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cvxv666

@antpalkin8,261 subscribers

e-beggar since 2021 | now looking for edge on @Polymarket

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Chinese quant built a simulation of how SPX price reacts to any global event. He’s already made over $100k - with full blockchain proof. He knows exactly where price will go. More than 40 years of SPX trading history have been loaded into MiroFish simulator (18k stars on GitHub) AI analyzed every single moment in that trading history. Now this guy has a fully functional SPX price prediction system. His wallet: Dozens of successful SPX price-prediction trades and hundreds of tests across other stock markets. Here’s exactly what you need to replicate his stack: - market data APIs (SPX price, use Alpha Vantage or Quandl) - data pipeline (use Python) - feature engineering (for output signals like RSI, MACD) - seed dataset for MiroFish (convert data into structured context) - multi-agent simulation (macro strategist, earnings analyst, sentiment analyst agents etc.) - probability forecast (run different scenarios) - trading / decision Model (SPX futures ES, SPY ETF) Save this pipeline if you want to run a similar simulation on your own data. You can feed the whole thing to your Claude and build your first (even small) simulation model together.

Chinese quant built a simulation of how SPX price reacts to any global event. He’s already made over $100k - with full blockchain proof. He knows exactly where price will go. More than 40 years of SPX trading history have been loaded into MiroFish simulator (18k stars on GitHub) AI analyzed every single moment in that trading history. Now this guy has a fully functional SPX price prediction system. His wallet: Dozens of successful SPX price-prediction trades and hundreds of tests across other stock markets. Here’s exactly what you need to replicate his stack: - market data APIs (SPX price, use Alpha Vantage or Quandl) - data pipeline (use Python) - feature engineering (for output signals like RSI, MACD) - seed dataset for MiroFish (convert data into structured context) - multi-agent simulation (macro strategist, earnings analyst, sentiment analyst agents etc.) - probability forecast (run different scenarios) - trading / decision Model (SPX futures ES, SPY ETF) Save this pipeline if you want to run a similar simulation on your own data. You can feed the whole thing to your Claude and build your first (even small) simulation model together.

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your life when instead of sending dumb "make me a trading bot for Polymarket" prompt you fed Claude this entire article with 28 links and a 6-layer pipeline.

your life when instead of sending dumb "make me a trading bot for Polymarket" prompt you fed Claude this entire article with 28 links and a 6-layer pipeline.

314,074 görüntüleme

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A blackjack dealer in Macau got blacklisted from the VIP rooms last spring for counting cards. By August he couldn't get a floor job at any property in Cotai. So he deposit $500, ran a Hermes trading agent on Polymarket and pulled in $881,319 over the next 14 months. His wallet: The casinos taught him one thing - count, size your bet to your edge, walk away when the edge is gone. So he makes 5 trades a day. Not 50. Not 500. Five. And waits for the rest. Here's the actual stack. Claude Opus 4.7 reads the order book nightly, scores every threshold market by Markov persistence x Kelly edge, and surfaces the 2-3 mispriced ones. Hermes Agent by NousResearch executes. A $10/mo Hetzner VPS runs it 24/7. Telegram pings on every fill. Total cost: $10/month. Setup: 30 minutes. No coding. One trade in April: Will Bitcoin reach $90,000? Market said 1.2¢. He put $3,088 on Yes. It hit. +$123,196. A 3,988% return on a single position. The real edge is the nightly self-learning loop. Every midnight, Opus reads the day's trade journal and rewrites MIN_PROB and MIN_EDGE in the .env file. Last week the threshold was 0.87. This week 0.89. Next week maybe 0.91. His version of the bot has rewritten itself 412 times in 14 months. The Macau syndicate couldn't ban him from Polymarket. The bot doesn't sit at a table. It doesn't show a passport. It just hunts the tails. Save this post - if you want to build something of your own based on Hermes. Or just start copying algorithm that has improved itself 412 times:

cvxv666

207,158 görüntüleme • 15 gün önce

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A 35-year-old accountant from New Orleans left his job and spent a full month in isolation with Claude. The result? He made $45,000 in a single day. 300 hours of meticulous work - and the perfect BTC trading algorithm was ready. If he keeps cooking like this, he’s hitting over $1,000,000 in a single month. His wallet: He selected username nsh91qaz - an ironic nod to his 1991 birth year, an age when most people believe it’s too late to change their lives. But he changed anyway. I ran a backtest of his strategy using Claude + Nautilus via PyPI. Results genuinely shocked me - mechanics are understandable to pretty much anyone. The real alpha is in the numbers under the hood. That’s what lets you pull $45k per day with pure math. I simulated every single one of his trades and broke down every transaction: 75 markets, 72 fills, 85.1% win rate, Sharpe ratio 4.21. All run on the Nautilus-core broker simulator with 41.8 GB of parquet data in DuckDB. Every trade is a perfect cycle. Every dollar earned is pure exploitation of market inefficiency. He doesn’t predict the future - the math already knows it. He just reads the numbers right and takes the money Brier-loss ensemble: 400 trees · lr 0.03, walk-forward validation with Sharpe 4.21 ± 0.08. Save this post if you actually want to learn how to build something like this. Or just skip the homework and start copying his trades right now - that’s the easiest and most profitable route I’m on:

cvxv666

338,726 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

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A former Citadel quant quit his $400k job, vanished from LinkedIn, and reappeared as an anonymous wallet on Polymarket making $7,500 a day. Unlike his old 9-5, this time he automated the whole thing with AI. Now he’s printing $50K every single week on complete autopilot. His wallet: No name, no Twitter, no Discord. Just a Polygon wallet quietly grinding crypto binaries 24/7. Here's the math: Polymarket binaries have one property no other market gives you: UP and DOWN on the same window must sum to $1.00, because one resolves at $1 and the other at $0. That's a deterministic anchor. Complete-set arbitrage: if UP + DOWN 0.05% but the token price hasn't adjusted. Fair probability: fair_prob = 0.5 + (|Δ_btc| / time_decay) × 5.0 Requires edge >2% + 10-min trend agreement. DIRECTIONAL fires in the final 30 seconds when composite confidence ≥0.45 and BTC confirms by >0.03%. This is what triggered the x88.5 SOL trade - late window confirmation against an underpriced token. MAKER posts limit orders 2¢ below the ask to earn the 20% maker rebate. That generates the 500+ daily fills. Position sizing is Kelly, capped at 25% of bankroll: kelly = edge / (1 − token_price) 5-min binaries approximate a random walk. Naive base WR = 50%, breakeven after fees ~53%. This wallet's WR is 78% across 10,729 fills — the filters are doing their job. Stack: Java 21 microservices, ClickHouse + Redpanda pipeline, paper mode validation before any live capital. Built to outrun a 2.7-second window. You don't need a name when the wallet does the talking. And most importantly, you can easily copy the public wallet using a bot: Save this - every number, formula and engine in this post is verifiable onchain.

cvxv666

63,979 görüntüleme • 18 gün önce