Danny

@dannybarrand_ • 9,047 subscribers

pro evaluator @prospectslive + contributor @overslot_ + writer @tjstats. padres/baseball.

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Danny

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Mason Miller’s scare you, buckle you, strike you out sequence is truly hilarious.

Tucker Musgrove hit 100 again last night in a clean inning with 2 Ks. This strikeout was 99.3 MPH with 21.4 inches of iVB. He averages a release height of 5.4’ by the way. Some of the freakiest stuff in the world.

Out of all minor league hitters under 22 years old with &gt;20 BIP (626 players), Padres catching prospect Ty Harvey ranks 1st in HardHit rate. Pretty crazy for a 19-year-old.

Kannon Kemp flashed elite stuff in the AFL today. His Fastball sat 98 MPH and topped out at 100. He also threw an 88 MPH Slider with 5” sweep. Mixed in a 90 MPH Changeup with 4” vert / 14” arm. (disregard the camera angle)

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Mariners broadcast of the 9th inning comeback (Machado walk through Merrill walk-off)

After deep diving Alabama SS Justin Lebron, I cannot reasonably get behind him as a 1st rounder. 4.5% barrel, .311 wOBA, 48% GB, and 44% spin-whiff in SEC play. 50 pop feels lenient. Feel to pull helps. Sushi-level raw at SS, looks lackadaisical. ++run/ath Many more thoughts ⬇️

Florida State 1B Myles Bailey is quite polarizing. He whiffs an unbelievable amount for a notable draft prospect. But he has a 114.3 MPH 90th EV and 23.9° HH LA. May be some of the freakiest power ability on the planet? Hard profile to evaluate, but the homer tape is so fun.

The context before makes it funnier

Interested to watch Georgia’s Joey Volchko start tomorrow night in Omaha. Impossible arm to get a grasp on. Glaring red flags, but he throws absolutely outlier stuff. His “fastball” is just a 95 MPH cutter. Sweeper easy plus-plus. Arsenal tinkerer. More thoughts below.

I don’t think 10 year old me watching ESPN every single day would’ve ever thought I’d hear my name mentioned on ESPN in the next 8 years, but it is pretty cool.

Florida RHP Liam Peterson is a weird prospect to evaluate. Uncomfortable mechanics to watch, but he throws 96 and hit 101 twice with 21” iVB (high relH). Very imposing frame. Great spin caps as a pronator (2800-2900 SL/CB). SL one of the better pitches in R1 (51% miss). More ⬇️

Mason Miller had a -1.74 FIP in the 2025 postseason

Dodgers Broadcast of the Postseason Clinching Triple Play

Indiana State CF Carter Beck is such a fun prospect. Competition makes eval weird, but: 114.8 maxEV, 4% Z-Miss vs 92+, reverse splits, 12.3% BB - 11.6% K, dominated sliders, solid launch profile (I’d want some more AirPull), can run, rangy in CF, will do anything to make a play.

Liberty RHSP Ben Blair is a top draft crush of mine. Uber-athletic w/ outlier release traits (4.9’ relH / ~7.2’ ext). FB up to 98 has an unreal -3.8° t3VAA, and he can manipulate two different looks with it. 83 MPH SW has -15” HB. Fun 85-87 lifty CT running 65% str. 4% BB &amp; +cmnd

I think some people are prospect fatigued on UCLA SS Roch Cholowsky, but if I were a decision maker picking 1.1, you couldn’t talk me out of him. ++ field, ~4.15 HP-1B, good swing decisions &amp; bat-to-ball, handles spin, 114 maxEV with feel to elevate/pull (48% HHPull / 14° HH LA).

Arkansas RHP Gabe Gaeckle is my favorite arm in the 2026 class. Premium mechanics allow him to be high arm angle / low RelH. His fastball is why “riseball” is a term (93-96 with 99 before). Strong spin feel and plus CB/SL shapes. Meh CH. Needs location work. R1 guy for me.

Roch Cholowsky has looked like the undeniable 1.1 choice early on: - 95.2% Z-Contact - 110 90thEV - 17° HH LA - 53% HardHit rate - .930 xSLG - .537 xwOBA Don’t let prospect fatigue get you.

Dodgers call of the Manny Machado homer, Jackson Merrill homer, and Donovan Solano walk-off.

Carson Bolemon is my top prep in the 2026 class. Legit top 10 buzz. LHP with +command, +shapes, OS feel, and deception. #ThisIsWhatTheyLookLike. 6.1’ RelH FB: 94, 19” iVB, 7” HB, ~2300 CB: 82, -11” iVB, -13” HB, ~2350 SW: 84, 1” iVB, -15” HB, ~2400 CH: 87, 1” iVB, 17” HB, ~1500

Top 15 Padres hits of the regular season based on cWPA (Championship Winning Percentage Added). 15. Jackson Merrill game-tying solo homer vs Miami (0.30 cWPA%)

Ty Head (NC State) is one of my draft crushes this cycle. Passive approach early (22% BB), super aggressive late and 4% z-miss / 6% miss w/2K. +contact skills; 94% Z-Con, 13% spin-whiff. Budding pop &amp; lots of pull. Might be 70 field/run. Sneaky five-tool upside? I’d take him R1

Out of all minor league hitters under 22 years old with >20 BIP (626 players), Padres catching prospect Ty Harvey ranks 1st in HardHit rate. Pretty crazy for a 19-year-old.

Liberty RHSP Ben Blair is a top draft crush of mine. Uber-athletic w/ outlier release traits (4.9’ relH / ~7.2’ ext). FB up to 98 has an unreal -3.8° t3VAA, and he can manipulate two different looks with it. 83 MPH SW has -15” HB. Fun 85-87 lifty CT running 65% str. 4% BB & +cmnd

I think some people are prospect fatigued on UCLA SS Roch Cholowsky, but if I were a decision maker picking 1.1, you couldn’t talk me out of him. ++ field, ~4.15 HP-1B, good swing decisions & bat-to-ball, handles spin, 114 maxEV with feel to elevate/pull (48% HHPull / 14° HH LA).

Ty Head (NC State) is one of my draft crushes this cycle. Passive approach early (22% BB), super aggressive late and 4% z-miss / 6% miss w/2K. +contact skills; 94% Z-Con, 13% spin-whiff. Budding pop & lots of pull. Might be 70 field/run. Sneaky five-tool upside? I’d take him R1