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Ben Sigman

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🛠️ https://t.co/HUNhmFaBGW

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Last week in Santa Monica, we unveiled a 10-foot orange shark. Wall Street has the bull. Bitcoin has the shark. We don’t decide Bitcoin’s new symbol - we simply offer one worthy of it. 🦈 Bitcoinius Maximus - coming soon as a public art installation in downtown Santa Monica

Last week in Santa Monica, we unveiled a 10-foot orange shark. Wall Street has the bull. Bitcoin has the shark. We don’t decide Bitcoin’s new symbol - we simply offer one worthy of it. 🦈 Bitcoinius Maximus - coming soon as a public art installation in downtown Santa Monica

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Presenting: The Kelly Criterion: A Mathematical Approach to Investing in Bitcoin w/ Fred Krueger This is an answer the question "how much should I invest in Bitcoin" using math - of course, this is hypothetical and not financial advice! Summary: Fred explains how the Kelly Criterion can be applied to Bitcoin investment, analyzing the impact of betting a constant fraction of net worth and adjusting as the price goes up and down. #Bitcoin #InvestmentStrategy 00:00 - Fred introduces the Kelly criterion and explains its application to allocating money to a risky asset. 02:32 - Fred discusses the concept of repeated bets with a constant fraction of net worth and introduces the formula for calculating expected revenue. 04:01 - Fred analyzes the power law and its implications for Bitcoin's price. 10:44 - Fred explains the Kelly criteria and its application to Bitcoin investment. 12:34 - Fred discusses the potential collapse of Bitcoin's price and the transition from an exponential shape to an S curve. 16:22 - Fred suggests investing 53% of one's money in Bitcoin based on the Kelly process. 19:16 - Fred explains the concept of rebalancing investments and the benefits of not going all-in on Bitcoin. 20:38 - Fred discusses the rate of return and the value of rebalancing investments. 22:08 - Fred emphasizes the importance of not being fully invested in Bitcoin and the risks of selling during market drops. 24:16 - Fred suggests picking specific dates for rebalancing investments and the importance of considering tax implications. 25:14 - Fred mentions the availability of resources online, including spreadsheets, for further understanding of the Kelly criterion.

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