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Robert A. Pape

@ProfessorPape • 170,660 subscribers

UChicago Professor of Political Science directs Chicago Project on Security & Threats, author Bombing To Win and writes substack: The Escalation Trap.

Shorts

Everyone should see this: since “ceasefire” over 75 US logistics flights into the Gulf. Notice how much depends on Europe’s bases. Shows US preparing for more escalation and its global power would decline markedly without Europe.

Everyone should see this: since “ceasefire” over 75 US logistics flights into the Gulf. Notice how much depends on Europe’s bases. Shows US preparing for more escalation and its global power would decline markedly without Europe.

913,862 просмотров

Iran crossed another escalation threshold. Cluster-munition missiles against Israel. These scatter dozens of submunitions across wide areas — designed for terror. Unavoidable conclusion: Iran is not crushed. It is escalating. The war is entering a far more dangerous phase.

Iran crossed another escalation threshold. Cluster-munition missiles against Israel. These scatter dozens of submunitions across wide areas — designed for terror. Unavoidable conclusion: Iran is not crushed. It is escalating. The war is entering a far more dangerous phase.

802,223 просмотров

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On Fox, Trump says: “We’re taking the Strait…we’re gonna get paid” Iran vows revenge against Americans worldwide Not even pretense of negotiations Full scale war coming

On Fox, Trump says: “We’re taking the Strait…we’re gonna get paid” Iran vows revenge against Americans worldwide Not even pretense of negotiations Full scale war coming

108,147 просмотров • 6 дней назад

Iran making clear, it will not give up Hormuz or enriched uranium for 10+ working nuclear bombs. Iran will soon become 4th world power center. US under big pressure to escalate. Join my live substack briefing at 7pm ET to get ahead of the coming risks

Iran making clear, it will not give up Hormuz or enriched uranium for 10+ working nuclear bombs. Iran will soon become 4th world power center. US under big pressure to escalate. Join my live substack briefing at 7pm ET to get ahead of the coming risks

559,663 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Iranian navy seized the oil tanker "Ocean Koi" in the Gulf of Oman This is Iran’s answer to Trump, effectively: “We control Hormuz— take it if you can” Iran’s power is growing by the day

Iranian navy seized the oil tanker "Ocean Koi" in the Gulf of Oman This is Iran’s answer to Trump, effectively: “We control Hormuz— take it if you can” Iran’s power is growing by the day

293,786 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Everyone watch senior military advisor to Iran supreme leader’s chilling interview to CNN. He makes clear: Iran wants $24 billion up front and in return… keeps Hormuz & charges “fees” Iran is Trump’s Vietnam, the choice: capitulation or escalation

Everyone watch senior military advisor to Iran supreme leader’s chilling interview to CNN. He makes clear: Iran wants $24 billion up front and in return… keeps Hormuz & charges “fees” Iran is Trump’s Vietnam, the choice: capitulation or escalation

175,055 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Everyone should see how the 3 US carriers are positioning for the next round of the Escalation Trap:

Everyone should see how the 3 US carriers are positioning for the next round of the Escalation Trap:

251,719 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Multiple signs new US strikes on Iran imminent in the coming days: —leaks of new military briefings to Trump —US hypersonic missiles deployed to Gulf —3 US carriers poised to strike —US-Iran talks going nowhere The Escalation Trap has Trump in its grip

Multiple signs new US strikes on Iran imminent in the coming days: —leaks of new military briefings to Trump —US hypersonic missiles deployed to Gulf —3 US carriers poised to strike —US-Iran talks going nowhere The Escalation Trap has Trump in its grip

217,780 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Iran came out of the bombing more powerful The MOU even as Trump describes it hands Iran even more power Even in the next 60 days. Here’s why #EscalationTrap

Iran came out of the bombing more powerful The MOU even as Trump describes it hands Iran even more power Even in the next 60 days. Here’s why #EscalationTrap

39,227 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Piers Morgan and I discuss why we’re celebrating the deal too early And Iran is now entering its period of maximum leverage

Piers Morgan and I discuss why we’re celebrating the deal too early And Iran is now entering its period of maximum leverage

35,309 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Recently Rick Sanchez and I had a lengthy conversation on the big implications of the Iran war. Here is a key moment:

Recently Rick Sanchez and I had a lengthy conversation on the big implications of the Iran war. Here is a key moment:

34,600 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

16,367 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

13,607 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

11,004 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

10,271 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

How could the US underestimate Iran’s drones? Major unanswered question

How could the US underestimate Iran’s drones? Major unanswered question

15,141 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Who’s really winning the Iran war. The live conversation that explains how Iran is gaining power

Who’s really winning the Iran war. The live conversation that explains how Iran is gaining power

13,271 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Who wins when America bleeds? China, Russia, and Iran

Who wins when America bleeds? China, Russia, and Iran

11,888 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Tremendous live conversation on the Iran war and what to expect as the Escalation Trap gets worse

Tremendous live conversation on the Iran war and what to expect as the Escalation Trap gets worse

11,590 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Trump’s illusion of control in the Iran war

Trump’s illusion of control in the Iran war

11,034 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Why leaders around the world should see the frameworks in The Escalation Trap Substack

Why leaders around the world should see the frameworks in The Escalation Trap Substack

10,464 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

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