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LouisAnalysis

@LouisAnalysis • 15,363 subscribers

MiLB, MLB & NPB Coverage & In-depth Baseball Analysis. 日本野球アナリスト Based in Belgium. @mlbtheshowzone Partner 🤝

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MLB OBP-best by season: 2015: .460 2016: .441 2017: .454 2018: .460 2019: .438 2021: .465 2022: .425 2023: .416 2024: .458 2025: .457 Best since 2010: .490 (Juan Soto, 2020 COVID) All-time record: .609 (Barry Bonds, 2004) Mike Sirota 2026 OBP: .482

MLB OBP-best by season: 2015: .460 2016: .441 2017: .454 2018: .460 2019: .438 2021: .465 2022: .425 2023: .416 2024: .458 2025: .457 Best since 2010: .490 (Juan Soto, 2020 COVID) All-time record: .609 (Barry Bonds, 2004) Mike Sirota 2026 OBP: .482

316,273 görüntüleme

To all the Pete-Crow Armstrong fanboys: PCA in 2025: .275/.303/.563 w/15 HR's, 16 SB's, 138 wrc+ and 50 RBI's James Wood in 2025: .287/.380/.569 w/15 HR's, 8 SB's, 162 wrc+ and 40 RBI's I only left one real outsider off and that's James Wood.

To all the Pete-Crow Armstrong fanboys: PCA in 2025: .275/.303/.563 w/15 HR's, 16 SB's, 138 wrc+ and 50 RBI's James Wood in 2025: .287/.380/.569 w/15 HR's, 8 SB's, 162 wrc+ and 40 RBI's I only left one real outsider off and that's James Wood.

953,979 görüntüleme

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. keeps his current pace, his career numbers at age 37 would look like: 2,583 G 61.4 WAR 2,771 hits 537 doubles 457 HR 1,495 RBI 59 SB 1,125 BB Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one of the few players that, barring injury, has a chance at the 3,000-hit club.

If Vladimir Guerrero Jr. keeps his current pace, his career numbers at age 37 would look like: 2,583 G 61.4 WAR 2,771 hits 537 doubles 457 HR 1,495 RBI 59 SB 1,125 BB Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one of the few players that, barring injury, has a chance at the 3,000-hit club.

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Potential 2026 Royals rotation: SP1: Cole Ragans SP2: Kris Bubic SP3: Seth Lugo SP4: Michael Wacha SP5: Noah Cameron This has to be one of the more underrated rotations in the league. Great depth too with Stephen Kolek & Ryan Bergert. Pen below 👇

Potential 2026 Royals rotation: SP1: Cole Ragans SP2: Kris Bubic SP3: Seth Lugo SP4: Michael Wacha SP5: Noah Cameron This has to be one of the more underrated rotations in the league. Great depth too with Stephen Kolek & Ryan Bergert. Pen below 👇

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Bradlgey Rodriguez could be Robert Suarez 2.O: - FS, SI, CH, FC mix ✅ - Weak contact specialist ✅ - 98.5 MPH avg. velo on SI/FF ✅ - Moderate chase & whiff rates ✅ Fun fact: Since making his US debut in 2024, his highest single-season BAA is .196. The Padres bullpen lab.

Bradlgey Rodriguez could be Robert Suarez 2.O: - FS, SI, CH, FC mix ✅ - Weak contact specialist ✅ - 98.5 MPH avg. velo on SI/FF ✅ - Moderate chase & whiff rates ✅ Fun fact: Since making his US debut in 2024, his highest single-season BAA is .196. The Padres bullpen lab.

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I'm happy to say Johan De Los Santos is just as good as I thought he was a year ago: The 17-year old is hitting .315 w/0 doubles (5 triples haha) and 3 HR and has a 17% BB% and 8.9% K%. If he's going to add even more power, he's Top 10 prospect potential.

I'm happy to say Johan De Los Santos is just as good as I thought he was a year ago: The 17-year old is hitting .315 w/0 doubles (5 triples haha) and 3 HR and has a 17% BB% and 8.9% K%. If he's going to add even more power, he's Top 10 prospect potential.

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Chandler Simpson's 2026 could look something like this: .310 BA .348 OBP .725 OPS 1 HR 20 doubles 75 SB Simpson has to improve defensively. In case he manages to become an average defender with those stats, he's a throwback to the old-school leadoff speedsters.

Chandler Simpson's 2026 could look something like this: .310 BA .348 OBP .725 OPS 1 HR 20 doubles 75 SB Simpson has to improve defensively. In case he manages to become an average defender with those stats, he's a throwback to the old-school leadoff speedsters.

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MLB Spring Training NRI's you should watch closely: - Mikey Romero - Gage Jump - Wei-En Lin - Henry Bolte - Jarlin Susana - Travis Sykora - Robby Snelling - Nigel Belgrave 🎥 - Konnor Griffin - Esmerlyn Valdez Baseball is 2 days away.

MLB Spring Training NRI's you should watch closely: - Mikey Romero - Gage Jump - Wei-En Lin - Henry Bolte - Jarlin Susana - Travis Sykora - Robby Snelling - Nigel Belgrave 🎥 - Konnor Griffin - Esmerlyn Valdez Baseball is 2 days away.

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Prospects that could become 'mainstream' in 2025: - Anderson Brito - Emmanuel Reyes - Walbert Urena - Jadher Areinamo - Samuel Zavala (again) - Rikuu Nishida - David Davadillo - Juan Mateo - Darrien McDowell - Chen Zhong-Ao Zhang - Joshua Kuroda-Grauer Some top-tier talent.

Prospects that could become 'mainstream' in 2025: - Anderson Brito - Emmanuel Reyes - Walbert Urena - Jadher Areinamo - Samuel Zavala (again) - Rikuu Nishida - David Davadillo - Juan Mateo - Darrien McDowell - Chen Zhong-Ao Zhang - Joshua Kuroda-Grauer Some top-tier talent.

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Teruaki Sato is making his case for MLB teams next season. This HR: 413 feet 107.5 MPH 33 degree LA He’s hitting .370 with a 1.140 OPS, has a 96.2 MPH avg. EV, a 63.3% Hard-Hit% and 22.2 % Barrel%.

Teruaki Sato is making his case for MLB teams next season. This HR: 413 feet 107.5 MPH 33 degree LA He’s hitting .370 with a 1.140 OPS, has a 96.2 MPH avg. EV, a 63.3% Hard-Hit% and 22.2 % Barrel%.

895,409 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

National League MVP watch since May 1st: Corbin Carroll: .220/.297/.480 w/7 HR's, 4 SB & 12 RBI Fernando Tatis Jr: .196/.260/.402 w/5 HR's, 1 SB & 10 RBI Shohei Ohtani: .306/.400/.776 w/13 HR's, 2 SB & 25 RBI Shohei said 'Thanks for playing'.

National League MVP watch since May 1st: Corbin Carroll: .220/.297/.480 w/7 HR's, 4 SB & 12 RBI Fernando Tatis Jr: .196/.260/.402 w/5 HR's, 1 SB & 10 RBI Shohei Ohtani: .306/.400/.776 w/13 HR's, 2 SB & 25 RBI Shohei said 'Thanks for playing'.

1,371,354 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

My predicted best player at each position, 5 years from now: C: Samuel Basallo 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2B: Michael Arroyo SS: Bobby Witt Jr 3B: Junior Caminero LF: James Wood CF: Jackson Chourio RF: Fernando Tatis Jr. DH: Juan Soto HM + pitching 👇

My predicted best player at each position, 5 years from now: C: Samuel Basallo 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2B: Michael Arroyo SS: Bobby Witt Jr 3B: Junior Caminero LF: James Wood CF: Jackson Chourio RF: Fernando Tatis Jr. DH: Juan Soto HM + pitching 👇

777,309 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Cristopher Sanchez: - Never a Top 100 Prospect. - Never a Top 10 Prospect in any organisation. - His CH was ranked a 45 on the 20-80 scale in 2020. - He spent six seasons in the complex leagues. - Went undrafted as a Rule 5 pick. Another example: Development isn't linear.

Cristopher Sanchez: - Never a Top 100 Prospect. - Never a Top 10 Prospect in any organisation. - His CH was ranked a 45 on the 20-80 scale in 2020. - He spent six seasons in the complex leagues. - Went undrafted as a Rule 5 pick. Another example: Development isn't linear.

304,466 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Accurate representation of what Munetaka Murakami probably thought: “Wait, this ball doesn’t die mid-flight?” I don’t think everyone understands just how dead the NPB ball is. 40 homers are not unrealistic, nor far-fetched.

Accurate representation of what Munetaka Murakami probably thought: “Wait, this ball doesn’t die mid-flight?” I don’t think everyone understands just how dead the NPB ball is. 40 homers are not unrealistic, nor far-fetched.

305,429 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Fastest pitches by Japanese NPB pitchers: 1. Yukiya Saito: 100.1 MPH. 2. Tatsuya Imai: 99.4 MPH. 3. Kaima Taira: 99.4 MPH. 4. Akiyoshi Katsuno: 99.4 MPH. 5. Shinnosuke Hada: 99.4 MPH. Imai can start outings at 92-94 and ramp up his velocity later.

Fastest pitches by Japanese NPB pitchers: 1. Yukiya Saito: 100.1 MPH. 2. Tatsuya Imai: 99.4 MPH. 3. Kaima Taira: 99.4 MPH. 4. Akiyoshi Katsuno: 99.4 MPH. 5. Shinnosuke Hada: 99.4 MPH. Imai can start outings at 92-94 and ramp up his velocity later.

336,957 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Drafted 1 & 3 in 2010. 16 years later, they’re still stride-for-stride: Bryce Harper career: 1,785 G, .280/.387/.519, 1,801 H, 363 HR, 1,051 RBI, 142 OPS+, 54.0 bWAR Manny Machado career: 1,894 G, .279/.338/.486, 2,069 H, 369 HR, 1,144 RBI, 124 OPS+, 61.7 bWAR

Drafted 1 & 3 in 2010. 16 years later, they’re still stride-for-stride: Bryce Harper career: 1,785 G, .280/.387/.519, 1,801 H, 363 HR, 1,051 RBI, 142 OPS+, 54.0 bWAR Manny Machado career: 1,894 G, .279/.338/.486, 2,069 H, 369 HR, 1,144 RBI, 124 OPS+, 61.7 bWAR

304,317 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

Reminder that player development isn't linear: - Jackson Merrill wasn't considered to have plus power. - Tarik Skubal averaged 94.4 on his FF in his first full season. - Yordan Alvarez was traded by the Dodgers. - Francisco Lindor hit 27 HR in his first 257 games. Time.

Reminder that player development isn't linear: - Jackson Merrill wasn't considered to have plus power. - Tarik Skubal averaged 94.4 on his FF in his first full season. - Yordan Alvarez was traded by the Dodgers. - Francisco Lindor hit 27 HR in his first 257 games. Time.

343,317 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Potential 2026 Blue Jays lineup: C: Alejandro Kirk 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2B: Ernie Clement SS: Andrés Giménez 3B: Addison Barger LF: Nathan Lukes CF: Daulton Varsho RF: George Springer DH: Anthony Santander Is bringing back Bichette a must to be competitive again?

Potential 2026 Blue Jays lineup: C: Alejandro Kirk 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2B: Ernie Clement SS: Andrés Giménez 3B: Addison Barger LF: Nathan Lukes CF: Daulton Varsho RF: George Springer DH: Anthony Santander Is bringing back Bichette a must to be competitive again?

344,658 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

Edgardo Henriquez is the future. Since August 1st, his 45.5% K% ranks 0.4% behind Mason Miller's, and he pairs it with a 9.1% BB% and .104 BAA. His 100.7 MPH avg. FF velo ranks T-1st in MLB with Mason Miller & Justin Martinez. Turned 24 on 6/24.

Edgardo Henriquez is the future. Since August 1st, his 45.5% K% ranks 0.4% behind Mason Miller's, and he pairs it with a 9.1% BB% and .104 BAA. His 100.7 MPH avg. FF velo ranks T-1st in MLB with Mason Miller & Justin Martinez. Turned 24 on 6/24.

30,825 görüntüleme • 29 gün önce

The ORIX Buffaloes lost Yoshinobu Yamamoto. They now have 23-year old Hiroya Miyagi: 150 IP 2.39 ERA 1.74 FIP 26.8% K% 4.9% BB% .233 BAA 1.10 WHIP 49.6% GB% 34.1% Chase% 26.4%% Whiff% 2025 was considered a ‘down’ year. Extremely gifted.

The ORIX Buffaloes lost Yoshinobu Yamamoto. They now have 23-year old Hiroya Miyagi: 150 IP 2.39 ERA 1.74 FIP 26.8% K% 4.9% BB% .233 BAA 1.10 WHIP 49.6% GB% 34.1% Chase% 26.4%% Whiff% 2025 was considered a ‘down’ year. Extremely gifted.

190,997 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Luis Arraez's case is so interesting as a FA: - All-time low BA (.292) - All-time low BABIP (.289) - Slowest bat speed in baseball. - 3.1% K% (!) - Chase% up to 34.1%. - 95.8% Z-Contact%. (!) - Very poor defender. Regressed or bad luck? Notably: 32.8% Cent% is a career-low.

Luis Arraez's case is so interesting as a FA: - All-time low BA (.292) - All-time low BABIP (.289) - Slowest bat speed in baseball. - 3.1% K% (!) - Chase% up to 34.1%. - 95.8% Z-Contact%. (!) - Very poor defender. Regressed or bad luck? Notably: 32.8% Cent% is a career-low.

210,042 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

If Juan Soto would keep his current pace, his career numbers at age 35 would look like this: 2,395 G 88.5 WAR 2,205 hits 395 doubles 526 HR 1,450 RBI 217 SB 1,815 BB Baseball greatness, personified.

If Juan Soto would keep his current pace, his career numbers at age 35 would look like this: 2,395 G 88.5 WAR 2,205 hits 395 doubles 526 HR 1,450 RBI 217 SB 1,815 BB Baseball greatness, personified.

178,258 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Player development isn't linear Vol 2: - Fernando Tatis Jr. was traded by the White Sox. - Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 24 HR in his first 183 games. - José Ramirez hit 19 HR in his first 272 games. - Roy Halladay was demoted to AAA after 55 MLB starts. Thank you for your input!

Player development isn't linear Vol 2: - Fernando Tatis Jr. was traded by the White Sox. - Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit 24 HR in his first 183 games. - José Ramirez hit 19 HR in his first 272 games. - Roy Halladay was demoted to AAA after 55 MLB starts. Thank you for your input!

159,875 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Organizational specialties: Rays: Fix anyone and anything. Padres: Talent ID to rebuild farm. Guardians: International scouting. Dodgers: MiLB scouting. Brewers: Catching & pitching labs. A's: Recent Asian/Taiwan signings. Mariners: Pitching dev. There's definitely more.

Organizational specialties: Rays: Fix anyone and anything. Padres: Talent ID to rebuild farm. Guardians: International scouting. Dodgers: MiLB scouting. Brewers: Catching & pitching labs. A's: Recent Asian/Taiwan signings. Mariners: Pitching dev. There's definitely more.

149,376 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

There were four NPB pitchers 22 or younger that threw their FF > 94 MPH: - Hiroto Takahashi (SP) - Taisei Yanagawa (RP) - Shunpeita Yamashita (SP) - Shinnosuke Hada (RP) Taisei Yanagawa managed a 1.02 ERA in 35 IP w/a 0.99 WHIP & 30.3% K%.

There were four NPB pitchers 22 or younger that threw their FF > 94 MPH: - Hiroto Takahashi (SP) - Taisei Yanagawa (RP) - Shunpeita Yamashita (SP) - Shinnosuke Hada (RP) Taisei Yanagawa managed a 1.02 ERA in 35 IP w/a 0.99 WHIP & 30.3% K%.

118,512 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

NPB Whiff% leaders (Min. 70 IP) 1. Tatsuya Imai: 32% 2. Jon Duplantier: 28.3% 3. Haruya Tanaka: 27.9% 4. Atsuki Taneichi: 27.8% 5. Livan Moinelo: 27.6% 6. Hiroya Miyagi: 26.4% Haruya Tanaka is only 21 years old, can get FF up to 97 already. 💎

NPB Whiff% leaders (Min. 70 IP) 1. Tatsuya Imai: 32% 2. Jon Duplantier: 28.3% 3. Haruya Tanaka: 27.9% 4. Atsuki Taneichi: 27.8% 5. Livan Moinelo: 27.6% 6. Hiroya Miyagi: 26.4% Haruya Tanaka is only 21 years old, can get FF up to 97 already. 💎

125,059 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce

Potential 2026 Dodgers rotation: SP1: Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP2: Shohei Ohtani SP3: Blake Snell SP4: Tyler Glasnow SP5: Roki Sasaki And they would still have Emmet Sheehan available too. Could easily go 6-man rotation and not lose any quality. Best in the sport. Pen below 👇

Potential 2026 Dodgers rotation: SP1: Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP2: Shohei Ohtani SP3: Blake Snell SP4: Tyler Glasnow SP5: Roki Sasaki And they would still have Emmet Sheehan available too. Could easily go 6-man rotation and not lose any quality. Best in the sport. Pen below 👇

128,969 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce