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Natalie Fratto

@NatalieFratto • 8,151 subscribers

drawing from data @chartsncrafts (500k+ on socials) prev. lives @goldmansachs @siliconvlybank @TED @ycombinator

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How many times do you think he’s told her he loves her to the moon and back 🥹

How many times do you think he’s told her he loves her to the moon and back 🥹

2,393,436 次观看

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Submarines are among the most complex object humans manufacture - each one has over a million individual parts. And Anduril Industries is investing $3.7B over the next decade to build components for them better, faster, and on US soil. Anduril Industries x chartsncrafts

Submarines are among the most complex object humans manufacture - each one has over a million individual parts. And Anduril Industries is investing $3.7B over the next decade to build components for them better, faster, and on US soil. Anduril Industries x chartsncrafts

428,583 次观看 • 1 个月前

I have a million questions about prediction markets, and I understand things through drawing. So I sat down with the CEO of Kalshi (Tarek Mansour) to better understand how prediction markets actually work, the counter-intuitive impact of prediction markets on elections, and why he believes they can make the world a better place. We cover: - How a prediction market works (hint: a lot like the NYSE) - 60¢ = 60%: how event contracts price probability - Prediction markets vs. the stock exchange vs. sportsbooks - Defining gambling and markets - Why he's in favor of federal regulation - Polls vs. markets: skin in the game & the pursuit of truth - Why markets reward the boring take - What you can't trade on (no wildfire markets) - Hedging 101 at the ice cream shop - Goku, growing up in Lebanon & the 120% rule Highlights: (00:00) Gambling, markets and their historically flirtatious relationship (00:34) Opening Kalshi for the first time (01:19) How a contract works: 60¢ = 60% odds (02:10) Why not just use the stock market? CFTC & derivatives (02:58) Prediction markets vs. sportsbooks: who sets the price (04:35) Where the gambling line is, according to Tarek (05:30) In favor of federal regulation (06:17) The vision: free markets in pursuit of truth (06:39) Why polls miss & markets don't (2016, 2024, Mamdani) (07:24) Echo chambers, hot takes & rewarding the boring take (08:15) What you can't trade on & why (08:54) Hedging 101 at the ice cream shop (10:17) Goku, Lebanon & the 120% rule Our first ever longform chartsncrafts episode - the first of many.

I have a million questions about prediction markets, and I understand things through drawing. So I sat down with the CEO of Kalshi (Tarek Mansour) to better understand how prediction markets actually work, the counter-intuitive impact of prediction markets on elections, and why he believes they can make the world a better place. We cover: - How a prediction market works (hint: a lot like the NYSE) - 60¢ = 60%: how event contracts price probability - Prediction markets vs. the stock exchange vs. sportsbooks - Defining gambling and markets - Why he's in favor of federal regulation - Polls vs. markets: skin in the game & the pursuit of truth - Why markets reward the boring take - What you can't trade on (no wildfire markets) - Hedging 101 at the ice cream shop - Goku, growing up in Lebanon & the 120% rule Highlights: (00:00) Gambling, markets and their historically flirtatious relationship (00:34) Opening Kalshi for the first time (01:19) How a contract works: 60¢ = 60% odds (02:10) Why not just use the stock market? CFTC & derivatives (02:58) Prediction markets vs. sportsbooks: who sets the price (04:35) Where the gambling line is, according to Tarek (05:30) In favor of federal regulation (06:17) The vision: free markets in pursuit of truth (06:39) Why polls miss & markets don't (2016, 2024, Mamdani) (07:24) Echo chambers, hot takes & rewarding the boring take (08:15) What you can't trade on & why (08:54) Hedging 101 at the ice cream shop (10:17) Goku, Lebanon & the 120% rule Our first ever longform chartsncrafts episode - the first of many.

45,698 次观看 • 10 天前

Got invited by NASA to cover Artemis II and had one of the coolest days of my life - here’s part 1!

Got invited by NASA to cover Artemis II and had one of the coolest days of my life - here’s part 1!

43,830 次观看 • 7 个月前

Paging the space nerds & merch enthusiasts - here’s my entire NASA haul from Artemis II

Paging the space nerds & merch enthusiasts - here’s my entire NASA haul from Artemis II

33,192 次观看 • 7 个月前

Did you lose power this week? Here’s why: We built a grid for the 1900s then plugged in EVs. The latest chartsncrafts unpacks why blackouts are on the rise and how residential batteries, like those Base Power makes, might help

Did you lose power this week? Here’s why: We built a grid for the 1900s then plugged in EVs. The latest chartsncrafts unpacks why blackouts are on the rise and how residential batteries, like those Base Power makes, might help

18,941 次观看 • 10 个月前

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