed in the last decade - and so have I. There are more important problems to solve and bigger opportunities to deploy brilliant talent and capital. Looking Back & Lessons The last 13 years have been immense. Hike Messenger reached 40M MAUs and became the 35th most loved consumer brand in India at its peak. With Rush, we built a brand new kind of Casual PvP gaming platform and scaled it to 10M users and $500M+ in gross revenue in just 4 years. Our execution was super, but we could never quite make it stick. There are clear lessons to carry forward, especially on market selection: 1. Be careful with winner-take-all markets. To win, you need to go global. 2. Don’t build for today’s tech constraints. Build on the spring/summer of new technologies. 3. Regulatory clarity matters. Risk is fine; uncertainty is not. More importantly momentum is everything. And build what your heart and mind are deeply excited about. It’s the conviction that carries you through. This is both a disappointment and a hard outcome. But I choose to look on the bright side: the learnings are invaluable, and my conviction for what’s next is even stronger. To everyone who has been part of this journey - our users, our team, our investors, and our community - thank you. As a CEO, you’re only as strong as your team, and I want to give a special shout-out to mine - an incredible group of people who gave this everything. Hike This chapter ends, but the climb continues. Looking Forward I’ve always thrived at building at the forefront of technology. Over the last decade, in the little time I had to explore outside of Hike, I kept returning to the same three frontiers. And now, they feel like the great canvases for decades to come → 1. AI → For the first time, technology has both intelligence and memory. Imagine products that don’t just serve us functionally but truly know us - systems that adapt, grow, and partner with us. As a UX-first builder, this is the most exciting time to be building software. 2. Breakthroughs in Energy → Human progress has always been bound by energy. The world’s demand for energy is rising faster than ever. Breakthrough approaches, especially in physics are needed to power the future. The last century gave us mastery of fine matters and electricity, the next will move deeper, at the intersection of science and spirituality - into what yogis call divine magnetism and physicists call the quantum world or electromagnetism. From there will come technologies that today feel impossible to imagine. 3. Mastery of the Self → As AI takes on more of our work, a deeper question will rise: what now defines us? When productivity is no longer the measure of worth, humanity will turn inward. Man’s evolution will move from the intellect to intuitive attunement - a deeper connection with ourselves and the divine (which we’ll realise are one and the same). The tools, spaces, and guides that help us explore this inner world will be as transformative as any innovation in the outer one - unlocking the next level of humanity’s potential. If you put these together, a picture emerges: → the cost of intelligence trending to zero → the cost of energy trending to zero → and the cost of willpower falling lower and lower. Just imagine a future where willpower is infinite, energy is abundant, and intelligence is at our fingertips. This is the future I will help build — and it’s where I’ll be contributing in the decades to come. This new chapter will look very different from the last one 🚀 Video for perspective. Full substack post link below.

Kavin

24,481 次观看 • 11 个月前