Ted

@TedPillows • 309,754 subscribers

Survived 2 cycles, still here turning on-chain and macro economics signals into trades.

Shorts

I still think $BTC will hit $70,000 before its final bottom. What do you guys think?

I still think $BTC will hit $70,000 before its final bottom. What do you guys think?

127,862 Aufrufe

$6,000,000,000 in shorts will get liquidated if $ETH hits $2,200. $4,130,000,000 in longs will get liquidated if Ethereum hits $1,400. What will happen first?

$6,000,000,000 in shorts will get liquidated if $ETH hits $2,200. $4,130,000,000 in longs will get liquidated if Ethereum hits $1,400. What will happen first?

88,180 Aufrufe

There's a decent $BTC sell wall at $65,000. A strong breakout above this means Bitcoin could see a quick 5%-6% rally.

There's a decent $BTC sell wall at $65,000. A strong breakout above this means Bitcoin could see a quick 5%-6% rally.

78,147 Aufrufe

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

150,133 Aufrufe

3 years of uptrend. 1 year of downtrend. That's how $BTC has always traded.

3 years of uptrend. 1 year of downtrend. That's how $BTC has always traded.

122,093 Aufrufe

Top 50 insider trades over the past week have been "Sell" only. You know what this means.

Top 50 insider trades over the past week have been "Sell" only. You know what this means.

37,273 Aufrufe

S&P 500 seems to be forming a bearish diamond pattern here. A breakdown below the $7,350 level could trigger a stock market dump.

S&P 500 seems to be forming a bearish diamond pattern here. A breakdown below the $7,350 level could trigger a stock market dump.

189,982 Aufrufe

It took 9 monthly red candles in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets for $BTC to bottom out. Bitcoin has closed 7 red monthly candles so far. This means the real capitulation hasn't happened yet.

It took 9 monthly red candles in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets for $BTC to bottom out. Bitcoin has closed 7 red monthly candles so far. This means the real capitulation hasn't happened yet.

155,867 Aufrufe

$BTC has the biggest liquidity cluster around the $50,000 level. Electrical cost, CVDD, and Realized price are also indicating the bottom around $50,000. IMO, Bitcoin will tap this zone before a pump above $100,000.

$BTC has the biggest liquidity cluster around the $50,000 level. Electrical cost, CVDD, and Realized price are also indicating the bottom around $50,000. IMO, Bitcoin will tap this zone before a pump above $100,000.

110,484 Aufrufe

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

683,932 Aufrufe

$$BTC current fractal looks exactly like Q3 2022. If this repeats, July will close green and then a new cycle low for Bitcoin.$

$BTC current fractal looks exactly like Q3 2022. If this repeats, July will close green and then a new cycle low for Bitcoin.

131,257 Aufrufe

$80,000 BTC is the most popular bet for this month. The most popular bet for the end of Q3 is a $BTC price range of $50,000 to $60,000. It seems like big money is expecting a Bitcoin relief rally this month and then a new bottom.

$80,000 BTC is the most popular bet for this month. The most popular bet for the end of Q3 is a $BTC price range of $50,000 to $60,000. It seems like big money is expecting a Bitcoin relief rally this month and then a new bottom.

143,260 Aufrufe

The largest insider stock trades this month have been "sell" only. Smart money is exiting.

The largest insider stock trades this month have been "sell" only. Smart money is exiting.

60,490 Aufrufe

$1,300 ETH is the most popular bet for August 2026. $3,200 ETH is the most popular bet for December 2026. Does that mean $ETH will bottom next month and then rally into the year-end?

$1,300 ETH is the most popular bet for August 2026. $3,200 ETH is the most popular bet for December 2026. Does that mean $ETH will bottom next month and then rally into the year-end?

111,657 Aufrufe

Bitcoin seems like it wants a relief rally. And just like the past, moonboys will start screaming that the bottom is in.

Bitcoin seems like it wants a relief rally. And just like the past, moonboys will start screaming that the bottom is in.

103,807 Aufrufe

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

683,434 Aufrufe

$SOL has taken out most of the upside liquidity in the short term. Now, there are huge long-side liquidity clusters forming below $75. Monitor it closely.

$SOL has taken out most of the upside liquidity in the short term. Now, there are huge long-side liquidity clusters forming below $75. Monitor it closely.

88,656 Aufrufe

$BTC buy wall is still strong around the $58,000-$60,000 level. This level should hold for some time.

$BTC buy wall is still strong around the $58,000-$60,000 level. This level should hold for some time.

112,691 Aufrufe

$BTC has taken out all the downside liquidity, and we will now pump to new highs. You will soon hear Moonboys saying this on the timeline. But the reality is there's a massive liquidity cluster around $55,000-$65,000 which will eventually be taken out. That doesn't mean a bounceback won't happen here, but Bitcoin hasn't bottomed yet.

$BTC has taken out all the downside liquidity, and we will now pump to new highs. You will soon hear Moonboys saying this on the timeline. But the reality is there's a massive liquidity cluster around $55,000-$65,000 which will eventually be taken out. That doesn't mean a bounceback won't happen here, but Bitcoin hasn't bottomed yet.

242,543 Aufrufe

$BTC bottom isn't in yet. We haven't seen the real capitulation.

$BTC bottom isn't in yet. We haven't seen the real capitulation.

109,455 Aufrufe

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All $BTC needs now is one final capitulation. And then the multi-year uptrend starts.

All $BTC needs now is one final capitulation. And then the multi-year uptrend starts.

92,943 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?

115,604 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

150,133 Aufrufe • vor 9 Tagen

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.

128,350 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

$BTC still has one leg down left. But not before a relief rally.

$BTC still has one leg down left. But not before a relief rally.

68,087 Aufrufe • vor 8 Tagen

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.

234,948 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.

460,250 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Whenever Altcoins (excluding ETH) Open Interest has surpassed Bitcoin Open Interest, alts have peaked. Current $BTC OI: $21,110,000,000 Current Altcoins OI: $16,360,000,000 For now, it looks like alts still have room to run. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you need to start looking for the exit.

Whenever Altcoins (excluding ETH) Open Interest has surpassed Bitcoin Open Interest, alts have peaked. Current $BTC OI: $21,110,000,000 Current Altcoins OI: $16,360,000,000 For now, it looks like alts still have room to run. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you need to start looking for the exit.

78,986 Aufrufe • vor 14 Tagen

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.

334,874 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.

446,916 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$BTC still hasn't bottomed for this cycle. The final capitulation is yet to happen.

$BTC still hasn't bottomed for this cycle. The final capitulation is yet to happen.

50,101 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.

162,987 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The only playbook that works for Bitcoin.

The only playbook that works for Bitcoin.

27,363 Aufrufe • vor 6 Tagen

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.

204,899 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.

418,247 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?

213,763 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.

356,098 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

$ETH will likely bottom around $1,400-$1,500 in 2026. What's your Ethereum bottom target?

$ETH will likely bottom around $1,400-$1,500 in 2026. What's your Ethereum bottom target?

132,311 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.

224,945 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.

217,972 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten