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An @AEI project focused on understanding threats and tracking global challenges | Contact us: [email protected] | Media requests: [email protected]

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ICYMI | Explore CTP's new interactive area of operations map for Boko Haram and the al Qaeda & Islamic State affiliates in West Africa! The update comes with analyses of unfolding campaigns throughout Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, and Nigeria, complete with interactive local maps. CTP's zone assessments and definitions are based entirely on open-source data from ACLED and CTP and standard insurgency military mapping methodology. You can fact-check for yourself on our website and request more information on our assessments.

ICYMI | Explore CTP's new interactive area of operations map for Boko Haram and the al Qaeda & Islamic State affiliates in West Africa! The update comes with analyses of unfolding campaigns throughout Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, and Nigeria, complete with interactive local maps. CTP's zone assessments and definitions are based entirely on open-source data from ACLED and CTP and standard insurgency military mapping methodology. You can fact-check for yourself on our website and request more information on our assessments.

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Sudan has reportedly massed forces in a disputed area along the Sudan-Ethiopia border, which could escalate the unfolding regional proxy conflict between the two countries and raise the risk of direct military confrontation. CTP Africa Analyst Michael DeAngelo explains what this means and why this is significant. ⬇️
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Sudan has reportedly massed forces in a disputed area along the Sudan-Ethiopia border, which could escalate the unfolding regional proxy conflict between the two countries and raise the risk of direct military confrontation. CTP Africa Analyst Michael DeAngelo explains what this means and why this is significant. ⬇️

Critical Threats

30,116 views • 28 days ago

MORE | Turkey is increasing its security and economic ties in Niger and Somalia, in moves that boost Turkey's domestic interests in Africa and play into Turkey's broader geopolitical competition in the region. Curious? Learn more from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️
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MORE | Turkey is increasing its security and economic ties in Niger and Somalia, in moves that boost Turkey's domestic interests in Africa and play into Turkey's broader geopolitical competition in the region. Curious? Learn more from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️

Critical Threats

45,949 views • 1 month ago

Continued arms shipments from the UAE to the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces (RSF) demonstrates Emirati intent to continue providing indispensable support to the RSF despite the Iran war. More from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️
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Continued arms shipments from the UAE to the Sudanese Rapid Support Forces (RSF) demonstrates Emirati intent to continue providing indispensable support to the RSF despite the Iran war. More from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️

Critical Threats

56,688 views • 2 months ago

Somali pirates conducted the most hijackings in Somali waters in a 10-day period since the end of the peak of the Somali piracy crisis in 2012. CTP Africa Analyst Michael DeAngelo explains what this means and why this is significant. ⬇️
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Somali pirates conducted the most hijackings in Somali waters in a 10-day period since the end of the peak of the Somali piracy crisis in 2012. CTP Africa Analyst Michael DeAngelo explains what this means and why this is significant. ⬇️

Critical Threats

23,152 views • 1 month ago

Moroccan authorities disrupted a small terror cell with members linked to Islamic State (IS) affiliates in Africa and an attack plot in Spain. This is one of many instances that suggest IS is targeting Morocco as a bridge between its affiliates in Africa and Europe via Spain. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️
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Moroccan authorities disrupted a small terror cell with members linked to Islamic State (IS) affiliates in Africa and an attack plot in Spain. This is one of many instances that suggest IS is targeting Morocco as a bridge between its affiliates in Africa and Europe via Spain. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️

Critical Threats

37,297 views • 2 months ago

The Ethiopian federal government extended the mandate of the Tigray Interim Administration by one year on April 8, avoiding a potential flashpoint for the immediate resumption of war in Tigray—but underlying tensions may still bubble into conflict. More from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️
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The Ethiopian federal government extended the mandate of the Tigray Interim Administration by one year on April 8, avoiding a potential flashpoint for the immediate resumption of war in Tigray—but underlying tensions may still bubble into conflict. More from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️

Critical Threats

25,525 views • 1 month ago

Al Qaeda's Sahelian affiliate JNIM and its Tuareg rebel allies are continuing operations to consolidate control over northern Mali after their historic attacks on April 25. CTP's Liam Karr breaks down what happened and why this is significant⬇️
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Al Qaeda's Sahelian affiliate JNIM and its Tuareg rebel allies are continuing operations to consolidate control over northern Mali after their historic attacks on April 25. CTP's Liam Karr breaks down what happened and why this is significant⬇️

Critical Threats

19,128 views • 1 month ago

Rwandan-backed M23 rebels staged a large-scale offensive with significant Rwandan army support to capture Uvira town in South Kivu, marking its most consequential offensive since March. The Rwandan army (RDF) reportedly aided M23’s advance, violating its commitments under the recently signed Washington Accords peace framework. 1/10 🧵
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Rwandan-backed M23 rebels staged a large-scale offensive with significant Rwandan army support to capture Uvira town in South Kivu, marking its most consequential offensive since March. The Rwandan army (RDF) reportedly aided M23’s advance, violating its commitments under the recently signed Washington Accords peace framework. 1/10 🧵

Critical Threats

57,530 views • 6 months ago

The US designated Sudanese Islamist factions affiliated with the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) as terrorist organizations due to their civilian targeting and ties to Iran. The SAF has made slow progress in limiting Islamist influence since mid-2025 amid pressure from its Egyptian and Saudi allies and the US. More from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️
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The US designated Sudanese Islamist factions affiliated with the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) as terrorist organizations due to their civilian targeting and ties to Iran. The SAF has made slow progress in limiting Islamist influence since mid-2025 amid pressure from its Egyptian and Saudi allies and the US. More from CTP's Michael DeAngelo ⬇️

Critical Threats

30,262 views • 2 months ago

Nuclear energy will play a key role in Africa’s future, and China and Russia are beating the US to the punch. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️
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Nuclear energy will play a key role in Africa’s future, and China and Russia are beating the US to the punch. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️

Critical Threats

69,500 views • 7 months ago

JNIM's monthslong fuel blockade in southern Mali is a major turning point in the 13-year long al Qaeda insurgency in Mali, bringing the crisis to the most economically and politically sensitive parts of the country. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️
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JNIM's monthslong fuel blockade in southern Mali is a major turning point in the 13-year long al Qaeda insurgency in Mali, bringing the crisis to the most economically and politically sensitive parts of the country. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️

Critical Threats

59,196 views • 7 months ago

The Kremlin is rebranding Russia's military presence across Africa. Learn more from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️ & stay tuned for more to come.
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The Kremlin is rebranding Russia's military presence across Africa. Learn more from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️ & stay tuned for more to come.

Critical Threats

78,056 views • 10 months ago

The coup in Madagascar has the potential to affect US and allied mining operations in Madagascar and alter Chinese, French, and Russian influence in the surrounding Indian Ocean.⬇️ More below on what the US & its African partners can do to best navigate the fragile situation.🧵
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The coup in Madagascar has the potential to affect US and allied mining operations in Madagascar and alter Chinese, French, and Russian influence in the surrounding Indian Ocean.⬇️ More below on what the US & its African partners can do to best navigate the fragile situation.🧵

Critical Threats

49,531 views • 7 months ago

The Emirati-backed RSF's atrocities since capturing el Fasher follow a familiar pattern of crimes against humanity, ethnic cleansing, and possible genocide. More on the unfolding catastrophe in Sudan below⬇️
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The Emirati-backed RSF's atrocities since capturing el Fasher follow a familiar pattern of crimes against humanity, ethnic cleansing, and possible genocide. More on the unfolding catastrophe in Sudan below⬇️

Critical Threats

40,227 views • 7 months ago

NEW | Russia uses its regime security package to establish partnerships and spread its influence in Africa and elsewhere. More from CTP's Africa Team Lead Liam Karr below.
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NEW | Russia uses its regime security package to establish partnerships and spread its influence in Africa and elsewhere. More from CTP's Africa Team Lead Liam Karr below.

Critical Threats

39,836 views • 9 months ago

NEW | The Kremlin is pushing into Africa with its MOD-backed Africa Corps. This move away from Wagner Corps raises the stakes for Russia's international reputation. The latest from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️
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NEW | The Kremlin is pushing into Africa with its MOD-backed Africa Corps. This move away from Wagner Corps raises the stakes for Russia's international reputation. The latest from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️

Critical Threats

40,971 views • 10 months ago

Russia is strengthening its partnerships in the Sahel and expanding against West Africa. CTP's Liam Karr discusses Russia's broader strategy in Africa ⬇️
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Russia is strengthening its partnerships in the Sahel and expanding against West Africa. CTP's Liam Karr discusses Russia's broader strategy in Africa ⬇️

Critical Threats

41,233 views • 10 months ago

Russia is using nuclear energy contracts in Africa to advance the Kremlin's regional objectives and secure access to key regions and resources. More from CTP's Liam Karr below ⬇️
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Russia is using nuclear energy contracts in Africa to advance the Kremlin's regional objectives and secure access to key regions and resources. More from CTP's Liam Karr below ⬇️

Critical Threats

29,583 views • 7 months ago

Russia's economic self-sustenance in Africa appears largely opportunistic, but may have long-term applications for African states and NATO's southern flank. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️
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Russia's economic self-sustenance in Africa appears largely opportunistic, but may have long-term applications for African states and NATO's southern flank. More from CTP's Liam Karr ⬇️

Critical Threats

33,368 views • 8 months ago

The Puntland-led, US-supported campaign has heavily degraded, but not fully defeated, ISS forces in Somalia. This has key implications for the global IS network. ⬇️ For more on ISS in Somalia:
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The Puntland-led, US-supported campaign has heavily degraded, but not fully defeated, ISS forces in Somalia. This has key implications for the global IS network. ⬇️ For more on ISS in Somalia:

Critical Threats

24,653 views • 6 months ago