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Harun Kimani

@AllOddsmobile • 6,046 subscribers

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Chances of Edwin Sifuna Becoming President: He has 2 advantages: - Support from all tribes; - No significant enemy. However, chance of him becoming president in 2027 is slim. I will explain. He is currently the most talked about politician in Kenya. That cannot happen unless a lot of people consider him to be a serious contender for presidency. Sifuna's Biggest Problems (a) In Nairobi, his no.1 adversary is part of Linda Mwananchi - Babu Owino, with his The Mwananchi Party, TMP. If Babu's TMP can challenge Sifuna's LMM in Nairobi - where he is Senator - what about in other places like Nyanza? That is, even before thinking about how to defeat Ruto's UDA, his very own 'ally' has already WEAKENED him. But for whatever reason, Sifuna has not publicly distanced himself from Owino. Ruto's campaign team would use this fact to label Sifuna a puppet, 'who even if you elect him president, will be depending on MPs controlled by others'. How many people would go out to vote for a puppet president? (b) He is under extreme pressure from close advisors to 'work with Gachagua's DCP'. Those pushing him in this direction claim that, 'politics is about numbers & Gachagua has numbers'. However, these advisers do not explain to him: '2 years ago, Gachagua was in government & these people he now allegedly controls had already stopped supporting the govt (re: June/July 2024 events) - how then can it be claimed that without allying with him, these people cannot vote for you?' Who benefits if Sifuna forms coalition with Gachagua? Ruto. How Sifuna Could Easily Win Presidency - But People Close to Him Won't Let Him Use this Strategy Campaign on a platform of fighting corruption - Zero Tolerance to Corruption. Because Zero Tolerance to Corruption means efficient services to wananchi: Good health services, well-funded education & many jobs created. He states publicly he cannot work with Tainted Politicians like Babu Owino, Rigathi Gachagua etc. That is a guaranteed way to rally the people behind him. Voters would love that. And Sifuna has advantage that no tribe sees him as an enemy. It would be all tribes voting for their interests. He would win presidency by huge margin, in 1st round - unless massive rigging happens. Why Doing Politics as Usual Reduces Sifuna's Chances of Winning Presidency to almost Zero If you have people tainted by corruption and criminal activity in your political coalition, then you cannot campaign on a platform of 'I will form a corrupt-free government if you elect me', even if you personally is not tainted. It just cannot work. There will be people who would have voted for Sifuna - but won't - if he forms coalition with Gachagua. Politics-as-Usual favours the incumbent William Ruto.

Chances of Edwin Sifuna Becoming President: He has 2 advantages: - Support from all tribes; - No significant enemy. However, chance of him becoming president in 2027 is slim. I will explain. He is currently the most talked about politician in Kenya. That cannot happen unless a lot of people consider him to be a serious contender for presidency. Sifuna's Biggest Problems (a) In Nairobi, his no.1 adversary is part of Linda Mwananchi - Babu Owino, with his The Mwananchi Party, TMP. If Babu's TMP can challenge Sifuna's LMM in Nairobi - where he is Senator - what about in other places like Nyanza? That is, even before thinking about how to defeat Ruto's UDA, his very own 'ally' has already WEAKENED him. But for whatever reason, Sifuna has not publicly distanced himself from Owino. Ruto's campaign team would use this fact to label Sifuna a puppet, 'who even if you elect him president, will be depending on MPs controlled by others'. How many people would go out to vote for a puppet president? (b) He is under extreme pressure from close advisors to 'work with Gachagua's DCP'. Those pushing him in this direction claim that, 'politics is about numbers & Gachagua has numbers'. However, these advisers do not explain to him: '2 years ago, Gachagua was in government & these people he now allegedly controls had already stopped supporting the govt (re: June/July 2024 events) - how then can it be claimed that without allying with him, these people cannot vote for you?' Who benefits if Sifuna forms coalition with Gachagua? Ruto. How Sifuna Could Easily Win Presidency - But People Close to Him Won't Let Him Use this Strategy Campaign on a platform of fighting corruption - Zero Tolerance to Corruption. Because Zero Tolerance to Corruption means efficient services to wananchi: Good health services, well-funded education & many jobs created. He states publicly he cannot work with Tainted Politicians like Babu Owino, Rigathi Gachagua etc. That is a guaranteed way to rally the people behind him. Voters would love that. And Sifuna has advantage that no tribe sees him as an enemy. It would be all tribes voting for their interests. He would win presidency by huge margin, in 1st round - unless massive rigging happens. Why Doing Politics as Usual Reduces Sifuna's Chances of Winning Presidency to almost Zero If you have people tainted by corruption and criminal activity in your political coalition, then you cannot campaign on a platform of 'I will form a corrupt-free government if you elect me', even if you personally is not tainted. It just cannot work. There will be people who would have voted for Sifuna - but won't - if he forms coalition with Gachagua. Politics-as-Usual favours the incumbent William Ruto.

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How to End Gachagua's Mt Kenya 'Kingpinship', else, The Country Falls People who know him well - from his UoN days - all say that 'Rigathi is worse than Ruto'. In Central, his supporters fall in 3 categories: - Manipulated to like him; - Politicians who now believe they must be loyal to him for political survival; - Wananchi who believe 'everybody loves him, so I also support him, even if I have no reason to like him'. Among people outside the Mountain - including Edwin Sifuna - many believe 'to remove Ruto, we must work with Gachagua, because he controls Mt Kenya vote'. Therefore, if people from Central stopped supporting RiggyG, those from outside Central would also stop supporting him - because they would then see no reason to. How will Central people end this 'Gachagua-worship?' By identifying how it has come about & reversing what has been done. FACT: This 'Gachagua is Mt Kenya kingpin' talk started less than 2 years ago. i.e. within less than 2 years, they have been able to manipulate millions of people, until now they view Gachagua as some sort of semi-deity. Imagine so many people calling Rigathi 'My Kingpin', yet when you ask them to state reasons they love him, they have no answer. And this is the 2nd time this is happening in Central region - after the same was done regarding Ruto in 2018-2023. Then after 2023, they started saying, 'We were duped (to love Ruto)!'. Today, Mt Kenya people have been duped to view Gachagua in the same manner they viewed Ruto several years ago. This problem cannot be solved, unless the strategy used to manipulate the good people of the Mountain is identified & neutralised. They have used 2 methods to make Central people believe Gachagua has suddenly become a semi-deity: Mass media (TV/Radio) & Social media. Therefore, the solution to this problem lies in these 2 areas. 1. TV/Radio (Broadcasting to Central KE audience) These vernacular TV/Radio stations have had the most impact in promoting Gachagua to Central people, especially among older people - millennials & older. My understanding is that, owners of the largest media stations operating in the region, know Gachagua very well & consider it a tragedy that he is now viewed as a 'hero' by many people in the region. How some producers & presenters in these media companies came to 'work for Rigathi's interests' is an area I won't go to now (to avoid digressing). At least one of the media stations attempted several weeks ago to do something about this problem - by sacking the most prominent Gachagua propagandist working at the company. However, there was outcry in the Mountain, with people demanding the propagandist be returned to work, else... The Gachagua propagandist sacking was soon reversed. The media company had no choice - a person not familiar with what has been going on in Central Kenya for the past 10 years wouldn't understand how that can happen. Going forward: To neutralise Gachagua-praise in these TV & Radio stations, without provoking viewers/listeners to 'take the law into their hands' & attacking the companies, will require the following strategy: Don't sack anyone. But hire extra producers & presenters who understand who Gachagua really is & are willing to do their part to save the community and the country. If a presenter, who is a Gachagua propagandist, works at a certain prime time slot, say from Monday to Friday, reduce it to Monday to Wednesday. Then on Thursday & Friday, let the show be done by the Deprogrammer. The Deprogrammer will start by showing video clips of Gachagua speaking in vernacular - that most people who consider him a hero have never seen. (I have personally posted several of these videos, and something very interesting is that, when mouthy Gachagua supporters see them, they shut up. Out of the thousands of people who have viewed them & understand the language, only 1 has ever replied. I suppose others go underground due to shame & embarrassment after seeing who Gachagua really is) As days go by & the public start anxiously waiting for the next episode by the Deprogrammer, he/she would introduce the matter of what Gachagua was doing while a student at UoN & while he was a powerful D.O. In the matter of UoN: There is a person who has publicly stated that he was year-mates with Gachagua (and I think in same faculty). This person was arrested for 'sedition' while a student at UoN & jailed. He publicly fingered Gachagua as the person who snitched him to the Special Branch - sometime in late 1980s. The Deprogrammer would invite this person to the studio, so viewers/listeners can know the kind of person Rigathi was in his youth - and he never changed, as would be proved by inviting his surviving victims while he worked as D.O., to tell the public what he did to them. NB: This is a very large topic, that includes related sub-topics: (a) part 2 of the Deprogramming (social media); (b) The 3 remaining Moles in Real Opposition; (c) What steps Real Opposition should take, after Sifuna-Gachagua-Owino deal. To be continued at a later date...

How to End Gachagua's Mt Kenya 'Kingpinship', else, The Country Falls People who know him well - from his UoN days - all say that 'Rigathi is worse than Ruto'. In Central, his supporters fall in 3 categories: - Manipulated to like him; - Politicians who now believe they must be loyal to him for political survival; - Wananchi who believe 'everybody loves him, so I also support him, even if I have no reason to like him'. Among people outside the Mountain - including Edwin Sifuna - many believe 'to remove Ruto, we must work with Gachagua, because he controls Mt Kenya vote'. Therefore, if people from Central stopped supporting RiggyG, those from outside Central would also stop supporting him - because they would then see no reason to. How will Central people end this 'Gachagua-worship?' By identifying how it has come about & reversing what has been done. FACT: This 'Gachagua is Mt Kenya kingpin' talk started less than 2 years ago. i.e. within less than 2 years, they have been able to manipulate millions of people, until now they view Gachagua as some sort of semi-deity. Imagine so many people calling Rigathi 'My Kingpin', yet when you ask them to state reasons they love him, they have no answer. And this is the 2nd time this is happening in Central region - after the same was done regarding Ruto in 2018-2023. Then after 2023, they started saying, 'We were duped (to love Ruto)!'. Today, Mt Kenya people have been duped to view Gachagua in the same manner they viewed Ruto several years ago. This problem cannot be solved, unless the strategy used to manipulate the good people of the Mountain is identified & neutralised. They have used 2 methods to make Central people believe Gachagua has suddenly become a semi-deity: Mass media (TV/Radio) & Social media. Therefore, the solution to this problem lies in these 2 areas. 1. TV/Radio (Broadcasting to Central KE audience) These vernacular TV/Radio stations have had the most impact in promoting Gachagua to Central people, especially among older people - millennials & older. My understanding is that, owners of the largest media stations operating in the region, know Gachagua very well & consider it a tragedy that he is now viewed as a 'hero' by many people in the region. How some producers & presenters in these media companies came to 'work for Rigathi's interests' is an area I won't go to now (to avoid digressing). At least one of the media stations attempted several weeks ago to do something about this problem - by sacking the most prominent Gachagua propagandist working at the company. However, there was outcry in the Mountain, with people demanding the propagandist be returned to work, else... The Gachagua propagandist sacking was soon reversed. The media company had no choice - a person not familiar with what has been going on in Central Kenya for the past 10 years wouldn't understand how that can happen. Going forward: To neutralise Gachagua-praise in these TV & Radio stations, without provoking viewers/listeners to 'take the law into their hands' & attacking the companies, will require the following strategy: Don't sack anyone. But hire extra producers & presenters who understand who Gachagua really is & are willing to do their part to save the community and the country. If a presenter, who is a Gachagua propagandist, works at a certain prime time slot, say from Monday to Friday, reduce it to Monday to Wednesday. Then on Thursday & Friday, let the show be done by the Deprogrammer. The Deprogrammer will start by showing video clips of Gachagua speaking in vernacular - that most people who consider him a hero have never seen. (I have personally posted several of these videos, and something very interesting is that, when mouthy Gachagua supporters see them, they shut up. Out of the thousands of people who have viewed them & understand the language, only 1 has ever replied. I suppose others go underground due to shame & embarrassment after seeing who Gachagua really is) As days go by & the public start anxiously waiting for the next episode by the Deprogrammer, he/she would introduce the matter of what Gachagua was doing while a student at UoN & while he was a powerful D.O. In the matter of UoN: There is a person who has publicly stated that he was year-mates with Gachagua (and I think in same faculty). This person was arrested for 'sedition' while a student at UoN & jailed. He publicly fingered Gachagua as the person who snitched him to the Special Branch - sometime in late 1980s. The Deprogrammer would invite this person to the studio, so viewers/listeners can know the kind of person Rigathi was in his youth - and he never changed, as would be proved by inviting his surviving victims while he worked as D.O., to tell the public what he did to them. NB: This is a very large topic, that includes related sub-topics: (a) part 2 of the Deprogramming (social media); (b) The 3 remaining Moles in Real Opposition; (c) What steps Real Opposition should take, after Sifuna-Gachagua-Owino deal. To be continued at a later date...

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Chances of Edwin Sifuna Becoming President: He has 2 advantages: - Support from all tribes; - No significant enemy. However, chance of him becoming president in 2027 is slim. I will explain. He is currently the most talked about politician in Kenya. That cannot happen unless a lot of people consider him to be a serious contender for presidency. Sifuna's Biggest Problems (a) In Nairobi, his no.1 adversary is part of Linda Mwananchi - Babu Owino, with his The Mwananchi Party, TMP. If Babu's TMP can challenge Sifuna's LMM in Nairobi - where he is Senator - what about in other places like Nyanza? That is, even before thinking about how to defeat Ruto's UDA, his very own 'ally' has already WEAKENED him. But for whatever reason, Sifuna has not publicly distanced himself from Owino. Ruto's campaign team would use this fact to label Sifuna a puppet, 'who even if you elect him president, will be depending on MPs controlled by others'. How many people would go out to vote for a puppet president? (b) He is under extreme pressure from close advisors to 'work with Gachagua's DCP'. Those pushing him in this direction claim that, 'politics is about numbers & Gachagua has numbers'. However, these advisers do not explain to him: '2 years ago, Gachagua was in government & these people he now allegedly controls had already stopped supporting the govt (re: June/July 2024 events) - how then can it be claimed that without allying with him, these people cannot vote for you?' Who benefits if Sifuna forms coalition with Gachagua? Ruto. How Sifuna Could Easily Win Presidency - But People Close to Him Won't Let Him Use this Strategy Campaign on a platform of fighting corruption - Zero Tolerance to Corruption. Because Zero Tolerance to Corruption means efficient services to wananchi: Good health services, well-funded education & many jobs created. He states publicly he cannot work with Tainted Politicians like Babu Owino, Rigathi Gachagua etc. That is a guaranteed way to rally the people behind him. Voters would love that. And Sifuna has advantage that no tribe sees him as an enemy. It would be all tribes voting for their interests. He would win presidency by huge margin, in 1st round - unless massive rigging happens. Why Doing Politics as Usual Reduces Sifuna's Chances of Winning Presidency to almost Zero If you have people tainted by corruption and criminal activity in your political coalition, then you cannot campaign on a platform of 'I will form a corrupt-free government if you elect me', even if you personally is not tainted. It just cannot work. There will be people who would have voted for Sifuna - but won't - if he forms coalition with Gachagua. Politics-as-Usual favours the incumbent William Ruto.

Harun Kimani

52,318 views • 19 days ago

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