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Joseph Cammisa

@jmcammisa • 1,921 subscribers

Servant of Christ | Sharing my own thoughts & analysis | Pitching & Socials @PennBaseball | Temple U ‘26

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Aaron Nola continues to look good: .175 BAA, 0 BBs, 13 Ks in last 11.0 IP But that’s three starts in a row now where he’s starting to run w/ that heavy KC (39%) + sinker (31%) mix + killing the 4S usage (13.7%) even vs. a RH dominate SD lineup Command look strong (SI to the left side of HP, KC down consistently — averaged 93+ on the FBs and got a ton of swing-and-miss all around (33.3% / 15 whiffs) Resurgence?

Aaron Nola continues to look good: .175 BAA, 0 BBs, 13 Ks in last 11.0 IP But that’s three starts in a row now where he’s starting to run w/ that heavy KC (39%) + sinker (31%) mix + killing the 4S usage (13.7%) even vs. a RH dominate SD lineup Command look strong (SI to the left side of HP, KC down consistently — averaged 93+ on the FBs and got a ton of swing-and-miss all around (33.3% / 15 whiffs) Resurgence?

20,376 views

Phillies 2026 Bullpen:

Phillies 2026 Bullpen:

127,100 views

Unsure the level of concern at the moment (1.09 FIP + 27.5 K-BB%) but I think it's worth nothing that Sanchez's FB velo is down: First 3 G (2026): • 94.4 MPH (-2.1) • 94.3 MPH (-1.5) • 94.6 MPH (-0.6) *(L: '26, R: '25)* Last year: • Sanchez was a bit more efficient w/ his hip + shoulder separation • His body was more linear, helping that center of mass move correctly. • Better lower half allowing him to keep that pelvis a bit more linear -- which is likely result of the ribcage is stacked over his pelvis + sitting in that load longer on foot strike (??) This year: • Energy is leaking from that back knee into rotation • Upper + lower working w/ each other more and less of working against one another (arm doing more than it should) • His pelvis is noticeably tipping down through rotation (not a direct cue but more of a result of less lower half activation) Angles/WBC fatigue could also be at play here as well -- but assuming they're not could be some things to clean up

Unsure the level of concern at the moment (1.09 FIP + 27.5 K-BB%) but I think it's worth nothing that Sanchez's FB velo is down: First 3 G (2026): • 94.4 MPH (-2.1) • 94.3 MPH (-1.5) • 94.6 MPH (-0.6) (L: '26, R: '25) Last year: • Sanchez was a bit more efficient w/ his hip + shoulder separation • His body was more linear, helping that center of mass move correctly. • Better lower half allowing him to keep that pelvis a bit more linear -- which is likely result of the ribcage is stacked over his pelvis + sitting in that load longer on foot strike (??) This year: • Energy is leaking from that back knee into rotation • Upper + lower working w/ each other more and less of working against one another (arm doing more than it should) • His pelvis is noticeably tipping down through rotation (not a direct cue but more of a result of less lower half activation) Angles/WBC fatigue could also be at play here as well -- but assuming they're not could be some things to clean up

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The Phillies are signing, international prospect, OF Francisco Renteria for 4M. Some quick notes (various sources): • 17 years-old, ~6'4" , 200lb. Son of former big-leaguer, Edgar Renteria • ++ raw power, great bat speed -- possessing some of the best pop, in the 2026 class • Can hit both parts of the field, shorter swing • Tends to leak out in front a bit -- leading to some vulnerability to offspeed/breaking • Explosive rotation, could stay stacked a bit longer • Solid glove, coupled with above-avg. speed -- could begin in CF • FanGraphs also noted: he will likely end up in the corner, as he makes his way through the system due to slowing down -- also said b/c of how much he is growing • Per Baseball America, potential "30-HR threat," -- should make an impact in ~6 years • Received an early-comp to #1 Propsect, Konnor Griffin

The Phillies are signing, international prospect, OF Francisco Renteria for 4M. Some quick notes (various sources): • 17 years-old, ~6'4" , 200lb. Son of former big-leaguer, Edgar Renteria • ++ raw power, great bat speed -- possessing some of the best pop, in the 2026 class • Can hit both parts of the field, shorter swing • Tends to leak out in front a bit -- leading to some vulnerability to offspeed/breaking • Explosive rotation, could stay stacked a bit longer • Solid glove, coupled with above-avg. speed -- could begin in CF • FanGraphs also noted: he will likely end up in the corner, as he makes his way through the system due to slowing down -- also said b/c of how much he is growing • Per Baseball America, potential "30-HR threat," -- should make an impact in ~6 years • Received an early-comp to #1 Propsect, Konnor Griffin

265,993 views • 5 months ago

Harper’s HR on Japan’s broadcast was ELECTRIC. Wow

Harper’s HR on Japan’s broadcast was ELECTRIC. Wow

99,469 views • 3 months ago

Adapting Nola??? That's two starts decent now for Aaron Nola but need to proceed w/ caution: 11.0 IP, 2.51 FIP, 22.7 K-B%, 52.2 GB% -- It's hardly a sufficient sample but the mix he's ran w/ in these starts is worth monitoring going forward Nola is really getting away from his 4S and leaning into the KC much more. It's a simple approach, throw your bad pitches less -- Shape-wise it looks strong -- getting good ride w/ flat approach + pretty firm velocity but it's been getting pummeled: .404 BAA*, .904 SLG*, .441 xwOBA* *each a career-worst His KC on the other hand?? The best it's been in his career: .198 BA, .272 SLG, .206 xwOBA -- seems Cotham and the Phillies are doing their best to adapt and not overcomplicate things mid-season. Granted these last two starts have come at a good time and against a couple of the worst offenses vs RHP --Reds: 91 wRC+, Padres: 92 wRC+ (placing both in the bottom six) but still encouraging to see First nine starts: • 32% KC, 28% 4S, 18% SI, 13% CH, 9% FC Last two: • 42% KC, 23% SI, 20% 4S, 8% CH, 6% FC Granted the matchups have a large role in usages but w/ the lefties he has faced? I would like to see the cutter mixed in much more but it's nice to see him willing to adjust -- Vs. lefties: he's killed the 4S usage vs LH by 7% and increased the cutter by nearly 5% and the KC by nearly 10% I think spamming the KC will be pretty sustainable going forward, given his command w/ it. Cole Weintraub wrote a piece on Nola and he mentioned how confident he feels, being able to manipulate the KC however he needs and it has seemed that way lately. He's gone to the KC for chases but utilized it in early counts also flipping it in for strikes or to get ahead of a guy -- had a 32.2 Zone% his first nine starts. The last two?? 47.0 Zone% It's probably best to keep an eye on it as he adds more innings to the sample + see how he adjusts vs different teams, but all things looking up??

Adapting Nola??? That's two starts decent now for Aaron Nola but need to proceed w/ caution: 11.0 IP, 2.51 FIP, 22.7 K-B%, 52.2 GB% -- It's hardly a sufficient sample but the mix he's ran w/ in these starts is worth monitoring going forward Nola is really getting away from his 4S and leaning into the KC much more. It's a simple approach, throw your bad pitches less -- Shape-wise it looks strong -- getting good ride w/ flat approach + pretty firm velocity but it's been getting pummeled: .404 BAA, .904 SLG, .441 xwOBA* *each a career-worst His KC on the other hand?? The best it's been in his career: .198 BA, .272 SLG, .206 xwOBA -- seems Cotham and the Phillies are doing their best to adapt and not overcomplicate things mid-season. Granted these last two starts have come at a good time and against a couple of the worst offenses vs RHP --Reds: 91 wRC+, Padres: 92 wRC+ (placing both in the bottom six) but still encouraging to see First nine starts: • 32% KC, 28% 4S, 18% SI, 13% CH, 9% FC Last two: • 42% KC, 23% SI, 20% 4S, 8% CH, 6% FC Granted the matchups have a large role in usages but w/ the lefties he has faced? I would like to see the cutter mixed in much more but it's nice to see him willing to adjust -- Vs. lefties: he's killed the 4S usage vs LH by 7% and increased the cutter by nearly 5% and the KC by nearly 10% I think spamming the KC will be pretty sustainable going forward, given his command w/ it. Cole Weintraub wrote a piece on Nola and he mentioned how confident he feels, being able to manipulate the KC however he needs and it has seemed that way lately. He's gone to the KC for chases but utilized it in early counts also flipping it in for strikes or to get ahead of a guy -- had a 32.2 Zone% his first nine starts. The last two?? 47.0 Zone% It's probably best to keep an eye on it as he adds more innings to the sample + see how he adjusts vs different teams, but all things looking up??

20,491 views • 24 days ago

I’m a bit higher than most on Adolis. He’s already begun to clean up some things — should be pickier, in a *deeper* Phillies lineup, better ballpark … bounce-back? 🎥: Francys Romero

I’m a bit higher than most on Adolis. He’s already begun to clean up some things — should be pickier, in a deeper Phillies lineup, better ballpark … bounce-back? 🎥: Francys Romero

42,372 views • 4 months ago

DISCUSSION: Whether the Phillies hang onto Alec Bohm or trade him, let's first address something real quick. We tend to gravitate towards the negatives -- but even through injury, he produced well offensively. And this was after a slow start. MAR/APR: • .221/.252/.274 • 2.5 BB% / 17.6 K% • 44 wRC+ REMAINDER: • .308/.356/.453 • 6.8 BB% / 15.8 K% • 124 wRC+ What continues to be weird is that even with EV's, that are consistently well above than league average, paired with his frame -- you can't help but wonder if the fix is simple. What if all it takes, is adjusting his mechanics to specifically target improving his Pull% & PullAir%? -- both of which are significantly poor: • Pull%: 26.0% (1st Percentile) • PullAir%: 6.4% (2nd Percentile) (data from Thomas Nestico) If targeted properly, (& that's a big if, since its been a constant question) we could finally see Bohm slug the way we've hoped for, since he's come up. This is purely speculation and I have always said, if the public data suggests it, then the Phillies organization most likely knows as well. Thoughts???

DISCUSSION: Whether the Phillies hang onto Alec Bohm or trade him, let's first address something real quick. We tend to gravitate towards the negatives -- but even through injury, he produced well offensively. And this was after a slow start. MAR/APR: • .221/.252/.274 • 2.5 BB% / 17.6 K% • 44 wRC+ REMAINDER: • .308/.356/.453 • 6.8 BB% / 15.8 K% • 124 wRC+ What continues to be weird is that even with EV's, that are consistently well above than league average, paired with his frame -- you can't help but wonder if the fix is simple. What if all it takes, is adjusting his mechanics to specifically target improving his Pull% & PullAir%? -- both of which are significantly poor: • Pull%: 26.0% (1st Percentile) • PullAir%: 6.4% (2nd Percentile) (data from Thomas Nestico) If targeted properly, (& that's a big if, since its been a constant question) we could finally see Bohm slug the way we've hoped for, since he's come up. This is purely speculation and I have always said, if the public data suggests it, then the Phillies organization most likely knows as well. Thoughts???

30,152 views • 5 months ago

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