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Ted

@TedPillows • 309,701 subscribers

Survived 2 cycles, still here turning on-chain and macro economics signals into trades.

Shorts

I still think $BTC will hit $70,000 before its final bottom. What do you guys think?

I still think $BTC will hit $70,000 before its final bottom. What do you guys think?

126,897 views

$6,000,000,000 in shorts will get liquidated if $ETH hits $2,200. $4,130,000,000 in longs will get liquidated if Ethereum hits $1,400. What will happen first?

$6,000,000,000 in shorts will get liquidated if $ETH hits $2,200. $4,130,000,000 in longs will get liquidated if Ethereum hits $1,400. What will happen first?

88,180 views

There's a decent $BTC sell wall at $65,000. A strong breakout above this means Bitcoin could see a quick 5%-6% rally.

There's a decent $BTC sell wall at $65,000. A strong breakout above this means Bitcoin could see a quick 5%-6% rally.

78,147 views

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

150,080 views

3 years of uptrend. 1 year of downtrend. That's how $BTC has always traded.

3 years of uptrend. 1 year of downtrend. That's how $BTC has always traded.

121,065 views

S&P 500 seems to be forming a bearish diamond pattern here. A breakdown below the $7,350 level could trigger a stock market dump.

S&P 500 seems to be forming a bearish diamond pattern here. A breakdown below the $7,350 level could trigger a stock market dump.

189,982 views

It took 9 monthly red candles in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets for $BTC to bottom out. Bitcoin has closed 7 red monthly candles so far. This means the real capitulation hasn't happened yet.

It took 9 monthly red candles in the 2018 and 2022 bear markets for $BTC to bottom out. Bitcoin has closed 7 red monthly candles so far. This means the real capitulation hasn't happened yet.

155,867 views

$BTC has the biggest liquidity cluster around the $50,000 level. Electrical cost, CVDD, and Realized price are also indicating the bottom around $50,000. IMO, Bitcoin will tap this zone before a pump above $100,000.

$BTC has the biggest liquidity cluster around the $50,000 level. Electrical cost, CVDD, and Realized price are also indicating the bottom around $50,000. IMO, Bitcoin will tap this zone before a pump above $100,000.

110,484 views

$BTC current fractal looks exactly like Q3 2022. If this repeats, July will close green and then a new cycle low for Bitcoin.

$BTC current fractal looks exactly like Q3 2022. If this repeats, July will close green and then a new cycle low for Bitcoin.

131,257 views

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different?

683,932 views

The largest insider stock trades this month have been "sell" only. Smart money is exiting.

The largest insider stock trades this month have been "sell" only. Smart money is exiting.

60,490 views

$80,000 BTC is the most popular bet for this month. The most popular bet for the end of Q3 is a $BTC price range of $50,000 to $60,000. It seems like big money is expecting a Bitcoin relief rally this month and then a new bottom.

$80,000 BTC is the most popular bet for this month. The most popular bet for the end of Q3 is a $BTC price range of $50,000 to $60,000. It seems like big money is expecting a Bitcoin relief rally this month and then a new bottom.

143,260 views

$1,300 ETH is the most popular bet for August 2026. $3,200 ETH is the most popular bet for December 2026. Does that mean $ETH will bottom next month and then rally into the year-end?

$1,300 ETH is the most popular bet for August 2026. $3,200 ETH is the most popular bet for December 2026. Does that mean $ETH will bottom next month and then rally into the year-end?

111,657 views

Bitcoin seems like it wants a relief rally. And just like the past, moonboys will start screaming that the bottom is in.

Bitcoin seems like it wants a relief rally. And just like the past, moonboys will start screaming that the bottom is in.

103,807 views

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

This is how the S&P 500 could play out in 2026.

683,434 views

$SOL has taken out most of the upside liquidity in the short term. Now, there are huge long-side liquidity clusters forming below $75. Monitor it closely.

$SOL has taken out most of the upside liquidity in the short term. Now, there are huge long-side liquidity clusters forming below $75. Monitor it closely.

88,656 views

$BTC buy wall is still strong around the $58,000-$60,000 level. This level should hold for some time.

$BTC buy wall is still strong around the $58,000-$60,000 level. This level should hold for some time.

112,691 views

$BTC has taken out all the downside liquidity, and we will now pump to new highs. You will soon hear Moonboys saying this on the timeline. But the reality is there's a massive liquidity cluster around $55,000-$65,000 which will eventually be taken out. That doesn't mean a bounceback won't happen here, but Bitcoin hasn't bottomed yet.

$BTC has taken out all the downside liquidity, and we will now pump to new highs. You will soon hear Moonboys saying this on the timeline. But the reality is there's a massive liquidity cluster around $55,000-$65,000 which will eventually be taken out. That doesn't mean a bounceback won't happen here, but Bitcoin hasn't bottomed yet.

242,543 views

$BTC bottom isn't in yet. We haven't seen the real capitulation.

$BTC bottom isn't in yet. We haven't seen the real capitulation.

109,455 views

$ETH has started to form decent liquidity clusters to the upside. There's one sitting around the $1,500 level too. Historically, Ethereum has seen a bounce back in July, so a sweep of the upside liquidity could happen next.

$ETH has started to form decent liquidity clusters to the upside. There's one sitting around the $1,500 level too. Historically, Ethereum has seen a bounce back in July, so a sweep of the upside liquidity could happen next.

101,727 views

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All $BTC needs now is one final capitulation. And then the multi-year uptrend starts.
0:27
TedPillows's profile picture

All $BTC needs now is one final capitulation. And then the multi-year uptrend starts.

Ted

67,847 views • 1 day ago

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?
0:27
TedPillows's profile picture

$70,000 first. $50,000 next. What do you guys think?

Ted

115,506 views • 6 days ago

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.
0:20
TedPillows's profile picture

First a bull trap, and then a new cycle low. This is how $BTC will most likely play out in the coming months.

Ted

150,080 views • 8 days ago

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.
0:26
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC local bottom is most likely in. The cycle bottom will still take a few months.

Ted

128,350 views • 9 days ago

$BTC still has one leg down left. But not before a relief rally.
0:41
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC still has one leg down left. But not before a relief rally.

Ted

68,087 views • 7 days ago

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.
0:24
TedPillows's profile picture

There's no V-shape recovery at the cycle bottom. You'll get enough time to buy $BTC when it actually bottoms.

Ted

234,948 views • 26 days ago

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.
0:42
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet.

Ted

460,250 views • 2 months ago

Whenever Altcoins (excluding ETH) Open Interest has surpassed Bitcoin Open Interest, alts have peaked. Current $BTC OI: $21,110,000,000 Current Altcoins OI: $16,360,000,000 For now, it looks like alts still have room to run. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you need to start looking for the exit.
0:22
TedPillows's profile picture

Whenever Altcoins (excluding ETH) Open Interest has surpassed Bitcoin Open Interest, alts have peaked. Current $BTC OI: $21,110,000,000 Current Altcoins OI: $16,360,000,000 For now, it looks like alts still have room to run. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you need to start looking for the exit.

Ted

78,986 views • 14 days ago

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.
0:38
TedPillows's profile picture

This is how $BTC bottom will most likely form this cycle.

Ted

334,874 views • 2 months ago

The only playbook that works for Bitcoin.
0:45
TedPillows's profile picture

The only playbook that works for Bitcoin.

Ted

27,363 views • 5 days ago

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.
0:35
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC is back at its bear market trend. The local top is getting closer.

Ted

446,916 views • 2 months ago

$BTC still hasn't bottomed for this cycle. The final capitulation is yet to happen.
0:22
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC still hasn't bottomed for this cycle. The final capitulation is yet to happen.

Ted

50,101 views • 10 days ago

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.
0:27
TedPillows's profile picture

I wouldn't be surprised if Bitcoin goes for another lower high. This'll make permabulls go loud exactly like last month. Then, Bitcoin will nuke to new lows in Q3, which will coincide with the 4-year bottom.

Ted

162,987 views • 1 month ago

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.
0:31
TedPillows's profile picture

Trump says the US stock market will only go up with Kevin Warsh.

Ted

204,899 views • 1 month ago

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.
1:37
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC bear flag and fakeout.... A tale as old as time.

Ted

418,177 views • 4 months ago

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?
0:36
TedPillows's profile picture

Do you guys think this could happen with the S&P 500?

Ted

213,763 views • 2 months ago

$ETH will likely bottom around $1,400-$1,500 in 2026. What's your Ethereum bottom target?
0:43
TedPillows's profile picture

$ETH will likely bottom around $1,400-$1,500 in 2026. What's your Ethereum bottom target?

Ted

132,311 views • 1 month ago

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.
0:25
TedPillows's profile picture

This is how I expect $BTC to play out in the coming months. The structure looks very similar to the 2022 cycle, and there maybe one final dump before the bottom.

Ted

356,098 views • 4 months ago

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.
0:51
TedPillows's profile picture

Too many people got extremely bullish at $78K BTC. The same happened in Jan 2026, which resulted in a 37% crash.

Ted

224,945 views • 2 months ago

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.
0:46
TedPillows's profile picture

$BTC current move will end soon. After that, a dump will happen, and then the real accumulation will start.

Ted

217,972 views • 3 months ago