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๐—ฃ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐˜€๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐˜€๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—”๐—น๐—น-๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ป๐—ฑ๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฐ๐—น๐—ฎ๐˜€๐˜€: ๐—ฆ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐˜๐—น๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ต๐˜๐˜€ โญ OF Carver Cohn (McHenry, 2028) further cemented himself as one of the top prospects in the ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ at the #ILPAS. โ—พ6.63 runner โ—พT92 mph OF โ—พT378' max distance (led event) Carver Cohn

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Yesterday, I appeared on the Mario Nawfal show, discussing the situation in #Iran and the #Gulf. Among the main points I made, in a nutshell, were the following: โ—พ Iran has gained the upper hand in the Strait of #Hormuz, true, but it is not a card it can use at any time or recklessly. It is indeed a โ€œnuclear bombโ€ as some prefer to call it, but every weapon of mass destruction, in this case an economic one, comes with inevitable collateral damage to friends and trade partners. Here and this time, that means the entire global economy. โ—พ Every bargaining chip Iran may have from this point forward is strictly contingent on the survivability of the regime in Tehran, while its two main foes, the #US and #Israel, face no such existential threat. Nor would a change of government in those countries affect their military capabilities. This risk applies only to the Ayatollahs. โ—พ We virtually have no reliable data from inside Iran to assess the real political and military damage. That will become visible only after a period of calm. We are likely looking at widespread damage to regime infrastructure, but not a complete dismantling of its military capabilities. This is particularly true for the regimeโ€™s internal security forces, which remain largely unharmed and ready to act in the face of renewed anti-regime protests. โ—พ Gulf monarchies will likely make their final decision on possible normalization with Iran or further hostilities only after the scale of damage inside Iran is properly assessed. That moment will be a game-changing turning point for everyone. โ—พ It is correct that the world will remain on edge because of Iranโ€™s leverage over the Strait of Hormuz if the Trump administration fails to establish a Middle Eastern NATO to protect it. At the same time, Iran will remain on edge as the threat of abrupt regime change continues to loom. The genie is out of the bottle. It will be a series of nonstop global nightmares until the Tehran regime is gone. There is no return from here.

Ceng Sagnic

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