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Dan Hillery

@hillery_dan • 23,159 subscribers

Bitcoin Structured Products https://t.co/CpFYh9U9e1

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$MSTR and $ASST will perform at multiples of Bitcoin over the next 15 years. - The Bitcoin bottom was $60k. - Strategy as The Bank of England. - $ASST 150-200x & 2.6X BTC/Share - current amplification over 15 years. - $MSTR 150x & 2.2X BTC/Share -current amplification over 15 years. - Pre Market Trading on $STRC's ex-dividend date is when all the selling happens. Lot's of SATA pre market trading volume.

$MSTR and $ASST will perform at multiples of Bitcoin over the next 15 years. - The Bitcoin bottom was $60k. - Strategy as The Bank of England. - $ASST 150-200x & 2.6X BTC/Share - current amplification over 15 years. - $MSTR 150x & 2.2X BTC/Share -current amplification over 15 years. - Pre Market Trading on $STRC's ex-dividend date is when all the selling happens. Lot's of SATA pre market trading volume.

45,941 просмотров • 25 дней назад

Buck was shut down, but $STRC is the king of Stable Coins. 0:00-17:45: Skip for Bitcoin only commentary People will lever STRC on-chain 10:1 using Morpho 🦋 & Aave (That's Bitcoin demand). 17:45-32:54: Josh Man and I are selling calls below Bitcoin's power law floor. Sminston With 👁's Power Law cost of production. Bitcoin and MSTR's Implied Volatility Charts. I'm levering spot, not buying long calls.

Buck was shut down, but $STRC is the king of Stable Coins. 0:00-17:45: Skip for Bitcoin only commentary People will lever STRC on-chain 10:1 using Morpho 🦋 & Aave (That's Bitcoin demand). 17:45-32:54: Josh Man and I are selling calls below Bitcoin's power law floor. Sminston With 👁's Power Law cost of production. Bitcoin and MSTR's Implied Volatility Charts. I'm levering spot, not buying long calls.

60,909 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

STRC will push Bitcoin into an Exponential - STRC trading volume decouples from MSTR, IBIT, & Bitcoin. - STRC's Shelf Registration and ATM are novel. All other variable rate prefs have been benchmarked to SOFR. Strategy's unlock was letting the market set STRC's interest rate. - SPY Risk > STRC Risk? - Leveraged STRC is the high performance application. - Leveraged STRC will breed the STRC PUT market. - Selling STRC Puts gives anyone access to institutional leverage.

STRC will push Bitcoin into an Exponential - STRC trading volume decouples from MSTR, IBIT, & Bitcoin. - STRC's Shelf Registration and ATM are novel. All other variable rate prefs have been benchmarked to SOFR. Strategy's unlock was letting the market set STRC's interest rate. - SPY Risk > STRC Risk? - Leveraged STRC is the high performance application. - Leveraged STRC will breed the STRC PUT market. - Selling STRC Puts gives anyone access to institutional leverage.

90,541 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

The Bull Case for MSTR 1) The dust has settled, and MSTR's 10 year returns from here forward will be remarkable - $40k/share in 2045. 2) Returns over 20 years at 36 CAGR vs. 30 CAGR. 3) Macro Economic Ambiguity, sometimes it's best to just hold your breath.

The Bull Case for MSTR 1) The dust has settled, and MSTR's 10 year returns from here forward will be remarkable - $40k/share in 2045. 2) Returns over 20 years at 36 CAGR vs. 30 CAGR. 3) Macro Economic Ambiguity, sometimes it's best to just hold your breath.

151,520 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Winner Take All. Strategy's Preferred Stock (How it acts as a defense mechanism against predatory shorts) Preferred Put ™ $MSTR 5 year price targets ($5000/share) based on $500k Bitcoin Price

Winner Take All. Strategy's Preferred Stock (How it acts as a defense mechanism against predatory shorts) Preferred Put ™ $MSTR 5 year price targets ($5000/share) based on $500k Bitcoin Price

255,110 просмотров • 1 год назад

Bitcoin to $250k while Institutions Flip Bullish True North - $MSTR to $1,000/share in 2030. - Power Laws result in Exponential Returns. - Options payout on $ASST relative to holding the equity; allocating risk capital. - 2026 Macro Outlook: All roads lead to financial repression, bonds lose. - Cash Book: Selling insurance on MSTR and ASST is the best way to collect premium along the power law trend, 50% annualized. "The collateral is as valuable as its utility (store of value) + the products built on top of it."

Bitcoin to $250k while Institutions Flip Bullish True North - $MSTR to $1,000/share in 2030. - Power Laws result in Exponential Returns. - Options payout on $ASST relative to holding the equity; allocating risk capital. - 2026 Macro Outlook: All roads lead to financial repression, bonds lose. - Cash Book: Selling insurance on MSTR and ASST is the best way to collect premium along the power law trend, 50% annualized. "The collateral is as valuable as its utility (store of value) + the products built on top of it."

31,330 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

STRC bi-monthly dividend & Institutional Signal - The market wants a high yield money market, something different than any equity or fixed income instrument that exists today. - This only works because Bitcoin is a closed system. - Phong Le: “We think one of the big opportunities of STRC is to borrow against it” - So long as STRC's market cap continues to grow, i.e. more buyers than sellers, there will exist an overnight arbitrage on the ex dividend date greater than the 11.5% annualized return of STRC. - This video scratches the surface of how STRC will price and what the liquidity will look like in a rising Bitcoin and STRC market cap environment.

STRC bi-monthly dividend & Institutional Signal - The market wants a high yield money market, something different than any equity or fixed income instrument that exists today. - This only works because Bitcoin is a closed system. - Phong Le: “We think one of the big opportunities of STRC is to borrow against it” - So long as STRC's market cap continues to grow, i.e. more buyers than sellers, there will exist an overnight arbitrage on the ex dividend date greater than the 11.5% annualized return of STRC. - This video scratches the surface of how STRC will price and what the liquidity will look like in a rising Bitcoin and STRC market cap environment.

35,213 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Bitcoin's Bear Market is Over $STRC - The New Bitcoin Existential Risk Rate STRC/MSTR Volume - STRC's Real Growth Rate $16B-$40B of STRC Capacity with no MSTR Issuance Cost of Production Power Law supports $100B's of STRC issuance - MSTR ATM was FRONT LOADED It's now a waiting game since $STRC is selling itself.

Bitcoin's Bear Market is Over $STRC - The New Bitcoin Existential Risk Rate STRC/MSTR Volume - STRC's Real Growth Rate $16B-$40B of STRC Capacity with no MSTR Issuance Cost of Production Power Law supports $100B's of STRC issuance - MSTR ATM was FRONT LOADED It's now a waiting game since $STRC is selling itself.

36,534 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

$STRK to perform on par with $MSTR up to $650/Share? First, a few of the differences between preferred and common equity. Next, I highlight the potential price appreciation of STRK if MSTR appreciates and the credit spread tightens closers to that of the converts. (*Different than the converts, but similar enough for a thought experiment)

$STRK to perform on par with $MSTR up to $650/Share? First, a few of the differences between preferred and common equity. Next, I highlight the potential price appreciation of STRK if MSTR appreciates and the credit spread tightens closers to that of the converts. (*Different than the converts, but similar enough for a thought experiment)

74,472 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

STRC Market Overview. The Most Important Bitcoin Security.... STRC Volume Projection = $500MM/day ATM Selling 1 Part STRC & 2 Parts MSTR 7th Straight Dividend Raise Buck's Total Addressable Market grows every day STRC is issued.

STRC Market Overview. The Most Important Bitcoin Security.... STRC Volume Projection = $500MM/day ATM Selling 1 Part STRC & 2 Parts MSTR 7th Straight Dividend Raise Buck's Total Addressable Market grows every day STRC is issued.

22,656 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

MSTR is a 10x in 5 years - Long Term Effects of Leverage. How to turn $100,000 into $1,000,000 - 0 DTE IBIT Options & MSTR Volume - Is The Debasement Trade Real? - 2026 Big Ideas - Ark Invest - Black Rock 2026 Fixed Income -Automating Personal AI Workflows

MSTR is a 10x in 5 years - Long Term Effects of Leverage. How to turn $100,000 into $1,000,000 - 0 DTE IBIT Options & MSTR Volume - Is The Debasement Trade Real? - 2026 Big Ideas - Ark Invest - Black Rock 2026 Fixed Income -Automating Personal AI Workflows

24,505 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Updated 2025 MSTR BTC Acquisition Model. Free Downloadable File attached. (MSTR Damage Control) Updated Price targets. MSTR's BTC acquisition is more aggressive than people realize. "People tend to overestimate what will happen in the short term, and underestimate what will happen over the long term." Compounding BTC/share is the edge that we are trading on, and for that to take effect, it will take time.

Updated 2025 MSTR BTC Acquisition Model. Free Downloadable File attached. (MSTR Damage Control) Updated Price targets. MSTR's BTC acquisition is more aggressive than people realize. "People tend to overestimate what will happen in the short term, and underestimate what will happen over the long term." Compounding BTC/share is the edge that we are trading on, and for that to take effect, it will take time.

63,279 просмотров • 1 год назад

Clawing Back Millions - MSTR Options Portfolio Review. Taking up the mantel for Josh Man (I'm not half the trader he is, but I'll at least keep the flame burning) I have been slightly refining my approach. In this video I review my Options Portfolio (a subset of my overall portfolio), where I trade MSTR Options. Bitcoin Treasury companies are the ICO's of this cycle. Things will only get crazier.

Clawing Back Millions - MSTR Options Portfolio Review. Taking up the mantel for Josh Man (I'm not half the trader he is, but I'll at least keep the flame burning) I have been slightly refining my approach. In this video I review my Options Portfolio (a subset of my overall portfolio), where I trade MSTR Options. Bitcoin Treasury companies are the ICO's of this cycle. Things will only get crazier.

43,570 просмотров • 1 год назад

It's Better to Be Lucky than Good. Whiteboard scribbles & Mental framework for navigating 2025 $MSTR options exercising. Options Selling Volatility Selling

It's Better to Be Lucky than Good. Whiteboard scribbles & Mental framework for navigating 2025 $MSTR options exercising. Options Selling Volatility Selling

35,611 просмотров • 1 год назад

STRC + IBIT Calls Positioning, MSTR Earnings & Covered Calls. Not all dips need to be bought, but I have started scaling into this one. New Hedge Fund: Stravera Capital

STRC + IBIT Calls Positioning, MSTR Earnings & Covered Calls. Not all dips need to be bought, but I have started scaling into this one. New Hedge Fund: Stravera Capital

21,008 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

$STRK at $300/share (Pricing a Fully Liquid Convertible Preferred) The way Strategy's Preferred equity is priced means you don't have to express a direct view on interest rates. STRK has room for significant capital appreciation. **A key concern raised by many is as follows: "Won't Strategy use the ATM to keep the price of STRK down?" My answer is two fold: 1) The fixed income market is massive and designed to price yields based on risk. If Bitcoin becomes pristine collateral, the demand will be so massive, that the ATM will be a drop in a bucket (we are not there yet). 2) Strategy must respect their 30% debt to asset ratio for converts, STRF, and STRK (not necessarily STRD). This will put a temporary cap on ATM issuance during periods of high demand for preferred equities.

$STRK at $300/share (Pricing a Fully Liquid Convertible Preferred) The way Strategy's Preferred equity is priced means you don't have to express a direct view on interest rates. STRK has room for significant capital appreciation. **A key concern raised by many is as follows: "Won't Strategy use the ATM to keep the price of STRK down?" My answer is two fold: 1) The fixed income market is massive and designed to price yields based on risk. If Bitcoin becomes pristine collateral, the demand will be so massive, that the ATM will be a drop in a bucket (we are not there yet). 2) Strategy must respect their 30% debt to asset ratio for converts, STRF, and STRK (not necessarily STRD). This will put a temporary cap on ATM issuance during periods of high demand for preferred equities.

19,117 просмотров • 1 год назад

West Main Self Storage tour. Cash flow and Bitcoin, usd debt arbitrage.

West Main Self Storage tour. Cash flow and Bitcoin, usd debt arbitrage.

12,634 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

Introducing Achilles Intelligence. Inspired by the analysis Grain of Salt and I ran on our mistakes in Q4, 2024. We wanted to create an easy-to-use platform for traders to analyze: - Historical Option Performance - Review Implied Volatilities & Price over Time - Optimize Option Contract Performance based on certain input parameters - Automate & Backtest Covered Call Selling Strategies - Automate & Backtest Cash Secured Put Strategies - Identify Bitcoin Equity Correlations to Create Efficient Hedging Strategies We are looking for 20 users to start using the platform, and provide feedback on the tools. All of these services are free, so please DM me, and I will choose 20 initial users before we officially release the tool. Hopefully this release will come just in time for another move in Bitcoin.

Introducing Achilles Intelligence. Inspired by the analysis Grain of Salt and I ran on our mistakes in Q4, 2024. We wanted to create an easy-to-use platform for traders to analyze: - Historical Option Performance - Review Implied Volatilities & Price over Time - Optimize Option Contract Performance based on certain input parameters - Automate & Backtest Covered Call Selling Strategies - Automate & Backtest Cash Secured Put Strategies - Identify Bitcoin Equity Correlations to Create Efficient Hedging Strategies We are looking for 20 users to start using the platform, and provide feedback on the tools. All of these services are free, so please DM me, and I will choose 20 initial users before we officially release the tool. Hopefully this release will come just in time for another move in Bitcoin.

15,770 просмотров • 1 год назад