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Robert A. Pape

@ProfessorPape • 164,926 subscribers

UChicago Professor of Political Science directs Chicago Project on Security & Threats, author Bombing To Win and writes substack: The Escalation Trap.

Shorts

Everyone should see this: since “ceasefire” over 75 US logistics flights into the Gulf. Notice how much depends on Europe’s bases. Shows US preparing for more escalation and its global power would decline markedly without Europe.

Everyone should see this: since “ceasefire” over 75 US logistics flights into the Gulf. Notice how much depends on Europe’s bases. Shows US preparing for more escalation and its global power would decline markedly without Europe.

912,860 Aufrufe

Iran crossed another escalation threshold. Cluster-munition missiles against Israel. These scatter dozens of submunitions across wide areas — designed for terror. Unavoidable conclusion: Iran is not crushed. It is escalating. The war is entering a far more dangerous phase.

Iran crossed another escalation threshold. Cluster-munition missiles against Israel. These scatter dozens of submunitions across wide areas — designed for terror. Unavoidable conclusion: Iran is not crushed. It is escalating. The war is entering a far more dangerous phase.

801,765 Aufrufe

Videos

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Iranian navy seized the oil tanker "Ocean Koi" in the Gulf of Oman This is Iran’s answer to Trump, effectively: “We control Hormuz— take it if you can” Iran’s power is growing by the day

Iranian navy seized the oil tanker "Ocean Koi" in the Gulf of Oman This is Iran’s answer to Trump, effectively: “We control Hormuz— take it if you can” Iran’s power is growing by the day

293,013 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen

Iran making clear, it will not give up Hormuz or enriched uranium for 10+ working nuclear bombs. Iran will soon become 4th world power center. US under big pressure to escalate. Join my live substack briefing at 7pm ET to get ahead of the coming risks

Iran making clear, it will not give up Hormuz or enriched uranium for 10+ working nuclear bombs. Iran will soon become 4th world power center. US under big pressure to escalate. Join my live substack briefing at 7pm ET to get ahead of the coming risks

559,496 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Everyone should see how the 3 US carriers are positioning for the next round of the Escalation Trap:

Everyone should see how the 3 US carriers are positioning for the next round of the Escalation Trap:

251,507 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Multiple signs new US strikes on Iran imminent in the coming days: —leaks of new military briefings to Trump —US hypersonic missiles deployed to Gulf —3 US carriers poised to strike —US-Iran talks going nowhere The Escalation Trap has Trump in its grip

Multiple signs new US strikes on Iran imminent in the coming days: —leaks of new military briefings to Trump —US hypersonic missiles deployed to Gulf —3 US carriers poised to strike —US-Iran talks going nowhere The Escalation Trap has Trump in its grip

217,590 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Recently Rick Sanchez and I had a lengthy conversation on the big implications of the Iran war. Here is a key moment:

Recently Rick Sanchez and I had a lengthy conversation on the big implications of the Iran war. Here is a key moment:

34,096 Aufrufe • vor 20 Tagen

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

16,367 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

13,607 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

11,004 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

On The Left Hook with Waj

On The Left Hook with Waj

10,271 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

How could the US underestimate Iran’s drones? Major unanswered question

How could the US underestimate Iran’s drones? Major unanswered question

15,141 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Who’s really winning the Iran war. The live conversation that explains how Iran is gaining power

Who’s really winning the Iran war. The live conversation that explains how Iran is gaining power

13,271 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Who wins when America bleeds? China, Russia, and Iran

Who wins when America bleeds? China, Russia, and Iran

11,888 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Tremendous live conversation on the Iran war and what to expect as the Escalation Trap gets worse

Tremendous live conversation on the Iran war and what to expect as the Escalation Trap gets worse

11,590 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Trump’s illusion of control in the Iran war

Trump’s illusion of control in the Iran war

11,034 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Why leaders around the world should see the frameworks in The Escalation Trap Substack

Why leaders around the world should see the frameworks in The Escalation Trap Substack

10,464 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

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