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๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐š'๐ฌ ๐ ๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐š ๐œ๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ... ๐๐Œ ๐Œ๐จ๐๐ข ๐ข๐ฌ ๐›๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ข๐ญ ๐ก๐จ๐ฆ๐ž! Congress is doing what it does best โ€” spreading misinformation to create panic in the country. It claimed that the RBI sold $12 billion worth of gold. Here's the real difference between THEN and NOW: ๐Ÿšจ...

35,105 views โ€ข 1 month ago โ€ขvia X (Twitter)

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INDIA IS DOING THE TRADE OF THE DECADE ๐Ÿ”ฅ FM Nirmala Sitharaman just indirectly gave it official blessing today (post-RBI board meet): โ€œAll goldโ€ฆ is importedโ€ฆ dependence on precious metals is very much from outside onlyโ€ฆ Gold has always been a favoured investment for householdsโ€ฆ Most countries today, particularly their central banks, are buying gold and silverโ€ฆ the spike is largely due to central banks also buying and storing.โ€ Hereโ€™s the macro translation every liquidity watcher needs: India as a system is now structurally LONG hard money (Gold + Silver) and SHORT the Dollar. Exactly how this Trade of the Decade plays out at national scale: 1. India earns billions of fresh dollars every month โ€” IT/services exports + NRI remittances create a permanent structural surplus. 2. Households (and quietly the official sector) take those dollars and recycle them straight into physical gold & silver imports. 3. National balance-sheet shift: โœ… LONG hard money, household gold holdings alone > $5 trillion (bigger than entire GDP). RBI gold share at record 17% of reserves and rising. โŒ SHORT the dollar, every gold price spike = Selling dollars to fund imports. Yes, it widens the merchandise trade deficit. Yes, it puts mild pressure on the rupee. Yes, gold imports have spiked to $12 bn+ in peak months. But FMโ€™s tone is crystal clear: โ€œNot alarmingโ€ฆ usual seasonal demandโ€ฆ hasnโ€™t gone beyond a certain limitโ€ฆ weโ€™re watching but it hasnโ€™t reached alarming proportions.โ€ No duty hike in Budget 2026. No new taxes. No restrictions. This is official blessing. Global central banks stacking + Indian households stacking = the structural bull case for gold & silver is now Indiaโ€™s de-facto national strategy. The Trade of the Decade is live, and India is fully in it. Position accordingly. ๐Ÿ’Ž

Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy

44,155 views โ€ข 4 months ago

Gold since April 2025: +60% Bitcoin since April 2025: -30% Gold since its January high: still near all-time highs. Bitcoin since its October high: -48%. 5 consecutive red months for Bitcoin. A 0.55 correlation with the S&P 500 as of March 1st. And people still call it "digital gold." Let me explain why that framing will cost you money: When the Middle East escalated, gold surged above $5,300. Bitcoin dropped. When equities sold off, gold held. Bitcoin sold with them. When uncertainty spiked, gold hit all-time highs. Bitcoin bled. This isn't an accident. It's the nature of WHAT these assets actually are. Gold is an asset that isn't somebody else's liability. It's not correlated with the general level of risk assets. It doesn't shift identities depending on what the market needs it to be that week. Bitcoin does. Sometimes it's digital gold. Sometimes it's correlated to NASDAQ. Sometimes it follows the dollar. Sometimes it follows liquidity. It depends on whatever narrative is convenient at the time. And narrative always follows price. That's the way it works. When Bitcoin was ripping to $126,000 in October, everyone called it a store of value. Now that it's trading at $66,000 with 5 red months, NOBODY talks about the digital gold thesis anymore. Gold doesn't have that problem. Central banks bought 863 tonnes of gold in 2025. Accumulating at the fastest pace in decades. China is buying like crazy for months. Nobody's buying Bitcoin for their sovereign reserves. Nobody's rewriting the gold thesis every quarter. I said this on back in April last year when Bitcoin was reclaiming $90,000 and everyone wanted me to be bullish on crypto: "If NASDAQ takes a header, if risk assets take another leg down, you want to bet Bitcoin goes up or down? I'd vote down." NASDAQ took a header. Risk assets took a leg down. Bitcoin went down. Gold went up. It's not complicated. Gold is insurance against irresponsible policies from central bankers and government officials. It protects you against the falling dollar. It's been doing this for 5,000 years. Bitcoin is a speculative instrument that acts like protection only when everything else is going up too. And in the environment we're heading into (geopolitical risk at generational highs, the dollar under pressure, central banks still buying, the Fed boxed in on rates) you want the real thing. Not the imitation. GOLD SURVIVED EMPIRES BITCOIN SURVIVED TWITTER

George Noble

11,852 views โ€ข 4 months ago

๐–๐‡๐˜ ๐‚๐Ž๐Œ๐Œ๐”๐๐ˆ๐’๐Œ ๐–๐ˆ๐‹๐‹ ๐€๐‹๐–๐€๐˜๐’ ๐…๐€๐ˆ๐‹: ๐€ ๐’๐Ž๐•๐ˆ๐„๐“-๐๐Ž๐‘๐ ๐‡๐Ž๐’๐“ ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐‡๐€๐‘๐•๐€๐‘๐ƒ-๐„๐ƒ๐”๐‚๐€๐“๐„๐ƒ ๐๐’๐˜๐‚๐‡๐Ž๐‹๐Ž๐†๐ˆ๐’๐“ ๐‰๐”๐’๐“ ๐ƒ๐„๐‹๐ˆ๐•๐„๐‘๐„๐ƒ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐‚๐‹๐„๐€๐๐„๐’๐“ ๐„๐—๐๐‹๐€๐๐€๐“๐ˆ๐Ž๐ ๐Ž๐… ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐๐ˆ๐Ž๐‹๐Ž๐†๐ˆ๐‚๐€๐‹ ๐‘๐„๐€๐’๐Ž๐ ๐‚๐Ž๐Œ๐Œ๐”๐๐ˆ๐’๐Œ ๐‚๐€๐๐๐Ž๐“ ๐–๐Ž๐‘๐Š, ๐”๐’๐ˆ๐๐† ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐…๐€๐ˆ๐‹๐„๐ƒ ๐ˆ๐’๐‘๐€๐„๐‹๐ˆ ๐Š๐ˆ๐๐๐”๐“๐™ ๐„๐—๐๐„๐‘๐ˆ๐Œ๐„๐๐“ ๐€๐’ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐†๐Ž๐‹๐ƒ-๐’๐“๐€๐๐ƒ๐€๐‘๐ƒ ๐‚๐€๐’๐„ ๐’๐“๐”๐ƒ๐˜. ๐“๐‡๐ˆ๐’ ๐ˆ๐’ ๐‘๐„๐๐”๐ˆ๐‘๐„๐ƒ ๐•๐ˆ๐„๐–๐ˆ๐๐†. ๐Ž๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐“๐ซ๐ข๐ ๐ ๐ž๐ซ ๐ฉ๐จ๐๐œ๐š๐ฌ๐ญ, ๐š ๐’๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ญ-๐›๐จ๐ซ๐ง ๐ก๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ฐ๐ž๐ ๐š ๐ ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฐ๐ก๐จ ๐๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ซ๐ข๐ ๐จ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ, ๐›๐ข๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ฒ-๐ ๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐š๐ค๐ž๐๐จ๐ฐ๐ง ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆโ€™๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐œ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐›๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ซ๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐š ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ซ ๐š๐ฎ๐๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ž. The argument is built on the actual receipts of the Israeli kibbutz movement โ€” the most ambitious ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ, ๐ข๐๐ž๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐, ๐ฐ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ข๐ง ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ โ€” and why even that failed. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ค๐ข๐›๐›๐ฎ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ญ๐ฎ๐ฉ, ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ: โ€œ๐˜›๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ง๐˜ถ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ญ ๐˜ฆ๐˜น๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ต. ๐˜š๐˜ฐ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ง๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฎ๐˜ช๐˜ต๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฎ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜ช๐˜ณ ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ๐˜ด ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ค๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜๐˜ด๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ต ๐˜ซ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ด๐˜ต๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ๐˜บ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ข ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ณ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ข ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ธ ๐˜ฌ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฉ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ธ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ๐˜ญ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ข ๐˜จ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ, ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ง๐˜ช๐˜ด๐˜ฉ ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ด๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ. ๐˜š๐˜ฐ ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ธ๐˜ข๐˜ด ๐˜ข ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ญ๐˜ญ๐˜บ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฃ๐˜ญ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ญ, ๐˜ฃ๐˜ถ๐˜ต ๐˜ช๐˜ต ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฒ๐˜ถ๐˜ช๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ๐˜ด ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ณ๐˜ถ๐˜ฏ ๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜ฉ๐˜ต ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜จ๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฐ๐˜ง ๐˜ฉ๐˜ถ๐˜ฎ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ข๐˜ต๐˜ถ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ.โ€ ๐–๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ค๐ข๐›๐›๐ฎ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š๐›๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก: โ€” ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ โ€” children lived apart from parents in dormitories, raised communally โ€” ๐๐š๐ฒ โ€” everyone got the same regardless of work or output โ€” ๐๐š๐ญ๐ซ๐ข๐š๐ซ๐œ๐ก๐ฒ โ€” explicitly designed to free women from โ€˜the patriarchy of the fatherโ€™ โ€” ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ โ€” individual possessions were minimized; everything was communal โ€” ๐ƒ๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฐ๐š๐ซ๐ โ€” the high performer and the low performer received the same ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐›๐ข๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐ž๐: ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐›๐š๐ฌ๐ข๐œ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐ฌ๐จ๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ญ๐ฒ for evolutionary reasons going back hundreds of thousands of years. Children form attachment bonds with primary caregivers. Mothers form bonding circuits with infants. ๐‘๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ž โ€˜๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐จ๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง.โ€™ ๐ˆ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ฎ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ณ๐ž๐ ๐œ๐ก๐ข๐ฅ๐๐ซ๐ž๐ง. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐œ๐จ๐ง๐จ๐ฆ๐ข๐œ ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ฌ๐จ๐ง ๐ข๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐ž๐: ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐š๐ฒ ๐ซ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž. The high-effort, high-skill kibbutznik received the same as the low-effort. ๐–๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง ๐š ๐ ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง, ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ก๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐“๐ž๐ฅ ๐€๐ฏ๐ข๐ฏ ๐จ๐ซ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ฒ๐ž๐. The kibbutz birth rate collapsed. The economic output stagnated. Most kibbutzim are now functionally privatized cooperatives, indistinguishable from any small Israeli business. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ข๐ฉ๐ญ: ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ~๐Ÿ๐Ÿ•๐ŸŽ ๐ค๐ข๐›๐›๐ฎ๐ญ๐ณ๐ข๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ค ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—๐Ÿ”๐ŸŽ๐ฌ, ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฐ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ง ๐Ÿ‘๐ŸŽ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐š๐ข๐ง ๐ข๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ฒ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ฆ๐›๐ฅ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ข๐ซ ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐ ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ. The rest privatized, paid market wages, and reintroduced the family as the core unit. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ, ๐ข๐๐ž๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐, ๐‰๐ž๐ฐ๐ข๐ฌ๐ก, ๐ฐ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐, ๐ฐ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ-๐๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐๐ข๐ž๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐ง๐š๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž. ๐๐จ๐ฐ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ฉ๐จ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐ž: every other communist project in history was ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ฒ, ๐ข๐๐ž๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐, ๐ž๐ญ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ๐ž, ๐ฉ๐จ๐จ๐ซ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ž๐, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐›๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐ž๐ ๐ž๐. If the kibbutz failed under best-case conditions, every Soviet, Maoist, Cuban, Cambodian, North Korean, and Venezuelan iteration was ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐š๐ฉ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐œ๐ก ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฌ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ, ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐œ๐ก ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐›๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐๐ฌ๐ก๐ž๐. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐’๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐ž๐ญ-๐›๐จ๐ซ๐ง ๐ก๐จ๐ฌ๐ญโ€™๐ฌ ๐œ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ซ: communism ๐ซ๐ž๐ช๐ฎ๐ข๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ, ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ฏ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐ญ๐ฒ, ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐š๐ฅ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฐ๐š๐ซ๐ โ€” three pillars of human social biology that ๐œ๐š๐ง๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐จ๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐๐ฎ๐œ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐๐ฒ๐ฌ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ง๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐š๐ญ ๐ฌ๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ž. The Soviet Union killed 60 million people trying. The PRC killed 65 million. ๐€๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ค๐ข๐›๐›๐ฎ๐ญ๐ณ, ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฌ, ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐๐จ ๐ข๐ญ ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ. ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ข๐ฉ๐ญ ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ ๐€๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ–-๐ฒ๐ž๐š๐ซ-๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฐ๐š๐ญ๐œ๐ก ๐›๐ž๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐ข๐Ÿ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ. ๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ ๐๐จ๐ž๐ฌ๐งโ€™๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐š๐ข๐ฅ ๐›๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฐ๐ซ๐จ๐ง๐  ๐ฉ๐ž๐จ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž ๐ซ๐š๐ง ๐ข๐ญ. ๐ˆ๐ญ ๐Ÿ๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐œ๐š๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ก๐ฎ๐ฆ๐š๐ง ๐›๐ž๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐›๐ข๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ๐ ๐š๐ง๐ข๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐œ๐š๐ง ๐›๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž โ€˜๐ง๐ž๐ฐ ๐ฌ๐จ๐œ๐ข๐š๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฆ๐š๐ง.โ€™ ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ค๐ข๐›๐›๐ฎ๐ญ๐ณ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐จ๐Ÿ. ๐Œ๐š๐ฆ๐๐š๐ง๐ขโ€™๐ฌ ๐๐˜๐‚ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ ๐œ๐š๐ฌ๐ž ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ. ๐–๐š๐ญ๐œ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐จ. ๐’๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ข๐ญ. ๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ง๐ž๐ฑ๐ญ ๐ ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ข๐ฉ๐ญ๐ฌ. ๐˜๐˜ช๐˜ฅ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฐ ๐˜ง๐˜ณ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฎ @๐˜ต๐˜ณ๐˜ช๐˜จ๐˜จ๐˜ฆ๐˜ณ๐˜ฑ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฅ

M.A. Rothman

90,990 views โ€ข 2 months ago

GOLD PRICE SLIDES BUT SWISS GOLD DEMAND EXPLODES: NEGATIVE RATES THREAT RETURNS AS CITIZENS FLEE TO PHYSICAL GOLD Gold prices have fallen steadily for weeks after January's record peak, yet Swiss gold dealers report customers lining up in numbers not seen for a long time. People are treating the lower prices as a chance to buy rather than a reason to stay away. This surge arrives just days before the Swiss National Bank delivers its key rate decision on June 18, a move that could change what happens to savings sitting in bank accounts across the country. THE GOLD PRICE PARADOX โžก๏ธ Gold currently costs around 108 Swiss francs per gram, with the ounce near 4,200 dollars, down slightly on easing Gulf news. โžก๏ธ Many who bought near the top now sit on months of losses. โžก๏ธ The drop has not scared buyers off. It has pulled them in because the metal simply costs less than it did six months ago. THE CENTRAL BANK SIGNAL โžก๏ธ Private buyers are not acting alone. โžก๏ธ Central banks in China, India, and Turkey have shifted large parts of their reserves from dollars into gold at a scale unseen in years. โžก๏ธ When major states quietly move away from paper currencies they publicly defend, the action reveals more than any headline. THE ZERO RATE TRAP โžก๏ธ The Swiss National Bank holds its key rate at zero percent, making new borrowing almost free. โžก๏ธ Its director has stated the hurdle for negative rates is higher, yet the bank stands ready to reintroduce them if needed to fulfill its mandate. โžก๏ธ Negative rates reverse the rules: savers pay the bank instead of earning interest on their money. THE STRONG FRANC PRESSURE โžก๏ธ Tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have lifted the Swiss franc as a classic safe-haven currency. โžก๏ธ A stronger franc makes Swiss exports more expensive abroad, squeezing pharmaceuticals, machinery, and watches. โžก๏ธ Negative rates become one tool to ease that pressure, but the cost lands on ordinary savers. THE GOLD ATTRACTION โžก๏ธ At zero or negative rates, money in bank accounts slowly loses value over time. โžก๏ธ Gold does not depend on central bank rate decisions to protect its worth. โžก๏ธ This difference explains why many now see physical metal as the clearer store of value. THE BOTTOM LINE The rush to physical gold in Switzerland while prices fall and the June 18 National Bank decision approaches shows a quiet shift toward assets that sit outside policy control. When official rates offer little or nothing, tangible gold becomes the alternative people actually reach for. Your savings account and the gold price are now linked through the same pressures. #SwissGold #GoldDemand #NegativeRates #SNB #June18 #StrongFranc #SafeHaven

Mark

27,978 views โ€ข 1 month ago

If you're trying to decide what to do with your gold position right now, how it's performed during previous major geopolitical crisis is worth looking at before you do. Every conflict in the last 50 years was followed by gold eventually reaching new all-time highs: โ€ข 1973 OPEC embargo - it dropped initially, then rallied 150% in just two years. โ€ข 1979 Iranian revolution - it jumped 89% in just one year afterwards. โ€ข 1991 Golf war (Iraq invaded Kuwait) - it jumped 10% in weeks โ€ข 2011 (Post-9/11) - it went from $250 all the way to $1,900 over the next decade โ€ข Russia-Ukraine in 2022 - it broke through $2,000 and has more than doubled since What's different about the current environment is the fewer structural forces supporting gold than what we had before. In 1973, US debt was $500 billion. Today, it's $38 trillion. Central banks were reducing their gold holdings back then. Now they're adding over 1,000 tons per year. These are just a few examples. The conditions that drove gold higher in every previous cycle are all present today, just at a larger scale. None of this guarantees a repeat. But if you're weighing whether to hold, add, or reduce, this kind of context helps you make that decision from a more informed place rather than reacting to a red day on your screen. The part most people miss is what happens between the initial drop and the new highs. I walk through that window in the thread below.

Felix Prehn ๐Ÿถ

50,304 views โ€ข 3 months ago

GOLD COLLATERAL REVOLUTION: THE ASIAN STRATEGY THAT COULD REWRITE GLOBAL FINANCE WHEN TRUST IN THE DOLLAR BREAKS Gold expert and central bank insider Gregor Gregersen knows the Asian gold market like few others in the sector. He currently serves on a central bank committee in Singapore for the new gold hub project and is involved with Hong Kongโ€™s gold strategy. A massive realignment is underway in the gold market that most investors still miss. While Western exchanges continue to trade paper gold with massive leverage, Asia is moving physical metal and building collateral systems designed for a post-dollar world. THE CHINA GOLD BLACK HOLE โžก๏ธ China is importing vastly more gold than official numbers show, with estimates pointing to four times the reported figures from the World Gold Council. โžก๏ธ Purchases happen off-exchange in OTC markets, allowing massive physical accumulation without driving up the visible price on LBMA or COMEX. โžก๏ธ Once inside China the metal rarely comes back out, creating a strategic one-way flow that has continued for 10 to 15 years. THE POWER OF TRUE COLLATERAL โžก๏ธ Collateral is now the single most important topic in the entire gold industry. โžก๏ธ Unlike repo transactions where banks can re-use and multiply the same gold up to 50 or 60 times, true collateral keeps full ownership with the customer. โžก๏ธ Borrowers receive significantly lower interest rates because the physical gold serves as direct, unencumbered security for the loan. SINGAPORE AND HONG KONG BUILD THE BACKUP โžก๏ธ Singapore is developing a major gold hub project with direct involvement from its central bank committee and recently added several tonnes to reserves. โžก๏ธ Hong Kong is executing a clear Chinese strategy to create a controlled free-trade gold center that can function when the US dollar loses acceptance. โžก๏ธ These hubs enable institutions and family offices to borrow against physical gold through licensed structures while keeping legal title with the owner. THE PAPER SYSTEM'S BREAKING POINT โžก๏ธ The Western paper gold system runs on far more IOUs than actual physical metal, often 30 to 40 times the real backing. โžก๏ธ In stress events the paper price can fall sharply as leveraged positions unwind, while physical premiums explode and metal becomes nearly impossible to source at spot. โžก๏ธ The October silver squeeze proved how fast leasing rates can spike to 50 or even 100 percent when real supply runs dry. THE TRUST THRESHOLD โžก๏ธ The entire dollar-based system rests on confidence alone and survives only until enough participants simply refuse to accept it anymore. โžก๏ธ History shows reserve currencies shift roughly every 100 years when that trust finally collapses. โžก๏ธ Nations are already preparing the alternative with physical gold stored securely and collateral systems that operate outside the old centers. THE BOTTOM LINE The West keeps multiplying paper promises while the East quietly moves the real metal and turns it into functional collateral. When the run on trust begins, only physical gold held with clear ownership and lending rights in secure jurisdictions will still work. This is how the next financial order takes shape โ€” one collateralized ounce at a time. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #GoldCollateral #PhysicalGold #ChinaGold #SingaporeGoldHub #DeDollarization #CurrencyCrisis #ReserveShift

Mark

48,989 views โ€ข 11 days ago

Rahul Gandhi what will you call these Failure or Compromise? Look at the absolute disasters you are trying to hide : FACT 1: Remember 2013? The Sonia Government openly told citizens not to buy gold, and there was a literal government proposal to shut down petrol pumps at 8 PM! There was no major global war. Supply chains were not blocked. Yet they wanted to lock down fuel. Was that a failure or a compromise with the public? FACT 2: In just 6 months during 2008, they wiped out $65 billion of India's forex reserves. There was a time when India was almost bankrupt with a forex of just $1.2 billion, and the Congress-supported government secretly pledged the country's gold. The Economic Advisor back then? Manmohan Singh. FACT 3: In 2003, petrol was โ‚น30. By 2013, it was โ‚น84. Congress hiked the price 11 times in 12 months. When the public asked why, Manmohan justified it by saying, "Paise Pedd Pe Nahi Ugte" The Current Account Deficit hit a historical high of 4.8% in 2012-13. Inflation was consistently in double digits at 15 to 16%. They left India in the "Fragile Five" economies. FACT 4: Sonia Govt openly cut Army funding, stating there was no money for Rafale jets. And let's not forget the world's largest blackout under their rule, where over 600 million people were in the dark for two days Your Economist Manmohan caused this absolute disaster during a basic, normal cyclical recession. Imagine if Sonia government had to face a once-in-a-century pandemic and two global wars simultaneously like we are right now

Hardik

13,174 views โ€ข 2 months ago

People are going to be SHOCKED by how high gold and silver go from here. Not in five years. Not in two years. Starting NOW. Everyone knows the standard gold bull case. Central banks buying. Dollar debasement. Geopolitical chaos. Fiscal deficits spiraling. That's the soft, complacent version. The polite dinner party argument. I'm telling you something different: The really contrarian view right now isn't that gold pulls back. The really contrarian view is that it goes up FAR more than anyone imagines. Gold's total market cap sits around $30 trillion. Silver around $8 trillion. Global stocks? $125 trillion. Bonds? $300 trillion. Total financial assets? Over $500 trillion. All it takes is a small fraction of that $500 trillion saying: "I want out of this paper money charade." And most of that $30 trillion in gold isn't even tradable. It's locked in central bank vaults. The actual buyable float is a fraction of the total. A $500 trillion ocean of capital with a tiny escape hatch. Now look at what just happened: A whale in China deliberately shorted silver. Sloppy, loud, wanted everyone to know. Tried to slam the price and shake out the bulls. In 2022, a sloppy seller did the exact same thing in nickel. Publicly shorted it. Pushed it down for days. Then nickel TRIPLED. Markets love to punish that kind of arrogance. Meanwhile, the COMEX servers just overheated and shut down. Again. Same thing happened around Black Friday. And what followed? A moonshot in precious metals. The meme bros who piled into SLV last year got rinsed. And that's good. The market needed to shake out weak hands. But even after the rinse, gold found a bid. Every single dip got bought. Every selloff reversed. Strong markets don't let you in. Gold at $5,200 is trading bid because foreign central banks are structurally reallocating away from dollar reserves. Now let's talk about what's funding this rotation... Nvidia just reported $68B in quarterly revenue. Beat every estimate. But the stock DROPPED 5.5%. Wiped out $260B in market value in a single session. Morgan Stanley called it the largest, cleanest beat in semiconductor history. And Mr. Market said: "Don't care." That's not noise. That's the market telling you something profound: The hyperscalers are on pace to spend $700 billion in AI capex this year. That's going to consume virtually ALL of their cash from operations. Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Meta - locked in a game of capex chicken where nobody can stop spending because they're terrified of falling behind. Game theory guarantees this ends in a car crash. In a bull market, companies get rewarded for spending more. But once you cross the Rubicon, companies get rewarded for CUTTING. The Mag 7 saw earnings up 145%. The other 493 S&P companies? Up 4%. That's not a broad market. That's 7 companies selling picks and shovels while everyone else digs empty holes. And the money rotating OUT of those stocks is going into gold, silver, energy, and emerging markets. This isn't a blip. China has outperformed the S&P two years running. The equally weighted S&P is crushing the cap-weighted version in 2026. The next 5 - 10 years will look NOTHING like the last 5 - 10. Here's what I'd do: SELL ALL YOUR BONDS. If bonds are rallying, it means the wheels came off the economy. Either way, gold wins. Switch from SPY to RSP. Stop letting 7 overvalued companies dictate your portfolio. Own energy. Own precious metals. Own emerging markets. And above all: Own gold and silver. People say it's overbought. But you know what overbought really means? "I forgot to buy it and it went up without me." Every driver of gold (fiscal recklessness, geopolitical chaos, central bank buying, dollar debasement) is accelerating. Someone asked what would make me bearish on gold. Easy: an outbreak of common sense in fiscal and monetary policy. Wake me up when that happens. Until then? Gold. Don't trade it. Own it.

George Noble

145,858 views โ€ข 4 months ago

Since the start of the full-scale invasion, Russia has been increasing its war spending every year. In the 2026 budget, the Kremlin plans to spend 12.93 trillion rubles ($163,4 billion) (almost 30%, a record since the Soviet era) on the war, the army, and weapons purchases. This rapid growth in spending is happening without an adequate revenue base. The Russian economy has rested on three main pillars: energy exports, gold and foreign exchange reserves, and the National Wealth Fund. โ—พ๏ธ Oil and gas revenues account for about 25% of Russia's budget and are the main source of funding for the war against Ukraine. As of mid-December, prices for Russian Urals crude are at their lowest level since the start of the full-scale war, at just over $40 per barrel. In February 2022, Urals prices were in the range of $80-90 per barrel. โ—พ๏ธ Russia's National Wealth Fund is rapidly losing liquid assets: from $113.5 billion in 2022 to $51.6 billion in 2025. It was used to finance the budget deficit, especially in 2022-2024. โ—พ๏ธ Gold and foreign exchange reserves - at the end of November, according to Ukraine's Foreign Intelligence Service, in order to quickly patch up holes in the budget and support the ruble exchange rate, Russia's Central Bank began selling strategic gold reserves. The sale is taking place on the domestic market. Access to foreign markets is blocked by sanctions. In fact, Russia is "eating through" reserves that for decades were considered untouchable. โ—พ๏ธ Even the Russian media are now openly writing about the possibility of the Russian economy entering a phase of stagnation. According to experts, the 1% GDP growth projected by the economic development ministry for 2025 will most likely not be achieved. Declines in industrial output have been recorded across all civilian sectors of the Russian economy. According to the latest data, there has even been a decline in production in the military sector, despite government contracts and financial backing from the budget. โ—พ๏ธ Due to sanctions restrictions, declining international trust, and high risks, Russia has extremely limited access to external loans. There is little reason to expect a rise in energy prices. Therefore, social programs are being cut, payments to contract soldiers are being reduced, and further emissions and tax increases are being implemented. ๐Ÿ”ท From January 1, 2026, the VAT rate will increase from 20% to 22% - the highest level in Russia since 1992. ๐Ÿ”ท A radical tax reform for small businesses has been approved, affecting not only hundreds of thousands of entrepreneurs but also millions of their customers. ๐Ÿ”ท A law introducing a "technology levy" has been signed - a tax on equipment and electronics sold in Russian stores. However, even the usually reserved head of the Central Bank, Elvira Nabiullina, speaks bluntly - due to tariff and VAT increases in early 2026, the Russian economy will experience an acceleration of inflation. "In December, certain companies have already begun adjusting prices with this in mind, but the main impact is yet to come," she said. For now, the Kremlin is doing everything it can to sustain military spending, which it considers a priority. But the Russian economy may not be able to withstand the continuation of the hot phase of the war. Especially if sanctions are tightened further.

Anton Gerashchenko

122,875 views โ€ข 6 months ago

GOLD TELEGRAPH CONVERSATION #7 MATTHEW PIEPENBURG โ€œI'm confident that China has at least 10x more gold than the WGC says it doesโ€ฆ I also think they have a lot more than the United States.โ€ Matthew is a prominent voice in global finance. He began as a transactional attorney and launched his first hedge fund during the 1999โ€“2001 NASDAQ bubble. He later managed alternative investments for high-net-worth families as General Counsel, CIO, and Managing Director of family offices. He is the author of the Amazon No#1 Release, Rigged to Fail, and is a graduate of Brown (BA), Harvard (MA) and the University of Michigan. Today, he is a partner at VON GREYERZ. In this fascinating conversation, we cover a wide range of topics, including the international monetary system, the trade war, liquidity risks, the sovereign debt crisis, BRICS, the gold market, and where it all may be heading. Matthew pointed out that the petrodollar has been a vital engine of U.S. dollar demand, but itโ€™s clearly weakening. While still in place, it's being slowly eroded, with 20% of global oil now traded outside the dollar. He emphasized that this shift isnโ€™t temporary, itโ€™s part of a larger, irreversible change. The international monetary system is evolving, and we are living through a historic turning point in global finance. I hope you enjoy the conversation, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. A big thank you to Matthew for joining me. TIMESTAMPS: 0:50 โ€“ What was the moment gold became more than just a trade? 8:19 - Was there a personal inflection point where the current system stopped making sense? 12:07 - With rising debt and monetary distortion, how does gold serve as an anchor in a system losing stability? 26:55 โ€“ Is gold a path back to discipline, or proof the systemโ€™s come undone? 33:09 โ€“ As U.S. Treasuries start acting like risk assets, could China and Japan be fueling the current volatility? 42:34 โ€“ When did you realize gold isnโ€™t just an assetโ€ฆ but a threat to the central bank narrative? 47:47 โ€“ Is the suppression of goldโ€™s narrative just as powerful as the suppression of its price? 52:32 โ€“ As gold rises and global trust fades, is it exposing the Fed as an unchecked fourth branch of government? 56:51 โ€“ If gold breaks the psychological ceiling central banks have tried to suppress, what does that mean for their credibility? 1:04:21 โ€“ What signals is the West missing as BRICS nations quietly build financial alternatives to the current system? 1:09:08 โ€“ What are Western policymakers missing about Project mBridge and the shift away from SWIFT? 1:13:47 โ€“ With 20% of oil already traded outside the dollar, why is there still so much denialโ€ฆ how could this reshape global demand for the U.S. dollar? 1:16:39 โ€“ Why has there been such persistent resistance to transparency around Fort Knox and the U.S. gold reserves? 1:21:19 โ€“ Do you think the public is about to witness an acceleration of the monetary and geopolitical breakdown weโ€™ve been warning about? 1:25:24 โ€“ With gold gaining traction in Washington, could this administration use it to restore financial trust at home and abroad?

Gold Telegraph โšก

675,328 views โ€ข 1 year ago

The Junior Mining Trade is Finally On and Here's Why For junior mining investors, 2024 has been a mixed bag of patience and promise. While the price of gold and silver has been skyrocketing to levels unseen in over 20 years, junior mining stocks havenโ€™t kept pace. Many investors who poured money into smallcap exploration companies expecting them to follow goldโ€™s surge are getting restless. But things are finally looking up for this lagging sector, and itโ€™s all about where weโ€™re at in the natural resource cycle. Letโ€™s break down whatโ€™s happening and what might be on the horizon. Gold and Silver Are Shiningโ€”So Where Are the Juniors? Over the past year, the price of gold has climbed nearly 38%, with silver up a stunning 42.5%. Yet, despite these record-breaking moves, the smaller companies focused on exploration and discovery, the juniors, have barely moved. The S&P TSX Global Mining Index is up a respectable 23%, but the TSX Venture Metals and Mining Index, where most juniors trade, has only eked out a 9% gain. What gives? The answer lies in understanding how large and small mining companies navigate their roles in the precious metals cycle. Large mining firms like Newmont have been basking in higher prices, increasing production, and capitalizing on high margins. But for smaller companies, the real opportunity often comes when large producers start feeling the need to secure future supply. And here in late 2024, that moment is just arriving. The Resource Equation: Why Giants Like Newmont Look to the Smaller Names To understand how the big miners influence juniors, letโ€™s look at Newmont Corporation, the worldโ€™s largest gold miner, operating across four continents. Newmontโ€™s primary goal is to produce as much gold as possible at the lowest possible cost. But mining is unlike most industriesโ€”every ton of ore that comes out of the ground depletes reserves. Once Newmont extracts an ounce of gold, itโ€™s gone for good. And unless it adds new ounces to its portfolio, production eventually declines, and so does the stock price. For a giant like Newmont, replacing these reserves through new discoveries is costly, risky, and time-consuming. Companies like Newmont prefer to purchase assets that are already developed or nearly so. Recently, Newmont acquired Newcrest in a $28.8 billion deal, marking the largest gold merger to date. Newcrest itself grew through acquisitions, buying up promising mines like Red Chris and Brucejack to shore up its reserves. By buying Newcrest, Newmont added high-quality, low-cost ounces to its portfolio, but the global giant still needs to continually replenish reserves to meet production demands. Thatโ€™s where the juniors come in. Agnico-Eagle and the Depletion Dilemma Agnico-Eagle, the second largest gold producer, faces similar challenges. After its own string of acquisitions, including a merger with Kirkland Lake Gold and the purchase of Yamanaโ€™s assets, Agnico has continued to produce significant volumes of gold. But high production volumes mean reserves are also dwindling fast. Take Agnicoโ€™s mines in Mexico, Pinos Altos and La India, which once held nearly 80 million tonnes of gold and silver ore. After a decade of operation, these assets are close to depletion. Agnico has exploration projects, but itโ€™s unclear if theyโ€™ll be able to replenish the companyโ€™s gold supply at the rate itโ€™s being depleted. For Agnico, acquiring developed assets is a faster solution, but with competition increasing, the company may soon have to look at even smaller playersโ€”putting junior mining companies back in the spotlight. The Junior Mining Cycle: Positioned for Growth? As long as gold and silver prices remain high, big mining companies will be on the lookout for acquisitions to secure future production. In fact, the 23% gain in the S&P TSX Global Mining Index and the 45% one-year return on the GDX signal that the metals rally is starting to reach mining stocks. The trend is only beginning to impact juniors, but itโ€™s gaining momentum. Soon, even higher-risk, earlier-stage exploration companies may become prime acquisition targets for larger miners. For juniors, this translates into real opportunity. As big miners get hungrier for reserves, theyโ€™ll go further up the risk curve to secure assets, bringing much-needed capital into the space. Exploration companies that prove their resource quality, viability, and production potential may see increased valuations and potentially, acquisition offers. And with investor attention gradually returning to the sector, the right companies could see significant price moves. How to Navigate the Junior Mining Space The challenge, of course, is identifying which juniors have what it takes to make it. As some veteran mining investors will tell you, success often depends less on the project itself and more on the people managing it. Iโ€™ve spoken with Rick Rule, Doug Casey, and Frank Giustra over the last year and they all emphasize the importance of strong management teams in mining. A great deposit in the hands of an inexperienced team can lead to wasted resources, while an average deposit managed well can turn into a profitable operation. The Deep Dive has hosted numerous junior mining CEOs whoโ€™ve given us insight into their companies, strategies, and outlooks. One example is Silver Tiger Metals, which has been developing a promising silver asset in Sonora, Mexico, close to Agnicoโ€™s Pinos Altos. We spoke with their CEO, Glenn Jessome, about how he plans to bring the project to fruition. For investors, hearing directly from these leaders can provide a clearer sense of who knows what theyโ€™re doing and who might struggle if challenges arise. 2025: A Big Year Ahead for Junior Mining? The signs are thereโ€”2025 could be a pivotal year for junior miners. The macroeconomic backdrop is favorable, with sustained demand for gold and silver likely as inflationary pressures and a strong dollar drive more investors into metals. Meanwhile, big mining firms are looking to juniors to secure their future production, meaning higher acquisition interest and more money flowing into exploration companies. If youโ€™re watching the junior mining space, keep an eye on the fundamentals: Who has strong management? Which projects are positioned in promising jurisdictions? And crucially, who has the financing and expertise to make the most of their assets? Where to Start If you want to follow our efforts, subscribe to The Deep Dive to stay updated on all things junior mining. Weโ€™ll continue to feature CEOs and industry experts to bring you insights directly from the companies on the frontlines of this cycle. And if you have questions for our guests, let us know in the commentsโ€”chances are theyโ€™re reading too.

SmallCapSteve

52,868 views โ€ข 1 year ago

THE G7 IS ABOUT TO MAKE THE BIGGEST MISTAKE IN ENERGY MARKET HISTORY This morning, G7 finance ministers are holding an emergency call to discuss dumping 300-400 million barrels from strategic petroleum reserves onto the market. They think this will fix $108 oil. But it won't. Let me explain why: Let's do the math that nobody on CNBC will do for you. Global oil consumption runs approximately 103 million barrels per day. The Strait of Hormuz closure has removed somewhere between 4 and 6 million barrels per day from available supply. That's happening RIGHT NOW. Iraq has already cut 1.5 million barrels per day because it literally ran out of storage space. Kuwait is cutting production. Bahrain declared force majeure. So take 400 million barrels - the high end of what they're discussing - and divide it by the daily supply gap. You get roughly 67 to 100 days of coverage. Two to three months. That's it. That's the whole plan. And then what? You can't release reserves you've already released. The market figured this out in about 4 hours. Oil spiked over 20% overnight, the G7 leak hit the wires, and prices pulled back to... still up 12-15%. Traders looked at the arithmetic and said: "Thanks, but that doesn't solve anything." And they're right. Here's the part that should terrify you: The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve sits at roughly 411 million barrels. That sounds like a lot until you remember it held 727 million barrels at its peak. The previous administration drained 180 million barrels in 2022 to fight $90 oil. That release bought consumers about 18 cents per gallon of relief. THIS disruption is structurally larger, geographically more dangerous, and has no visible end date. In 2022, the threat was Russian supply being redirected. Tankers still moved. Alternatives existed. The Strait of Hormuz was wide open. Today, the world's most critical energy chokepoint is effectively closed. And that not by a naval blockade but by insurance companies refusing to cover ships transiting it. And the political situation just got worse, not better. The conditions for oil to return to pre-war levels require the Strait to reopen, Iraqi production to restore, and Gulf shipping insurance to normalize. NONE of those conditions are achievable through reserve releases. They require the conflict to end or dramatically de-escalate. Nothing happening right now suggests either outcome. For 45 years I've watched governments try to solve structural supply problems with temporary demand-side gimmicks. It never works. It didn't work in the 1970s when Nixon tried price controls. It didn't work in 2022 when Biden drained the SPR. And it won't work now. Strategic reserves exist for genuine emergencies. This IS a genuine emergency. But using 25-30% of the world's total strategic stockpile (roughly a third of the entire 1.2 billion barrel IEA reserve) when the underlying crisis has no resolution in sight isn't strategy... It's PANIC. The smart money isn't waiting for G7 announcements. They're looking at what happens in 90 days when the reserves are depleted, the Strait is still closed, and the new Supreme Leader is still in power: Energy stocks. Gold. Silver. Real assets that don't depend on politicians solving a military conflict with a spreadsheet. The G7 can release every barrel they have. It doesn't reopen the Strait of Hormuz. It doesn't bring stability to Iran. It doesn't fix a 4-6 million barrel per day supply gap that grows wider every week. Arithmetic doesn't care about press conferences. And neither should you.

George Noble

252,380 views โ€ข 4 months ago

We're watching the biggest shift in global economic power unfold in real time. While America debates tariffs, subpoenas its own Fed Chair, and spends $380 billion on AI infrastructure with no measurable returns... China just executed the most AGGRESSIVE industrial strategy since the Marshall Plan. This week alone, 5 Chinese AI companies - Zhipu, ByteDance, Alibaba, Moonshot, and DeepSeek - released or announced major model upgrades simultaneously during Spring Festival. A RAND report published last month confirmed Chinese AI models now run at one-sixth to one-fourth the cost of comparable American systems. One-sixth the cost. Surveys show the vast majority of US companies investing in AI report "no change" in productivity, decision-making, or customer satisfaction. America is burning cash. China is building products. But AI is just one front. The "Four Dragons" - Moore Threads, MetaX, Biren, Enflame - all went public or filed IPOs in the last two months. Huawei is doubling output of its flagship Ascend chip to 600,000 units this year and outlined a 3 year roadmap to overtake Nvidia. Bernstein estimates Nvidia's China market share will collapse from 40% to 8% under current export restrictions. Huawei's could rise to 50%. Beijing is mobilizing $70 billion in chip incentives and mandating state telecoms replace AMD and Intel by 2027. They're not competing with our tech stack. They're REPLACING IT. Now look at energy: China invested $1 TRILLION in clean energy in 2025. 4x what they spent on fossil fuels. Clean energy drove over a third of GDP growth last year. They produce a full terawatt of solar panel capacity annually. Over 70% of global EV production is Chinese. Nearly half of all new cars sold in China are electric. They can power their AI data centers with cheap renewable energy they built themselves. Meanwhile, America is debating whether to keep wind subsidies. The part that should concern every dollar-denominated investor: China's central bank has bought gold for 15 consecutive months. January reserves hit $369.6 billion, up $51 billion in a single month. The World Gold Council suggests actual holdings could be DOUBLE the reported figures. The Shanghai Gold Exchange is expanding renminbi-priced contracts overseas. Yuan-based trade is growing with Saudi Arabia, Brazil, and Indonesia. They're not just accumulating gold. They're building the infrastructure to challenge how global commodities get priced. And China's trade machine? Record $3.77 trillion in exports last year. $1.19 trillion surplus - the largest any country has EVER recorded. But they've completely redirected it. Exports to America fell 28.6%. Exports to Africa surged 27.5%. ASEAN up 8.2%. Goldman raised its 2026 China growth forecast to 4.8%. Add it up: - AI at a fraction of the cost - A parallel chip ecosystem - $1 trillion per year in clean energy - 15 months of gold buying - A record trade surplus pivoted toward the Global South Their 15th Five-Year Plan covers quantum computing, 6G, hydrogen energy, and biomedicine. This is a country that installed 277 gigawatts of solar in a single year while we argued about tax credits. My positioning: Gold and precious metals remain a core holding. China's buying puts a structural floor under prices, and they're NOT slowing down. Mag 7 valuations look increasingly stretched when a competitor builds comparable AI for pennies on the dollar. Energy stocks stay attractive - the transition is measured in decades, not quarters. China is building the future. America is unfortunately just talking about it.

George Noble

202,613 views โ€ข 5 months ago

GOLD & SILVER CRASHING NOW: SWISS TOP MANAGER REVEALS THE FINAL MANIPULATION BEFORE THE EXPLOSION Dieter Lรผscher from Premium Strategy Partners AG is one of Switzerlandโ€™s most decorated wealth managers. Multiple times named best in the conservative risk class after managing ultra-high-net-worth clients at a major Swiss bank. In his latest interview he cuts through the noise and delivers a crystal-clear warning on gold and silver right now. What he says will stop you mid-scroll. THE QUARTER-END TRAP EXPOSED โžก๏ธ Commercial banks and shorts still hold massive positions and options expiring in just nine days. โžก๏ธ Their only goal is to push gold and silver as low as possible so those options expire worthless and they pocket maximum profit. โžก๏ธ This exact game has run for fifteen years but Dieter says we are now in the endgame. THE LOW IS COMING FAST โžก๏ธ The bottom in precious metals arrives in the next few days, maybe already today. โžก๏ธ Even with war escalating daily the price action is purely technical, driven by futures and option expiry. โžก๏ธ Once that window closes the structural bid returns with force. THE ASIA POWER SHIFT ACCELERATES โžก๏ธ India just announced that from April 1 gold and silver ETFs will price at the local Indian spot, not LBMA. โžก๏ธ China is openly pushing yuan-denominated gold pricing and demanding it gains importance. โžก๏ธ COMEX inventories are plunging while Shanghai Gold Exchange official stocks sit at just 600 tonnes. THE PHYSICAL DEMAND REALITY โžก๏ธ Silver supply is turning chaotic with mines shipping directly to producers, bypassing exchanges entirely. โžก๏ธ Physical metal carries zero counterparty risk, exactly what investors and nations now demand. โžก๏ธ Wars and exploding debt force massive new money printing that only gold and silver can truly absorb. THE BOTTOM LINE Dieterโ€™s message is simple and urgent: this engineered dip is the final gift before the real bull market resumes and pricing power permanently shifts east. Buy the physical metal now while the manipulators still control the paper price. HT: YouTube Rohstoff Investor #GoldSilver #GoldLow #SilverShortage #COMEXDrain #IndiaGold #YuanPricing #PreciousMetalsBull

Mark

376,682 views โ€ข 3 months ago

Pakistan, China Exploits Balochistanโ€™s Gold For Bad By: Mir Yar Baloch 9 July, 2025, We are deeply concerned by a disturbing report from Baloch media outlet Humgaam News, revealing that the #Saindak and #Reko_Diq mining operations, jointly controlled by the Chinese Communist Party and the Pakistani military establishment, have begun the systematic dismissal of hundreds of local Baloch employees, many of whom have served in these mines for over 18 years. According to the latest findings, 15 Baloch workers have been coerced into resigning under sustained pressure from non-local senior officials, backed by Pakistanโ€™s deep state and the ISI. Even more troubling, several remaining Baloch employees have reportedly been threatened with forcible removal from the Saindak mining premises should they refuse to accept reduced wages. These developments reflect a dangerous pattern of discrimination and economic displacement targeting the indigenous workforce. It is deeply alarming to learn that Baloch individuals are now systematically excluded from employment in companies operating on their own land, enterprises primarily owned by Beijing and partly held by the Canadian-based Barrick Gold Corporation with share about 7$ Billion. This exclusion reflects not only institutional discrimination but also what appears to be a calculated international collusion aimed at economically marginalizing the indigenous Baloch population of over 60 million. By depriving them of livelihoods and access to their own resources, these actions are deliberately pushing the Baloch people toward starvation, poverty, and socio-economic extinction. We call upon the international community to stand in solidarity with the Baloch nation, which has long exposed the ruthless exploitation carried out under the pretext of the so-called China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). Justice demands that the world no longer remain silent in the face of such orchestrated dispossession. It is nearly impossible to determine the exact volume of gold, copper, and iron being systematically extracted by Pakistan and China from Balochistan on a daily basis. This is largely due to the absence of any local refining or mineral separation infrastructure within the Republic of Balochistan. From four of Balochistanโ€™s largest gold mines, extraction operations run continuously in three shifts, day and night. The raw ore is melted, cast into massive 700-kilogram blocks, marked with serial numbers, and discreetly transported to China. The precise quantity of gold being procured daily by Chinese firms remains undisclosed, not only to the general public of Pakistan but also to the legitimate representatives of the Baloch people and independent media outlets. This joint operation by Pakistan and China is shrouded in secrecy and executed with calculated precision. Yet, as the old adage goes, no matter how sophisticated the thief, a trace is always left behind. The staggering scale of wealth being siphoned off from Balochistan is evidenced by the vast fortunes accumulated by Pakistanโ€™s military elite, trillions of rupees in undeclared assets stashed in Swiss bank accounts and expansive business holdings across Australia, Dubai, London, and other global financial centers. Moreover, the billions of dollars generated from the illicit extraction of Balochistanโ€™s gold and copper are being funneled into Pakistanโ€™s strategic and military ambitions, funding the security of its nuclear arsenal, the development of advanced missile systems, and the professional expansion of its naval forces. This covert economic exploitation not only robs Balochistan of its rightful wealth but also fuels regional instability under the guise of sovereign development. Balochistanโ€™s resources misused by Pakistan for terror ambitions Under the guise of development and economic progress, Pakistan and China have, for over seven decades, systematically occupied and exploited the vast natural resources of Balochistan. Rather than heeding the voices of the Baloch people, who have courageously resisted this relentless plunder, the international community has largely turned a blind eye. The humanitarian crisis and economic devastation borne by the Baloch nation as a result of this exploitation are nothing short of harrowing, evoking deep anguish and outrage. In Balochistan, Beijing and Islamabad are enacting policies that mirror, and in some respects surpass, the colonial atrocities once committed by Belgium in the Congo, Britain in India, and France in Algeria. Those nations, India, Congo, Algeria, and many other, have since broken the chains of imperial domination, yet the brutal legacy of foreign exploitation remains etched in the annals of history. Today, Pakistan and China are pursuing the same imperial blueprint: transforming Balochistan into a de facto colony. They are not only looting its mineral wealth but also orchestrating the cultural erasure, historical distortion, and systematic genocide of the Baloch people. The silence of the global community in the face of such grave injustice is both alarming and morally indefensible. Very few examples of the ruthless economic exploitation plans of former imperial powers are as follows. Belgium in the Congo (1885โ€“1960) In 1885, King Leopold II of Belgium formally acquired rights to the Congo region from the colonial powers of Europe and declared the land his private property, naming it the "Congo Free State." From 1885 to 1908, his colonial army forced the local population into rubber production and committed widespread atrocities. In 1908, Leopold handed over the territory to the Belgian government, thereby turning it into a Belgian colony. According to reports received from Brussels, the capital of Belgium, officials from the national prosecutor's office stated on Thursday, September 10, 2020, that a domestic court has now issued a final order to return one of the two teeth stolen after Patrice Lumumbaโ€™s assassination to his surviving family members. The whereabouts of the second stolen tooth remain unknown. Today, Pakistan and China are engaged in the systematic exploitation of Balochistanโ€™s natural resources, estimated to be worth trillions of dollars, while committing grave human rights violations against the Baloch people. However, their actions will not go unchallenged. Just as a Belgian court recently ordered the return of the teeth of Congolese leader Patrice Lumumba as a symbolic act of justice, a day will come when Pakistan and China will be held accountable for their occupation and compelled to return the wealth they have unjustly extracted from Balochistan. Britain in India (1757โ€“1947) Bharatโ€™s textile and agricultural wealth were siphoned to Britain. The British imposed heavy taxes and policies that deindustrialized India. Indians were often denied administrative jobs and forced into low-paying roles; famines worsened due to cash crop policies and any resistance to colonial exploitation, such as the uprising of 1857, was brutally suppressed. Following Pakistanโ€™s forcible occupation of the once free and sovereign state of Balochistan, we are witnessing a troubling repetition of extractive practices, now jointly pursued by the PLA of China. Much like the British East India Company, which was eventually compelled to leave India after prolonged exploitation, the occupation, supported by foreign corporations and strategic interests, cannot be sustained indefinitely. The presence of these external actors in Balochistan lacks legal and moral legitimacy, and a time will come when they will be held accountable under international norms and compelled to withdraw. France in Algeria (1830โ€“1962) From 1830 to 1962, France maintained a brutal colonial rule over Algeria, marked by military conquest, economic exploitation, and systemic repression of the indigenous population. French settlers seized vast tracts of fertile land, displacing millions of Algerians and reducing them to second-class citizens in their own country. The colonial administration prioritized French interests, using Algeriaโ€™s natural resources and labor to benefit France while denying Algerians basic rights, education, and political representation. Resistance was met with severe violence. In 2021, President Emmanuel Macron admitted that French forces committed "state-level" violence and abuses during the Algerian War of Independence (1954โ€“1962), including accepting responsibility for specific incidents such as the murder of Ali Boumendjel. Balochistan Calls for Global Action Against Pakistanโ€™s State-Sponsored Exploitation In a world increasingly alert to the threats of drug trafficking, the catastrophic consequences of climate change, and the corrosive influence of organized criminal networks, the people of Balochistan are calling on the international community to recognize a grave and growing danger: the state of Pakistan. Disguised as a sovereign nation and cloaked in the legitimacy of United Nations membership, Pakistan has evolved into a global syndicate, one that poses a malignant threat to international peace and security. Just as nations rightly safeguard their own citizens and national interests, it is imperative to confront Pakistanโ€™s destabilizing role and its state-sponsored economic terrorism. The illicit extraction of Balochistanโ€™s mineral resources, amounting to billions of dollars, is not merely theft; it is a calculated enterprise that fuels Pakistanโ€™s militarization, including the development of nuclear weapons and other advanced armaments. Alarmingly, there are credible indications that Pakistan is now contemplating the sale of such dangerous technologies to regimes like Iran and Turkey in exchange for financial gain. Much like the narcotics trade, which spreads chaos through opium and heroin profits, Pakistanโ€™s resource exploitation finances instruments of war and repression. It is, therefore, a moral and strategic necessity to bring Pakistan before the court of global conscience. Simultaneously, the international community must recognize and support Balochistan, not merely as a victim of occupation, but as a future-oriented partner committed to fostering regional peace, stability, and the eradication of terrorism through sincere and responsible engagement. #BalochistanIsNotPakistan #FreeBalochistanMovement BBC News (World) Fox News Humgaam News The New York Times Bloomberg WION Balochwarna News Hyrbyair Marri Zee News Times Now Navbharat TIMES NOW Times Algebra Department of State The Statesman Chanakya Forum ABP เคฎเคพเคเคพ ABP News Hindustan Times NewsX World India News Hananya Naftali Israel News Pulse MEMRI The Times Of India Times Of Balochistan Times Now Batmya Economic Times NewsX World BBC News (World) Dr. S. Jaishankar President Donald J. Trump Vice President JD Vance News18 CNN DEF Talks by Aadi Achint ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IndiaToday AajTak DD News NDTV Republic Republic Bangla Republic Bharat - เคฐเคฟเคชเคฌเฅเคฒเคฟเค• เคญเคพเคฐเคค

Mir Yar Baloch

15,448 views โ€ข 1 year ago

THE MAN WHO CALLED 1987, 1990, AND 2000: MARC FABER'S UNFILTERED WARNING ON RATES, BRICS, AND CASH Marc Faber stands as one of the most respected and feared voices in global finance. With more than fifty years of experience that includes calling the 1987 crash, the Japanese asset bubble, and the dotcom mania, his words carry weight that mainstream analysts simply cannot match. When he speaks about the true state of inflation, the safety of American gold, and the future of money itself, smart money listens closely. THE LEGENDARY TRACK RECORD โžก๏ธ Marc Faber has more than five decades of stock market experience under his belt. โžก๏ธ He not only witnessed but also predicted the October 1987 crash, the Japan bubble collapse in 1990, and the dotcom bubble burst in 2000. โžก๏ธ As editor of the legendary Gloom Boom Doom Report, he continues to deliver unvarnished analysis to subscribers around the world. THE INFLATION REALITY CHECK โžก๏ธ Official statistics claim inflation runs at just 2 to 3 percent in the United States and Europe. โžก๏ธ Faber cites rigorous calculations from Shadowstats showing actual consumer cost increases closer to 10.5 percent per year. โžก๏ธ These hidden costs include insurance, housing, education, and automobiles that far outpace the manipulated official numbers. THE FORT KNOX GOLD DOUBT โžก๏ธ Faber harbors serious doubts that America's gold reserves remain safely stored in Fort Knox. โžก๏ธ He wonders aloud whether past officials or presidents may have removed the gold without anyone noticing. โžก๏ธ "Tell me, what is the word of an American worth?" he asks pointedly, referencing broken promises from Vietnam to questionable election results involving mail-in ballots. THE RISING YIELDS AND LONG-TERM CYCLE โžก๏ธ After four decades of falling interest rates from 1981 to 2020, a new rising trend has begun. โžก๏ธ Faber expects this upcycle to last until around 2040 or 2045 and possibly exceed the 15 percent peaks seen in 1981. โžก๏ธ Higher borrowing costs will feed directly into business expenses and ultimately higher prices for consumers. THE BRICS AND THE UNIT โžก๏ธ BRICS nations have launched a pilot gold-backed trading currency called The Unit to reduce reliance on the dollar. โžก๏ธ This move follows repeated US seizures of foreign currency reserves held in America. โžก๏ธ Faber advises central banks to pull their physical gold out of US custody because its very existence there remains unverified. THE AI WINNERS AND LOSERS โžก๏ธ Massive technological shifts driven by artificial intelligence will cause most companies to go bankrupt. โžก๏ธ A select few survivors will make enormous amounts of money in the process. โžก๏ธ Asia enjoys a structural advantage because it lacks the green activists and heavy socialist interventions that stifle growth in Europe. THE CASH RECOMMENDATION โžก๏ธ Faber strongly advises to diversify and avoid taking huge risks in the current climate. โžก๏ธ Almost everyone is rushing into stocks, real estate, and collectibles, leaving cash with low returns and unloved by the crowd. โžก๏ธ This very fact makes cash potentially interesting right now, precisely because nobody wants it. โžก๏ธ When the risk-off moment arrives, cash becomes king, exactly as Warren Buffett has long described. THE BOTTOM LINE Marc Faber entered this interview with the same directness that has defined his five-decade career. He sees a world of eroding trust, hidden inflation, and dangerous policy interventions, yet he offers a clear path forward through diversification and a fresh look at cash that nobody else seems to want right now. Cash is king when everyone else is chasing the next bubble. HT: YouTube Kettner-Edelmetalle (Gold & Silber) #MarcFaber #GloomBoomDoom #RealInflation #FortKnoxGold #BRICS #InterestRateCycle #CashIsKing

Mark

28,372 views โ€ข 1 month ago

BREAKING: The biggest investor in the Trump family's crypto company just turned on them publicly. He claims they built a "trap door" into the code to freeze investor money at will. And they just secretly borrowed $75 million against tokens that aren't theirs. Here's the crypto scandal unfolding right now: World Liberty Financial launched in 2024 during Trump's third presidential campaign. Co-founded by Donald Trump Jr., Eric Trump, Barron Trump, and Zach Witkoff, the son of US envoy Steve Witkoff. Donald Trump was listed as "co-founder emeritus." The Trump family company was structured to receive 75% of net revenues from token sales. On Trump's 2025 financial disclosure form, he listed more than $57 million in income from World Liberty alone. By December 2025, the family had booked roughly $1 billion in profits. And held another $3 billion in unsold tokens. Now that empire is cracking open from the inside. One of the first, largest, and loudest investors in the project was Justin Sun. The Tron founder. Chinese-born crypto billionaire. He put in between $30 million and $75 million starting in late 2024. Sat as an advisor. Attended Trump's memecoin gala dinner. Held roughly 545 to 595 million WLFI tokens at peak, worth over $100 million. He was the whale the project pointed to as validation. On April 12, he went to X and publicly torched them. He called World Liberty "a trap masquerading as a door." He accused the project of building hidden controls into its smart contracts. Controls that let the company unilaterally freeze any wallet without notice, without warning, without due process. His own wallet was frozen last September, after he moved $9 million in tokens to a new address. He says he was running routine exchange deposit tests. No buying. No selling. No market impact. The wallet got blacklisted anyway. Hundreds of millions in tokens, locked for months. And according to Sun, the ability to do this was never disclosed to investors before they bought in. "This is the opposite of decentralization," he wrote. He called the Trump family "bad actors." He accused them of treating investors as a "personal ATM." World Liberty's official account fired back within hours. "Does anyone still believe Justin Sun?" "Justin's favorite move is playing the victim while making baseless allegations to cover up his own misconduct." "We have the contracts. We have the evidence. We have the truth." "See you in court pal." The biggest backer of a Trump family crypto venture. Publicly accusing them of a scam. Being told "see you in court" by the company. In public. On X. But the timing is the part nobody's putting together. In February, blockchain data later reported by CoinDesk showed something that never made it into a press release. World Liberty took out a $75 million loan from a crypto lending platform called Dolomite. The collateral? Five billion WLFI tokens. That's 5% of the entire supply. Borrowed against, quietly, while the same company was blocking regular holders from selling their own tokens. Think about what that means. Investors like Sun were told their tokens were locked. Couldn't be sold. Couldn't be moved. Meanwhile, the company was taking 5 billion of its own tokens and using them as collateral to borrow $75 million in stablecoins. Austin Campbell, a crypto consultant and NYU instructor, told NBC News: "If you took this conduct and translated it to traditional markets, you would have some problems." That is as close as a sober industry voice gets to saying "this is not supposed to be legal." Then on Tuesday, April 15, it escalated again. World Liberty filed a new governance proposal. It would unlock 62.3 billion WLFI tokens that were previously locked with no vesting schedule. Early supporters holding 17 billion tokens would keep all of theirs, with a two-year cliff. Founders, team, advisors, and partners would see 10% of their 45.2 billion tokens burned. The remaining 40.7 billion would unlock over five years. Sun called it a "trap door" the second it hit the forum. He warned that the proposal involves billions of dollars in assets. That it could reshape vesting rights, burn billions of tokens, and shift governance power permanently. All without the minority protections or independent review a public equity would require. His words: "These steps would never pass in traditional markets, where investors expect clear legal rights and due process." Meanwhile the token itself is bleeding. WLFI has lost 74% of its value since August. As of this week, it trades at around 8 cents. Down from a high of 40 cents at launch. But the Trump family has not been hit the way retail investors have. A Wall Street Journal analysis found the Trumps have cashed out at least $1.2 billion in real dollars from World Liberty Financial over the past 16 months. Not paper wealth. Not locked tokens. Actual cash. The separate TRUMP memecoin, launched days before the second inauguration, has crashed roughly 90% from its high. It now trades around $2.81. It was once $45. And there's the foreign money trail. Days before the inauguration, an investor linked to the UAE government paid $500 million to acquire nearly half of World Liberty Financial. A UAE government fund later used $2 billion of World Liberty's USD1 stablecoin to invest in the crypto exchange Binance. Allowing the Trump-linked entity receiving those dollars to hold them in bonds or money market funds and keep the interest. Shortly after, the Trump administration reversed a Biden-era restriction and gave the UAE access to advanced US chips. Binance's founder, Changpeng Zhao, received a presidential pardon despite his prior guilty plea for failing to stop illicit money flows tied to terrorism and trafficking. World Liberty publicly denied any connection between the UAE deal and the chips policy. But the paper trail is a paper trail. And now add this: Justin Sun's own SEC fraud case from 2023, charging him over crypto trades and illicit promotion, was quietly dismissed in March. He paid a $10 million fine. The case disappeared. One of the first investors in a Trump family crypto venture, under SEC fraud charges, had his case dropped months into the new administration. That same investor is now the loudest public critic of the company. Because he believes they built a kill switch into the code to lock him out of his own money. Here's the broader picture: World Liberty Financial holds a stablecoin, USD1, that ranks among the 10 most heavily used in the world. It runs on Binance and Kraken. It settles billions in transactions. The project's governance token, WLFI, has now collapsed in value while the company borrows against its own supply. The biggest institutional backer is calling it a trap. The House Judiciary Committee has published a report accusing the family of running a multi-billion-dollar self-dealing machine. The Committee documented $11.6 billion in Trump family crypto holdings and over $800 million in crypto income in the first half of 2025 alone. Democrats have accused the administration of dismantling the DOJ's National Cryptocurrency Enforcement Team to shield these ventures from exactly this kind of scrutiny. The White House denies any wrongdoing. The Trump Organization has not responded to media requests. World Liberty is threatening its biggest investor with a lawsuit over his public accusations. This is not a crypto story anymore. This is an ownership story. About who owns the tokens. Who owns the code. Who owns the switch that freezes the wallets. And who owns the 75% cut of every dollar that flows through it. Retail investors are holding an 8-cent token down 74% from its high. The biggest whale is publicly accusing the company of a scam. The company just announced it secretly pledged billions of its own tokens as collateral for a $75 million loan. And the founding family has already cashed out $1.2 billion in real money. One of these things is not like the others. The question now is not whether this ends in court. Justin Sun vs. World Liberty is coming. The question is which courtroom. A civil dispute between two crypto parties? Or the first real securities case testing whether a sitting president's family business structure qualifies as a legal enterprise at all? Because "see you in court pal" works both ways. And Sun's lawyers have been waiting for him to give them something to file. He just did.

Insider Trackers

79,896 views โ€ข 3 months ago

India is quietly preparing for the coming precious metals order in which LBMA/COMEX is less relevant for pricing. SEBIโ€™s February 26, 2026 circular (HO/(68)2026-IMD-POD-2/I/5780/2026) may appear as a routine technical update ,but I see it as a strategic signal of how India is positioning itself in a changing global commodities landscape. Effective April 1, 2026, every mutual fund and ETF holding physical gold or silver must stop using the London LBMA AM fixing price + manual adjustments for duty, currency conversion, transport, taxes, and notional premiums/discounts. Instead, they must value physical holdings using the polled domestic spot prices published by recognized Indian stock exchanges primarily the MCX polled spot price (the exact same benchmark used for final settlement of physically delivered gold and silver derivatives contracts). Official reason: โ€œto reflect domestic market conditions and ensure uniformity in valuation practices.โ€ My deeper macro interpretation: India is quietly preparing for the coming precious metals order in which LBMA/COMEX is less relevant for pricing. We have already witnessed live previews of this decoupling. In October 2025 and again in Januaryโ€“February 2026, Indiaโ€™s MCX polled prices ran at massive premiums over LBMA far beyond the normal 15% import duty effect. The core driver was acute physical non-availability: depleting stocks at refiners, jewelers, and dealers amid explosive demand. London arbitrage simply could not deliver metal fast enough. The price of โ€œmetal you can actually take delivery of today in Indiaโ€ completely decoupled from international benchmarks. The Silver Market Has Become Exceptionally Tight โ€” Hereโ€™s Exactly How Severe It Has Gotten (2025โ€“2026) The silver market is now heading into its sixth consecutive year of structural supply deficit in 2026. According to the Silver Instituteโ€™s preliminary outlook (released February 2026, based on Metals Focus data): - Projected 2026 deficit: 67 million ounces. - 2025 deficit: even larger at ~95 million ounces (some estimates from J.P. Morgan and others put it between 117โ€“230 million ounces depending on inventory draw calculations). - Cumulative 5-year deficit (2021โ€“2025): over 800 million ounces roughly an entire year of global mine production. This is not a temporary imbalance. It is deeply structural, and the tightness is intensifying. Key drivers making the silver market so tight: 1. Exploding structural industrial demand (now ~55โ€“60% of total silver use) Silver is irreplaceable due to its unmatched conductivity, thermal properties, and corrosion resistance. Demand is surging from: - Solar PV: Despite some thrifting (using less silver per panel), global installations keep rising aggressively. - Electric Vehicles (EVs) & charging infrastructure: An EV uses 67โ€“79% more silver than a traditional ICE vehicle (25โ€“50 grams per EV on average). EVs are forecast to overtake ICE vehicles as the main source of automotive silver demand by 2027. - AI, data centers & electronics: Massive growth in connectors, circuits, thermal management, and power systems. AI infrastructure alone is adding huge incremental demand. 2. Extremely slow supply response Total global supply in 2026 is forecast to rise only +1.5% to a decade-high of 1.05 billion ounces. Mine production grows just +1% to 820 million ounces. Why? Silver is overwhelmingly a **by-product** of copper, lead, and zinc mining โ€” new supply does not ramp quickly even at higher prices. 3. Chinaโ€™s strategic export controls (the geopolitical kicker) China controls 60โ€“70% of global refined silver supply. From January 1, 2026, it imposed a formal export licensing regime. Only 44 companies are approved to export silver for the 2026โ€“2027 period (a massive reduction from previous market participants). Silver has effectively been reclassified as a strategic material (alongside tungsten and antimony) to protect domestic needs for green energy, EVs, electronics, and defense. Exports are expected to drop sharply, creating 2,000+ tonnes of annual shortage for Western buyers and adding permanent friction to global physical flows. Result: Above-ground inventories worldwide are under sustained pressure. COMEX, LBMA, and Shanghai stocks have repeatedly hit multi-year lows. Lease rates have climbed. Physical premiums have become volatile and extreme. India one of the worldโ€™s largest silver consumers, felt this pain acutely. Silver imports exploded in 2025 (up dramatically year-on-year, with some months showing 300โ€“500% spikes), yet local stocks still depleted rapidly during festivals and hoarding periods, pushing MCX premiums to multi-year highs. Why This SEBI Move Is Strategic Preparation By mandating the MCX polled domestic price from April 1, 2026, SEBI is ensuring that Gold & Silver ETF NAVs (Nippon India Gold BeES, HDFC Gold ETF, SBI Gold ETF, ICICI Pru Silver ETF, etc.) automatically capture: - Real-time physical stock tightness in India - Immediate availability (or scarcity) of metal - Any future import/export frictions or strategic restrictions - True local replacement cost โ€” even when global paper benchmarks diverge In a world where physical flows are becoming politicized and constrained, relying on LBMA/COMEX (driven heavily by paper trading and Western liquidity) risks significant mispricing for Indian investors. This is no longer just โ€œbetter uniformity.โ€ This is India quietly future-proofing its financial products for a more fragmented, physical-first precious metals regime โ€” one where **domestic availability and policy risks** will increasingly dictate the price that actually matters. For investors: cleaner, more accurate NAVs + stronger protection against exactly the physical and geopolitical risks we are already seeing in silver. The official language is neutral. But the shift from London to MCX polled pricing is one of the most under-appreciated macro moves happening in commodities right now. LBMA and COMEX will still influence the global trend, but in the coming order, they may matter less and less for actual pricing in India.

Macro Liquidity by Sunil Reddy

17,297 views โ€ข 4 months ago