LouisAnalysis

@LouisAnalysis • 15,358 subscribers

MiLB, MLB & NPB Coverage & In-depth Baseball Analysis. 日本野球アナリスト Based in Belgium. @mlbtheshowzone Partner 🤝

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To all the Pete-Crow Armstrong fanboys: PCA in 2025: .275/.303/.563 w/15 HR's, 16 SB's, 138 wrc+ and 50 RBI's James Wood in 2025: .287/.380/.569 w/15 HR's, 8 SB's, 162 wrc+ and 40 RBI's I only left one real outsider off and that's James Wood.

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. keeps his current pace, his career numbers at age 37 would look like: 2,583 G 61.4 WAR 2,771 hits 537 doubles 457 HR 1,495 RBI 59 SB 1,125 BB Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one of the few players that, barring injury, has a chance at the 3,000-hit club.

Potential 2026 Royals rotation: SP1: Cole Ragans SP2: Kris Bubic SP3: Seth Lugo SP4: Michael Wacha SP5: Noah Cameron This has to be one of the more underrated rotations in the league. Great depth too with Stephen Kolek &amp; Ryan Bergert. Pen below 👇

Bradlgey Rodriguez could be Robert Suarez 2.O: - FS, SI, CH, FC mix ✅ - Weak contact specialist ✅ - 98.5 MPH avg. velo on SI/FF ✅ - Moderate chase &amp; whiff rates ✅ Fun fact: Since making his US debut in 2024, his highest single-season BAA is .196. The Padres bullpen lab.

Prospects that could get traded over the winter: - Dalton Rushing* - Thayron Liranzo - Alex Freeland* - James Triantos - Gabriel Rincones Jr. - Jhonkensy Noel* - Kash Mayfield - Enrique Bradfield Jr. - Mikey Romero - Kevin Alcantara* *Has played in MLB already.

Chandler Simpson's 2026 could look something like this: .310 BA .348 OBP .725 OPS 1 HR 20 doubles 75 SB Simpson has to improve defensively. In case he manages to become an average defender with those stats, he's a throwback to the old-school leadoff speedsters.

MLB Spring Training NRI's you should watch closely: - Mikey Romero - Gage Jump - Wei-En Lin - Henry Bolte - Jarlin Susana - Travis Sykora - Robby Snelling - Nigel Belgrave 🎥 - Konnor Griffin - Esmerlyn Valdez Baseball is 2 days away.

Prospects that could become 'mainstream' in 2025: - Anderson Brito - Emmanuel Reyes - Walbert Urena - Jadher Areinamo - Samuel Zavala (again) - Rikuu Nishida - David Davadillo - Juan Mateo - Darrien McDowell - Chen Zhong-Ao Zhang - Joshua Kuroda-Grauer Some top-tier talent.

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Teruaki Sato is making his case for MLB teams next season. This HR: 413 feet 107.5 MPH 33 degree LA He’s hitting .370 with a 1.140 OPS, has a 96.2 MPH avg. EV, a 63.3% Hard-Hit% and 22.2 % Barrel%.

National League MVP watch since May 1st: Corbin Carroll: .220/.297/.480 w/7 HR's, 4 SB &amp; 12 RBI Fernando Tatis Jr: .196/.260/.402 w/5 HR's, 1 SB &amp; 10 RBI Shohei Ohtani: .306/.400/.776 w/13 HR's, 2 SB &amp; 25 RBI Shohei said 'Thanks for playing'.

Cristopher Sanchez: - Never a Top 100 Prospect. - Never a Top 10 Prospect in any organisation. - His CH was ranked a 45 on the 20-80 scale in 2020. - He spent six seasons in the complex leagues. - Went undrafted as a Rule 5 pick. Another example: Development isn't linear.

Accurate representation of what Munetaka Murakami probably thought: “Wait, this ball doesn’t die mid-flight?” I don’t think everyone understands just how dead the NPB ball is. 40 homers are not unrealistic, nor far-fetched.

My predicted best player at each position, 5 years from now: C: Samuel Basallo 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2B: Michael Arroyo SS: Bobby Witt Jr 3B: Junior Caminero LF: James Wood CF: Jackson Chourio RF: Fernando Tatis Jr. DH: Juan Soto HM + pitching 👇

Fastest pitches by Japanese NPB pitchers: 1. Yukiya Saito: 100.1 MPH. 2. Tatsuya Imai: 99.4 MPH. 3. Kaima Taira: 99.4 MPH. 4. Akiyoshi Katsuno: 99.4 MPH. 5. Shinnosuke Hada: 99.4 MPH. Imai can start outings at 92-94 and ramp up his velocity later.

Drafted 1 &amp; 3 in 2010. 16 years later, they’re still stride-for-stride: Bryce Harper career: 1,785 G, .280/.387/.519, 1,801 H, 363 HR, 1,051 RBI, 142 OPS+, 54.0 bWAR Manny Machado career: 1,894 G, .279/.338/.486, 2,069 H, 369 HR, 1,144 RBI, 124 OPS+, 61.7 bWAR

Reminder that player development isn't linear: - Jackson Merrill wasn't considered to have plus power. - Tarik Skubal averaged 94.4 on his FF in his first full season. - Yordan Alvarez was traded by the Dodgers. - Francisco Lindor hit 27 HR in his first 257 games. Time.

Potential 2026 Blue Jays lineup: C: Alejandro Kirk 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2B: Ernie Clement SS: Andrés Giménez 3B: Addison Barger LF: Nathan Lukes CF: Daulton Varsho RF: George Springer DH: Anthony Santander Is bringing back Bichette a must to be competitive again?

Projected 2026 Dodgers lineup: C: Will Smith 1B: Freddie Freeman 2B: Hyeseong Kim SS: Mookie Betts 3B: Max Muncy LF: Andy Pages CF: Tommy Edman RF: Teoscar Hernandez DH: Shohei Ohtani Average age minus Pages &amp; Kim is nearly 33 years old.

The ORIX Buffaloes lost Yoshinobu Yamamoto. They now have 23-year old Hiroya Miyagi: 150 IP 2.39 ERA 1.74 FIP 26.8% K% 4.9% BB% .233 BAA 1.10 WHIP 49.6% GB% 34.1% Chase% 26.4%% Whiff% 2025 was considered a ‘down’ year. Extremely gifted.

If Juan Soto would keep his current pace, his career numbers at age 35 would look like this: 2,395 G 88.5 WAR 2,205 hits 395 doubles 526 HR 1,450 RBI 217 SB 1,815 BB Baseball greatness, personified.

Luis Arraez's case is so interesting as a FA: - All-time low BA (.292) - All-time low BABIP (.289) - Slowest bat speed in baseball. - 3.1% K% (!) - Chase% up to 34.1%. - 95.8% Z-Contact%. (!) - Very poor defender. Regressed or bad luck? Notably: 32.8% Cent% is a career-low.

Oswald Peraza in 2026 Spring Training: 11 G .344 BA .382 OBP 1.070 OPS 5 doubles 2 HR 4 SB 5.9% BB% 23.5% K% 15.4% Barrel% 108.6 MPH EV90 20% Whiff% 90.7% Z-Con% Peraza is still just 25 years old and was a Top 50, dynamic SS prospect not too long ago. A must-follow story.

Matt Olson this Spring: 48 PA: .311/.354/.622, .976 OPS, 2 doubles &amp; 4 HR. Austin Riley this Spring: 46 PA: .395/.478/.668, 1.347 OPS, 3 doubles &amp; 5 HR. Drake Baldwin this Spring: 39 PA: .306/.659/.639, .998 OPS, 2 doubles, triples &amp; HR. And Ronald Acuna Jr is healthy.

Oswald Peraza gets his first HR of the season: 358 ft 94.6 MPH EV 32 degree LA Peraza is coming off a very good Spring in which he hit .315 w/2 HR &amp; 6 SB. Former Top 50 Prospect was never treated right by the Yankees. Looking for that breakout.

Player development isn't linear Vol 2: - Fernando Tatis Jr. was traded by the White Sox. - Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 24 HR in his first 183 games. - José Ramirez hit 19 HR in his first 272 games. - Roy Halladay was demoted to AAA after 55 MLB starts. Thank you for your input!

The Los Angeles Angels farm system is often called the worst in baseball. But based on the quality of the talent there, it's far from the worst. Mismanagement, rushed promotions and underdevelopment tarnishes their prospects and their value. Little breakdown 👇 #RepTheHalo

Organizational specialties: Rays: Fix anyone and anything. Padres: Talent ID to rebuild farm. Guardians: International scouting. Dodgers: MiLB scouting. Brewers: Catching &amp; pitching labs. A's: Recent Asian/Taiwan signings. Mariners: Pitching dev. There's definitely more.

NPB Whiff% leaders (Min. 70 IP) 1. Tatsuya Imai: 32% 2. Jon Duplantier: 28.3% 3. Haruya Tanaka: 27.9% 4. Atsuki Taneichi: 27.8% 5. Livan Moinelo: 27.6% 6. Hiroya Miyagi: 26.4% Haruya Tanaka is only 21 years old, can get FF up to 97 already. 💎

Potential 2026 Royals rotation: SP1: Cole Ragans SP2: Kris Bubic SP3: Seth Lugo SP4: Michael Wacha SP5: Noah Cameron This has to be one of the more underrated rotations in the league. Great depth too with Stephen Kolek & Ryan Bergert. Pen below 👇

Bradlgey Rodriguez could be Robert Suarez 2.O: - FS, SI, CH, FC mix ✅ - Weak contact specialist ✅ - 98.5 MPH avg. velo on SI/FF ✅ - Moderate chase & whiff rates ✅ Fun fact: Since making his US debut in 2024, his highest single-season BAA is .196. The Padres bullpen lab.

National League MVP watch since May 1st: Corbin Carroll: .220/.297/.480 w/7 HR's, 4 SB & 12 RBI Fernando Tatis Jr: .196/.260/.402 w/5 HR's, 1 SB & 10 RBI Shohei Ohtani: .306/.400/.776 w/13 HR's, 2 SB & 25 RBI Shohei said 'Thanks for playing'.

Drafted 1 & 3 in 2010. 16 years later, they’re still stride-for-stride: Bryce Harper career: 1,785 G, .280/.387/.519, 1,801 H, 363 HR, 1,051 RBI, 142 OPS+, 54.0 bWAR Manny Machado career: 1,894 G, .279/.338/.486, 2,069 H, 369 HR, 1,144 RBI, 124 OPS+, 61.7 bWAR

Projected 2026 Dodgers lineup: C: Will Smith 1B: Freddie Freeman 2B: Hyeseong Kim SS: Mookie Betts 3B: Max Muncy LF: Andy Pages CF: Tommy Edman RF: Teoscar Hernandez DH: Shohei Ohtani Average age minus Pages & Kim is nearly 33 years old.

Matt Olson this Spring: 48 PA: .311/.354/.622, .976 OPS, 2 doubles & 4 HR. Austin Riley this Spring: 46 PA: .395/.478/.668, 1.347 OPS, 3 doubles & 5 HR. Drake Baldwin this Spring: 39 PA: .306/.659/.639, .998 OPS, 2 doubles, triples & HR. And Ronald Acuna Jr is healthy.

Oswald Peraza gets his first HR of the season: 358 ft 94.6 MPH EV 32 degree LA Peraza is coming off a very good Spring in which he hit .315 w/2 HR & 6 SB. Former Top 50 Prospect was never treated right by the Yankees. Looking for that breakout.

Organizational specialties: Rays: Fix anyone and anything. Padres: Talent ID to rebuild farm. Guardians: International scouting. Dodgers: MiLB scouting. Brewers: Catching & pitching labs. A's: Recent Asian/Taiwan signings. Mariners: Pitching dev. There's definitely more.