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Sam Badawi

@Sam_Badawi • 56,105 subscribers

Stock analyst & creator. Interviews + deep dives on stocks, fundamentals & AI. Origins of Alpha + Quarterly Conviction on YouTube 👇 https://t.co/bmC5idjXcO

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What people think Jensen is doing vs. what he's actually doing

What people think Jensen is doing vs. what he's actually doing

632,045 görüntüleme

$NBIS is now 3rd largest position in the portfolio now about to overtake $AMZN and $ON. $NVDA Jensen Haung said it right...

$NBIS is now 3rd largest position in the portfolio now about to overtake $AMZN and $ON. $NVDA Jensen Haung said it right...

911,203 görüntüleme

I look at all markets. Sectors, asset classes, bonds, metals, energy, and sentiment. Why? Because there is a finite amount of liquidity in the system, and it all has to go somewhere. The main driver is fundamentals, but every now and then, macro comes into play. We have literally gone straight up for the last 6 weeks. Sure, it might be time for a pullback, but it was also time 2 weeks ago. However, let’s not kid ourselves, the last 6 weeks have been the most outstanding performance of my our career. You can never sell the top, and you’ll never catch the bottom consistently. My best ideas have done VERY well YTD and have had breakneck rallies in the last 6 weeks. No, I didn’t go all in on software. I also didn’t go all in on oil stocks at the worst time possible or FOMO into $NBIS or $MRVL today. I have been looking hard at leading themes every day. No breaks. That is exactly what I do. And I love it. I learn every day from everyone. There are so many people to thank, but the job is not over. The job is never done. Keep going. Whether long, short, flat… just keep going. I ALWAYS will. This is my vow to the community. God bless. 🫡

I look at all markets. Sectors, asset classes, bonds, metals, energy, and sentiment. Why? Because there is a finite amount of liquidity in the system, and it all has to go somewhere. The main driver is fundamentals, but every now and then, macro comes into play. We have literally gone straight up for the last 6 weeks. Sure, it might be time for a pullback, but it was also time 2 weeks ago. However, let’s not kid ourselves, the last 6 weeks have been the most outstanding performance of my our career. You can never sell the top, and you’ll never catch the bottom consistently. My best ideas have done VERY well YTD and have had breakneck rallies in the last 6 weeks. No, I didn’t go all in on software. I also didn’t go all in on oil stocks at the worst time possible or FOMO into $NBIS or $MRVL today. I have been looking hard at leading themes every day. No breaks. That is exactly what I do. And I love it. I learn every day from everyone. There are so many people to thank, but the job is not over. The job is never done. Keep going. Whether long, short, flat… just keep going. I ALWAYS will. This is my vow to the community. God bless. 🫡

79,485 görüntüleme

A buddy of mine spotted a $TSLA CyberCab in Los Angeles. I cannot believe how fast they're scaling.

A buddy of mine spotted a $TSLA CyberCab in Los Angeles. I cannot believe how fast they're scaling.

21,195 görüntüleme

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This is insane. Tesla $TSLA just demoed a flying Roadster, showing the vehicle suspended in mid-air without falling while positioned over an inverted ramp. Video is courtesy of Tannor Manson Caktus Jxck🌵

This is insane. Tesla $TSLA just demoed a flying Roadster, showing the vehicle suspended in mid-air without falling while positioned over an inverted ramp. Video is courtesy of Tannor Manson Caktus Jxck🌵

121,531 görüntüleme • 24 gün önce

TOM LEE JUST LAID OUT THE 3 PHASES OF THE MARKET 2026 1. NOW - LATE SUMMER - S&P 500 could reach 7,700-7,800 - AI and growth stocks continue to lead - Bull market remains intact 2. SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER - An "abrupt change in market conditions" - Correction that could feel like a bear market - Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs - New equity supply equal to roughly 5-6% of S&P 500 market cap - Energy and Fed transition risks 3. LATE 2026 - Strong recovery after the correction - Potentially one of the strongest periods in decades - AI, productivity gains, and economic growth drive the next leg higher

TOM LEE JUST LAID OUT THE 3 PHASES OF THE MARKET 2026 1. NOW - LATE SUMMER - S&P 500 could reach 7,700-7,800 - AI and growth stocks continue to lead - Bull market remains intact 2. SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER - An "abrupt change in market conditions" - Correction that could feel like a bear market - Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs - New equity supply equal to roughly 5-6% of S&P 500 market cap - Energy and Fed transition risks 3. LATE 2026 - Strong recovery after the correction - Potentially one of the strongest periods in decades - AI, productivity gains, and economic growth drive the next leg higher

665,709 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

$IREN co-founder Daniel Roberts said if someone wanted to build a 1GW AI factory TODAY, they likely would not get first compute online until 2030, reinforcing how severe the power bottleneck has become across AI infrastructure. That is exactly why energy and power infrastructure in $BE and $FPS continue becoming increasingly important to support the expanding compute footprint tied to the builders $NBIS, $WULF, and $APLD.

$IREN co-founder Daniel Roberts said if someone wanted to build a 1GW AI factory TODAY, they likely would not get first compute online until 2030, reinforcing how severe the power bottleneck has become across AI infrastructure. That is exactly why energy and power infrastructure in $BE and $FPS continue becoming increasingly important to support the expanding compute footprint tied to the builders $NBIS, $WULF, and $APLD.

486,783 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Gavin Baker built a massive position in $ALAB around the AI infrastructure theme, and the stock has now crossed $300. He thinks AI is different and that we are NOT in a bubble. He expresses this thesis behind many of his top holdings, including $NVDA, $MU, and $AMZN.

Gavin Baker built a massive position in $ALAB around the AI infrastructure theme, and the stock has now crossed $300. He thinks AI is different and that we are NOT in a bubble. He expresses this thesis behind many of his top holdings, including $NVDA, $MU, and $AMZN.

461,379 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

LARRY ELLISON JUST MADE A MISTAKE Steve and I come together to talk about $ORCL. With Oracle sitting on a massive $664B backlog and OCI revenue growing 121% YoY Watch the full video on YouTube. Link in first reply. Matt then joins us for the $SPCX SpaceX vs. $RKLB Rocket Lab debate and which one has the steeper S-curve. Hint, it’s Matt and me vs. Steve. Guess which ones each of us are long. Finally, we talk macro, oil, rates, $AVGO, $QCOM, $MRVL, and continue solidifying the $UBER thesis. As always, just a great time talking markets. Steven Fiorillo Matt Farley

LARRY ELLISON JUST MADE A MISTAKE Steve and I come together to talk about $ORCL. With Oracle sitting on a massive $664B backlog and OCI revenue growing 121% YoY Watch the full video on YouTube. Link in first reply. Matt then joins us for the $SPCX SpaceX vs. $RKLB Rocket Lab debate and which one has the steeper S-curve. Hint, it’s Matt and me vs. Steve. Guess which ones each of us are long. Finally, we talk macro, oil, rates, $AVGO, $QCOM, $MRVL, and continue solidifying the $UBER thesis. As always, just a great time talking markets. Steven Fiorillo Matt Farley

124,578 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

MICRON $MU CEO SAYS THE COMPANY CAN ONLY SUPPLY 50-65% OF WHAT CUSTOMERS NEED RIGHT NOW This isn’t just Micron, Samsung, or SK Hynix. It’s a full-stack constraint that benefits the broader memory and storage ecosystem, including NAND from $SNDK and $WDC, capacity-driven disks from $STX, and system-level storage platforms and arrays from $P. AI demand for DRAM is outpacing supply by an “unprecedented” gap. New fabs take years, and the shortage is expected to persist beyond 2026.

MICRON $MU CEO SAYS THE COMPANY CAN ONLY SUPPLY 50-65% OF WHAT CUSTOMERS NEED RIGHT NOW This isn’t just Micron, Samsung, or SK Hynix. It’s a full-stack constraint that benefits the broader memory and storage ecosystem, including NAND from $SNDK and $WDC, capacity-driven disks from $STX, and system-level storage platforms and arrays from $P. AI demand for DRAM is outpacing supply by an “unprecedented” gap. New fabs take years, and the shortage is expected to persist beyond 2026.

386,135 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Could it be Leopold Aschenbrenner and Situational Awareness going heavy on $SNDK and $MU calls again? Aschenbrenner was recently on CNBC discussing how aggressively the fund has bet on the AI infrastructure buildout, after previously putting HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS into $BE, $AMD, $SNDK and Micron positions.

Could it be Leopold Aschenbrenner and Situational Awareness going heavy on $SNDK and $MU calls again? Aschenbrenner was recently on CNBC discussing how aggressively the fund has bet on the AI infrastructure buildout, after previously putting HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS into $BE, $AMD, $SNDK and Micron positions.

91,270 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

TOM LEE NAMES $HOOD A STOCK TO AVOID IN 2026

TOM LEE NAMES $HOOD A STOCK TO AVOID IN 2026

102,794 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Banger episode from the Basis Points podcast featuring $SOFI CEO Anthony Noto. He was very candid about the stock being down YTD, saying it absolutely bothers him, but also made it clear the company understands the high expectations investors have for the business. To me, this continues looking more like a broader fintech sentiment reset rather than isolated weakness at SoFi itself.

Banger episode from the Basis Points podcast featuring $SOFI CEO Anthony Noto. He was very candid about the stock being down YTD, saying it absolutely bothers him, but also made it clear the company understands the high expectations investors have for the business. To me, this continues looking more like a broader fintech sentiment reset rather than isolated weakness at SoFi itself.

175,801 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

DAN IVES: WE’RE ONLY 15% THROUGH THE AI BUILDOUT Full video on YouTube in the first reply ↓ I sat down with Dan Ives at Zeta Live to discuss $NVDA, $MSFT, $AAPL, $CRWD, $SNOW, $GOOGL, $MRVL, $AVGO and where he sees the AI trade heading into 2027. Dan Ives believes we’re still less than 15% through the AI buildout, with $3-4T of spending ahead and the next wave of opportunities expanding from chips and hyperscalers into software and cybersecurity. We also covered his top picks, the memory supercycle, US vs. China and why he thinks Wall Street keeps getting distracted by bearish narratives.

DAN IVES: WE’RE ONLY 15% THROUGH THE AI BUILDOUT Full video on YouTube in the first reply ↓ I sat down with Dan Ives at Zeta Live to discuss $NVDA, $MSFT, $AAPL, $CRWD, $SNOW, $GOOGL, $MRVL, $AVGO and where he sees the AI trade heading into 2027. Dan Ives believes we’re still less than 15% through the AI buildout, with $3-4T of spending ahead and the next wave of opportunities expanding from chips and hyperscalers into software and cybersecurity. We also covered his top picks, the memory supercycle, US vs. China and why he thinks Wall Street keeps getting distracted by bearish narratives.

28,018 görüntüleme • 22 gün önce

$PLTR EXPECTS TO GROW 100% IN THE U.S. IN 2026 AND 2027 WHAT?!

$PLTR EXPECTS TO GROW 100% IN THE U.S. IN 2026 AND 2027 WHAT?!

178,968 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

$BMNR CHAIR TOM LEE WARNS OF ANOTHER FLUSH ON MONDAY, BUT WOULD BE HIGHER NEXT WEEK $GRNY could set up nicely if it bounces. He also noted that markets rarely bottom on a Friday. What are you guys planning to buy?

$BMNR CHAIR TOM LEE WARNS OF ANOTHER FLUSH ON MONDAY, BUT WOULD BE HIGHER NEXT WEEK $GRNY could set up nicely if it bounces. He also noted that markets rarely bottom on a Friday. What are you guys planning to buy?

345,361 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Citadel says it has already shed more than 80% of the risk it took on from Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness portfolio. Ken Griffin’s firm executed nearly 100 block trades worth over $4 BILLION, including the largest intraday block trades of the year in 10 different stocks. Nicholas Mugalli

Citadel says it has already shed more than 80% of the risk it took on from Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness portfolio. Ken Griffin’s firm executed nearly 100 block trades worth over $4 BILLION, including the largest intraday block trades of the year in 10 different stocks. Nicholas Mugalli

79,281 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

When $MRVL was trading at $170 in April, I shared with Amit and about 10,000 viewers why I still believed the stock was attractive despite the run-up. Now, $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang is calling Marvell a potential $1T opportunity. I also called out $ARM at $172 in the same video. Now, the stock is over $400.

When $MRVL was trading at $170 in April, I shared with Amit and about 10,000 viewers why I still believed the stock was attractive despite the run-up. Now, $NVDA CEO Jensen Huang is calling Marvell a potential $1T opportunity. I also called out $ARM at $172 in the same video. Now, the stock is over $400.

131,512 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

$MU is investing $50B to build two new memory fabs in Boise, while $SKHY and Samsung continue expanding HBM capacity to support the AI buildout. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said Micron’s nearly 50-year history and more than 62,000 patents reflect the company’s long-term vision that memory remains at the center of the AI revolution. Is this still a cyclical industry? Asking for a few rich friends.

$MU is investing $50B to build two new memory fabs in Boise, while $SKHY and Samsung continue expanding HBM capacity to support the AI buildout. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said Micron’s nearly 50-year history and more than 62,000 patents reflect the company’s long-term vision that memory remains at the center of the AI revolution. Is this still a cyclical industry? Asking for a few rich friends.

63,948 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Satya Nadella says AI is becoming the new “Lean” for knowledge work at $MSFT, helping companies automate processes and reduce waste. Meanwhile, $NOW and $CRM are both well off their lows. Maybe AI isn’t killing software after all… maybe it’s making the best platforms even stronger.

Satya Nadella says AI is becoming the new “Lean” for knowledge work at $MSFT, helping companies automate processes and reduce waste. Meanwhile, $NOW and $CRM are both well off their lows. Maybe AI isn’t killing software after all… maybe it’s making the best platforms even stronger.

120,631 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

TOM LEE IS BULLISH WITH A FRESH HAIRCUT The $BMNR chairman thinks the S&P 500 could push above 8,000 before any real correction, while Bitcoin could still hit $150K as institutional crypto buying picks up. He also sees underlying U.S. GDP growth above 3%, driven by AI investment, onshoring and energy infrastructure. And how about that, Bitmine is up 6.4% today. What a comeback Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com

TOM LEE IS BULLISH WITH A FRESH HAIRCUT The $BMNR chairman thinks the S&P 500 could push above 8,000 before any real correction, while Bitcoin could still hit $150K as institutional crypto buying picks up. He also sees underlying U.S. GDP growth above 3%, driven by AI investment, onshoring and energy infrastructure. And how about that, Bitmine is up 6.4% today. What a comeback Thomas (Tom) Lee (not drummer) FundstratDirect.com

42,622 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Kevin Warsh is already signaling what could be a major shift in Fed policy. While rising oil and a softer labor market have investors worried about inflation, he argues an AI-driven productivity boom from companies like $NVDA, $MSFT, $GOOGL and $AMZN could actually push prices lower. If that view gains traction, it could reshape how the market thinks about growth and rates. A productivity wave powered by AI could allow the economy to expand faster while inflation cools, changing the framework investors have used since the post-pandemic cycle.

Kevin Warsh is already signaling what could be a major shift in Fed policy. While rising oil and a softer labor market have investors worried about inflation, he argues an AI-driven productivity boom from companies like $NVDA, $MSFT, $GOOGL and $AMZN could actually push prices lower. If that view gains traction, it could reshape how the market thinks about growth and rates. A productivity wave powered by AI could allow the economy to expand faster while inflation cools, changing the framework investors have used since the post-pandemic cycle.

120,887 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

ORIGINS OF ALPHA: HAMID SHOJAEE I sat down with Hamid, Founder & CEO of SavvyTrader, to discuss why he gets interested when the market “loses interest,” his conviction in $META, views on $MU, $NVDA and $AMZN. Watch the FULL PODCAST on YouTube, link in the first reply. “It’s growing faster than Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Apple. The only Mag 7 company that’s outpacing its growth is NVIDIA, and its P/E ratio is just continuing to go down. And then guess what? All of the AI infrastructure, the data centers, the potential products that they have, is valued at near zero.”

ORIGINS OF ALPHA: HAMID SHOJAEE I sat down with Hamid, Founder & CEO of SavvyTrader, to discuss why he gets interested when the market “loses interest,” his conviction in $META, views on $MU, $NVDA and $AMZN. Watch the FULL PODCAST on YouTube, link in the first reply. “It’s growing faster than Microsoft, Amazon, Google and Apple. The only Mag 7 company that’s outpacing its growth is NVIDIA, and its P/E ratio is just continuing to go down. And then guess what? All of the AI infrastructure, the data centers, the potential products that they have, is valued at near zero.”

33,444 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

FuzzyPanda continues to press their short thesis on $TE even after the recent 50% parabolic run from the lows on the day they released their short report earlier this week. In their latest update, they shared drone footage of T1 Energy’s G2 Austin factory site and claim an AI review of the footage, company statements, and images suggests the project may be running 9-18 months behind schedule. They acknowledge bulls will point to visible progress, including an additional large crane and ongoing construction activity, while bears will focus on how much of the overall site remains undeveloped. The debate ultimately remains centered on execution and construction timelines, with FuzzyPanda arguing progress is slower than expected while investors continue to evaluate whether the current pace supports management’s long-term plans.

FuzzyPanda continues to press their short thesis on $TE even after the recent 50% parabolic run from the lows on the day they released their short report earlier this week. In their latest update, they shared drone footage of T1 Energy’s G2 Austin factory site and claim an AI review of the footage, company statements, and images suggests the project may be running 9-18 months behind schedule. They acknowledge bulls will point to visible progress, including an additional large crane and ongoing construction activity, while bears will focus on how much of the overall site remains undeveloped. The debate ultimately remains centered on execution and construction timelines, with FuzzyPanda arguing progress is slower than expected while investors continue to evaluate whether the current pace supports management’s long-term plans.

67,345 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce