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@0xwhrrari • 19,173 subscribers

solo setups | ai researcher building @kollectivexyz 444

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xAI quietly dropped 15 official grok bot guides and almost nobody is talking about it Every single one written by the team that built grok This section is free Pick a guide, follow it, ship your bot Most people are still guessing how to build one 15 official guides are already out and cost nothing Bookmark this and check the guides below ⭣

xAI quietly dropped 15 official grok bot guides and almost nobody is talking about it Every single one written by the team that built grok This section is free Pick a guide, follow it, ship your bot Most people are still guessing how to build one 15 official guides are already out and cost nothing Bookmark this and check the guides below ⭣

34,158 views

My sniper tracked $MONITOR and $FRONG while I was asleep Then sent the alert that woke me up Two alerts, and I already wanted to increase the size Just this once Exactly the impulse I built it to control The setup I'm testing → Check taxes and creator holdings → Calculate fees and price impact → Test the entry in paper mode → Fix the budget and exit rules before entering Finding a token gives you something to watch Having an exit plan gives you something to follow when you stop thinking clearly Drop your rules below Especially the one you quietly delete when the chart goes green

My sniper tracked $MONITOR and $FRONG while I was asleep Then sent the alert that woke me up Two alerts, and I already wanted to increase the size Just this once Exactly the impulse I built it to control The setup I'm testing → Check taxes and creator holdings → Calculate fees and price impact → Test the entry in paper mode → Fix the budget and exit rules before entering Finding a token gives you something to watch Having an exit plan gives you something to follow when you stop thinking clearly Drop your rules below Especially the one you quietly delete when the chart goes green

51,539 views

My sniper spotted insiders buying the bottom on $JUGGERNAUT Then my phone lit up before the chart did I opened the alert Someone was loading up near the lows Then the pump started and that notification suddenly looked a lot more interesting JUGGERNAUT The sequence → Buying near the bottom → Insider activity flagged → Token tracked → Alert sent before the move That is the kind of notification I want to wake up to A token, the wallets behind it, and a reason to open the chart Drop the next Robinhood Chain token below Let's see who is loading up before everyone starts posting about it

My sniper spotted insiders buying the bottom on $JUGGERNAUT Then my phone lit up before the chart did I opened the alert Someone was loading up near the lows Then the pump started and that notification suddenly looked a lot more interesting JUGGERNAUT The sequence → Buying near the bottom → Insider activity flagged → Token tracked → Alert sent before the move That is the kind of notification I want to wake up to A token, the wallets behind it, and a reason to open the chart Drop the next Robinhood Chain token below Let's see who is loading up before everyone starts posting about it

44,166 views

My Uber driver asked what I do for work. "Software." "Cool. Can you look at something?" He handed me his phone at a red light. Terminal. Claude chat. Green P&L. +$6,200. He drives Uber 4 days a week. Makes $1,100. Has a 2-year-old daughter. "Where did you find this?" "Your article. The 14,000 wallets one." He read it three months ago. Didn't understand half of it. Asked Claude to explain it like he's five. 214 messages. All during breaks between rides. Parked at gas stations. Waiting for pings. First thing Claude told him: 87% of wallets lose money. Don't be the 87%. He installed poly_data. Fed it to Claude. Found 47 wallets with Sharpe above 2.0. Filtered crypto only. Quarter Kelly. $200 starting bankroll. From his tips. Try copytrade bot here: 93 messages later Claude helped him build the 20-line brain from the article. Bayesian updates. EV filter at 5%. Fully automated. Last 45 days: → 480 trades → 91.3% win rate → +$6,200 Best trade: whale convergence on Fed rate cut. 4 wallets entered in 2 minutes. Entry $0.12. Resolved $1.00. +$1,760. While dropping off a passenger at JFK. The passenger tipped him $5. The bot made $1,760. His wife found the Telegram alerts on his phone. Thought he was texting another woman. He showed her the P&L curve. "Can you make me one?" "How long until you quit driving?" He looked at me through the rearview mirror. "I'm not stopping. Uber is my cover story." I wrote the article. He actually opened terminal.

My Uber driver asked what I do for work. "Software." "Cool. Can you look at something?" He handed me his phone at a red light. Terminal. Claude chat. Green P&L. +$6,200. He drives Uber 4 days a week. Makes $1,100. Has a 2-year-old daughter. "Where did you find this?" "Your article. The 14,000 wallets one." He read it three months ago. Didn't understand half of it. Asked Claude to explain it like he's five. 214 messages. All during breaks between rides. Parked at gas stations. Waiting for pings. First thing Claude told him: 87% of wallets lose money. Don't be the 87%. He installed poly_data. Fed it to Claude. Found 47 wallets with Sharpe above 2.0. Filtered crypto only. Quarter Kelly. $200 starting bankroll. From his tips. Try copytrade bot here: 93 messages later Claude helped him build the 20-line brain from the article. Bayesian updates. EV filter at 5%. Fully automated. Last 45 days: → 480 trades → 91.3% win rate → +$6,200 Best trade: whale convergence on Fed rate cut. 4 wallets entered in 2 minutes. Entry $0.12. Resolved $1.00. +$1,760. While dropping off a passenger at JFK. The passenger tipped him $5. The bot made $1,760. His wife found the Telegram alerts on his phone. Thought he was texting another woman. He showed her the P&L curve. "Can you make me one?" "How long until you quit driving?" He looked at me through the rearview mirror. "I'm not stopping. Uber is my cover story." I wrote the article. He actually opened terminal.

157,528 views

An Anthropic team lead emailed me. From a corporate address. I thought it was a scam. "Your Polymarket wallet is on page 14 of our internal research deck" A screenshot. My wallet. Inside a slide labeled "external validation - top 0.1% exit structure" Their model flagged me. Not a human. Claude 4.7 picked my wallet out of 12,000 during training. "You exit before the volume spike. Every single time. We couldn't replicate that in our sandbox until 4.7" He asked me to switch to Opus 4.7 and post my results publicly. "I need proof this works in the wild. Not in our evals. No one trusts benchmarks anymore" I switched in 20 minutes. Didn't touch a single prompt. First 48 hours. 11 trades. 10 green. The one red lost $40. The greens made $3,200. "Your old model captured 68% of the move. 4.7 captures 89%. That's not tuning. That's a different brain" Same repos his team benchmarks against. Open source. Full stack. I asked why Anthropic cares about one random trader. "Because your live wallet is better proof than any paper we could publish" 187 trades since the switch. 80% hit. Sharpe sitting at 3.04. Breakdown by category: Crypto: +$7,400 Politics: +$5,100 Weather derivatives: +$3,500 Macro: +$2,300 Total: +$18,300 from $200 seed. 31 days. Bot for those who don't build: He asked me not to share the slides. I didn't. But I'm sharing everything else.

An Anthropic team lead emailed me. From a corporate address. I thought it was a scam. "Your Polymarket wallet is on page 14 of our internal research deck" A screenshot. My wallet. Inside a slide labeled "external validation - top 0.1% exit structure" Their model flagged me. Not a human. Claude 4.7 picked my wallet out of 12,000 during training. "You exit before the volume spike. Every single time. We couldn't replicate that in our sandbox until 4.7" He asked me to switch to Opus 4.7 and post my results publicly. "I need proof this works in the wild. Not in our evals. No one trusts benchmarks anymore" I switched in 20 minutes. Didn't touch a single prompt. First 48 hours. 11 trades. 10 green. The one red lost $40. The greens made $3,200. "Your old model captured 68% of the move. 4.7 captures 89%. That's not tuning. That's a different brain" Same repos his team benchmarks against. Open source. Full stack. I asked why Anthropic cares about one random trader. "Because your live wallet is better proof than any paper we could publish" 187 trades since the switch. 80% hit. Sharpe sitting at 3.04. Breakdown by category: Crypto: +$7,400 Politics: +$5,100 Weather derivatives: +$3,500 Macro: +$2,300 Total: +$18,300 from $200 seed. 31 days. Bot for those who don't build: He asked me not to share the slides. I didn't. But I'm sharing everything else.

23,599 views

My mass communications professor mass-emailed the wrong file to 400 students. It wasn't grades. It wasn't the syllabus. It was a spreadsheet. 2,300 Polymarket positions. Entries, exits, timestamps. Seven figures in volume. He recalled it in 9 minutes. I already had it saved. Opened it at 2am. Couldn't sleep. Every winning trade had the same pattern - he was buying contracts where the price was way off from what the data said. Not gut calls. Math. I spent 4 days trying to reverse-engineer his edge. Pulled 86M fills from one repo: Fed everything into Claude. "Compare true probability vs market price on every contract updated in the last 6 hours." First version was garbage. 52% hit rate. Worse than a coin flip. Then I added one filter - only enter when Claude's estimate diverges from market price by more than 14%. Everything changed. Scanner runs every 11 seconds. 8 bots splitting the work. Claude scores every contract before entry. Try to copytrade: $1,500 starting bankroll. 7 weeks later: → 191 trades → 74% win rate → +$8,340 Saw him in lecture last Thursday. He was reading something on his phone under the desk. It was my tweet about prediction markets. He looked up. We made eye contact. He didn't say anything. But he smiled. I think he knows.

My mass communications professor mass-emailed the wrong file to 400 students. It wasn't grades. It wasn't the syllabus. It was a spreadsheet. 2,300 Polymarket positions. Entries, exits, timestamps. Seven figures in volume. He recalled it in 9 minutes. I already had it saved. Opened it at 2am. Couldn't sleep. Every winning trade had the same pattern - he was buying contracts where the price was way off from what the data said. Not gut calls. Math. I spent 4 days trying to reverse-engineer his edge. Pulled 86M fills from one repo: Fed everything into Claude. "Compare true probability vs market price on every contract updated in the last 6 hours." First version was garbage. 52% hit rate. Worse than a coin flip. Then I added one filter - only enter when Claude's estimate diverges from market price by more than 14%. Everything changed. Scanner runs every 11 seconds. 8 bots splitting the work. Claude scores every contract before entry. Try to copytrade: $1,500 starting bankroll. 7 weeks later: → 191 trades → 74% win rate → +$8,340 Saw him in lecture last Thursday. He was reading something on his phone under the desk. It was my tweet about prediction markets. He looked up. We made eye contact. He didn't say anything. But he smiled. I think he knows.

10,908 views

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Ran into an Anthropic engineer at an airport lounge in Frankfurt last month. SFO delayed six hours. Nothing to do. I had my laptop open. Bot running. Three agents scoring markets in the background. Guy sits two seats down. Glances at my screen. Looks away. Looks back. "Is that Polymarket?" I said yeah. "You're running it with Claude Code?" I nodded. He pulled his chair closer. "I'm on the agent team. We stress-test this exact setup internally. You built it in your kitchen" I asked what stress-test meant. "Red team. We simulate what happens when someone gives Claude raw wallet data and tells it to find the winners. You're running the thing we were scared about" I showed him the scanner. One prompt. Find every wallet with 100 plus trades, 70 plus win rate. Rank by profit. Export top 50. Claude chewed through 14,000 wallets in under 4 minutes. Came back with 47. Top 20 made more than the bottom 13,000 combined. "That's not a distribution. That's a hit list" I said yeah. "And the scoring function?" Claude wrote it. I just wrapped it in an if-statement. A fill landed on screen mid-conversation. +$128 on an ETH dominance market. He stared at it. "How does it decide to enter" Three agents. Shared wallet. No shared memory. Arbitrage, convergence, whale copy. 2 of 3 agree, full size. 1 alone, half. Disagree, no trade. That consensus filter alone killed 40% of losing trades. "And the exit" The 47 whales never hold to settlement. 91% exit early. Capture 73% of max. I cut at 85% of the expected move. Or a 3x volume spike. Whichever comes first. "So you built a whale copy bot that exits before the whales" Yeah. He put his coffee down. "That's exactly the thing we gamed out in March. Management killed the internal version on policy. Nobody outside the team should have shipped this yet" I asked what he was going to do. "Fly home and pretend I didn't see it" $600 seed. 31 days. Net +$35,200. 479 trades. 75% win rate. Sharpe 2.63. I haven't touched the bot in three weeks. Copytrade for those who don't want to build - Before boarding he slid a card across the table. "When the next agent model drops, rerun your prompt. You'll see what I mean"

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619,502 views • 5 months ago

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OpenAI just mass-fired their robotics team. One of the engineers DM'd me 20 minutes later. I didn't know him. He found me through a Polymarket thread. His first message: "I have 30 days of severance and nothing to lose. Let me tell you what we actually use internally. It's not GPT" I thought he was trolling. "Every serious team at OpenAI prototypes on Claude Code. Not ChatGPT. Not the API. Claude Code connected to a repo. That's the actual workflow" I asked why. "Because Claude reads the codebase. GPT reads the prompt. There's a difference. One guesses. The other one understands the full context and builds on top of it" He sent me one link. 86 million Polymarket trades. Every wallet. Every entry. Every exit. Open source. Free. "Point Claude Code at this. Say - find every wallet with 70%+ win rate and 100+ trades. Watch what happens" I did it that night. Claude pulled 47 wallets in 4 minutes. Average profit: $214K. Hold time: 7 hours. 91% exit BEFORE resolution. They never wait for the outcome. "Now look at how they exit" Top wallets capture 86% of the move and cut at 12%. Everyone else captures 58% and holds losers to 41%. Same entries. Completely different results. He sent another link. "Three commands. Your bot sees 500+ markets. No key needed. Read-only. Claude scores them in 20 minutes" I asked why he's telling me all this. "Because I just got fired for saying we should open-source more. So here I am open-sourcing everything I know" Then he sent me an article where someone built the full bot from these repos in a weekend -> Three exit triggers: Target 85% of move. Volume spike x3 - smart money out. 24h silence - thesis dead. I copied the stack. Claude Code $20. VPS $5. $25/month. No team. No office. No GPT subscription. 17 days. 191 trades. 73% win rate. $850 seed. +$9,400. I sent him my results. He replied: "This is exactly what I built as a side project at OpenAI. They made me delete it" I asked if I could post this. "Post it. What are they gonna do. Fire me again?"

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157,503 views • 5 months ago