Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA
@michael_hoerger • 40,662 subscribers
Expert in weighing medical evidence, cancer, COVID forecasting & mitigation, health disparities, financial analytics. 120 publications. PhD program director.
Shorts
Videos
Central/SE #Texas have been on fire w/COVlD for 21 days. Levels are extremely high in College Station, followed by near Houston, then Waco. The CDC defines Texas as "very low" because 52% of wastewater sites are very low. That misses the public health opportunity.
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA67,446 次观看 • 17 天前
PMC Update, June 8, 2026 The CDC reports COVlD levels are "Very Low" across the US. PMC estimates 1 in 300 Americans actively infectious. BUT there's an outbreak in Central/East Texas. We estimate ≈1 in 30 residents in key counties are infectious. Video 👇 THREAD 1/3 🧵
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA61,031 次观看 • 1 个月前
Estimated COVlD levels (U.S.) are their lowest since July 15, 2021 -- nearly 5 years ago. All states are low/very low, except those with limited, delayed, or single-site reporting. The estimated 200,000 new daily infections remain ≈20x Dr. Fauci's description of "normality."
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA76,021 次观看 • 2 个月前
2026 Edition of "COVID-19: Things I have Learned (So Far)." 0:00 Intro 2:07 Transmission Persists 4:55 Morbidity & Mortality Persist 23:07 Psychological Defenses, Politics, & $$$ 29:52 Analogy of Big Tobacco 35:04 Multi-Layered Mitigation 58:00 Practicing Community Care
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA119,161 次观看 • 5 个月前
PMC Update on #ExcessDeaths 🔥109,000-175,000 people in the U.S. are expected to die as a result of COVID in 2025, based on estimates derived from Swiss Re 🔥COVID deaths expected to be on par with lung cancer in the U.S. in 2025 🔥Death data added to the dashboard
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA161,275 次观看 • 1 年前
The ongoing winter surge will cause millions of #LongCovid cases in the U.S. Dr. Birx warns of "the aerosol nature of the virus," that "it will never be flu," & "to be cavalier about getting repetitive Covid infections is really a huge mistake." h/t @inducekarmaaa
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA268,028 次观看 • 2 年前
1) 5-yr Anniversary of the WHO Pandemic Declaration 🔥10 waves 🔥Covid mortality rivals lung cancer 🔥8 infections/person by 2030 🔥Long Covid as catastrophic 🔥Death trajectories becoming complex 🔥"During Covid" as anti-science rhetoric 🔥Serious ppl take Covid seriously 🧵
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA144,377 次观看 • 1 年前
PMC COVID Report Week of Feb 10, 2025 (U.S.) 🔥1 in 67 (1.5%) actively infectious 🔥We're on the 2nd hump of this #CamelWave 🐫 🔥30 states + DC in the CDC high/very high range 🔥>700k daily infections 🔥1.0-3.8 million Long COVlD conditions from the next month's infections
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA137,946 次观看 • 1 年前
SARS-CoV-2 continues to transmit at high rates presently, especially in middle America. We're in a 12th wave, and what's important to know is that *every* region continues to experience surges sooner or late. We are very much #DuringCOVID. THREAD 🧵1 of 9...
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA42,977 次观看 • 5 个月前
PMC COVID-19 Dashboard, Dec 16, 2024 🧵1 of 8 🔹1 in 64 (1.6%) actively infectious in the U.S. 🔹750,000 new daily infections and rising 🔹Highest % increase in transmission in nearly 3 years 🔹10th wave is the "silent surge," coming on late out of nowhere The video will walk you through each of the graphs on the dashboard and covered in this thread. Info for new readers: For those unfamiliar with the PMC model, find full weekly reports for the past 14+ months at The models combine data from IHME, Biobot, and CDC to use wastewater to estimate case levels (r = .93 to .96) and forecast levels the next month based on typical levels for that date and recent patterns of changes in transmission the past 4 weeks. Our work has been cited in top scientific journals and media outlets, which are fully sourced in a detailed technical appendix at Examples include JAMA Onc, JAMA-NO, BMC Public Health, Time, People, TODAY, the Washington Post, the Institute for New Economic Thinking, Salon, Forbes, the New Republic, Fox, CBS, and NBC. See pgs 11-13 at the above link. We will have a pre-print out in the next month documenting very compelling evidence for the validity of using wastewater to estimate case rates. Forecasting is challenging in the context of the current viral evolution, but the real-time estimates of cases are impressively accurate to the best we can evaluate it.
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA95,151 次观看 • 1 年前
PMC COVID-19 Dashboard, Dec 30, 2024 (U.S.) 🔥1 in 50 people actively infectious 🔥1 in 3 chance of an exposure in a gathering of 20 on NYE 🔥6.7 million new infections per week 🔥>300,000 resulting #LongCOVID conditions/week Info for new readers: For those unfamiliar with the PMC model, find full weekly reports for the past 1.5 years at The models combine data from IHME, Biobot, and CDC to use wastewater to estimate case levels (r = .93 to .96) and forecast levels the next month based on typical levels for that date and recent patterns of changes in transmission the past 4 weeks. Our work has been cited in top scientific journals and media outlets, which are fully sourced in a detailed technical appendix at Examples include JAMA Onc, JAMA-NO, BMC Public Health, Time, People, TODAY, the Washington Post, the Institute for New Economic Thinking, Salon, Forbes, the New Republic, Fox, CBS, and NBC. See pgs 11-13 at the above link. We will have a pre-print out in the next month documenting very compelling evidence for the validity of using wastewater to estimate case rates. Forecasting is challenging in the context of the current viral evolution, but the real-time estimates of cases are impressively accurate to the best we can evaluate it.
Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA86,403 次观看 • 1 年前