Anton Gerashchenko
@Gerashchenko_en • 688,063 subscribers
Ukrainian patriot. Advisor to Internal Affairs Minister (2021-2023). Institute of the Future founder. Support volunteer translators https://t.co/nWSASMUo29
Shorts
![Putin's reality: "Yes, they [Ukrainians] are currently causing us certain problems with petroleum products. I think the situation will gradually improve." Real reality: Russia's average oil refining rate has decreased to 3.91 million barrels per day this month. This is the lowest level since March 2005 - Bloomberg. That’s more than 1.4 million barrels a day below the average. Russia has banned exports of diesel, gas and jet fuel and is now negotiating fuel imports.](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2076707564021006350/ext_tw_video_thumb/2076707534795141120/pu/img/DlK9kO2U7GPsa77G.jpg)
![The German embassy in Moscow once again called on Russia to end the war. In return, Russia called them "Nazi propagandists", jeered that the German ambassador's car drives on gas, and blamed Berlin for waging "an aggressive war" against Russia. ◾️On July 6, a video was published at the Facebook page of the German embassy in Russia. In it, Lena Hillmeier, head of the press office and second secretary at the German embassy in Russia, offered an solution to Russia's fuel problems: stop Russia's aggressive war against Ukraine. ◾️A week later, the German ambassador was summoned to Russia's foreign affairs ministry. He was told that "The slide of German agitprop's information and communications efforts into the style of the worst Nazi propaganda practices is immoral and provokes historically conditioned rejection and outrage among broad sections of the population in our country. At the same time, we were pleased to learn that the German ambassador will soon be returning home in a gasoline-powered car following the completion of his official mission." Zakharova also commented that "we [Russia] agree that it's time Berlin end its aggressive war through the hands of the Kyiv regime." She suggested that "concerned German diplomats" use public transportation. ◾️The German embassy reacted: "Today, Ambassador Alexander Graf Lambsdorff was summoned to the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. During the meeting, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova criticized the publications of the German Embassy in Moscow, claiming they touch on "painful issues" for the Russian population. The summons was prompted by a widely viewed video from the Embassy about the fuel crisis in Russia caused by Russia's military aggression against Ukraine. The video calls on Russia to end the war, reflecting the well-known position of the German government and a demand for Russia repeatedly made by Germany and the EU. Attempts to obstruct the publication of the Embassy's materials, the content of which is factual, will be futile. The Embassy will continue to advocate for an end to the monstrous, aggressive war against Ukraine and to report on its consequences." Thank you, Germany, for standing with Ukraine! 🇩🇪🇺🇦](https://image.24vids.com/tw-2076996352307855526/ext_tw_video_thumb/2076996324621172736/pu/img/IsRJretlRVNc9Wiq.jpg)
Videos
Moscow region, Russia: Wildberries warehouses are on fire. ▪️ Kotovsk, Tambov region: Wildberries logistics hub. ▪️ Noginsk, Moscow region: oil depot. ▪️ Elektrostal, Moscow region: Wildberries warehouse. In addition, 13 Russian shadow fleet vessels were struck in the Black and Azov seas.
Anton Gerashchenko649,252 views • 1 day ago
Moscow looks quite picturesque today. Very gradually, Russians are beginning to realize that the war is getting closer to them. Today marks Day 1,606 of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine. For 4 years, 4 months, and 24 days, the Ukrainian people have been heroically resisting Russia's aggression, and every Ukrainian knows what war is.
Anton Gerashchenko341,563 views • 1 day ago
Horrific aftermath of Russia's ballistic missile attack on Kyiv. The city suffered extensive damage across multiple districts. One person killed, seven more injured. Residential buildings, an office building, vehicles, a dormitory, warehouses, a supermarket, and the entrance to a metro station were damaged.
Anton Gerashchenko127,895 views • 12 hours ago
While Russia terrorized Ukrainian civilians in Kyiv, Ukrainian Security Service destroyed one more Russian shadow fleet tanker and three more oil depots in Stavropol region. The Avero tanker transported Russian crude to China and India, among other destinations. The tanker is under Ukrainian sanctions and was struck with a Mamai naval drone. This is the fourth Russian shadow fleet tanker struck by the Security Service of Ukraine in ten days. All of them are vessels of the Suezmax class, large sea tankers used to transport significant volumes of oil and petroleum products. In addition, Security Service of Ukraine drones struck three oil depots in the Stavropol region, at about 600 km from the Ukrainian border. Large-scale fires broke out at all three facilities.
Anton Gerashchenko70,120 views • 6 hours ago
An oil depot in Noginsk, Russia's Moscow region, is on fire following a drone attack. The facility is used for the storage and handling of light petroleum products (gasoline, diesel, and kerosene). The depot has 24 tanks with a total storage capacity of ~11,500 cubic meters.
Anton Gerashchenko200,625 views • 1 day ago
"It's not just a security issue - it's also a moral issue. While Ukrainians are dying, Russians are spending their holidays in Europe. " - Estonian Interior Minister Igor Taro called on EU countries to tighten their visa policy toward Russian citizens. "A very troubling sign is that the number of visas issued to Russians in Europe is growing, which is ridiculous. Because it's not just a security issue - it's also a moral issue. While Ukrainians are dying, Russians are spending their holidays in Europe. It's just not logical at all. The non-binding measures have produced non-binding results, and it just can't continue like this. I think there should be a ban on tourist visas for Russians, at least for as long as this war continues, because Russians are traveling as if nothing has happened. And that's exactly what the Kremlin wants Russians to believe: 'It's okay, it's just a small special operation, it's not a big deal, and we can carry on with business as usual.' So we have to squeeze Russia really hard."
Anton Gerashchenko164,153 views • 1 day ago
"Russian soldiers only live an average of 20 to 30 minutes on the battlefield because of Ukraine’s AI drones." - CIA Director John Ratcliffe "Our intelligence is consistent with some of the open-source reporting you may have seen in Ukraine: the average life expectancy of a Russian recruit right now, arriving on the battlefield in Ukraine, is estimated to be between 20 and 30 minutes. And that's because AI-powered drones have gotten to be such specialised, low-cost killing machines. So it's why an inferior force, 4 and a half years later, has held off the superior force of Russia against Ukraine. The pace of their advance has stopped as Ukraine's mastery of emerging technologies, and in this case, drone warfare, asymmetric warfare, is such a great equalizer," the Central Intelligence Agency chief said at the Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit.
Anton Gerashchenko123,896 views • 2 days ago
The moment a storage tank at the Moscow oil refinery was hit: the blast blew the tank's lid off.
Anton Gerashchenko2,925,641 views • 1 month ago
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"Mom is gone... We don't have a mom anymore. I wish this were just a nightmare..." Last night, a Russian missile strike on Odesa killed the mom of three boys as they were rushing to a shelter. Her sons survived but were injured. One more person was killed. Deepest condolences. Russia must be stopped. 📹: Patrol Police
Anton Gerashchenko64,895 views • 1 day ago
Putin's approval ratings are showing a noticeable decline. All of Russia's main polling agencies - the Levada Center, VTsIOM, and FOM - are reporting the same trend. According to the Levada Center, 74% of respondents approved of Putin's performance in June. While this remains a high figure, it is 13 percentage points lower than in August 2025. VTsIOM recorded a drop in presidential approval from 70.4% at the end of June to 65.1% by mid-July. Trust in Putin also declined over the same period, from 76.7% to 71%. According to FOM, 66% of respondents rated Putin's performance positively on July 10-12, compared with 75% a month earlier. The share of those who said they do not trust the president rose to 20%. The absolute figures differ due to survey methodologies: Levada conducts monthly face-to-face interviews, VTsIOM uses a mixed methodology, and FOM carries out weekly surveys. However, all three point to the same trend - a gradual decline in support. Another important signal comes from the Levada Center's findings. Russians are increasingly citing not the war itself but its impact on their own lives as the main events. In June, 24% of respondents mentioned Ukrainian drone attacks, while 22% cited fuel shortages and rising gasoline prices. Only 7% cited the war itself as a separate event. This suggests a shift in public perception. Whereas the war previously remained a distant background issue for many Russians, it is now increasingly associated with tangible inconveniences - strikes on Russian territory, disruptions at airports, fuel shortages, and rising prices. At the same time, it would be premature to speak of an anti-war shift. In June, 67% of Levada respondents continued to support the actions of Russian troops, although that figure fell by seven percentage points over the month. At the same time, 64% supported moving to peace negotiations, while only 29% favored continuing the war. There is no contradiction here. A significant share of Russians simultaneously supports the military as a state institution while also wanting the war to end because of its economic and social consequences, without abandoning the desire for Russia to achieve its objectives. Economic indicators also point to worsening public sentiment. In June, Levada's consumer sentiment index fell to 94 points. A score of 100 is considered the threshold between predominantly optimistic and predominantly pessimistic assessments. The index has not been this low since October 2022. Over the past year, the index has fallen by 23 points, with nearly half of that decline occurring in May and June alone. Russians are becoming increasingly pessimistic about both the current economic situation and their personal prospects. Thirty-five percent said their family’s financial situation had worsened over the past year, while only 13% reported improvement. Even among Putin's supporters, only 16% said their standard of living had improved. Another trend is the gradual weakening of television's information monopoly. It remains the main source of news for 56% of Russians, yet only about one-third of the population trusts it - the lowest level on record. Meanwhile, the combined audience of online news sources has already surpassed that of television. This does not mean Russian society has drastically changed its political views. However, it is becoming increasingly difficult for the authorities to explain everyday problems through the official narrative of having the situation fully under control. Fuel shortages, drone attacks, and rising prices are part of people's personal experience. Levada's data also points to growing information polarization. Support for Putin and the war remains highest among those who rely primarily on television for news. Among YouTube users, younger people, lower-income citizens, and those who believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, support is significantly lower. These findings do not signal an imminent political crisis. Polls in an authoritarian state always reflect the influence of fear, self-censorship, and the absence of political alternatives. However, the simultaneous deterioration of several indicators - presidential approval, economic assessments, consumer sentiment, attitudes toward the war, and trust in television - points to a gradual erosion of public loyalty. For the Kremlin, it is particularly dangerous that different problems are increasingly being perceived as interconnected. Ukrainian strikes reduce Russia's oil refining capacity, fuel shortages increase transportation costs, more expensive logistics drive inflation higher, and worsening economic conditions reduce the public's willingness to tolerate the war. If this trend continues, the current decline in Putin's ratings could become the beginning of a longer-term erosion of passive public support for the authorities. So far, there is no regime crisis in Russia. However, the informal social contract that underpinned the country's stability in recent years is increasingly crumbling: citizens do not interfere in politics, and the state does not allow the war to significantly worsen their daily lives. 📹: A recent street poll of residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg by Sota SOTA
Anton Gerashchenko50,232 views • 23 hours ago
Could the fuel crisis in Russia break the back of the Russian war economy? It has already evolved from a problem into a systemic vulnerability. Strikes on oil refineries have put at risk the domestic infrastructure essential to the day-to-day functioning of the Russian state. A symbolic and practical turning point was the strike on the Omsk refinery - Russia's largest refinery and one of its key producers of gasoline and diesel. After the attack, the refinery halted processing. The Moscow refinery in Kapotnya, the largest fuel supplier to the capital region, is unlikely to resume operations before at least the end of the year following strikes in June. Estimates of the scale of the damage vary, but they point to the same trend: Ukraine is no longer merely carrying out isolated strikes on individual targets but is creating a cumulative effect in which Russia's repair capacity is beginning to fall behind the pace of damage. The most vulnerable point in this crisis is the agricultural sector. The harvest has coincided with peak summer fuel demand, making diesel a critical resource. Russia's harvesting campaign in early July was running one to two weeks behind last year's pace, with weather and fuel supply problems cited among the reasons. Crops are being harvested late, grain quality is deteriorating, and logistics costs are rising. As expected, large agricultural holdings - which have stockpiles, long-term contracts, access to the wholesale market, and administrative channels - are faring better. Small and medium-sized farmers, by contrast, are likely to go bankrupt. The Russian authorities continue largely to deny the problem, but in practice they are shifting toward emergency management of the shortage. The first set of measures involves a ban on diesel exports and the start of fuel imports. For a country accustomed to presenting itself as an energy superpower, the very need to import petroleum products is humiliating. The second set of measures is the degradation of standards. The Russian government has allowed the use of Euro-3 gasoline until the end of 2026, and parliament has passed tax changes that permit the use of lower-quality components for blending straight-run gasoline, postpone part of the refinery modernization, and provide for subsidies for fuel imports. The third set of measures is administrative rationing. In June, most Russian regions introduced some form of restriction on gasoline or diesel sales: volume limits, unreliable fuel availability, pumps marked "out of service," lines, and periodic disruptions at gas stations. In the medium term, the worst effects may emerge not only in the 2026 harvest but also in the next agricultural cycle - primarily during the 2027 sowing season. The fuel crisis has only just begun, but the most interesting period still lies ahead: seasonal demand peaks in August and September. The future of Russia's war economy will depend primarily on the balance between the pace of Ukrainian strikes, the effectiveness of Russian air defenses, and the ability of repair crews to restore refinery operations. If that balance continues to shift against Russia, the fuel crisis could create conditions in which the Russian authorities would want to end the war. 📹: Fiery footage of attacks on the Moscow oil refinery and other targets in Russia
Anton Gerashchenko543,113 views • 10 days ago
Moscow residents were asked about the possibility of introducing martial law in Russia. Some of their answers: "There might be another mobilization in October. It's needed to strengthen Russia's military position, finally win, and take Crimea back." "Martial law won't be imposed because the 'special military operation' is already nearing its end. You can see it from the battlefield reports and the defense minister's briefings." "It's necessary simply to restore basic order in the country." "I don't think anything can threaten Russia right now, so there won't be martial law." "The situation is pretty dire because Ukraine is rapidly stockpiling large numbers of high-quality drones. All we have are manpower and nuclear weapons." "Mobilization will help in the short term, but not in the long term. If it doesn’t work, nuclear weapons will be used." 📹: Sota
Anton Gerashchenko452,301 views • 8 days ago
