Ted

@TedPillows • 319,963 subscribers

Survived 2 crypto cycles. Turning Bitcoin and Ethereum, on-chain data and macro signals into actionable trades. Research: ↓

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Someone opened a $149,400,000 $BTC long with 40x leverage. Liquidation Price: $80,644

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Majority of insiders' stock trades are still "Sell". Not a good sign.

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$BTC buy side is currently weak in the short term. On the upside, there aren't major sell orders until $83,700-$84,000. But to the downside, there aren't major buy orders until $80,300. This means if Bitcoin loses the $82,000 level here, the downtrend could accelerate.

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$This could be a possible scenario for Bitcoin. The fractal looks very similar to early 2023, when BTC had a sharp correction after confirming the cycle bottom. This time, we could see a drop into the high $70,000s before the next leg up.$

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Ted

Shorts

Someone opened a $149,400,000 $BTC long with 40x leverage. Liquidation Price: $80,644

Majority of insiders' stock trades are still "Sell". Not a good sign.

$BTC buy side is currently weak in the short term. On the upside, there aren't major sell orders until $83,700-$84,000. But to the downside, there aren't major buy orders until $80,300. This means if Bitcoin loses the $82,000 level here, the downtrend could accelerate.

This could be a possible scenario for Bitcoin. The fractal looks very similar to early 2023, when BTC had a sharp correction after confirming the cycle bottom. This time, we could see a drop into the high $70,000s before the next leg up.

$BTC has reached its major sell orders zone. On the downside, there are large buy orders around $80,000-$81,000. It seems like we are due for another correction followed by another V-shape recovery.

$200,000+ BTC is programmed this cycle. It's all in the charts.

$ETH went through 5 years of sideways accumulation. Now it's time for a few years of vertical uptrend.

$BTC is going above $200,000 by 2029. Do you guys agree?

$875,000,000 in short liquidations $10,640,000,000 in long liquidations $BTC now has 12x more liquidity to the downside than upside.

$95,000 BTC is the most popular bet for October 2026. $75,000 BTC is the most popular bet for November 2026. It seems like big money is betting on a bullish October followed by a correction in November.

$BTC has large sell orders in the $87,500-$90,000 zone. If spot demand picks up, Bitcoin could quickly rally above $87,500.

$ETH is a $10,000 asset trading at $1,900 today. Few understand this.

$ETH has been in this accumulation zone for 5+ years now. Imagine the pump once it breaks out. $12,000-$15,000 ETH is realistic by 2029.

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

Most of the $ETH downside liquidity has been taken out for now. Now there are $5 Billion in shorts vs. $1.53 Billion in longs. The only concern is weakening spot demand for Ethereum, which is still making a strong case for more correction.

What'll happen next for $BTC? $78,000 or $88,000

This is how the S&amp;P 500 could play out in 2026.

What'll happen next for $HYPE? $75 or $100

$BTC dropped 70% in 2022 and then pumped 700%. $ETH has dropped 70% in 2026. Imagine if ETH pumps 700% next.

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$18,140,000,000 in $BTC and $ETH options will expire this Friday. Max pain for Bitcoin: $75,000 Max pain for Ethereum: $2,250

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.

Only 9 coins out of the top 100 are in red over the last 3 months. After months of suffering, crypto holders are finally getting the pump they deserve.

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.

$ETH is about to do the opposite of what it did in the last 12 months. Earlier, every pump was for selling. Now, every dump will be for buying.

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.

I was bearish on $ETH at $4,900. I'm not bearish at the current price.

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

$ETH has always lagged Russell 2000. Russell 2000 is at a new ATH now. You know what happens next.

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&amp;P 500?

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?

Feb 2022 ▫️ Russia-Ukraine war started. ▫️ $BTC pumped almost 40%. ▫️ After that, it dumped 67%. Feb 2026 ▫️ US-Iran was started. ▫️ Bitcoin could pump towards $78,000-$80,000. ▫️ After that, the next downtrend will start.

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?