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Antony Blinken

@ABlinken • 384,380 subscribers

71st Secretary of State

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Recent reporting suggests the Trump administration misjudged Iran's response to their attacks. But if Tehran showed restraint last year and it was followed by more pressure and strikes, they may have drawn the opposite lesson: restraint invites escalation. Before the war, I warned they might respond very differently this time.

Recent reporting suggests the Trump administration misjudged Iran's response to their attacks. But if Tehran showed restraint last year and it was followed by more pressure and strikes, they may have drawn the opposite lesson: restraint invites escalation. Before the war, I warned they might respond very differently this time.

931,885 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

President Trump told CBS today the war with Iran could be over soon. As I told David Gura at Bloomberg last week, two forces will ultimately shape how and when this ends: markets and munitions. Watch the oil, stock, and bond markets. And watch our supply of missiles (offensive and interceptors) and that of our regional partners. Expect a declaration of “victory” that trades one ayatollah for another.

President Trump told CBS today the war with Iran could be over soon. As I told David Gura at Bloomberg last week, two forces will ultimately shape how and when this ends: markets and munitions. Watch the oil, stock, and bond markets. And watch our supply of missiles (offensive and interceptors) and that of our regional partners. Expect a declaration of “victory” that trades one ayatollah for another.

402,121 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

(3/10) In short: President Trump made a terrible decision to tear up the Iran nuclear deal (“JCPOA”) in 2017 and replace it with nothing. The Obama Administration put Iran’s nuclear program in a box, President Trump let it out.

(3/10) In short: President Trump made a terrible decision to tear up the Iran nuclear deal (“JCPOA”) in 2017 and replace it with nothing. The Obama Administration put Iran’s nuclear program in a box, President Trump let it out.

303,685 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

(5/10) Now, we have to be able to hold multiple ideas in our heads at the same time. Once our armed forces are engaged in conflict we should all be pulling for their safety and success. Is it a good thing the Ayatollah who inflicted so much suffering on the Iranian people (and wrought so much violence around the world, including on Americans) is gone, Iran’s missile arsenal is diminished, and its nuclear program “re-obliterated” (since apparently it wasn’t “obliterated” in June)? Yes. But to what ends, at what cost, and for how long?

(5/10) Now, we have to be able to hold multiple ideas in our heads at the same time. Once our armed forces are engaged in conflict we should all be pulling for their safety and success. Is it a good thing the Ayatollah who inflicted so much suffering on the Iranian people (and wrought so much violence around the world, including on Americans) is gone, Iran’s missile arsenal is diminished, and its nuclear program “re-obliterated” (since apparently it wasn’t “obliterated” in June)? Yes. But to what ends, at what cost, and for how long?

300,824 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

President Trump is constrained by markets and munitions to find an off ramp in the war with Iran. Thus far, our tactical successes have come at the cost of strategic failure. See below for my conversation with Fareed Zakaria

President Trump is constrained by markets and munitions to find an off ramp in the war with Iran. Thus far, our tactical successes have come at the cost of strategic failure. See below for my conversation with Fareed Zakaria

239,660 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

. Andy Beshear and I talked about the real-world consequences of President Trump's war with Iran. Our military has carried out every mission asked of it. The failure lies with leaders who started a conflict without clear objectives, a coherent strategy, or an honest explanation to the American people. Now, we’re in an escalation cycle that will be hard to break out of.

. Andy Beshear and I talked about the real-world consequences of President Trump's war with Iran. Our military has carried out every mission asked of it. The failure lies with leaders who started a conflict without clear objectives, a coherent strategy, or an honest explanation to the American people. Now, we’re in an escalation cycle that will be hard to break out of.

35,539 Aufrufe • vor 15 Tagen

The pace and scope of change is unlike anything we've experienced before, with new actors super empowered by information and technology. How should future U.S. administrations think about and act on this moment to advance America’s leadership in the world? I spoke about that this week at Center for American Progress Ideas Conference alongside Linda Thomas-Greenfield, Andy Kim, and Jen Psaki.

The pace and scope of change is unlike anything we've experienced before, with new actors super empowered by information and technology. How should future U.S. administrations think about and act on this moment to advance America’s leadership in the world? I spoke about that this week at Center for American Progress Ideas Conference alongside Linda Thomas-Greenfield, Andy Kim, and Jen Psaki.

18,330 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Thanks to the The Economic Club of New York and David Westin for inviting me to talk about the economic and geopolitical stakes of President Trump's war with Iran. 🧵

Thanks to the The Economic Club of New York and David Westin for inviting me to talk about the economic and geopolitical stakes of President Trump's war with Iran. 🧵

18,414 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Great to join Andrew Ross Sorkin on Squawk Box this week to talk about the economy and the dangers of an "America Alone" approach.

Great to join Andrew Ross Sorkin on Squawk Box this week to talk about the economy and the dangers of an "America Alone" approach.

62,448 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Thanks to the Squawk Box team Andrew Ross Sorkin Joe Kernen Becky Quick for the thoughtful conversation today on Iran, Venezuela, and Greenland. Good to dig into the issues of the day.

Thanks to the Squawk Box team Andrew Ross Sorkin Joe Kernen Becky Quick for the thoughtful conversation today on Iran, Venezuela, and Greenland. Good to dig into the issues of the day.

28,031 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

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